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At least 721 records · Page 40

Wireless Integrated Microelectronic Vacuum Sensor System

NASA Stennis Space Center's (SSC's) large rocket engine test facility requires the use of liquid propellants, including the use of cryogenic fluids like liquid hydrogen as fuel, and liquid oxygen as an oxidizer (gases which have been liquefied at very low temperatures). These fluids require special handling, storage, and transfer technology. The biggest problem associated with transferring cryogenic liquids is product loss due to heat transfer. Vacuum jacketed piping is specifically designed to maintain high thermal efficiency so that cryogenic liquids can be transferred with minimal heat transfer. A vacuum jacketed pipe is essentially two pipes in one. There is an inner carrier pipe, in which the cryogenic liquid is actually transferred, and an outer jacket pipe that supports and seals the vacuum insulation, forming the "vacuum jacket." The integrity of the vacuum jacketed transmission lines that transfer the cryogenic fluid from delivery barges to the test stand must be maintained prior to and during engine testing. To monitor the vacuum in these vacuum jacketed transmission lines, vacuum gauge readings are used. At SSC, vacuum gauge measurements are done on a manual rotation basis with two technicians, each using a handheld instrument. Manual collection of vacuum data is labor intensive and uses valuable personnel time. Additionally, there are times when personnel cannot collect the data in a timely fashion (i.e., when a leak is detected, measurements must be taken more often). Additionally, distribution of this data to all interested parties can be cumbersome. To simplify the vacuum-gauge data collection process, automate the data collection, and decrease the labor costs associated with acquiring these measurements, an automated system that monitors the existing gauges was developed by Invocon, Inc. For this project, Invocon developed a Wireless Integrated Microelectronic Vacuum Sensor System (WIMVSS) that provides the ability to gather vacuum-gauge measurements automatically and wirelessly, in near-real time - using a low-maintenance, lowpower sensor mesh network. The WIMVSS operates by using a self-configuring mesh network of wireless sensor units. Mesh networking is a type of networking where each sensor or node can capture and disseminate its own data, but also serve as a relay to receive and transmit data from other sensors. Each sensor node can synchronize with adjacent sensors, and propagate data from one sensor to the next, until the destination is reached. In this case, the destination is a Network Interface Unit (NIU). The WIMVSS sensors are mounted on the existing vacuum gauges. Information gathered by the sensors is sent to the NIU. Because of the mesh networking, if a sensor cannot directly send the data to the NIU, it can be propagated through the network of sensors. The NIU requires antenna access to the sensor units, AC power, and an Ethernet connection. The NIU bridges the sensor network to a WIMVSS server via an Ethernet connection. The server is configured with a database, a Web server, and proprietary interface software that makes it possible for the vacuum measurements from vacuum jacketed fluid lines to be saved, retrieved, and then displayed from any Web-enabled PC that has access to the Internet. Authorized users can then simply access the data from any PC with Internet connection. Commands can also be sent directly from the Web interface for control and maintenance of the sensor network. The technology enabled by the WIMVSS decreases labor required for gathering vacuum measurements, increases access to vacuum data by making it available on any computer with access to the Internet, increases the frequency with which data points can be acquired for evaluating the system, and decreases the recurring cost of the sensors by using off-the-shelf components and integrating these with heritage vacuum gauges.

Krug, Eric↗

Validation and Scaling of Soil Moisture in a Semi-Arid Environment: SMAP Validation Experiment 2015 (SMAPVEX15)

The NASA SMAP (Soil Moisture Active Passive) mission conducted the SMAP Validation Experiment 2015 (SMAPVEX15) in order to support the calibration and validation activities of SMAP soil moisture data products. The main goals of the experiment were to address issues regarding the spatial disaggregation methodologies for improvement of soil moisture products and validation of the in situ measurement upscaling techniques. To support these objectives high-resolution soil moisture maps were acquired with the airborne PALS (Passive Active L-band Sensor) instrument over an area in southeast Arizona that includes the Walnut Gulch Experimental Watershed (WGEW), and intensive ground sampling was carried out to augment the permanent in situ instrumentation. The objective of the paper was to establish the correspondence and relationship between the highly heterogeneous spatial distribution of soil moisture on the ground and the coarse resolution radiometer-based soil moisture retrievals of SMAP. The high-resolution mapping conducted with PALS provided the required connection between the in situ measurements and SMAP retrievals. The in situ measurements were used to validate the PALS soil moisture acquired at 1-km resolution. Based on the information from a dense network of rain gauges in the study area, the in situ soil moisture measurements did not capture all the precipitation events accurately. That is, the PALS and SMAP soil moisture estimates responded to precipitation events detected by rain gauges, which were in some cases not detected by the in situ soil moisture sensors. It was also concluded that the spatial distribution of the soil moisture resulted from the relatively small spatial extents of the typical convective storms in this region was not completely captured with the in situ stations. After removing those cases (approximately10 of the observations) the following metrics were obtained: RMSD (root mean square difference) of0.016m3m3 and correlation of 0.83. The PALS soil moisture was also compared to SMAP and in situ soil moisture at the 36-km scale, which is the SMAP grid size for the standard product. PALS and SMAP soil moistures were found to be very similar owing to the close match of the brightness temperature measurements and the use of a common soil moisture retrieval algorithm. Spatial heterogeneity, which was identified using the high-resolution PALS soil moisture and the intensive ground sampling, also contributed to differences between the soil moisture estimates. In general, discrepancies found between the L-band soil moisture estimates and the 5-cm depth in situ measurements require methodologies to mitigate the impact on their interpretations in soil moisture validation and algorithm development. Specifically, the metrics computed for the SMAP radiometer-based soil moisture product over WGEW will include errors resulting from rainfall, particularly during the monsoon season when the spatial distribution of soil moisture is especially heterogeneous.

SMAPVEX15↗

Single Spatial-Mode Room-Temperature-Operated 3.0 to 3.4 micrometer Diode Lasers

Compact, highly efficient, 3.0 to 3.4 m light emitters are in demand for spectroscopic analysis and identification of chemical substances (including methane and formaldehyde), infrared countermeasures technologies, and development of advanced infrared scene projectors. The need for these light emitters can be currently addressed either by bulky solid-state light emitters with limited power conversion efficiency, or cooled Interband Cascade (IC) semiconductor lasers. Researchers here have developed a breakthrough approach to fabrication of diode mid-IR lasers that have several advantages over IC lasers used for the Mars 2009 mission. This breakthrough is due to a novel design utilizing the strain-engineered quantum-well (QW) active region and quinternary barriers, and due to optimization of device material composition and growth conditions (growth temperatures and rates). However, in their present form, these GaSb-based laser diodes cannot be directly used as a part of sensor systems. The device spectrum is too broad to perform spectroscopic analysis of gas species, and operating currents and voltages are too high. In the current work, the emitters were fabricated as narrow-ridge waveguide index-guided lasers rather than broad stripe-gain guided multimode Fabry-Perot (FP) lasers as was done previously. These narrow-ridge waveguide mid-IR lasers exhibit much lower power consumptions, and can operate in a single spatial mode that is necessary for demonstration of single-mode distributed feedback (DBF) devices for spectroscopic applications. These lasers will enable a new generation of compact, tunable diode laser spectrometers with lower power consumption, reduced complexity, and significantly reduced development costs. These lasers can be used for the detection of HCN, C2H2, methane, and ethane.

Frez, Clifford F.↗

Proxy quality control of biomass particles using thermogravimetric analysis and Gaussian process regression models

Abstract The temperature experienced by reactants during preparation in a reactor is a key component in determining the yield and homogeneity of usable chemical products such as biomass particles. Thermocouples with sensors can be used to monitor spatial temperature gradients within reactors but these sensors are often too expensive and/or invasive. The present work proposes a strategy to identify optimal machine learning models to infer the maximum effective temperature experienced by particles during oxidative biomass torrefaction using key thermochemical combustion parameters. The maximum rate of weight loss, the corresponding temperature, and fixed carbon content on a dry‐ash‐free basis are used as literature‐based predictor variables obtained from thermogravimetric analysis. The evaluation of 24 machine‐learning models using the standard tenfold cross‐validation method suggests that the exponential Gaussian process regression (GPR) model is the most effective, followed by other GPR models. These high‐performing GPR models were also utilized to predict the effective preparation temperature distribution of reactor‐produced biomass particles under eight conditions of varying residence time and air‐to‐biomass ratio. The effective preparation temperature and residence time of individual biomass particles were then encoded into the torrefaction severity factor and used to estimate the energy yield of the reactor output as a novel quality control method. © 2023 The Authors. Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining published by Society of Industrial Chemistry and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Magnetic properties of friction stir processed composite

There are many existing inspection systems each with their own advantages and drawbacks. These usually comprise of semi-remote sensors which frequently causes difficulty in reaching complex areas of a component. This study proposes to overcome that difficulty by developing embedded functional composites. Through this route, embedding can be achieved in virtually any component part and can be periodically interrogated by a reading device. The “reinforcement rich” processed areas can then be utilized to record properties like strain, temperature, stress state etc. depending on the reinforcement material. In this work, friction stir processing (FSP) was utilized to fabricate a magnetostrictive composite by embedding galfenol particles into a nonmagnetic aluminum (Al) matrix. It targets to develop a composite that produces strain in a varying magnetic field. Reinforcements were observed to be distributed uniformly in the matrix. Magnetization curves were studied using a vibrating sample magnetometer (VSM). A simple and cheap setup was developed to measure the magnetostrictive strain of the composites. Important factors affecting the magnetic properties were identified and ways to improve the magnetic properties discussed.

Das, Shamiparna↗

Fairfax County Urban Development: Identifying Urban Heat Mitigation Strategies for Climate Adaptation Planning in Fairfax County, Virginia

Extreme high temperatures lead to increased instances of cardiovascular disease, pulmonary disease, and even death, as well as increased energy consumption and infrastructure costs. People in urbanized areas experience higher temperatures than rural areas due to diminished vegetation and increased impervious surfaces which absorb and radiate heat. Fairfax County, Virginia has embarked on Resilient Fairfax, a program aimed at addressing climate adaptation and resilience. The DEVELOP team partnered with the Fairfax County Office of Environmental and Energy Coordination (OEEC) to assess the extent of the urban heat island effect on the county and its most vulnerable populations. The team used data from Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) and Thermal Infrared Sensor (TIRS), as well as the ECOsystem Spaceborne Thermal Radiometer Experiment on Space Station (ECOSTRESS) for the years 2013 to 2021 and found that the hottest spots were in densely urbanized areas, with temperatures as much as 47°F above that of undeveloped reference areas. The team used the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) urban cooling model and determined that areas with higher tree canopy cover had greater heat mitigation capacity. Estimates from the InVEST model showed that a 4.5% increase in canopy cover across the county could result in a temperature reduction of up to 2.4°F in some areas. The results will allow partners to assess heat distribution across Fairfax County and implement effective mitigation strategies, including locating prime locations for cooling centers and increasing canopy cover.

W. Pierce Holloway↗

The Coronal Microscale Observatory

It has been a longstanding challenge to identify the mechanisms responsible for heating the solar corona, in part because heating, whether by waves or magnetic reconnection, is thought to be concentrated in thus far unresolved volumes with characteristic scales ≲100 km. The Coronal Microscale Observatory (CMO) is a mission concept designed to image these microscale heating events, identify the dominant physical mechanisms that control their initiation and evolution, and understand their effects on the formation of the solar wind. CMO positions three spacecraft and three instruments near the Sun-Earth L1 Lagrange point. One instrument is a cluster of 6 coaligned extreme ultraviolet (EUV) telescopes that image a common field of view with ultrahigh angular resolution (0.02−0.07 arcsec) in narrow wavelength bands, each sensitive to emission from plasma in a limited temperature range. The second instrument is a multi-band, full-disk, externally occulted coronagraph. Finally, a two-band fine scale EUV imager (resolution 0.3 arcsec) provides a larger field of view for context and additional science. The three CMO craft fly in precise formation to ensure that the EUV imagers point to a desired target on the Sun and the external occulter accurately blocks the solar disk. The novel mission architecture arises from the intrinsically long EUV focal length (≳100 m) of diffractive optics known as photon sieves, which achieve nearly diffraction-limited EUV imaging but require a distributed telescope, in which the optics and- the image sensors are on separate spacecraft. Two spacecraft are also needed to position an external occulter 200 m in front of the coronagraph, which enables visible-light imaging of the corona very close to the solar limb with undiminished angular resolution. Recent advances in fabricating ultraprecise and smooth reflective optics suggest that a conventional (single spacecraft)EUV “microscope” may now be feasible in an Explorer-class mission that could achieve a subset of the scientific objectives of CMO.

Douglas Rabin↗

Measurement of particulated matter (PM1, PM2.5, PM10) using a PM sensor during the SAIL campaign in Gothic, CO and Mt. Crested Butte, CO

We deployed another PM sensor (Modulair-PM, QuantAQ) to measure the mass concentration of particulate matter (PM) for three size cuts at both the main site (M1) and supplementary site (S2) of the SAIL from 14 June 2022 to 14 June 2023. The instruments provide the mass concentration of PM1, PM2.5 and PM10. Mass concentrations were calculated based on measurements made with a nephelometer and an OPC. We used Quant-AQ's algorithm [please see their documentation here and the references within] to determine the mass concentrations reported. Here, we present the time series of sample relative humidity, temperature, pressure, and the mass concentration of PM1, PM2.5 and PM10. We also present the size distribution of the aerosol particles within a diameter range of 0.35 - 40 micron, measured by the OPC of the pm-modulair. However, we encourage caution while using the size distribution data, since it is operated only with the factory calibration. Abstract and description of the campaign can be found here : https://www.arm.gov/research/campaigns/amf2022ssb.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The neutral-atmosphere temperature instrument.

The determination of the temperature of the neutral gas at the location of the satellite is based on measurement of the velocity distribution of the molecular nitrogen. Measurement of the thermal-velocity component in the presence of the free-stream velocity will be obtained through application of the velocity-scan technique and, independently, through use of a baffle technique. A 3-cm diameter spherical sampling chamber with a 0.5-cm diameter precisely knife-edged orifice is located at the satellite equator to permit free diffusion of atmosphere gases between the chamber interior and the atmosphere. The spherical chamber is connected through a high-conductance tube to a quadrupole mass-spectrometer sensor to permit accurate quantitative evaluation of the density of the gas.

Spencer, N. W.↗

A Laboratory Model of a Hydrogen/Oxygen Engine for Combustion and Nozzle Studies

A small laboratory diagnostic thruster was developed to augment present low thrust chemical rocket optical and heat flux diagnostics at the NASA Lewis Research Center. The objective of this work was to evaluate approaches for the use of temperature and pressure sensors for the investigation of low thrust rocket flow fields. The nominal engine thrust was 110 N. Tests were performed at chamber pressures of about 255 kPa, 370 kPa, and 500 kPa with oxidizer to fuel mixture ratios between 4.0 and 8.0. Two gaseous hydrogen/gaseous oxygen injector designs were tested with 60 percent and 75 percent fuel film cooling. The thruster and instrumentation designs were proven to be effective via hot fire testing. The thruster diagnostics provided inner wall temperature and static pressure measurements which were compared to the thruster global performance data. For several operating conditions, the performance data exhibited unexpected trends which were correlated with changes in the axial wall temperature distribution. Azimuthal temperature distributions were found to be a function of operating conditions and hardware configuration. The static pressure profiles showed that no severe pressure gradients were present in the rocket. The results indicated that small differences in injector design can result in dramatically different thruster performance and wall temperature behavior, but that these injector effects may be overshadowed by operating at a high fuel film cooling rate.

Morren, Sybil Huang↗

Radiative signals from impact of Shoemaker-Levy on Jupiter

The temperature and internal energy fields calculated by Takata et al. in the plume are used to calculate the greybody thermal radiation emitted versus wavelength to predict what might be observed by several spectral sensors operating from different platforms when fragments of Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 (SL-9) impact Jupiter in July 1994. A SPH code was used by Takata et al. to calculate the full three dimensional flow and thermodynamic fields in the comet fragment and the atmosphere of Jupiter. We determined the fragment penetration depth, energy partitioning between the atmosphere and the impactor, and energy density deposited per unit length over the trajectory. Once the impactor had disintegrated and stopped, and the strong atmospheric shock decayed, the flow is driven by buoyancy effects. We then used our SPH code to calculate the flow and thermodynamic fields: pressure, article velocity, temperature, and internal energy distributions in the plume. The calculations for 2 and 10 km cometary fragments yield maximum deposition depths of approximately 175 and 525 km, respectively (1 bar = 0 km depth). We also calculated that 0.7 and 0.6 of the initial kinetic energy of the 10 and 2 km bolides, respectively, are deposited as internal energy in Jupiter's atmosphere.

Ahrens, Thomas J.↗

The Role of Marangoni Convection for the FZ-Growth of Silicon

In growing crystals by the floating zone (FZ) technique under microgravity, the size restriction we have under earth conditions because of the hydrostatic pressure are avoided. Further, buoyancy related convection is eliminated to a high degree. But in the case of silicon, the gravity independent thermocapillary (Marangoni) convection is time-dependent even for small zone geometries. This has been demonstrated in several Technische Experimente unter Schwerelosigkeit (TEXUS) - technical experiments under reduced gravity) flights. Thus, to really take advantage of microgravity with respect to improve crystal quality, tools are required to control Marangoni convection in space facilities. Applying magnetic fields, convection can be influenced; fluid flow can either be damped (static magnetic fields) or overlaid by a regular flow regime (rotating magnetic fields). In floating zones of 8-10mm diameter and height (Ma approximately equals 6 x 10(exp 3)), a static magnetic field of about 2OOmT is sufficient to suppress time-dependent Marangoni convection to a high degree, but in dependence on the kind and the concentration of the added dopant, a new type of strongly pronounced dopant inhomogeneities have been detected. They are originated by thermoelectromagnetic convection. This can be avoided as well as detrimental effects on the radial dopant distribution by using rotating magnetic fields instead of static ones. Applying 75mT/50Hz to the FZ, the intensity of the dopant fluctuations is reduced to a high degree. Considering the rather low power consumption of rotating magnetic fields, this will be a useful tool for control or elimination of time-dependent Marangoni convection under microgravity. The strong time dependent character of thermocapillary flow and its influence on the temperature field has been measured in silicon half-zones for Marangoni numbers of Ma is approximately equal to 1-1.5 x 10(exp 4): temperature fluctuations up to 4C have been determined. Their frequency range was 0.1 and 0.4 Hz. Between certain thermocouple or sensor pairs, strong correlation has been detected.

Dold, P.↗

Investigations of Arcjet Flow Thermochemistry

An experimental and numerical investigation of the thermochemical state of arcjet flows is currently being conducted at NASA Ames Research Center. The experimental approach relies on the use of laser- and emission-spectroscopic diagnostic techniques in three regions of the flow. A fiber optic sensor is used to record spectrally resolved emission signals from the electrode package region, where the flow is most likely to be in thermochemical equilibrium. A second emission diagnostic measurement is made in the shock layer formed over a blunt-body test article placed in the stream, and a CCD camera is used to simultaneously record spectral emission from several measurement locations along the stagnation streamline. Downstream of the nozzle exit, but upstream of the test article, Laser-Induced Fluorescence (LIF) of atomic nitrogen is used to assess the nonequilibrium distribution of flow enthalpy in the free stream. Results from the measurements are compared with predictions from a two-temperature, axisymmetric flow model that solves the nozzle and shock-layer flows.

Fletcher, Douglas G.↗

Optical Modeling and Polarization Calibration for CMB Measurements with Actpol and Advanced Actpol

The Atacama Cosmology Telescope Polarimeter (ACTPol) is a polarization sensitive upgrade to the Atacama Cosmology Telescope, located at an elevation of 5190 m on Cerro Toco in Chile. ACTPol uses transition edge sensor bolometers coupled to orthomode transducers to measure both the temperature and polarization of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB). Calibration of the detector angles is a critical step in producing polarization maps of the CMB. Polarization angle offsets in the detector calibration can cause leakage in polarization from E to B modes and induce a spurious signal in the EB and TB cross correlations, which eliminates our ability to measure potential cosmological sources of EB and TB signals, such as cosmic birefringence. We calibrate the ACTPol detector angles by ray tracing the designed detector angle through the entire optical chain to determine the projection of each detector angle on the sky. The distribution of calibrated detector polarization angles are consistent with a global offset angle from zero when compared to the EB-nulling offset angle, the angle required to null the EB cross-correlation power spectrum. We present the optical modeling process. The detector angles can be cross checked through observations of known polarized sources, whether this be a galactic source or a laboratory reference standard. To cross check the ACTPol detector angles, we use a thin film polarization grid placed in front of the receiver of the telescope, between the receiver and the secondary reflector. Making use of a rapidly rotating half-wave plate (HWP) mount we spin the polarizing grid at a constant speed, polarizing and rotating the incoming atmospheric signal. The resulting sinusoidal signal is used to determine the detector angles. The optical modeling calibration was shown to be consistent with a global offset angle of zero when compared to EB nulling in the first ACTPol results and will continue to be a part of our calibration implementation. The first array of detectors for Advanced ACTPol, the next generation upgrade to ACTPol, will be deployed in 2016.We plan to continue using both techniques and compare them to astrophysical source measurements for the Advanced ACTPol polarization calibration.

Koopman, Brian↗

Melt Pool Imaging using a Configurable Architecture Additive Testbed System

This paper describes the inline (coaxial to laser) near infrared (NIR) camera sensor on the Configurable Architecture Additive Testbed (CAAT). The CAAT is an instrument that provides the capability to investigate laser based additive manufacturing (AM) processes and is configured for the metal powder bed fusion process. A low cost NIR camera is radiometrically calibrated to obtain coaxial, inline, imagery of laser generated melt pools. The camera capabilities, system optical path, and the uncertainty in the temperature measurement from NIR surface area scans on a bare titanium alloy plate are presented and discussed. The surface radiance measurements are compared to optical microscopy images of the melt pool width and depth. A metallic additive manufacturing process thermal model is developed in order to predict thermal distributions during laser scanning. The predicted thermal distributions by the model for different configurations are compared to the coaxial NIR measurements and discussed.

Additive manufacturing↗

The Role of Marangoni Convection for the FZ-Growth of Silicon

Growing crystals by the floating zone (FZ) technique under microgravity avoids the size restriction we have under earth conditions due to hydrostatic pressure. Further, buoyancy related convection is eliminated to a great degree. But in the case of silicon, the gravity independent thermocapillary (Marangoni) convection is time-dependent even for small zone geometries. This has been demonstrated in several Technische Experimente unter Schwerelosigkeit (TEXUS) technical experiments under reduced gravity flights. Thus, to really take advantage of microgravity with respect to improved crystal quality, tools are required to control Marangoni convection in space facilities. With the application of magnetic fields, convection can be influenced; fluid flow can either be damped (static magnetic fields) or overlaid by a regular flow regime (rotating magnetic fields). In floating zones of 8-10 mm diameter and height (i.e., Ma is much greater than 6X 10(exp 3), a static magnetic field of about 2OOmT is sufficient to suppress time-dependent Marangoni convection to a high degree, but in dependence on the kind and the concentration of the added dopant, a new type of strongly pronounced dopant inhomogeneities have been detected. They are originated by thermoelectromagnetic convection. This can be avoided as well as detrimental effects on the radial dopant distribution by using rotating magnetic fields instead of static ones. Applying 7.5mT/5OHz to the FZ, the intensity of the dopant fluctuations is reduced to a high degree. Considering the rather low power consumption of rotating magnetic fields, this will be a useful tool for control or elimination of time-dependent Marangoni convection under microgravity. The strong time-dependent character of thermocapillary flow and its influence on the temperature field has been measured in silicon half-zones for Marangoni numbers of Ma is much greater than l - 1.5 X 10(exp 4): temperature fluctuations up to 4C have been determined, their frequency range was 0.4 and 0.4Hz. Between certain thermocouple or sensor pairs, strong correlation has been detected.

Dold, P.↗

Tracking Climate Effects on Plant-Pollinator Interaction Phenology with Satellites and Honey Bee Hives

Background/Question/Methods: The complexity of plant-pollinator interactions, the large number of species involved, and the lack of species response functions present challenges to understanding how these critical interactions may be impacted by climate and land cover change on large scales. Given the importance of this interaction for terrestrial ecosystems, it is desirable to develop new approaches. We monitor the daily weight change of honey bee (Apis mellifera) colonies to record the phenology of the Honey Bee Nectar Flow (HBNF) in a volunteer network (honeybeenet.gsfc.nasa.gov). The records document the successful interaction of a generalist pollinator with a variety of plant resources. We extract useful HBNF phenology metrics for three seasons. Sites currently exist in 35 states/provinces in North America, with a concentration in the Mid-Atlantic region. HBNF metrics are compared to standard phenology metrics derived from remotely sensed vegetation indices from NASA's MODIS sensor and published results from NOAA's A VHRR. At any given time the percentage of plants producing nectar is usually a sma11 fraction of the total satellite sensor signal. We are interested in determining how well the 'bulk' satellite vegetation parameters relate to the phenology of the HBNF, and how it varies spatially on landscape to continental scales. Results/Conclusions: We found the median and peak seasonal HBNF dates to be robust, with variation between replicate scale hives of only a few days. We developed quality assessment protocols to identify abnormal colony artifacts. Temporally, the peak and median of the HBNF in the Mid-Atlantic show a significant advance of 0.58 d/y beginning about 1970, very similar to that observed by the A VHRR since 1982 (0.57 d/y). Spatially, the HBNF metrics are highly correlated with elevation and winter minimum temperature distribution, and exhibit significant but regionally coherent inter-annual variation. The relationship between median of the spring HBNF with the "Green-up" metric from the 500 meter MODIS NDVI phenology product, for sites throughout the Eastern US 2000-2009, is well described by a single linear fit (r(exp 2) = 0.72). We conclude.that for the tree-dominated areas of the Eastern US at least the spring HBNF can be tracked very well by MODIS phenology. Analysis of other regions and seasons is presently underway but with more limited data. Spatial patterns in the eastern US and management implications will be presented and discussed.

Esaias, Wayne E.↗

A Roadmap for a Lightning Modeling Grand Challenge

This document is a roadmap for building an interconnected model of the physical processes that produce a lightning discharge, and its observable optical and radio signals. We call this a Lightning Modeling Grand Challenge, recognizing that significant effort and coordination of human and financial resources is required to realize the capability. The roadmap serves to outline the coordination of resources necessary to enable stitching together existing knowledge and model components to make a lightning prediction, and to test these predictions with observations. Such a capability does not currently exist. The roadmap is motivated not only by a spirit of scientific inquiry, but by practical challenges faced by US Federal and societal stakeholders. Advancements in lightning observations have outpaced our tests of integrated understanding, leaving many stakeholders unsure how to design their missions to properly detect and discriminate lightning, and unsure how to apply the sometimes-disagreeing lightning signals from diverse instruments. The time is right to connect existing theories and models to support stakeholders in understanding the signals they observe, for needs as diverse as climate monitoring, national security, weather forecasting, public safety, and protection of natural and built environments. The roadmap’s two main technical sections describe the components of a linked physical model, followed by a description of models of lightning signals and sensors that are driven by outputs from the physical model. The goal is to predict the time-varying physical properties of lightning that are self-consistent with the thunderstorm’s structure and dynamics. These lightning signals then propagate through the storm, with realistic dispersion and attenuation, to receivers on the ground or in space. At a high level, the model begins with weather (cloud) model output, including explicit prediction of the electrification of cloud particles. The cloud’s electrical structure drives a model of lightning physics, from initiation, through channel development, and discharges along those channels. Key lightning parameters, such as the temperature and currents in the channel, and their space and time distribution, are then used to produce optical and electromagnetic signal sources that propagate to modeled receivers. This architecture therefore generates a dataset suitable for comparison to existing and envisioned observing systems. The need for additional measurements and field campaigns to support model development is described. In each model sub-component, inputs, outputs, uncertainties, evaluation methods, and next steps are summarized, interleaved with references to the scientific literature. Identifying boundaries between the model sub-components aids in segmenting an integrated, complex model into practical work packages and system sub-components, allowing a diverse team to contribute and maintain the system. We estimate that at least five years of effort and a $\$$10M initial investment is necessary to make a significant step forward. Mechanisms to facilitate community coordination, including annual workshops and open-source code repositories, are described.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗