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At least 721 records · Page 40

Stability and Convergence of Solutions to Stochastic Inverse Problems Using Approximate Probability Densities

Data-consistent inversion is designed to solve a class of stochastic inverse problems where the solution is a pullback of a probability measure specified on the outputs of a quantities of interest (QoI) map. Here, this work presents stability and convergence results for the case where finite QoI data result in an approximation of the solution as a density. Given their popularity in the literature, separate results are proven for three different approaches to measuring discrepancies between probability measures: f-divergences, integral probability metrics, and L p metrics. In the context of integral probability metrics, we also introduce a pullback probability metric that is well-suited for data-consistent inversion. This fills a theoretical gap in the convergence and stability results for data-consistent inversion that have mostly focused on convergence of solutions associated with approximate maps. Numerical results are included to illustrate key theoretical results with intuitive and reproducible test problems that include a demonstration of convergence in the measure-theoretic "almost" sense.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Multiscale Deep Learning Model for Soil Moisture Integrating Satellite and In Situ Data

Deep learning (DL) models trained on hydrologic observations can perform extraordinarily well, but they can inherit deficiencies of the training data, such as limited coverage of in situ data or low resolution/accuracy of satellite data. In this work, we propose a novel multiscale DL scheme learning simultaneously from satellite and in situ data to predict 9 km daily soil moisture (5 cm depth). Based on spatial cross-validation over sites in the conterminous United States, the multiscale scheme obtained a median correlation of 0.901 and root-mean-square error of 0.034 m 3 /m 3 . It outperformed the Soil Moisture Active Passive satellite mission's 9 km product, DL models trained on in situ data alone, and land surface models. Our 9 km product showed better accuracy than previous 1 km satellite downscaling products, highlighting limited impacts of improving resolution. Not only is our product useful for planning against floods, droughts, and pests, our scheme is generically applicable to geoscientific domains with data on multiple scales, breaking the confines of individual data sets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Deploying Intra-hour Uncertainty Analysis Tools to ABB’s GridView - CRADA 445

The quickly-changing generation resource mix in the US grid, with large additions of variable resources, retirements of traditional thermal generation, distributed generation and demand response, are creating new challenges on the traditional operation of both the generation and transmission systems. The ability to perform intra-hour high fidelity production cost modeling (PCM) is needed to allow grid operators and grid planners to integrate high penetration (more than 50%) of variable energy resources, and to make prompt well informed decisions in market operations and planning. In the last decade, PNNL has developed several stand-alone tools to enable grid operators and planners to understand the impact of high variable generation on their systems. These tools have been used is studies such as: (1) Evaluation the benefits of WECC balancing authorities coordination under high variable generation penetration , (2) Benefits of Energy Imbalance Market in the North West Power Pool and (3) Duke Energy and NV Energy solar integration studies. ABB’s GridView is a widely used commercial PCM tool. It is the tool used by WECC and their stakeholders to develop the WECC PCM planning model on bi-annual basis. This proposal is focused on the integrating of PNNL intra-hour uncertainty analysis tools to GridView.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DER Planning with Resilience Analysis Using REopt Lite: A Behind-the-Meter Techno-Economic Analysis Tool

REopt Lite is a techno-economic decision support model for behind-the-meter energy systems design and dispatch modeling. REopt Lite is used to optimize energy systems for buildings, campuses, communities, and microgrids. It is based on a Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) optimization model. It is a fully automated and streamlined energy modeling tool that can be used off-the-shelf for a wide variety of distributed generation integration analyses and at the same time is architected to be extensible for user-specific customizations for advanced users and subject matter experts. It is publicly available as a webtool as well as has an Application Programming Interface (API). The API functionality enables programmatic access to the model facilitating smooth integration with other distribution systems modeling tools, and automated multiple scenarios/sensitivity studies.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Analysis and Integration of the Hydraulic Fracturing Test Site-2 (HFTS-2) Comprehensive Dataset

Hydraulic Fracturing Test Site-2 (HFTS-2) is a field-based research experiment performed in the Permian (Delaware) Basin. The unique aspect of this program was the acquisition of a unique, comprehensive, diagnostic dataset. Additionally, shorter parent wells drilled three years before the child wells offered clear distinction between the stages influenced by parent-child effects and the stages without any effects. The goal of this study was to analyze and integrate this comprehensive diagnostic dataset to understand the areal and vertical extent of hydraulic fractures (HF). The paper also provides insights on the effects of parent wells’ depletion on child well HF geometry based on various monitoring methods and subsurface models. Areal and vertical coverage for all HFTS-2 wells during stimulation and depletion was estimated based on analysis and interpretation of diagnostics and advanced modeling results. HFTS-2 diagnostics included microseismic (MS), pre- and post-stimulation logs and cores, bottomhole gauges, and fiber optic (FO) data. The diagnostics results (MS, FO, image logs) were integrated and used to calibrate subsurface models. Additional field tests were designed and implemented for depletion monitoring. The tailored program for monitoring depletion included vertical and slant well pressures, interference testing, and a vertical strain depletion trial. Areal Coverage: Conventional MS (and FO MS) were used to compute HF dimensions, which were compared with diagnostics (FO strain, gauge, image logs) observations and calibrated subsurface models. A post-production interference test did not show offset well communication. Vertical Coverage: Vertical coverage during stimulation was monitored using a vertical monitoring well. The stronger mechanical strain signals showed good correlation with MS event intensities, geomechanical properties, and gauge inferences. Vertical depletion was estimated based on vertical/slant well gauges and strain depletion tests. Parent-Child Effects: Diagnostics and calibrated subsurface models show asymmetry in child well fracture geometries for stages that overlap parent wells. Child well image logs serve as a good indicator for parent Downloaded from http://onepetro.org/URTECONF/proceedings-pdf/21URTC/2-21URTC/D021S031R004/2477423/urtec-2021-5241-ms.pdf/1 by Carol Worster on 28 February 2022 URTeC 5241 well HF tracking. Child well MS events had an eastward bias, in line with pre-stimulation image logs, and was confirmed by parent well frac hits. Novel/Additive Information: The dataset presents a unique, over-constrained problem space to compare independent techniques to arrive at HF metrics (i.e., stimulation height and/or half-length), unlike a single source dataset, in which calibration is done using available data to guide predictions. Here, the asymmetry in HF geometry seen in the stages influenced by parent-child effects offers unique insights into well spacing and landing, which are key capital decisions the unconventional resources industry is seeking to optimize.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Overcoming the Damping–Elasticity Paradox via 3D‐Printed NiTiSn Nanocomposite

Abstract Developing high damping alloys (HDAs) with large elastic strain has attracted growing attention due to the increasing demand for energy absorption with overload reliability and reusability. However, damping capacity inherently conflicts with elasticity, because the former requires a liable movement of crystal defects while the latter opposite. To deal with the damping‐elasticity paradox, the advantage of pseudobinary eutectic reaction and rapid cooling of laser powder bed fusion is taken to fabricate a bulk NiTiSn nanocomposite with a two‐level hierarchical structure. The first‐level architecture is composed of martensitic NiTi nanolamellae and reinforced Ti 3 Sn nanolamellae. In addition to lattice strain matching and lamellar boundary strengthening, a novel mechanism of martensite reorientation mediated by reversible stress‐induced detwinning‐twinning is activated to generate large elastic strain. A high density of nanotwins and nanodomains within NiTi nanolamellae constitute the second‐level architecture, which provides pronounced internal friction for high damping capacity. As a result, our NiTiSn nanocomposite exhibits a record‐high integration of damping capacity (tanδ > 0.10) and elastic strain (exceeding 4.5%), as well as superb stability under cyclic overload. This research not only represents a major breakthrough in achieving HDAs with outstanding damping and elastic strain but also offers a novel paradigm for high‐performance functional and structural materials.

Chemistry↗

Resolution dependence of the turbulent atmospheric boundary layer in global storm-resolving climate simulations

The current generation of state-of-the-art global climate models are being run at increasingly higher horizontal resolutions, with the goal of resolving organised deep convection explicitly. How a kilometre-scale resolution impacts the representation of the atmospheric boundary layer is, however, not well known. Using statistical analysis on global fields as well as high-frequency data at selected locations, produced with the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) model for the Next Generation Earth-system Models (nextGEMS) project, we investigate the horizontal resolution dependence of some boundary-layer processes. We find that a change in resolution from 9 to 2.8 km causes no substantial changes to boundary-layer properties and processes at most of the locations studied, although some global changes are detected that indicate circulation changes. Small changes to the boundary-layer depth and structure are found in the Tropics. The short simulation length and lack of data for optimal boundary-layer analysis limits the conclusions, especially in relation to the connection between the boundary layer and the atmosphere general circulation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Thermodynamics and kinetics of precipitation and austenite reversion during aging of Ti-free grade 300 maraging steel manufactured by laser powder bed fusion (LPBF)

Austenite reversion and intermetallic precipitation are two key phase transformations in maraging steels which determine the strength and ductility. Usually, an optimum aging temperature/time is determined using trial and error approach with inputs from thermodynamic databases and a-posteriori microscopy/hardness evaluations. In this study, a thermo-kinetic model is developed to predict the precipitation and austenite reversion kinetics during various post-fabrication heat treatments in a Ti-free variant of grade 300 maraging steel manufactured using laser powder bed fusion. The thermo-kinetic model was based on the principles of Scheil solidification and the classical nucleation theory. The predictions from the thermo-kinetic model were verified using suitable microscopy techniques, and the results from the thermo-kinetic model agree well with the experimental measurements. Overall, results highlight the fact that an Integrated Computational Materials Engineering approach can be used to predict the precipitation and austenite reversion kinetics, and be used as an input for an efficient design of heat treatments for achieving optimum mechanical properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Quantifying the effect of tow architecture variability on the performance of biaxially braided composite tubes

Targeted experiments are performed with stereoscopic digital image correlation to quantify the effect of irregular braid structure on the local surface mechanical response of carbon-fiber reinforced epoxy composite tubes. Virtual models comparing both nonuniform and uniform tow structure of the outer braid of each specimen are integrated into numerical simulations similar to experiments. Experimental and numerical results agree well. Statistical tests are used to support correlations between as-manufactured braid variation ranges to local increases in stress up to 18% compared to an ideal, uniform structure in the elastic regime. Results support improved manufacturing and modeling efforts of defect sensitive braided composites.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A critical review of molybdenum sequestration mechanisms under euxinic conditions: Implications for the precision of molybdenum paleoredox proxies

The observed difference in molybdenum (Mo) mobility and isotopic fractionation under oxic versus euxinic (i.e., anoxic and sulfidic) aqueous conditions provides a sound operational basis for the use of Mo geochemical signatures in ancient sedimentary records to infer palaeoceanographic redox conditions. While Mo is known to exist predominantly as molybdate (MoO 4 2– ) in oxic waters and convert into thiomolybdate species (MoO x S 4-x 2– ) under euxinic conditions, the pathways that lead to Mo sequestration are highly debated. As mechanistic understanding of Mo sequestration is crucial for accurately reconstructing the chemistry of ancient oceans and constraining the timing and intensity of oxygenation events through Earth's history using Mo paleoproxies, we have closely examined the current proposed mechanisms for Mo sequestration across a wide range of euxinic conditions. Through compilation and comparison of such information, we aim to provide an integrated view of Mo sequestration processes, to identify the current controversies as well as the roots of such controversies, and importantly, to propose avenues for future research. Here, sequestration of Mo may occur through complexation with organic matter (OM), reactions with oxyhydroxide and sulfide mineral surfaces, incorporation into iron sulfide crystal structures, formation of Mo-sulfide, and cellular assimilation. However, several major questions remains unresolved, including whether OM complexation plays a significant role in overall sedimentary Mo accumulation, whether the reduction of Mo(VI) occurs during interaction with Fe-S clusters/precipitates and/or with OM, whether microbial enzymatic reduction of Mo(VI) is important in Mo sequestration, whether synergistic effects exist between the biological and abiotic processes in Mo sequestration, and whether differences in reactivity among the various thiomolybdate intermediate species and tetrathiomolybdate influence the Mo sequestration process. At the end of the review, the reliability of Mo paleoproxies is discussed and reevaluated.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Creep in multi-principal element materials –– A review

The ongoing push towards enhanced energy efficiency and reduced emissions has necessitated the creation of materials with superior performance, especially under extreme conditions. Modern industries, such as aerospace, energy production, and nuclear power, rely heavily on materials that can withstand elevated temperatures without compromising structural integrity. At these heightened temperatures, materials, even when subjected to mechanical stresses well below their yield strength, may experience slow deformation leading to eventual rupture — a phenomenon known as creep. With the expansive design space that comes with the high entropy concept and their reported excellent high temperature strength, multi-principal element materials (MPEMs) have attracted interest in the scientific community for high-temperature applications. Here, this review offers a comprehensive examination of existing studies on creep in MPEMs, which includes multi-principal element−alloys, −bulk metallic glasses, −ceramics, and −superalloys, comparing published findings on MPEMs with pure elements, traditional alloys, bulk metallic glasses, and superalloys. The sub-topics covered include a comparison among different creep-testing methods, creep mechanisms, creep exponents, creep strain rates, activation volume, and creep-activation energy. Modeling efforts for predicting creep behavior of MPEMs are also reviewed. Methods for improving creep resistance by performing heat treatments and/or modifying microstructures are discussed. Overall, the current state of MPEMs has not yet surpassed the creep performance of commercial alloys. Finally, directions for future efforts are suggested, such as experimenting in various controlled environments, expanding the number of compositions tested, exploring advanced manufacturing techniques, and using machine-learning to predict creep properties based on compositions and microstructures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Rationalizing nitrogen-doped secondary carbon particles for practical lithium-sulfur batteries

Nanostructured carbon host materials are widely used to improve both sulfur utilization rate and reaction kinetics in lithium-sulfur (Li-S) batteries. However, high complexity/cost of materials synthesis and difficulty in processing nano-materials into high-mass-loading electrodes are still significant barriers to the development of low-cost and high-energy Li-S batteries. In this study, we reported a generic and scalable synthesis approach to prepare nitrogen-doped secondary carbon particles. By using nitrogen-containing precursor as an integration reagent, the nanosized Ketjen Black particles were integrated into micron-size secondary ones and nitrogen-doped (NKB) simultaneously through a one-step heat treatment. With NKB as an example material, the effects of particle integration degree on the secondary particles’ structures, pore volume and connectivity, sulfur loading capability, and cell performance were studied and discussed. At an optimal integration condition, the NKB particles had significantly improved particle dimensions with well-maintained high specific surface area and pore volume. Here, contributed by the micron size and high pore volume, the NKB/S were successfully used for high-sulfur-loading cathodes (4–7 mg s /cm -2 ) and were able to deliver a specific capacity of ~1100 mAh g -1 at a low-porosity (50%) and lean-electrolyte conditions (E/S =4 µL/mg -1 ). Feasibility of the materials for practical use was validated through scaling up synthesis (40 g/batch), large-area electrode coating, and practical pouch cell (1.6 Ah) assembly and test.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Disruptive thermal-spectrum molten salt breeder reactor fuel cycle technologies

Multiple, disruptive fuel salt processing technologies for thermal-spectrum molten salt breeder reactors (TS-MSBRs) have been conceived of and brought to laboratory levels of maturity since the termination of the historic U.S. government program. This paper describes these technologies and the role that they could serve in decreasing the remaining technical risks for TS-MSBR deployment. In conclusion, the focus of the paper is on describing how the technologies could integrate into a dramatically simpler, proliferation resistant fuel salt processing system as well as identifying remaining development hurdles.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

A Review and Outlook on Experimental Advances and Innovations in Geological CO 2 Storage: Insights from Depleted Gas Reservoirs and Saline Aquifers

Geological storage of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) in depleted gas reservoirs and deep saline aquifers is a key part of global decarbonization efforts. As carbon capture and storage advances toward commercial-scale deployment, the credibility and scalability of laboratory experiments are increasingly vital for guiding safe and effective field implementation. This review offers a comprehensive, cross-scale evaluation of experimental methodologies, including core flooding, high-pressure, high-temperature systems, microfluidic visualization, and emerging systems such as multilayer commingled/compartmentalized core flooding, 3D-printed micromodels, and AI-powered digital twins. These innovations are demonstrated to enhance representativeness, reproducibility, and real-time insight, thereby addressing the limitations of conventional workflows. A critical analysis of methodological gaps, such as inconsistent pressure–temperature conditions, oversimplified brine chemistry, and a lack of standardization, reveals experimental sources of scale translation errors and performance uncertainty. By comparing the unique challenges of depleted gas reservoirs (such as low water saturation and legacy well leakage) to those of saline aquifers (including pressure buildup and caprock integrity), this review identifies formation-specific priorities for experimental design. Novel contributions include a synthesis of best practices, integration strategies for model calibration, and recommendations for standardizing core handling, saturation procedures, and reporting protocols. Furthermore, this work serves as a guide for developing robust, field-relevant experimental strategies that can increase the deployment and regulatory acceptance of CO 2 storage technologies at scale.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Stimulated Raman Scattering Microscopy: Real-Time In-Situ Physical and Chemical Characterization of Reverse Osmosis Desalination Membrane Scaling

We introduce a stimulated Raman scattering (SRS) methodology designed for rapid, real-time, and in situ monitoring of RO membrane scaling adapted for bench-scale desalination flow cells. The methodology can provide new insights into membrane scaling dynamics by offering time-resolved reflection imaging of inorganic crystal growth, coupled with chemical identification from Raman spectral data. These capabilities allow for direct local measurement of the membrane surface area covered by different scalants as well as an approximation of the scalant volume using three-dimensional, integrated Raman intensity. The 2D and 3D SRS results obtained from CaSO 4 scaling experiments are compared to and are in reasonable agreement with those provided by confocal microscopy. The real-time physical and chemical characterization capabilities presented here could be extended to study combinations of inorganic, organic, and biological fouling. Overall, the SRS methodology represents an advancement in real-time sensing of membrane fouling that offers the potential for improved operation, lower cost, and more resilient RO membrane systems for sustainable water management.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Linewidth narrowing in self-injection-locked on-chip lasers

Abstract Stable laser emission with narrow linewidth is of critical importance in many applications, including coherent communications, LIDAR, and remote sensing. In this work, the physics underlying spectral narrowing of self-injection-locked on-chip lasers to Hz-level lasing linewidth is investigated using a composite-cavity structure. Heterogeneously integrated III–V/SiN lasers operating with quantum-dot and quantum-well active regions are analyzed with a focus on the effects of carrier quantum confinement. The intrinsic differences are associated with gain saturation and carrier-induced refractive index, which are directly connected with 0- and 2-dimensional carrier densities of states. Results from parametric studies are presented for tradeoffs involved with tailoring the linewidth, output power, and injection current for different device configurations. Though both quantum-well and quantum-dot devices show similar linewidth-narrowing capabilities, the former emits at a higher optical power in the self-injection-locked state, while the latter is more energy-efficient. Lastly, a multi-objective optimization analysis is provided to optimize the operation and design parameters. For the quantum-well laser, minimizing the number of quantum-well layers is found to decrease the threshold current without significantly reducing the output power. For the quantum-dot laser, increasing the quantum-dot layers or density in each layer increases the output power without significantly increasing the threshold current. These findings serve to guide more detailed parametric studies to produce timely results for engineering design.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Releasing chemical energy in spatiallyprogrammed ferroelectrics

Chemical energy ferroelectrics are generally solid macromolecules showing spontaneous polarization and chemical bonding energy. These materials still suffer drawbacks, including the limited control of energy release rate, and thermal decomposition energy well below total chemical energy. To overcome these drawbacks, we report the integrated molecular ferroelectric and energetic material from machine learning-directed additive manufacturing coupled with the ice-templating assembly. The resultant aligned porous architecture shows a low density of 0.35 g cm -3 , polarization-controlled energy release, and an anisotropic thermal conductivity ratio of 15. Thermal analysis suggests that the chlorine radicals react with macromolecules enabling a large exothermic enthalpy of reaction (6180 kJ kg -1 ). In addition, the estimated detonation velocity of molecular ferroelectrics can be tuned from 6.69 ± 0.21 to 7.79 ± 0.25 km s -1 by switching the polarization state. These results provide a pathway toward spatially programmed energetic ferroelectrics for controlled energy release rates.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Cost estimates of production scale semitransparent organic photovoltaic modules for building integrated photovoltaics

Building integrated photovoltaics (BIPVs) are attached to commercial and residential structures to enable solar energy harvesting. While conventional Si photovoltaics (PVs) are dominant in the current market, second and third generation thin film solar cells based on amorphous Si, CdTe, CIGS, perovskites or organic photovoltaics (OPVs) are often considered as an alternative for BIPV applications since they may offer reduced costs compared to Si PVs. Indeed, recent advances in performance suggest that lightweight, flexible and visibly transparent OPVs can potentially be integrated into windows or other applications to which Si PVs are less well suited. Here, we estimate the cost of high efficiency, semitransparent OPVs (ST-OPVs) based on solution processing in a roll-to-roll (R2R) manufacturing line. Assuming modules with 10% power conversion efficiency (PCE), a 70% geometric fill factor (GFF), and 95% inverter efficiency, we anticipate a %1.6 per Wp module manufacturing cost that includes the cost of the microinverter to condition the OPV dc output to be compatible with the ac line voltage of the building. The materials and inverter cost comprise ~90% of the total module cost. Hence, with simplified material synthesis and a lower inverter cost, including marginally improved PCE and GFF, we expect the cost can be as low as $0.47 per Wp. Here, while the module costs ~60% of the average (uninstalled) double-pane window, we expect the payback period can be as short as 2 to 6 years, suggesting that OPVs can be an economic and attractive candidate for BIPV applications.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗