Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “predictive simulation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 73 records · Page 4

Numerical assessment of the impact of the guiding-centre approximation on fast ion simulations in NSTX

Guiding-centre (GC) and full-orbit (FO) simulations of the beam-injected fast ion distribution and the corresponding neutron emissivity have been carried out for magnetohydrodynamics-quiescent National Spherical Torus eXperiment (NSTX) plasmas, using a combination of ASCOT5 and DRESS, to assess the suitability of the GC approximation for fast ions in NSTX. It was found that GC and FO simulations predicted substantially different steady-state distributions in both position and velocity space and different neutron emissivity profiles, leading to a 15% reduction in the predicted global neutron rate for FO relative to GC. These changes accompany a higher magnetic moment in FO, and correspond to a change in particle orbits from co-passing to trapped and stagnation orbits. ASCOT5 was also benchmarked against TRANSP/NUBEAM with input loaded entirely from TRANSP/NUBEAM output files, with agreement found between the GC simulations when finite Larmor radius (FLR) corrections were omitted. ASCOT5 FO and TRANSP/NUBEAM with FLR produced fast ion distributions which differed in localised regions, but predicted global neutron rates which agree within 3%.

ASCOT↗

Discrete-Element and Material-Point Method (DEM and MPM) Based Solvers for Sustainable Technologies

We present the use of discrete element method (DEM) and material point method (MPM) in three relevant green technology applications that include biomass feedstock handling, lithium-ion battery manufacturing, and high-pressure reverse osmosis. Our open-source DEM and MPM solvers are developed using performance portable grid and particle management library, AMReX, thus enabling superior performance on NVIDIA and AMD GPUs with > 100 million particles. Our DEM solver resolves the motion of individual particles in a granular system and includes a bonded sphere method for modeling non-spherical particles along with Hertzian and liquid bridge-based contact models. We simulate highly variable biomass feedstock flows in large-scale hoppers for biofuel production and electrode calendering in battery manufacturing using DEM. Our simulations predict flow blockage in large scale biomass hoppers and electrode microstructure variations, thus providing valuable information for biofuel and battery manufacturers, respectively. The second half of the talk will be on MPM and its application towards pore resolved simulations of reverse osmosis membranes under compressive loads. We present a validation study of our MPM simulations with membrane microscopy imaging thus providing useful insights on membrane stability under high pressure conditions. We also present a spectral stability analysis of using linear hat, quadratic and cubic spline basis in MPM indicating regions of numerical stability.

BIOMASS FUELS,MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Super-X and conventional divertor configurations in MAST-U ohmic L-mode; a comparison facilitated by interpretative modelling

Measurements are presented, alongside corresponding interpretative SOLPS-ITER simulations, of the first MAST-U experiments comparing ohmically heated L-mode fuelling scans in Conventional divertor (CD) and Super-X divertor (SXD) configurations. In experiment, at comparable outer mid-plane separatrix electron density, $n_{e,\textrm{sep,OMP}}$, the maximum lower outer target heat load was found to be a factor 16 $\,\pm\,7$ lower in SXD compared to CD. In simulation, a factor 26.8 reduction was found (slightly higher than the experimental range), suggesting an additional reduction in SXD compared to the factor 9.3 expected from geometric considerations alone. According to the simulations, this additional reduction in the SXD is due to a net radial transport of the energy remaining downstream of the $T_e = 5$ eV location. This energy is carried out of the critical (highest heat load) flux tube by deuterium atoms, demonstrating the importance of a longer legged divertor which provides space for this to occur. Importantly, in both simulation and experiment, the SXD has minimal impact on the upstream n e and T e profiles. Spectral inferences of detachment front movement in SXD compare well between simulation and experiment. In regions of high magnetic field gradient, the parallel movement of the front towards the X-point becomes less sensitive to increasing $n_{e,\textrm{sep,OMP}}$, in qualitative agreement with simplified models and previous predictive simulations. Additional aspects, regarding the target ion flux rollover, upstream separatrix temperature and drift effects, are also presented and discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Application of a temporal multiscale method for efficient simulation of degradation in PEM Water Electrolysis under dynamic operating conditions

Hydrogen is emerging as a vital energy carrier, driven by the need to reduce carbon emissions. Proton Electrolyte Membrane Water Electrolysis (PEMWE) enables hydrogen production under fluctuating renewable power conditions but requires improved understanding and stability of the anode catalyst layer under dynamic operating conditions, especially with low noble metal loadings. Long-term degradation experiments are both time-consuming and costly; therefore, a systematic, model-aided approach is essential. In the present work, a temporal multiscale method is applied to reduce the computational effort of simulating long-term degradation processes in PEMWE, with an exemplary focus on catalyst dissolution. A mechanistic model incorporating the oxygen evolution reaction, catalyst dissolution, and hydrogen permeation from the cathode to the anode was hypothesized and implemented. In this way, the local periodicity of transport and reaction processes in dynamic PEMWE operation, which influence the gradual degradation of the catalyst layer, is captured. The temporal multiscale method significantly reduces the computational effort of simulation, decreasing processing time from hours to mere minutes. This efficiency gain is attributed to the limited evolution of Slow-Scale variables during each period of time P of the Fast-Scale variables. Consequently, simulation is required only until local periodicity is achieved within each Slow-Scale time step. Hence, the fully resolved dynamic problem is decoupled into these two scales, employing a heterogeneous multiscale technique. The developed approach effectively accelerates parameter estimation and predictive simulations, supporting systematic modeling of PEMWE degradation under dynamic conditions.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Cloud radiative effects significantly increase wintertime atmospheric blocking in the Euro-Atlantic sector

Reliable simulation, prediction, and complete theoretical understanding of atmospheric blocking remain challenging despite its significant socio-economic impacts. Generations of climate models have notoriously underestimated blocking frequency, particularly over the Euro-Atlantic sector. Identifying factors controlling blocking frequency and dynamics is therefore essential for improving its simulation. Here, using a cloud-locking experiment, we show that cloud radiative effects (CREs) significantly increase the frequency of Euro-Atlantic blocking. CREs enhance upstream diabatic source of wave activity, both directly through longwave heating and indirectly through their feedback on latent heating, with the latter playing the dominant role. The resulting increase in the upstream diabatic source feeds into local wave activity downstream and promotes blocking formation. Qualitatively similar results are shown by multi-model experiments with radiatively inactive clouds to longwave radiation, albeit with a larger impact from mean-state changes. The results underscore the necessity of accurately representing cloud-radiation interactions in weather and climate models for improved prediction of blocking events.

Atmospheric dynamics↗

Theoretical Insights into Reaction-Induced Transformation and Tuning of Catalytic Behavior in Heterogenous Catalysis

Reaction-induced transformations in heterogenous catalysis represent diverse phenomena that challenge traditional views of static catalyst surfaces. From surface adsorbate dynamics, atomic rearrangements, to composition and phase transitions, these processes reveal the profound differences between idealized model systems under ultrahigh vacuum and the complex, evolving interfaces that govern real catalytic behaviors under reaction conditions. Here, this perspective reviews recent theoretical efforts to provide atomic-level mechanistic insights into significant reaction-induced transformations and their impact on catalytic activity and selectivity. It underscores the need for an integrated framework that combines predictive simulations with operando characterization to uncover active sites and mechanisms under realistic operating conditions. Achieving this requires accelerating existing simulations to fully capture diverse reaction-induced surface dynamics, enabling scalable and accurate modeling of catalysts as condition-dependent, dynamically evolving systems. Such approaches are critical to bridge the gap between theory and practice, offering a pathway to more impactful and predictive catalyst design.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Molecular Modes Elucidate the Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Relaxation of Viscous Fluids

The Bloembergen, Purcell, and Pound (BPP) theory of nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) relaxation in fluids dating back to 1948 continues to be the linchpin in interpreting NMR relaxation data in applications ranging from characterizing fluids in porous media to medical imaging (MRI). The BPP theory is founded on assuming molecules are hard spheres with 1 H– 1 H dipole pairs reorienting randomly; assumptions that are severe in light of modern understanding of liquids. Nevertheless, it is intriguing to this day that the BPP theory was consistent with the original experimental data for glycerol, a hydrogen-bonding molecular fluid for which the hard-sphere-rigid-dipole assumption is inapplicable. To better understand this incongruity, atomistic molecular simulations are used to compute 1 H NMR T 1 relaxation dispersion (i.e., frequency dependence) in two contrasting cases: glycerol, and a (non hydrogen-bonding) viscosity standard. At high viscosities, simulations predict distinct functional forms of T 1 for glycerol compared to the viscosity standard, in agreement with modern measurements, yet both in contrast to BPP theory. The cause of these departures from BPP theory is elucidated, without assuming any relaxation models and without any free parameters, by decomposing the simulated T 1 response into dynamic molecular modes for both intramolecular and intermolecular interactions. The decomposition into dynamic molecular modes provides an alternative framework to understand the physics of NMR relaxation for viscous fluids.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

On-lattice kinetic Monte Carlo approaches for modeling molecular anisotropy in resveratrol crystallization

Stilbenes are a class of organic compounds with broad-ranging pharmaceutical and agricultural applications, which are typically isolated and purified through recrystallization. We are motivated by reducing experimental waste and optimizing yield via developing predictive simulations for processing-dependent crystal morphologies. Using resveratrol as a model stilbene system, we have developed an approach for simulating crystallization with molecular resolution using on-lattice kinetic Monte Carlo. In this work, we highlight modifications to the Stochastic Parallel PARticle Kinetic Simulator (SPPARKS) software package, which were essential to this application. Key enhancements include the incorporation of non-orthogonal cell shapes and monomer anisotropy approximations using bound hard spheres. This new SPPARKS application has been applied to resveratrol with attachment energy libraries obtained from density functional theory, resulting in excellent agreement with experimental morphology prediction.

crystallization↗

Data Science Shows that Entropy Correlates with Accelerated Zeolite Crystallization in Monte Carlo Simulations

We have performed a data science study of Monte Carlo simulation trajectories to understand factors that can accelerate formation of zeolite nanoporous crystals, a process that can take days or even weeks. In previous work, Monte Carlo simulations predicted and experiments confirmed that using a secondary organic structure-directing agent (OSDA) accelerates crystallization of all-silica LTA zeolite, with experiments finding a three-fold speedup [PCCP 24, 142-148 (2022)]. However, it remains unclear what physical factors cause the speed-up. Here, we apply data science to analyze the simulation trajectories to discover what drives accelerated zeolite crystallization in Monte Carlo going from a one-OSDA synthesis (1OSDA) to a two-OSDA version (2OSDA). We encoded simulation snapshots using the Smooth Overlap of Atomic Positions approach, which represents all 2- and 3-body correlations within a given cutoff distance. Principal component analyses failed to discriminate datasets of structures from 1OSDA and 2OSDA simulations, while the Support Vector Machine (SVM) approach succeeded at classifying such structures with an area-under-curve (AUC) score of 0.99 (where AUC = 1 is a perfect classification) with all 3-body correlations, and as high as 0.94 with only 2-body correlations. SVM decision functions reveal relatively broad / narrow histograms for 1OSDA / 2OSDA datasets, suggesting that the two simulations differ strongly in information heterogeneity. Informed by these results, we performed pair (2-body) entropy calculations during crystallization, resulting in entropy differences that semi-quantitatively account for the speedup observed in the previous Monte Carlo simulations. We conclude that altering synthesis conditions in ways that substantially changes the entropy of labile silica networks may accelerate zeolite crystallization, and we discuss possible approaches for achieving such acceleration.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Validation of SOLPS-ITER and EDGE2D-EIRENE simulations for H, D, and T JET ITER-like wall low-confinement mode plasmas

Both experiments and simulations with SOLPS-ITER and EDGE2D-EIRENE show that the onset of detachment for the low-field side (LFS) divertor – defined here as the line-averaged upstream density (〈n e 〉 edge ) at which the plasma flux to the LFS target (I LFS-plate ) starts to decrease with increasing 〈n e 〉 edge – is independent of the isotope mass. However, there are three major simulation-experiment discrepancies: (i) the absolute values of I LFS-plate and the electron density (n e ) in the LFS divertor at the onset of detachment are significantly lower in simulations, i.e., approximately a factor of 2 for I LFS-plate and a factor of 3-4 for n e ; (ii) the degree of detachment – defined here as the difference between I LFS-plate at the onset of detachment and at an 〈n e 〉 edge value close to the density limit – is smaller in simulations compared to experiments; and (iii) the experimentally observed larger degree of detachment for D and T plasmas compared to H plasmas cannot be clearly distinguished from the simulation results. There are strong indications that discrepancy (i) is to a large extent caused by neglecting Lyman-opacity effects in our simulations. The simulations predict a similar net volumetric recombination source for all isotopes due to the fact that molecule-activated recombination (MAR) compensates for the reduced electron–ion recombination (EIR) for H, whereas MAR is negligible for D and T. This similar net volumetric recombination source for all isotopes leads to an isotope-independent degree of detachment in simulations. An analysis of the Balmer-α and Balmer-$γ$ emission confirms the underestimate of MAR in simulations (especially for D and T) for the JET metallic wall, which was previously observed for devices with a carbon wall. The underestimate of MAR is an important cause for discrepancy (ii) and the fact that there is a stronger underestimate of MAR for D and T than for H explains discrepancy (iii). Extending the plasma grid to the vessel wall increases I LFS-plate and n e at the onset of detachment by 25%, and the EIR source increases by 80% in detached conditions. Hence, while the extended grid results are closer to the experimental observations, the previously described qualitative discrepancies still persist.

Balmer emission↗

Effects of drive pulse shape on graded metal pushered single shell capsule implosions on the National Ignition Facility

Graded metal pushered single shells (PSS) are a viable alternative to low-Z capsules (Z is the atomic number) for indirect drive inertial confinement fusion implosions due to enhanced core tamping and radiation trapping, but they can be compromised by the pusher mixing with the fuel. We compare 2-shock and 3-shock laser pulses for Be/Cr PSS capsules filled with deuterium–tritium gas fuel at 6 mg/cc density. 1D radiation-hydrodynamic simulations predict higher core compression and, hence, ∼2× higher fusion yield for the 3-shock drive than for 2-shock. Nevertheless, we observe similar core ion temperatures and fusion yields for both drives. The implosion burn duration is 25% shorter and the core volume is ∼2.5× smaller for the 3-shock drive than for 2-shock, consistent with a higher compression. 1D LASNEX mix simulations using a buoyancy-drag model matching the measured yields also agree with the observed core sizes and burn durations and suggest ∼40% and ∼70% yield degradations for 2-shock and 3-shock drives due to hydrodynamic instabilities and atomic mix at the pusher–fuel interface. At the same time, 2D HYDRA simulations show that mid-mode (2–250) instability degradations are negligible for the 2-shock implosion (9%) and significant (45%) for 3-shock. Subtracting these from the 1D mix simulations, we infer similar degradations from high-mode instabilities and atomic mix for both drives. Due to its robustness to mid-mode instabilities, future pusher–gas mix studies will use the 2-shock drive.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet from 2000–2300 and beyond: model sensitivity and uncertainty analysis using MPAS-Albany Land Ice

We present a description of the Antarctic Ice Sheet model configuration submitted to the ISMIP6-Antarctica-2300 experiment using the MPAS-Albany Land Ice model, along with three new sets of simulations: (1) a set of extended simulations to 2500 for three forced experiments and to 2775 for the control experiment; (2) a sensitivity analysis of our model configuration to parameters controlling basal sliding and sub-shelf melt, and to model structural choices including the choice of the energy and stress balances; and (3) a 72-member ensemble run on graphics processing units (GPUs) and analysis of variance to determine the primary sources of uncertainty in our ice-sheet model projections. Our extended simulations predict rapid retreat beginning after 2300 for SSP1-2.6 forcing and after 2500 for present-day (control) forcing, primarily in the Amundsen Sea Embayment. We find that varying the sub-shelf melt parameter between the 5th to 95th percentile values for a mean-Antarctic calibration target results in an up to ∼ ± 40 % change in sea-level contribution relative to our baseline simulations that used the median value. Using a linear basal sliding law reduces sea-level contribution by 51 %–73 % relative to our baseline nonlinear sliding law with an exponent of 1/5. When using basal sliding law exponents of 1/3 and 1/10, the overall difference from our baseline simulations at 2300 is on the order of 10 %. The Amundsen Sea Embayment region displays a strongly non-linear dependence of mass loss on the sliding law exponent, with no discernible relationship between the sliding law exponent and the mass loss by 2300, while the sectors feeding the Ross and Filchner-Ronne ice shelves exhibit more mass loss with a more-plastic sliding law. Our model fidelity sensitivity experiments reveal a 9 %–31 % increase in sea-level contribution when using a depth-integrated stress balance approximation relative to our three-dimensional solver, while using a fixed-in-time temperature field increases sea-level contribution by 14 %–88 % relative to two thermomechanically coupled configurations. Our 72-member ensemble and analysis of variance show that the uncertainty in long-term projections is dominated by the choice of Earth system model forcing and the presence or absence of hydrofracture forcing, rather than uncertainty in sliding and sub-shelf melt parameters.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

First-principles study of the magneto-Raman effect in van der Waals layered magnets

Magneto-Raman spectroscopy has been used to study spin-phonon coupling in two-dimensional (2D) magnets. Raman spectra of CrI 3 show a strong dependence on the magnetic order within a layer and between the layers. Here we carry out the first systematic theoretical investigation of the magneto-Raman effect in 2D magnets by performing density functional theory calculations and developing a generalized polarizability model. Our first-principles simulations well reproduce experimental Raman spectra of CrI 3 with different magnetic states. The model reveals how the change of spin orientation in each layer is coupled to the layer’s vibration to induce or eliminate the spin-dependent anti-symmetric off-diagonal terms in the Raman tensor for altering the selection rules. We also uncover that the correlation between phonon modes and magnetic orders is a universal phenomenon, which should exist in other phonon modes and 2D magnets. Our predictive simulations and modeling are expected to guide the research in 2D magnets.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Three-dimensional reconstruction of inertial confinement fusion hot-spot plasma from x-ray and nuclear diagnostics on OMEGA

Multidimensional effects degrade the neutron yield and the compressed areal density of laser-direct-drive inertial confinement fusion implosions of layered deuterium–tritium cryogenic targets on the OMEGA Laser System with respect to 1D radiation-hydrodynamic simulation predictions. A comprehensive physics-informed 3D reconstruction effort is under way to infer hot-spot and shell conditions at stagnation from four x-ray and seven neutron detectors distributed around the OMEGA target chamber. Neutron diagnostics, providing measurements of the neutron yield, hot-spot flow velocity, and apparent ion-temperature distribution, are used to infer the mode-1 perturbation at stagnation. The x-ray imagers record the shape of the hot-spot plasma to diagnose mode-1 and mode-2 perturbations. A deep-learning convolutional neural network trained on an extensive set of 3D radiation-hydrodynamic simulations is used to interpret the x-ray and nuclear measurements to infer the 3D profiles of the hot-spot plasma conditions and the amount of laser energy coupled to the hot-spot plasma. A 3D simulation database shows that larger mode-1 asymmetries are correlated with higher hot-spot flow velocities and reduced laser-energy coupling and neutron yield. Three-dimensional hot-spot reconstructions from x-ray measurements indicate that higher amounts of residual kinetic energy are correlated with higher measured hot-spot flow velocities, consistent with 3D simulations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Effect of Illumination Area on the Ultrafast Temporal Response of MSM GaN Photodiodes

We investigate the influence of spatial illumination profiles on the temporal response of metal–semiconductor–metal GaN photodiodes. Using both simulation and experimental measurements, we compare the response curves under two scenarios: illumination confined to the active area between electrodes and extended illumination beyond the contacts. The results show that limiting the beam illumination to the active region significantly sharpens the response, reducing the long decay tails associated with slow carrier drift from peripheral regions. As a result, the experimental data closely match simulation predictions, confirming that illumination geometry plays a critical role in optimizing photodiode performance for ultrafast detection applications.

Carrier drift time↗

Maximum Energy of Particles Accelerated in Gamma-Ray Burst Afterglow Shocks

Particle acceleration in relativistic collisionless shocks remains an open problem in high-energy astrophysics. Particle-in-cell (PIC) simulations predict that electron acceleration in weakly magnetized shocks proceeds via small-angle scattering, leading to a maximum electron energy significantly below the Bohm limit. This upper bound on electron energy manifests observationally as a characteristic synchrotron cutoff, providing a direct probe of the underlying acceleration physics. Gamma-ray burst (GRB) afterglows offer an exceptional laboratory for testing these predictions. Here, we model the spectral evolution of GRB afterglows during the relativistic deceleration phase, incorporating PIC-motivated acceleration prescriptions and self-consistently computing synchrotron and synchrotron self-Compton emission. We find that low-energy bursts in low-density environments, typical of short GRBs, exhibit a pronounced synchrotron cutoff in the GeV band within minutes to hours after the trigger. Applying our framework to GRB 190114C and GRB 130427A, we find that current observations are insufficient to discriminate between PIC-motivated acceleration and the Bohm limit, primarily due to poor photon statistics in the Fermi-Large Area Telescope band. Nevertheless, future MeV–TeV afterglow observations can break model degeneracies and place substantially tighter constraints on the mechanisms responsible for particle acceleration in relativistic shocks. To this end, we simulate a fiducial nearby short GRB as a promising probe of the cutoff location, for which the two acceleration scenarios are cleanly distinguishable and the detection of such an event in the near future remains feasible.

Wu, Zhao-Feng [Purdue University, West Lafayette, ↗

Effects of high-pressure hydrogen exposure on filler-elastomer adhesion

Elastomers are known to gain enhanced mechanical properties through compounding with nanosized filler particles such as silica or carbon black. Filler dispersion and filler-polymer interfacial strength are key contributing factors to this improvement. The interfacial strength is critical to part lifetime in pressurized gas sealing applications such as O-rings, where weak binding between the filler particle and polymer matrix can lead to internal void structures. With the aim to build a fundamental understanding of precursors to pressurized hydrogen-induced failure in elastomers, we use all-atom molecular dynamics simulations to study the impact of hydrogen oversaturation on filler-polymer interaction strength. We systematically study the interface between a commonly used elastomer, ethylene-propylene-diene monomer (EPDM) and silica by varying gas concentration, crosslink density, and surface chemistry. Our simulations predict that decompression leads to a localization of excess gas near the interface. In conclusion, we demonstrate that this localized gas can weaken interfacial adhesion and quantify the interaction using thermodynamic approaches.

EPDM↗

Global energy balance simulations of shattered pellet injection

The dynamics of shattered pellet injection (SPI) shutdowns are simulated using a time-dependent global energy balance model, based on a modification of the KPRAD framework. The new SPI particle source in the model calculates the ablation of individual pellet fragments that enter the plasma as a temporally resolved plume, thus capturing the effects of earlier fragments on the ablation of those that follow, which has a significant impact on the overall assimilation. Despite the reduced physics and the global averaging of all quantities, results from a large number of DIII-D, KSTAR, and JET experiments are well reproduced, including the plasma cooling timescales, particle assimilation, and current quench (CQ) rates. Cooling timescales and CQ rates are in good agreement for pellets containing as little as ∼1% neon, while particle assimilations are most accurate for neon fractions above ∼15% by number of atoms. Below this, the assimilation tends to be overestimated due to the lack of radial transport in the particle balance, which becomes important in the low-Z limit. Predictive simulations of mixed-composition dual-SPI shutdowns in ITER are compared against those with the 3D non-linear magnetohydrodynamic code JOREK and are found to reproduce overall trends observed in the higher-fidelity modeling across a range of injection scenarios. The general success of the model points to the critical role of energy balance in determining SPI particle assimilation and the subsequent disruption dynamics and highlights the value of these simulations for experimental interpretation and for optimizing the deployment of computationally expensive, higher-fidelity models.

energy balance model↗