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At least 739 records · Page 41

Global Aerosol Direct Radiative Effect from CALIOP and C3M

Aerosols are responsible for the largest uncertainties in current estimates of climate forcing. These uncertainties are due in part to the limited abilities of passive sensors to retrieve aerosols in cloudy skies. We use a dataset which merges CALIOP observations together with other A-train observations to estimate aerosol radiative effects in cloudy skies as well as in cloud-free skies. The results can be used to quantify the reduction of aerosol radiative effects in cloudy skies relative to clear skies and to reduce current uncertainties in aerosol radiative effects.

Winker, Dave↗

Rapid recovery of invasive wild pig (Sus scrofa) populations following density reduction

Abstract Trapping is an effective strategy for control of invasive wild pig (Sus scrofa), but eradication of populations via trapping alone typically is impractical throughout much of the species’ introduced range. Consequently, recovery of wild pig populations to pre-trapping levels following control is a major impediment to success of long-term control. In this study, we conducted camera-trap surveys to monitor recovery of two wild pig populations immediately following density reductions achieved via trapping on two sites on the Savannah River Site, SC. We used spatial capture-recapture models to estimate wild pig density during seven 3 week periods spanning 12 months to: (1) determine the time required for populations to recover to pre-trapping levels; and (2) evaluate trends in population growth, density, and distribution during recovery. Recovery of both wild pig populations started immediately after trapping ceased, with populations reaching pre-trapping levels in 3 and 5 months. Threeweek population growth rates for each wild pig population during recovery averaged 1.28 (range = 1.11–1.39 on site 1) and 1.24 (range = 0.64–1.92 on site 2), which corresponded to a 345% and 132% increase in abundance (an increase of 141 and 126 individual wild pigs on site 1 and 2, respectively) of each population by the last survey period. Rapid recovery and growth beyond pre-trapping levels of wild pig populations likely were driven by residual wild pigs not removed by trapping and compensatory reproduction and immigration. Our study is one of the first to provide information on how quickly wild pig populations can recover following overall density reductions of 54–68% and indicates practitioners should be prepared to reinitiate trapping efforts in as little as 3 months to prevent recovery of wild pig populations following control.

Biodiversity & Conservation↗

Axisymmetric bluff-body drag reduction through geometrical modifications

The effect of shoulder radiusing and grooving (longitudinally or circumferentially) the afterbodies of bluff bodies of reduce the base drag at low speeds is discussed. Shoulder radii as large as 2.75 body diameters are examined. Reynolds number based on body diameter varied from 20,000 to 200,000. Results indicate that increasing the shoulder radius to 2.75 body diameters can reduce the drag levels to those of a streamline body having 67 percent greater fineness ratio. For the relatively sharp shoulder case, body drag reductions as large as 50% are obtained using circumferential or longitudinal grooves.

Howard, F. G.↗

Axisymmetric bluff-body drag reduction through geometrical modification

The effect of shoulder radiusing and grooving (longitudinally and circumferentially) the afterbodies of bluff bodies to reduce the base drag at low speeds is investigated experimentally. Shoulder radii as large as 2.75 body diameters are examined. Reynolds number (ReD) based on body diameter varied from 20,000 to 200,000. Results indicate that increasing the shoulder radius to 2.00 body diameters can reduce the drag levels to those of a streamline body having 67 percent greater fineness ratio. For the relatively sharp shoulder case, body drag reductions as large as 50 and 33 percent are obtained using circumferential or longitudinal grooves, respectively.

Howard, F. G.↗

Combined Technologies for In Situ Remediation of Tc-99 and U in Subsurface Sediments

In this study, combinations of chemical remedies were tested in bench-scale batch experiments to evaluate a two-step reduction-sequestration approach to effectively stabilize high concentrations of inorganic contaminant mixtures. Bench tests simulated contaminant and geochemical conditions of a perched aquifer located within the Central Plateau at the Hanford Site, located in southeastern Washington State (USA). Pairwise combinations of a reductant [e.g., zero valent iron, sulfur modified iron (SMI), or calcium polysulfide] and a sequestering agent [e.g., calcite, apatite, or dilute alkaline solution (e.g., NaOH)] were evaluated for immobilization and stabilization of technetium (Tc) (50,000 pCi/L), uranium (U) (150 mg/L), and nitrate (NO 3 ) (200 mg/L) in high ionic strength groundwater. The results of these batch studies demonstrated that reduction by SMI and sequestration in apatite or calcite are the most effective combination for these contaminant mixtures and conditions. Aqueous concentrations of Tc and U decreased by 95.6% ± 2.5% and 101.1% ± 5.2%, respectively, with SMI-apatite and 98.3% ± 0.0% and 101.2% ± 5.2%, respectively, with SMI-calcite. Sequential extractions showed that sequestered contaminants had limited capacity for re-oxidation; in fact, less than 10% of immobilized Tc and U was recovered by selective extraction of mineral phases most susceptible to oxidation. In addition, X-ray absorption near edge structure analysis of the sediment samples treated with SMI-calcite showed the presence of only U(IV), while both U(IV) and U(VI) were present in the SMI apatite combination [ratio of 0.43 U(IV):0.59 U(VI)].This study describes preliminary results that a two-step approach for stabilizing contaminant mixtures of long-lived radionuclides can be effective at reducing contaminant fluxes to groundwater from vadose and perched water zones.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Effects of Superparamagnetic Iron Nanoparticles on Electrocatalysts for the Reduction of Oxygen

It is of great research interest to understand the nanostructures contributing to the activity observed in the reduction of oxygen by non-platinum group metal (PGM) electrocatalysts in acidic media. Iron- and nitrogen-containing carbon networks are often the most studied structures, among which single-atom iron-coordinated nitrogen (FeNx) moieties have often been proposed to be the structures leading to the high activity in these non-PGM electrocatalysts. Iron nanoparticles embedded within a carbon support are also formed under certain conditions as a result of the synthetic processes in making non-PGM electrocatalysts. In this study, we present a study to understand the oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) activity of prepared iron- and nitrogen-containing non-PGM electrocatalysts obtained through the pyrolysis of metal–organic framework (MOF) precursors. We studied the structure–property relationship among nanostructures made from the MOF precursor ZIF-8 under different pyrolysis conditions. Density functional theory calculations were used to explain the effect of structural moieties on the ORR activity. Our results suggest that iron-coordinated C–N structures and iron nanoparticles act synergistically to catalyze the ORR.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Baryonic Effects in Cosmic Shear Tomography: PCA Parameterization and the Importance of Extreme Baryonic Models

Baryonic effects are amongst the most severe systematics to the tomographic analysis of weak lensing data which is the principal probe in many future generations of cosmological surveys like LSST, Euclid etc.. Modeling or parameterizing these effects is essential in order to extract valuable constraints on cosmological parameters. In a recent paper, Eifler et al. (2015) suggested a reduction technique for baryonic effects by conducting a principal component analysis (PCA) and removing the largest baryonic eigenmodes from the data. In this article, we conducted the investigation further and addressed two critical aspects. Firstly, we performed the analysis by separating the simulations into training and test sets, computing a minimal set of principle components from the training set and examining the fits on the test set. We found that using only four parameters, corresponding to the four largest eigenmodes of the training set, the test sets can be fitted thoroughly with an RMS $\sim 0.0011$. Secondly, we explored the significance of outliers, the most exotic/extreme baryonic scenarios, in this method. We found that excluding the outliers from the training set results in a relatively bad fit and degraded the RMS by nearly a factor of 3. Therefore, for a direct employment of this method to the tomographic analysis of the weak lensing data, the principle components should be derived from a training set that comprises adequately exotic but reasonable models such that the reality is included inside the parameter domain sampled by the training set. The baryonic effects can be parameterized as the coefficients of these principle components and should be marginalized over the cosmological parameter space.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Development of a Technical, Economic, and Risk Assessment Tool for the Evaluation of Work Reduction Opportunities

Efficient and cost-effective operation of a nuclear power plant (NPP) is essential to ensuring long-term economical and safe operation. Multiple cost saving opportunities exist, referred to here as work reduction opportunities (WRO). These WROs reduce plant operating costs by employing various cost-effective strategies (e.g., implementation of modern technologies). Identifying and objectively screening WROs is an essential task to help reduce overall costs. However, there is no comprehensive framework for assessing WROs in the nuclear industry and evaluating their impact on plant operations. This report presents a novel framework for systematically evaluating WROs from a technical, economic, and risk perspective. As NPPs continue to add new technology and implement modernization strategies into their current processes, potential WROs are commonly identified. Although most WROs have the potential to reduce costs, not all opportunities will result in significant cost savings due to unforeseen risks, large implementation costs, or benefits that fall short of expectations. Examples of this can be the result of a technology that is not fully developed, uncertainty in the amount of cost reduction, or difficulties introducing a new process into an organization. These uncertainties can manifest several ways and can result in a WRO with limited cost savings or even a loss of investment. The framework developed emphasizes the importance of effectively screening the WROs from a holistic perspective to objectively identify inefficiencies and ensure a positive impact to the organization. This report presents the Technical, Economic, and Risk Assessment (TERA) as a key methodology for the screening and evaluation of potential WROs. The TERA framework begins with a screening phase where the process is examined through a hybrid combination of Lean Six Sigma and Integrated Operations for Nuclear (ION) guiding principles. This framework examines the current processes using the Lean Six Sigma SIPOC (Suppliers, Inputs, Process, Outputs, Consumers) methodology but retains the ION key elements of People, Technology, Process, and Governance as important factors to the nuclear decision-making process. By combining the principles of Lean Six Sigma and ION, the developed screening process is specific to the nuclear industry in that it systematically evaluates WROs in order to implement new technology that is comprehensively evaluated. The TERA begins by mapping current processes as they relate to WROs and examining the inefficiencies. Furthermore, the created process map can be used to identify and evaluate potential solutions. Using key performance indicators (KPIs), the TERA evaluates each area—technology, economics, and risk—for uncertainties and to perform cost-benefit analysis. The results of the TERA are important KPIs that allow for an evaluation of different processes and technology implementations. This assessment enables decision-makers to compare various WROs based on metrics and then make informed decisions for which opportunity to implement first. This research includes not only the creation of the TERA framework, but also the evaluation of its performance. A case study for screening potential WROs at Southern Nuclear Company is presented that utilizes the TERA methodology. Through the use of TERA, various WROs were screened, and the solutions evaluated for cost-benefit expectations. The report concludes by summarizing the overall effort and implications for utility modernization. The performance of the screening and TERA are discussed as well as the impact on the nuclear industry. The TERA process enables utilities to evaluate and inform investment decisions for WROs and mitigate any potential risks. Through this research, we provide utilities with a valuable framework to optimize operations, reduce costs, and drive continuous process improvement.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

The role of methane in future climate strategies: mitigation potentials and climate impacts

This study examines model-specific assumptions and projections of methane (CH 4 ) emissions in deep mitigation scenarios generated by integrated assessment models (IAMs). For this, scenarios of nine models are compared in terms of sectoral and regional CH 4 emission reduction strategies, as well as resulting climate impacts. The models’ projected reduction potentials are compared to sector and technology-specific reduction potentials found in literature. Significant cost-effective and non-climate policy related reductions are projected in the reference case (10–36% compared to a “frozen emission factor” scenario in 2100). Still, compared to 2010, CH 4 emissions are expected to rise steadily by 9–72% (up to 412 to 654 Mt CH 4 /year). Ambitious CO 2 reduction measures could by themselves lead to a reduction of CH 4 emissions due to a reduction of fossil fuels (22–48% compared to the reference case in 2100). However, direct CH 4 mitigation is crucial and more effective in bringing down CH 4 (50–74% compared to the reference case). Given the limited reduction potential, agriculture CH 4 emissions are projected to constitute an increasingly larger share of total anthropogenic CH 4 emissions in mitigation scenarios. Enteric fermentation in ruminants is in that respect by far the largest mitigation bottleneck later in the century with a projected 40–78% of total remaining CH 4 emissions in 2100 in a strong (2 °C) climate policy case.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Breaking Scaling Relationships in CO 2 Electroreduction with Isoelectronic Analogs [Fe 4 N(CO) 12 ] – and [Fe 3 MnO(CO) 12 ] –

[Fe 4 N(CO) 12 ] – and [Fe 3 MnO(CO) 12 ] – have the same total electron count and overall charge, as well as similar reduction potentials of –1.21 and –1.17 V vs SCE in MeCN, respectively. Both clusters form the reduced hydride upon single electron transfer (ET) and proton transfer (PT). It is known that [Fe 4 N(CO) 12 ] – is an electrocatalyst for selective CO 2 reduction to formate at –1.2 V vs SCE in either pH 7 buffered water or in MeCN/H 2 O (95:5) and an effective electrocatalyst for H + reduction to H 2 under N 2 under the same conditions. In contrast, [Fe 3 MnO(CO) 12 ] – affords no products upon electrolysis, beyond [H-Fe 3 MnO(CO) 12 ] – . Herein, we determine that [H-Fe 3 MnO(CO) 12 ] – is a weaker hydride donor than [H-Fe 4 N(CO) 12 ] – by about 4 kcal mol –1 , and this is a breaking of the hydricity versus reduction potential scaling relationship previously established for a series of metal carbonyl clusters electrocatalysts.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Assessing the impacts of wakes on floating wind farms with shared anchors

This paper examines wake effects for floating wind farms with shared anchors. Three 20-turbine farms are examined: a grid-formation baseline with no shared anchors, a farm based on 3-line anchors, and a farm based on 6-line anchors, governed by a wind turbine spacing of 8 rotor diameters. The IEA 15 MW reference turbine on the UMaine semisubmersible platform was used with a taut mooring system in deep- water depths representative of U.S. west coast lease areas. A steady-state wake model showed that, when evaluating a sweep of wind headings, the baseline design had the lowest wake losses, with a value of 11.7 %, followed by the 6-line at 12.9% and the 3-line at 13.8%. Dynamic simulations were run in FAST.Farm to analyse the effects of wakes on mean anchor loads for wind headings that showed significant wake losses. The baseline farm showed the largest anchor load reductions due to wake effects (up to 16%), followed by the 3-line farm (up to 8%), and the 6-line farm, which showed relatively consistent load magnitudes on the 6-line anchors across all headings.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Ducted Fuel Injection Provides Consistently Lower Soot Emissions in Sweep to Full-Load Conditions

Earlier studies have proven how ducted fuel injection (DFI) substantially reduces soot for low- and mid-load conditions in heavy-duty engines, without significant adverse effects on other emissions. Nevertheless, no comprehensive DFI study exists showing soot reductions at high- and full-load conditions. This study investigated DFI in a single-cylinder, 1.7-L, optical engine from low- to full-load conditions with a low-net-carbon fuel consisting of 80% renewable diesel and 20% biodiesel. Over the tested load range, DFI reduced engine-out soot by 38.1–63.1% compared to conventional diesel combustion (CDC). This soot reduction occurred without significant detrimental effects on other emission types. Thus, DFI reduced the severity of the soot–NO x tradeoff at all tested conditions. While DFI delivered considerable soot reductions in thepresent study, previous DFI studies at low- and mid-load conditions delivered larger soot reductions (>90%) compared to CDC operation at the same conditions. Therefore, the DFI configuration used here has been deemed nonoptimal (in terms of parameters such as the injector-spray and piston geometries), and several improvements are recommended for future studies with high-load DFI. Further, these improvements include employing better spray-duct alignment, a deeper piston bowl with a smaller injector umbrella angle, and a fuel injector that opens and closes faster. The study also suggests future research to make DFI ready for commercialization, such as metal-engine tests to ensure desirable DFI performance over an engine’s complete speed/load map. Overall, this study supports the continued development and commercialization of DFI to meet upcoming emissions regulations for heavy-duty vehicles. Specifically, multicylinder engine experiments and CFD simulations should be utilized to optimize the performance and clarify the full potential of DFI.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Space shuttle solid rocket booster main parachute damage reduction team report

This report gives the findings of the space shuttle solid rocket booster main parachute damage reduction team. The purpose of the team was to investigate the causes of main parachute deployment damage and to recommend methods to eliminate or substantially reduce the damage. The team concluded that the two primary causes of significant damage during deployment are vent entanglement and contact of the parachutes with the main parachute support structure. As an inexpensive but effective step towards damage reduction, the team recommends modification of the parachute packing procedure to eliminate vent entanglement. As the most effective design change, the team recommends a pilot chute-deployed soft-pack system. Alternative concepts are also recommended that provide a major reduction in damage at a total cost lower than the pilot chute-deployed soft pack.

Watts, G.↗

Assessing the cumulative health effect following short term exposure to multiple pollutants: An evaluation of methodological approaches using simulations and real data

Highlights: • Correlated exposures’ cumulative effect is a challenging methodological issue. • Simulations indicated the use of exposure score as the least biased approach. • The main effects approach presented the poorest performance. • The adaptive LASSO performed well when correlation was low or moderate. Assessment of the cumulative effect of correlated exposures is an open methodological issue in environmental epidemiology. Most previous studies have applied regression models with interaction terms or dimension reduction methods. The combined effect of pollutants has been also evaluated through the use of exposure scores that incorporate weights based on the strength of the component-specific associations with health outcomes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Lifetime fatigue response due to wake steering on a pair of utility-scale wind turbines

Quantifying the impacts on turbine loads during wind farm control is an important consideration in assessing power production benefits. Wake steering controls aim to improve total wind farm performance by coordinating the control actions of individual turbines, wherein an upstream turbine is intentionally yawed at an offset angle from the measured wind direction. Consequently, this redirects its wake for improved power production and potentially reduces fatigue loads of the downstream turbines. This paper studies the lifetime fatigue loads associated with wake steering by using utility-scale wind turbine experimental data to conduct an analysis on a pair of wind turbines. This study was part of a large field experiment in which a group of five GE 1.5-MW SLE CWE turbines were selected as targets for conducting wake steering research. A standard loads instrumentation package and data acquisition system were installed on two turbines within the cluster to measure turbine fundamental loads. The time-series databases were used to calculate loads statistics as well as short-term and lifetime damage equivalent loads. Fatigue calculations followed the guidance in Annex H of the International Electrotechnical Commission standard 61400-1, Edition 4. Lifetime fatigue calculation results are presented in this analysis; three methods of assessing lifetime fatigue were used to determine percent difference for blade root moments, main shaft moments, main shaft torque, and tower top torque. For all three fatigue treatments, some components’ lifetime fatigue increases for the controlled turbine; however, the downwind turbine experienced a reduction in lifetime fatigue and combined effect for the turbine pair results in a reduction of fatigue when wake steering controls are applied.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Auroral hiss on the ground at L approximately equal to 4

Auroral hiss is rarely detected at subauroral-zone ground stations, but during the 4-month period January to April 1976 it became very prevalent in the wide-band audio-frequency synoptic whistler records at Farewell, Alaska (L = 4.2). A possible reason for this is that in the normal reduction and retreat of auroral zone effects to higher latitudes at sunspot minimum the reduction in the particle precipitation which causes auroral absorption is greater than that in the softer precipitation which causes auroral hiss. The occurrence of auroral hiss at Farewell showed, at 21 hours LMT (local magnetic time), the same strong diurnal peak found at auroral zone and polar cap stations. The low-frequency cutoff of auroral hiss on the ground is also discussed.

Morgan, M. G.↗