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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 739 records · Page 41

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NASA NTRS2017

Radar Autofocus Algorithm Incorporating a priori Terrain Knowledge for Correction of Mars’ Ionospheric Distortion in MARSIS Observations

Low-frequency subsurface radar observations of Mars’ polar ice deposits by MARSIS (Mars Advanced Radar for Subsurface and Ionosphere Sounding) are heavily impacted by the electron content of Mars’ ionosphere. The resulting ionospheric distortion can be represented as attenuation and bulk delay, in addition to higher-order frequency dispersion effects. Baseline, uncorrected images are often unusable when the solar zenith angle is less than 90◦ (day side). In this work, a radar autofocus algorithm is developed that estimates and inverts ionospheric distortion, producing a focused radargram of the ice deposit subsurface. Previously published autofocus algorithms have sought to maximize peak-to-noise contrast, which may yield sub-optimal results for complex terrain. Instead, a maximum likelihood approach is developed that incorporates simulated surface clutter returns for the current spacecraft position, based on the Mars Orbiter Laser Altimeter (MOLA) elevation model of the Martian surface. An ancillary product is a surface-only clutter simulation for each orbit, which is necessary to identify true subsurface features.

McMichael, Joseph G.↗

DOE OSTI2017

Structural and Photometric Properties of the Andromeda Satellite Dwarf Galaxy Lacerta I from Deep Imaging with WIYN pODI

We present results from WIYN pODI imaging of Lacerta I (And XXXI), a satellite dwarf galaxy discovered in the outskirts of the Andromeda galaxy (M31) in Pan-STARRS1 survey data. Our deep, wide-field g,i photometry reaches ∼3 mag fainter than the photometry in the Pan-STARRS1 discovery paper and allows us to trace the stellar population of Lac I beyond two half-light radii from the galaxy center. We measure a Tip of the Red Giant Branch distance for Lac I of (m−M){sub 0}=24.44±0.11 mag (773 ± 40 kpc, or 264 ± 6 kpc from M31), which is consistent with the Pan-STARRS1 distance. We use a maximum-likelihood technique to derive structural properties for the galaxy, and find a half-light radius (r {sub h}) of 3.24 ± 0.21 arcmin (728 ± 47 pc), ellipticity (ϵ) of 0.44 ± 0.03, total magnitude M {sub V} = −11.4 ± 0.3, and central surface brightness μ{sub V,0}=24.8±0.3 mag arcsec{sup −2}. We find no H i emission in archival data and set a limit on Lac I’s neutral gas mass-to-light ratio of M{sub HI}/L{sub V} < 0.06 M{sub ⊙}/L{sub ⊙}, confirming Lac I as a gas-poor dwarf spheroidal galaxy. Photometric metallicities derived from Red Giant Branch stars within 2 r {sub h} yield a median [Fe/H] of −1.68 ± 0.03, which is more metal-rich than the spectroscopically derived value from Martin et al. Combining our measured magnitude with this higher metallicity estimate places Lac I closer to its expected position on the luminosity–metallicity relation for dwarf galaxies.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Failure statistics for commercial lithium ion batteries: A study of 24 pouch cells

There are relatively few publications that assess capacity decline in enough commercial cells to quantify cell-to-cell variation, but those that do show a surprisingly wide variability. Capacity curves cross each other often, a challenge for efforts to measure the state of health and predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of individual cells. We analyze capacity fade statistics for 24 commercial pouch cells, providing an estimate for the time to 5% failure. Our data indicate that RUL predictions based on remaining capacity or internal resistance are accurate only once the cells have already sorted themselves into “better” and “worse” ones. Analysis of our failure data, using maximum likelihood techniques, provide uniformly good fits for a variety of definitions of failure with normal and with 2- and 3-parameter Weibull probability density functions, but we argue against using a 3-parameter Weibull function for our data. pdf fitting parameters appear to converge after about 15 failures, although business objectives should ultimately determine whether data from a given number of batteries provides sufficient confidence to end lifecycle testing. Increased efforts to make batteries with more consistent lifetimes should lead to improvements in battery cost and safety.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

NASA NTRS1992

Real-time antenna fault diagnosis experiments at DSS 13

Experimental results obtained when a previously described fault diagnosis system was run online in real time at the 34-m beam waveguide antenna at Deep Space Station (DSS) 13 are described. Experimental conditions and the quality of results are described. A neural network model and a maximum-likelihood Gaussian classifier are compared with and without a Markov component to model temporal context. At the rate of a state update every 6.4 seconds, over a period of roughly 1 hour, the neural-Markov system had zero errors (incorrect state estimates) while monitoring both faulty and normal operations. The overall results indicate that the neural-Markov combination is the most accurate model and has significant practical potential.

Mellstrom, J.↗

NASA NTRS2003

A statistical model of diurnal variation in human growth hormone

The diurnal pattern of growth hormone (GH) serum levels depends on the frequency and amplitude of GH secretory events, the kinetics of GH infusion into and clearance from the circulation, and the feedback of GH on its secretion. We present a two-dimensional linear differential equation model based on these physiological principles to describe GH diurnal patterns. The model characterizes the onset times of the secretory events, the secretory event amplitudes, as well as the infusion, clearance, and feedback half-lives of GH. We illustrate the model by using maximum likelihood methods to fit it to GH measurements collected in 12 normal, healthy women during 8 h of scheduled sleep and a 16-h circadian constant-routine protocol. We assess the importance of the model components by using parameter standard error estimates and Akaike's Information Criterion. During sleep, both the median infusion and clearance half-life estimates were 13.8 min, and the median number of secretory events was 2. During the constant routine, the median infusion half-life estimate was 12.6 min, the median clearance half-life estimate was 11.7 min, and the median number of secretory events was 5. The infusion and clearance half-life estimates and the number of secretory events are consistent with current published reports. Our model gave an excellent fit to each GH data series. Our analysis paradigm suggests an approach to decomposing GH diurnal patterns that can be used to characterize the physiological properties of this hormone under normal and pathological conditions.

Non-NASA Center↗

NASA NTRS1975

Maximum likelihood failure detection techniques applied to the shuttle orbiter reaction control subsystem

A technique for on-board detection and identification of hard failures and leaks of the shuttle orbiter reaction control subsystem jets, during the orbital flight phase, is presented. The method uses gimbal angle and linear accelerometer measurements from the orbiter inertial measurement unit and requires no additional hardware. Extended Kalman filters with residual traps are employed for state estimation, and generalized likelihood ratio tests for jet failure identification. Rigid body simulation results indicate identification times of less than 2 seconds for hard jet failures and less than 70 seconds for jet leaks.

Deckert, J. C.↗

NASA NTRS1995

Transfer function bounds on the performance of turbo codes

In this article we apply transfer function bounding techniques to obtain upper bounds on the bit-error rate for maximum likelihood decoding of turbo codes constructed with random permutations. These techniques are applied to two turbo codes with constraint length 3 and later extended to other codes. The performance predicted by these bounds is compared with simulation results. The bounds are useful in estimating the 'error floor' that is difficult to measure by simulation, and they provide insight on how to lower this floor. More refined bounds are needed for accurate performance measures at lower signal-to-noise ratios.

Divsalar, D.↗

NASA NTRS1990

Calculation of Weibull strength parameters, Batdorf flaw density constants and related statistical quantities using PC-CARES

This manual describes the operation and theory of the PC-CARES (Personal Computer-Ceramic Analysis and Reliability Evaluation of Structures) computer program for the IBM PC and compatibles running PC-DOS/MS-DOR OR IBM/MS-OS/2 (version 1.1 or higher) operating systems. The primary purpose of this code is to estimate Weibull material strength parameters, the Batdorf crack density coefficient, and other related statistical quantities. Included in the manual is the description of the calculation of shape and scale parameters of the two-parameter Weibull distribution using the least-squares analysis and maximum likelihood methods for volume- and surface-flaw-induced fracture in ceramics with complete and censored samples. The methods for detecting outliers and for calculating the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and the Anderson-Darling goodness-of-fit statistics and 90 percent confidence bands about the Weibull line, as well as the techniques for calculating the Batdorf flaw-density constants are also described.

Szatmary, Steven A.↗

NASA NTRS2009

Error-Rate Bounds for Coded PPM on a Poisson Channel

Equations for computing tight bounds on error rates for coded pulse-position modulation (PPM) on a Poisson channel at high signal-to-noise ratio have been derived. These equations and elements of the underlying theory are expected to be especially useful in designing codes for PPM optical communication systems. The equations and the underlying theory apply, more specifically, to a case in which a) At the transmitter, a linear outer code is concatenated with an inner code that includes an accumulator and a bit-to-PPM-symbol mapping (see figure) [this concatenation is known in the art as "accumulate-PPM" (abbreviated "APPM")]; b) The transmitted signal propagates on a memoryless binary-input Poisson channel; and c) At the receiver, near-maximum-likelihood (ML) decoding is effected through an iterative process. Such a coding/modulation/decoding scheme is a variation on the concept of turbo codes, which have complex structures, such that an exact analytical expression for the performance of a particular code is intractable. However, techniques for accurately estimating the performances of turbo codes have been developed. The performance of a typical turbo code includes (1) a "waterfall" region consisting of a steep decrease of error rate with increasing signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) at low to moderate SNR, and (2) an "error floor" region with a less steep decrease of error rate with increasing SNR at moderate to high SNR. The techniques used heretofore for estimating performance in the waterfall region have differed from those used for estimating performance in the error-floor region. For coded PPM, prior to the present derivations, equations for accurate prediction of the performance of coded PPM at high SNR did not exist, so that it was necessary to resort to time-consuming simulations in order to make such predictions. The present derivation makes it unnecessary to perform such time-consuming simulations.

Moision, Bruce↗

NASA NTRS2013

Probabilistic Modeling of the Renal Stone Formation Module

The Integrated Medical Model (IMM) is a probabilistic tool, used in mission planning decision making and medical systems risk assessments. The IMM project maintains a database of over 80 medical conditions that could occur during a spaceflight, documenting an incidence rate and end case scenarios for each. In some cases, where observational data are insufficient to adequately define the inflight medical risk, the IMM utilizes external probabilistic modules to model and estimate the event likelihoods. One such medical event of interest is an unpassed renal stone. Due to a high salt diet and high concentrations of calcium in the blood (due to bone depletion caused by unloading in the microgravity environment) astronauts are at a considerable elevated risk for developing renal calculi (nephrolithiasis) while in space. Lack of observed incidences of nephrolithiasis has led HRP to initiate the development of the Renal Stone Formation Module (RSFM) to create a probabilistic simulator capable of estimating the likelihood of symptomatic renal stone presentation in astronauts on exploration missions. The model consists of two major parts. The first is the probabilistic component, which utilizes probability distributions to assess the range of urine electrolyte parameters and a multivariate regression to transform estimated crystal density and size distributions to the likelihood of the presentation of nephrolithiasis symptoms. The second is a deterministic physical and chemical model of renal stone growth in the kidney developed by Kassemi et al. The probabilistic component of the renal stone model couples the input probability distributions describing the urine chemistry, astronaut physiology, and system parameters with the physical and chemical outputs and inputs to the deterministic stone growth model. These two parts of the model are necessary to capture the uncertainty in the likelihood estimate. The model will be driven by Monte Carlo simulations, continuously randomly sampling the probability distributions of the electrolyte concentrations and system parameters that are inputs into the deterministic model. The total urine chemistry concentrations are used to determine the urine chemistry activity using the Joint Expert Speciation System (JESS), a biochemistry model. Information used from JESS is then fed into the deterministic growth model. Outputs from JESS and the deterministic model are passed back to the probabilistic model where a multivariate regression is used to assess the likelihood of a stone forming and the likelihood of a stone requiring clinical intervention. The parameters used to determine to quantify these risks include: relative supersaturation (RS) of calcium oxalate, citrate/calcium ratio, crystal number density, total urine volume, pH, magnesium excretion, maximum stone width, and ureteral location. Methods and Validation: The RSFM is designed to perform a Monte Carlo simulation to generate probability distributions of clinically significant renal stones, as well as provide an associated uncertainty in the estimate. Initially, early versions will be used to test integration of the components and assess component validation and verification (V&V), with later versions used to address questions regarding design reference mission scenarios. Once integrated with the deterministic component, the credibility assessment of the integrated model will follow NASA STD 7009 requirements.

kidney stones↗

NASA NTRS1973

Case studies in Aircraft Parameter Identification

Three case studies in Aircraft Parameter Identification using simulated data for X-22 VTOL aircraft and flight test data for HL-10 and M2/F3 lifting bodies. After a brief discussion of the previous techniques and their limitations, a technique based on the Maximum Likelihood criterion is described. The problems of identifiability and uniqueness in determining the Stability and Control derivatives from flight test data are discussed and several methods for alleviating these problems are presented. The flight test data is analyzed in several different ways for obtaining physically meaningful estimates for the aircraft parameters.

Mehra, R. K.↗

NASA NTRS1991

Signal processing considerations for low signal to noise ratio laser Doppler and phase Doppler signals

The relative performance of current methods used for estimating the phase and the frequency in LDV and phase Doppler applications in low signal to noise ratio conditions is analyzed. These methods include the Fourier analysis and the correlation techniques. Three methods that use the correlation function for frequency and phase estimations are evaluated in terms of accuracy and speed of processing. These methods include: (1) the frequency estimation using zero crossings counting of the auto-correlation function, (2) the Blackman-Tukey method, and (3) the AutoRegressive method (AR). The relative performance of these methods is evaluated and compared with the Fourier analysis method which provides the optimum performance in terms of the Maximum Likelihood (ML) criteria.

Ibrahim, K. M.↗

NASA NTRS1974

Weighted adaptive algorithms for estimation of Gaussian distribution parameters

Two weighted adaptive algorithms are proposed for updating the estimates of the mean vector and the covariance matrix, respectively, in a multispectral pattern recognition system. To achieve computational efficiency, the auxiliary matrices have been utilized in the algorithm for covariance matrix updating. Enhancements in the performance accuracy of a multispectral processing system and extensions of the Gaussian maximum likelihood classification capabilities to larger scale surveys are the motivations in developing the algorithms presented herein.

Chang, C. Y.↗

NASA NTRS1981

NASA/BLM APT, phase 2. Volume 2: Technology demonstration

Techniques described include: (1) steps in the preprocessing of LANDSAT data; (2) the training of a classifier; (3) maximum likelihood classification and precision; (4) geometric correction; (5) class description; (6) digitizing; (7) digital terrain data; (8) an overview of sample design; (9) allocation and selection of primary sample units; (10) interpretation of secondary sample units; (11) data collection ground plots; (12) data reductions; (13) analysis for productivity estimation and map verification; (14) cost analysis; and (150) LANDSAT digital products. The evaluation of the pre-inventory planning for P.J. is included.

Source record↗

NASA NTRS2018

Super Resolution of Remote Sensing Images Using Edge-Directed Radial Basis Functions

Edge-Directed Radial Basis Functions (EDRBF) are used to compute super resolution(SR) image from a given set of low resolution (LR) images differing in subpixel shifts. The algorithm is tested on remote sensing images and compared for accuracy with other well-known algorithms such as Iterative Back Projection (IBP), Maximum Likelihood (ML) algorithm, interpolation of scattered points using Nearest Neighbor (NN) and Inversed Distance Weighted (IDW) interpolation, and Radial Basis Functin(RBF) . The accuracy of SR depends on various factors besides the algorithm (i) number of subpixel shifted LR images (ii) accuracy with which the LR shifts are estimated by registration algorithms (iii) and the targeted spatial resolution of SR. In our studies, the accuracy of EDRBF is compared with other algorithms keeping these factors constant. The algorithm has two steps: i) registration of low resolution images and (ii) estimating the pixels in High Resolution (HR) grid using EDRBF. Experiments are conducted by simulating LR images from a input HR image with different sub-pixel shifts. The reconstructed SR image is compared with input HR image to measure the accuracy of the algorithm using sum of squared errors (SSE). The algorithm has outperformed all of the algorithms mentioned above. The algorithm is robust and is not overly sensitive to the registration inaccuracies.

Mareboyana, Manohar M.↗

DOE OSTI2016

Markov Chain Monte Carlo Used in Parameter Inference of Magnetic Resonance Spectra

In this paper, we use Boltzmann statistics and the maximum likelihood distribution derived from Bayes’ Theorem to infer parameter values for a Pake Doublet Spectrum, a lineshape of historical significance and contemporary relevance for determining distances between interacting magnetic dipoles. A Metropolis Hastings Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm is implemented and designed to find the optimum parameter set and to estimate parameter uncertainties. In conclusion, the posterior distribution allows us to define a metric on parameter space that induces a geometry with negative curvature that affects the parameter uncertainty estimates, particularly for spectra with low signal to noise.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

NASA NTRS1985

A new method of differential structural analysis of gamma-family basic parameters

The maximum likelihood method is used for the first time to restore parameters of electron photon cascades registered on X-ray films. The method permits one to carry out a structural analysis of the gamma quanta family darkening spots independent of the gamma quanta overlapping degree, and to obtain maximum admissible accuracies in estimating the energies of the gamma quanta composing a family. The parameter estimation accuracy weakly depends on the value of the parameters themselves and exceeds by an order of the values obtained by integral methods.

Melkumian, L. G.↗

DOE OSTI2016

Determination of interstellar O parameters using the first two years of data from the Interstellar Boundary Explorer

The direct measurements of interstellar matter by the Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) mission have opened a new and important chapter in our study of the interactions that control the boundaries of our heliosphere. Here we derive for the quantitative information about interstellar O flow parameters from IBEX low-energy neutral atom data for the first time. Specifically, we derive a relatively narrow four-dimensional parameter tube along which interstellar O flow parameters must lie. Along the parameter tube, we find a large uncertainty in interstellar O flow longitude, 76.°0 ± 3.°4 from χ {sup 2} analysis and 76.°5 ± 6.°2 from a maximum likelihood fit, which is statistically consistent with the flow longitude derived for interstellar He, 75.°6 ± 1.°4. The best-fit O and He temperatures are almost identical at a reference flow longitude of 76°, which provides a strong indication that the local interstellar plasma near the Sun is relatively unaffected by turbulent heating. However, key differences include an oxygen parameter tube for the interstellar speed (relation between speed and longitude) that has higher speeds than those in the corresponding parameter tube for He, and an upstream flow latitude for oxygen that is southward of the upstream flow latitude for helium. Both of these differences are likely the result of enhanced filtration of interstellar oxygen due to its charge-exchange ionization rate, which is higher than that for helium. Furthermore, we derive an interstellar O density near the termination shock of 5.8{sub −0.8}{sup +0.9}×10{sup −5} cm{sup −3} that, within uncertainties, is consistent with previous estimates. Thus, we use IBEX data to probe the interstellar properties of oxygen.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗