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DOE OSTI2026

Dual-loop Solvent-based CCS for Net Negative CO 2 Emissions with Lower Cost

This final technical report details the successful design, construction, and operational validation of an innovative dual-loop CO 2 capture technology designed to achieve deep decarbonization (>99%) from Natural Gas Combined Cycle (NGCC) power plants that results in the electricity with carbon intensity of approximate 42 kg CO 2 -eq/MWh, less than the electricity produced by solar PV. The integrated process couples a primary aqueous solvent (in this project, a water lean solvent – WLS) absorption loop for bulk CO 2 removal with a secondary potassium hydroxide (KOH) polishing loop featuring electrochemical regeneration. This architecture leverages the higher exergy efficiency of the primary loop while utilizing the fastest kinetic of the secondary loop to capture dilute residual CO 2 , achieving an overall capture rate of 99.9% and co-producing pure hydrogen after moisture being condensed and dehydrated. Technical feasibility was established through a comprehensive 2,000-hour experimental campaign on a bench-scale fully-integrated unit (using 4” absorber and 4” stripper) with the feeding flue gas flowrate in the range of 8-20 cfm, confirming the attainment of Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 4. The project executed extensive parametric testing followed by 1,000 hours of continuous steady-state testing, demonstrating exceptional process stability with the electrochemical regenerator exhibiting less than a 10% reduction in electrical conductivity over the duration of the campaign. Operational characterization gathering on the bench unit revealed distinct energy profiles for the hybrid system: the primary loop required approximately 280 kJ mol -1 for bulk removal, while the polishing loop required approximately 1,600 kJ mol -1 specifically when reducing dilute CO 2 concentrations from ~740 ppm down to <50 ppm. (Please note those energy values/numbers can only be viewed as relative relationship and should not be extrapolated as absolute values required for CO 2 capture). Furthermore, dynamic testing validated the system’s flexibility for utility applications, demonstrating a rapid process response time of <30 minutes to changes in flue gas flowrate. Emission monitoring confirmed that the dual-loop architecture effectively mitigates solvent losses, utilizing a water wash to remove entrained aerosols to <1 ppm. The Techno-Economic Analysis (TEA) indicates a cost of capture of $\$$59.3/tonne and a Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) of 71.7 $\$$/MWh at the overall capture efficiency of 99.8% of total carbon in the flue gas stream, with sensitivity analysis identifying an economic optimum when the primary loop captures 97% of the total CO 2 . A Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) confirms the technology’s potential for net-negative emissions, determining a Global Warming Potential (GWP) of 52 kg CO 2 -eq/MWh—significantly lower than the baseline—which further decreases to 42 kg CO 2 -eq/MWh when crediting the displacement of conventional hydrogen production.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

DOE OSTI2025

The Collins-Soper Kernel from Lattice QCD

I will present the first complete determination of the quark Collins-Soper kernel, which relates TMDs at different rapidity scales, using lattice QCD and including systematic control of quark mass, operator mixing, and discretization effects. Next-to-next-to-leading logarithmic matching is used to match lattice-calculable distributions to the corresponding TMDs. The continuum-extrapolated lattice QCD results are consistent with several recent phenomenological parametrizations of the Collins-Soper kernel and are precise enough to disfavor other parametrizations. I will also discuss a first exploration of the gluon Collins-Soper kernel.

Wagman, Michael [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Spin Diagnostics Using Mott Polarimeter for the EIC Pre-Injector

Polarization measurement and front-end commissioning are critical steps in the EIC preinjector program. We designed a spin-diagnostics beamline at around 4 MeV for front-end commissioning. This paper describes a high-energy Mott polarimeter, including Mott scattering, the Sherman function, and extrapolation toward single elastic scattering in finite-thickness foils. We summarize the key equations used to calculate essential design parameters, including detection time, effective Sherman function, differential cross section, and Mott polarimeter figure of merit. We also present the diagnostics beamline lattice design and kicker design for continuous spin-polarization monitoring. These notes provide concepts, formulas, and methods for diagnostic-beamline design and commissioning measurements.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Mixed Precursor and Future Climate in the Southeast U.S. Field Campaign Report

The generation of atmospheric aerosols is a fundamental process in aerosol-climate interactions, where particles act as nuclei for cloud formation and ultimately influence Earth’s radiative balance. Understanding aerosol precursors, chemical compositions, and formation mechanisms, particularly for secondary organic aerosols (SOAs), is essential for assessing their overall impact on climate. Aerosol-climate interactions are especially important in the Southeastern United States (SE-US), where the atmosphere is strongly influenced by both biogenic and anthropogenic emissions, as well as intense land-atmosphere convective coupling. Current mechanistic representations of SOA formation under ambient conditions are largely extrapolated from laboratory-scale oxidation experiments involving individual volatile organic compounds (VOCs), which are often assumed to behave independently when present in mixtures. However, recent empirical evidence demonstrates that coexisting VOC precursors can undergo previously unexplored molecular-scale interactions that significantly alter SOA physicochemical properties, including mass loading, yield, and water uptake.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Thermal and electromechanical response of ultra-thin carbon-strip polarimeter targets in relativistic bunched beams

Thin carbon-strip targets provide fast relative hadron beam polarimetry, but their response in intense relativistic bunched beams is not governed by local stopping-power heating alone. We develop a coupled response model that combines beam-target overlap, secondary-electron escape, retained heat, target motion, transient heat transport, RF-induced strip-end heating, beam-induced forces, resistance changes, and slack-strip deformation. RHIC target observations constrain the relevant motion, force, and nonlocal-heating scales and show that target survival depends on both beam-center heating and electromagnetic boundary conditions near the strip ends. Applying the model to Booster, AGS, RHIC, and EIC proton and 3 He cases shows that the RHIC proton lifetime scale is reproduced at the order-of-magnitude level, while the RHIC target-holder fin results require the additional RF/end-heating mechanism. For EIC proton flattop operation, carbon-strip polarimetry may remain viable only with reduced dwell time, sufficient detector acceptance, and suppression of RF-induced end heating. For cooled-emittance 3 He, the calculated sublimation-loss scale is far beyond a straightforward RHIC-like carbon-strip extrapolation. Conventional carbon strips are therefore unlikely to remain viable for the most demanding EIC light-ion cases without major changes in target motion, target technology, or diagnostic concept.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Event Selections in the NOvA 2024 Analysis

The NuMI Off-axis $\nu_e$ Experiment (NOvA) is a long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment that studies a neutrino beam produced by the Neutrinos at the Main Injector (NuMI) facility at Fermilab to constrain the PNFS mixing angles, the neutrino mass hierarchy, and the CP-violating phase $\delta_{CP}$. These parameters are extracted by comparing the spectra of muon neutrinos and electron neutrinos measured at the near and far detectors, using an extrapolation of the Near Detector spectra. Accurate event selection is critical to this process, as only interactions with well-reconstructed energies and interaction types should be included in the oscillation analysis to reduce systematic uncertainties. In this work, we describe the selection criteria used for muon and electron neutrinos in the Near and Far Detector. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the criteria by examining the efficiency and purity of the event selections as well as their impact on key variables used in the oscillation analysis.

Chen, Hanyi [Indiana U.]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Purpose, Design, and Analysis of the NSTX-U Centerstack Casing Lateral Support Shims

The National Spherical Torus Experiment Upgrade (NSTX-U) centerstack casing surrounds the central magnet core of NSTXU. It provides the inner vacuum boundary of the plasma chamber and supports the radially inboard plasma facing components lining the plasma chamber. The casing is supported like a cantilever, fixed at the lower flange by a connection to the TF Bundle through a G-10 ring. It is flexibly supported at the top by bellows, and insulated shims intended to react the largest part of the inventory of the disruption loads at the upper support, thereby protecting the upper and lower connections from excessive loads. A large part of the qualification of the casing and tiles requires addressing and quantifying disruption loads. These have been estimated based on extensions of the behavior of NSTX during its run period roughly 15 years ago. Structural qualification of the Upgrade used these estimates of the loading as input to calculations to demonstrate adequacy for a “most probable” disruption. The estimates are included in a requirements document to guide conservative design of all components loaded by disruptions. However, the changes made for the upgrade made the extrapolation of disruption behavior uncertain. Disruptions include axisymmetric loading from axisymmetric currents induced in the vessel shells. In addition, more complex currents called Halo currents are a result of plasma poloidal currents impinging on the casing. The halo currents add another layer of uncertain behavior and net lateral loading to the casing. As a result, NSTX-U is equipped with a number of instruments intended to assess the nature and severity of disruptions. The casing shims are required for lateral support of the casing, but these have also been converted to load cells to provide another measure of the magnitude of symmetric and asymmetric loading. Some of the logic in the development of the requirements document are presented. Electromagnetic analysis of axisymmetric and halo loading is described. Global simulations of the casing transient dynamic response, and local analysis and testing of the shim/load cell are included. The shim load cells and other instrumentation will be an important guide in planning NSTX-U experiments beyond its next run period expected in late 2026 or early 2027.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Role of Neutrals Versus Transport in Determining the Pedestal Density Structure: Final Technical Report

In fusion devices the plasma density plays a crucial role in determining the fusion reaction rate and has a direct impact on the fusion gain of a given device. This density is in general regulated by the particle sources and transport near the plasma edge, which give rise to an edge density pedestal. When predicting the performance of future devices, this density pedestal is often prescribed, rather than predicted, due to a lack of models which allow confident extrapolation. This project aims to advance these models through the focused validation of theoretical models related to the transport of fueling neutral particles, and through interpretive transport modeling in present day fusion plasmas, in which the penetration of neutrals is altered to better simulate future reactor-like conditions. Achievements in theory and model validation under this project have advanced our understanding of how much of the edge density profile is set by transport versus direct ionization, enabling interesting projections to future burning plasma devices.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Radiolytic Gas Generation and Pressure Buildup in a Closed System Containing Mo-99 Solution

This study measured radiolytic gas generation and pressure buildup in a sealed stainless-steel system containing alkaline Mo-99 solution with added sodium nitrate as a hydrogen suppressant. In each of two experiments, approximately 200 Ci of Mo-99 solution was transferred into a closed experimental vessel inside a hot cell, isolated, and monitored for pressure rise caused by gas generation during radioactive decay. After pressure buildup, headspace gas samples were collected and analyzed by mass spectrometry to determine hydrogen and oxygen concentrations. The purpose was to quantify the magnitude of pressure buildup in a closed system and to characterize the gas composition produced by radiolysis of the Mo-99 target solution under representative handling and storage conditions. The two experiments used similar total Mo-99 activity but differed in solution volume, headspace volume, and leak integrity. In the first experiment, 197.5 Ci of Mo-99 in 16.92 mL of solution was loaded into a vessel with a 31.1-mL headspace; a small leak was later identified, and the measured peak pressure of 46 psig was extrapolated to about 70 psig in the absence of leakage. The headspace gas from this experiment contained about 21.4% H2 and 63.4% O2, but the composition was influenced by preferential hydrogen loss through the leak. In the second experiment, 193 Ci of Mo-99 in 5.41 mL of solution with 0.46 g NaNO3 was loaded into a vessel with a larger 42.61 mL headspace, and no detectable leak was observed. This experiment reached a peak pressure of 38 psig, and the measured gas composition was approximately 28.2% H2 and 51.5% O2. Because the second experiment was leak-free, it is considered the more reliable indicator of the true pressure buildup and intrinsic radiolytic gas composition of the Mo-99 solution.

Chemerisov, Sergey D.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Efficiently improving the performance of noisy quantum computers

Using near-term quantum computers to achieve a quantum advantage requires efficient strategies to improve the performance of the noisy quantum devices presently available. We develop and experimentally validate two efficient error mitigation protocols named "Noiseless Output Extrapolation" and "Pauli Error Cancellation" that can drastically enhance the performance of quantum circuits composed of noisy cycles of gates. By combining popular mitigation strategies such as probabilistic error cancellation and noise amplification with efficient noise reconstruction methods, our protocols can mitigate a wide range of noise processes that do not satisfy the assumptions underlying existing mitigation protocols, including non-local and gate-dependent processes. We test our protocols on a four-qubit superconducting processor at the Advanced Quantum Testbed. We observe significant improvements in the performance of both structured and random circuits, with up to 86 % improvement in variation distance over the unmitigated outputs. Our experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our protocols, as well as their practicality for current hardware platforms.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Approximate Quantum Codes From Long Wormholes

We discuss families of approximate quantum error correcting codes which arise as the nearly-degenerate ground states of certain quantum many-body Hamiltonians composed of non-commuting terms. For exact codes, the conditions for error correction can be formulated in terms of the vanishing of a two-sided mutual information in a low-temperature thermofield double state. We consider a notion of distance for approximate codes obtained by demanding that this mutual information instead be small, and we evaluate this mutual information for the SYK model and for a family of low-rank SYK models. After an extrapolation to nearly zero temperature, we find that both kinds of models produce fermionic codes with constant rate as the number, N , of fermions goes to infinity. For SYK, the distance scales as N 1 / 2 , and for low-rank SYK, the distance can be arbitrarily close to linear scaling, e.g. N .99 , while maintaining a constant rate. We also consider an analog of the no low-energy trivial states property which we dub the no low-energy adiabatically accessible states property and show that these models do have low-energy states that can be prepared adiabatically in a time that does not scale with system size N . We discuss a holographic model of these codes in which the large code distance is a consequence of the emergence of a long wormhole geometry in a simple model of quantum gravity.

Physics↗

DOE OSTI2024

Perfectly Matched Layers and Characteristic Boundaries in Lattice Boltzmann: Accuracy vs Cost

Artificial boundary conditions (BCs) play a ubiquitous role in numerical simulations of transport phenomena in several diverse fields, such as fluid dynamics, electromagnetism, acoustics, geophysics, and many more. They are essential for accurately capturing the behavior of physical systems whenever the simulation domain is truncated for computational efficiency purposes. Ideally, an artificial BC would allow relevant information to enter or leave the computational domain without introducing artifacts or unphysical effects. Boundary conditions designed to control spurious wave reflections are referred to as nonreflective boundary conditions (NRBCs). Another approach is given by the perfectly matched layers (PMLs), in which the computational domain is extended with multiple dampening layers, where outgoing waves are absorbed exponentially in time. Here, in this work, the definition of PML is revised in the context of the lattice Boltzmann method. The impact of adopting different types of BCs at the edge of the dampening zone is evaluated and compared, in terms of both accuracy and computational costs. It is shown that for sufficiently large buffer zones, PMLs allow stable and accurate simulations even when using a simple zeroth-order extrapolation BC. Moreover, employing PMLs in combination with NRBCs potentially offers significant gains in accuracy at a modest computational overhead, provided the parameters of the BC are properly tuned to match the properties of the underlying fluid flow.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

The Fluid Dynamics Uncertainty Quantification Challenge Problem: XFOIL vs. MFOIL

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has become more critical in aerospace engineering due to the growing dependence on computational tools for design optimization and performance analyses of aerospace vehicles. Even though the significance of UQ in assessing the credibility of computational analyses is well recognized, its costs and complexity impede its integration into standard practices, particularly in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) and other fluid analyses. This paper presents a UQ study for low-fidelity computational aerodynamics analyses with XFOIL and mfoil (i.e., the MATLAB version of XFOIL with several implementation modifications); these tools are utilized widely in both research and education. The main contributions of this paper are as follows: 1) improved precision in quantifying the uncertainty of the baseline Monte Carlo results used to benchmark surrogate modeling techniques for UQ, 2) quantification of the effect of the implementation differences between XFOIL and mfoil on solution quantities of interest (QoIs), such as lift and pitching moment coefficients, and 3) development of an open-source UQ library for use with XFOIL and mfoil, which has educational values and helps promote UQ for fluid analyses with aerospace applications. Results and discussions revolve around cases 1-4 of the challenge problem posed by the AIAA Fluid Dynamics Technical Committee’s Uncertainty Quantification Discussion Group (UQDG). In case 3, this work employs CFDverify, an open-source solution verification software, to quantify the discretization error and evaluate the extrapolated QoIs based on the grid convergence index (GCI). This UQ study differentiates itself from previous studies in the rigor of handling baseline Monte Carlo uncertainty and in including mfoil, which is a more accessible alternative to XFOIL. Finally, despite the growing computing power, low-fidelity computational tools remain valuable, such as for aerodynamic shape optimization at Mach numbers below 0.65 and low-to-mid Reynolds numbers.

Lay, Aidan S [University of Tennessee, Knoxville (↗

DOE OSTI2025

The transformative capability of quantum-accurate machine learning interatomic potentials

Many materials’ properties and phase boundaries are generally not well known under extreme pressure and temperature conditions. Here, this is a consequence of the scarcity of experimental information and the difficulty of extrapolating approximations to the atomic interactions in such conditions. Nguyen-Cong and colleagues, in their publication (J.Phys.Chem.Lett. 15, 1152 (2024)) [1], achieved an impressive result using a SNAP (Spectral Neighbor Analysis Potential), an interatomic potential for carbon obtained by machine learning techniques. In a way, their contribution closes a full circle of research that spanned more than three decades.

Tedesco, Alfredo Correa [Lawrence Livermore Nation↗

DOE OSTI2024

Post-Deployment Characterization of Glass Fiber-Reinforced Thermoset and Thermoplastic Composite Tidal Turbine Blades

In 2021, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) supported Verdant Power with the most successful tidal energy deployment in U.S. history. Three of their Gen5d 5 m turbines were deployed as part of the Roosevelt Island Tidal Energy project. Initially, the three rotors initially deployed were manufactured from glass fiber-reinforced epoxy composites. Midway through the deployment, one rotor was replaced with one manufactured at NREL. The new rotor utilized a novel infusible thermoplastic resin system. Since the deployment, one epoxy rotor and one thermoplastic rotor were returned to NREL for continued materials and manufacturing research. The two rotors underwent full-scale structural testing before being sectioned and cut into specimens for a variety of manufacturing quality tests, thermomechanical characterization, and evaluation of material performance in marine environments to understand the key differences between the fiberglass-reinforced epoxy and Elium composites used for the respective rotors. Matrix burn-off tests showed that the Elium blades had a considerably higher fiber volume fraction compared to the epoxy blades (61% vs. 49%). Environmental aging of the specimens showed that the epoxy laminates absorbed more water over the conditioning period; however, it was determined that the Elium laminates had higher diffusion coefficients, so they initially absorbed water faster. Finally, one full epoxy blade and one full Elium blade were conditioned at ambient temperatures for up to 11 months, while periodic mass measurements were taken. The datasets were extrapolated to assume a full 20-year operational life span, and it was determined that the blades would not reach full saturation during that time span.

composite manufacturing↗

DOE OSTI2025

Single-qubit multi-party transmission using universal symmetric quantum cloning

This study considers the hypothetical quantum network case where Alice wishes to transmit one qubit of information (specifically a pure quantum state) to M parties, where M is some large number. The remote receivers locally perform single-qubit quantum state tomography on the transmitted qubits in order to compute the quantum state within some error rate (dependent on the tomography technique and the number of transmitted qubits). We show that with the use of an intermediate optimal symmetric universal quantum cloning machine (between Alice and the remote receivers) as a repeater-type node in a hypothetical quantum network, Alice can send significantly fewer qubits compared to direct transmission of the message qubits to each of the M remote receivers. This is possible due to two properties of quantum cloning. The first is that single qubit quantum clones retain the same Bloch angle as the initial quantum state. This means that if the mixed state of the quantum clone can be computed to high enough accuracy, the original pure quantum state can be inferred by extrapolating that vector to the surface of the Bloch sphere. The second property is that the state overlap of approximate quantum clones, with respect to the original pure quantum state, quickly converges (specifically for 1 → M , the limit of the fidelity as M goes to infinity is $\frac{2}{3}$). This means that Alice can prepare a constant number of qubits (which are then passed through the quantum cloning machine) in order to achieve a desired error rate if M is large enough. Combined, these two properties mean that for a large M , Alice can prepare many orders of magnitude fewer qubits in order to achieve the same single qubit transmission accuracy compared to the naive direct qubit transmission approach.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Review of Offshore Methane Quantification Methodologies

Since pre-industrial times, anthropogenic methane emissions have increased and are partly responsible for a changing global climate. Natural gas and oil extraction activities are one significant source of anthropogenic methane. While methods have been developed and refined to quantify onshore methane emissions, the ability of methods to directly quantify emissions from offshore production facilities remains largely unknown. Here, we review recent studies that have directly measured emissions from offshore production facilities and critically evaluate the suitability of these measurement strategies for emission quantification in a marine environment. The average methane emissions from production platforms measured using downwind dispersion methods were 32 kg h−1 from 188 platforms; 118 kg h−1 from 104 platforms using mass balance methods; 284 kg h−1 from 151 platforms using aircraft remote sensing; and 19,088 kg h−1 from 10 platforms using satellite remote sensing. Upon review of the methods, we suggest the unusually large emissions, or zero emissions observed could be caused by the effects of a decoupling of the marine boundary layer (MBL). Decoupling can happen when the MBL becomes too deep or when there is cloud cover and results in a stratified MBL with air layers of different depths moving at different speeds. Decoupling could cause: some aircraft remote sensing observations to be biased high (lower wind speed at the height of the plume); the mass balance measurements to be biased high (narrow plume being extrapolated too far vertically) or low (transects miss the plume); and the downwind dispersion measurements much lower than the other methods or zero (plume lofting in a decoupled section of the boundary layer). To date, there has been little research on the marine boundary layer, and guidance on when decoupling happens is not currently available. We suggest an offshore controlled release program could provide a better understanding of these results by explaining how and when stratification happens in the MBL and how this affects quantification methodologies.

Riddick, Stuart N. (ORCID:0000000316841843)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Benefits and Challenges of California Offshore Wind Electricity: An Updated Assessment

Offshore wind (OSW) technology has recently been included in California’s plans to achieve 100% carbon-free electricity by 2045. As an emerging technology, many features of OSW are changing more rapidly than established renewable options and are shaped by local circumstances in unique ways that limit transferrable experiences globally. This paper fills a gap in the literature by providing an updated technological assessment of OSW in California to determine its viability and competitiveness in the state’s electricity generation mix to achieve its near-term energy and environmental goals. Through a critical synthesis and extrapolation of technical, social, and economic analyses, we identify several major improvements in its potential. First, we note that while estimates of OSW’s costs per MWh of installed capacity have generally documented and projected a long-term decline, recent technical, microeconomic, and macroeconomic factors have caused significant backsliding of this momentum. Second, we project that the potential dollar value benefits of OSW’s greenhouse gas reduction capabilities have increased by one to two orders of magnitude, primarily due to major upward revisions of the social cost of carbon. Several co-benefits, including enhanced reliability, economic growth, and environmental justice, look to be increasingly promising due to a combination of technological advances and policy initiatives. Despite these advancements, OSW continues to face several engineering and broader challenges. We assess the current status of these challenges, as well as current and future strategies to address them. We conclude that OSW is now overall an even more attractive electricity-generating option than at the beginning of this decade.

Rose, Adam (ORCID:0000000333477684)↗