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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 73 records · Page 4

Caught in headlights: Captive white-tailed deer responses to variations in vehicle lighting during imminent collision scenarios

Vehicle collisions with deer (Odocoileus spp.) cause billions of dollars in damages and injure thousands of drivers every year in the United States, and few mitigation methods have proven effective. However, recent research suggests that vehicle lighting might influence white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus; hereafter, deer) responses to oncoming vehicles. Most new vehicles are manufactured with light emitting diode (LED) headlights which differ in total radiance and wavelength of light emitted compared to the previous industry standard of tungstenhalogen (halogen) headlights. Also, frontal vehicle illumination through rear-facing lighting has shown promise in enhancing deer responses to vehicles, but its effectiveness has not been tested under various headlight conditions (headlight type or intensity). As such, it remains unclear how these aspects of vehicle lighting affect deer responses to an approaching vehicle. We used 23 captive, wild-type deer to investigate how variations in vehicle lighting affect deer responses to an approaching vehicle at night, when most collisions occur. We released deer into a 95 m long, 3 m wide chute and approached them from the opposite end with an electric golf cart outfitted with two versions of stock 2017–2020 Ford Fusion headlights (LED and halogen) and a 51 cm rear-facing lightbar to test how vehicle lighting affected deer avoidance behaviors in an imminent, head-on collision scenario. Each deer received eight lighting treatments consisting of unique combinations of headlight type (LED vs. halogen), light intensity (low vs. high beam), and rear-facing lighting (lightbar off vs. on). We measured deer alert and flight behavior using infrared videography. We found that the halogen, high beam, lightbar off treatment had the greatest probability of evoking an alert response. Furthermore, when the lightbar was off, high beams appeared to increase alert probability for halogen headlights. Also, we found evidence that high beam, halogen headlights tend to increase alert probability over high beam, LED headlights, when the lighbar was off. We found no effect of our lighting treatments on deer alert distance, flight probability, or flight initiation distance. Across all behavioral responses, the random effect deer ID explained 0.86–9.19 × more variation than our lighting treatments, reflecting large differences in responses among deer. Overall, we found that vehicle lighting can impact deer behavior during an imminent, head-on collision scenario, although lighting was ineffective at increasing favorable flight behaviors. Future research should investigate how vehicle lighting treatments affect free-ranging, wild deer in a variety of real-world scenarios and at longer approach distances.

White-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) Deer be↗

Extending the Operating Envelope for an Extremely Low NOx Axial Stage Combustion System

The overall goal of this program is to develop a low NOx combustion system which enables a gas turbine combined cycle efficiency of > 65%. The proposed combustion system is a combination of three advanced technologies under development by the Recipient: advanced transition design, the Distributed Combustion System (DCS), and advanced head end. Of note is that the DCS and advanced transition were initially developed with DOE funding under previous Cooperative Agreements. The continued development of these designs has resulted in a proof of concept design which was successfully tested in the Recipient’s state-of-the-art high-pressure rig. The initial rig testing indicated a substantial benefit with respect to high firing temperature operation as well as low NOx operation for the advanced transition and the DCS. Even lower NOx and higher firing temperatures are possible with the addition of the advanced head end to the design. Potential hurdles to the combustion design have been identified, such as high pressure drop and acoustics. The goal of this program is to develop variations of this design which address these hurdles and create an optimized design for implementation into the Recipient’s new high efficiency gas turbine engine.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Impact of Nozzle Condition on Powder Catchment Efficiency for Coaxial Powder Direct Energy Deposition

Blown powder directed energy deposition is well-designed for fine resolution additive manufacturing processing. Coaxial powder deposition heads use an outer layer of shielding gas directed by an outer nozzle to prevent oxidation occurring during the powder melting process. Powder blown feedstock catchment efficiency can be as low as 50-80% whereas wire deposition systems are closer to 98% efficient. The present study evaluates the impact of directed energy deposition nozzle condition on catchment efficiency. Changes in the overall outer shielding gas nozzle length has been found to increase material usage efficiency by 10% through convergence of the powder flow. The results of this experiment show that for coaxial powder deposition head design, if the standoff distance can safely be decreased, powder catchment efficiency can be increased as the outer shielding gas nozzle is increased in length, or the standoff distance is decreased.

Heinrich, Lauren↗

Impact of Nozzle Condition on Powder Catchment Efficiency for Coaxial Powder Direct Energy Deposition

Blown powder directed energy deposition is well-designed for fine resolution additive manufacturing processing. Coaxial powder deposition heads use an outer layer of shielding gas directed by an outer nozzle to prevent oxidation occurring during the powder melting process. Powder blown feedstock catchment efficiency can be as low as 50-80% whereas wire deposition systems are closer to 98% efficient. The present study evaluates the impact of directed energy deposition nozzle condition on catchment efficiency. Changes in the overall outer shielding gas nozzle length has been found to increase material usage efficiency by 10% through convergence of the powder flow. The results of this experiment show that for coaxial powder deposition head design, if the standoff distance can safely be decreased, powder catchment efficiency can be increased as the outer shielding gas nozzle is increased in length, or the standoff distance is decreased.

Heinrich, Lauren↗

Enabling human–infrastructure interfaces for inspection using augmented reality

Decaying infrastructure maintenance cost allocation depends heavily on accurate and safe inspection in the field. New tools to conduct inspections can assist in prioritizing investments in maintenance and repairs. The industrial revolution termed as “Industry 4.0” is based on the intelligence of machines working with humans in a collaborative workspace. Contrarily, infrastructure management has relied on the human for making day-to-day decisions. New emerging technologies can assist during infrastructure inspections, to quantify structural condition with more objective data. However, today’s owners agree in trusting the inspector’s decision in the field over data collected with sensors. If data collected in the field is accessible during the inspections, the inspector decisions can be improved with sensors. New research opportunities in the human–infrastructure interface would allow researchers to improve the human awareness of their surrounding environment during inspections. This article studies the role of Augmented Reality (AR) technology as a tool to increase human awareness of infrastructure in their inspection work. The domains of interest of this research include both infrastructure inspections (emphasis on the collection of data of structures to inform management decisions) and emergency management (focus on the data collection of the environment to inform human actions). This article describes the use of a head-mounted device to access real-time data and information during their field inspection. The authors leverage the use of low-cost smart sensors and QR code scanners integrated with Augmented Reality applications for augmented human interface with the physical environment. This article presents a novel interface architecture for developing Augmented Reality–enabled inspection to assist the inspector’s workflow in conducting infrastructure inspection works with two new applications and summarizes the results from various experiments. The main contributions of this work to computer-aided community are enabling inspectors to visualize data files from database and real-time data access using an Augmented Reality environment.

Maharjan, D.↗

A Design Method for Low-Pressure Venturi Nozzles

The purpose of this work is to provide empirical design models for low-pressure, subsonic Venturi nozzles. Experimentally validated simulations were used to determine the effect of nozzle geometry and operating conditions on the suction ratio (ratio of suction mass flow rate to motive mass flow rate) of low-pressure, subsonic Venturi nozzles, over a wide range of geometries and operating conditions, through a parametric study. The results of the parametric study were used to develop seven empirical models, each with a different range of applicability or calculating a different indicator of nozzle performance (i.e., suction ratio, momentum ratio, or dynamic pressure ratio), of the Venturi nozzles using a constrained multi-variable global optimization method. Of the seven empirical models, the best models were found to be those for low- (less than one) and high-suction ratios (greater than one), with mean absolute percentage errors of 5% and 18%, respectively. These empirical models provide a design tool for subsonic, low-pressure Venturi nozzles that is more than an order of magnitude more accurate than a governing equation approach or conventional flow head calculations. These newly-developed empirical models can be applied for initial nozzle design when precise suction ratios are required.

O’Hern, Hannah↗

Fiber-optic bolometer with low detection limit fabricated using thermal release tape and precise laser heating

Fiber-optic bolometers (FOBs) based on a fiber-tipped silicon Fabry–Perot (FP) interferometric temperature sensor and a gold disk absorber have been shown to be an attractive alternative to conventional resistive bolometers for plasma radiation measurement in fusion devices. Either a high-finesse FP or a low-finesse FP can be used, each with trade-offs between noise performance and fabrication complexity. In this paper, we present an FOB design that overcomes these limitations by combining a low-finesse long silicon FP cavity with a large gold disk absorber to achieve enhanced sensitivity and noise performance without increasing the fabrication complexity and the time constant. We also demonstrated a fabrication method for the sensor head facilitated by thermal release tape and precise laser heating. Our FOB demonstrates a temperature resolution of 0.08 mK, a cooling time constant of 230 ms, and a noise equivalent power density of 0.015 W m −2 . This represents an eightfold improvement over previous high-finesse FOBs and 26-fold improvement over previous low-finesse FOBs with similar demodulation bandwidths and similar cooling time constants.

Fabry–Perot interferometer↗

Demystifying Solar in WAP

Over the last two years, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory has identified the pathways for implementing solar in the Weatherization Assistance Program and Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program and practices for successful implementation. Learn about successful implementation models from around the network and the new resources that can give you a head start in planning solar into your program, including a demonstration of tools to help evaluate solar potential and cost-effectiveness at the household level, as well as a new tool from the U.S. Department of Energy National Community Solar Partnership to help connect households receiving LIHEAP assistance to community solar subscriptions that guarantee energy bill savings.

ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY,SOLAR ENERGY↗

Improving to the neutron fluence rate monitor measurement system at the Advanced Test Reactor [Poster]

The existing fluence monitor wire scanning system at the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) was designed and installed for use in the Engineering Test Reactor (ETR) when it began operation in 1958. The wire scanner was operated in ETR for over 20 years until ATR began operation, when it was moved to the ATR west canal area in 1971 and subsequently moved to the west canal in 2006 where it presently resides. With a continued service life of 65 years the system is well beyond the typical design life of 20 years for these types of systems. The need to update the data acquisition and control system was identified, and the benefits of replacing the existing sodium iodide (NaI) detector with an electronically cooled high-purity germanium (HPGe) detector are discussed. The wirescanner system in the ATR canal is utilized after every reactor cycle by the ATR Radiation Measurements Laboratory (RML) to assess the activation of cobalt and nickel dosimeter wires during the cycle. These wires become activated through exposure to thermal and fast neutrons respectively during the irradiation cycle and are highly radioactive upon shutdown. It is for this reason that the wirescanner is used in the ATR canal rather than transporting the dosimeters to another facility. A scoping study was performed to develop a base-line design to ensure that existing capabilities could be replaced with a new system. The new hardware will enable automated measuring of several flux monitor holders without necessitating the removal of the flux wires. In this way, flux wire measurements will be performed with minimal dose to the technicians and will not be limited by canal operations as is presently the case. The new control and acquisition software will be based on commercially available and supported systems that have a wide user-base to provide long-term stability. An electronically cooled HPGe detector will be used to provide high-resolution gamma-ray measurements, an improvement from the low-resolution sodium-iodide detector that is presently deployed. The electronic cooler eliminates the need for liquid nitrogen to cool the detector head. A new collimator has been designed to house the new detector and allow for sufficient counting rates.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Transcriptome analysis and immune gene expression of channel catfish ( Ictalurus punctatus ) fed diets with inclusion of frass from black soldier fly larvae

The larval waste, exoskeleton shedding, and leftover feed components of the black soldier fly and its larvae make up the by-product known as frass. In this study, we subjected channel catfish (Ictalurus punctatus) to a 10-week feeding trial to assess how different dietary amounts of frass inclusion would affect both systemic and mucosal tissue gene expression, especially in regard to growth and immune-related genes. Fish were divided in quadruplicate aquaria, and five experimental diets comprising 0, 50, 100, 200, and 300 g of frass per kilogram of feed were fed twice daily. At the end of the trial, liver, head kidney, gill, and intestine samples were collected for gene expression analyses. First, liver and intestine samples from fish fed with a no frass inclusion diet (control), low-frass (50 g/kg) inclusion diet, or a high-frass (300 g/kg) inclusion diet were subjected to Illumina RNA sequencing to determine global differential gene expression among diet groups. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) included the upregulation of growth-related genes such as glucose-6-phosphatase and myostatin, as well as innate immune receptors and effector molecules such as toll-like receptor 5, apolipoprotein A1, C-type lectin, and lysozyme. Based on the initial screenings of low/high frass using RNA sequencing, a more thorough evaluation of immune gene expression of all tissues sampled, and all levels of frass inclusion, was further conducted. Using targeted quantitative PCR panels for both innate and adaptive immune genes from channel catfish, differential expression of genes was identified, which included innate receptors (TLR1, TLR5, TLR9, and TLR20A), proinflammatory cytokines (IL-1β type a, IL-1β type b, IL-17, IFN-γ, and TNFα), chemokines (CFC3 and CFD), and hepcidin in both systemic (liver and head kidney) and mucosal (gill and intestine) tissues. Overall, frass from black soldier fly larvae inclusion in formulated diets was found to alter global gene expression and activate innate and adaptive immunity in channel catfish, which has the potential to support disease resistance in this species in addition to demonstrated growth benefits.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Hydrogen ejection from hydrocarbons: Characterization and relevance in soot formation and interstellar chemistry

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) play a major role in the chemistry of combustion, pyrolysis, and the interstellar medium. Production (or activation) of radical PAHs and propagation of their resulting reactions require efficient dehydrogenation, but the preferred method of hydrogen loss is not well understood. Unimolecular hydrogen ejection (i.e., direct C─H bond fission) and bimolecular radical abstraction are two main candidate pathways. We performed a computational study to characterize the role of H ejection, particularly as a driver for radical-centric hydrocarbon-growth mechanisms and particle formation. Electronic structure calculations establish that C─H bond strengths span a broad range of energies, which can be weaker than 30 kcal/mol in some C 9 and C 13 PAH radicals. At T > 1200 K, calculated thermal rates for hydrogen ejection from weak C─H bonds at zigzag sites on PAH radicals are significantly larger than typical H-abstraction rates. These results are highly relevant in the context of chain reactions of radical species and soot inception under fuel-rich combustion conditions. Furthermore, calculated microcanonical rates that include the additional internal energy released by bond formation (e.g., ring closure to yield C 9 H 9 ) yield significantly higher rates than those associated with full thermalization. These microcanonical considerations are relevant to the astrochemical processes associated with hydrocarbon growth and processing in the low-density interstellar environment.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Seismic Imaging of the Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest Earthquake Rupture Zone From Data Recorded by Dense Linear Arrays

Abstract We analyze seismograms recorded by four arrays (B1–B4) with 100 m station spacing and apertures of 4–8 km that cross the surface rupture of the 2019 Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake. The arrays extend from B1 in the northwest to B4 in the southeast of the surface rupture. Delay times between P wave arrivals associated with ∼1,200 local earthquakes and four teleseismic events are used to estimate local velocity variations beneath the arrays. Both teleseismic and local P waves travel faster on the northeast than the southwest side of the fault beneath arrays B1 and B4, but the velocity contrast is less reliably resolved at arrays B2 and B3. We identify several 1–2 km wide low‐velocity zones with much slower inner cores that amplify S waveforms, inferred as damage zones, beneath each array. The damage zones at arrays B2 and B4 also generate fault‐zone head and trapped waves. An automated detector, based on peak ground velocities and durations of high‐amplitude waves, identifies candidate fault‐zone trapped waves (FZTWs) in a localized zone for ∼600 earthquakes at array B4. Synthetic waveform modeling of averaged FZTWs, generated by ∼30 events with high‐quality signals, indicates that the trapping structure at array B4 has a width of ∼300 m, depth of 3–5 km, S wave velocity reduction of ∼20% with respect to the surrounding rock, Q ‐value of ∼30, and S wave velocity contrast of ∼4% across the fault (faster on the northeast side). The results show complex fault‐zone internal structures (velocity contrasts and low‐velocity zones) that vary along fault strike.

Qiu, Hongrui↗

A protective and broadly binding antibody class engages the influenza virus hemagglutinin head at its stem interface

ABSTRACT Influenza infection and vaccination impart strain-specific immunity that protects against neither seasonal antigenic variants nor the next pandemic. However, antibodies directed to conserved sites can confer broad protection. Here, we identify and characterize a class of human antibodies that engage a previously undescribed, conserved epitope on the influenza hemagglutinin (HA) protein. Prototype antibody S8V1-157 binds at the normally occluded interface between the HA head and stem. Antibodies to this HA head–stem interface epitope are non-neutralizingin vitrobut protect against lethal influenza infection in mice. These antibodies bind to most influenza A subtypes and seasonal human variants, and are present at low frequencies in the memory B cell populations of multiple human donors. Vaccines designed to elicit these antibodies might contribute to “universal” influenza immunity. IMPORTANCE Antibodies to the influenza virus hemagglutinin (HA) protein confer the strongest protection against infection. Human antibodies elicited by infection and/or vaccination fail to protect against antigenically novel animal, pandemic, or human seasonal viruses. Improved vaccines are needed. We identify a novel class of antibodies that bind most divergent HA subtypes and all seasonal human HA antigenic variants tested. These antibodies confer protection from lethal influenza challenge in animal models. The corresponding epitope on the HA head is occluded by its interaction with the stem and is inaccessible in the well-resolved prefusion state. The immunogenicity of this head–stem interface indicates that poorly understood conformations of HA presenting widely conserved surfaces are explored in biochemical, cell-based, andin vivoassays. Head–stem interface antibodies warrant further investigation as an avenue to improve influenza vaccines and therapeutics.

Microbiology↗

Fast myosin binding protein C knockout in skeletal muscle alters length-dependent activation and myofilament structure

In striated muscle, the sarcomeric protein myosin-binding protein-C (MyBP-C) is bound to the myosin thick filament and is predicted to stabilize myosin heads in a docked position against the thick filament, which limits crossbridge formation. Here, we use the homozygous Mybpc2 knockout (C2 -/- ) mouse line to remove the fast-isoform MyBP-C from fast skeletal muscle and then conduct mechanical functional studies in parallel with small-angle X-ray diffraction to evaluate the myofilament structure. We report that C2 -/- fibers present deficits in force production and calcium sensitivity. Structurally, passive C2 -/- fibers present altered sarcomere length-independent and -dependent regulation of myosin head conformations, with a shift of myosin heads towards actin. At shorter sarcomere lengths, the thin filament is axially extended in C2 -/- , which we hypothesize is due to increased numbers of low-level crossbridges. These findings provide testable mechanisms to explain the etiology of debilitating diseases associated with MyBP-C.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Low Latency and High Data Rate (LLHD) Scheduler: A Multipath TCP Scheduler for Dynamic and Heterogeneous Networks

The scheduler is a crucial component of the multipath transmission control protocol (MPTCP) that dictates the path that a data packet takes. Schedulers are in charge of delivering data packets in the right order to prevent delays caused by head-of-line blocking. The modern Internet is a complicated network whose characteristics change in real-time. MPTCP schedulers are supposed to understand the real-time properties of the underlying network, such as latency, path loss, and capacity, in order to make appropriate scheduling decisions. However, the present scheduler does not take into account all of these characteristics together, resulting in lower performance. We present the low latency and high data rate (LLHD) scheduler, which successfully makes scheduling decisions based on real-time information on latency, path loss, and capacity, and achieves around 25% higher throughput and 45% lower data transmission delay than Linux’s default MPTCP scheduler.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

High-resolution ultra-low field magnetic resonance imaging with a high-sensitivity sensing coil

We present high-resolution magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) at ultra-low field (ULF) with a proton Larmor frequency of around 120 kHz. The key element is a specially designed high-sensitivity sensing coil in the shape of a solenoid with a few millimeter gap between windings to decrease the proximity effect and, hence, increase the coil’s quality ([Formula: see text]) factor and sensitivity. External noise is strongly suppressed by enclosing the sensing coil in a copper cylindrical shield, large enough not to negatively affect the coil’s [Formula: see text] factor and sensitivity, measured to be 217 and 0.47 fT/Hz[Formula: see text], respectively. To enhance small polarization of proton spins at ULF, a strong pulsed 0.1 T prepolarization field is applied, making the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of ULF MRI sufficient for high-quality imaging in a short time. We demonstrate ULF MRI of a copper sulfate solution phantom with a resolution of [Formula: see text] and SNR of 10. The acquisition time is 6.3 min without averaging. The sensing coil size in the current realization can accommodate imaging objects of 9 cm in size, sufficient for hand, and it can be further increased for human head imaging in the future. Since the in-plane resolution of [Formula: see text] is typical in anatomical medical imaging, this ULF MRI method can be an alternative low-cost, rapid, portable method for anatomical medical imaging of the human body or animals. This ULF MRI method can supplement other MRI methods, especially when such methods are restricted due to high cost, portability requirement, imaging artifacts, and other factors.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Heat Based Power Augmentation for Modular Pumped Hydro Storage in Smart Buildings Operation

In the U.S., building sector is responsible for around 40% of total energy consumption and contributes about 40% of carbon emissions since 2012. Within the past several years, various optimization models and control strategies have been studied to improve buildings energy efficiency and reduce operational expenses under the constraints of satisfying occupants’ comfort requirements. However, the majority of these studies consider building electricity demand and thermal load being satisfied by unidirectional electricity flow from the power grid or on-site renewable energy generation to electrical and thermal home appliances. Opportunities for leveraging low grade heat for electricity have largely been overlooked due to impracticality at small scale. In 2016, a modular pumped hydro storage technology was invented in Oak Ridge National Laboratory, named Ground Level Integrated Diverse Energy Storage (GLIDES). In GLIDES, employing high efficiency hydraulic machinery instead of gas compressor/turbine, liquid is pumped to compress gas inside high-pressure vessel creating head on ground-level. This unique design eliminates the geographical limitation associated with existing state of the art energy storage technologies. It is easy to be scaled for building level, community level and grid level applications. Using this novel hydro-pneumatic storage technology, opportunities for leveraging low-grade heat in building can be economical. In this research, the potential of utilizing low-grade thermal energy to augment electricity generation of GLIDES is investigated. Since GLIDES relies on gas expansion in the discharge process and the gas temperature drops during this non-isothermal process, available thermal energy, e.g. from thermal storage, Combined Cooling, Heat and Power system (CCHP), can be utilized by GLIDES to counter the cooling effect of the expansion process and elevate the gas temperature and pressure and boost the roundtrip efficiency. Several groups of comparison experiments have been conducted and the experimental results show that a maximum 12.9% cost saving could be achieved with unlimited heat source for GLIDES, and a moderate 3.8% cost improvement can be expected when operated coordinately with CCHP and thermal energy storage in a smart building.

Chen, Yang↗

Probabilistic Groundwater Modeling of the RDX Plume at Los Alamos National Laboratory to Support Risk Assessment - 20359

A plume of the contaminant hexahydro-1,3,5-trinitro-1,3,5-triazine (RDX) with concentrations greater than the New Mexico tap water drinking standard (9.66 ppb) is present in the regional aquifer near the southwestern boundary of Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). A risk assessment is performed for exposure to regional aquifer groundwater, with long-term predictions of RDX concentrations provided by a calibrated, probabilistic, numerical fate and transport model. The structure of the model is hierarchical, with the RDX Regional Aquifer (RA) groundwater model acting as the primary tool for analysis of downgradient RDX concentrations. The RA model is deeply informed by the conceptual site model (CSM) and is calibrated using site RDX concentration data and hydraulic head measurements, along with other analyses. The model is calibrated using data through December 2019. Where data are scarce other lines of evidence are used to inform inputs, including the multiphase RDX Vadose Zone (VZ) model and Pipe and Disk analytical screening tool. Model inputs are described with informative prior distributions using a robust approach to development that incorporates all available lines of evidence for every parameter used as an input to the RA model. Calibration is performed using a classical nonlinear optimization routine, which is then used to initialize a Bayesian calibration. The Bayesian calibration constrains the uncertainty in the classical calibration, ultimately providing posterior distributions for all model parameters. The challenges of the calibration include high-dimensional parameter space, including spatially heterogeneous hydraulic conductivities, comparatively sparse data, and low RDX concentrations. Posterior parameter distributions developed in the calibration process are then used for stochastic predictive model runs into the future. The result of the forward runs is spatially and temporally explicit estimates of head and concentration with uncertainty at all points in space and time. The probabilistic modeling approach presented here includes innovative computational and statistical methods that leverage high-performance computing (HPC) resources. It makes use of prior modeling work performed at the chromium plume site in the central LANL area, with extensive updates. The risk assessment will ultimately be used to support decision-making at the site, using multiple appropriately weighted sources of information, as well as uncertainty, sensitivity, and value-of-information analyses. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗