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At least 739 records · Page 41

Part 1: Aspects of lithospheric evolution on Venus. Part 2: Thermal and collisional histories of chondrite parent bodies

The geological evolution of distinctly different kinds of solar system objects is addressed. Venus has been observed over the past decade by orbital radars on both American and Soviet spacecraft. These surface measurements provide clues to the structure and evolution of the lithosphere. The parent bodies of chondritic meteorites, thought to resemble asteroids, represent the other end of the size spectrum of terrestrial objects. Their early thermal and collisional histories may be constrained by the chemical and textural record preserved in meteorite samples. Impact craters on Venus have been observed by the Soviet Venera 15/16 spacecraft. A formalism is presented by which the size-frequency distribution of impact craters may be used to estimate upper bounds on the mean global rates of volcanic resurfacing and lithospheric recycling on that planet over the past several hundred million years. The impact crater density reported from Venera observations, if valid for the entire Venus surface, indicates a mean volcanic flux no greater than 2 cu km/y, corresponding to a maximum average rate of resurfacing of about 4 km/b.y. For the lowest estimated mean crater retention age of the surface of Venus imaged by Venera 15/16, the rate of lithospheric recycling on Venus does not exceed 1.5 sq km/y. Ordinary chondrite meteorites show textural and chemical patterns indicative of varying intensities of thermal metamorphism. The conventional onion-shell model, which envisions highly metamorphosed material in the core and less intensely heated rocks near the surface, predicts an inverse relation between peak temperature and cooking rate, but none has been observed. A metamorphosed-planetesimal model is devised to explain this discrepancy, whereby heating occurs in planetesimals a few kilometers in radius which then accrete to form 100-km-radius parent bodies. Cooling rates are then randomly controlled by burial depth. Thermal and collisional constraints are examined, and the model is found to be applicable only to highly insulating Al-26-rich planetesimals that remain closely aggregated upon accretion. An alternative model is presented, in which onion-shell parent bodies are collisionally fragmented during metamorphism and then gravitationally reassembled. If reassembly times are short, then cooling rates would be determined by burial depth in the reaccreted parent body. This model, unlike previous ones, can explain both coherent and incoherent cooling of Breccia clasts by collisions during or after metamorphism, respectively.

Grimm, Robert E.↗

Design of an Out-Of-Pile Experimental Facility to Demonstrate the Feasibility of In Situ Thermal Conductivity Measurements of Nuclear Fuels Under Irradiation

There is substantial merit in quantifying nuclear fuel performance under irradiation. At Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), the MiniFuel irradiation platform has become the primary test vehicle for conducting separate-effects fuel performance irradiation experiments. The MiniFuel experiment is a passively controlled capsule design deployed in the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) through which fuel performance data is collected post-irradiation. Separate effects fuels irradiation capabilities are being expanded at ORNL by developing instrumented capsule designs that aim to capture fuel performance phenomena in-situ. One such capsule will specifically target fuel specimen thermal conductivity changes as a function of fuel burnup. Due to the complexity of making this measurement on nuclear fuel in-pile, this paper describes the necessary out-of-pile testing conducted on the thermal conductivity capsule (TCC) design. The measurement is ascertained via a thermopile system with heat transferred unidirectionally through a surrogate fuel specimen sandwiched between two conductive materials. The capsules investigated in this study are representative of the in-pile design, with the primary departure from irradiation conditions being the distribution of heat generation within the capsule. In the out-of-pile experiment, an external heater was used to drive heat through the conductive slug materials and into the specimen. This paper expounds the design of the out-of-pile experimental system and the thermal conductivity measurement technique. Predictive models used to determine the sensitivity of the measurement to variables governing thermal contact conductance between the specimen and slug materials and to predict experimental results are also described. Data from the out-of-pile experiment will be used to validate the readiness of the design for insertion into HFIR for irradiation.

Parker, Trevor [ORNL]↗

Greedy Sampling and Incremental Surrogate Model-Based Tailoring of Aeroservoelastic Model Database for Flexible Aircraft

This paper presents a data analysis and modeling framework to tailor and develop linear parameter-varying (LPV) aeroservoelastic (ASE) model database for flexible aircrafts in broad 2D flight parameter space. The Kriging surrogate model is constructed using ASE models at a fraction of grid points within the original model database, and then the ASE model at any flight condition can be obtained simply through surrogate model interpolation. The greedy sampling algorithm is developed to select the next sample point that carries the worst relative error between the surrogate model prediction and the benchmark model in the frequency domain among all input-output channels. The process is iterated to incrementally improve surrogate model accuracy till a pre-determined tolerance or iteration budget is met. The methodology is applied to the ASE model database of a flexible aircraft currently being tested at NASA/AFRC for flutter suppression and gust load alleviation. Our studies indicate that the proposed method can reduce the number of models in the original database by 67%. Even so the ASE models obtained through Kriging interpolation match the model in the original database constructed directly from the physics-based tool with the worst relative error far below 1%. The interpolated ASE model exhibits continuously-varying gains along a set of prescribed flight conditions. More importantly, the selected grid points are distributed non-uniformly in the parameter space, a) capturing the distinctly different dynamic behavior and its dependence on flight parameters, and b) reiterating the need and utility for adaptive space sampling techniques for ASE model database compaction. The present framework is directly extendible to high-dimensional flight parameter space, and can be used to guide the ASE model development, model order reduction, robust control synthesis and novel vehicle design of flexible aircraft.

numerical analysi↗

Near‐Surface Hydrology and Soil Properties Drive Heterogeneity in Permafrost Distribution, Vegetation Dynamics, and Carbon Cycling in a Sub‐Arctic Watershed

Abstract Discontinuous permafrost environments exhibit strong spatial heterogeneity at scales too small to be driven by weather forcing or captured by Earth System Models. Here we analyze effects of observed spatial heterogeneity in soil and vegetation properties, hydrology, and thermal dynamics on ecosystem carbon dynamics in a watershed on the Seward Peninsula in Alaska. We apply a Morris global sensitivity analysis to a process‐rich, successfully tested terrestrial ecosystem model (TEM), ecosys , varying soil properties, boundary conditions, and weather forcing. We show that landscape heterogeneity strongly impacts soil temperatures and vegetation composition. Snow depth, O‐horizon thickness, and near‐surface water content, which vary at scales of O(m), control the soil thermal regime more than an air temperature gradient corresponding to a 140 km north–south distance. High shrub productivity is simulated only in talik (perennially unfrozen) soils with high nitrogen availability. Through these effects on plant and permafrost dynamics, landscape heterogeneity impacts ecosystem productivity. Simulations with near‐surface taliks have higher microbial respiration (by 78.0 gC m −2 yr −1 ) and higher net primary productivity (by 104.9 gC m −2 yr −1 ) compared to runs with near‐surface permafrost, and simulations with high shrub productivity have outlying values of net carbon uptake. We explored the prediction uncertainty associated with ignoring observed landscape heterogeneity, and found that watershed net carbon uptake is 60% larger when heterogeneity is accounted for. Our results highlight the complexity inherent in discontinuous permafrost environments and demonstrate that missing representation of subgrid heterogeneity in TEMs could bias predictions of high‐latitude carbon budget.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The effects of Venus' thermal structure on buoyant magma ascent

The recent Magellan images have revealed a broad spatial distribution of surface volcanism on Venus. Previous work in modeling the ascent of magma on both Venus and Earth has indicated that the planetary thermal structure significantly influences the magmatic cooling rates and thus the amount of magma that can be transported to the surface before solidification. In order to understand which aspects of the thermal structure have the greatest influence on the cooling of ascending magma, we have constructed magma cooling curves for both plutonic and crack buoyant ascent mechanisms, and evaluated the curves for variations in the planetary mantle temperature, thermal gradient curvature with depth, surface temperature gradient, and surface temperature. The planetary thermal structure is modeled as T/T(sub 0) = 1-tau(1-Z/Z(sub 0)(exp n), where T is the temperature, T(sub 0) is the source depth temperature, tau = 1-(T(sub s)/T(sub 0)) where T(sub s) is the planetary surface temperature, Z is the depth, Z(sub 0) is the source depth, and n is a constant that controls thermal gradient curvature with depth. The equation is used both for mathematical convenience and flexibility, as well as its fit to the thermal gradients predicted by the cooling half-space models. We assume a constant velocity buoyant ascent, body-averaged magma temperatures and properties, an initially crystal-free magma, and the same liquidus and solidus for both Venus and Earth.

Sakimoto, S. E. H.↗

Elucidating the Radiation-Induced Redox Chemistry of Plutonium Under Used Nuclear Fuel Reprocessing Conditions

Plutonium plays a critical role in the development of sustainable nuclear fuel cycles, and yet, our fundamental understanding of this element’s inherent radiation-induced redox chemistry and associated impacts on nuclear fuel cycle technologies is limited. Unanticipated changes in oxidation state distribution can influence the speciation and transport of plutonium in a given process. Control of these parameters is especially important for used nuclear fuel reprocessing technologies, wherein the separation and recovery of plutonium is typically achieved by the selective formation, maintenance, and complexation of specific oxidation states. Furthermore, plutonium’s inherent radiation-induced redox chemistry has the capacity to influence the radiolytic behavior of its complexes, the longevity of which are critical in the design of efficient and cost-effective advanced reprocessing technologies. These radiation-induced processes are unavoidable under fuel cycle conditions owing to the inherency of ionizing radiation fields to the decay of plutonium’s isotopes and to the various other radioisotopes generated by nuclear fission and neutron-capture process and the subsequent radioactive decay of their products. As such, mechanistically understanding the response of plutonium’s multiple oxidation states to multi-component ionizing radiation fields is essential for predicting the behavior of this critical element under used nuclear fuel reprocessing conditions. Here, through a combination of time-resolved (electron pulse) and steady-state (alpha and gamma) irradiation experiments complemented by quantitative, multiscale modeling calculations, we present advances in our understanding of radiation-induced plutonium redox chemistry!

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Results from NASA's Near Real Time Ozone Data Assimilation Systems

Organizations in Europe, Australia, and the United States have recently broadened constituent assimilation activities beyond water vapor, which has been assimilated for years in the numerical weather prediction applications. Many of these activities have focused on ozone, with some efforts focused on the entire suite of reactive constituents that control the ozone distribution. This talk will draw from results from the near real-time ozone data assimilation system being run by NASA's Data Assimilation Office. This system utilizes ozone observations from both the TOMS and the SBUV instrument to generate global synoptic maps of ozone. The initial application of this product is to provide ozone fields to assist in the atmospheric corrections' that are necessary for the retrieval of information from other NASA instruments. The validation of the ozone assimilation system shows that the assimilated product agrees well with independent HALOE and ozonesonde observations. Aside from providing a global synoptic map, there is verifiable geophysical information at higher vertical resolution than either of the date types input into the system. This talk will establish the validation results and enumerate applications of the ozone data assimilation system. Results from exploratory research will be presented. The applications being considered include estimates of tropospheric ozone, provision of ozone fields for interactive retrievals, use of analysis increments from the assimilation to evaluate model performance, and development of long-term consistent three-dimensional global ozone fields. The results from the exploratory studies are promising, and help demonstrate how assumptions made in the development of the ozone assimilation impact the other applications. For instance, RMS errors in the current product are large near the tropopause, which is sensitive to the specification of vertical correlation functions, which in turns impacts the amount of ozone analyzed to be in the troposphere. How these sensitivities impact the different applications will also be discussed.

Rood, Richard B.↗

Quantifications of growth rate and particle size of magnesium silicate hydrate cement using small‐angle X‐ray scattering

The focus of recent research on cement binders has shifted to alternatives such as magnesium silicate hydrate (M-S-H) to mitigate the environmental impact of conventional concrete production. However, a detailed understanding of the morphology and growth rate of M-S-H, which informs its applicability as a cementing agent, is lacking. These properties are important as they influence cement hydration and consequently the development of macroscopic properties. Here, in this study, the particle size distribution and growth rate of M-S-H synthesized by mixing aqueous stock solutions were analyzed using synchrotron-based small-angle X-ray scattering. The reaction solutions contained dissolved magnesium and silicon with concentrations ranging from 2 to 500 mM, corresponding to saturation indices with respect to M-S-H endmembers, M 0.75 -S-H and M 1.50 -S-H, between 5.8 and 10.3. The precipitation rates of M-S-H align with affinity-based kinetic models and can be described by the following equations: For M 0.75 -S-H: 𝑟 M 0.75 −S−H =10 −9.54±0.70 ⁢(Ω$^{0.59±0.08}_{M_{0.75}⁢\textrm{SH}}$−1), and for M 1.50 -S-H: 𝑟 M 1.50 −S−H =10 −7.56±0.37 ⁢(Ω$^{0.34±0.04}_{M_{1.50}⁢\textrm{SH}}$−1), where 𝑟 is the rate in mol/L/s, and Ω represents the saturation ratio with respect to M-S-H. Moreover, we observed that changing the [Mg]/[Si] ratio affects particle size, a trend that cannot be fully explained by changes in the saturation index alone. These insights are critical for improving the predictability and control of cementation in concrete that utilizes M-S-H-based binders.

M-S-H↗

Convective Melting of Particles in Flow Under Microgravity Conditions

Study of melting of dispersed or packed solid particles in a fluid under gravity and microgravity conditions provides benchmark information for many engineering applications such as material processing, environmental assessment and protection and space fire protection. During such processes, packed or dispersed solid particles are interacting with fluid flow at above-melting temperatures. By unmasking the buoyancy effects in coupled flow, phase change and heat transport phenomena, a better understanding of melting rate in non-thermal equilibrium, convective conditions can be studied. A series of flight experiments were conducted onboard the NASA KC-135 Microgravity Research Airplane. The Particle Melting in Plow (PMF) module was designed to allow flow through the initially packed ice particles at controlled temperature and velocity. To achieve this, a close-loop flow system was designed. Video images were taken to record the visualization of the melting process, from which a time variation of packed particle thickness distribution at different times can be obtained by the image analysis method. The fluid temperature distribution within the melting zone is measured by thermocouples. An infrared camera was mounted from the top of the test section to record the ice-water thermal images at a given location. The results from thermal images yield local temperature variation between melting solid and liquid and local Stephan number. Typical results for a number of cases are presented. The mathematical model, describing mass, energy, and momentum balance equations for the liquid and solid phases, is presented. It is found that melting rate is influenced mainly by the ratio of Reynolds number (based on the initial particle diameter) to the Froud number, and Stephan number. At the absence of gravity, Froud number approaches zero, Reynolds number and Stephan number become dominant factors governing the melting rate. The numerically determined results are compared with the experimental ones. It is found that the discrepancy between the predicted and measured melting rate is largely due to the inaccuracy in the constitutive equations for effective thermal physical properties, such as effective thermal conductivity and diffusivity, and transport properties, such as particle interaction coefficient, and local heat transfer coefficient of particles.

Stewart, C.↗

Separate-Effects Validation Experiments for Models of Fracture in Ceramic Nuclear Fuel

A number of advances have recently been made in modeling fracture initiation and propagation in ceramic light water reactor (LWR) fuel. These include the use of techniques such as peridynamics, the extended finite element method (XFEM), the discrete element method (DEM), and phase field fracture. Improved predictions of fracture in LWR fuel can benefit fuel performance simulations in a number of ways, with important implications for radial relocation, pellet-cladding mechanical interactions, and fragmentation during accident conditions. Although these modeling approaches appear promising, to-date most of their applications have been to fresh fuel. A major limitation in applying these approaches with confidence to a wider variety of conditions, such as fragmentation of high-burnup fuel, is that there is very limited data that can be directly used to validate the results of these fracture models. While fracture patterns are available from cross-sections of numerous irradiated fuel rods, the fuel rods have typically been subjected to complex irradiation histories. To validate models of fracture propagation, focused experiments that give snapshots of the initiation and propagation of fracture under well characterized prototypical reactor conditions are needed. Under a multi-institutional U.S. Department of Energy Integrated Research Project (IRP), three separate-effects validation experiments are underway to provide information on the propagation of cracks in LWR fuel under controlled conditions. The primary challenge in developing such an experiment is in providing conditions that result in a radial temperature distribution that is prototypical of LWR in-reactor conditions. Two out-of-reactor experiments are being planned that employ very different approaches to achieve such a temperature distribution. The first of these achieves this by employing a combination of inductive and resistive electrical heating to generate volumetric heating. The second experiment involves slowly heating a pellet in a metal rod to a high temperature, and then quenching that rod in a cold bath. The quenching process generates a temperature profile approximating that in an LWR fuel rod for a moment, but has a very different temperature history from the LWR. Finally, an experiment is being planned for the Idaho National Laboratory TREAT reactor that will use nuclear fission as a heat source, and which will employ a metal heat sink to replicate the thermal conditions provided by coolant in an LWR. These experiments all have their advantages and drawbacks, with varying levels of ability to reproduce actual LWR conditions and varying ability to use instruments to monitor quantities of interest over the course of the experiment that can be used to validate fracture models. For that reason, these different experimental approaches are complimentary to each other, and the combined results are expected to significantly improve confidence in the ability of computational models to simulate fracture in ceramic nuclear fuel.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Improving Trustworthiness of Data-Driven Power Grid Contingency Analysis With Bayesian Residual Graph Neural Networks

The evolving energy landscape requires novel tools to efficiently perform contingency analysis and reliability assessment of power grids, potentially in real-time. The high computational cost of traditional power flow solvers limits their applicability in practice. Machine learning (ML) surrogates such as deep neural networks (NNs) accelerate power flow solvers computations, enabling high-order contingency analysis and real-time decision-making by learning highly nonlinear functions and integrating grid topology via graph architectures. However, (graph) NNs lack predictive power away from training data and do not provide predictive confidence estimates. Here, we present a Bayesian residual graph NN that integrates knowledge from low-fidelity data via residual training and embeds granular quantification of uncertainties, improving trustworthiness critical for high-consequence decision-making. Applying Bayesian concepts to NNs is challenging due to the high-dimensionality of both the parameter space, complicating derivation of a meaningful prior, and the output space in large grid systems, requiring enhanced techniques to assess the predicted high-dimensional uncertainties. Our contributions include: (1) Deriving a prior for fully connected and graph NNs that leverages low-fidelity data to guide mean predictions and appropriately control prior predictive uncertainty. (2) Integrating this prior within an ensembling with anchoring scheme for efficient approximate posterior inference. (3) Deriving enhanced metrics to assess accuracy of both the mean and uncertainty predictions in high dimensions, appropriately accounting for correlations propagated through graph layers. The resulting Bayesian residual graph NN is tested on a contingency analysis task for 14-bus and 118-bus grids.

24 - POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Predictive Large-Eddy Simulation of Supercritical-Pressure Reactive Flows in the Cold Ignition Regime

This report describes a one-year study performed under DOE sponsorship, continuing the investigation of high-pressure turbulent reactive flows. The interest is in the effect of the chemical species distribution in high-pressure turbulent flows in the presence of strong temperature gradients as would occur during reactions in realistic flows. The prime example of such flows are boundary layers in which the wall is at a lower temperature than that of the fluid, as would be the case in Diesel engines. Previous DOE BES work in the program further highlighted the importance of the boundary layer as a configuration for fundamental studies: soot formation in boundary layers is still a problem poorly understood and depends on the availability of particular chemical species at that location, and when boundary layer Large Eddy Simulations results were compared with measurements, the agreement was unfavorable, showing that this important ‘unit’ problem is not well understood. To understand this unit problem, modeling and Direct Numerical Simulations of this unit problem were conducted for the simplest possible multispecies system, that is a binary-species system. The results discovered a new phenomenon, that is, Soret effect induced uphill diffusion. The far-reaching implication is that through an imposed wall/fluid temperature difference it is possible to control the distribution of the species in the boundary layer. Because the results have been documented in one paper published in the refereed literature, and also in conference papers, this final report is in the form of an Executive Summary succinctly describing the results and putting them in perspective with respect to existing information. The refereed and conference papers published are individually listed as Appendices and attached to this report. One manuscript is still in progress and is thus not listed.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

LUVOIR-ECLIPS Closed-Loop Adaptive Optics Performance and Contrast Predictions

One of the primary science goals of the Large UV/Optical/Infrared Surveyor (LUVOIR) mission concept is to detect and characterize Earth-like exoplanets orbiting nearby stars with direct imaging. The success of its coronagraph instrument ECLIPS (Extreme Coronagraph for Living Planetary Systems) depends on the ability to stabilize the wavefront from a large segmented mirror such that optical path differences are limited to tens of picometers RMS during an exposure time of a few hours. In order to relax the constraints on the mechanical stability, ECLIPS will be equipped with a wavefront sensing and control (WS\&C) architecture to correct wavefront errors up to temporal frequencies $\gtrsim$1 Hz. These errors may be dominated by spacecraft structural dynamics exciting vibrations at the segmented primary mirror. In this work, we present detailed simulations of the WS\&C system within the ECLIPS instrument and the resulting contrast performance. This study assumes wavefront aberrations based on a finite element model of a simulated telescope with spacecraft structural dynamics. Wavefront residuals are then computed according to a model of the adaptive optics system that includes numerical propagation to simulate a realistic wavefront sensor and an analytical model of the temporal performance. An end-to-end numerical propagation model of ECLIPS is then used to estimate the residual starlight intensity distribution at the science detector. We show that the contrast performance depends strongly on the target star magnitude and the spatio-temporal distribution of wavefront errors from the telescope. In cases with significant vibration, we advocate for the use of laser metrology to mitigate high temporal frequency wavefront errors and increase the mission yield.

Sirbu, Dan↗

Low- and intermediate-temperature oxidation of dimethyl ether up to 100 atm in a supercritical pressure jet-stirred reactor

Understanding the low- and intermediate-temperature oxidation chemistry of oxygenated fuels like dimethyl ether (DME) at high pressure is paramount to the development of advanced engines with low carbon emissions. The supercritical pressure jet-stirred reactor (SP-JSR) recently developed at Princeton provides a new platform for conducting kinetic studies at low and intermediate temperatures at extremely high pressures with a uniform temperature distribution and a short flow residence time. This paper uses the SP-JSR to investigate DME oxidation at equivalence ratios of 0.175, 1.0, and 1.72, for pressures of 10 and 100 atm, and temperatures ranging from 400 to 900 K. The results demonstrate weakened NTC behavior at 100 atm relative to 10 atm due to increased flux through QOOH + O 2 = O 2 QOOH relative to QOOH = 2 CH 2 O + OH at 100 atm. Furthermore, the intermediate-temperature oxidation window is shifted to lower temperatures at 100 atm. The experimental data are compared with several chemical kinetic models from the literature. The existing models are seen to agree quite well with the experimental data at 10 atm. However, the models fail to properly capture the NTC behavior at 100 atm. Reaction pathway analyses indicate that both the low- and intermediate-temperature chemistries are controlled by RO 2 consumption pathways. The reaction rates for several of the important reactions, such as DME + OH = CH 3 OCH 2 + H 2 O, H 2 O 2 (+M) = 2 OH (+M), and 2 HO 2 = 2 OH + O 2 are updated in this work. Furthermore, the updated model improves the predictability for all key species compared to the original model.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Aerospace applications of SINDA/FLUINT at the Johnson Space Center

SINDA/FLUINT has been found to be a versatile code for modeling aerospace systems involving single or two-phase fluid flow and all modes of heat transfer. Several applications of SINDA/FLUINT are described in this paper. SINDA/FLUINT is being used extensively to model the single phase water loops and the two-phase ammonia loops of the Space Station Freedom active thermal control system (ATCS). These models range from large integrated system models with multiple submodels to very detailed subsystem models. An integrated Space Station ATCS model has been created with ten submodels representing five water loops, three ammonia loops, a Freon loop and a thermal submodel representing the air loop. The model, which has approximately 800 FLUINT lumps and 300 thermal nodes, is used to determine the interaction between the multiple fluid loops which comprise the Space Station ATCS. Several detailed models of the flow-through radiator subsystem of the Space Station ATCS have been developed. One model, which has approximately 70 FLUINT lumps and 340 thermal nodes, provides a representation of the ATCS low temperature radiator array with two fluid loops connected only by conduction through the radiator face sheet. The detailed models are used to determine parameters such as radiator fluid return temperature, fin efficiency, flow distribution and total heat rejection for the baseline design as well as proposed alternate designs. SINDA/FLUINT has also been used as a design tool for several systems using pressurized gasses. One model examined the pressurization and depressurization of the Space Station airlock under a variety of operating conditions including convection with the side walls and internal cooling. Another model predicted the performance of a new generation of manned maneuvering units. This model included high pressure gas depressurization, internal heat transfer and supersonic thruster equations. The results of both models were used to size components, such as the heaters and gas bottles and also to point to areas where hardware testing was needed.

Ewert, Michael K.↗

The Airspace Concepts Evaluation System Architecture and System Plant

The Airspace Concepts Evaluation System is a simulation of the National Airspace System. It includes models of flights, airports, airspaces, air traffic controls, traffic flow managements, and airline operation centers operating throughout the United States. It is used to predict system delays in response to future capacity and demand scenarios and perform benefits assessments of current and future airspace technologies and operational concepts. Facilitation of these studies requires that the simulation architecture supports plug and play of different air traffic control, traffic flow management, and airline operation center models and multi-fidelity modeling of flights, airports, and airspaces. The simulation is divided into two parts that are named, borrowing from classical control theory terminology, control and plant. The control consists of air traffic control, traffic flow management, and airline operation center models, and the plant consists of flight, airport, and airspace models. The plant can run open loop, in the absence of the control. However, undesired affects, such as conflicts and over congestions in the airspaces and airports, can occur. Different controls are applied, "plug and played", to the plant. A particular control is evaluated by analyzing how well it managed conflicts and congestions. Furthermore, the terminal area plants consist of models of airports and terminal airspaces. Each model consists of a set of nodes and links which are connected by the user to form a network. Nodes model runways, fixes, taxi intersections, gates, and/or other points of interest, and links model taxiways, departure paths, and arrival paths. Metering, flow distribution, and sequencing functions can be applied at nodes. Different fidelity model of how a flight transits are can be used by links. The fidelity of the model can be adjusted by the user by either changing the complexity of the node/link network-or the way that the link models how the flights transit from one node to the other.

Windhorst, Robert↗

FACET: Future ATM Concepts Evaluation Tool

FACET (Future ATM Concepts Evaluation Tool) is an Air Traffic Management research tool being developed at the NASA Ames Research Center. This paper describes the design, architecture and functionalities of FACET. The purpose of FACET is to provide E simulation environment for exploration, development and evaluation of advanced ATM concepts. Examples of these concepts include new ATM paradigms such as Distributed Air-Ground Traffic Management, airspace redesign and new Decision Support Tools (DSTs) for controllers working within the operational procedures of the existing air traffic control system. FACET is currently capable of modeling system-wide en route airspace operations over the contiguous United States. Airspace models (e.g., Center/sector boundaries, airways, locations of navigation aids and airports) are available from databases. A core capability of FACET is the modeling of aircraft trajectories. Using round-earth kinematic equations, aircraft can be flown along flight plan routes or great circle routes as they climb, cruise and descend according to their individual aircraft-type performance models. Performance parameters (e.g., climb/descent rates and speeds, cruise speeds) are obtained from data table lookups. Heading, airspeed and altitude-rate dynamics are also modeled. Additional functionalities will be added as necessary for specific applications. FACET software is written in Java and C programming languages. It is platform-independent, and can be run on a variety of computers. FACET has been designed with a modular software architecture to enable rapid integration of research prototype implementations of new ATM concepts. There are several advanced ATM concepts that are currently being implemented in FACET airborne separation assurance, dynamic density predictions, airspace redesign (re-sectorization), benefits of a controller DST for direct-routing, and the integration of commercial space transportation system operations into the U.S. National Airspace System (NAS).

Bilmoria, Karl D.↗

Short-Term Forecasting Across a Network for the Autonomous Wind Farm: Preprint

In an autonomous wind farm, turbines will use information from nearby turbines to achieve wind farm-level objectives such as optimizing the overall performance of a wind farm, ensuring resiliency when other sensors fail, and adapting to changing local conditions. In this paper, the wind farm can be modeled as a network within which turbines (nodes) share information across designated communication channels, with a focus on turbines at the outside of the wind farm capturing local effects and sharing that information with downstream turbines. Understanding of varied inflow conditions can be especially important in complex terrain. This information can be used to monitor turbines, self-organize turbines into groups, and predict the power performance of a wind farm. In particular, this paper describes an autonomous wind farm that incorporates information from local sensors in real time to predict wind speed and wind direction at each turbine over a short-term horizon. Results indicate that the estimate of wind direction can be used to improve the knowledge of the wind speed and direction over the persistence method on a 10- 15-minute time horizon. These short-term forecasts can also be used to facilitate advanced control methods such as feedforward control within a wind farm.

17 WIND ENERGY↗