Predicting Fracture from Thermodynamic Modeling of Cementitious Systems
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Construction & Building Technology↗
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Liquid and Gamma-BCC Phase Equilibria in the Uranium-Niobium System: A Simple Thermodynamic Model for Phase Diagram and Other Predictions
A simple thermodynamic model for the uranium-niobium (U-Nb) system was created using a Calphad-type approach, circa 2002. Only the liquid and gamma-BCC phases were modeled, with their subregular solution mixing terms optimized by trial and error. The custom (user-defined) database file (.tdb) and experimental data file (.exp) are listed, both of which are compatible with Thermo-Calc software. This model is used to calculate the solidus, liquidus, miscibility gap on the U-Nb phase diagram and also the enthalpy of melting in the U-6Nb alloy.
73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
Extended thermodynamic model for high salinity produced waters
To support the development of desalination processes for high salinity produced waters, we developed a comprehensive thermodynamic model that reliably predicts the thermodynamic properties and phase behavior of produced water. Here this study extends a previously developed thermodynamic model for the aqueous hexary oceanic salt system by incorporating the Sr 2+ and Ba 2+ ions. Based on the electrolyte nonrandom two-liquid theory, the model requires two adjustable binary interaction parameters for each water-electrolyte and electrolyte-electrolyte pair that has a common ion. The binary interaction parameters for the electrolyte-electrolyte pairs involving Sr 2+ and Ba 2+ ions were identified using thermodynamic and salt solubility data. The model was validated for temperatures from 273.15 K to 473.15 K and electrolyte concentrations from infinite dilution to salt saturation. Extension of the model to include HCO 3 − , CO 3 2− , and CO 2 is currently in progress.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Making thermodynamic models of mixtures predictive by machine learning: matrix completion of pair interactions
Embedding matrix completion methods from machine learning in classical thermodynamic models creates powerful hybrid models for predicting properties of mixtures.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Thermodynamic properties of metaschoepite predicted from density functional perturbation theory
Density functional perturbation theory (DFPT) calculations of the thermodynamic properties of metaschoepite, (UO 2 ) 8 0 2 (OH) 12 •10H 2 0, are reported. Using a recently revised crystal structure of metaschoepite, the predicted molar entropy and isobaric heat capacity are overall significantly smaller than previous calculations using an earlier orthorhombic crystal structure model. The present DFPT calculations also show large differences between the thermo-dynamic functions of metaschoepite and schoepite, which might reflect the change in phonon properties upon removal of two H 2 0 molecules per formula unit and alteration of the H-bonded interlayer water network from schoepite to metaschoepite.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Reaction mechanisms for electrical doping of organic semiconductors using complex dopants
Electrical doping of organic semiconductors (OSCs) can be achieved using simple one-electron reductants and oxidants as n- and p-dopants, respectively, but for such dopants, increased doping strength is accompanied by increased sensitivity to ambient moisture and/or oxygen. “Indirect” or “complex” dopants—defined here as those that generate OSC radical cations or anions via pathways more complex than a single simple electron transfer, i.e., by multistep reactions—represent a means of circumventing this problem. Further, this review highlights the importance of understanding the reaction mechanisms by which such dopants operate for: (i) ensuring a researcher knows the composition of a doped material; (ii) predicting the thermodynamic feasibility of achieving doping with related dopant:OSC combinations; and (iii) predicting whether thermodynamically feasible doping reactions are likely to be rapid or slow, or to require subsequent activation. The mechanistic information available to date for some of the wide variety of complex n- and p-dopants that have been reported is then reviewed, emphasizing that in many cases our knowledge is far from complete.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Toward an improved nonlocal thermodynamic equilibrium model for more predictive simulations of ignition scale hohlraums
Recently, nonlocal thermodynamic equilibrium (NLTE) modeling has been identified as the primary reason for discrepant predictions of the peak neutron production time in indirectly driven inertial confinement fusion (ICF) platforms. It has also been observed that predictions of collisional excitation rates differ by as much as 50% from measurements. Theoretical uncertainties in dielectronic recombination rates have also been posited as possibly contributing to errors in NLTE predictions. This work examines the impact of multipliers on collisional excitation and dielectronic recombination rates on simulations of a directly driven gold sphere and an indirect drive ICF implosion. It is found that multipliers on the collisional excitation rates have a strong impact on radiant intensity and electron temperature and a weaker impact on ionization state, whereas multipliers on dielectronic recombinations rates strongly impact ionization state with a smaller impact on radiant intensity and electron temperature. A self-consistent NLTE model which places multipliers on differing transitions, as motivated by experimental measurements and more detailed atomic physics predictions, improves agreement but does not completely eliminate discrepancies with measurements of the radiant intensity within the 2–4 keV spectral range.
Farmer, W. A. [Lawrence Livermore National Laborat↗
A Machine Learning Approach for the Prediction of Formability and Thermodynamic Stability of Single and Double Perovskite Oxides
Perovskite oxides continue to attract huge interest due to their fascinating and wide-ranging properties for diverse applications. The tunability of these properties may be further enhanced by increasing their compositional complexity via double perovskite-ordered configurations containing multiple cations. In this work, we focus on an exhaustive chemical space of single and double oxide perovskites and optimally explore this space to identify novel compositions that are likely to form stable compounds. Critically, we examine the relationship between formability, the practical ability to synthesize a compound, and stability, the thermodynamic preference to form the structure. Our formability and stability training data sets were enumerated from the available experimental literature and in-house density functional theory computations and contained 1505 and 3469 examples, respectively, representing state-of-the-art in the current open literature in perovskite and double perovskite compounds. Subsequently, cross-validated and highly accurate machine learning classification models are built using these training data sets and employed to screen for novel stable oxide perovskites. The study identifies (1) atomic features relevant to prediction of formability and stability in perovskite and double perovskite compounds, (2) the importance of including energy contributions due to local structural relaxations going beyond the high symmetry perovskite phase, and (3) 437,828 double perovskite compounds that are likely to be stable and 891,188 compounds that are likely to be formable. From the intersection of this large chemical space of formable and stable oxide perovskites, 414 compositions are identified as the most promising candidates for future experimental synthesis of novel oxide perovskites. The developed models may be generalized and have implications beyond perovskite discovery if applied to other families of compounds.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Predicting sorption isotherms from thermodynamic calculations
Not Available
Bharadwaj, Keshav (ORCID:0000000270018295)↗
Sustainable bioleaching of lithium-ion batteries for critical metal recovery: Process optimization through design of experiments and thermodynamic modeling
Recycling spent lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) could alleviate supply risks for critical metals and be less harmful to the environment compared to new production of metals from mining. Developing a cost-effective LIB bioleaching process could be a promising alternative to traditional energy-intensive recycling technologies. Here, this study aimed to optimize bioleaching conditions for maximum economic competitiveness through design of experiments using iterative response surface methodology (RSM), assisted by thermodynamic modeling. The optimal condition was identified as 2.5% pulp density in 75 mM gluconic acid biolixiviant at 55°C for 30 h which could recover 57%–84% of nickel, 71%–86% of cobalt, and 100% of lithium and manganese, yielding a 17%–26% net profit margin. The recommended pulp density and acid concentrations, together with the observed metal solubilization, were supported by thermodynamic modeling predictions. Our study demonstrated that combining RSM with thermodynamic simulations could be a powerful tool for optimizing bioleaching conditions.
60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
Thermodynamic Cloud Phase Classifications Using Machine Learning at NSA and ANX
Vertically resolved thermodynamic cloud phase classifications are essential for studies of atmospheric cloud and precipitation processes. The Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) THERMOCLDPHASE Value-Added Product (VAP) uses a multi-sensor approach to classify thermodynamic cloud phase by combining lidar backscatter and depolarization, radar reflectivity, Doppler velocity, spectral width, microwave radiometer-derived liquid water path, and radiosonde temperature measurements. The measured voxels are classified as ice, snow, mixed-phase, liquid (cloud water), drizzle, rain, and liq_driz (liquid+drizzle). We use this product as the ground truth to train three machine learning (ML) models to predict the thermodynamic cloud phase from multi-sensor remote sensing measurements taken at the ARM North Slope of Alaska (NSA) observatory: a random forest (RF), a multilayer perceptron (MLP), and a convolutional neural network (CNN) with a U-Net architecture. Evaluations against the outputs of the THERMOCLDPHASE VAP with one year of data show that the CNN outperforms the other two models, achieving the highest test accuracy, F1-score, and mean Intersection over Union (IOU). Analysis of ML confidence scores shows ice, rain, and snow have higher confidence scores, followed by liquid, while mixed, drizzle, and liq_driz have lower scores. Feature importance analysis reveals that the mean Doppler velocity and vertically resolved temperature are the most influential datastreams for ML thermodynamic cloud phase predictions. The ML models’ generalization capacity is further evaluated by applying them at another Arctic ARM site in Norway using data taken during the ARM Cold-Air Outbreaks in the Marine Boundary Layer Experiment (COMBLE) field campaign. Finally, we evaluate the ML models’ response to simulated instrument outages and signal degradation.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Theoretical Prediction of Thermal Expansion Anisotropy for Y 2 Si 2 O 7 Environmental Barrier Coatings Using a Deep Neural Network Potential and Comparison to Experiment
Environmental barrier coatings (EBCs) are an enabling technology for silicon carbide (SiC)-based ceramic matrix composites (CMCs) in extreme environments such as gas turbine engines. However, the development of new coating systems is hindered by the large design space and difficulty in predicting the properties for these materials. Density Functional Theory (DFT) has successfully been used to model and predict some thermodynamic and thermo-mechanical properties of high-temperature ceramics for EBCs, although these calculations are challenging due to their high computational costs. In this work, we use machine learning to train a deep neural network potential (DNP) for Y 2 Si 2 O 7 , which is then applied to calculate the thermodynamic and thermo-mechanical properties at near-DFT accuracy much faster and using less computational resources than DFT. We use this DNP to predict the phonon-based thermodynamic properties of Y 2 Si 2 O 7 with good agreement to DFT and experiments. We also utilize the DNP to calculate the anisotropic, lattice direction-dependent coefficients of thermal expansion (CTEs) for Y 2 Si 2 O 7 . Molecular dynamics trajectories using the DNP correctly demonstrate the accurate prediction of the anisotropy of the CTE in good agreement with the diffraction experiments. In the future, this DNP could be applied to accelerate additional property calculations for Y 2 Si 2 O 7 compared to DFT or experiments.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Computing Thermodynamic Properties of Fluids Augmented by Nanoconfinement: Application to Pressurized Methane
Nanoconfined fluids exhibit remarkably different thermodynamic behavior compared to the bulk phase. These confinement effects render predictions of thermodynamic quantities of nanoconfined fluids challenging. In particular, confinement creates a spatially varying density profile near the wall that is primarily responsible for adsorption and capillary condensation behavior. Significant fluctuations in thermodynamic quantities, inherent in such nanoscale systems, coupled to strong fluid–wall interactions give rise to this near-wall density profile. Empirical models have been proposed to explain and model these effects, yet no first-principles based formulation has been developed. We present a statistical mechanics framework that embeds such a coupling to describe the effect of the fluid–wall interaction in amplifying the near-wall density behavior for compressible gases at elevated pressures such as pressurized methane in confinement. We show that the proposed theory predicts accurately the adsorbed layer thickness as obtained with small-angle neutron scattering measurements. Furthermore, the predictions of density under confinement from the proposed theory are shown to be in excellent agreement with available experimental and atomistic simulations data for a range of temperatures for nanoconfined methane. While the framework is presented for evaluating the near-wall density, owing to its rigorous foundation in statistical mechanics, the proposed theory can also be generalized for predicting phase-transition and nonequilibrium transport of nanoconfined fluids.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Classifying thermodynamic cloud phase using machine learning models
Vertically resolved thermodynamic cloud-phase classifications are essential for studies of atmospheric cloud and precipitation processes. The Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Thermodynamic Cloud Phase (THERMOCLDPHASE) value-added product (VAP) uses a multi-sensor approach to classify the thermodynamic cloud phase by combining lidar backscatter and depolarization, radar reflectivity, Doppler velocity, spectral width, microwave-radiometer-derived liquid water path, and radiosonde temperature measurements. The measured pixels are classified as ice, snow, mixed phase, liquid (cloud water), drizzle, rain, and liq_driz (liquid+drizzle). We use this product as the ground truth to train three machine learning (ML) models to predict the thermodynamic cloud phase from multi-sensor remote sensing measurements taken at the ARM North Slope of Alaska (NSA) observatory: a random forest (RF), a multi-layer perceptron (MLP), and a convolutional neural network (CNN) with a U-Net architecture. Evaluations against the outputs of the THERMOCLDPHASE VAP with 1 year of data show that the CNN outperforms the other two models, achieving the highest test accuracy, F1 score, and mean intersection over union (IOU). Analysis of ML confidence scores shows that ice, rain, and snow have higher confidence scores, followed by liquid, while mixed, drizzle, and liq_driz have lower scores. Feature importance analysis reveals that the mean Doppler velocity and vertically resolved temperature are the most influential data streams for ML thermodynamic cloud-phase predictions. Lidar measurements exhibit lower feature importance due to rapid signal attenuation caused by the frequent presence of persistent low-level clouds at the NSA site. The ML models' generalization capacity is further evaluated by applying them at another Arctic ARM site in Norway using data taken during the ARM Cold-Air Outbreaks in the Marine Boundary Layer Experiment (COMBLE) field campaign. The models demonstrated similar performance to that observed at the NSA site. Finally, we evaluate the ML models' response to simulated instrument outages and signal degradation and show that a CNN U-Net model trained with input channel dropouts performs better when input fields are missing.
ARM Aerial Facility↗
Bayesian automated weighting of aggregated DFT, MD, and experimental data for candidate thermodynamic models of aluminum with uncertainty quantification
Atomic-scale modeling methods such as density functional theory (DFT) and molecular dynamics (MD) can predict the thermodynamic properties of materials at a lower cost than experimental measurements. However, their regular usage in thermodynamic model construction is hampered by the lack of quantitative agreement with experimental measurements and the lack of uncertainty estimates on the data. To make regular usage of this atomistic simulation data, it is important to assess whether the atomistic simulation datasets, by themselves or in combination with experimental measurements, result in the same physics-informed models best supported by experimental measurements alone. Here, models of aluminum thermodynamic properties are discussed using three data sources: atomistic calculations (DFT and MD), experiments, and a combination of atomistic calculations and experiments. The study shows that, after ensuring self-consistency in predicting key invariant points, both experimental measurements and atomistic calculations can significantly contribute to an optimal model.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Alloying Effects on the Transport Properties of Refractory High-entropy Alloys
Additive Manufacturing (AM) has opened new frontiers for the design of refractory high-entropy alloys (HEAs) for high-temperature applications. The thermal conductivity of the AM feedstock is among the most important thermo-physical properties that control the melting and solidification process. Despite its significance, there remains a notable gap in both computational and experimental research concerning the thermal conductivity of HEAs. Here, we use density functional theory (DFT) to systematically investigate the alloying effects on the transport properties of Ti-Cr-Mo-W-V-Nb-Ta RHEAs, including electrical and thermal conductivities and Seebeck coefficient. The relaxation time of charge carriers is a key underlying parameter determining thermal conductivity that is exceedingly challenging to predict from first principles alone, and we thus follow the approach by Mukherjee, Satsangi, and Singh [Chem Mater 32, 6507 (2022)] to optimize the relaxation time for RHEAs. Here we validated thermal conductivity predictions on elemental solids, binary and ternary alloys, and RHEAs and compared them against thermodynamic (CALPHAD) predictions and our experiments with good correlations. To understand observed trends in thermal conductivity, we assessed the phase stability, electronic structure, phonon, and intrinsic- and tensile strength of down-selected RHEAs. Our electronic structure and phonon results connect well with the observed compositional trends for thermal transport in RHEAs. Our DFT assessment and CALPHAD predictions provide a unique design guide for RHEAs with tailored thermal conductivity, a critical consideration for AM and thermal-management applications.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Towards Pareto optimal high entropy hydrides via data-driven materials discovery
The ability to rapidly screen material performance in the vast space of high entropy alloys is of critical importance to efficiently identify optimal hydride candidates for various use cases. Given the prohibitive complexity of first principles simulations and large-scale sampling required to rigorously predict hydrogen equilibrium in these systems, we turn to compositional machine learning models as the most feasible approach to screen on the order of tens of thousands of candidate equimolar high entropy alloys (HEAs). Critically, we show that machine learning models can predict hydride thermodynamics and capacities with reasonable accuracy (e.g. a mean absolute error in desorption enthalpy prediction of ~5 kJ mol H 2 –1 ) and that explainability analyses capture the competing trade-offs that arise from feature interdependence. We can therefore elucidate the multi-dimensional Pareto optimal set of materials, i.e., where two or more competing objective properties can't be simultaneously improved by another material. This provides rapid and efficient down-selection of the highest priority candidates for more time-consuming density functional theory investigations and experimental validation. Various targets were selected from the predicted Pareto front (with saturation capacities approaching two hydrogen per metal and desorption enthalpy less than 60 kJ mol H 2 –1 ) and were experimentally synthesized, characterized, and tested amongst an international collaboration group to validate the proposed novel hydrides. Finally, additional top-predicted candidates are suggested to the community for future synthesis efforts, and we conclude with an outlook on improving the current approach for the next generation of computational HEA hydride discovery efforts.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Application of Machine Learning and Data Augmentation Algorithms in the Discovery of Metal Hydrides for Hydrogen Storage
The development of efficient and sustainable hydrogen storage materials is a key challenge for realizing hydrogen as a clean and flexible energy carrier. Among various options, metal hydrides offer high volumetric storage density and operational safety, yet their application is limited by thermodynamic, kinetic, and compositional constraints. In this work, we investigate the potential of machine learning (ML) to predict key thermodynamic properties—equilibrium plateau pressure, enthalpy, and entropy of hydride formation—based solely on alloy composition using Magpie-generated descriptors. We significantly expand an existing experimental dataset from ~400 to 806 entries and assess the impact of dataset size and data augmentation, using the PADRE algorithm, on model performance. Models including Support Vector Machines and Gradient Boosted Random Forests were trained and optimized via grid search and cross-validation. Results show a marked improvement in predictive accuracy with increased dataset size, while data augmentation benefits are limited to smaller datasets and do not improve accuracy in underrepresented pressure regimes. Furthermore, clustering and cross-validation analyses highlight the limited generalizability of models across different material classes, though high accuracy is achieved when training and testing within a single hydride family (e.g., AB2). The study demonstrates the viability and limitations of ML for accelerating hydride discovery, emphasizing the importance of dataset diversity and representation for robust property prediction.
augmentation↗