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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Machine learning and artificial intelligence for wildfire prediction

Wildfire ignition, intensity, and spread rates are tightly linked with water cycle extremes. The science of wildfire prediction has traditionally encompassed the use of physical and empirical models to quantify the direction and speed of fire spread, plume injection and fire-aerosol impacts on atmospheric composition, predictions of fire season severity on subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) time scales, and assessment of the spatial and temporal patterns of fire risk across landscapes. Together with expanding observation networks, machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) have the potential to revolutionize the application of such models for fire science, saving lives, protecting critical infrastructure, and providing more accurate estimates of wildfire-climate feedbacks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Evolving Architectures and Considerations to address Distributed Energy Resources and Non-Wired Alternatives

The electric grid is in the beginning stage of a transformation, driven by a combination of shutdowns of coal-fired plants, commissioning of new natural-gas plants, and tremendous growth in energy supply from renewables such as wind, and solar. As utilities navigate this transformation, their progress is supported by advances in Operational Technologies (OT), and Informational Technologies (IT), such as automation, smart inverters, cloud computing, mobile computing, machine learning, big data analytics, which have the potential to enable advanced capabilities more efficiently and at a lower cost. This white paper focuses on the architectural considerations that will allow the industry to transition in a planned manner. It introduces and formalizes two architectural constructs –the data bus and the control bus. The data bus is responsible for carrying all non-operational models and information necessary to drive utility decisions. In contrast, the control bus is responsible for carrying all operational data and control actions taken at the local level, centralized level, or other levels in-between. The paper reviews those architectural considerations, their requirements and how they will evolve. This paper intends to provide a context for vendors, utilities, and their service providers to review and understand the changes that are coming and get ready for them.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2021

Electricity Market Dynamics as Smooth Games: Organizing Gradient-Based Learners and Identifying Instabilities

Wide-spread adoption of machine learning and distributed energy production has the potential to fundamentally change behaviours of energy markets. In practice, along with the benefits, previously unseen instabilities have begun emerging in markets currently embracing these technologies. In this report we study electricity markets as dynamical systems arising in smooth games, where energy consumers are modelled as gradient-based learners who interact on a graph through distributed energy producers. We give simple examples of how instabilities can arise even when the consumers’ local objectives seem reasonable and how these instabilities can be remedied. Drawing insights from these examples, we begin developing a general model of optimization-driven electricity market dynamics and give conditions for ensuring local Nash equilibria of the system are stable fixed points of the dynamics. Our results demonstrate how models of electricity market dynamics might be used for deriving formal guarantees in order to stabilize markets and enact regulatory policies in the face of market shocks.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Toward Urban Water Security: Broadening the Use of Machine Learning Methods for Mitigating Urban Water Hazards

Due to the complex interactions of human activity and the hydrological cycle, achieving urban water security requires comprehensive planning processes that address urban water hazards using a holistic approach. However, the effective implementation of such an approach requires the collection and curation of large amounts of disparate data, and reliable methods for modeling processes that may be co-evolutionary yet traditionally represented in non-integrable ways. In recent decades, many hydrological studies have utilized advanced machine learning and information technologies to approximate and predict physical processes, yet none have synthesized these methods into a comprehensive urban water security plan. In this paper, we review ways in which advanced machine learning techniques have been applied to specific aspects of the hydrological cycle and discuss their potential applications for addressing challenges in mitigating multiple water hazards over urban areas. We also describe a vision that integrates these machine learning applications into a comprehensive watershed-to-community planning workflow for smart-cities management of urban water resources.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Temperature Dependence of Band Gap Renormalization in High-T Sensor Materials via First-Principles and Experimental Corroboration

Understanding the temperature dependence of functional properties of high-T gas sensing materials is vital for their applications in combustion environments. The electron-phonon coupling that derives the electronic structure change with temperatures is a key property of interest as it affects other sensing responses. Herein, we assess the temperature dependence of band gap renormalization in metal oxides and perovskites by employing Allen-Heine-Cardona theory with first-principles simulations and corroborate with experimental observation. The calculated temperature-dependent band gap changes of these materials studied are in good agreement with in-house experimental data, proving that the theory can adequately predict renormalization on the band gap in the system of interest. The predicted and measured band gap variations are characterized using an analytical model, which can provide useful insights on the simulated zero-temperature band gaps. Based on the available data, a set of 53 metal oxides and perovskites were identified as potential high-T gas sensors. A machine learning model has been developed to predict the band-gap change by capturing the overall trend of the empirical parameters with respect to a reduced feature obtained by transforming the set of available physical features.

Park, Jongwoo↗
DOE OSTI2018

HyperSpace: Distributed Bayesian Hyperparameter Optimization

As machine learning models continue to increase in complexity, so does the potential number of free model parameters commonly known as hyperparameters. While there has been considerable progress toward finding optimal configurations of these hyperparameters, many optimization procedures are treated as black boxes. We believe optimization methods should not only return a set of optimized hyperparameters, but also give insight into the effects of model hyperparameter settings. To this end, we present HyperSpace, a parallel implementation of Bayesian sequential model-based optimization. HyperSpace leverages high performance computing (HPC) resources to better understand unknown, potentially non-convex hyperparameter search spaces. We show that it is possible to learn the dependencies between model hyperparameters through the optimization process. By partitioning large search spaces and running many optimization procedures in parallel, we also show that it is possible to discover families of good hyperparameter settings over a variety of models including unsupervised clustering, regression, and classification tasks.

Computer Science↗
DOE OSTI2024

Diffractive optical computing in free space

Abstract Structured optical materials create new computing paradigms using photons, with transformative impact on various fields, including machine learning, computer vision, imaging, telecommunications, and sensing. This Perspective sheds light on the potential of free-space optical systems based on engineered surfaces for advancing optical computing. Manipulating light in unprecedented ways, emerging structured surfaces enable all-optical implementation of various mathematical functions and machine learning tasks. Diffractive networks, in particular, bring deep-learning principles into the design and operation of free-space optical systems to create new functionalities. Metasurfaces consisting of deeply subwavelength units are achieving exotic optical responses that provide independent control over different properties of light and can bring major advances in computational throughput and data-transfer bandwidth of free-space optical processors. Unlike integrated photonics-based optoelectronic systems that demand preprocessed inputs, free-space optical processors have direct access to all the optical degrees of freedom that carry information about an input scene/object without needing digital recovery or preprocessing of information. To realize the full potential of free-space optical computing architectures, diffractive surfaces and metasurfaces need to advance symbiotically and co-evolve in their designs, 3D fabrication/integration, cascadability, and computing accuracy to serve the needs of next-generation machine vision, computational imaging, mathematical computing, and telecommunication technologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Light-Duty Vehicle Trip Classification Using One-Class Novelty Detection and Exhaustive Feature Extraction

Travel mode classification within travel survey data sets, especially light-duty vehicle (LDV) trips, is foundational, though nontrivial, to emerging mobility systems, travel behavior analysis, and fuel consumption estimation. Current travel mode detection approaches require well-sampled and balanced data sets with ground truth travel mode labels. The detection approaches are rarely applied and validated on large-scale, real-world data sets, which may not satisfy the dataset requirements. This work proposes an LDV trip detection model as a supplement to current travel mode detection methods, for the case when the training set is highly (and/or completely) unbalanced, to the extent that classical machine-learning approaches become difficult or impossible to deploy. The proposed model uses a novelty detection technique - one-class support vector machines (OCSVMs) - and a novel exhaustive feature extraction (EFE) technique on continuous time series data (i.e., Global Positioning System [GPS] speed profiles) for single-mode trip trajectories. Training and validation of the model are conducted on a large-scale, real-world data set. The proposed method accurately identifies LDV trips from a broad set of multimodal trips by leveraging a wealth of preexisting in-vehicle GPS travel data. Additional sensitivity analysis sheds light on the optimal training size and feature selection, which will benefit applications limited by highly imbalanced data. The paper also discusses performance comparison with regular machine-learning approaches, the model's robustness, and the potential to extend the proposed model to multi-modal trip prediction.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Alice

SAND2025-00233O Alice is a PyTorch optimizer that helps improve the performance of machine learning models. It focuses on optimizing the process of training these models by using a special technique called the curvature of expectation. This technique allows Alice to make better decisions during the training process, leading to more accurate predictions. By using Alice, researchers and developers can potentially achieve better results and speed up the optimization of machine learning models. It's like having a smarter assistant that helps you train your models more effectively. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Duersch, Jed↗
DOE OSTI2022

A machine learning inversion scheme for determining interaction from scattering

Small angle scattering techniques have now been routinely used to quantitatively determine the potential of mean force in colloidal suspensions. However the numerical accuracy of data interpretation is often compounded by the approximations adopted by liquid state analytical theories. To circumvent this long standing issue, here we outline a machine learning strategy for determining the effective interaction in the condensed phases of matter using scattering. Via a case study of colloidal suspensions, we show that the effective potential can be probabilistically inferred from the scattering spectra without any restriction imposed by model assumptions. Comparisons to existing parametric approaches demonstrate the superior performance of this method in accuracy, efficiency, and applicability. This method can effectively enable quantification of interaction in highly correlated systems using scattering and diffraction experiments.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Cric searchable image database as a public platform for conventional pap smear cytology data

Amidst the current health crisis and social distancing, telemedicine has become an important part of mainstream of healthcare, and building and deploying computational tools to support screening more efficiently is an increasing medical priority. The early identification of cervical cancer precursor lesions by Pap smear test can identify candidates for subsequent treatment. However, one of the main challenges is the accuracy of the conventional method, often subject to high rates of false negative. While machine learning has been highlighted to reduce the limitations of the test, the absence of high-quality curated datasets has prevented strategies development to improve cervical cancer screening. The Center for Recognition and Inspection of Cells (CRIC) platform enables the creation of CRIC Cervix collection, currently with 400 images (1,376 × 1,020 pixels) curated from conventional Pap smears, with manual classification of 11,534 cells. This collection has the potential to advance current efforts in training and testing machine learning algorithms for the automation of tasks as part of the cytopathological analysis in the routine work of laboratories.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Design and analysis of machine learning exchange-correlation functionals via rotationally invariant convolutional descriptors

Here, we explore the potential of a data-driven approach to the design of exchange-correlation (xc) functionals. The approach, inspired by convolutional filters in computer vision and surrogate functions from optimization, utilizes convolutions of the electron density to form a feature space to represent local electronic environments and neural networks to map the features to the exchange-correlation energy density. These features are orbital free, and provide a systematic route to including information at various length scales. This work shows that convolutional descriptors are theoretically capable of an exact representation of the electron density, and proposes Maxwell-Cartesian spherical harmonic kernels as a class of rotationally invariant descriptors for the construction of machine learned functionals. The approach is demonstrated using data from the B3LYP functional on a number of small molecules containing C, H, O, and N along with a neural network regression model. The machine learned functionals are compared to standard physical approximations and the accuracy is assessed for the absolute energy of each molecular system as well as formation energies. The results indicate that it is possible to reproduce the exchange-correlation portion of B3LYP formation energies to within chemical accuracy using orbital-free descriptors with a spatial extent of 0.2 Å. The findings provide empirical insight into the spatial range of electron exchange, and suggest that the combination of convolutional descriptors and machine learning regression models is a promising framework for xc functional design, although challenges remain in obtaining training data and generating models consistent with pseudopotentials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Investigation of the Effect of Framework Flexibility on CO 2 Adsorption in SIFSIX-3-Cu Using a Machine-Learned Force Field

Metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) offer promise as selective CO 2 sorbents, but successful MOF sorbent materials need high CO 2 binding affinity and selectivity for CO 2 over water. This work focuses on the use of machine-learned force fields (MLFFs) to model CO 2 adsorption in flexible MOFs, with a focus on SIFSIX-3-Cu, an anion-pillared MOF known for its high CO 2 affinity. A preliminary high-throughput screening of over 900 anion-pillared MOFs was performed using rigid UFF+DDEC6 force fields to predict zero-loading heats of adsorption for CO 2 and H 2 O. SIFSIX-3-Cu was selected for further computational study due to its predicted CO 2 heat of adsorption and experimental relevance. A DeePMD-based MLFF was trained to reproduce DFT (PBE+D3) energies and forces, with an iterative sampling scheme combining molecular dynamics, geometry optimization, random geometric insertion, and NVT Monte Carlo-based configuration generation to capture both attractive and repulsive regions of the potential energy surface. Flexibility of the MOF was explicitly included, contrasting with previous models that approximated the MOF as rigid. Hybrid Monte Carlo/molecular dynamics (MC/MD) simulations with the MLFF produced CO 2 adsorption isotherms in good agreement with experimental data at direct air capture (DAC) pressures (e.g., 40 Pa), in contrast to previous overestimations of CO 2 sorption by models with rigid structures. Bond and angle histogram analysis showed that MOF flexibility increased the variance of fluorine–fluorine diagonal distances at adsorption sites, resulting in a lower predicted sorption for flexible, asymmetric SIFSIX-3-Cu pore geometries compared to the rigid, symmetric DFT-optimized SIFSIX-3-Cu pore geometry. A detailed description of flexibility afforded by the MLFF resulted in an accurately predicted CO 2 uptake (0.88 mmol/g) at low pressure (40 Pa) compared to the experimentally measured value (1.24 mmol/g). In conclusion, these results underscore the importance of including framework flexibility when modeling adsorption phenomena in MOFs, particularly for low-pressure applications.

adsorption↗
DOE OSTI2021

Characterizing Signatures of Geothermal Exploration Data with Machine Learning Techniques: An Application to the Nevada Play Fairway Analysis

We are introducing machine learning methods to the play fairway analysis to generate geothermal potential maps to support the evaluation of geothermal resource potential and the exploration for undiscovered blind geothermal systems in the Nevada Great Basin region. Our project aims to identify new ways to combine the play fairway data and empirically organize relationships between feature weights and labels in an improved workflow. As a means of doing this, we introduce machine learning methods to evaluate the influence of certain geological and geophysical features/feature sets in predicting geothermal favorability. This report highlights promising approaches based on supervised and unsupervised learning methods. First, we demonstrate a filter method applied to supervised classification modeling. The supervised filter method is based on permutation analysis to evaluate every possible feature combination/drop out scenario and rank feature influence based on the performance variance of supervised classification models. Additionally, we present an unsupervised factor analysis based on principal component analysis coupled with a semi-supervised kmeans clustering algorithm. This analysis allows us to identify the optimal number of groups/clusters for training sites and structural settings to identify feature patterns including correlation, variance, and latent and dominant feature relationships. The results from these methods offer a promising avenue for identifying favorable sources of predictive information to identify the locations of blind geothermal systems and furthering our understanding of complex geothermal feature and label relationships in the Great Basin region and beyond.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Parsimonious Potential Energy Surface Expansions Using Dictionary Learning with Multipass Greedy Selection

Potential energy surfaces fit with basis set expansions have been shown to provide accurate representations of electronic energies and have enabled a variety of high-accuracy dynamics, kinetics, and spectroscopy applications. The number of terms in these expansions scales poorly with system size, a drawback that challenges their use for systems with more than similar to 10 atoms. A solution is presented here using dictionary learning. Subsets of the full set of conventional basis functions are optimized using a newly developed multipass greedy regression method inspired by forward and backward selection methods from the statistics, signal processing, and machine learning literatures. Here, the optimized representations have accuracies comparable to the full set but are 1 or more orders of magnitude smaller, and notably, the number of terms in the optimized multipass greedy expansions scales approximately linearly with the number of atoms.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

A CHIL Validation of Machine Learning-Assisted Methods for Real-Time Controls of Solar PV for Grid Services

Recent research has highlighted the potential for solar to act as a zero-marginal-cost and zero-emission flexibility resource on the bulk power system when operated with advanced control systems. To increase the performance of these systems, leading technologies, including machine learning (ML) and hierarchical inverter set point allocation, have been proposed; however, these technologies lack comprehensive validation under real-world application scenarios. This paper addresses this gap by designing and developing a controller-hardware-in-the-loop framework to evaluate the performance of different flexible solar technologies in responding to automatic generation control signals in a closed-loop fashion. Simulation results indicate the superior performance of an ML-based approach compared to the conventional reference-control grouping-based approach, showcasing its potential to support grid stability and operational efficiency.

closed-loop validation↗
DOE OSTI2019

Exploring End-to-end Deep Learning Applications for Event Classification at CMS

An essential part of new physics searches at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) at CERN involves event classification, or distinguishing potential signal events from those coming from background processes. Current machine learning techniques accomplish this using traditional hand-engineered features like particle 4-momenta, motivated by our understanding of particle decay phenomenology. While such techniques have proven useful for simple decays, they are highly dependent on our ability to model all aspects of the phenomenology and detector response. Meanwhile, powerful deep learning algorithms are capable of not only training on high-level features, but of performing feature extraction. In computer vision, convolutional neural networks have become the state-of-the-art for many applications. Motivated by their success, we apply deep learning algorithms to low-level detector data from the 2012 CMS Simulated Open Data to directly learn useful features, in what we call, end-to-end event classification. We demonstrate the power of this approach in the context of a physics search and offer solutions to some of the inherent challenges, such as image construction, image sparsity, combining multiple sub-detectors, and de-correlating the classifier from the search observable, among others.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Active and machine learning-based approaches to rapidly enhance microbial chemical production

In order to make renewable fuels and chemicals from microbes, new methods are required to engineer microbes more intelligently. Computational approaches, to engineer strains for enhanced chemical production typically rely on detailed mechanistic models (e.g., kinetic/stoichiometric models of metabolism)—requiring many experimental datasets for their parameterization—while experimental methods may require screening large mutant libraries to explore the design space for the few mutants with desired behaviors. To address these limitations, we developed an active and machine learning approach (ActiveOpt) to intelligently guide experiments to arrive at an optimal phenotype with minimal measured datasets. In this study, ActiveOpt was applied to two separate case studies to evaluate its potential to increase valine yields and neurosporene productivity in Escherichia coli. In both the cases, ActiveOpt identified the best performing strain in fewer experiments than the case studies used. This work demonstrates that machine and active learning approaches have the potential to greatly facilitate metabolic engineering efforts to rapidly achieve its objectives.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗