Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “solar cycle 25”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 73 records · Page 4

Energy Northwest - Horn Rapids Solar and Storage: An Assessment of Battery Technical Performance

Chartered in 1957 as a joint action agency of the state, Energy Northwest (ENW) is a consortium of 27 public utility districts and municipalities across Washington state. ENW takes advantage of economies of scale and shared services to help utilities run their operations more efficiently and at lower cost, to the benefit of more than 1.5 million customers. ENW develops, owns, and operates a diverse mix of electricity generating resources, including hydro, solar, and wind projects – and the Northwest’s only active nuclear energy facility. These projects provide enough reliable, affordable, and environmentally responsible energy to power more than a million homes each year, and that carbon-free electricity is provided at the cost of generation. The agency continually explores new generation projects to meet its members’ needs. In 2017, as part of the second round of funding from the Washington state Clean Energy Fund, the Washington State Department of Commerce granted up to $3 million in matching funds to develop an estimated $6.5 million project that deployed a 4-MW, 20-acre solar generating array of photovoltaic (PV) panels coupled with a 1 MW/5.5 MWh lithium-iron-phosphate battery energy storage system (BESS) in Richland, Washington. The combination of PV and BESS will provide a predictable, renewable generating source and will also serve as a training ground for solar and battery technicians throughout the nation. The City of Richland will purchase the power from the project and utilize the benefits of the energy storage. The project provides Washington state with its first opportunity to integrate a large-scale solar and storage facility into its clean mix of hydro, nuclear, and wind resources. This first-of-its-kind facility combines solar generation with battery storage and technician training. In 2019, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) worked with ENW to assess the integrated PV and BESS in representative use cases that could benefit the City of Richland. Between March and May 2022, extensive testing was conducted, and the results were used to assess the technical performance of the BESS subjected to actual field operations. Both reference performance and use case tests were performed: (A) Reference performance tests assess the general technical capabilities of the BESS, such as energy capacity, round-trip efficiency (RTE), ramp rate, and signal tracking capability. These are the first tests performed (baseline), and they are repeated after use case tests (post cycle). A standardized U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) energy storage performance protocol was used to characterize the BESS, including representative duty cycle profiles, test procedure guidance, and calculation guidance for determining key characteristics. (B) Use case tests examine the performance of the BESS for specific use cases using duty cycles developed by PNNL in collaboration with ENW. Five use cases were selected for testing: 1) demand charge reduction, 2) load shaping, 3) transmission charge reduction, 4) Volt-VAR service, and 5) outage mitigation. The use case duty cycles were developed based on utility and site-specific characteristics in addition to the technical characteristics and physical capabilities of the BESS. Use case tests were performed between the baseline and post cycle tests. This report describes the BESS and its components, presents testing and performance analysis results, and shares key insights and lessons learned from this project. Outcomes of the tests and analyses will help ENW understand the performance of the Horn Rapids BESS in its current state and design appropriate operational strategies for this and other BESSs over the long term.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Pushing the efficiency limit of low-cost, industrially relevant Si solar cells to > 22.5% by advancing cell structures and technology innovations (Final Report)

The overall objective of this program is to achieve ~23% bifacial n-type cell efficiencies by developing and implementing optimized homogeneous or selective boron (B) emitter on front and tunnel oxide passivated contact (TOPCon) on rear side, in combination with advanced fine-line screen-printing metallization with floating busbars. During this research project, first we developed a technology roadmap to drive the 21% n-PERT cell efficiency from 21% to 23% by transforming the cell design to n-TOPCon and establishing the requirements for each layer, including B emitter, rear n-TOPCon, n-base Si and screen-printed contacts. Next, consistent with our roadmap, we developed advanced homogeneous implanted B emitter (150-180 Ω/⌫) passivated with ALD Al 2 O 3 layer capped with PECVD SiN x /SiO x double-layer antireflection coating This gave a very low recombination current density of 10-15 fA/cm 2 prior to metallization. In addition, we demonstrated metallized recombination current density of ~31 fA/cm 2 for this advanced homogeneous B emitter with industrial screen-printed, fire-through contacts with 40 μm wide grid lines, floating busbars and implementation of an advanced Ag-Al paste which resulted in local or reduced area metal-Si contact under the grid lines with virtually no emitter surface etching. This paste reduced the full area metallized J oe,metal from >1100 fA/cm 2 to ~700 fA/cm 2 . We also developed novel processes for the formation of p + /p ++ selective B emitter by a) single B diffusion with selective etch back and b) two-steps diffusion with implanted B in field region and APCVD B diffusion under the metal grid. We achieved very low un-metallized recombination current density (J 0 ) of ~18 fA/cm 2 for the selective p ++ p + emitters (30/150 Ω/⌫) and metallized J 0 of ~28 fA/cm 2 with ~3% screen-printed metal contact to p ++ regions. Next, we developed the technology for n-TOPCon by growing phosphorus-doped LPCVD and PECVD poly-Si on top of ~ 15Å chemically grown (NAO) tunnel oxide. After an optimized anneal at 875 °C for 30 min, passivated n-TOPCon have unmetallized J 0 of ~ 5 fA/cm 2 which went down further to ~ 1 fA/cm 2 after a 700 Å SiN x capping layer and simulated contact firing cycle at 770 °C. After screen-printed fire-through metallization on this n-TOPCon with ~13% metal coverage, metallized J 0 value increased to only ~5 fA/cm 2 which is among the lowest reported value to the best of our knowledge for screen-printed metallization. Finally, we integrated all the above technology innovations and enhancements and demonstrated low-cost manufacturable screen-printed n-TOPCon bifacial Si solar cell with ~23% efficiencies. Based on the experimental and theoretical understanding developed in this project, we have developed a new technology roadmap that shows that implementation of busbarless contacts, 10-20 ms bulk lifetime Si, and selective B emitter or selective TOPCon on the front can drive ~23% efficient cells achieved in this research to ~25% at low-cost.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Resilience and economics of microgrids with PV, battery storage, and networked diesel generators

Current designs and assessments of microgrids have ignored component reliability, leading to significant errors in predicting a microgrid’s performance while islanded. Existing life cycle cost studies on hybrid microgrids—which combine photovoltaics (PV), battery storage and networked emergency diesel generators—also have not identified all the potential economic opportunities. Reducing the number of emergency diesel generators through reliance on PV and battery, retail bill savings, and demand response and wholesale market revenue streams are all important. This paper provides a new statistical methodology that calculates the impact of distributed energy reliability and variability on a microgrid’s performance and a novel use of the optimization platform REopt to explore multiple cost savings and revenue streams. We examine the impacts for microgrids in California, Maryland, and New Mexico and show that a hybrid microgrid is a more resilient and cost-effective solution than a diesel-only system. Under realistic conditions, a hybrid microgrid can provide higher system reliability when islanded and have a lower life cycle cost under multiple market conditions than a traditional diesel generator-based system. The improved performance of the hybrid system is resilient to conditions experienced over the last 20 years in solar irradiance and sees little degradation in performance immediately after a hurricane. The cost savings to provide this more resilient backup power system as compared to a diesel-only microgrid are significant. The net present cost for a hybrid microgrid is 19% lower in New Mexico and 35% lower in Maryland than a diesel-only microgrid. In California, the net present cost of the hybrid microgrid is negative because, unlike a diesel-only microgrid, a hybrid microgrid has lower life cycle costs than the power costs without a microgrid.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Thermal Stability of Silica for Application in Thermal Energy Storage

Free from siting constraints, thermal energy storage (TES) shows promise as an economical alternative to traditional pumped-storage hydropower (PSH) and compressed air energy storage (CAES). As potential thermal energy storage media, many solid particles demonstrate stability over wide temperature ranges which allows for increased sensible energy storage density and is essential in achieving low-cost storage. Silica sand, in the form of a-quartz, is one such candidate. This work presents a brief review of relevant silica thermophysical properties and further investigates the thermal stability of silica particles as a candidate TES media by subjecting them to two different thermal campaigns: (1) a 500-hour thermal treatment at 1200°C under varied atmospheres; and (2) cycling 25, 50, and 100 times between 300°C and 1200°C. For both campaigns, particle stability is examined by means of pre- and post-treatment Mie scattering. An additional XRD analysis is conducted for the 500-hour treatment in air. Results indicate limited changes in both particle distribution and crystallographic structure which is promising for the application as solid particle media for thermal energy storage.

27 ARPA - Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy↗

Thermal Stability of Silica for Application in Thermal Energy Storage: Preprint

Free from siting constraints, thermal energy storage (TES) shows promise as an economical alternative to traditional pumped-storage hydropower (PSH) and compressed air energy storage (CAES). As potential thermal energy storage media, many solid particles demonstrate stability over wide temperature ranges which allows for increased sensible energy storage density and is essential in achieving low-cost storage. Silica sand, in the form of a-quartz, is one such candidate. This work presents a brief review of relevant silica thermophysical properties and further investigates the thermal stability of silica particles as a candidate TES media by subjecting them to two different thermal campaigns: (1) a 500-hour thermal treatment at 1200°C under varied atmospheres; and (2) cycling 25, 50, and 100 times between 300°C and 1200°C. For both campaigns, particle stability is examined by means of pre- and post-treatment Mie scattering. An additional XRD analysis is conducted for the 500-hour treatment in air. Results indicate limited changes in both particle distribution and crystallographic structure which is promising for the application as solid particle media for thermal energy storage.

27 ARPA - Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy↗

Real-time dispatch optimization for concentrating solar power with thermal energy storage

Concentrating solar power (CSP) plants present a promising path towards utility-scale renewable energy. The power tower, or central receiver, configuration can achieve higher operating temperatures than other forms of CSP, and, like all forms of CSP, naturally pairs with comparatively inexpensive thermal energy storage, which allows CSP plants to dispatch electricity according to market price incentives and outside the hours of solar resource availability. Currently, CSP plants commonly include a steam Rankine power cycle and several heat exchange components to generate high-pressure steam using stored thermal energy. The efficiency of the steam Rankine cycle depends on the temperature of the plant's operating fluid, and so is a main concern of plant operators. However, the variable nature of the solar resource and the conservatism with which the receiver is operated prevent perfect control over the receiver outlet temperature. Therefore, during periods of solar variability, collection occurs at lower-than-design temperature. To support operator decisions in a real-time setting, we develop a revenue-maximizing non-convex mixed-integer, quadradically-constrained program which determines a dispatch schedule with sub-hourly time fidelity and considers temperature-dependent power cycle efficiency. The exact nonlinear formulation proves intractable for real-time decision support. Here we present exact and inexact techniques to improve problem tractability that include a hybrid nonlinear and linear formulation. Our approach admits solutions within approximately 3% of optimality, on average, within a five-minute time limit, demonstrating its usability for decision support in a real-time setting.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Gen3 Gas Phase System Development and Demonstration (Final Technical Report)

Work undertaken in this project seeks to transform the current baseline technology – which is a collection of related but separately developed components and concepts – into a unified and operating test facility and an accompanying preliminary commercial design. This project is motivated by the primary goal of developing a system to absorb concentrated solar energy and deliver it into thermal energy storage at temperatures above 700°C, thereby enabling integration with a high-efficiency supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO 2 ) power cycle to achieve or exceed a levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) target of 6 ¢ per kilowatt-hour electric (kW e -hr). The proposed baseline solution utilizes a high-temperature gas phase (GP) system interfacing with a two-tank particle thermal energy storage (TES) and intermediate heat exchangers to supply sCO 2 at 20-25 megapascals (MPa) and 700°C at the turbine inlet.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Switching-cycle-based Startup for Grid-connected Inverters

Conventional inverter startups, or grid synchronization, are hindered by slow dynamics and inrush current issues, which impede the integration of more renewable energy resources into the power grid. This paper overcomes the barriers by introducing a novel switching cycle-based startup approach for grid-connected inverters, eliminating the need for voltage sensors and phase-locked loops (PLLs). The proposed method surpasses the bandwidth constraints of traditional PLL-based techniques and achieves grid synchronization in just two switching cycles. Relying solely on sensed three-phase currents, synchronization is accomplished without inrush currents or the need for additional hardware or increased software complexity, resulting in a faster inverter startup. The paper also presents a sensitivity analysis to discuss the impact of critical parameters on the method's accuracy. As a result, the effectiveness of the proposed technique is demonstrated through simulation and experimental results.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Flexible 2D Boron Imidazolate Framework for Polysulfide Adsorption in Lithium–Sulfur Batteries

We report the "polysulfide shuttle," a process initiated by the dissolution of polysulfides, is recognized to be one of the major failure mechanisms of lithium-sulfur (Li-S) batteries. Much research effort has been dedicated toward efficient cathode additives and host materials to suppress the leaching of polysulfide species. Herein, we report a new 2D metal-organic framework constituted by a tritopic ligand, boron imidazolate ([BH(Im) 3 ] - , Im = imidazole), and Co 2+ ions for lithium polysulfide adsorption. The cobalt imidazolate framework (CoN 6 -BIF) contains octahedrally coordinated Co centers that form two-dimensional layers in the a,b plane. Composite cathodes containing CoN 6 -BIF exhibited high sulfur utilization and capacity retention, resulting in improved specific capacity and cycle life compared to sulfur/carbon controls. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations suggest that CoN 6 -BIF linkers are rotationally flexible, allowing the framework to accommodate polysulfide in the expanded pores. This unusual property of BIFs opens up new avenues for exploring flexible metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) and their applications to energy storage.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Evaluation of thermal energy storage for central receiver concentrating solar power plants under charging cycles through structural assessment

Electricity production by concentrated solar power (CSP) systems has stood out among energy transition alternatives due to their large generation capacity (between 30 MW and 400 MW) and high capacity factor (80%) when incorporating thermal storage systems (TES). Although TES tanks in operation worldwide are made of austenitic steels with remarkable mechanical and anticorrosive properties, operational failures have been reported due to low-cycle fatigue, creep, and the abrupt release of residual stresses generated during tank manufacturing. A critical operation for salt tanks is the initial daily charging operation, given the low fluid level and the thermal gradients between the inventory and the salt entering the tank. This study presents a structural simulation of a 39.6 m-diameter molten salt tank for central receiver CSP plants, accounting for temperature and pressure variations during charging and different sparger ring inlet configurations. The initial pre-stressed condition of the floor, resulting from the manufacture of welded plates, is used as a boundary condition. The fatigue and creep life analyses were performed in accordance with the ASME BPVC and API standards. It was found that the tank's floor is in a less favourable mechanical condition than the wall, due to its initial manufacturing condition and the maximum temperature differences during charging. A critical zone was identified in an area affected by residual stress on the floor and under the sparger ring. The baseline sparger ring configuration, with 52 2-inch-diameter orifices and a flow direction of 90 degrees , results in an average floor stress of approximately 25 MPa and creep damage after 1.2 years of tank operation.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Internal Insulation and Corrosion Control of Molten Chloride Storage Tanks

The U.S. Department of Energy Gen3 CSP program aims to develop integrated systems capable of delivering high temperature thermal energy to advanced power cycles [1]. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) is leading a multi-national team to validate the potential of a chloride-based molten-salt system that uses a ternary blend of MgCl2/KCl/NaCl to provide higher temperature thermal energy storage capability (Fig. 1a). The economic viability of this concept is dependent on internally insulating the hot and cold storage tanks to enable the use of low-cost steel shells (Fig. 1b).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Flexible hose interconnect testing for parabolic troughs with nitrate salt

The use of molten salt as a heat transfer fluid in parabolic trough concentrated solar power plants, in lieu of oil-based heat transfer fluids, presents the possibility to increase the plant's operating temperature and corresponding Rankine cycle efficiency, improve dispatchability, and decrease costs. However, several barriers still exist to commercialization of the technology. This paper discusses meaningful progress toward overcoming two specific barriers to commercialization; 1) the lack of a reliable interconnect solution for molten salt service to connect rotating collectors with stationary header pipes and 2) the limitations of publicly available system modeling tools for a plant using molten salt as both the heat transfer fluid and energy storage medium.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Hybrid Power Plants: Status of Operating and Proposed Plants, 2023 Edition [Slides]

Improving battery technology and the growth of variable renewable generation are driving a surge of interest in “hybrid” power plants that combine, for example, wind or solar generating capacity with co-located batteries. While most of the current interest involves pairing photovoltaic (PV) plants with batteries, other types of hybrid or co-located plants with wide-ranging configurations have been part of the U.S. electricity mix for decades. This annually updated briefing tracks and maps existing hybrid or co-located plants across the United States while also synthesizing data from power purchase agreements (PPAs) and generation interconnection queues to shed light on near- and long-term development pipelines. The scope includes “co-located hybrids” that pair two or more resources (e.g., multiple types of generation and/or generation with storage) that are operated largely independently behind a single point of interconnection, and “full hybrids” that also feature coordinated operations of the co-located resources. The focus is on plants with one megawatt (MW) or more of capacity; smaller (often behind-the-meter) projects are also increasingly common, but are not included in this data synthesis. Key findings from the latest briefing include: -At the end of 2022, there were 374 hybrid plants (>1 MW) operating across the United States (+25% compared to the end of 2021), totaling nearly 41 GW of generating capacity (+15%) and 5.4 GW/15.2 GWh of energy storage (+69%/+88%). PV+storage plants are by far the most common, dominating in terms of plant number (213), storage capacity (4.0 GW/12.5 GWh), storage:generator capacity ratio (49%), and storage duration (3.1 hours). But there are nearly twenty other hybrid plant configurations as well, including several different fossil hybrid categories (each dominated by the fossil component) as well as wind+storage, wind+PV, wind+PV+storage, geothermal+PV, and others. -Last year was another strong year for PV+storage hybrids in particular: 59 of the 62 hybrids added in 2022 were PV+storage. As of the end of 2022, there was roughly as much storage capacity operating within PV+storage hybrid plants as in standalone storage plants (~4 GW each). In storage energy terms, however, PV+storage edged out standalone storage by ~2 GWh (12.5 GWh vs. 10.4 GWh, respectively). -Interconnection queue data show continued strong developer interest in hybridization. At the close of 2022, there were 51% more hybrid plants—representing 59% more generating capacity—in interconnection queues across the United States than there were at the end of 2021. Solar dominates these proposed plants as well: at the close of 2022, there were 457 GW of solar capacity proposed as a hybrid (representing ~48% of all solar capacity in the queues), most typically pairing PV with battery storage. At the same time, there were 24 GW of wind capacity proposed as a hybrid (representing ~8% of all wind capacity in the queues), again most-often pairing wind with storage. Meanwhile, more than half of all storage in the queues is estimated to be part of a hybrid plant. While many of the plants proposed in the queues will not ultimately reach commercial operations, the depth of interest in hybrid plants—especially PV+storage—is notable, particularly in certain regions. For example, in CAISO, 97% of all solar capacity and 45% of all wind capacity in the queues is proposed as a hybrid. -The report also surveys power purchase agreement (PPA) price data from a sample of operating and proposed PV+storage plants. Though PV+storage PPA prices have fallen over time, “levelized storage adders” have recently increased somewhat to ~$\$ $7000/MW-month, ~$\$ $60/MWh-stored (assuming one full cycle per day), or ~$\$ $15/MWh-PV. Some of the recent price increase could simply reflect a trend towards higher battery:PV capacity ratios over time, which increases costs, all else being equal. The well-publicized impact of inflationary and supply chain pressures on battery prices is no doubt a contributor as well.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Operations, maintenance, and cost considerations for PV+Storage in the United States

Battery storage systems are increasingly being installed at photovoltaic (PV) sites to address supply-demand balancing needs. Although there is some understanding of costs associated with PV operations and maintenance (O&M), costs associated with emerging technologies such as PV plus storage lack details about the specific systems and/or activities that contribute to the cost values. This study aims to address this gap by exploring the specific factors and drivers contributing to utility-scale PV plus storage systems (UPVS) O&M activities costs, including how technology selection, data collection, and related and ongoing challenges. Specifically, we used semi-structured interviews and questionnaires to collect information and insights from utility-scale owners and operators. Data was collected from 14 semi-structured interviews and questionnaires representing 51.1 MW with 64.1 MWh of installed battery storage capacity within the United States (U.S.). Differences in degradation rate, expected life cycle, and capital costs are observed across different storage technologies. Most O&M activities at UPVS related to correcting under-performance. Fires and venting issues are leading safety concerns, and owner operators have installed additional systems to mitigate these issues. There are ongoing O&M challenges due the lack of storage-specific performance metrics as well as poor vendor reliability and parts availability. Insights from this work will improve our understanding of O&M consideration at PV plus storage sites.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Hotspot testing of glass/backsheet and glass/glass PV modules pre-stressed in extended thermal cycling

This paper investigates the effect of hotspot (HS) stress endurance of two of the latest designs of monocrystalline modules: a half-cell glass/backsheet (G/B) module and a full-cell glass/glass (G/G) module. These modules have already been pre-stressed in extended thermal cycling with 600 cycles per the IEC 61215 standard to represent field-stressed modules. This study differs from the other conventional studies wherein only fresh modules are subjected to hotspot endurance stress. The G/G module reached a maximum temperature of approximately 200 °C at a cell shading of 25 %, 55 °C higher than the maximum hotspot temperature of 145 °C in the G/B module. A significant burn mark, without glass shattering, was observed in the hotspot-stressed cell of the G/G module due to the current mismatch induced by partial shading. Most of the cells in the G/G module appear to be severely damaged (severe dark areas), as observed in the electroluminescence (EL) image, while the dark regions were rarely present in the G/B module. The EL image also illustrates multiple cell cracks that resist current flow and eventually contribute to the full-cell module degradation. About 8.3 % degradation in maximum power was observed for the G/G module and 1.3 % for the G/B module after the sequential stress tests. The lower degradation in the G/B module can potentially be attributed to its design, which comprises of two parallel strings, each having 72-half-cells and benefits from lower heat dissipation. Furthermore, this indicates that the half-cell design could potentially minimize the hotspot degradation and failures in crystalline-silicon modules.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Using Concentrating Solar Power to Create a Geological Thermal Energy Reservoir for Seasonal Storage and Flexible Power Plant Operation

Abstract We propose a hybrid renewable energy system—a geothermal energy storage system (GeoTES) with solar—to provide low-cost dispatchable power at various timescales from daily, to weekly, to seasonally. GeoTES with solar uses a concentrating solar power collector field to produce hot water that is injected into a sedimentary basin to create a synthetic geothermal resource. The stored geothermal heat can then be dispatched when required by the electrical grid. GeoTES is particularly valuable for a grid with a high penetration of non-flexible renewable technologies such as photovoltaic and wind power. In this work, a sophisticated hybrid model is developed to assess the technical and economic potential of GeoTES by combining IPSEpro, which is a power-cycle simulation tool, and SAM, an economic analysis tool by National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). The analysis shows with proper initial charging period that the heat loss in storage is almost negligible and is a suitable technology for long-term energy storage. Various power-cycle options are evaluated, and the most suitable power cycle is selected for further study. Annual calculations of the GeoTES system indicate that a levelized cost of storage (LCOS) of 12.4 ¢/kWh e can be achieved for seasonal storage of 4000 h; this value is much lower than the existing long-term storage. The LCOS of GeoTES is insensitive to the storage duration above 8 h, unlike battery and molten-salt thermal storage systems. This result demonstrates that GeoTES can be a competitive seasonal storage technology in the future electricity market. The levelized cost of electricity of the GeoTES system is also carefully analyzed and can vary between 10.0 and 16.4 ¢/kWh e , depending on solar-collector prices.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Puzzling Variation of Gamma Rays from the Sun over the Solar Cycle Revealed with Fermi-LAT

The steady-state gamma-ray emission from the Sun is thought to consist of two emission components due to interactions with Galactic cosmic rays: (1) a hadronic disk component, and (2) a leptonic extended component peaking at the solar edge and extending into the heliosphere. The flux of these components is expected to vary with the 11 yr solar cycle, being highest during solar minimum and lowest during solar maximum, as it varies with the cosmic-ray flux. No study has yet analyzed the flux variation of each component over solar cycles. In this work, we measure the temporal variations of the flux of each component over 15 yr of Fermi Large Area Telescope observations and compare them with the sunspot number and Galactic cosmic-ray flux from AMS-02 near Earth. We find that the flux variation of the disk anticorrelates with the sunspot number and correlates with cosmic-ray protons, as expected, confirming its emission mechanism. In contrast, the extended component exhibits a more complex variation: despite an initial anticorrelation with the sunspot number, we find neither anticorrelation with the sunspot number nor correlation with cosmic-ray electrons over the full 15 yr period. This most likely suggests that cosmic-ray transport and modulation in the inner heliosphere are unexpectedly complex and may differ for electrons and protons or, alternatively, that there is an additional, unknown component of gamma rays or cosmic rays. These findings impact space weather research and emphasize the need for close monitoring of Cycle 25 and the ongoing polarity reversal.

Acharyya, A. [Univ. of Southern Denmark, Odense (D↗

Report on High-Fidelity Dynamic Modeling of a Coal-Fired Steam Power Plant

As a result of the growth of renewables including solar and wind energy with fluctuating production, fossil fuel power plants are being required to cycle between high and low power production. This cycling is both at a greater frequency and over a wider range than in the past. In many cases, power plants are not designed for this type of cycling operation but can nonetheless endure these challenging operation requirements under the right conditions. In this project, optimal solution for enhanced flexible operations are being investigated using model based estimation and control techniques. To support the development of model-based estimator and model-based controls at GE Global Research, GE Steam Power configured a dynamic model using a reference steam plant design including the boiler, turbine, and water/steam conditioning systems as well as the controls needed for plant cycling with stability and reliability. The dynamic model was built using the APROS® software from VTT, and then calibrated to multiple load conditions from full load (100%TMCR) to partial loads (75%TMCR, 50%TMCR and 25%TMCR) based on internally developed steady state heat balance models at the unit level. These internal heat balance models are based on first principles and extensive engineering experiences from GE Steam Power as an OEM and a services provider. This topical report presents the structure of the unit level dynamic model, the tuning process, and representative simulation results from typical load cycling simulations using the dynamic model.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗