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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 721 records · Page 40

Integration of discrete-event dynamics and machining dynamics for machine tool: Modeling, analysis and algorithms

Machining dynamics research lays a solid foundation for machining operations by providing stable combinations of spindle speed and depth of cut. Furthermore, machine learning has been applied to predict tool life as a function of cutting speed. However, the existing research does not consider the discrete-event dynamics in machine shop, i.e., the machine tool needs to process a series of parts in queue under various practical production requirements. This paper addresses the integration of discrete-event dynamics and machining dynamics to achieve cost savings in machining. A learning-based cost function is first proposed for the studied integrated optimization problem of machine tool. The proposed cost function utilizes the predicted tool life under different stable cutting speeds for further optimizing speed selection of machine tool to deal with the discrete-event dynamics in machine shop. Then, according to the practical production requirements, effective mathematical optimization models are developed for the related integrated optimization problems with the consideration of cost, makespan and due date, respectively. Numerical results show the effectiveness of our proposed methods and also the potential to be used in practice.

Ma, Mason↗

Optimal Droop Setting for Congestion Reduction in a 100% Grid-Forming Inverter-based Power System

he high penetration of inverter-based resources (IBRs) introduces new challenges to power systems due to the complex inverter control. However, IBRs can be configured to maximize their benefits to improve system resilience and reliability. This paper proposes a steady-state optimization model that aims to mitigate transmission congestion in a 100% grid- forming (GFM) IBR-based power system. This goal is achieved by determining the optimal droop settings for the GFM IBRs under different congestion conditions due to renewable energy and load variations. The numerical solution is rigorously verified by a high-fidelity model of the IEEE 39-bus test system with detailed GFM IBR control in the time-domain electromagnetic transient (EMT) simulation tool PSCAD. The numerical solution and simulation results show a significant congestion reduction while meeting all other operating requirements. It is also observed that the numerical solving time is substantially less compared to the EMT simulation time.

Nguyen, Quan H.↗

On the robust optimization to the uncertain vaccination strategy problem

In order to prevent an epidemic of infectious diseases, the vaccination coverage needs to be minimized and also the basic reproduction number needs to be maintained below 1. This means that as we get the vaccination coverage as minimum as possible, thus we need to prevent the epidemic to a small number of people who already get infected. In this paper, we discuss the case of vaccination strategy in term of minimizing vaccination coverage, when the basic reproduction number is assumed as an uncertain parameter that lies between 0 and 1. We refer to the linear optimization model for vaccination strategy that propose by Becker and Starrzak (see [2]). Assuming that there is parameter uncertainty involved, we can see Tanner et al (see [9]) who propose the optimal solution of the problem using stochastic programming. In this paper we discuss an alternative way of optimizing the uncertain vaccination strategy using Robust Optimization (see [3]). In this approach we assume that the parameter uncertainty lies within an ellipsoidal uncertainty set such that we can claim that the obtained result will be achieved in a polynomial time algorithm (as it is guaranteed by the RO methodology). The robust counterpart model is presented.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Assessment of an In Silico Mechanistic Model for Proarrhythmia Risk Prediction Under the Ci PA Initiative

The International Council on Harmonization (ICH) S7B and E14 regulatory guidelines are sensitive but not specific for predicting which drugs are pro‐arrhythmic. In response, the Comprehensive In Vitro Proarrhythmia Assay (Ci PA ) was proposed that integrates multi‐ion channel pharmacology data in vitro into a human cardiomyocyte model in silico for proarrhythmia risk assessment. Previously, we reported the model optimization and proarrhythmia metric selection based on Ci PA training drugs. In this study, we report the application of the prespecified model and metric to independent Ci PA validation drugs. Over two validation datasets, the Ci PA model performance meets all pre‐specified measures for ranking and classifying validation drugs, and outperforms alternatives, despite some in vitro data differences between the two datasets due to different experimental conditions and quality control procedures. This suggests that the current Ci PA model/metric may be fit for regulatory use, and standardization of experimental protocols and quality control criteria could increase the model prediction accuracy even further.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Influence of deformation induced nanoscale twinning and FCC-HCP transformation on hardening and texture development in medium-entropy CrCoNi alloy

Texture evolution during room-temperature tensile testing of recrystallized equimolar CrCoNi was studied using electron backscatter diffraction and electron channeling contrast imaging on specimens from interrupted tests. Dominant deformation mechanisms included slip at low strains and deformation twinning at larger strains, which were accompanied by the development of a strong <111> texture parallel to the tensile axis. Highly deformed material also contained nanotwin/hcp lamellae, which have previously been hypothesized to act as potent barriers for non-coplanar dislocations. To examine this hypothesis, mean-field modeling was performed using the viscoplastic self-consistent framework with varying ratios for hardening by slip and twinning. In the optimal model, twinning produced approximately three times as much non-coplanar hardening as slip, which is larger than previous observations in other twinning-induced plasticity materials that do not form twin/hcp lamellae. Additional full-field elasto-viscoplastic simulations were performed using the fast Fourier transform (EVP-FFT) method to examine intragranular rotation and the effect of initial grain orientation on the deformation mode. Grains with initial orientations near <111> had the greatest propensity for deformation twinning while grains near <100> were more likely to deform by slip even at large strains. In conclusion, excellent quantitative agreement was obtained between the experiments and EVP-FFT model.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Optimal deployment of thermal energy storage under diverse economic and climate conditions

This paper presents an investigation of the economic benefit of thermal energy storage (TES) for cooling, across a range of economic and climate conditions. Chilled water TES systems are simulated for a large office building in four distinct locations, Miami in the U.S.; Lisbon, Portugal; Shanghai, China; and Mumbai, India. Optimal system size and operating schedules are determined using the optimization model DER-CAM, such that total cost, including electricity and amortized capital costs are minimized. The economic impacts of each optimized TES system is then compared to systems sized using a simple heuristic method, which bases system size as fraction (50percent and 100percent) of total on-peak summer cooling loads. Results indicate that TES systems of all sizes can be effective in reducing annual electricity costs (5percent-15percent) and peak electricity consumption (13percent-33percent). The investigation also indentifies a number of criteria which drive TES investment, including low capital costs, electricity tariffs with high power demand charges and prolonged cooling seasons. In locations where these drivers clearly exist, the heuristically sized systems capture much of the value of optimally sized systems; between 60percent and 100percent in terms of net present value. However, in instances where these drivers are less pronounced, the heuristic tends to oversize systems, and optimization becomes crucial to ensure economically beneficial deployment of TES, increasing the net present value of heuristically sized systems by as much as 10 times in some instances.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Cost optimization of low-salt-rejection reverse osmosis

Low-salt-rejection reverse osmosis (LSRRO) is an emerging membrane-based desalination technology for concentrating brines with potentially lower energy consumption and cost than thermally driven processes. We assess the technoeconomic performance of LSRRO by using an optimization model that minimizes the levelized cost of water (LCOW). We develop detailed models for the RO module and other equipment using WaterTAP (Water treatment Technoeconomic Assessment Platform), an open-source simulation and optimization software for water treatment. We improve upon previous LSRRO cost optimization studies by optimizing the salt permeability for each stage, which has significant implications for technoeconomic performance. We present the cost-optimal design, operation, and performance for three cases: 35 g/L TDS feed at 70% recovery, 70 g/L at 55%, and 125 g/L at 35%. The cost-optimal LCOW and specific energy consumption (SEC) for these cases are 0.70, 1.89, and 7.41 $/m 3 and 3.9, 8.4, and 30.4 kWh/m 3 , respectively. For each case, we use sensitivity analyses to provide guidance on key factors that impact economic viability. We also present the cost-optimal LCOW and SEC for feed concentrations between 5 and 220 g/L TDS and recoveries between 30 and 90%. So, we compare LSRRO to other high-salinity desalination technologies and find that it may be cost-competitive below feed concentrations of 125 g/L.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Biofuel Infrastructure, Logistics, and Transportation (BILT) Model for Supply Chain Analysis: Documentation for BILT

The Biofuel Infrastructure, Logistics, and Transportation (BILT) model for supply chain analysis developed by Oak Ridge National Laboratory for the US Department of Energy is an accounting and optimization model that tracks the entire biomass-to-end-use supply chain (e.g., biomass production, transportation, and processing) for potential feedstocks, pathways, and end uses. This report summarizes the development, function, and operation of the BILT model.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Minimum GHG emissions and energy consumption of U.S. PET and polyolefin packaging supply chains in a circular economy

There is a wide agreement on the urgency of transforming linear management of plastics towards a circular economy model. However, no clear pathways exist as to required recycling technologies involved and system-wide environmental impacts. This study explores such pathways in the U.S. for the most commonly used packaging plastics through a combination of mechanical and emerging advanced recycling technologies. A system optimization model aimed at minimizing environmental impacts was developed to determine optimal end-of-life (EOL) management and locations of existing and emerging U.S. recycling infrastructures. Our study includes material flows from virgin resin production through semi-manufacturing processes to existing EOL disposal and recycling processes. An optimized circular plastics packaging system achieved greenhouse gas (GHG) emission savings of up to 28% and cumulative energy demand (CED) savings of up to 46%, compared to the linear economy. Moreover, these savings of GHG emissions and CED impacts represent a reduction of 0.16% and 0.49% compared to annual U.S. GHG emissions and energy consumption in 2022, respectively. The optimal recycling rates and systems-level circularity ranged from 78–99% and 57–75%, respectively. Increased energy savings led to increased GHG emissions showing a potential trade-off between GHG emissions and energy. Analysis of 40 scenarios showed the importance of material collection distances, blend limit of mechanically recycled resins, process yields, and mandated recycling rates for achieving a sustainable circular economy of plastics.

09 - BIOMASS FUELS↗

Pitch-angle scattering of energetic charged particles in nearly constant magnitude magnetic turbulence

We use a method developed by Roberts that optimizes the phase angles of an ensemble of plane waves with amplitudes determined from a Kolmogorov-like power spectrum, to construct magnetic field vector fluctuations having nearly constant magnitude and large variances in its components. This is a representation of the turbulent magnetic field consistent with that observed in the solar wind. Charged-particle pitch-angle diffusion coefficients are determined by integrating the equations of motion for a large number of charged particles moving under the influence of forces from our predefined magnetic field. We tested different cases by varying the kinetic energy of the particles (E {sub p}) and the turbulent magnetic field variance (σ{sub B}{sup 2}). For each combination of E {sub p} and σ{sub B}{sup 2}, we tested three different models: (1) the so-called “slab” model, where the turbulent magnetic field depends on only one spatial coordinate and has significant fluctuations in its magnitude (b=√(δB{sub x}{sup 2}(z)+δB{sub y}{sup 2}(z)+B{sub 0}{sup 2})); (2) the slab model optimized with nearly constant magnitude b; and (3) the slab model turbulent magnetic field with nearly constant magnitude plus a “variance-conserving” adjustment. In the last case, this model attempts to conserve the variance of the turbulent components (σ{sub Bx}{sup 2}+σ{sub By}{sup 2}), which is found to decrease during the optimization with nearly constant magnitude. We found that there is little or no effect on the pitch-angle diffusion coefficient D{sub μμ} between models 1 and 2. However, the result from model 3 is significantly different. We also introduce a new method to accurately determine the pitch-angle diffusion coefficients as a function of μ.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Automated defect identification in electroluminescence images of solar modules

Solar photovoltaic (PV) modules are susceptible to manufacturing defects, mishandling problems or extreme weather events that can limit energy production or cause early device failure. Trained professionals use electroluminescence (EL) images to identify defects in modules, however, field surveys or inline image acquisition can generate millions of EL images, which are infeasible to analyze by rote inspection. Here, we develop a rapid automatic computer vision pipeline (~0.5 seconds/module) to analyze EL images and identify defects including cracks, intra-cell defects, oxygen-induced defects, and solder disconnections. Defect identification is achieved with a machine learning model (Random Forest, ResNet models and YOLO) trained on 762 manually-labeled EL images of PV modules. We compare model performance on an imbalanced real-world validation set containing 134 EL images and determine that ResNet18 and YOLO are the optimal models; we next evaluated these models on a dedicated testing set (129 module images) with resulting macro F1 scores of 0.83 (ResNet18) and 0.78 (YOLO). Using a field EL survey of a PV power plant damaged in a vegetation fire, we analyze 18,954 EL images (2.4 million cells) and inspect the spatial distribution of defects on the solar modules. The results find increased frequency of ‘crack’, ‘solder’ and ‘intra-cell’ defects on the edges of the solar module closest to the ground after fire. We also find an abnormal increase of striation rings on cells which were assumed to be caused mainly in fabrication process. Our methods are published as open-source software. It can also be used to identify other kinds of defects or process different types of solar cells with minor modification on models by transfer learning.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Extracting Grain Orientations from EBSD Patterns of Polycrystalline Materials Using Convolutional Neural Networks

Abstract We present a deep learning approach to the indexing of electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) patterns. We design and implement a deep convolutional neural network architecture to predict crystal orientation from the EBSD patterns. We design a differentiable approximation to the disorientation function between the predicted crystal orientation and the ground truth; the deep learning model optimizes for the mean disorientation error between the predicted crystal orientation and the ground truth using stochastic gradient descent. The deep learning model is trained using 374,852 EBSD patterns of polycrystalline nickel from simulation and evaluated using 1,000 experimental EBSD patterns of polycrystalline nickel. The deep learning model results in a mean disorientation error of 0.548° compared to 0.652° using dictionary based indexing.

Materials Science↗

Modeling the Value of Integrated Canadian and U.S. Power Sector Expansion

The United States and Canada power systems are not isolated. Cross-border transmission and coordination of system operation create an interconnected power system, which results in combined imports and exports of electricity of greater than 70 TWh per year [1]. Currently, over 5 GW of new international transmission lines are in various stages of permitting and development. These lines may enable greater integration and coordination of the U.S. and Canada systems, which can in turn reduce challenges associated with integration of high penetrations of variable renewables. Furthermore, low-cost Canadian resources, such as wind and hydro, could contribute to compliance with the EPA's recently released Clean Power Plan. Improving integration and coordination internationally will reduce the costs of accessing these resources. This analysis work build on previous work by Ibanez and Zinaman [2]. In this work we seek to better understand the value of additional interconnection between the U.S. and Canadian power systems. Specifically, we quantify the value of additional interconnection and coordination within the Canadian-US integrated power system under scenarios in which large reductions (>80%) in power sector CO2 emissions are achieved. We explore how the ability to add additional cross-border transmission impacts capacity investment, the generation mix, system costs, and the ability of the system to integrate variable renewable energy into the power system. This analysis uses the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) capacity expansion model [3], [4] to quantify the value of the integrated power system expansion of the United States and Canada. ReEDS is an optimization model that assesses the deployment and operation (including transmission) of the electricity sector of the contiguous United States and Canadian provinces from 2016 through 2050. It has the ability to model the integration of renewable energy technologies into the grid. ReEDS captures renewable energy resources through the use of 356 individual resource regions and 134 balancing areas across the U.S. and is able to handle renewable energy issues such as variability in wind and solar output, transmission costs and constraints, and ancillary services requirements.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Systemwide Planning with a Branch-and-Price Algorithm for Pavement-Marking Assessment Data Collection via the Mobile Retroreflectivity Unit Routing Model

The visibility of pavement markings is one of the most critical factors for traffic safety, and a periodical assessment plan is crucial for maintaining this function. Traditional assessment methods, such as visual windshield surveys or manual testing using handheld devices, are unsafe, time-consuming, and labor-intensive. In recent years, transportation agencies have begun to adopt the use of mobile retroreflectivity units (MRUs) for condition assessment of pavement markings. MRUs, different from other manual methods, can be utilized to collect large-scale retroreflectivity data in an efficient manner. However, no relevant research has yet proposed a mathematical optimization model for arranging the evaluation schedule and paths of MRUs. This study aims to propose a MRU routing model, and an efficient solution methodology. A branch-and-price algorithm, including column generation and branch-and-bound, was implemented. Computational experiments have been conducted based on actual tasks from the Florida MRU program for validation. In conclusion, results show that the proposed solution methodology with a set partitioning model in this study not only finds the optimal solution for problems with tasks less than 60, but also effectively narrows the solution gap to be within 1.0% for problems with tasks less than 131.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Graph-based modeling and simulation of complex systems

We present graph-based modeling abstractions to represent cyber-physical dependencies arising in complex systems. Specifically, we propose an algebraic graph abstraction to capture physical connectivity in complex optimization models and a computing graph abstraction to capture communication connectivity in computing architectures. The proposed abstractions are scalable and are used as the backbone of a Julia-based software package that we call Plasmo.j1. Here, we show how the algebraic graph abstraction facilitates the implementation, analysis, and decomposition of optimization problems and we show how the computing graph abstraction facilitates the implementation of optimization and control algorithms and their simulation in virtual environments that involve distributed, centralized, and hierarchical computing architectures.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Tuning Neural Network Models for Improved Prediction of Boundary Layer Transition

Boundary layer transition can strongly impact flight vehicle performance as it influences surface skin friction and aerodynamic heating, making accurate transition prediction a key to designing next generation aircraft. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have shown promise toward predicting laminar-turbulent transition based on linear stability correlations. The computational efficiency of ANNs and the substantially reduced user involvement in relation to direct computations based on the linear stability theory (LST) makes them an attractive methodology for integrating the LST based correlations in computational fluid dynamics codes. Tollmien-Schlichting (TS) waves correspond to the dominant transition mechanism in 2D or weakly 3D subsonic boundary layers, such as those encountered in general aviation applications. Improvements to neural network model accuracy in predicting the amplification rates of TS instability waves have been investigated by leveraging recent machine learning developments in conjunction with surrogate optimization techniques and via suitable augmentation of the data used to train the networks. The optimized models trained on the modified dataset reduced the average transition location errors on different airfoils at several flow conditions by 51% of the original manually-tuned network’s errors on the same flow cases. The actual transition locations were derived from the Langley Stability and Transition Analysis Code (LASTRAC).

Machine Learning↗

Outer-Planet Mission Analysis Using Solar-Electric Ion Propulsion

Outer-planet mission analysis was performed using three next generation solar-electric ion thruster models. Optimal trajectories are presented that maximize the delivered mass to the designated outer planet. Trajectories to Saturn and Neptune with a single Venus gravity assist are investigated. For each thruster model, the delivered mass versus flight time curve was generated to obtain thruster model performance. The effects of power to the thrusters and resonance ratio of Venutian orbital periods to spacecraft period were also studied. Multiple locally optimal trajectories to Saturn and Neptune have been discovered in different regions of the parameter search space. The characteristics of each trajectory are noted.

Woo, Byoungsam↗