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DOE OSTI2020

Measuring Neutrino Oscillations in the NOvA and CHIPS Detectors.

NOvA is a long baseline neutrino experiment which uses muon neutrinos produced by the NuMI beam at the Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory to measure muon neutrino disappearance and electron neutrino appearance, among other analyses. The Far/Near Extrapolation analysis framework (FNEX) was used to measure muon neutrino disappearance using the events observed by NOvA while the NuMI beam was in Forward Horn Current configuration (i.e. this analysis uses neutrino data, not antineutrino data). The values of the parameters measured in this analysis are sin 2 θ 23 - 0.499$^{+0.098}_{-0.069}$ and Δm$^2_{32}$ - 2.454$^{+0.108}_{0.119}$ × 10 -3 eV, which is consistent with the results of NOvA’s main muon neutrino disappearance analysis using the experiment’s usual framework, known as CAF. The CHIPS detector is a water Cherenkov detector currently in construction. It will also use the NuMI beam to perform muon neutrino disappearance and electron neutrino appearance analyses. The necessary water clarity for a detector with a diameter of 25 m and a height of 6 m is discussed, as well as the results of testing water filtration systems. The filtration that will be used for the detector is a 10 µm carbon block filter and a 0.5 µm filter in series, with no reverse osmosis or ultraviolet sterilisation being used. This provides an attenuation length of 16.63 ± 0.25 m for light of 532 nm wavelength (green), so light with a wavelength of 405 nm (violet) would have an attenuation length of 133±2 m. The greatest possible distance between a PMT and any point in the detector’s volume is approximately 26 m, so 133 m is sufficient for the detector to measure Cherenkov light produced anywhere in the detector.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2022

Atikokan Digital Twin: Machine learning in a biomass energy system

The Atikokan Generating Station, operated by Ontario Power Generation, has a 200 MW, biomass-fired tower boiler that operates on a dispatch schedule with a five-minute cycle. The boiler is generally operated in the range of 40–100 MW using two of five burner levels. In order to optimize boiler performance, we propose the implementation of a unique digital twin. Our digital twin abstraction couples Bayesian inference from science-based models and from observations (machine learning) with decision theory to predict operating-variable set points that optimize the physical asset (the boiler) in the presence of uncertainty (artificial intelligence). We focus this paper on the continuous Bayesian machine learning part of the Atikokan Digital Twin; we discuss decision theory in a companion paper. We identify and learn about 12 operational, model, and measured-output parameters and their uncertainties from high-fidelity, science-based simulations of the Atikokan boiler and from the observed measurements at the power plant. Since the goal of the Atikokan Digital Twin is to implement it online in real time, we require fast function evaluations for the quantities of interest extracted from the simulations in the Bayesian analysis. We use Gaussian process regression/interpolation to create accurate, robust surrogate models. We define the Bayesian priors and likelihood function and solve for the posterior distributions of the 12 parameters. Here we then propagate these distributions (i.e., parameters with uncertainty) into the predicted distributions of 790 quantities of interest to learn about the relative importance of various sources of error including experimental, model, and operating-parameter errors.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Scanning Electrochemical Microscopy for Kinetic Investigations in Viscous Deep Eutectic Solvents: Identifying Practical Approach Curves and Deviations from Electron Transfer Models

Determining heterogeneous electrochemical electron transfer (ET) kinetics in electrolytes with a wide range of physical properties is of great interest for achieving high-performance redox flow batteries. Among such electrolytes, concentrated hydrogen-bonded electrolytes (CoHBEs), including deep eutectic solvents (DESs), have recently garnered significant attention. Unfortunately, traditional Tafel analysis using macroelectrodes often encounters issues with mass transfer limitations in CoHBEs with high viscosities, thereby restricting kinetic analysis to a narrow potential window. Here, in this work, we introduce a methodology for evaluating ET kinetics in viscous DES using the scanning electrochemical microscopy (SECM). We first determined practical solutions to SECM tip positioning in ethaline DES, which yield pseudopositive feedback responses. Lattice Boltzmann method (LBM) simulations helped us rationalize the impact of the fluid and concentration fields, as well as tip geometry, tip approach velocity v, and the solvent viscosity ηs, on the shape of the approach curves. In addition to successfully recreating approach curves over a variety of conditions, we found that approaching a conductor ensured a practical point where the normalized tip response (Ni T = 2) converged at L = 0.7 within ∼10% error regardless of tip velocity. With positioning capabilities at hand, we investigated the kinetics of Fe 3+ /Fe 2+ redox couple in aqueous and the ethaline media. The experimental kinetic results were interpreted using the Butler–Volmer (BV) and Marcus–Hush–Chidsey (MHC) models. For ethaline, a nonideal kinetic behavior was observed, potentially attributed to solvent dynamics within DESs or to the interplay of chloride anions in the charge transfer process.

electrodes↗

DOE OSTI2021

Dynamic Probabilistic Safety Assessment Studies for Advanced Reactor Using RAVEN

Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) is used extensively to evaluate the risks associated with complex engineering systems like Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs). Current PSA models are based on the Event-Tree/Fault-Tree (ET/FT) methodology. ET and FT models are static and are based on Boolean logic approaches. In the past, concerns have been raised in the literature regarding the capability of the traditional static modelling approaches to adequately account for the impact of process, hardware, software, firmware and human interactions on the stochastic system behaviour. To overcome the limitations of the traditional approach to PSA, several dynamic PSA methodologies have been proposed. One of the dynamic PSA methodologies used for dynamic evaluations is Dynamic Event Tree (DET) framework which can be used to assess the impact of the parameter variability and scenario dynamics on the PSA model for the initiating event. The DET framework couples the stochastic model (number of component/trains that start on demand, operator action timing, etc.) with a Thermal-Hydraulic (TH) model of the plant. This paper explores the use of DET along with a case study on advanced reactor. The initiating event selected for the study was Class IV power supply failure event. The TH analysis considering uncertainty in various parameters was performed using RELAP5 and Reactor Analysis and Virtual control ENvironment (RAVEN) tool. Based on the uncertainty analysis, it is concluded that the peak clad temperatures (PCT) are within the limits in all the code runs implying a high-degree of safety margin. However, variation in time to reach the PCT was observed among the code runs and the mean time to reach the PCT was found to be around 8590sec (approximately 2.4 hours). Hence, sufficient time margin is available for human intervention and the operator might have a relatively stress-free state during such an accident scenario. Due to the static nature of the traditional PSA models, the safety margin available was lesser, whereas, with the help of dynamic PSA models, one can demonstrate that the actual available safety margin is more in the present case study and is valuable input from the design point of view.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Performance analysis and tank test validation of a hybrid ocean wave-current energy converter with a single power takeoff

This paper introduces a hybrid ocean wave-current energy converter (HWCEC) that harvests energy from ocean waves and current simultaneously with a single power takeoff (PTO). Specifically, the wave energy is extracted through relative heaving motion between a floating buoy and a submerged second body, while the current energy is extracted using a marine current turbine (MCT). Energy from both sources are integrated by a hybrid PTO whose concept is based on a mechanical motion rectifier (MMR). The hybrid PTO with two one-way clutches converts bidirectional, up-and-down motion from the waves into unidirectional rotation of the generator. Meanwhile a third one-way clutch couples the MCT with the same generator. The wave and current can simultaneously or separately drive the same generator through different engagement and disengagement statuses of the one-way clutches. Time-domain simulation is conducted with hydrodynamic coefficients obtained from computational fluid dynamics analysis and boundary element method. Tank tests were conducted for a HWCEC under co-existing wave and current inputs. For comparison, separate baseline tests of a turbine and a two-body point absorber, each acting in isolation, are conducted. Experimental results validate the dynamic modeling and show that a HWCEC can increase the output power with a range between 29-87% over either current turbine and wave energy converter acting individually, and it can reduce by up to 70% the peak-to-average power ratio compared with the wave energy converter on the tested conditions.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

DOE OSTI2021

Lithium cuprate, a multifunctional material for NO selective catalytic reduction by CO with subsequent carbon oxide capture at moderate temperatures

Li 2 CuO 2 was evaluated as a possible catalyst for the NO selective catalytic reduction (NO SCR) by CO. The initial idea was supported by ab initio thermodynamic analysis. This analysis showed that NO SCR was favored by using Li 2 CuO 2 as a catalyst, based on the calculated heat of reaction and Gibbs free energy. The NO SCR reaction was evaluated under dynamic, isothermal and cyclic conditions using different NO : CO ratios (2 : 1, 1 : 1 and 1 : 2). The dynamic and isothermal experiments showed that Li 2 CuO 2 does reduce NO in the presence of CO to reach higher conversions (>90%) between 400 and 450 °C. However, it must be mentioned that the catalytic process was reduced once some of the produced CO 2 was captured on the ceramic. At that point, Li 2 CuO 2 acts as a bifunctional material, catalyzing the NO SCR reaction and capturing some of the produced CO 2 . Moreover, cyclic experiments evidenced high NO reduction. Finally, a different set of experiments showed that this catalytic reduction performed differently if NO and CO were previously fed. Finally, when lithium cuprate is previously carbonated (initial CO feed), the catalytic reaction does not complete. In contrast, when there was a previous nitrate formation (initial NO feed), the reaction reached 100% efficiency.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Short- to Intermediate-Range Structure, Transport, and Thermophysical Properties of LiF–NaF–ZrF4 Molten Salts

LiF–NaF–ZrF 4 multicomponent molten salts are identified as promising candidates for coolant salts in molten salt reactors and advanced high-temperature reactors. This study focused on low-melting point salt compositions of interest: 38LiF–51NaF–11ZrF 4 , 42LiF–29NaF–29ZrF 4 , and 26LiF–37NaF–37ZrF 4 . Ab-initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) calculations were performed and compared with available experimental data to assess the ability of rigid ion models (RIM) to reproduce short- to intermediate-range structure, transport, and thermophysical properties of the LiF–NaF–ZrF 4 salt mixtures. It is found that as ZrF 4 mol% increases, the average cation–anion coordination number (CN) of monovalent cations (Li + , Na + ) obtained from RIM calculations decreases, while multivalent Zr 4+ CN varied from 15% to 19% in comparison to corresponding AIMD values. In addition, RIM is found to predict the existence of 7, 8, and 9 coordinated fluorozirconate complexes, while AIMD and the available experimental data showed an occurrence of 6, 7, and 8 coordinated complexes in the melt. The intermediate-range structure analysis revealed that while the RIM parameters are able to reproduce a local structure for lower ZrF 4 mol% salts such as in 38LiF–51NaF–11ZrF 4 , an extensive fluorozirconate network formation is observed in RIM simulations for higher ZrF 4 mol% compositions. The network generated by RIM parameters is found to be mainly connected by “corner-sharing” fluorozirconate complexes as opposed to both “edge-sharing” and “corner-sharing” connectively portrayed by AIMD. It is found that a close agreement between AIMD and the RIM salt structure for the 11-mol% ZrF 4 salt resulted in good agreement in the calculated Zr diffusivities and the viscosity values. However, due to the inaccurate short- to intermediate-range structure prediction by RIM for higher ZrF 4 mol% compositions, thermophysical properties such as densities and heat capacity differ by up to 26% and 27%, respectively, upon comparison with AIMD and experimental values. Also, the network-dominated properties such as diffusion coefficients and viscosities differed by up to two and three orders of magnitude, respectively. This study signifies the importance of accurate salt structure generation for an accurate prediction of transport and thermophysical properties of multicomponent molten salts.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Performance analysis of integrated Nuclear-Solar Energy system sharing same molten salt thermal energy storage

Advanced nuclear reactors may be deployed with integrated thermal energy storage to improve flexibility and maximize revenue. This presents opportunities for thermal integration with concentrating solar power (CSP) to generate component synergies and/or improve performance. Here in this study, a computational model is developed for an integrated nuclear and CSP system that both share the same molten salt thermal energy storage (TES). Optimized dispatch schedules are developed subject to various market conditions, and the ratio of the nuclear to CSP thermal output is also varied. Performance of the combined system is compared to separate nuclear and solar plants, to determine if there is an overall benefit that can be derived from sharing the TES. Given sufficient volatility in electricity prices (e.g., under CAISO market conditions), synergies of up to 8% in net revenue are observed as a result of sharing the same TES, primarily due to improved revenue from enabling operation of the turbine closer to its design point, as well as being able to better take advantage of higher electricity prices. The synergy benefits are largest when the nuclear and solar plants have similar thermal output. However, when prices are less volatile the opposite behavior can be observed and it can be preferable to operate the nuclear plant as a baseload generator.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Prospecting for Critical Minerals and Rare Earth Elements from Marcellus Shale in the Western Portion of the Appalachian Basin with Non-Destructive Core Characterization

Identification of sources for domestic critical minerals and rare earth elements (CM/REE) has been deemed essential for the energy transition by the United States Department of Energy (DOE). The U.S. DOE’s National Energy Technology Laboratory’s (NETL) Geomaterials Characterization Laboratory has performed non-destructive core characterizations on energy-relevant rock cores for the past decade. During this time, NETL has published over 36 technical reports and made the associated data publicly available. Much of this work focuses on unconventional shale gas, subsurface carbon storage systems, and carbon-ore. These efforts provide cm-scale petrophysical and elemental data, photographic documentation, detailed core descriptions, and computed tomography (CT) data for each well. This provides a first phase prospecting resource for CM/REE resources and can provide a map for pin-pointing intervals and lithologies for further development. Using historical core characterization data from 12 Marcellus wells from the western portion of the Appalachian Basin, this study builds an improved understanding of the chemostratigraphy of the basin. X-ray fluorescence (XRF) and CT images were used to determine lithologic intervals and potential ore bodies for further analysis, including benchtop digestion and inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) to better understand the CM/REE enrichments.

Paronish, Thomas J.↗

DOE OSTI2026

Precision Kinematic Sunyaev--Zel'dovich Measurements Across Halo Mass and Redshift with DESI DR2 and ACT DR6: Part II. Bright Galaxy Survey and Emission-Line Galaxies

We present the first high-significance spectroscopic stacked kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) measurements of circumgalactic gas profiles for both Bright Galaxy Survey (BGS) and Emission Line Galaxy (ELG) tracers, combining DESI Data Release 2 with ACT Data Release 6. Using reconstructed line-of-sight velocities from the DESI galaxies and high-resolution ACT temperature maps, we detect the kSZ signal at high significance, reaching signal-to-noise ratios of up to $\sim$9 for BGS and $\sim$7.5 for ELGs in optimal stellar-mass selections. Together with the LRG measurements presented in Paper I, these constitute the most significant kSZ detections from any spectroscopic survey to date. We perform the analysis in both real and harmonic space, obtaining consistent results. By splitting both tracers into stellar-mass bins, we study the scaling of the kSZ amplitude with galaxy properties. Combining the kSZ measurements with ACT Data Release 6 (DR6) CMB lensing maps enables a joint calibration of the galaxy-halo connection and the gas fractions of host halos. For the BGS galaxies, we observe low gas fractions around the virial radius relative to standard expectations, likely attributable to active galactic nuclei (AGN) activity. We find some evidence for higher-mass halos retaining a larger fraction of their baryons, consistent with more efficient feedback in lower-mass systems. For the ELG sample, dominated by blue, star-forming galaxies, we provide the first detection of the gas distribution in ELG host halos. The ELGs appear to exhibit relatively high gas fractions, which points to the possibility of weaker feedback (due to e.g. low AGN and supernova feedback activity) at their mass scale. Finally, we present generalized Navarro-Frenk-White (GNFW) fits to the harmonic-space measurements, providing a compact parametrization of gas profiles for forward modeling in large-scale structure analyses.

Hadzhiyska, B. [Cambridge U.; Cambridge U., Inst. ↗

DOE OSTI2022

“Tailing” Phenomenon During Polymer Propagation at The Milne Point Polymer Flood

Chemical flooding simulators traditionally assume that polymer retention follows the Langmuir isotherm, while fractional-flow calculations assume concentration-independent retention. Both models predict a delay in propagation of the polymer front (in proportion to the retention value), followed by a rapid rise in produced polymer concentration to the injected level. In contrast, laboratory retention studies for the Milne Point polymer flood (North Slope of Alaska) consistently show virtually no delay in polymer propagation, a rapid rise in produced polymer to 70-90% of the injected concentration, followed by produced concentration gradually approaching the injected value over many pore volumes. From a practical viewpoint, this behavior means that retention causes no significant delay in propagation of the polymer bank (and therefore the oil bank), but the effective viscosity and displacement efficiency are less than originally planned. This paper explores why this polymer “tailing” phenomenon occurs. During core floods, effluent was analyzed for brine-tracer concentration, viscosity, total organic carbon, and total nitrogen. The latter three items allowed three independent measures of polymer concentration and polymer retention. Experiments were performed with Milne Point core material, oil, brine, and conditions. Mechanistic experiments were also performed with packs of glass beads with controlled levels of various minerals. In Milne Point cores, the presence of the tailing phenomenon was not sensitive to flow rate, polymer concentration, core heterogeneity, or whether the core was preserved, cleaned of oil, or cleaned and resaturated with oil, or cleaned, re-saturated and aged with oil. The three independent measures of polymer concentration confirmed that the tailing phenomenon was not an artifact associated with polymer degradation or detection interferences. Tailing was also observed during mechanistic floods using glassbead packs when sufficient levels of illite or kaolinite were present. This observation was consistent with high levels of illite noted in Milne Point cores. The tailing was not noted during mechanistic floods that contained beads with montmorillonite, chlorite, calcium carbonate, dolomite, siderite, pyrite, or calcium sulfate. A model is proposed to account for the tailing phenomenon. This work suggests that mineralogy analysis (especially for illite and kaolinite) may reveal whether tailing should be accounted for during simulations of polymer propagation/retention in a given field application.

Seright, Randy↗

DOE OSTI2022

Misalignment of magnetic field in DIII-D assessed by post-mortem analysis of divertor targets

Abstract We assess the toroidal magnetic field B t asymmetry in DIII-D due to a misalignment of the toroidal field coils with respect to the poloidal magnetic field coils and vacuum vessel. The peak-to-peak variation of the divertor strike point (SP) radius is measured to be 1 cm, with an n = 1 toroidal pattern. We use the centre of a narrow carbon deposition band on tungsten-coated divertor tiles just inside the outer strike point (OSP) as a proxy for the divertor SP location. The band occurred in a series of reverse B t discharges with the OSP positioned on the divertor inserts due to strong E × B drift transport of C from the inner to the outer SP through the private flux region. The variation in band radius (and hence the magnetic SP) is a (4.89 ± 0.31) mm shift toward (310 ± 4)° toroidal direction. These measurements agree well with previous measurements of the 3D magnetic field distribution (Luxon 2003 Nucl. Fusion 43 1813), simulations performed by the mafot field line integration code, and recent Langmuir probe measurements in the small-angle-slot (SAS) divertor (Watkins et al 2019 Nucl. Mater. Energy 18 46). Comparison of these measurements in the SAS divertor also indicates that there is the possibility of a tilt (in conjunction with the shift) of the B t coil field of (0.04 ± 0.07)° towards the toroidal angle of (215 ± 25)°. Previous measurements suggested a field misalignment of (4.6 ± 0.3) mm in the 270° toroidal direction, and a tilt of (0.06 ± 0.02)° toward the 114° toroidal direction, which is similar to the results reported here. These studies will be important for better understanding the radial variation of the toroidal strike line in DIII-D, for designing the new generation of SAS divertor, and for developing an understanding of the impact of error fields on tokamaks with tightly baffled slot divertors.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

A stable 15-member bacterial SynCom promotes Brachypodium growth under drought stress

Introduction: Rhizosphere microbiomes are known to drive soil nutrient cycling and influence plant fitness during adverse environmental conditions. Field-derived robust Synthetic Communities (SynComs) of microbes mimicking the diversity of rhizosphere microbiomes can greatly advance a deeper understanding of such processes. However, assembling stable, genetically tractable, reproducible, and scalable SynComs remains challenging. Methods: Here, we present a systematic approach using a combination of network analysis and cultivation-guided methods to construct a 15-member SynCom from the rhizobiome of Brachypodium distachyon. This SynCom incorporates diverse strains from five bacterial phyla. Genomic analysis of the individual strains was performed to reveal encoded plant growth-promoting traits, including genes for the synthesis of osmoprotectants (trehalose and betaine) and Na+/K+ transporters, and some predicted traits were validated by laboratory phenotypic assays. Results: The SynCom demonstrates strong stability both in vitro and in planta. Most strains encoded multiple plant growth-promoting functions, and several of these were confirmed experimentally. The presence of osmoprotectant and ion transporter genes likely contributed to the observed resilience of Brachypodium to drought stress, where plants amended with the SynCom recovered better than those without. We further observed preferential colonization of SynCom strains around root tips under stress, likely due to active interactions between plant root metabolites and bacteria. Discussion: Our results demonstrate that trait-informed construction of synthetic communities can yield stable, functionally diverse consortia that enhance plant resilience under drought. Preferential colonization near root tips points to active, localized plant-microbe signaling as a component of stress-responsive recruitment. This stable SynCom provides a scalable platform for probing mechanisms of plant-microbe interaction and for developing microbiome-based strategies to improve soil and crop performance in variable environments.

Yadav, Archana↗

DOE OSTI2021

The interplay between laser focusing conditions, expansion dynamics, ablation mechanisms, and emission intensity in ultrafast laser-produced plasmas

The interplay between ultrafast laser focusing conditions, emission intensity, expansion dynamics, and ablation mechanisms is critical to the detection of light isotopes relevant to nuclear energy, forensics, and geochemistry applications. Here, we study deuterium (2Hα) emission in plasmas generated from femtosecond laser ablation of a Zircaloy-4 target with a deuterium concentration of ≈37 at. %. Changes in emission intensity, plume morphology, crater dimensions, and surface modifications were investigated for varying focusing lens positions, where the laser was focused behind, at, and in front of the target. Spatially resolved optical emission spectroscopy and spectrally integrated plasma imaging were performed to investigate emission spectral features and plume morphology. Laser ablation crater dimensions and morphology were analyzed via optical profilometry and scanning electron microscopy. The 2Hα emission intensity showed significant reduction at the geometrical focal point or when the focal point is in front of the target. For all laser spot sizes, a two-component plume was observed but with different temporal histories. At the best focal point, the plume was spherical. When the laser was focused behind the target, the plume was elongated and propagated to farther distances than for the best focal position. In contrast, when the laser was focused in front of the target, filaments were generated in the beam path, and filament-plasma coupling occurred. By focusing the laser behind the target, the amount of material removal in the laser ablation process can be significantly reduced while still generating a plasma with a sufficient 2Hα emission signal for analysis.

Kautz, Elizabeth J. (ORCID:0000000263389223)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Design, Analysis, and Experimental Testing of Hydrogen Lean Direct Injection Nozzles at Elevated Pressure

Abstract There are many challenges of commissioning a hydrogen combustor into future gas turbine engines; especially regarding achieving emissions goals. Previously, Escudero et al. and Tran et al. conducted a study to adapt the liquid fuel Lean Direct Injection (LDI) concept from Jet-A to gaseous natural gas-hydrogen blends and pure hydrogen [1], [2]. Experimental data was collected at atmospheric conditions using a Box Behnken design of experiments. The design of experiments suggested that biasing the air split in favor of the inner air circuit and increasing the swirl strength of this inner air passage resulted in improved NOx emissions, while the inverse was true for stability, which was quantified by studying the lean blowoff point (LBO) [1], [2]. The trends revealed by the original experiment [1], [2] provided a design direction for further iterations of the experimental hardware. The study presented herein describes the further investigation of such LDI injectors through experimental methods and computational fluid dynamic (CFD) simulations at atmospheric conditions, which were used to identify potential flow behaviors driving enhanced emissions performance. Further evaluation of select injectors from both studies was then conducted at elevated pressures up to 6 atmospheres. The results from both experiments are presented in this study, which include flame observations, emissions measurements, and operational challenges. NOx emissions results are reported on a volume basis in ppmvd corrected to 15% O2 and corrected for fuel. A predictive model for relating NOx emissions to test conditions at atmospheric conditions show high significance to adiabatic flame temperature while little to no significance to fuel composition for the best performing configurations. The results illustrate the connection between atmospheric testing and testing elevated pressures. The design direction indicated by the initial tests and CFD results in promising configurations for implementation into a Multi-point LDI array.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2022

The parameter-level performance of covariance matrix conditioning in cosmic microwave background data analyses

Empirical estimates of the band power covariance matrix are commonly used in cosmic microwave background (CMB) power spectrum analyses. While this approach easily captures correlations in the data, noise in the resulting covariance estimate can systematically bias the parameter fitting. Conditioning the estimated covariance matrix, by applying prior information on the shape of the eigenvectors, can reduce these biases and ensure the recovery of robust parameter constraints. In this work, we use simulations to benchmark the performance of four different conditioning schemes, motivated by contemporary CMB analyses. The simulated surveys measure the TT, TE, and EE power spectra over the angular multipole range 300 ≤ ℓ ≤ 3500 in Δℓ = 50 wide bins, for temperature map-noise levels of 10, 6.4, and $2\, \mu$K arcmin. We divide the survey data into N real = 30, 50, or 100 uniform subsets. We show the results of different conditioning schemes on the errors in the covariance estimate, and how these uncertainties on the covariance matrix propagate to the best-fitting parameters and parameter uncertainties. The most significant effect we find is an additional scatter in the best-fitting point, beyond what is expected from the data likelihood. For a minimal conditioning strategy, N real = 30, and a temperature map-noise level of 10$\, \mu$K arcmin, we find the uncertainty on the recovered best-fitting parameter to be ×1.3 larger than the apparent posterior width from the likelihood (×1.2 larger than the uncertainty when the true covariance is used). Stronger priors on the covariance matrix reduce the misestimation of parameter uncertainties to $\lt 1{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$. As expected, empirical estimates perform better with higher N real , ameliorating the adverse effects on parameter constraints.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Status of SPCA-ANL Software Development, Software Quality Assurance, and Application (FY2025)

SPCA-ANL is a simulation tool used to perform deterministic analyses of sodium spray and pool fires. Development of the SPCA-II (Spray Pool Combustion Analysis) code began in the mid- 1980s as part of the Clinch River Breeder Reactor (CRBR) Project. At that time, development of SPCA-II, which was led by Rockwell International, was focused on treatment of large-scale sodium spray, stream, and pool fires that were anticipated to be prototypic of the steam generator building cells in CRBR. Under more recent DOE NE programmatic activities, the SPCA-II code was recovered from existing literature and underwent minor modifications to generate a stable executable. This recovered version of the code was not formally released. As part of the Versatile Test Reactor (VTR) Project in the 2010s, the SPCA-II code underwent key modifications to improve stability, address modeling deficiencies, improve consistency between the code manual and software, and address numerous bugs. At this point, SPCA-II was renamed SPCA-ANL. Given that SPCA-II served as the original basis for SPCA-ANL, both codes share an integrated history. Following termination of the VTR Project, the DOE NE Fast Reactor Program resumed support of the software with the goal of building and maintaining software infrastructure that can enable commercial-grade dedication of SPCA-ANL by an end user. Version 1.0, the first external release of SPCA-ANL, was generated in June 2024. This report summarizes the development and maintenance activities completed for SPCAANL in FY2025. This year’s work was focused on improving quality and usability of the code. The provisional Software Quality Assurance (SQA) program has been established and was used to test the procedures for infrastructure improvements, code development, bug fixes, and code releases, as described in the following sections of this report. A code Version 1.0.1 was released in FY25, as described in Chapter 4.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Digital Transformation for the Existing Fleet: Where to Start?

To remain economically viable in today’s electricity marketplace, nuclear power plants are replacing old analog equipment with modern digital tools. Having information available in an electronic format allows most work processes to become more efficient by automating simple, time-consuming tasks. However, with thousands of routine work processes performed every day, it can be difficult for the plants to know where to begin. We partnered with a nuclear utility to develop a novel assessment tool that measures seven health indicators for each work process performed, providing a rapid digital status report of the plant. The assessment tool is inexpensive and user-friendly, administered remotely, and automatically customized to each employee. Data from 167 employees representing different perspectives were analyzed to identify optimal candidates for digital initiatives that yield the highest payback for increased process efficiencies. We ranked by a priority index to ensure that processes with a good combination of time savings and digital opportunity were at the top. The focus was on determining a maximum investment to ensure that the cost savings from these initiatives are positive over a specified period. We identified potential cost savings of $2.6m, $1.3m and $1.2m for our top priority processes. By using our novel assessment tool to determine the digital status of the plant’s work processes, they were provided with a starting point for target candidates that would most benefit from a digital initiative. Our analysis helps stakeholders understand the financial impact of digital initiatives and identify maximum investment amounts when seeking technical solutions.

assessment↗