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At least 757 records · Page 42

The atmospheric effect of aerosols on future tropical cyclone frequency and precipitation in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model

This study uses experiments from the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) to compare the influence on tropical cyclone (TC) activity of: (i) the atmospheric effect of aerosols under specified sea-surface temperatures (SSTs); and (ii) the net effect of greenhouse gases (GhGs) (including changes in SSTs). The experiments were performed using the CMIP6 Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP5-8.5 emissions scenario with GhG-induced SST warming specified and atmospheric aerosol effects simulated but without explicit ocean coupling. Insignificant changes in global TC frequency are found in response to the atmospheric effect of future aerosols and GhGs, as significant regional responses in TC frequency counteract each other. Future GhGs contribute to more frequent TCs in the North Atlantic, and reductions over the Northwestern Pacific and Southern Indian Ocean. The atmospheric effect of future aerosols drives more frequent TCs over the Northwestern Pacific and reductions over the Northeast Pacific and North Atlantic. Along with increases in TC intensity, global TC precipitation (TCP) is projected to increase by 52.8% (14.1%/K) due to the combined effect of future aerosols and GhGs. Although both forcings contribute to TCP increases (14.7–19.3% from reduced aerosols alone and 28.1–33.3% from increased GhGs alone), they lead to different responses in the spatial structure of TCP. TCP increases preferentially in the inner-core due to increased GhGs, whereas TCP decreases in the inner-core and increases in the outer-bands in response to the atmospheric effects of decreased aerosols. These changes are distinct from those caused by aerosol-induced SST changes, which have been considered in other studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Beam–beam effects and mitigation in a future proton–proton collider

The beam–beam effects in a hadron collider with an unprecedented energy scale were studied. These effects are strongly related to the attainable luminosity of the collider. Long-range interactions were identified as the major factor limiting the dynamic aperture, which is strongly dependent on the crossing angle, β*, and bunch population. Different mitigation methods of the beam–beam effects were addressed, with a focus on the compensation of long-range interactions by electric current wires. The CEPC-SPPC project is a two-stage large circular collider, with a first-stage circular electron–positron collider (CEPC) and a second-stage super proton–proton collider (SPPC). The design of the SPPC aims to achieve a center-of-mass energy of 75 TeV and peak luminosity of approximately 1 × 10$^{35}$ cm$^{-2}$ s$^{-1}$. We studied the beam–beam effects in the SPPC and tested the effectiveness of the mitigation methods. We found that with compensation using electric current wires, the dynamic aperture is at an acceptable level. Moreover, considering the significant emittance damping in this future proton–proton collider, the beam–beam effects and compensation are more complicated and are studied using long-term tracking. It was found that with a smaller emittance, the head-on interactions with a crossing angle become more prominent in reducing the beam stability, and combined head-on and long-range compensation is needed to improve the beam quality. When the reduction in population owing to burn-off was included, it was found that the coupling between the transverse and longitudinal planes at smaller emittance is the main driving source of the instabilities. Thus, crab cavities and emittance control are also necessary than just the compensation of the long-range interactions to improve the beam stability. This study serves as an example for studying the beam–beam effects in future proton–proton colliders.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Phase-field simulation of domain size effect on dielectric and piezoelectric responses in K 0.5 Na 0.5 NbO 3 epitaxial thin films with superdomain structures

Size effects of mesoscale ferroelectric domains on the macroscopic dielectric and piezoelectric responses in domain-engineered bulk piezocrystals have been extensively studied for more than two decades. However, less is known about the domain size effects in ferroelectric epitaxial thin films, especially for films consisting of low-symmetry ferroelectric phases and exhibits hierarchical superdomain structures. Herein, using phase-field simulations, we systemically evaluate the effective out-of-plane dielectric and piezoelectric coefficients, κ$^{*}_{33}$ and d$^{*}_{33}$, as a function of the domain periods for two types of superdomain structures in ferroelectric K 0.5 Na 0.5 NbO 3 epitaxial thin films. In one type of the superdomain structures, we find that more than 70% increase of κ$^{*}_{33}$ and nearly 20% increase of d$^{*}_{33}$ can be achieved by tuning the domain period by a few tens of nanometers. Dissimilar behaviors are found when the domain period varies along different lateral directions, suggesting anisotropic domain size effects in thin films. By analyzing the local dielectric and piezoelectric responses from each domain variants and domain walls, we reveal that the domain size effect is governed by the variation of out-of-plane polarization inside the domains. Moreover, we also demonstrate enhanced domain size effects by modulating the misfit strains and temperature to approach the polymorphic phase boundaries, suggesting tunability of the size effect by doping and strain engineering. Furthermore, our results reveal multimodal domain size dependence of dielectric and piezoelectric responses in low-symmetry ferroelectric epitaxial thin films, implying that domain size engineering can be used to tune macroscopic properties of thin-film ferroelectrics, similar to their bulk counterparts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Passive and active peer effects in the spatial diffusion of residential solar panels: A case study of the Las Vegas Valley

This research analyzes the role of peer influences on the adoption of residential rooftop solar photovoltaic panels (PV) within the context of the Diffusion of Innovation Theory. PV literature indicates that adopters are influenced by word of mouth (WOM) information exchange with peers, i.e., active peer effects, while other studies suggest that living near households with visible rooftop PV installations influences adoption, i.e., passive peer effects. We bridge the gap in this literature by conducting a mixed methods analysis. We develop and administer a survey to Las Vegas Valley (LVV) residents to identify current and potential PV adopters' perceptions of peer-effects and consumer intention variables. We conduct a spatial analysis of Google's Project Sunroof data to identify LVV neighborhoods in the later stages of the PV diffusion process, i.e., those with the highest PV adoption rates. Key results show that current PV adopters living in early diffusion areas report significantly higher active and passive peer effects compared to adopters in later diffusion areas. Potential adopters in later diffusion areas report higher passive peer effects than those in early diffusion areas. Overall, because LVV has a low PV adoption rate (<3%), short term strategies aimed at increasing PV adoption should emphasize WOM active peer effects. Here, we caution against long-term green marketing strategies focusing solely on peer-effects as the PV market matures.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Strategies to mitigate urban heat: Effects on overheating and cloud formation

This study evaluates the effectiveness of various urban heat island (UHI) overheating mitigation strategies and their associated impacts on urban cloud dynamics and thermal processes. This study shows cloud-resolving and urban-resolving modeling results estimating the impact of Houston-Galveston heat mitigation scenarios and other resilient strategies contemplated in the Climate Adaptation Plan and Resilient Houston reports. The simulated scenarios include high intensity green rooftops, rooftop photovoltaic solar panels, enhanced urban irrigation, white/cool roofs and roads, and street trees. We contrast the adaptation scenarios against a present baseline case, a no city scenario and a larger and denser city as projected by the Houston-Galveston Area Council for 2045. During the daytime, cooling strategies such as cool roofs, cool roads, and green roofs exhibit superior performance in mitigating urban overheating. At night, enhanced urban irrigation emerges as the most effective cooling intervention. Cooling strategies significantly reduce sensible heat flux partitioning during the day, a process that reduces the uplift of air, suppressing the formation of urban shallow cumulus clouds. The extent of urban cloud mixing ratio is reduced in proportion to the decrease in sensible heating. Under the BEP-Tree scenario, which includes wind effects and evapotranspiration driven by a stomatal conductance model, urban trees demonstrated negligible environmental cooling effects and minimal urban cloud modifications. In contrast, the scenarios with more urban cooling and higher latent heat fluxes led to suppressed urban clouds. The net cooling effect achieved by the heat mitigation strategies is influenced by a combination of indirect processes, including the reduction of downwelling longwave radiation flux, due to reduced cloud presence, while some warming is attributed to a modest increase in shortwave radiation that offsets the cooling benefit. Additionally, reduced heat dissipation, weakened thermal gradients, and diminished vertical mixing over urban areas further moderate the cooling potential. These findings highlight the pivotal role of clouds and moist atmospheric processes in shaping the UHI effect and offer insights for designing more effective urban cooling strategies.

albedo changes↗

Concurrence of quantum anomalous Hall and topological Hall effects in magnetic topological insulator sandwich heterostructures

The quantum anomalous Hall (QAH) effect is a consequence of non-zero Berry curvature in momentum space. The QAH insulator harbours dissipation-free chiral edge states in the absence of an external magnetic field. Yet, the topological Hall (TH) effect, a hallmark of chiral spin textures, is a consequence of real-space Berry curvature. Herein, by inserting a topological insulator (TI) layer between two magnetic TI layers, we realized the concurrence of the TH effect and the QAH effect through electric-field gating. The TH effect is probed by bulk carriers, whereas the QAH effect is characterized by chiral edge states. The appearance of the TH effect in the QAH insulating regime is a consequence of chiral magnetic domain walls that result from the gate-induced Dzyaloshinskii–Moriya interaction and occurs during the magnetization reversal process in the magnetic TI sandwich samples. The coexistence of chiral edge states and chiral spin textures provides a platform for proof-of-concept dis- sipationless spin-textured spintronic applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The superconducting diode effect in Josephson junctions fabricated from a structurally chiral superconductor

The superconducting diode effect occurs in superconducting materials in which both time-reversal and inversion symmetry are broken. The recently observed chirality-induced spin selectivity effect demonstrates that chiral materials break both symmetries. Thus, a Josephson junction interface with the left-handed structure on one side of the junction and the right-handed structure on the other should exhibit a diode effect. Here, we report the electrical transport properties of right-handed/left-handed and right-handed/right-handed devices fabricated from single crystals of the structurally chiral superconductor Mo 3 Al 2 C. Fraunhofer-like magnetic diffraction patterns confirm the presence of the Josephson effect in all but one of our devices. A magnetic-field-induced superconducting diode effect is demonstrated in the right-handed/left-handed devices by a statistically significant difference in I c + and ∣ I c −∣, with a maximum asymmetry of 5%. The intrinsic superconducting diode effect is not observed in the right-handed/right-handed devices. We provide an explanation for the presence of the superconducting diode effect in the right-handed/left-handed devices.

superconducting devices↗

Suppressing proximity effects during rapid serial two-photon lithography through tuning of reaction–diffusion kinetics

The ability of two-photon lithography (TPL) to print deterministic nanoporous 3D structures is highly valuable for many applications. However, it is challenging to print such structures rapidly due to the proximity effects that cause closely spaced features to enlarge and merge. A key challenge is the limited understanding of the origins and spatiotemporal dynamics of the long-range proximity effects that extend beyond the optical focal spot. Here, we empirically investigate these proximity effects in serial TPL using custom-made acrylate-based photoresists. We demonstrate that the complex spatiotemporal dynamics of the proximity effects can be explained through the kinetics of the reaction–diffusion photopolymerization mechanisms that underlie the curing process. Specifically, we show that the proximity effects arise due to comparable timescales of reaction and diffusion of oxygen. Furthermore, we demonstrate that long-range proximity effects can be suppressed by introducing phenolic inhibitors, which reduce oxygen consumption through non-inhibiting side reactions and promote faster termination of curing reactions. These insights enabled improving the linewidths from >400 to 260 nm during printing of nanoporous 3D woodpiles at scanning speeds of 50 mm s −1 . Thus, the knowledge generated here can be applied to deterministically tune the proximity effects and enable rapid printing of high-resolution nanoporous 3D structures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Implications of a two-fluid heat diffusion model for RF condensation effects in magnetic islands

Theoretical calculations have predicted an “RF condensation” effect through which the temperature perturbation and current drive may be nonlinearly enhanced in electron cyclotron (EC) heated magnetic islands. Previously, two-fluid effects had been neglected in the OCCAMI code used to model RF condensation. For realistic experimental conditions, we show that two-fluid effects in an EC heated plasma may have a major impact on RF condensation. Less collisional plasmas, where electron and ion temperatures are decoupled, exhibit an enhanced linear temperature perturbation in the island, and an even stronger nonlinear enhancement of the perturbed temperature. This can occur even when nonlinear effects are small in the single-fluid limit. We also calculate corresponding hysteresis effects. Finally, we demonstrate that other physical effects, including the rotation of the magnetic island and the Gaussian spread of the beam from a gyrotron, can significantly decrease the predicted observable RF condensation effect.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Anisotropic effective redshift and evolving clustering amplitude

A typical galaxy survey geometry results in galaxy pairs of different separation and angle to the line-of-sight having different distributions in redshift and consequently a different effective redshift. However, clustering measurements are analysed assuming that the clustering is representative of that at a single effective redshift. Here, we investigate the impact of variations in the galaxy-pair effective redshift on the large-scale clustering measured in galaxy surveys. We find that galaxy surveys spanning a large redshift range have different effective redshifts as a function of both pair separation and angle. Furthermore, when considering tracers whose clustering amplitude evolves strongly with redshift, this combination can result in an additional scale-dependent clustering anisotropy. We demonstrate the size of this effect on the eBOSS DR16 Quasar sample and show that, while the impact on monopole is negligible, neglecting this effect can result in a tilt of ~ 4% and ~40% in quadrupole and hexadecapole, respectively, on scales ~1 h -1 Gpc. We discuss strategies to mitigate this effect when making

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Brighter-fatter Effect in Near-infrared Detectors—III. Fourier-domain Treatment of Flat Field Correlations and Application to WFIRST

Weak gravitational lensing has emerged as a leading probe of the growth of cosmic structure. However, the shear signal is very small and accurate measurement depends critically on our ability to understand how non-ideal instrumental effects affect astronomical images. The Wide-Field Infrared Survey Telescope (WFIRST) will fly a focal plane containing 18 Teledyne H4RG-10 near-infrared detector arrays, which present different instrument calibration challenges from previous weak lensing observations. Previous work [Paper I: Hirata & Choi, PASP, 132, 014501 (2020); and Paper II: Choi & Hirata, PASP, 132, 014502 (2020)] has shown that correlation functions of flat field images, including cross-correlations between different time slices that are enabled by the non-destructive read capability of the infrared detectors, are effective tools for disentangling linear and nonlinear inter-pixel capacitance (IPC) and the brighter-fatter effect (BFE). Here we present a Fourier-domain treatment of the flat field correlations, which allows us to expand the previous formalism to all orders in IPC, BFE, and classical nonlinearity. We show that biases in simulated flat field analyses in Paper I are greatly reduced through the use of this formalism. We then apply this updated formalism to flat field data from three WFIRST flight candidate detectors, and explore the robustness to variations in the analysis. We find that the BFE is present in all three detectors, and that its contribution to the flat field correlations dominates over the nonlinear IPC, in accordance with the results from Paper II on a development detector. The magnitude of the BFE is such that the effective area of a pixel is increased by (3.54 ± 0.03) × 10 -7 for every electron deposited in a neighboring pixel (sensor chip assembly [SCA] 20829, statistical error, not IPC-deconvolved). We compare IPC maps from flat field autocorrelation measurements to those obtained from the single pixel reset method and find a median difference of 0.113% for SCA 20829. After further diagnosis of this difference, we ascribe it largely to an additional source of cross-talk, the vertical trailing pixel effect, and recommend further work to develop a model for this effect. These results represent a significant step toward calibration of the non-ideal effects in WFIRST detectors.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Spectroscopic quantification of projection effects in the SDSS redMaPPer galaxy cluster catalogue

ABSTRACT Projection effects, whereby galaxies along the line of sight to a galaxy cluster are mistakenly associated with the cluster halo, present a significant challenge for optical cluster cosmology. We use statistically representative spectral coverage of luminous galaxies to investigate how projection effects impact the low-redshift limit of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) redMaPPer galaxy cluster catalogue. Spectroscopic redshifts enable us to differentiate true cluster members from false positives and determine the fraction of candidate cluster members viewed in projection. Our main results can be summarized as follows: first, we show that a simple double-Gaussian model can be used to describe the distribution of line-of-sight velocities in the redMaPPer sample; secondly, the incidence of projection effects is substantial, accounting for ∼16 per cent of the weighted richness for the lowest richness objects; thirdly, projection effects are a strong function of richness, with the contribution in the highest richness bin being several times smaller than for low-richness objects; fourthly, our measurement has a similar amplitude to state-of-the-art models, but finds a steeper dependence of projection effects on richness than these models; and fifthly, the slope of the observed velocity dispersion–richness relation, corrected for projection effects, implies an approximately linear relationship between the true, three-dimensional halo mass and three-dimensional richness. Our results provide a robust, empirical description of the impact of projection effects on the SDSS redMaPPer cluster sample and exemplify the synergies between optical imaging and spectroscopic data for studies of galaxy cluster astrophysics and cosmology.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Combining Machine Learning and Comparative Effectiveness Methodology to Study Primary Care Pharmacotherapy Pathways for Veterans With Depression

Our objective is to demonstrate an innovative method combining machine learning with comparative effectiveness research techniques and to investigate a hitherto unstudied question about the effectiveness of common prescribing patterns. For Operation Enduring Freedom/Operation Iraqi Freedom veterans with major depressive disorder, we generate pharmacotherapy pathways (of antidepressants) using process mining and machine learning. We select the medication episodes that were started at subtherapeutic doses by the first assigned primary care physician and observe the paths that those medication episodes follow. Using 2-stage least squares, we test the effectiveness of starting at a low dose and staying low for longer versus ramping up fast while balancing observable and unobservable characteristics of patients and providers through instrumental variables. We leverage predetermined provider practice patterns as instruments. We collected outpatient pharmacy data for selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and selective norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors, patient and provider characteristics (as control variables), and the instruments for our cohort. All data were extracted for the period between 2006 and 2020. There is a statistically significant positive effect (0.68, 95% CI 0.11–1.25) of “ramping up fast” on engagement in care. When we examine the effect of “ramping up slow”, we see an insignificant negative impact on engagement in care (−0.82, 95% CI −1.89 to 0.25). As expected, the probability of drop-out also seems to have a negative effect on engagement in care (−0.39, 95% CI −0.94 to 0.17). We further validate these results by testing with medication possession ratios calculated periodically as an alternative engagement in care metric. Our findings contradict the “Start low, go slow” adage, indicating that ramping up the dose of an antidepressant faster has a significantly positive effect on engagement in care for our population.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Memristive Effects in Nanopatterned Permalloy Kagomé Array

Here, we study memristive effects in kagomé nanopatterned permalloy. We observe that at low frequencies a thermistor effect is present, a phenomenon arising due to the lithography and absent in similar experiments for thin films. However, we also show via an independent anisotropic magnetoresistive study that a small hysteresis accounting for 1% of the effect is not attributable to a thermistive effect. Such an effect is also confirmed by a careful subtraction scheme between nearby thermal hysteresis. In the millihertz regime, an effective model is provided to describe the experimental results for the thermistor, showing that there should be a crossover from the millihertz to the gigahertz, from a thermistor to a memristive effect for nanopatterned permalloy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Vortical effects in chiral band structures

The chiral vortical effect is a chiral anomaly-induced transport phenomenon characterized by an axial current in a uniformly rotating chiral fluid. It is well understood for Weyl fermions in high energy physics, but its realization in condensed matter band structures, including those of Weyl semimetals, has been controversial. In this work, we develop the Kubo response theory for electrons in a general band structure subject to space- and time-dependent rotation or vorticity relative to the background lattice. For continuum Hamiltonians, we recover the chiral vortical effect in the static limit and the transport or uniform limit when the fluid, strictly, is not a Fermi liquid. In the transport limit of a Fermi liquid, we describe an effect that we dub the gyrotropic vortical effect. The latter is governed by Berry curvature of the occupied bands while the former contains an additional contribution from the magnetic moment of electrons on the Fermi surface. The two vortical effects can be understood as kinematic analogs of the well-known chiral and gyrotropic magnetic effects in chiral band structures. As a result, we address recent controversies in the field and conclude by describing device geometries that exploit Ohmic or Seebeck transport to drive the vortical effects.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Examining the EMC effect using the ${F}_{2}^{n}$ neutron structure function

The persistently mysterious deviations from unity of the ratio of nuclear target structure functions to those of deuterium as measured in deep inelastic scattering (often termed the “EMC effect”) have become the canonical observable for studies of nuclear medium modifications to free nucleon structure in the valence regime. The structure function of the free proton is well known from numerous experiments spanning decades. The free neutron structure function, however, has remained difficult to access. Recently it has been extracted in a systematic study of the global data within a parton distribution function extraction framework and is available from the CTEQ–Jefferson Lab (CJ) Collaboration. Here, we leverage the latter to introduce a new method to study the EMC effect in nuclei by reexamining existing data in light of the the magnitude of the medium modifications to the free neutron and proton structure functions independently. From the extraction of the free neutron from world data, it is possible to examine the nuclear effects in deuterium and their contribution to our interpretation of the EMC effect. In this study, we observe that the ratio of the deuteron to the sum of the free neutron and proton structure functions has some x B and Q 2 dependencies that impact the magnitude of the EMC effect as typically observed. Specifically, different EMC slopes are obtained when data from different x B and Q 2 values are utilized. Furthermore, while a linear correlation persists between the EMC and short range correlation effects, the slope is modified when deuteron nuclear effects are removed.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Quantum simulations in effective model spaces: Hamiltonian-learning variational quantum eigensolver using digital quantum computers and application to the Lipkin-Meshkov-Glick model

Quantum simulations offer the potential to predict the structure and dynamics of nuclear many-body systems that are beyond the capabilities of classical computing. Generally, preparing the ground state of strongly-interacting many-body systems relevant to nuclear physics is however inefficient, even using ideal quantum computers. In addition, currently available NISQ-era quantum devices possess modest numbers of qubits, limiting the size of quantum many-body systems that can be simulated. In this context, a reformulation of the quantum many-body problems using truncated model spaces and Hamiltonians is desirable to make them more amenable to near-term quantum computers. The importance of symmetries in low-energy theories, including effective field theories (EFTs), lattice quantum chromodynamics (QCD), and effective model spaces for nuclear systems, in particular their interplay with the reduction of active Hilbert spaces, is well known. Lesser known is the fact that the non-commutivity of some symmetries and truncations of the model space can be profitably combined with variational calculations to rearrange the entanglement into localized structures and enable more efficient simulations. Here, the goal of the present study is to explore and utilize the non-commutivity of symmetries and model-space truncations of quantum many-body systems important to nuclear physics, particularly in combination with variational algorithms for quantum simulations and effective Hamiltonian learning. We introduce an iterative hybrid classical-quantum algorithm, Hamiltonian learning variational quantum eigensolver (HL-VQE), that simultaneously optimizes an effective Hamiltonian, thereby rearranging entanglement into the effective model space, and the associated ground-state wavefunction. Quantum simulations, using classical computers and IBM's superconducting-qubit quantum computers, are performed to demonstrate the HL-VQE algorithm, in the context of the Lipkin-Meshkov-Glick (LMG) model of interacting fermions, where the Hamiltonian transformation corresponds to an orbital rotation. We use a mapping where the number of qubits scales with the $\log$ of the size of the effective model space, rather than the particle number. HL-VQE is found to provide an exponential improvement in LMG-model calculations of the ground-state energy and wavefunction, compared to naive truncations without Hamiltonian learning, throughout a significant fraction of the Hilbert space. In the context of EFT, this corresponds to counterterms scaling exponentially with the cut-off as opposed to power law. Implementations on IBM's QExperience quantum computers and simulators for 1- and 2-qubit effective model spaces are shown to provide accurate and precise results, reproducing classical predictions. For a range of parameters defining the LMG model, the HL-VQE algorithm is found to have better scaling of quantum resources requirements than previously explored algorithms. In particular, the HL-VQE scales efficiently over a large fraction of the model space, in contrast to VQE alone. This work constitutes a step in the development of entanglement-driven quantum algorithms for descriptions of nuclear many-body systems. This, in part, leverages the potential of noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices. The exponential scaling of counterterms observed in this study suggests the possibility of more general applicability to other non-perturbative EFTs.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Existing evidence on the effects of climate variability and climate change on ungulates in North America: a systematic map

Abstract Background Climate is an important driver of ungulate life-histories, population dynamics, and migratory behaviors. Climate conditions can directly impact ungulates via changes in the costs of thermoregulation and locomotion, or indirectly, via changes in habitat and forage availability, predation, and species interactions. Many studies have documented the effects of climate variability and climate change on North America’s ungulates, recording impacts to population demographics, physiology, foraging behavior, migratory patterns, and more. However, ungulate responses are not uniform and vary by species and geography. Here, we present a systematic map describing the abundance and distribution of evidence on the effects of climate variability and climate change on native ungulates in North America. Methods We searched for all evidence documenting or projecting how climate variability and climate change affect the 15 ungulate species native to the U.S., Canada, Mexico, and Greenland. We searched Web of Science, Scopus, and the websites of 62 wildlife management agencies to identify relevant academic and grey literature. We screened English-language documents for inclusion at both the title and abstract and full-text levels. Data from all articles that passed full-text review were extracted and coded in a database. We identified knowledge clusters and gaps related to the species, locations, climate variables, and outcome variables measured in the literature. Review findings We identified a total of 674 relevant articles published from 1947 until September 2020. Caribou ( Rangifer tarandus ), elk ( Cervus canadensis ), and white-tailed deer ( Odocoileus virginianus ) were the most frequently studied species. Geographically, more research has been conducted in the western U.S. and western Canada, though a notable concentration of research is also located in the Great Lakes region. Nearly 75% more articles examined the effects of precipitation on ungulates compared to temperature, with variables related to snow being the most commonly measured climate variables. Most studies examined the effects of climate on ungulate population demographics, habitat and forage, and physiology and condition, with far fewer examining the effects on disturbances, migratory behavior, and seasonal range and corridor habitat. Conclusions The effects of climate change, and its interactions with stressors such as land-use change, predation, and disease, is of increasing concern to wildlife managers. With its broad scope, this systematic map can help ungulate managers identify relevant climate impacts and prepare for future changes to the populations they manage. Decisions regarding population control measures, supplemental feeding, translocation, and the application of habitat treatments are just some of the management decisions that can be informed by an improved understanding of climate impacts. This systematic map also identified several gaps in the literature that would benefit from additional research, including climate effects on ungulate migratory patterns, on species that are relatively understudied yet known to be sensitive to changes in climate, such as pronghorn ( Antilocapra americana ) and mountain goats ( Oreamnos americanus ), and on ungulates in the eastern U.S. and Mexico.

Malpeli, Katherine C. (ORCID:000000030780918X)↗