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Results for “lifetime prediction”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 73 records · Page 4
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

PdAu/YSZ composite hydrogen separation membranes with enhanced stability in the presence of CO

The effects of gold composition on the tolerance of palladium-based composite membranes to CO exposure was studied under the presence of high CO concentrations. Membranes with PdAu compositions ranging up to 41% by mass were exposed to binary 50/50 H 2 /CO gas atmospheres and both hydrogen flux and purity were monitored over time. It was observed that the highest gold composition (41%) suffered no degradation in membrane performance in terms of permeate hydrogen purity and hydrogen permeation flux during the 48 h exposure. Furthermore, for lower gold compositions, X-ray diffraction patterns suggested that carbon entered the film and could be removed by exposure to a non-CO containing gas mixture over time. However, removal of the carbon adversely affected purity; interestingly, some of the purity decline could be reversed upon re-exposure to the CO gas mixture. It is hypothesized that carbon loading in the palladium films causes lattice expansion and may even fill pore defects, thus lowering leaks through the Pd films. Furthermore, this study suggests that a membrane exposed to a CO mixture should not be cycled between CO and non-CO environments, but rather run continuously for best performance. Additionally, the choice of Pd-alloy and metal composition should be considered in regard to its carbon solubility to best predict lifetime performance.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2024

Catalyzing deep decarbonization with federated battery diagnosis and prognosis for better data management in energy storage systems

Industrial data analytics methods play a central role in improving energy storage performance and efficiency, impacting the future of electrified transportation and renewable electricity generation. However, significant challenges hinder the large-scale deployment of batteries. Conventional methods rely on centralized collection and processing of fleet-level data, leading to database size issues and privacy concerns due to potential data breaches. To enable scalable deployment of battery management systems, this article proposes a federated battery diagnosis and prognosis model, which distributes the processing of battery standard current-voltage-time-usage data in a privacy-preserving manner. Instead of transferring the raw data, this approach communicates only the locally processed parameters, thus reducing communication load and preserving data confidentiality. The federated model offers a paradigm shift in battery health management through privacy-preserving distributed methods for battery data processing and lifetime prediction, ensuring the reliable and sustainable deployment of lithium-ion batteries in a rapidly evolving world.

asset health management↗
DOE OSTI2023

Unconventional gas-phase preparation of the prototype polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon naphthalene (C 10 H 8 ) via the reaction of benzyl (C 7 H 7 ) and propargyl (C 3 H 3 ) radicals coupled with hydrogen-atom assisted isomerization

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are ubiquitous in the interstellar medium and in meteorites such as Murchison and Allende and signify the missing link between resonantly stabilized free radicals and carbonaceous nanoparticles (soot particles, interstellar grains). However, the predicted lifetime of interstellar PAHs of some 108 years imply that PAHs should not exist in extraterrestrial environments suggesting that key mechanisms of their formation are elusive. Exploiting a microchemical reactor and coupling these data with computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations and kinetic modeling, we reveal through an isomer selective product detection that the reaction of the resonantly stabilized benzyl (C 7 H 7 ) and the propargyl (C 3 H 3 ) synthesizes the simplest representative of PAHs – the 10π Hückel aromatic naphthalene (C 10 H 8 ) molecule – via the novel Propargyl Addition–BenzAnnulation (PABA) mechanism. The gas-phase preparation of naphthalene affords a versatile concept of the reaction of combustion and astronomically abundant propargyl radicals with aromatic radicals carrying the radical center at the methylene moiety (aromatic-CH 2 ) as a previously passed over source of aromatics in high temperature environments thus bringing us closer to an understanding of the aromatic universe we live in.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Searches for baryon number violation in neutrino experiments: a white paper

Abstract Baryon number conservation is not guaranteed by any fundamental symmetry within the standard model, and therefore has been a subject of experimental and theoretical scrutiny for decades. So far, no evidence for baryon number violation has been observed. Large underground detectors have long been used for both neutrino detection and searches for baryon number violating processes. The next generation of large neutrino detectors will seek to improve upon the limits set by past and current experiments and will cover a range of lifetimes predicted by several Grand Unified Theories. In this White Paper, we summarize theoretical motivations and experimental aspects of searches for baryon number violation in neutrino experiments.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Correlation of Diffusion Limited Oxidation to Color Difference in Accelerated Aging of Electrical Cable Insulation

Diffusion limited oxidation (DLO) as a phenomenon has complicated material lifetime predictions from accelerated aging studies. Many methods to analyze DLO have been developed in recent years. However, an analytical tool for high throughput and low-cost analysis of DLO affected samples remains absent from the literature. Color differences in polymers exposed to oxidative conditions have recently been observed and correlated to increased concentrations of oxidation products. Herein, total color difference was utilized to rapidly quantify DLO in ethylene propylene rubber (EPR) polymeric cable insulation specimens. Insulation specimens were aged at 121 °C, 136 °C, 150 °C, and 165 °C and a 10% ?E*ab difference between the specimen edge and specimen center was used as the threshold for DLO. Based on these specifications DLO was observed in EPR insulation specimen at temperatures of 136 °C and above, with an increasing degree of DLO observed as the time of exposure increased. The method presented in this work represents a quantitative and high-throughput method for the investigation of DLO with a low cost barrier for entry.

diffusion limited oxidation, DLO, nuclear, electri↗
DOE OSTI2020

Sequential versus Simultaneous Aging of XLPE Nuclear Cable Insulation Subjected to Elevated Temperature and Gamma Radiation

Electrical cables constitute a critical component of nuclear power generation. The aging behavior of electrical cable insulation under combined exposure to thermal and radiation stress is not additive, complicating lifetime prediction of cable performance based on sequential accelerated aging. In this work we explore the relative effects of simultaneous and sequential thermal and gamma radiation aging on cross-linked polyethylene (XLPE), which is commonly found in commercial nuclear power plants in the United States. Samples of XLPE were subjected to up to 320 kGy of gamma irradiation at a dose rate of 300 Gy/hr in two heating scenarios. In the first, simultaneously-aged samples were heated at 150°C during irradiation. In the second, sequentially aged samples were heated at 150°C for designated durations followed by corresponding periods of irradiation without heating. The mass, total color difference, and density were characterized to quantify aging of the insulation polymer. Sequential aging is hypothesized to be more damaging to XLPE insulation due to an increased trend in mass gain, total color difference, and density.

Cross-linked polyethylene, XLPE, nuclear cable, ac↗
DOE OSTI2022

Evaluation of PV Module Packaging Strategies of Monofacial and Bifacial PERC Using Degradation Pathway Network Modeling

As the PV industry is rapidly expanding, it is important to thoroughly investigate the long-term impact of packaging strategies on the performance of PV modules. In this study, the variants in sets differ on the basis of manufacturer (A/B), encapsulant (EVA/POE), rear encapsulant (UV-cutoff/opaque/transparent), module architecture (GB/DG) and cell type (monofacial/bifacial). The minimodules were exposed for 2520 hours in modified damp heat, with or without full spectrum light. Every 504 hours, stepwise electrical characterization techniques were employed to track changes in minimodules. Degradation pathway modeling using network structural equation modeling was employed to study pairwise relationships between variables and service lifetime prediction in minimodules. Through this study, differences in quality control are identified in minimodules made by different manufacturers. Minimodules with UV-cutoff rear encapsulant show relatively better stability, whereas the ones with opaque rear encapsulant show greater power loss. In addition, GB having UV-cutoff rear encapsulation and GB with POE having opaque rear encapsulation were identified to be stable as they lack a best model fit. Here, the primary power loss mechanism in degrading variants is interconnect corrosion.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Full Scale 3D Computational Model of the Industrial -Scale Coal Fired Boiler Performance for Temperature Sensor Installation Guidance

Abstract Nearly 30% of the electricity is generated by using coal as the primary fuel in the US. One of the major concerns in coal-fired power plants is the failure of boiler tubes that leads to unscheduled maintenance and has a huge economical and societal impact. High temperature flue gas along with ash pass over the boiler tubes, which over time leads to tube failure. Therefore, developing temperature sensors for harsh environments and install them for temperature sensing and boiler tube lifetime prediction is an urgent need. On the side of sensor development, the location of the sensor installation is important for stable sensing performance and easy calibration. In this study, computational fluid dynamics and heat transfer modeling are adopted to establish a full-scale 3-dimensional model of a coal-fired boiler to investigate the flue gas temperature distribution within the boiler and identify the proper locations for sensor installation. We proposed three criteria to select the temperature sensor installation location: (1) select the boiler tube panel away from the sidewalls, (2) select the boiler tube section closer to the top wall of the boiler; and (3) select the boiler tube on the back of the boiler panel (not directly facing the flue gas flow). In these regions, the flue gas temperature is stable, providing an ideal environment for stable temperature sensing and calibration.

Gupta, Tanuj↗
DOE OSTI2021

Lithium-Ion Battery Life Model with Electrode Cracking and Early-Life Break-in Processes

This paper develops a physically justified reduced-order capacity fade model from accelerated calendar- and cycle-aging data for 32 lithium-ion (Li-ion) graphite/nickel-manganese-cobalt (NMC) cells. The large data set reveals temperature-, charge C-rate-, depth-of-discharge-, and state of charge (SOC)-dependent degradation patterns that would be unobserved in a smaller test matrix. Model structure is informed by incremental capacity analysis that shows loss of lithium inventory and cathode-material loss as the dominant capacity fade mechanisms. The model includes terms attributable to solid-electrolyte interface (SEI) growth, electrode cracking, cycling-driven acceleration of SEI growth, and "break-in" mechanisms that slightly decrease or increase available Li inventory early in life. The study explores what mathematical couplings of these mechanisms best describe calendar aging, cycle aging, and mixed calendar/cycle aging. Various approaches are discussed for extracting relevant stress factors from complex cycling profiles to predict lifetime during real-world battery loads using models trained on constant-current laboratory test results. The complexity of the present human-driven model identification process motivates future work in machine learning to more widely search and statistically discern the optimal model that correctly extrapolates capacity fade based on physical knowledge.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Accelerated beta radiation aging of interlayer titanium nitride in gallium nitride contacts

Currently, there is no good way to determine the influence of the radiation on the aging of betavoltaic electrical contacts. Here, this work tested a method to accelerate the aging of the contacts inside a betavoltaic by enhancing energy deposition within the interfacial region of interest. An electrical contact of gold-titanium on gallium nitride was aged by exposure to tritium betas and electrons in a beamline. The interface stoichiometry was compared to the electrical performance of the contact. The method to age the betavoltaic component could help predict lifetime performance of the internal electrical contacts and provide assurance of deployment reliability.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Uranium-hydrogen reaction mechanism and numerical model

We have developed a numerical model to help predict lifetimes of uranium parts in situations where the uranium surface is exposed to hydrogen in the gas headspace. Assessments can be made based on hydrogen pressure and on an upper limit of size of a surface breached hydride spot (volume of hydride corrosion product produced). The model assumes development of a hydride nucleus at a single arbitrary subsurface location associated with an arbitrary surface defect and follows the development of the hydride nucleus to the break-through phase and further growth to the upper limit of acceptable volume of corrosion product. The model has been developed from an understanding of the hydriding mechanism outlined below in 10 steps and measured rates of hydrogen ingress at several types (chemically) of uranium surfaces at ambient temperature and variable pressure. The key points are 1) that the hydrides nucleate only at locations where a surface defect allows hydrogen ingress (reactant delivery) into the uranium metal subsurface (beyond the oxide), and 2) that the hydrides which eventually reach surface break-through status, nucleate and grow in the near surface (few 10s of micron depth maximum) – those beyond ~50 micron have arrested growth and never reach break-through status.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗
DOE OSTI2021

2020 Report - SRNL Aging and Lifetimes program tritium aging studies on structural alloys

This report documents work performed in calendar year 2020 at SRNL in support of the Aging and Lifetimes program. This work is part of an on-going collaboration between SRNL and SNL to understand tritium embrittlement of structural metals in Gas Transfer System reservoirs which informs lifetime assessments and lifetime predictions. In this effort, test coupons are precharged with tritium and allowed to age in a freezer to minimize tritium egress and allow for born-in helium levels to systematically increase. Coupons are then removed periodically and tested to develop an understanding of how mechanical properties degrade as helium levels increase. This report summarizes test results from coupons which are in various stages of aging as they were tritium precharged in previous years.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Generalizable Mechanistic Understanding of Module-Level Light-Moisture and Thermal-Induced Instabilities in CIGS Photovoltaics (Final Report)

The objectives of this project are to identify the root causes of light, heat and humdity induced instabilities in the operation and accelerated testing of commercial Cu(In,Ga)Se 2 [CIGS] photovoltaic modules produced by major module manufacturers (e.g.: Solibro and MiaSolé), correlate them with module degradation/failure modes, and produce accurate service lifetime prediction models.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

H2 Materials Compatibility of Low Cost, High Pressure, Polymer H2 Dispensing Hoses

NanoSonic was recently awarded a DOE Phase IIB SBIR program for the commercialization of an innovative metal-free polymer based H2 dispensing hose to make H2 an economically viable fuel alternative to gasoline. During the Phase I and Phase II base programs, NanoSonic's H2 hose demonstrated ultra-high hydrostatic burst strength values > 31,000 psi where failure occurred due to fitting slippage, rather than hose burst. Additionally, our hoses survived > 51,000 pressure impulse cycles at 12,000 psi over a thermal cycle of -40 °C to 85 °C. These hoses also failed due to fitting slippage. Thus, our Phase IIB program is centralized on the addition of a new fitting, polymer hose refinement, and validation of a complete hose and fitting system certified for use with H2. While NanoSonic has partnered with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) to test our hose on their robotic H2 dispensing system, we are also seeking durability with the H2 environment at the molecular level. Here, NanoSonic proposes a CRADA with Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), who has expertise in H2 polymer materials compatibility. Together, we will determine the lifetime of our H2 hose polymer and composite constituents via: 1) time-temperature superposition (TTS) studies via dynamic mechanical analysis (DMA) under H2, 2) friction and wear resistance under in situ H2 tribometry, and 3) multi-axis strain testing under cryogenic conditions. PNNL has the unique test equipment essential to gain this type of insight and lifetime prediction data. Importantly, the work conducted under the proposed CRADA will increase the safety and reliability of our H2 hoses while expanding the market for use of our low H2 permeation polymers and durable cryogenic composites to realize the H2@Scale objectives to reduce the cost of H2.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2025

HyBlend Collaborative Research Partnership (CRADA Final Report)

This agreement assembles a multi-lab, multi-industry team to address high-priority research topics related to the blending of hydrogen (H2) into the U.S. natural gas (NG) pipeline network. There are four main research objectives: 1. Compatibility of metals (SNL) – Develop general principles for operation of HyBlend™ delivery systems in the context of structural integrity and assess the role of gas impurities on degradation of metal pipelines. 2. Compatibility of polymers (PNNL) – Assess gas impurities in HyBlend for polymer pipeline degradation and lifetime predictions. 3. Life cycle analysis (LCA) (ANL) – Analyze the life cycle of technology pathways for hydrogen and NG blends, as well as alternative pathways. 4.Techno-economic analysis (TEA) (NREL) – Quantify the costs and opportunities for hydrogen production and blending with the NG network, as well as alternative pathways.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2025

Developing the Science Basis for Understanding Polymer Encapsulant Degradation Mechanisms: DuraMAT 2.0 Final Project Report

Polymeric encapsulants are essential materials in photovoltaic modules, protecting sensitive electronics from the environment while providing mechanical integrity to the multilayered assembly. However, these polymeric materials are susceptible to degradation processes driven by the ingress of environmental species, ultraviolet radiation, thermal stresses, and mechanical loading. In this study, we employ a combined atomistic simulation and accelerated aging experimental approach to study the molecular-scale mechanisms of encapsulant degradation. Classical molecular dynamics simulations quantify the diffusion of environmental and degradation species through the polymer matrix, producing composition-specific diffusion coefficients. Reactive simulations characterize activation energy barriers and reaction rate constants for key chemical pathways. In parallel, thermal-desorption analyses coupled with mass spectrometry monitor the emergence and concentration profiles of degradation products under controlled stressor conditions. By integrating simulation and experiment, we establish quantitative correlations between polymer composition, species diffusivity, and chemical reactivity. We anticipate that these relations and quantitative values could serve as high-fidelity inputs to reaction-diffusion models, enabling physics-informed lifetime predictions and guiding the design of more durable encapsulant materials for solar energy applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Nucleon decay search with DUNE

Grand Unification and Supersymmetry are appealing theories that offer solutions to important problems of modern physics. A key prediction of both theories is the decay of protons and bound neutrons, for which no evidence has been found yet. The dominant proton decay mode in favored supersymmetric theories is $p \rightarrow \bar{\nu} K^+$ and the predicted lifetimes range between $10^{32} - 10^{35} \, \text{years}$. In this report, a sensitivity study for $p \rightarrow \bar{\nu} K^+$ is presented for the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE). At an exposure of $400 \, \text{kiloton} \cdot \text{years}$, DUNE will be able to constrain the proton lifetime to $\tau / \text{Br} \left( p \rightarrow \bar{\nu} K^+ \right) > 1.3 \times 10^{34} \, \text{years}$ at $90 \, \%$ confidence level if no proton decay is observed.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗