Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Capacity estimation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 739 records · Page 41

Balancing CO 2 Pipeline Infrastructure Challenges

Conference presentation at American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG) Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) Conference, Houston, Texas, March 28–30, 2022. This study on the pipeline systems revealed challenges that a pipeline system will face: a) pipeline cost estimates and cost drivers, b) cost and hydraulics optimization, and c) temperature effects on the pipeline capacity and maximum injection pressure at an injection well.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Nationwide assessment of potential output from wind-powered generators

A method for computing the actual expected power for a wind-powered generator from a given observed speed distribution is described and applied to estimate the potential output for different locations in the continental U.S. A contour map of generator capacity factor values (fraction of the rated output realizable) is obtained for wind-powered generator systems with a cut-in speed of 3.6 m/sec and a rated speed of 8.0 m/sec, and for a unit with hypothetical values for the 1 MW class (cut-in speed, 6.7 m/sec; rated speed, 13.4 m/sec). Results indicate that in the central U.S. and in certain areas of the New England coast at a height of 61 m, over 60% of the rated output power could be obtained on an annual average. In these areas capacity factors of over 20% could be obtained with the 1MW system.

Justus, C. G.↗

Evaluating near-surface soil moisture using Heat Capacity Mapping Mission data

Four dates of Heat Capacity Mapping Mission (HCMM) data were analyzed in order to evaluate HCMM thermal data use in estimating near-surface soil moisture in a complex agricultural landscape. Because of large spatial and temporal ground cover variations, HCMM radiometric temperatures alone did not correlate with soil water content. The radiometric temperatures consisted of radiance contributions from different canopies and their respective soil backgrounds. However, when surface soil temperatures were empirically estimated from HCMM temperatures and percent cover of each pixel, a highly significant correlation was obtained between the estimated soil temperatures and near-surface soil water content.

Heilman, J. L.↗

Predicting Cancer Risk from Ionizing Radiation

The ability to predict cancer risk associated with exposure to low doses of high-LET ionizing radiation (IR) remains a challenge. Epidemiological methods lack the sensitivity and power to provide detailed risk estimates for cancer and ignore individual variance in IR sensitivity. We have hypothesized that DNA repair capacity can be used as a marker to evaluate and differentiate individual radiation sensitivity. More specifically, this work is based on the concept that the combined time-dose dependence of radiation-induced foci (RIF) of p53-binding protein 1 (53BP1) following low-LET exposure contains sufficient information to infer sensitivity to any other LET. Our hypothesis was tested in 15 different mouse strains as well as in primary human immune cells. We first approached individual ionizing radiation sensitivity in a mouse model by culturing primary skin fibroblasts extracted from 76 mice of 15 different genetic backgrounds and exposing them to HZE particles and X-rays. This work is one of the most extensive studies on the kinetics and possible genetic underpinnings of radiation-induced DNA damage and repair. Our results is in agreement with a DNA repair model we previously postulated, where nearby DNA double strand breaks (DSB) in the nucleus are brought together for more efficient repair, leading to RIF clustering. Such mechanism was evidenced by a specific dose and LET dependence of RIF numbers. Briefly, RIF quantification after low-LET X-ray exposure showed an asymptotic saturation for doses between 1 Gy and 4 Gy 4 hours post-irradiation across all 15 strains. The clustering of DSB across all strains also led to more RIF/Gy for lower LET (X-ray and 350 MeV/n Ar) than for higher LET (600 MeV/n Fe) 4 hours post-exposure. Considering the fact that the number of DSB/Gy should be independent of LET, our data suggest there are more DSB in individual RIF as the LET increases. RIF numbers for 24 and 48 hours post-exposure led to the inverse trend, with more remaining RIF/Gy for higher LET (by 600 MeV/n Fe). This result suggests cells have more difficulty resolving RIF from higher LET as they the number DSB/RIF increases. Note that for most conditions, the variance of RIF/Gy was small within individual animals of the same strain and large between strains, suggesting a strong genetics component. Furthermore, we present our preliminary data from an ongoing study on human genetic associations with IR sensitivity. To address the human variability in responses to HZE particle irradiation in a maximally comprehensive manner, we are in the process of collecting and isolating primary blood mononuclear cells from 768 healthy subjects of European descent, 18-75 years of age, 50/50 male/female distribution. We have analyzed 53BP1+ RIF formation as well as oxidative stress and cell death in primary cells from 192 subjects in response to the same HZE particles as used in mice: 600 MeV/n Fe, 350 MeV/n Ar and 350 MeV/n Si, 1.1 and 3 particles/100m2, 4 and 24 hours after irradiation. We will next complete the quantification of HZE particle-induced DNA and cellular damage in the remaining subjects and compare it to their responses to low-LET irradiation. Finally, we will perform GWAS analysis to identify human genomic associations with IR sensitivity and potential targets for biomarker development.

High-LET radiation↗

What's in WIPP? Packaging TRU Waste to Enhance WIPP's Capacity - 16515

Beginning in 1999, and continuing for 15 years, the US DOE Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) repository successfully disposed of defense Transuranic (TRU) waste. Six of the originally planned ten disposal panels were filled before two unrelated accidents temporarily halted disposal operations in February 2014. Based on counting the gross volume of all containers emplaced in WIPP to date, a little more than half of the legislated volume capacity has been subscribed (91,000 cubic meters). This paper describes the many different packaging configurations that have been used to ship TRU waste to WIPP, and makes observations that may enhance the repository capacity when shipments resume. The contents of shipments to WIPP are limited by many requirements of the repository waste acceptance criteria. These criteria derive from three primary sources; 1) the Certificate of Compliance (CoC), issued by the NRC for Type B shipping packaging used by WIPP; 2) The Hazardous Waste Facility Permit, issued by the New Mexico Environment Department; and 3) the WIPP facility's own Documented Safety Analysis (DSA), developed under DOE's regulation 10CFR830. To meet these criteria, various TRU waste forms have been packaged in different ways, with varying packaging efficiency. Of course, there is an overall upper limit on WIPP's volume capacity that was legislated as part of the WIPP Land Withdrawal Act. The volume counted against this limit has been calculated by simply summing the volumes of individual payload containers shipped to and emplaced at WIPP. This method counts significant non-waste volumes inside the containers due to over-packing inner containers and partially filled containers. Without some change to how disposal volumes are calculated, or how waste is packaged, the amount of TRU waste yet to be shipped to WIPP could exceed the legislated capacity. Concepts to enhance the packaging efficiency of future waste shipments to WIPP are presented. Approximate estimates of the waste versus non-waste volumes that have been emplaced to date are discussed. This paper only considers contact handled TRU waste (i.e., contact dose rates < 2 mSv/hr). (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Evaluating national hydrogen refueling infrastructure requirement and economic competitiveness of fuel cell electric long-haul trucks

This study explored the national hydrogen refueling infrastructure requirement along major United States (US) interstate highway corridors to support the deployment of fuel cell electric trucks (FCETs) for the national long-haul trucking fleet. Given the long-haul trucking shipment demand in 2025 projected by the Freight Analysis Framework, locations and capacities of hydrogen stations were identified for inter-zone freight flows, and the total daily refueling demand was estimated for intra-zone flows for each FAF zone. Based on the infrastructure deployment results, we conducted an economic feasibility analysis of FCETs by evaluating the total ownership cost. We found that when the FCET penetration is relatively high (e.g., 10% penetration), FCETs become more competitive in terms of fuel cost and idling cost and could be economic viable if the incremental vehicle cost is reduced to meet the near-term FCET technology cost targets and the liquefaction cost is reduced to an optimal case. We also observed that the station cost depends on regional factors, particularly regional demand, which is used to determine station capacity. Thus, one possible strategy for station roll-out is to have early investment in target regions where station costs are expected to be relatively low such as the Pacific and West South Central regions.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Optimized Floating Offshore Wind Turbine Substructure Design Trends for 10–30 MW Turbines in Low-, Medium-, and High-Severity Wave Environments

Floating offshore wind is a promising renewable energy source, as 60% of the wind resources globally are found at depths requiring floating technologies, it minimizes construction at sea, and provides opportunities for industrialization given a lower site dependency. While floating offshore wind has numerous advantages, a current obstacle is its cost in comparison to more established energy sources. One cost-reduction approach for floating wind is increasing turbine capacities, which minimizes the amount of foundations, moorings, cables, and O&M equipment. This work presents trends in mass-optimized VolturnUS hull designs as turbine capacity increases for various wave environments. To do this, a novel rapid hull optimization framework is presented that employs frequency domain modeling, estimations of statistical extreme responses, industry constructability requirements, and genetic algorithm optimization to generate preliminary mass-optimal VolturnUS hull designs for a given turbine design and set of site conditions. Using this framework, mass-optimized VolturnUS hull designs were generated for 10–30 MW turbines for wave environments of varying severities. These design studies show that scaling up turbine capacities increases the mass efficiency of substructure designs, with decreasing returns, throughout the examined turbine capacity range. Additionally, increased wave environment severity is shown to increase the required mass of a given substructure design.

VolturnUS↗

CHARGE-MAP: An integrated framework to study the multicriteria EV charging infrastructure expansion problem

The widespread adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) in recent years has necessitated the development of effective charging infrastructures. However, charging infrastructure expansion is a multifaceted problem that requires careful consideration of the existing infrastructure, spatiotemporal distribution of charging demands, power-grid capacity, and budget constraints. Here, to approach this complex problem, we present CHARGE-MAP, a data-driven simulation-optimization framework, focused on ensuring meaningful charging experience for individual EV owners. CHARGE-MAP integrates three modules: an agent-based simulation module that estimates spatiotemporal distribution of charging demands by modeling EV adopter mobility and charging behavior; an optimization module that determines optimal new charging station/charger locations and capacities, while minimizing expected detour distances and wait-times with a limited number of new stations; and a power module that determines how to connect the stations to the power grid while maintaining its stability. Using the state of Virginia (consisting of 95 counties and 38 independent cities) as a case study, our results show that CHARGE-MAP can meet the demand of ~198,600 predicted EVs with 1,305 new public charging stations and 2,164 new chargers. It reduces average detour distances for charging by 66% and wait-times at stations by 72% compared to the existing infrastructure. Furthermore, transformer capacity requirement analysis reveals that only 1.8% of residential transformers require upgrades, while over 80% of commercial charging locations can be supported with modest transformer infrastructure (25 to 50 kVA). This indicates that targeted investments can facilitate cost-effective EV integration. Consequently, CHARGE-MAP provides policymakers and urban planners with crucial data-driven insights for effective EV charging infrastructure expansion. Sign up for PNAS alerts.

charging infrastructure↗

Environmental factors have a greater influence on photosynthetic capacity in C 4 plants than biochemical subtypes or growth forms

Our understanding of how photosynthetic capacity varies among C 4 species and across growth and measurement conditions remains limited. We collated 1696 CO 2 response curves of net CO 2 assimilation rate (A/C i curves) from C 4 species grown and measured at various environmental conditions and used these data to estimate the apparent maximum carboxylation activity of phosphoenolpyruvate carboxylase (V pmaxA ) and CO 2 -saturated net photosynthetic rate (A max ), two key parameters describing photosynthetic capacity. We examined how V pmaxA and A max vary with species-specific traits, growth and measurement conditions.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Melt Stabilization of PbSnTe in a Magnetic Field

Both the experimental observation and numerical simulation indicate that the Bridgman growth of PbSnTe under the microgravity environment in space is still greatly influenced by buoyancy-induced convection. The application of a magnetic field during the semiconductor growth can dampen the convective flow in the metal-like melt. However, for Bridgman growth of PbSnTe on earth (with either vertical or horizontal configuration), both experimental observation and numerical modeling suggest that even with a strong magnetic furnace (5-Tesla constant axial magnetic field), the convective flow in the melt still cannot be sufficiently suppressed to reach the diffusion-controlled level. In order to completely dampen the buoyancy-induced convection on earth, estimates based on scaling analysis indicate that for common experimental conditions, an extremely high magnetic field is required, far beyond the capacity of the experimental apparatus currently available. Therefore, it is proposed that only the combination of microgravity environment and magnetic damping will produce the desired diffusion-controlled growth state for this particular material. The primary objectives of this study are to provide a quantitative understanding of the complex transport phenomena during solidification of non-dilute binarys, to furnish a numerical tool for furnace design and growth condition optimization, to provide estimates of the required magnetic field strength for low gravity growth, and to assess the role of magnetic damping for space and earth control of the double-diffusive convection. As an integral part of a NASA research program, our numerical simulation supports both the flight and ground-based experiments in an effort to bring together a complete picture of the complex physical phenomena involved in the crystal growth process. For Bridgman growth of PbSnTe under microgravity (with both vertical and horizontal configurations), the simulations suggest that a moderate axial magnetic field of only a few kilo-Gauss in strength could effectively eliminate buoyancy-induced convection in the melt and control solute segregation. Therefore, this work confirms the idea that the combination of microgravity environment and the magnetic damping will indeed be sufficient to produce the desired diffusion-controlled growth state for PbSnTe.

Fripp, Archibald L.↗

Modeling the cooldown of cryocooler conduction-cooled devices

Cryocooler conduction cooled devices can experience significant cooldown time due to lower available cooling capacity compares to convection cooled devices. Therefore, the cooldown time is an important design parameter for conduction cooled devices. This article introduces a framework developed in Python for calculating the cooldown profiles and cooldown time of cryocooler conduction-cooled devices such as superconducting magnets and accelerator cavities. The cooldown time estimation problem is essentially a system of ordinary first-order differential equations comprising the material properties (temperature dependent thermal conductivity and specific heat capacity) of the components intertwined with the prevailing heat transfer channels (conduction, radiation, and heat flow across pressed contacts) and the cryocooler capacity. The formulation of this ODE system is first presented. This ODE system is then solved using the in-built Python library odeint. A case study is presented comprising a small cryocooler conduction-cooled copper stabilized niobium-titanium magnet. The case study is supplemented with the Python script enabling the reader to simply tweak the device design parameters and optimize the design from the point of view of slow/fast cooldown.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Processing Science and Technology

The heat capacity at constant pressure,Cp, of poly-p-xylylene (PPX) was measured from 220 to 625 degrees K using differential scanning calorimetry. The heat capacities at constant volume, Cv, of both PPX and its isomer polystyrene (PS were interpreted using literature data on full normal mode calculations for PS and estimates from low molecular weight analogues for PPX for the 39 group vibrations. Nine skeletal vibrations were used with theta sub 1 and theta sub 3 temperatures of 534.5 degrees K and 43.1 degrees K for PS. It was also possible to calculate a heat capacity contribution of a phenylene group within a polymer chain. Single 48-vibration theta sub 1 temperatures of 3230 degrees K for PS and 2960 degrees K for PPX are sufficient to describe Cv above 220 degrees K. Below 140 deg K, PS heat capacity shows deviations from the Tarasov treatment.

Source record↗

Quantifying the Solar Energy Resource for Puerto Rico

After Hurricane Maria, multiple U.S. Department of Energy laboratories studied the state of the electric grid in Puerto Rico and analyzed grid resilience and grid integration of renewable energy. As part of the work done at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, researchers created new solar resource data, conducted a technical potential and supply curve analysis, and studied the interannual variability of the solar resource. A new methodology was developed to downscale solar resource data from the National Solar Radiation Data Base (NSRDB) from a 4-km x 4-km spatial and 30-minute temporal resolution to a 2 km x 2 km and 5-minute resolution. This methodology primarily used simple physical principles to develop high-resolution cloud properties which were then used to compute solar radiation. The high-resolution datasets were validated against ground measurements and the error metrics were found to be similar to the original lower resolution dataset. Using 20 years of downscaled data from the NSRDB multi-year capacity factors for photovoltaics (PV) were developed for both single-axis tracking and fixed latitude-tilt configurations. Use of the multi-year data provides the ability to understand variability in capacity factors due to variability in weather over a long period of time. For Puerto Rico the coastal regions were found to have significant higher capacity factors than inland. Using land-use and terrain information a technical potential analysis was conducted for Puerto Rico. This analysis restricted single PV plant development to a maximum of 100 MW nameplate capacity. The nameplate capacity for each municipality were then determined. Based on our assumptions, 56 of the 78 total municipalities of Puerto Rico contain some level of solar capacity. Most of the interior municipalities did not have any capacity because of the geographic exclusions used in this study. The lowest capacity for a PV plant observed in a municipality was 10 MW. The maximum capacity within a county was 2,000 MW. Further a supply curve analysis was conducted by taking the results of the technical potential and quantifying system and transmission costs. The levelized cost of energy (LCOE) was calculated for each theoretical PV plant site, and the levelized cost of transmission was added to the LCOE to produce a total cost estimate for each site. The results of the supply curve analysis allow for a relative comparison of the cost for integrating new PV capacity into the grid. This analysis indicates that cheaper total LCOE sites tend to be larger in capacity. The total capacity in this study was found to be far beyond the maximum peak load for the island. However, this study does not consider the economic and market potential for development. The cumulative capacity presented in this study assumes that the best locations are developed first and ignores the complex decision paths for new power plant development. Therefore, this analysis can only be treated as illustrative. Finally this study investigates the impact of inter-annual variability of resource using a variety of metrices including probability of exceedance and variation in capacity factor and LCOE. This study demonstrates that the capacity factor or LCOE could vary by over 10% year to year. This clearly indicates the risks involved in using any particular year of data and clearly points to the use of multi-year data to reduce some of the risks related to variability in weather.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Supercondutivity at 9K in Mo 5 PB 2 with evidence for multiple gaps

Superconductivity is observed with critical temperatures near 9 K in the tetragonal compound Mo 5 PB 2 . This material adopts the Cr 5 B 3 structure type common to superconducting Nb 5 Si 3–x Bx, Mo 5 SiB 2 , and W 5 SiB 2 , which have critical temperatures of 5.8–7.8 K. We have synthesized polycrystalline samples of the compound, made measurements of electrical resistivity, magnetic susceptibility, and heat capacity, and performed first-principles electronic structure calculations. The highest T c value (9.2 K) occurs in slightly phosphorus rich samples, with composition near Mo 5 P 1.1 B 1.9 , and the upper critical field H c2 at T = 0 is estimated to be ≈17 kOe. Together, the measurements and band-structure calculations indicate intermediate coupling (λ=1.0), phonon mediated superconductivity. Here, the temperature dependence of the heat capacity and upper critical field H c2 below T c suggest multiple superconducting gaps may be present.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Anomalous Lattice Properties of Manganese Monosilicide: the Thermodynamic Approach

The temperature dependences of the thermal and elastic MnSi properties are analyzed within the limits of the self-consistent approach. The role of the anharmonicity of acoustic and optical lattice vibrations is analyzed. It is demonstrated that anomalously weak anharmonicity is characteristic for acoustic phonons. In particular, this explains the temperature dependence of the MnSi bulk compressive modulus. The one-electron contribution is estimated and the anomalous non-lattice contribution to the formation of the temperature dependences of heat capacity and volume thermal expansion coefficients.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Developing new pathways for energy and environmental decision-making in India: a review

Abstract India faces a dual challenge of economic development and responding to climate change. Although India’s per capita emissions are well below global average, the country is one of the world’s largest greenhouse gas emitters. Indian policymakers and stakeholders require high-quality data and research to assess low-emissions, sustainable development strategies. Peer-reviewed literature is a key source of this information and also a key venue for conversation amongst research leaders. This paper examines the recent peer-reviewed literature on India’s 2030 and 2050 pathways. We conducted a systematic literature review to identify key quantitative national modeling studies. From the 34 studies identified, we synthesized scenario data to draw common conclusions and identify critical research gaps. The main focus was on examining the coverage and the state of information available on low-carbon pathways. Overall, we find a few scenarios that are potentially consistent with a 2070 net-zero goal, but more limited assessment of pathways to reach net-zero emissions before this date. Mitigation pathways with greater ambition are required across all energy sectors to ensure a smooth transition to net-zero emissions by or before 2070. The scenarios confirm that reducing emissions to below 2 GtCO 2 yr −1 by mid-century would necessitate significant transformations of the Indian energy sector, such as, a decrease in unabated coal power capacity, transportation modal shift, and industrial process switching. The assessment also finds substantial differences in final energy estimates reported across studies, particularly in transportation. The lack of consistency in, and transparency about underlying drivers, assumptions, and even outputs across studies points to the critical need for the sorts of coordinated, multi-model studies that have proven exceptionally valuable for decision makers in other major emitting countries.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Analysis on the Influence of an Energy Storage System and its Impact to the Grid for a Wave Energy Converter

Reducing power fluctuations is essential for controlling the integration impacts of wave energy converter (WEC) plants in both distribution and transmission grids, and in stand-alone isolated power systems. This paper presents an analysis on the cost of and how a battery storage system can be used to further reduce the variation of power generated from the WEC due to the fluctuating nature of waves and its impact to the grid. The electrical power output from WEC-Sim simulations for the six sea states used in the Wave Energy Prize was analyzed to compute the peak power and power time history. The results were used to evaluate the battery storage capacity that is needed for a WEC system to provide reasonable power flow to the grid and estimate its cost based on the latest cost information for battery technologies published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Finally, a preliminary grid integration analysis was performed to demonstrate how WEC-generated power would contribute to a small island electricity system. As shown in the study, the instantaneous peak power is the primary cost driver for the battery storage and the power take-off system, and reducing the power fluctuations is essential for reducing the overall levelized cost of energy (LCOE). The power flow variation from WECs can be significantly reduced using battery storage without adding significant overall system costs, and the implementation of battery storage is essential for grid integration applications. There may also be additional opportunities to further investigate energy storage technologies that are specific to WEC applications to reduce these costs even further.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Comparing Regional Energy Consumption for Direct Drone and Truck Deliveries

Drone delivery, once thought of as fictitious, is becoming a reality with the efforts of both forward-looking enterprises and supportive government policies. This emerging mode of e-commerce delivery raises many concerns. One important concern is the energy efficiency of direct delivery drones compared with conventional delivery trucks at a regional systems level. Here, in this study, we develop and apply methods to quantify the regional energy impacts of drone delivery, then we assess these impacts and compare them with the impacts of truck delivery. To study this problem, we develop an optimization model that determines an optimal set of fulfillment centers (FCs) with variable service capacities that allow drones to make direct e-commerce deliveries. We adopt two drone delivery energy estimation models from the literature and use them as inputs to demonstrate the potential range of energy needs. We also develop another optimization model to account for the energy consumption of diesel trucks (DTs) and battery electric vehicles (BEVs). We test the models using validated simulation data for the Chicago metropolitan area in the U.S. to quantify the energy implications of these three delivery modes. For drone delivery, we further extend our analyses by considering the impact of wind speed and flight patterns. Our results show that direct delivery drones require 15.8% more energy than BEVs on an average windy day, and they need 15% more energy than DTs on a very windy day. We provide essential parameter values for reproducibility and list relevant open problems.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗