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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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Investigating the Effects of Space Weathering in Ryugu Samples Using Coordinated Microanalyses

Airless planetary surfaces are characterized by a distinct lack of an atmosphere or magnetic field, leading to direct exposure to the effects of hypervelocity micrometeoroid impacts and solar wind ion irradiation [1]. These processes, cumulatively known as space weathering, gradually alter the microstructural and chemical properties of the grains on airless surfaces. Signatures of space weathering include vesiculated textures, amorphous grain rims (upper ~100 nm), solar flare tracks, and Fe-bearing nanoparticles (npFe) [2,3]. The accumulation of these microstructural space weathering characteristics, particularly the presence of npFe, alters the spectral properties of airless regoliths resulting in changes in spectral slope and reflectance of the surfaces, and the attenuation of characteristic absorption bands in the visible to near-infrared (Vis-NIR) wavelengths. These spectral changes complicate our ability to accurately interpret the mineralogy of airless bodies via remote sensing spectroscopy [1,4]. Studies of space weathering have primarily focused on anhydrous silicate minerals, reflecting the main components of the available returned samples from the Moon and S-type asteroid Itokawa [3,5,6]. However, our understanding of space weathering of primitive, organic-rich carbonaceous materials is still a work in progress. The Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA)’s Hayabusa2 mission offered the first opportunity to directly investigate carbonaceous asteroids by returning samples from C-type asteroid (162173) Ryugu. Initial studies of Ryugu samples show mineralogical similarities to CI chondrites along with surface modifications consistent with space weathering. These surface modifications are primarily in the form of μm-thick silicate melts, amorphized phyllosilicates, glassy spherules, and burst vesicles [3,7]. Here, we report results from coordinated microanalytical techniques to further our understanding of the mineralogy and space weathering of carbonaceous materials.

L E Melendez↗

Multiresolution and Explicit Methods for Vector Field Analysis and Visualization

We first report on our current progress in the area of explicit methods for tangent curve computation. The basic idea of this method is to decompose the domain into a collection of triangles (or tetrahedra) and assume linear variation of the vector field over each cell. With this assumption, the equations which define a tangent curve become a system of linear, constant coefficient ODE's which can be solved explicitly. There are five different representation of the solution depending on the eigenvalues of the Jacobian. The analysis of these five cases is somewhat similar to the phase plane analysis often associate with critical point classification within the context of topological methods, but it is not exactly the same. There are some critical differences. Moving from one cell to the next as a tangent curve is tracked, requires the computation of the exit point which is an intersection of the solution of the constant coefficient ODE and the edge of a triangle. There are two possible approaches to this root computation problem. We can express the tangent curve into parametric form and substitute into an implicit form for the edge or we can express the edge in parametric form and substitute in an implicit form of the tangent curve. Normally the solution of a system of ODE's is given in parametric form and so the first approach is the most accessible and straightforward. The second approach requires the 'implicitization' of these parametric curves. The implicitization of parametric curves can often be rather difficult, but in this case we have been successful and have been able to develop algorithms and subsequent computer programs for both approaches. We will give these details along with some comparisons in a forthcoming research paper on this topic.

Source record↗

Slow and Steady: Ocean Circulation. The Influence of Sea Surface Height on Ocean Currents

The study of ocean circulation is vital to understanding how our climate works. The movement of the ocean is closely linked to the progression of atmospheric motion. Winds close to sea level add momentum to ocean surface currents. At the same time, heat that is stored and transported by the ocean warms the atmosphere above and alters air pressure distribution. Therefore, any attempt to model climate variation accurately must include reliable calculations of ocean circulation. Unlike movement of the atmosphere, movement of the ocean's waters takes place mostly near the surface. The major patterns of surface circulation form gigantic circular cells known as gyres. They are categorized according to their general location-equatorial, subtropical, subpolar, and polar-and may run across an entire ocean. The smaller-scale cell of ocean circulation is known' as an eddy. Eddies are much more common than gyres and much more difficult to track in computer simulations of ocean currents.

Haekkinen, Sirpa↗

Space/Time Statistics of Polar Ice Motion

Ice motions have been computed from passive microwave imagery (SMMR and SSM/I) on a daily basis for both Polar Regions. In the Arctic these daily motions have been merged with daily motions from AVHRR imagery and the Arctic buoy program. In the Antarctic motion only from the AVHRR were available for merging with the passive microwave vectors. Long-term means, monthly means and weekly means have all been computed from the resulting 22-year time series of polar ice motion. Papers are in preparation that present the long term (22 year) means, their variability and show animations of the monthly means over this time period for both Polar Regions. These papers will have links to "enhanced objects" that allow the reader to view the animations as part of the paper. The first paper presents the ice motion results from each of the Polar Regions. The second paper looks only at ice motion in the Arctic in order to develop a time series of ice age in the Arctic. Starting with the first full SMMR year in 1979 we keep track of each individual "ice element" (resolution of the sensor) and track it in the subsequent monthly time series. After a year we "age" each "particle" and we thus can keep track of the age of the ice starting in 1979. We keep track of ice age classes between one and five years and thus we can see the evolution of the ice as it ages after the initial 5-year period. This calculation shows how we are losing the older ice through Fram Strait at a rather alarming rate particularly in the past 15 years. This loss of older ice has resulted in an overall decrease in the thickest, oldest ice, which is now limited to a region just north of the Canadian Archipelago with tongues extending out across the pole towards the Siberian Shelf. This loss of old ice is consistent with the effects of global warming which provides the heat needed to melt, move and disperse this oldest ice through Fram Strait. This is the first step in a progression that may eventually open the Arctic ice pack and lead to an ice-free Arctic Ocean.

Emery, William J.↗

Enabling reactive microscopy with MicroMator

Microscopy image analysis has recently made enormous progress both in terms of accuracy and speed thanks to machine learning methods and improved computational resources. This greatly facilitates the online adaptation of microscopy experimental plans using real-time information of the observed systems and their environments. Applications in which reactiveness is needed are multifarious. Here we report MicroMator, an open and flexible software for defining and driving reactive microscopy experiments. It provides a Python software environment and an extensible set of modules that greatly facilitate the definition of events with triggers and effects interacting with the experiment. We provide a pedagogic example performing dynamic adaptation of fluorescence illumination on bacteria, and demonstrate MicroMator’s potential via two challenging case studies in yeast to single-cell control and single-cell recombination, both requiring real-time tracking and light targeting at the single-cell level.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Neutron-antineutron oscillation search with MicroBooNE and DUNE

The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) is an international project aiming at neutrino physics and astrophysics and a search for phenomena predicted by theories beyond the standard model (BSM). The excellent imaging capability of Liquid Argon Time Projection Chamber (LArTPC) technology, particle tracking and identification utilized in the Far Detector, as well as the Far Detector size and underground placement, allow the experiment to achieve high sensitivity to various rare processes. BSM theories predict the existence of baryon number non-conservation effects, in particular when the baryon number changes by 2. Here we discuss the sensitivity of DUNE to neutron-antineutron oscillation. With full event simulation and reconstruction using the LArSoft package, we have investigated the background to potential signal events from atmospheric neutrino interactions and particle misidentification, and utilized machine learning techniques to enhance the discrimination between signal and background. The methodologies being developed for a high-sensitivity search for neutron-antineutron oscillation in DUNE can also be demonstrated with the currently running MicroBooNE LArTPC. We discuss progress on demonstrating the developed techniques with the first-ever search for neutron-antineutron oscillation in a LArTPC using MicroBooNE data.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Analysis of Interlaminar Damage in Refractory Composites by In-Situ Micro-X-Ray Computed Tomography

Refractory composites are relevant for hot-structure applications on re-entry vehicles. To develop optimized high-performance hot structures, accurate material property data is required. Material properties that often limit design in two-dimensional (2-D) composites are interlaminar strengths. A better understanding of the failure mechanisms for interlaminar shear (ILS), interlaminar tension (ILT), and curved-beam interlaminar tension (CB-ILT) tests can provide insight on improving the design and fabrication of refractory composites. In-situ tests were performed to capture the progressive failure in American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM) sized ILS (ASTM D3846), ILT (ASTM D7291), and CB-ILT (ASTM D6415) specimens. The present study investigates the change in material behavior by examining the macro porosity change in in-situ ILS tests, the mesoscale and inter-ply porosity changes in flatwise in-situ ILT tests and the change in per-ply delamination in in-situ CB-ILT tests.

In-situ Damage Characterization↗

A New Standard DNA Damage (SDD) Data Format

Our understanding of radiation-induced cellular damage has greatly improved over the past few decades. Despite this progress, there are still many obstacles to fully understand how radiation interacts with biologically relevant cellular components, such as DNA, to cause observable end points such as cell killing. Damage in DNA is identified as a major route of cell killing. One hurdle when modeling biological effects is the difficulty in directly comparing results generated by members of different research groups. Multiple Monte Carlo codes have been developed to simulate damage induction at the DNA scale, while at the same time various groups have developed models that describe DNA repair processes with varying levels of detail. These repair models are intrinsically linked to the damage model employed in their development, making it difficult to disentangle systematic effects in either part of the modeling chain. These modeling chains typically consist of track-structure Monte Carlo simulations of the physical interactions creating direct damages to DNA, followed by simulations of the production and initial reactions of chemical species causing so-called “indirect” damages. After the induction of DNA damage, DNA repair models combine the simulated damage patterns with biological models to determine the biological consequences of the damage. To date, the effect of the environment, such as molecular oxygen (normoxic vs. hypoxic), has been poorly considered. We propose a new standard DNA damage (SDD) data format to unify the interface between the simulation of damage induction in DNA and the biological modeling of DNA repair processes, and introduce the effect of the environment (molecular oxygen or other compounds) as a flexible parameter. Such a standard greatly facilitates intermodel comparisons, providing an ideal environment to tease out model assumptions and identify persistent, underlying mechanisms. Through inter-model comparisons, this unified standard has the potential to significantly advance our understanding of the underlying mechanisms of radiation-induced DNA damage and the resulting observable biological effects when radiation parameters and/or environmental conditions change.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Thermo-Poro-Mechanical Modeling of RTV Intumescence

Room temperature vulcanizing (RTV) silicone is a high-temperature adhesive used as a gap-filler between heatshield tiles in numerous entry missions. Its propensity to intumesce, or swell upon exposure to heat, is a well-known effect that needs to be carefully quantified during design. At tile interfaces of charring ablators, intumescence, combined with differential recession, could cause the gap filler to protrude past the ablator outer mold line, forming a “fence”. Fencing can in turn cause transition to turbulence of the flow wetting the heat shield, leading to augmented surface heating. Recent experiments conducted at the Plasmatron X facility, the high enthalpy wind tunnel of the Center for Hypersonics and Entry Systems Studies, have shown prominent fencing of RTV gap fillers in PICA, under both nitrogen and air plasmas. Similar observations are well known in the arcjet literature. Further experiments under controlled environment, performed using in situ X-ray micro-computed tomography (micro-CT) at the Advanced Light Source (ALS), have shown heating rate-dependent swelling and shrinkage of RTV during pyrolysis. To simulate RTV intumescence, a novel model was introduced in the Porous Materials Analysis Toolbox based on OpenFOAM, PATO, to account for pore-pressure buildup within both closed- and open-pores. The governing equation for the thermo-poro-mechanical response were developed, assuming linear elasticity for the charring silicone. A new multi-pyrolysis model that tracks non-monotonic advancement of material properties with pyrolysis was proposed. This model addresses the limitations of state-of-the-art ablator models to capture the different stages of thermal degradation and coupled thermomechanics. Swelling of RTV was simulated using the new thermo-poro-mechanical model and compared against in situ micro-CT data. Results showed good agreement in intumescence height and temperature profiles at all heating rates, indicating that the key factor contributing to RTV swelling is the internal pressure build-up within closed- and open-pores. As RTV is cured into a soft (rubbery) compound with low-porosity and permeability, initial temperature increase and pyrolysis gas production cause a significant increase of internal pressure, causing a pronounced volume growth. As thermal degradation progresses, rigidization of the silicone occurs due to char hardening which counteract volume shrinkage after gas pressure relief. Overall, our model shows that accounting for changes in properties such porosity, permeability and key thermomechanical coefficients is crucial for capturing the RTV volume change during ablation and enable a predictive capability for heatshield tile interface response. A plan for future calibration of thermomechanical properties evolution during degradation is discussed, as a key next step to close the new model.

RTV↗

Thermo-Poro-Mechanical Modeling of RTV Intumescence

Room temperature vulcanizing (RTV) silicone is a high-temperature adhesive used as a gap-filler between heatshield tiles in numerous entry missions. Its propensity to intumesce, or swell upon exposure to heat, is a well-known effect that needs to be carefully quantified during design. At tile interfaces of charring ablators, intumescence, combined with differential recession, could cause the gap filler to protrude past the ablator outer mold line, forming a “fence”. Fencing can in turn cause transition to turbulence of the flow wetting the heat shield, leading to augmented surface heating. Recent experiments conducted at the Plasmatron X facility, the high enthalpy wind tunnel of the Center for Hypersonics and Entry Systems Studies, have shown prominent fencing of RTV gap fillers in PICA, under both nitrogen and air plasmas. Similar observations are well known in the arcjet literature. Further experiments under controlled environment, performed using in situ X-ray micro-computed tomography (micro-CT) at the Advanced Light Source (ALS), have shown heating rate-dependent swelling and shrinkage of RTV during pyrolysis. To simulate RTV intumescence, a novel model was introduced in the Porous Materials Analysis Toolbox based on OpenFOAM, PATO, to account for pore-pressure buildup within both closed- and open-pores. The governing equation for the thermo-poro-mechanical response were developed, assuming linear elasticity for the charring silicone. A new multi-pyrolysis model that tracks non-monotonic advancement of material properties with pyrolysis was proposed. This model addresses the limitations of state-of-the-art ablator models to capture the different stages of thermal degradation and coupled thermomechanics. Swelling of RTV was simulated using the new thermo-poro-mechanical model and compared against in situ micro-CT data. Results showed good agreement in intumescence height and temperature profiles at all heating rates, indicating that the key factor contributing to RTV swelling is the internal pressure build-up within closed- and open-pores. As RTV is cured into a soft (rubbery) compound with low-porosity and permeability, initial temperature increase and pyrolysis gas production cause a significant increase of internal pressure, causing a pronounced volume growth. As thermal degradation progresses, rigidization of the silicone occurs due to char hardening which counteract volume shrinkage after gas pressure relief. Overall, our model shows that accounting for changes in properties such porosity, permeability and key thermomechanical coefficients is crucial for capturing the RTV volume change during ablation and enable a predictive capability for heatshield tile interface response. A plan for future calibration of thermomechanical properties evolution during degradation is discussed, as a key next step to close the new model.

silicone intumescence↗

Bilayer Electron Transport Layers for High–Performance Rigid and Flexible Perovskite Solar Cells

While great progress is being made in achieving high power conversion efficiency (PCE), durability, and reliability in rigid and flexible n–i–p perovskite solar cells (PSCs), there is still room for improvement. Among myriad ways this can be achieved, one way is to improve the processing and quality of electron transport layers (ETLs) used in PSCs. To that end, here we explore the use of SnO 2 /TiO 2 bilayer ETLs in both rigid and flexible PSCs. In the case of rigid PSCs, chemical bath deposition (CBD) is used where the bilayer architecture affords the CBD of high-quality ETL, which results in PSCs with up to 25.13% PCE and operational stability T 80 (80% of initial PCE retained) of 2220 h under 1-sun continuous illumination with maximum power-point tracking. In the case of flexible PSCs, once again, the bilayer architecture allows us to fabricate high-quality ETL using spin coating, which results in PSCs with up to 22.54% PCE and excellent mechanical durability, withstanding 20 000 bending cycles with ≈92% of the initial PCE retained. Mechanisms underlying the enhanced performance and stability/durability of rigid and flexible PSCs that use SnO 2 /TiO 2 bilayer ETLs are elucidated. Furthermore, this approach could be extended to other ETL systems for PSCs for further improvements in PCE, durability, and reliability.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A Southern California Perspective of the April, 1998 Trans-Pacific Asian Dust Event

The Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) coherent CO2 backscatter lidar has been in almost continuous operation since 1984 and has now accumulated a significant time-series database tracking the long-term and seasonal variability of backscatter from the atmospheric column above the Pasadena, Calif. locale. A particularly noteworthy episode observed by the lidar in 1998 was a particularly extreme instance of incursion by Asian-sourced dust during the closing days of April. Such events are not uncommon during the northern spring, when strong cold fronts and convection over the Asian interior deserts loft crustal material into the mid-troposphere whence it can be transported across the Pacific Ocean, occasionally reaching the continental US. However, the abnormal strength of the initiating storm in this case generated an atypically dense cloud of material which resulted in dramatically reduced visibility along the length of the Western Seaboard. These dust events are now recognized as a potentially significant, non-negligible radiative forcing influence. The progress of the April 1998 dust cloud eastward across the Pacific Ocean was initially observed in satellite imagery and transmitted to the broader atmospheric research community via electronic communications. The use of Internet technology in this way was effective in facilitating a rapid response correlative measurement exercise by numerous atmospheric observation stations throughout the western US and its success has resulted in the subsequent establishment of an ad hoc communications environment, data exchange medium, and mechanism for providing early-warning alert of other significant atmospheric phenomena in the future.

Tratt, David M.↗

Representing Matrix Cracks Through Decomposition of the Deformation Gradient Tensor in Continuum Damage Mechanics Methods

A method is presented to represent the large-deformation kinematics of intraply matrix cracks and delaminations in continuum damage mechanics (CDM) constitutive material models. The method involves the additive decomposition of the deformation gradient tensor into 'crack' and 'bulk material' components. The response of the intact bulk material is represented by a reduced deformation gradient tensor, and the opening of an embedded cohesive interface is represented by a normalized cohesive displacement-jump vector. The rotation of the embedded interface is tracked as the material deforms and as the crack opens. The distribution of the total local deformation between the bulk material and the cohesive interface components is determined by minimizing the difference between the cohesive stress and the bulk material stress projected onto the cohesive interface. The improvements to the accuracy of CDM models that incorporate the presented method over existing approaches are demonstrated for a single element subjected to simple shear deformation and for a finite element model of a unidirectional open-hole tension specimen. The material model is implemented as a VUMAT user subroutine for the Abaqus/Explicit finite element software. The presented deformation gradient decomposition method reduces the artificial load transfer across matrix cracks subjected to large shearing deformations, and avoids the spurious secondary failure modes that often occur in analyses based on conventional progressive damage models.

Leone, Frank A., Jr.↗

Erosion Control Measures at Oak Ridge Reservation Landfills Oak Ridge, Tennessee - 19190

URS-CH2M Oak Ridge LLC (UCOR) manages the cleanup of the 2,200-acre East Tennessee Technology Park (ETTP) for its client, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), in Oak Ridge, Tennessee. The ETTP was contaminated with radioactive, hazardous and industrial wastes generated by more than 40 years of national defense and energy missions. In disposing of low-level radioactive and other wastes from demolition activities, the UCOR approach relies on the availability of onsite facilities to streamline disposal, reduce costs and enhance cleanup schedules while confining shipments and related hazards onsite. The sanitary/industrial waste facility, known as the Oak Ridge Reservation Landfill Facility (ORRLF) is a solid waste operation that receives and disposes of sanitary/industrial, construction/demolition and classified, special waste; and spoil materials types of waste generated at the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Oak Ridge facilities. ETTP is the primary generator; however, the landfill accepts waste from Y-12 National Security Complex (Y-12), Oak Ridge National Laboratory and other DOE prime contractors in the Oak Ridge area. ORRLF's mission is to receive nonhazardous, non-radioactive, and non-Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976 (RCRA)-regulated solid wastes. Approved operations include receiving, compacting, and covering wastes; leachate management, site drainage; erosion control and prevention, inspections, maintenance and recording keeping. The Oak Ridge Reservation has three separate State of Tennessee-permitted active landfills (Landfill IV, Landfill V, and Landfill VII) that meet different disposal needs -- classified industrial waste, industrial waste that includes office trash and cafeteria waste, and construction and demolition debris,. As with a typical landfill, strategic waste placement and covering involves moving a lot of soil, usually resulting in large areas of exposed land. After increased sediment was noted in streams following heavy rains, a concerted erosion prevention and sediment control effort began in 2017. While not uncommon for landfills, the ORRLF staff knew they could do better in controlling sediment. In response, the ORRLF staff developed an approach of aggressive revegetation, ditch improvements and other erosion controls. Staff developed a list of all the areas that needed the most attention and requested resources. UCOR management arranged funding for needed improvements. The oldest of the three landfills is Industrial Landfill IV, which opened in 1989 and has an expected remaining 60 years of life. Therefore, how the landfills are maintained/managed today directly affects the compliance posture, the capacity, and the infrastructure in the future. A systematic, aggressive and multi-pronged approach was taken to address the major concerns first, then continue with longer-term, and/or lower priority projects. Buy-in was obtained from both craft and supervision, resulting in approaches like 'Ditch of the Month'. In addition, management support at the highest levels has provided resources and recognition that further fuels progress. After working on the site for the past year, what used to be exposed brown hills looks more like a golf course now. Now that the grass is established and other erosion controls are in place, the amount of sediment leaving the site has been reduced, and the appearance of the landfills is improved. Vegetation dissipates the kinetic energy from rain droplets while the root system helps hold the soil in place, and wire-reinforced silt fences and straw wattles have greatly improved erosion control. Improved ditches reduce the runoff velocities allowing sediments to fall out of suspension in the stormwater before they reach the receiving waters, and structures are in place to let finer sediment settle in ponds rather than going downstream. In addition, the project has added more stone to roadways to minimize tracking dirt down the road as an average of 20 to 40 trucks per day enter and leave the site. Ongoing landfill erosion and sediment control must be funded and maintained continually. The lack of attention to either resource will negatively affect the condition of the landfill fairly quickly. Constant compliance commitment is necessary to ensure protection to the environment, the operator/workers and the public. Operations must include sediment control, pond maintenance and clean out, road maintenance and construction, erosion prevention, seeps repair, leachate management, landfill expansion, mowing and grounds upkeep and much more. Knowledgeable/experience staff is also crucial. Knowing how to build lifts, create leachate drainage windows, respond to high rains events, compact waste will impact operations today and future operations into the closure / post closure periods. (author)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

SCCOUT: Surveying for Categorization and Control of Organism in Unwelcome Territory

Advancements in the fields of science, technology, and medicine have contributed largely to the growth of society over the last century. Thanks to these discoveries, all corners of the planet are connected both digitally and physically. Progress in the field of medicine has led to people living longer, fuller lives and a general increase in global population. Awareness of our world’s changing climate and the effects that has on local and global ecosystems has spurred great efforts to protect the environment. These discoveries along with many others have helped our world grow in a myriad of ways; however, certain efforts in agriculture, natural resource management, and ecosystem management have not scaled to accommodate this growth. Increasing prevalence and ease of dissemination of invasive plants and animals, diseases, and changing ecological conditions pose significant challenges to biodiversity, ecosystem health, and agricultural productivity. Moreover, as the world population grows, there are more people to feed and less viable farmland to produce food for them. Despite the increasing prevalence of these issues, methods for addressing and tracking them have stayed relatively the same for at least the last several decades.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An Explainable Machine-Learning Model for Compensatory Reserve Measurement: Methods for Feature Selection and the Effects of Subject Variability

Tracking vital signs accurately is critical for triaging a patient and ensuring timely therapeutic intervention. The patient’s status is often clouded by compensatory mechanisms that can mask injury severity. The compensatory reserve measurement (CRM) is a triaging tool derived from an arterial waveform that has been shown to allow for earlier detection of hemorrhagic shock. However, the deep-learning artificial neural networks developed for its estimation do not explain how specific arterial waveform elements lead to predicting CRM due to the large number of parameters needed to tune these models. Alternatively, we investigate how classical machine-learning models driven by specific features extracted from the arterial waveform can be used to estimate CRM. More than 50 features were extracted from human arterial blood pressure data sets collected during simulated hypovolemic shock resulting from exposure to progressive levels of lower body negative pressure. A bagged decision tree design using the ten most significant features was selected as optimal for CRM estimation. This resulted in an average root mean squared error in all test data of 0.171, similar to the error for a deep-learning CRM algorithm at 0.159. By separating the dataset into sub-groups based on the severity of simulated hypovolemic shock withstood, large subject variability was observed, and the key features identified for these sub-groups differed. This methodology could allow for the identification of unique features and machine-learning models to differentiate individuals with good compensatory mechanisms against hypovolemia from those that might be poor compensators, leading to improved triage of trauma patients and ultimately enhancing military and emergency medicine.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

The Precise Orbit and the Challenge of Long Term Stability

The computation of a precise orbit reference is a fundamental component of the altimetric measurement. Since the dawn of the modern altimeter age, orbit accuracy has been determined by the quality of the GPS, SLR, and DORIS tracking systems, the fidelity of the measurement and force models, and the choice of parameterization for the orbit solutions, and whether a dynamic or a reduced-dynamic strategy is used to calculate the orbits. At the start of the TOPEX mission, the inaccuracies in the modeling of static gravity, dynamic ocean tides, and the nonconservative forces dominated the orbit error budget. Much of the error due to dynamic mismodeling can be compensated by reduced-dynamic tracking techniques depending on the measurement system strength. In the last decade, the launch of the GRACE mission has eliminated the static gravity field as a concern, and the background force models and the terrestrial reference frame have been systematically refined. GPS systems have realized many improvements, including better modeling of the forces on the GPS spacecraft, large increases in the ground tracking network, and improved modeling of the GPS measurements. DORIS systems have achieved improvements through the use of new antennae, more stable monumentation, and of satellite receivers that can track multiple beacons, and as well as through improved modeling of the nonconservative forces. Many of these improvements have been applied in the new reprocessed time series of orbits produced for the ERS satellites, Envisat, TOPEX/Poseidon and the Jason satellites, and as well as for the most recent Cryosat-2 and HY2A. We now face the challenge of maintaining a stable orbit reference for these altimetric satellites. Changes in the time-variable gravity field of the Earth and how these are modelled have been shown to affect the orbit evolution, and the calibration of the altimetric data with tide gauges. The accuracy of the reference frame realizations, and their projection into the future remains a source of error. Other sources of omission error include the geocenter for which no consensus model is as of yet applied. Although progress has been made in nonconservative force modeling through the use of detailed satellite-specific models, radiation pressure modeling, and atmospheric density modeling remain a potential source of orbit error. The longer term influence of variations in the solar and terrestrial radiation fields over annual and solar cycles remains principally untested. Also the long term variation in optical and thermal properties of the space vehicle surfaces would contribute to biases in the orbital frame if ignored. We review the status of altimetric precision orbit determination as exemplified by the recent computations undertaken by the different analysis centers for ERS, Envisat, TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason, Cryosat2 and HY2A, and we provide a perspective on the challenges for future missions such as the Jason-3, SENTINEL-3 and SWOT.

Lemoine, Frank G.↗

2018 Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Annual Report

In fiscal year 2018 (FY2018), the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility carried out important measurement missions around the globe and worked to better couple ARM measurements with the needs of the science community through the evaluation of priorities and the continued development of new capabilities, including efforts to better link data and models. While many of these efforts have been ongoing, their importance was supported by recommendations from the 2017 ARM Triennial Review. In February 2018, we submitted the final plans to the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) that ARM will commit to accomplish over the next two years to address the Triennial Review recommendations. We then began implementing activities to: improve and track communications effectiveness at conferences and through the User Executive Committee implement additional metrics to track ARM’s scientific impact, including on model improvement engage users beyond the traditional DOE Office of Biological and Environmental Research (BER)/Atmospheric System Research (ASR) communities increase the timely production and delivery of ARM Mobile Facility value-added products (VAPs) and create a mechanism to better set expectations for VAP delivery to users improve Data Discovery, ARM’s portal for accessing more than 25 years’ worth of data, for users define a clear process for biennially reviewing instrumentation, data products, and other activities with the goal of determining where resources should be applied update the radar plan and create a plan for optimizing aerosol data collection implement operational plans for the Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) ARM Symbiotic Simulation and Observation (LASSO) project and establish a plan for selecting the next science target for LASSO. We have made great progress in all of these areas, much of which is shared in this report, including plans for setting priorities for aerosol measurements and data product development. In FY2018, ARM also brought many plans to fruition that were outlined in its 2014 Decadal Vision strategy, such as the implementation of the LASSO project that integrates observations and models and the continued advancement in the use of unmanned aerial systems (UAS).

MARCUS, POPEYE, Oliktok Point, Eastern North Atlan↗