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At least 73 records · Page 4

Managing negative values is reservoir inflow computation: A case study

Reservoir inflow is conventionally estimated using the water balance method, which involves the reservoir release and the change in storage during the period considered. As a result, the estimated inflow may sometimes be negative as the errors involved in each input variable build-up to the output. In our study, the fleet data was provided by the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) for their Norris Hydropower facility. Unlike the flow release data, which was readily accessible, the change in storage had to be calculated using the reservoir elevation and volume relationship. The original inflow estimates produced a wide range of negative values with large outliers, making it difficult to visualize the current trends. This paper describes a methodology to remove the negative values encountered during the inflow computation, and the results were analyzed by correlating with the nearby streamflow gaging stations.

Shibu, Asha

Using intrahost single nucleotide variant data to predict SARS-CoV-2 detection cycle threshold values

Over the last four years, each successive wave of the COVID-19 pandemic has been caused by variants with mutations that improve the transmissibility of the virus. Despite this, we still lack tools for predicting clinically important features of the virus. In this study, we show that it is possible to predict the PCR cycle threshold (Ct) values from clinical detection assays using sequence data. Ct values often correspond with patient viral load and the epidemiological trajectory of the pandemic. Using a collection of 36,335 high quality genomes, we built models from SARS-CoV-2 intrahost single nucleotide variant (iSNV) data, computing XGBoost models from the frequencies of A, T, G, C, insertions, and deletions at each position relative to the Wuhan-Hu-1 reference genome. Our best model had an R 2 of 0.604 [0.593–0.616, 95% confidence interval] and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 5.247 [5.156–5.337], demonstrating modest predictive power. Overall, we show that the results are stable relative to an external holdout set of genomes selected from SRA and are robust to patient status and the detection instruments that were used. This study highlights the importance of developing modeling strategies that can be applied to publicly available genome sequence data for use in disease prevention and control.

COVID19

Data and scripts from: “Denoising autoencoder for reconstructing sensor observation data and predicting evapotranspiration: noisy and missing values repair and uncertainty quantification”

This data package includes data and scripts from the manuscript “Denoising autoencoder for reconstructing sensor observation data and predicting evapotranspiration: noisy and missing values repair and uncertainty quantification”.The study addressed common challenges faced in environmental sensing and modeling, including uncertain input data, missing sensor observations, and high-dimensional datasets with interrelated but redundant variables. Point-scaled meteorological and soil sensor observations were perturbed with noises and missing values, and denoising autoencoder (DAE) neural networks were developed to reconstruct the perturbed data and further predict evapotranspiration. This study concluded that (1) the reconstruction quality of each variable depends on its cross-correlation and alignment to the underlying data structure, (2) uncertainties from the models were overall stronger than those from the data corruption, and (3) there was a tradeoff between reducing bias and reducing variance when evaluating the uncertainty of the machine learning models.This package includes:(1) Four ipython scripts (.ipynb): “DAE_train.ipynb” trains and evaluates DAE neural networks, “DAE_predict.ipynb” makes predictions from the trained DAE models, “ET_train.ipynb” trains and evaluates ET prediction neural networks, and “ET_predict.ipynb” makes predictions from trained ET models.(2) One python file (.py): “methods.py” includes all user-defined functions and python codes used in the ipython scripts.(3) A “sub_models” folder that includes five trained DAE neural networks (in pytorch format, .pt), which could be used to ingest input data before being fed to the downstream ET models in ‘ET_train.ipynb” or ‘ET_predict.ipynb’.(4) Two data files (.csv). Daily meteorological, vegetation, and soil data is in “df_data.csv”, where “df_meta.csv” contains the location and time information of “df_data.csv”. Each row (index) in “df_meta.csv” corresponds to each row in “df_data.csv”. These data files are formatted to follow the data structure requirements and be directly used in the ipython scripts, and they have been shuffled chronologically to train machine learning models. The meteorological and soil data was collected using point sensors between 2019-2023 at(4.a) Three shrub-dominated field sites in East River, Colorado (named “ph1”, “ph2” and “sg5” in “df_meta.csv”, where “ph1” and “ph2” were located at PumpHouse Hillslopes, and “sg5” was at Snodgrass Mountain meadow) and(4.b) One outdoor, mesoscale, and herbaceous-dominated experiment in Berkeley, California (named “tb” in “df_meta.csv”, short for Smartsoils Testbed at Lawrence Berkeley National Lab).- See "df_data_dd.csv" and "df_meta_dd.csv" for variable descriptions and the Methods section for additional data processing steps. See "flmd.csv" and "README.txt" for brief file descriptions.- All ipython scripts and python files are written in and require PYTHON language software.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Development of the ARM Lagrangian Large-Scale Forcing Data (ARMLAGTRAJ) Value-Added Product Based on the lagtraj Framework

The Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) large-scale forcing data developed based on the constrained variational analysis (VARANAL) value-added product (VAP) (Zhang and Lin 1997, Zhang et al. 2001, Xie et al. 2004, Tang et al. 2019) has been widely used for single-column models (SCMs), cloud-resolving models (CRMs), and large-eddy simulation models (LESs) to understand and improve physical processes in models. Recently, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) ARM user facility conducted several major field campaigns using ship-based moving observational platforms. For example, the Marine ARM GPCI Investigation of Clouds (MAGIC) field campaign focused on the role of subtropical marine-boundary layer (MBL) clouds, and the Multidisciplinary Drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) field campaign aimed to improve understanding of the coupled climate systems in the Arctic. Observations from moving platforms are critical to provide a comprehensive characterization of coupled-system processes associated with all stages of the cloud and/or sea-ice life cycle. Traditional ARM large-scale forcing data have been developed at fixed locations. They need to be extended to include these moving platforms to address data needs for ship-based field campaigns or to support LES modeling in a Lagrangian framework. With these considerations in mind, we develop ARM-type Lagrangian large-scale forcing data sets based on the lagtraj framework (Boeing et al. 2020) with notable enhancements in generating forcings that are more suitable for ARM field campaigns. The lagtraj is a novel tool that generates forcings for LES and SCM simulation in both Lagrangian and Eulerian perspective. This technical report focuses on the major changes we performed on the lagtraj algorithm and provides an overview of the ARM Lagrangian Large-Scale Forcing Data (ARMLAGTRAJ) value-added products.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Formatting and V&V of Consistent 238,240−24 2Pu $\overline{v}_p$ Evaluated Mean Values and Covariances

This report is in answer to the Nuclear Criticality Safety Program FY24 quarter 4 milestone that requires: “Format and V&V nu-bar means and covariances” for 238,240-242 Pu average prompt fission neutron multiplicities, $\overline{ν}$ p , that were obtained by a consistent evaluation leveraging the fission-event generator CGMF and a detailed uncertainty quantification of experimental data. It is described how nuclear data mean values and covariances were formatted using ENDFtk. Implementing the new 238,240-242 Pu $\overline{ν}$ p into the ENDF/B-VIII.1β 4 library leads to only small overall changes in criticality values of the Jezebel, Dirty Jezebel, Jupiter-001, Jupiter-002, EUCLID 3x2 and EUCLID 8x1 critical assemblies. Simulated k eff uncertainties due to $\overline{ν}$ p covariances change only little if cross-isotope covariances are considered or not for those assemblies with low percentage content of minor Pu isotopes. However, for the Dirty Jezebel critical assembly, that has a sizeable 240 Pu and non-negligible 241 Pu content, the simulated k eff uncertainties due to considering or neglecting cross-isotope $\overline{ν}$ p covariances is 443 versus 374 pcm.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS

Extracted Radar Columns and In Situ Sensors (RadCLss) Value-Added Product Report

In order to validate precipitation, in 2010 the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility procured 3- and 5-cm wavelength radars for documenting the macrophysical, microphysical, and dynamical structure of precipitating systems. To maximize the scientific impact, ARM supported the development of an application chain to correct for various phenomena in order to retrieve the “point” values of moments of the radar spectrum and polarimetric measurements. In estimation from ARM radars, a workflow was created to directly compare radar “point” values with various in situ observations at the surface.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Co-synthesis of Hydrogen and High-Value Carbon Products from Methane Pyrolysis

The ARPA-E Methane Pyrolysis Project successfully developed a scalable technology for hydrogen production with low-CO x emission through methane pyrolysis, co-producing high-value carbon nanotubes (CNTs). The project focused on optimizing reactor design, enhancing catalyst performance, and assessing techno-economic feasibility to create a commercially viable and environmentally sustainable process. The fluidized bed reactor achieved over 90% methane (CH 4 ) conversion by using a 5% CO 2 co-feed, which stabilizes carbon yields and minimizes catalyst deactivation. This setup allowed for continuous operation across ten cycles, each consisting of a 14-minute pyrolysis phase followed by a 10-minute dislodging phase to remove a fraction of the accumulated carbon, resulting in stable performance and high-quality CNT production. In parallel, monolith reactors coated with Fe demonstrated a sustained methane conversion of 73% while producing CNTs with high crystallinity. Although promising for continuous operation, monolith reactors face challenges in coating durability and scalability, highlighting areas for further optimization in commercial applications. Catalyst formulation played a key role in enhancing process efficiency. The core catalyst used was 5%Fe/Al 2 O 3 (wt%), optimized through wet impregnation, which improved CNT morphology, yielding longer and more uniform CNTs. The catalyst's performance was further enhanced by adding promoters: 2.5 wt% Ni increased methane conversion close to the thermodynamic limit, while 2.5 wt% Mn improved CNT alignment and crystallinity, and 1.5 wt% NaCl boosted CNT morphology but slightly lowered methane conversion. These adjustments allowed the reactor to maintain high methane conversion while producing high-quality CNTs, enabling stable performance over multiple cycles. To address carbon buildup and ensure uninterrupted operation, a pneumatic conveying tube was implemented for effective carbon dislodging in the fluidized bed configuration. CO 2 and H 2 O co-feeds were also introduced to enhance carbon removal, with CO 2 boosting CNT yield by approximately 15%. This setup enabled stable reactor operation across multiple cycles, preventing clogging and minimizing catalyst wear, making the process suitable for industrial scaling. Techno-economic analysis (TEA) projected hydrogen production costs between $\$$1.00 and $\$$1.64 per kilogram, with CNT values assumed at $\$$375/ton and $\$$100/ton. The life cycle assessment showed that CO 2 emissions could be as low as 0.64 kg CO 2 e/kg H 2 at 95% methane conversion assuming an electricity input of 50 kg CO 2 e/MWh. Even at 50% methane conversion, emissions remained below 1 kg CO 2 e/kg H 2 , demonstrating the process's low-emission potential and making it a viable alternative to traditional steam methane reforming. Overall, the results from this project demonstrate the feasibility of a pyrolysis process where carbon is continuously removed from the catalyst surface and hydrogen is continuously produced until a catalyst regeneration step is required to fully clean the catalyst surface and renew catalyst performance. Major open challenges are related to avoiding the loss of catalyst material in the dislodged carbon during fluidized bed conditions, since our best result demonstrated a carbon purity of ~70 wt. % (rest being iron and alumina). A monolith reactor was used to favor dislodgement of carbon compared to fluidized bed conditions but our results do not demonstrate an advantage of the monolith configuration. Catalyst performance was similar to fluidized bed conditions with slower deactivation rates overall, but we could not observe carbon dislodging in any of the tens of experiments that were run at Stanford. Our results show that the most relevant areas of improvement are related to the fundamental understanding of the iron-carbon interface for dislodging, and the development of catalyst that can produce CNTs via a base-growth mechanism such that catalyst is not lost in the dislodgement steps. The final report documents all findings and methodologies in detail, providing a valuable resource for the scientific community. By building on these results, researchers can further advance methane pyrolysis technology, moving toward a more sustainable, scalable pathway for hydrogen production. This work lays the foundation for future research and commercial efforts to reduce emissions in hydrogen production while generating valuable carbon products.

08 HYDROGEN

Challenges and Opportunities for Electric Utility Modeling and Asset Valuation Frameworks: Case Study on Valuing New Pumped Storage Hydropower

Asset valuation by electric utilities is becoming increasingly difficult in the rapidly changing electric sector. Rapid deployment of variable generation and inverter-based storage systems along with uncertain demand growth, climate, policies, and other factors create a challenging environment for understanding the value proposition of a new potential asset. This report describes an effort between the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) and three U.S. Department of Energy laboratories to perform a detailed review of utility modeling and analysis practices for asset valuation and identify challenges and opportunities for advancing its methods into the future. It focuses on a case study of new potential pumped storage hydropower (PSH) because of growing interest in new PSH capacity to provide energy balancing, firm capacity, and a range of ancillary services. Staff from the DOE labs conducted systematic interviews about current practices in capacity expansion modeling, production-cost modeling, hydrological modeling, and transmission stability modeling while also discussing how scenario analysis is conducted and how models and data are integrated. The effort resulted in a set of model, integration, and scenario recommendations that could be valuable to TVA, other utilities, system operators, and other stakeholders conducting integrated grid analysis. Individual model recommendations suggest exploring computational tradeoffs with detail and resolution across spatiotemporal structure, supply- and demand-side details, transmission overlays, market interactions, and ancillary services. Automated processes to pass data between models and conduct larger scenario suites could also enhance valuation practices by enabling a more consistent study of asset value across a broader range of uncertain future grid conditions where PSH could be particularly valuable. TVA and other industry stakeholders can learn from and adapt applied research-grade methods developed by DOE laboratories and other research institutions to improve decision making and accelerate progress towards a reliable, economic, sustainable energy system.

13 HYDRO ENERGY

Seeing values for LSST strategy simulations

The opsim4 operations simulation program for the LSST astronomical survey uses a database of seeing values covering the range of times to besimulated. Idescribethe creation of such a database using Dual Image Motion Monitor(DIMM)datacollected at Cerro Pachon from 2004-03-17 to 2019-10-07. In times during which the data overlap, I compare the distribution of DIMM seeing values to the seeing measured in DECamimages,takenatasite 10kmaway. Becauseinstrumentalproblemsinthe DIMMmay indicate unreliablemeasurements,cutsonimagequality(asindicatedby the measured Strehlratio)wereexplored. TheDIMMhassignificantgaps,soImodel thedata(withandwithoutcutsonStrehlratio)andgenerateartificialdatainthegaps according to the model. The model consists of a sinusoidal variation with a period of one year, an autoregressive (AR1) model for variations in mean seeing from one night to the next, and another AR1 model for variations on a 5 minute timescale. I create four databases according to thisprocedure, twobasedonDIMMdatastarting 2006-01-01 (with and without a Strehl ratio cut), and two starting 2009-01-01. I then run opsim simulations using each, and an otherwise identical simulation using the default seeing database, and explore the differences

Neilsen, Eric H. [Fermilab]

Framework for Quantitative Evaluation of Resilience Solutions: An Approach to Determine the Value of Resilience for a Particular Site

This paper describes an approach to obtaining a dollar value for the improvement in the resilience of projects for a particular site. The paper provides an approach to valuing resilience to provide justification for hardening cyber facilities that can be used by expert users/economists in undertaking investment-grade valuations to validate the appropriateness of funding for resilience mitigation projects.

resilience, valuation, cyber security

Grid Value Analysis of Geothermal Systems for End-Use Applications

Fuel based end-uses for residential, commercial, and industrial consumers require a technology change to achieve economy-wide decarbonization. Space heating accounts for 42% of residential and 32% of commercial energy demand, much of which is currently met through carbon emitting fuels. Industrial energy use is heavily fuel based with electricity currently representing 13% of energy demand. Geothermal heat pumps (GHPs) and geothermal direct use can eliminate the need for CO2 emitting and simultaneously allow for more efficient electrification of end uses. Past work has assessed the impact on total energy costs and generation investments but did not identify specific grid services benefited. Energy usage in residential and commercial structures was assessed by leveraging data from ComStock and ResStock models. These models utilize housing attributes, occupancy patterns, weather data, and sophisticated energy simulations to generate hourly load profiles for individual buildings identified by unique IDs associated with their locations. Industrial sector energy use was evaluated using information from the Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey (MECS) as well as plant utilization data from the US Census to estimate hourly plant operations. The change in end-use demand for electricity, natural gas, and other fuels was calculated for different technologies that could meet this need. Using the ReEDS capacity expansion model, we produce regional price profiles that capture the grid benefit associated with the amount and timing of energy shifts in the power system from the adoption of geothermal systems relative to other technologies that could meet space heating, space cooling, and process heat requirements. We find that geothermal systems for meeting end-use demand add value to the energy system. In buildings where geothermal systems increase grid costs, these values are offset by reduced fuel costs and benefits to externalities, including emissions and health impacts.

decarbonization

Encoding of symbols for a computer interconnect based on frequency of symbol values

Data are serially communicated over an interconnect between an encoder and a decoder. The encoder includes a first training unit to count a frequency of symbol values in symbol blocks of a set of N number of symbol blocks in an epoch. A circular shift unit of the encoder stores a set of most-recently-used (MRU) amplitude values. An XOR unit is coupled to the first training unit and the first circular shift unit as inputs and to the interconnect as output. A transmitter is coupled to the encoder XOR unit and the interconnect and thereby contemporaneously sends symbols and trains on the symbols. In a system, a device includes a receiver and decoder that receive, from the encoder, symbols over the interconnect. The decoder includes its own training unit for decoding the transmitted symbols.

SeyedzadehDelcheh, SeyedMohammad

The Impact of Cultural Values and Organizational Processes on Nuclear Security Operations

Human performance is a pivotal factor in the design, testing, maintenance, and operation of security systems. The effectiveness of these systems relies not only on the capabilities, limitations, motives, and attitudes of the individuals involved, but also on the quality of training, instructional content, and evaluation methods provided. To uphold security standards, seamless integration between technologies and operators necessitates reliable human input. In security operations, human errors, often attributed to blame, sanctions, low motivation, individual accountability, or complacency, are primary causes of system failures. Complacency, characterized by a false sense of security, reflects a lack of awareness of potential threats and is a significant contributing factor to lapses in security. Security incidents arise from various factors, many extend beyond individual control, highlighting the need for a holistic approach to human performance that integrates organizational processes and team collaboration. Historically, errors have been attributed to individual moral or cognitive failures. However, insights from Operational Experiences (OEs) suggest that organizational processes weakness and deficiencies in nuclear cultural values contribute more significantly to security failures than individual mistakes. This paper consolidates lessons learned from diverse international nuclear security cultures and aims to highlight the importance of security culture in shaping global perspectives on nuclear security. It underscores the role of cultural values in shaping nuclear security practices and enhancing the resilience of security systems in the nuclear sector.

Zineddin, Dr. Z. [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000848740725)

Estimating value of information for heliostat washing operations at solar thermal plants

Concentrating solar power (CSP) plants depend on thousands of heliostats whose reflectance declines as dust accumulates. Operators routinely measure reflectance to estimate soiling and, in turn, inform cleaning schedules, but the value of collecting more frequent or more accurate data has not been formally quantified. This study introduces a Monte Carlo discrete event simulation framework that integrates stochastic models of soiling, weather, and measurement error with a dynamic cleaning dispatch policy to estimate annual energy production and operations costs. Applied to two representative central-receiver field configurations, the results show that both the frequency and accuracy of reflectance measurements can meaningfully impact plant performance. In both case studies, reducing measurement intervals yields significant returns, with the energy gains greatly exceeding the cost of more frequent data collection. The simulation framework serves as a decision-support tool for CSP operators, allowing them to input site-specific soiling conditions, measurement accuracy, and survey frequency to evaluate the tradeoffs between data collection cost and energy recovery, and to identify measurement strategies that maximize plant profit.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

The Cybersecurity Value-at-Risk Framework: Informing Cybersecurity Decisions

The Cybersecurity Value-at-Risk Framework is a tool that can be used by hydropower plant manager to make more educated cybersecurity investments. Users can take a self guided assessment allowing the tools to generate risk, impact and cybersecurity scores and be given risk-based recommendations to enhance decision-making.

CVF

Phase transitions at unusual values of θ

We calculate the θ dependence in a cousin of QCD, where the vacuum structure can be analyzed exactly. The theory is $\mathcal{N}$ = 2 SU(2) gauge theory with N F = 0, 1, 2, 3 flavors of fundamentals, explicitly broken to $\mathcal{N}$ = 1 via an adjoint superpotential, and coupled to anomaly mediated supersymmetry breaking (AMSB). The hierarchy m AMSB ≪ μ 𝒩=1 ≪ Λ ensures the validity of our IR analysis. As expected from ordinary QCD, the vacuum energy is a function of θ which undergoes 1st order phase transitions between different vacua where the various dyons condense. For N F = 0 we find the expected phase transition at θ = π, while for N F = 1, 2, 3 we find phase transitions at fractional values of π.

Extended Supersymmetry

Acetate-based biological platforms: Bridging carbon dioxide utilization and high-value bioproduct production in oleaginous yeasts

Acetate is emerging as a promising two-carbon substrate in the circular bioeconomy, bridging the gap between single-carbon sources and high-value biofuels and bioproducts. This review examines the key pathways for acetate production, including the electrochemical reduction of carbon dioxide, syngas fermentation, and biological acetogenesis. It focuses on acetate metabolism in oleaginous yeasts, such as Yarrowia lipolytica and Rhodotorula toruloides, which efficiently convert acetate-derived acetyl-CoA units into diverse bioproducts such as lipids, fatty alcohols, triacetic acid lactone, and carotenoids. Recent advances in metabolic engineering, transcriptomics, and metabolic flux analysis have improved the understanding of acetate assimilation in these organisms, thereby increasing their potential for industrial applications. In addition, the feasibility of a biological gas-to-liquid platform that utilizes acetate as a central intermediate for scalable biomanufacturing is discussed. Integrating acetate utilization with sustainable production strategies offers a promising path to advance the bio-based economy. Using acetate as a versatile metabolic intermediate enables the conversion of industrial emissions into biofuels and bioproducts while avoiding the energetic and toxicity constraints associated with direct fermentation of gaseous substrates.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Effect of H 2 O on the ethylene glycol/alkali dismantling of bagasse for high-value conversion

Using a high-boiling alcohol system to dismantle main components of biomass is a feasible technology. Reducing dismantle operating costs and improving dismantle efficiency are essential for promoting the green, economical, and sustainable development of biomass refining. Therefore, based on the low cost and chemical properties of H 2 O at high temperature, the effects of different H 2 O dosages in NaOH-catalyzed ethylene glycol (HBAA) system on the dismantling efficiency of bagasse, surface lignin coverage, recovered-lignin activity and enzymatic hydrolysis efficiency were investigated. Compared with the HBAA dismantling system without H 2 O, the HBAA system with 60% w/v H 2 O can obviously increase the removal rates of lignin and hemicellulose, while recovering up to 99% of cellulose and significantly declining surface lignin coverage, thus enhancing the enzymatic hydrolysis efficiency. Additionally, the results of density functional theory calculations and 2D HSQC NMR analysis prove that the synergy between H 2 O and ethylene glycol can promote the esterification reaction occurrence at the α-C carbon cation in β-O-4 structure of lignin, thereby protecting the β-O-4 aromatic ether bond. Simultaneously, when the H 2 O dosage increase from 0% to 60%, the enzymatic yield increases from 84.51% to 93.74% with an enzyme load of 10 FPU/g. Based on experimental results, this study conducted a techno-economic analysis of bagasse dismantling for ethanol and co-production of lignin, achieving a minimum ethanol selling price of $\$$1.07 per kg. Here, in this study, a green and economical solution for dismantling the main components of bagasse is developed, which is important for the high-value conversion of bagasse.

Ethylene glycol