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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 739 records · Page 41

Low-Temperature Plasma Treatment for Enhanced Recovery of Highly Valued Critical REEs from Coal (Final Report)

The principle objective of this project was to develop a novel process flowsheet using low-temperature plasma treatment (LTP) integrated with conventional hydrometallurgical processes to recover rare earth elements (REEs), especially highly valued REEs (i.e. scandium and critical REEs), from coal and coal byproducts. LTP treatment was used to pretreat the solid feed material prior to leaching in an effort to improve the leaching characteristics of the REEs and potentially reduce acid consumption. Initially, a detailed experimental program was performed on a laboratory LTP furnace to identify a set of process parameter values to be used for assessing the enhanced leaching performance achieved on four specific gravity fractions of West Kentucky No. 13 and Fire Clay coarse coal refuse materials. High-temperature oxidation (HTO)) was also evaluated as a means for improving REE leachability on the same fractions of both coal sources. The lixiviants used to assess leachability improvements included: i) untreated water, ii) 0.1 M ammonium sulfate solution and iii) 1.2 M sulfuric acid solution at a temperature of 75°C. The laboratory data was used to develop multiple process flow sheets using HTO only to produce a rare earth oxide mix concentrate or utilizing both LTP and HTO treatment processes to generate a high purity heavy REO mix concentrate and a light REO mix concentrate. A techno-economic analysis was performed on each circuit. Low-temperature plasma oxidation was found to enhance REE leaching characteristics for all specific gravity (SG) fractions of the West Kentucky No. 13 coarse refuse material. The leaching recovery improvement was preferentially achieved for the heavy REEs with higher values obtained when treating the lower density fraction material. For example, the leaching recovery for the heavy REEs in the untreated 1.6 SG Float fraction material was 8% in a 0.1 M ammonium sulfate solution. After LTP treatment for 32 hours, heavy REE recovery increased to 33%. The corresponding recovery value for the light REEs was 10%. These findings indicate a strong affinity of the heavy REEs with the organic material, which is the component being reduced in content during the LTP treatment. Scanning electron micrographs showed the development of a honeycomb structure with increased LTP treatment with higher surface area as confirmed from BET measurements. Higher surface area promotes improved leaching efficiency due to enhance chemical interactions. When using 1.2 M sulfuric acid, the LTP treatment was found to provide a heavy REE recovery increase from 23% to 53% for the 1.6 SG Float fraction which corresponded to an ash content increase from around 20% to 35%. However, LTP treatment provided no improvement in leaching characteristic for the 2.2 SG sink material in the acid solution, which was likely due to the low organic content. The LTP treatment of the Fire Clay SG fractions provided no improvement in REE leaching characteristic, which may be due to the association with REE minerals such as monazite and REE-associated mineral matter such as clays. High temperature oxidation using temperatures in the range of 600-750OC was found to significantly enhance the leaching characteristics of both the light and heavy REEs for all density fractions in both coarse coal refuse materials. Generally, the increase in light REE recovery for the West Kentucky material was from 15% for the untreated material to 90% for the HTO treated material at 600°C. Recovery values dropped significantly when using temperatures below 600°C and above 750°C. The impact of the excessive temperatures was most likely a result of sintering. For the heavy REEs, HTO significantly improved recovery in the lighter SG fractions, which may be due to an affinity with the organic content. Only limited heavy REE recovery improvement was obtained for the denser SG fractions. Another benefit of HTO is the conversion of calcium-based minerals to a very soluble calcium oxide, which is removable using a mild acid solution, and the conversion of Fe minerals to relatively insoluble minerals such as hematite and magnetite. The pregnant leaching solution produced from the leaching of all SG fractions obtained from both coal sources was treated using two stages of solvent extraction procedurally modeling a rougher-cleaner circuit followed by oxalic acid precipitation. Rare earth oxide products having a purity greater than 97% was produced from nearly all of the SG fractions. A novel process flowsheet was developed based on the selective leaching of heavy REEs that was made possible through LTP treatment of West Kentucky No. 13 coarse refuse followed by salt leaching. In the flowsheet, coal refuse material is ground to a top size of 1mm and then treated by LTP. The treated material is mixed into a 0.1 M ammonium sulfate solution and then filtered to produce a heavy REE enriched pregnant leach solution. The heavy REEs are concentrated by two stages of selective precipitation to produce a heavy REE mix oxalate and then roasted to obtain a heavy REO mix concentrate. The solid residues remaining after salt leaching is dried and then subjected to HTO treatment followed by concentration using selective precipitation and roasting to produce a light REO mix concentrate. An alternative circuit was developed using HTO treatment only to treat 100% of the coarse refuse material followed by selective precipitation and roasting to generate a high purity REO mix product. A techno-economic analysis performed for the treatment of West Kentucky No. 13 and Fire Clay coarse refuse based on a hypothetical 500-tph plant revealed that the net present value for all scenarios was significantly negative. Primary reasons include: i) a substantial decrease in the basket value of the final product relative to the feed and ii) high chemical costs relative to the amount of product generated. The basket value reduction was primarily due to little to no scandium recovery due to poor leaching characteristics when using low acid concentrations as necessitated by the low feed grades. Operating costs were primarily influenced by the chemical costs relative to the kilograms of concentrate produced and feed grade. For the Fire Clay coarse refuse material, the total operating cost was estimated to be $354 per kg of REO produced which was higher than the basket value of the REO product ($276/kg). Approximately 37% of the total cost was the sulfuric acid used during the leaching process. A comparative analysis performed to assess the economic viability of using low-temperature plasma furnaces found that market value enhancement for the generation of both heavy REO and light REO concentrates will be needed in addition to significant technology advancements to reduce the cost of plasma furnaces.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Development of Leaching Processes for the Recovery of Rare Earth Elements from Acid Mine Drainage Precipitates

Acid mine drainage (AMD) has been a challenge for mine operators to address and has had significant environmental impacts when there is a failure to address it. Fortunately, there is a regulation in the US that requires the treatment of AMD before water can be discharged into the environment. AMD is generated when sulfide minerals are exposed to water and air from mining. The acidic water then leaches metals from the surrounding rock, creating the potential for environmental contamination of this acidic water containing dissolved metals. AMD can contain high concentrations of metals like iron, aluminum, and manganese and also have been shown to contain trace concentrations of critical minerals, including rare earth elements (REEs). This environmental waste stream is now being researched as a potential source for REEs. There is a patented process for processing and extracting REEs from AMD which produces rare earth oxide preconcentrate (REOP) from AMD treatment precipitates and a final stage mixed rare earth oxide (MREO) product. This body of research examines a selective leaching process for each of these products and determines the activation energy associated with the leaching processes. Acid leaching with HCl was examined to selectively leach REEs from REOP while contaminant metals remained in the solid residue. The maximum leaching recovery of the REEs from the REOP was approximately 90% and an activation energy of 6.4 kJ/mol at pH 3.0. Ammonium chloride leaching was examined to selectively remove contaminant metals from a MREO product. The ammonium chloride process successfully leached major contaminant metals in excess of 85% recovery and had a maximum activation energy of 40.0 kJ/mol.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Unlocking the value of recycling scrap from Li-ion battery manufacturing: Challenges and outlook

The growing global trend toward mobile electrification is primarily driven by the rising popularity of electric vehicles, leading to an unprecedented surge in demand for lithium-ion batteries. As a result, the importance of battery recycling has become increasingly apparent. Battery recycling aims to recover valuable materials from both spent batteries and battery manufacturing scraps. By recycling these resources, the reliance on raw material extraction is reduced, which benefits resource conservation and minimizes the need for new mining operations. While significant attention has been given to the recycling of spent batteries, less emphasis has been placed on the recycling and recovery of battery scraps. However, it is important to recognize that many gigafactories are still taking steps to improve their manufacturing processes, and end-of-life batteries take approximately 10 years to become suitable for recycling, the manufacturing scraps will serve as the primary sources for recycling in this decade. This review delves into the progress in recycling technologies associated with battery manufacturing scraps, shedding light on the challenges, opportunities, and evolving perspectives surrounding battery manufacturing scrap recycling. In conclusion, we aim to contribute to the knowledge base of battery manufacturing scrap recycling and promote a more comprehensive understanding of the subject.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Low speed test of the aft inlet designed for a tandem fan V/STOL nacelle

An approximately .25 scale model of a Tandem Fan nacelle designed for a Type A V/STOL aircraft configuration was tested in a 10-by-10 foot wind tunnel. A 12 inch, tip driven, turbofan simulator was used to provide the suction source for the aft fan inlet. The front fan inlet was faired over for this test entry. Model variables consisted of a long aft inlet cowl, a short aft inlet cowl, a shaft simulator, blow-in door passages and diffuser vortex generators. Inlet pressure recovery, distortion, inlet angle of attack separation limits were evaluated at tunnel velocities from 0 to 240 knots, angles of attack from -10 to 40 degrees and inlet flow rates representative of throat Mach numbers of 0.1 to 0.6. High inlet performance and stable operation was verified at all design forward speed and angle of attack conditions. The short aft inlet configuration provided exceptionally high pressure recovery except at the highest combination of angle of attack and forward speed. The flow quality at the fan face was somewhat degraded by the addition of blow-in door passages to the long aft inlet configuration due to the pressure disturbances generated by the flow entering the diffuser through the auxiliary air passages.

Rhoades, W. W.↗

Safety aspects of nuclear waste disposal in space

Safety issues involved in the disposal of nuclear wastes in space as a complement to mined geologic repositories are examined as part of an assessment of the feasibility of nuclear waste disposal in space. General safety guidelines for space disposal developed in the areas of radiation exposure and shielding, containment, accident environments, criticality, post-accident recovery, monitoring systems and isolation are presented for a nuclear waste disposal in space mission employing conventional space technology such as the Space Shuttle. The current reference concept under consideration by NASA and DOE is then examined in detail, with attention given to the waste source and mix, the waste form, waste processing and payload fabrication, shipping casks and ground transport vehicles, launch site operations and facilities, Shuttle-derived launch vehicle, orbit transfer vehicle, orbital operations and space destination, and the system safety aspects of the concept are discussed for each component. It is pointed out that future work remains in the development of an improved basis for the safety guidelines and the determination of the possible benefits and costs of the space disposal option for nuclear wastes.

Rice, E. E.↗

Turbine disk cavity aerodynamics and heat transfer

Experiments were conducted to define the nature of the aerodynamics and heat transfer for the flow within the disk cavities and blade attachments of a large-scale model, simulating the Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME) turbopump drive turbines. These experiments of the aerodynamic driving mechanisms explored the following: (1) flow between the main gas path and the disk cavities; (2) coolant flow injected into the disk cavities; (3) coolant density; (4) leakage flows through the seal between blades; and (5) the role that each of these various flows has in determining the adiabatic recovery temperature at all of the critical locations within the cavities. The model and the test apparatus provide close geometrical and aerodynamic simulation of all the two-stage cavity flow regions for the SSME High Pressure Fuel Turbopump and the ability to simulate the sources and sinks for each cavity flow.

Johnson, B. V.↗

Dissemination of Global Flood Severity and Surface Water Mapping using Remote Sensing Data to Global Stakeholders

Flooding is a natural event that occurs frequently with high severity worldwide, responsible for significant societal and economic impacts. Disaster managers face significant challenges managing essential information for preparedness, response, and recovery efforts. The development of an open access, global flood alerting system for effective identification of flood impacted areas, classification of potential impacts, and the formulation of effective emergency response measures requires the incorporation of a wide variety of flood models and remote sensing data sources from multiple platforms. NASA is currently funding projects focused on flood forecasting, post-event flood mapping, flood depth estimation and pre-event flood severity estimation using Earth observation (EO) datasets and derived flood products. A new initiative in the Disasters Program is underway to disseminate flood products from different hydrologic models and sensors to global stakeholders via Pacific Disaster Center’s DisasterAWARE®, NASA’s Disasters Mapping Portal and potentially other mechanisms. This initiative focuses on improving response capacity and use of EO products in near real-time by a broader community for resource planning in case of extreme events. As part of this initiative, we have deployed Model of Models (MoM) – an open-source ensemble approach, that integrates outputs from hydrologic models and EO data from optical imagery to assess flood severity daily at sub-watershed level globally. The MoM output is integrated with the incident event system of DisasterAWARE to generate flood severity risk and flood impact boundaries, which are disseminated via the DisasterAWARE platform to different stakeholders globally for decision-making and response efforts. The next step will focus on using MoM outputs to estimate flood depth and extent mapping using high-resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar imagery, impact assessment using optical imagery and population datasets, and damage estimation using critical infrastructure datasets, which would be disseminated via DisasterAWARE to decision-makers, emergency managers and first responders around the world.

flood↗

Magnetized Electron Source for JLEIC Electron Cooler

Bunched-beam electron cooling is a key feature of all proposed designs of the future electron-ion collider, and a requirement for achieving the specified collision luminosity. For the Jefferson Lab Electron Ion Collider (JLEIC), fast cooling of ion beams will be accomplished via so-called 'magnetized cooling' implemented using a recirculator ring that employs an energy recovery linac. In this contribution, we describe the production of magnetized electron beam using a compact 300 kV DC high voltage photogun with an inverted insulator geometry and alkali-antimonide photocathodes. Beam magnetization was assessed using a modest diagnostic beamline that includes YAG view screens for measuring the rotation angle of the electron beamlet passing through a narrow upstream slit. Magnetization characterization including drift emittance were measured for various gun bias voltages and laser spot sizes at the photocathode using 532 nm lasers with DC and RF time structure. With magnetized beam, photocathode lifetime at currents up to 28 mA CW was measured and high bunch charge up to 700 pC was demonstrated.

Mamun, Md Abdullah↗

Unraveling the Mysteries of Turbulence Transport in a Wind Farm

A true physical understanding of the mysteries involved in the recovery process of the wake momentum deficit, downstream of utility-scale wind turbines in the atmosphere, has not been obtained to date. Field data are not acquired at sufficient spatial and temporal resolutions to dissect some of the mysteries of wake turbulence. It is here that the actuator line method has evolved to become the technology standard in the wind energy community. This work presents the actuator line method embedded into an Open source Field Operation and Manipulation (OpenFOAM) large-eddy simulation solver and applies it to two small wind farms, the first one consisting of an array of two National Renewable Energy Laboratory 5 Megawatt (NREL 5-MW) turbines separated by seven rotor diameters in neutral and unstable atmospheric boundary-layer flow and the second one consisting of five NREL 5-MW wind turbines in unstable atmospheric conditions arranged in two staggered arrays of two and three turbines, respectively. Detailed statistics involving power spectral density (PSD) of turbine power along with standard deviations reveal the effects of atmospheric turbulence and its space and time scales. In conclusion, high-resolution surface data extracts provide new insight into the complex recovery process of the wake momentum deficit governed by turbulence transport phenomena.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Vanadium (II) Sulfate for the Reductive Leaching of Chalcopyrite: Replacing Smelting with Electrolysis for Copper Production

The demand for copper is expected to outpace supply in the coming decades due in part to the emergence of wind and solar technologies, which require about five times as much copper as traditional energy sources. This work introduces a potentially transformative hydrometallurgical process to extract copper from chalcopyrite, and thereby sustain a high rate of copper production throughout the 21 st century. Chalcopyrite is reacted with vanadium (II) sulfate for the first time to enable the rapid, clean, and complete recovery of copper. Reactions between 39 g/L copper concentrate, 1 M vanadium (II) sulfate, and various concentrations of sulfuric acid yielded a final product of solid copper sulfate, which was characterized by X-ray diffraction (XRD) and scanning electron microscopy-energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (SEM-EDS) analysis. The solid products were leached in a subsequent step to demonstrate copper yields ranging from 95–99%. The vanadium (II) ion may be regenerated by an electrolysis unit that leverages advances in vanadium flow battery technologies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Development of a chemical-free process utilizing ozone oxidative precipitation for the recovery of cobalt and manganese from acid mine drainage

Acid mine drainage (AMD) has been identified as a viable secondary resource of Co, and Mn. However, recovery of these elements while treating AMD is challenging due to the unfavorable pH and Eh conditions for Co-Mn precipitation. This study investigated the effects of various ligands (hydroxide, carbonate, ammonium, sulfate, and phosphate) and oxidizers (sodium persulfate, potassium permanganate, and ozone) on the precipitation of Co-Mn from AMD through experimental and solution chemistry studies. Ozone was found to be the most effective agent for the recovery of these elements. Based on the results, an AMD treatment process was formulated for selective recovery of multiple critical elements, including Al, REEs, Co, and Mn. More than 95 % of Co and Mn were recovered through the proposed process utilizing chemical-less ozone oxidative precipitation. In conclusion, a precipitate containing 0.9 % Co and 54.6 % Mn was obtained from an AMD source containing 0.9 ppm Co and 41.8 ppm Mn.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The Quest for an OCO (Orbiting Carbon Observatory) Re-Flight

The objective of the OCO (Orbiting Carbon Observatory) mission was to make the first space-based measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide with the accuracy needed to quantify sources and sinks of this important greenhouse gas. Unfortunately, the observatory was lost as a result of a launch vehicle failure on 24 February 2009. The JPL (Jet Propulsion Laboratory) was directed to assess the options for the re-flight of the OCO instrument and recovery of the carbon-related measurement, and to understand and quantitatively assess the cost, schedule, and technical and programmatic risks of the identified options. The two most likely solutions were (1) a shared platform with the TIRS (Thermal Infrared Sensor) instrument and (2) a dedicated OSC (Orbital Sciences Corporation) LEOStar-2 spacecraft bus similar to that utilized for the original OCO mission. A joint OCO-TIRS mission study was commissioned and two specific options were examined. However, each presented technical challenges that would drive cost. It was determined that the best option was to rebuild the OCO observatory to the extent possible including another LEOStar-2 spacecraft bus. This lowest risk approach leverages the original OCO design and provides the shortest path to launch, which is targeted for no later than the February 2013 timeframe.

carbon↗

Addressing Market Issues in Electrical Power Systems with Large Shares of Variable Renewable Energy

This paper reports recent findings from IEA Wind TCP Task 25, which compiles international experiences and research related to large-scale integration of wind and other renewable energy. In the paper, we address the main challenges for market integration of variable renewable energy, relating to price formation, cost recovery, balancing and other grid services. The paper gives an overview of recent scenario studies on electricity price impacts of (1) various generation, energy storage and demand types in different markets, and (2) different market designs and energy/climate policies. Studying markets with very high shares of variable renewable energy requires an improved set of analysis tools for forecasting market outcomes, estimating flexibility needs and sources, and assessing resource adequacy. Key market features need to be investigated within these improved analytical capabilities for systems transitioning to high shares of variable renewable energy, storage and flexible demand. System services that can be supported by markets will likely need to be revisited. Finally, this paper identifies open questions and suggested future market design work for supporting systems with very high shares of variable renewable energy, which are to be addressed in follow-up work of Task 25 collaborative research.

cost recovery↗

Analytical investigation of the dew point water recovery system with potential application for drinking water production

The article presents the analytical investigation of the Dew Point Water Recovery (DPWR) system with potential application for drinking water production. Four different configurations of the DPWR system were proposed, differing in the number and type of dew point cooling exchangers used, and their operation was described using a validated convective heat transfer coefficient mathematical model. It was found that the three stage configu-ration of the DPWR system with a regenerative exchanger has the best water recovery performance, while the three stage configuration with a counter-flow exchanger has the best ratio of energy supplied to the system in relation to the amount of water produced. It was also found that the DPWR system can operate in a wide range of operating conditions with a specific electric energy consumption reaching below 0.9 kWh/m 3 and GOR in the range of 0.36-2.16. What distinguishes the DPWR system from other methods of drinking water production is the ability to work without an additional source of thermal energy apart from the energy of the air supplied to the system. Thanks to this property, the system has the potential to fill the technological gap of a low-energy and easily accessible method of drinking water production.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Design and testing of a combined neutron and gamma assay system for measuring fissile material in fuel and waste items - 15340

A combined neutron and gamma ray assay system for the measurement of fissile material in both fuel and waste items has been designed, modelled, developed and tested. The purpose of the system is to measure and characterize a wide range of fissile materials including uranium, plutonium, americium and mixed oxide fuel arising from a variety of processes and facilities across the United Kingdom. Dounreay Site Restoration Limited at Dounreay currently stores these items form the United Kingdom Nuclear Decommissioning Authority's un-irradiated fuel inventory. This inventory comprises historic materials from ex-United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority nuclear fuel projects and experiments together with fast reactor fuel materials and some commercial fuel items as delivered to Dounreay for recovery. The combined assay system has been designed and constructed to support the operation of a fuel processing facility, which will be operated at Dounreay to treat these historic legacy fuel materials, making them suitable for long term storage. Appropriate characterization of the fissile material is required for safety, criticality control and nuclear materials safeguards purposes prior to final disposition. The system consists of both gamma ray and neutron measurement components. The results of a neutron measurement are combined with the gamma ray isotopic ratio measurement results to generate the assay result for the fissile material being characterized. The gamma ray component of the system employs a safeguards quality high purity Germanium detector with electro-mechanical cooling and the measurements of fissile material containers are made in a shielded chamber with a tin and copper graded lining. Containers of fissile material are rotated during the gamma ray measurement and a variable automatic steel collimator aperture mechanism is employed to adjust the measured count rate to control detector dead time. Gamma ray spectra are analysed using the plutonium and uranium isotopic ratio code PC/FRAM. The gamma ray system can also be configured to perform a direct assay of small quantities of uranium bearing material. For this assay measurement a series of cadmium filters can be positioned in front of the detector to reduce the contribution from 59 keV gamma rays from Am-241. In addition to gamma ray isotopic measurements, both active and passive neutron assay is performed by the system. The neutron-measuring component consists of a thick walled cylindrical polyethylene chamber, which provides neutron moderation for 30 one-inch diameter He-3 detector tubes located in re-entrant channels in the polyethylene moderator. Two removable polyethylene-inserts incorporating lower plug assemblies are provided, one with and one without a cadmium lining. Also two top plug units are provided, again one with cadmium and one without a cadmium liner. The Neutron Subsystem can be operated both as a passive and as an active neutron coincidence counter. In both fast and thermal active neutron mode, the neutron component employs two americium-beryllium (Am-Be) alpha-n neutron sources, one positioned in the top and the other in the bottom plug unit. The neutron sources are removed when the counter is operated in passive mode. Passive neutron detection efficiency and active neutron performance has been modelled using the MCNP Monte Carlo computer simulation code as part of the design process. In the absence of fissile samples, operation of the gamma ray component of the system has been tested initially using calibrated Eu-152 and Ba-133 gamma ray sources and the use of archived spectra from fissile material measurements. Initial testing of the neutron system has employed a calibrated Cf-252 spontaneous fission neutron source. Neutron testing has been confirmed using further MCNP simulations. The results of test measurements with the system are presented and compared with the results of MCNP measurement simulations. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Ra-226 extraction and purification from simulated uranium tailings

Growing demand for Ac-225 has outstripped current production, increasing interest in alternative production routes. Furthermore, these often rely on irradiations of Ra-226, yet Ra-226 supplies are also limited. Uranium tailings provide an abundant source of Ra-226, though separation from these complex matrices remains challenging. A laboratory-scale process was developed to recover Ra-226 from simulated U-tailings. After acid leaching, Ra remained adsorbed on refractory oxides and silicates. An additional CaCl₂ leach of the residue raised recovery to ~ 64%. Subsequent purifications, including precipitation, ion-exchange, and extraction chromatography (TK101), achieved chemical yields up to 73 ± 7%, producing 7.68 ± 0.1 µCi of high-purity Ra-226.

and nuclear chemistry↗

A Modelica Implementation of an Organic Rankine Cycle

Organic Rankine cycle (ORC) systems generate power from low-grade heat sources, such as geothermal sources and industrial waste heat. A key feature is that a working fluid is selected to match the temperature of the source. With the vast pool of candidate working fluids comes the challenge of developing a large number of robust thermodynamic media models. We implemented a subcritical ORC model in Modelica that uses working fluid data records and interpolation schemes in lieu of thermodynamic medium evaluation for energy recovery estimation. This is a component model that can be integrated into a larger energy system model. It does not require detailed thermodynamic, heat transfer, or machine analysis. Our ORC model fills a gap where working fluids are ready to choose or easy to add, and at the same time can be integrated into an energy system.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Predicting Short-Term Deformation in the Central Valley Using Machine Learning

Land subsidence caused by excessive groundwater pumping in Central Valley, California, is a major issue that has several negative impacts such as reduced aquifer storage and damaged infrastructures which, in turn, produce an economic loss due to the high reliance on crop production. This is why it is of utmost importance to routinely monitor and assess the surface deformation occurring. Two main goals that this paper attempts to accomplish are deformation characterization and deformation prediction. The first goal is realized through the use of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) applied to a series of Interferomtric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) images that produces eigenimages displaying the key characteristics of the subsidence. Water storage changes are also directly analyzed by the use of data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) twin satellites and the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS). The second goal is accomplished by building a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model to predict short-term deformation after developing an InSAR time series using LiCSBAS, an open-source InSAR time series package. The model is applied to the city of Madera and produces better results than a baseline averaging model and a one dimensional convolutional neural network (CNN) based on a mean squared error metric showing the effectiveness of machine learning in deformation prediction as well as the potential for incorporation in hazard mitigation models. The model results can directly aid policy makers in determining the appropriate rate of groundwater withdrawal while maintaining the safety and well-being of the population as well as the aquifers’ integrity.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗