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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 757 records · Page 42

Energy Transition: Challenges and Opportunities for the Oil & Gas Industry

The energy sector has been experiencing a massive but gradual shift in recent years toward renewable and low-carbon energy sources. The future of fossil fuels lies in the ability of the industry to adapt to the market, environment, and social trends within the energy transition framework. In this chapter, we review the challenges that the oil and gas industry will be facing in the coming years. We then explore opportunities and growth areas that this transition provides to the industry. This chapter focuses on three areas of digitization and modernization, developing innovative low-carbon fuels, and harnessing underground and offshore facilities and expertise.

blockchain technology↗

Modeling Farmers’ Adoption Potential to New Bioenergy Crops: An Agent-Based Approach

The use of fossil fuels is the primary source of greenhouse gas emissions but there are alternatives to these especially in the form of biofuels, fuels derived from bioenergy crops. This paper aims to determine farmers’ potential adoption rates of newly introduced bioenergy crops with a specific example of carinata in the state of Georgia. The determination is done using an agent-based modeling technique with two principal assumptions—farmers are profit maximizer and they are influenced by neighboring farmers. Two diffusion parameters (traditional and expansion) are followed along with two willingness (high and low) scenarios to switch at varying production economics to carinata and other prominent traditional field crops (cotton, peanuts, corn) in the study region. We find that a contract prices around $9, $8 and $7 can be a viable option for encouraging farmers to adopt carinata in low, average, and high profit conditions, respectively. Expansion diffusion (that diffuses all over the geographical area), rather than centered to the few places like traditional diffusion at the early stage of adoption in conjunction with higher willingness conditions influences higher adoption rates in the short-term. As such, the model can be used to understand the behavioral economics of carinata in Georgia and beyond, as well as offering a potential tool to study similar bioenergy crops.

Ullah, Kazi↗

Isopropanol production with engineered Cupriavidus necator as bioproduction platform

Alleviating our society's dependence on petroleum-based chemicals has been highly emphasized due to fossil fuel shortages and increasing greenhouse gas emissions. Isopropanol is a molecule of high potential to replace some petroleum-based chemicals, which can be produced through biological platforms from renewable waste carbon streams such as carbohydrates, fatty acids, or CO2. In this study, for the first time, the heterologous expression of engineered isopropanol pathways were evaluated in a Cupriavidus necator strain Re2133, which was incapable of producing poly-3-hydroxybutyrate [P(3HB)]. These synthetic production pathways were rationally designed through codon optimization, gene placement, and gene dosage in order to efficiently divert carbon flow from P(3HB) precursors toward isopropanol. Among the constructed pathways, Re2133/pEG7c overexpressing native C. necator genes encoding a beta-ketothiolase, a CoA-transferase, and codon-optimized Clostridium genes encoding an acetoacetate decarboxylase and an alcohol dehydrogenase produced up to 3.44 g l(-1) isopropanol in batch culture, from fructose as a sole carbon source, with only 0.82 g l(-1) of biomass. The intrinsic performance of this strain (maximum specific production rate 0.093 g g(-1) h(-1), yield 0.32 Cmole Cmole(-1)) corresponded to more than 60 % of the respective theoretical performance. Moreover, the overall isopropanol production yield (0.24 Cmole Cmole(-1)) and the overall specific productivity (0.044 g g(-1) h(-1)) were higher than the values reported in the literature to date for heterologously engineered isopropanol production strains in batch culture. Strain Re2133/pEG7c presents good potential for scale-up production of isopropanol from various substrates in high cell density cultures.

Grousseau, E↗

Climate models project increasing precipitation in the US Southwest in 2024–2100

We analyzed the measured precipitation in the southwestern US and found that, from 1900 to 2024, precipitation decreased at an average rate of − 1.2 cm per year per 100 years. The most significant precipitation decreases occurred in the three-month period from February to April. At the same time, precipitation during the southwestern monsoon season (July, August, and September) remained relatively stable. The ensemble mean of all CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6) climate models, along with the regression model incorporating anthropogenic aerosol (AER) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) as predictors, projects precipitation to increase from 2024 to 2100. This projected precipitation increase relies on the anticipated decrease in emissions of anthropogenic aerosols, which is associated with the transition from fossil fuel burning to renewable and nuclear energy sources.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Molecular dynamics of combustion reactions in supercritical carbon dioxide. Part 4: boxed MD study of formyl radical dissociation and recombination

Fossil fuel oxy-combustion is an emergent technology where habitual nitrogen diluent is replaced by high pressure (supercritical) carbon dioxide. The supercritical state of CO2 increases the efficiency of the energy conversion and the absence of nitrogen from the reaction mixture reduces pollution by NOx. However, the effects of a supercritical environment on elementary reactions kinetics are not well understood at present. We used boxed molecular dynamics simulations at the QM/MM theory level to predict the kinetics of dissociation/recombination reaction HCO• + [M] ↔ H• + CO + [M], an important elementary step in many combustion processes. A wide range of temperatures (400–1600 K) and pressures (0.3–1000 atm) were studied. Potentials of mean force were plotted and used to predict activation free energies and rate constants. Based on the data obtained, extended Arrhenius equation parameters were fitted and tabulated. The apparent activation energy for the recombination reaction becomes negative above 30 atm. As the temperature increased, the pressure effect on the rate constant decreased. While at 400 K the pressure increase from 0.3 atm to 300 atm accelerated the dissociation reaction by a factor of 250, at 1600 K the same pressure increase accelerated this reaction by a factor of 100.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗

Geochemical and isotopic evidence on the recharge and circulation of geothermal water in the Tangshan Geothermal System near Nanjing, China: implications for sustainable development

Geothermal resources are practical and competitive clean-energy alternatives to fossil fuels, and study on the recharge sources of geothermal water supports its sustainable exploitation. In order to provide evidence on the recharge source of water and circulation dynamics of the Tangshan Geothermal System (TGS) near Nanjing (China), a comprehensive investigation was carried out using multiple chemical and isotopic tracers (δ{sup 2}H, δ{sup 18}O, δ{sup 34}S, {sup 87}Sr/{sup 86}Sr, δ{sup 13}C, {sup 14}C and {sup 3}H). The results confirm that a local (rather than regional) recharge source feeds the system from the exposed Cambrian and Ordovician carbonate rocks area on the upper part of Tangshan Mountain. The reservoir temperature up to 87 °C, obtained using empirical as well as theoretical chemical geothermometers, requires a groundwater circulation depth of around 2.5 km. The temperature of the geothermal water is lowered during upwelling as a consequence of mixing with shallow cold water up to a 63% dilution. The corrected {sup 14}C age shows that the geothermal water travels at a very slow pace (millennial scale) and has a low circulation rate, allowing sufficient time for the water to become heated in the system. This study has provided key information on the genesis of TGS and the results are instructive to the effective management of the geothermal resources. Further confirmation and even prediction associated with the sustainability of the system could be achieved through continuous monitoring and modeling of the responses of the karstic geothermal reservoir to hot-water mining.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Integrated energy-water-land nexus planning in the Colorado River Basin (Argentina)

Integrated energy-water-land (EWL) planning promotes synergies and avoids conflicts in ways that sector-specific planning approaches cannot. Many important decisions that influence emerging EWL nexus issues are implemented at regional (e.g., large river basin, electricity grid) and sub-regional (e.g., small river basin, irrigation district) scales. However, actual implementation of integrated planning at these scales has been limited. Simply collecting and visualizing data and interconnections across multiple sectors and sub-regions in a single modeling platform is a unique endeavor in many regions. This study introduces and applies a novel approach to linking together multiple sub-regions in a single platform to characterize and visualize EWL resource use, EWL system linkages within and among sub-regions, and the EWL nexus implications of future policies and investments. This integrated planning methodology is applied in the water-stressed Colorado River Basin in Argentina, which is facing increasing demands for agricultural and fossil fuel commodities. Guided by stakeholders, this study seeks to inform basin planning activities by characterizing and visualizing (1) the basin’s current state of EWL resources, (2) the linkages between sectors within and among basin sub-regions, and (3) the EWL nexus implications of planned future agricultural development activities. Results show that water scarcity, driven in part by human demands that have historically reached 60% of total surface water supply, poses a substantial constraint to economic development in the basin. The Colorado basin has the potential to serve as a testbed for crafting novel and generalizable sub-regional EWL planning approaches capable of informing the EWL planning dialogue globally.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Combining biotechnology with sustainability: feasibility of bioenergy sorghum in generating high-value bioproducts

Biofuels generated through fermentation of plant-derived lignocellulosic biomass are currently not competitive with fossil fuels. Here, a framework is described for the engineering of valuable coproducts to improve the economic feasibility of biofuel production. To accomplish this goal, the desirable traits of the bioenergy crop Sorghum bicolor are harnessed via modern engineering approaches. A robust analysis is provided to highlight the scientific basis, costs, regulatory challenges, and lucrative nature of coproduct development. Sustainable biofuel production could also have far-reaching societal impacts, especially in the context of our rapidly changing global climate. This perspective suggests that the path to profitable biofuel production is attainable and encourages consideration of similar approaches by the biotechnology industry.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Trade-offs of different land and bioenergy policies on the path to achieving climate targets

Many papers have shown that bioenergy and land-use are potentially important elements in a strategy to limit anthropogenic climate change. But, significant expansion of bioenergy production can have a large terrestrial footprint. In this paper, we test the implications for land use, the global energy system, carbon cycle, and carbon prices of meeting a specific climate target, using a single fossil fuel and industrial sector policy instrument—the carbon tax, but with five alternative bioenergy and land-use policy architectures. We find that the policies we examined have differing effects on the different segments of the economy. Comprehensive land policies can reduce land-use change emissions, increasing allowable emissions in the energy system, but have implications for the cost of food. Bioenergy taxes and constraints, on the other hand, have little effect on food prices, but can result in increased carbon and energy prices.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Spatially resolved estimation of ozone-related mortality in the United States under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs) and their uncertainty

We report that the spatial pattern of the uncertainty in air pollution-related health impacts due to climate change has rarely been studied due to the lack of high-resolution model simulations, especially under the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), the latest greenhouse gas emission pathways. We estimated future tropospheric ozone (O 3 ) and related excess mortality and evaluated the associated uncertainties in the continental United States under RCPs. Based on dynamically downscaled climate model simulations, we calculated changes in O 3 level at 12 km resolution between the future (2057 and 2059) and base years (2001–2004) under a low-to-medium emission scenario (RCP4.5) and a fossil fuel intensive emission scenario (RCP8.5). We then estimated the excess mortality attributable to changes in O 3 . Finally, we analyzed the sensitivity of the excess mortality estimates to the input variables and the uncertainty in the excess mortality estimation using Monte Carlo simulations. O 3 -related premature deaths in the continental U.S. were estimated to be 1312 deaths/year under RCP8.5 (95 % confidence interval (CI): 427 to 2198) and ₋2118 deaths/year under RCP4.5 (95 % CI: ₋3021 to ₋1216), when allowing for climate change and emissions reduction. The uncertainty of O 3 -related excess mortality estimates was mainly caused by RCP emissions pathways. Finally, excess mortality estimates attributable to the combined effect of climate and emission changes on O 3 as well as the associated uncertainties vary substantially in space and so do the most influential input variables. Spatially resolved data is crucial to develop effective community level mitigation and adaptation policy.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The role of methane in future climate strategies: mitigation potentials and climate impacts

This study examines model-specific assumptions and projections of methane (CH 4 ) emissions in deep mitigation scenarios generated by integrated assessment models (IAMs). For this, scenarios of nine models are compared in terms of sectoral and regional CH 4 emission reduction strategies, as well as resulting climate impacts. The models’ projected reduction potentials are compared to sector and technology-specific reduction potentials found in literature. Significant cost-effective and non-climate policy related reductions are projected in the reference case (10–36% compared to a “frozen emission factor” scenario in 2100). Still, compared to 2010, CH 4 emissions are expected to rise steadily by 9–72% (up to 412 to 654 Mt CH 4 /year). Ambitious CO 2 reduction measures could by themselves lead to a reduction of CH 4 emissions due to a reduction of fossil fuels (22–48% compared to the reference case in 2100). However, direct CH 4 mitigation is crucial and more effective in bringing down CH 4 (50–74% compared to the reference case). Given the limited reduction potential, agriculture CH 4 emissions are projected to constitute an increasingly larger share of total anthropogenic CH 4 emissions in mitigation scenarios. Enteric fermentation in ruminants is in that respect by far the largest mitigation bottleneck later in the century with a projected 40–78% of total remaining CH 4 emissions in 2100 in a strong (2 °C) climate policy case.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

US energy system transitions under cumulative emissions budgets

Cumulative emissions budgets are increasingly being used by decision makers and analysts to understand emissions reductions and associated transitions in the context of long-term goals such as limiting global mean temperature increase over the century to 1.5 or 2°C (IPCC, 2014). While previous studies have explored the implications of cumulative emissions budgets for the global economy, few studies have conducted regional and national-level analyses (Iyer et al., 2015; Riahi et al., 2015). This paper explores cumulative emissions budgets through 2050 consistent with the 1.5 and 2°C long-term temperature goals in the context of the United States. We employ a state-level model of the United States embedded within a global human-Earth system model (GCAM-USA) to study the implications of such budgets for the U.S. energy system (Iyer et al., 2017a; Iyer et al., 2017b). Our results show that achieving the stringent cumulative emissions budgets entails accelerated deployment of energy conserving technology, almost complete decarbonization of the power sector and increased electrification of buildings and industrial end-use sectors and decarbonization of transport employing a combination of electrification and the substitution of bioenergy for fossil fuels by the mid-century. We also find substantial state-level differences in the relative roles of these decarbonization strategies. Furthermore, our results highlight that increased ambition in the near-term will be valuable in setting the stage for smoother transformations in the future to achieve stringent cumulative emissions budgets consistent with long-term temperature goals established by the international community.

Feijoo, Felipe↗

Implications of climate change mitigation strategies on international bioenergy trade

Most climate change mitigation scenarios rely on increased use of bioenergy to decarbonize the energy system. Here we use results from the 33rd Energy Modeling Forum study (EMF-33) to investigate projected international bioenergy trade for different integrated assessment models across several climate change mitigation scenarios. Results show that in scenarios with no climate policy, international bioenergy trade is likely to increase over time, and becomes even more important when climate targets are set. More stringent climate targets, however, do not necessarily imply greater bioenergy trade compared to weaker targets, as final energy demand may be reduced. However, the scaling up of bioenergy trade happens sooner and at a faster rate with increasing climate target stringency. Across models, for a scenario likely to achieve a 2 °C target, 10–45 EJ/year out of a total global bioenergy consumption of 72–214 EJ/year are expected to be traded across nine world regions by 2050. While this projection is greater than the present trade volumes of coal or natural gas, it remains below the present trade of crude oil. This growth in bioenergy trade largely replaces the trade in fossil fuels (especially oil) which is projected to decrease significantly over the twenty-first century. As climate change mitigation scenarios often show diversified energy systems, in which numerous world regions can act as bioenergy suppliers, the projections do not necessarily lead to energy security concerns. Nonetheless, rapid growth in the trade of bioenergy is projected in strict climate mitigation scenarios, raising questions about infrastructure, logistics, financing options, and global standards for bioenergy production and trade.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Observations of greenhouse gases as climate indicators

Humans have significantly altered the energy balance of the Earth’s climate system mainly not only by extracting and burning fossil fuels but also by altering the biosphere and using halocarbons. The 3rd US National Climate Assessment pointed to a need for a system of indicators of climate and global change based on long-term data that could be used to support assessments and this led to the development of the National Climate Indicators System (NCIS). Here we identify a representative set of key atmospheric indicators of changes in atmospheric radiative forcing due to greenhouse gases (GHGs), and we evaluate atmospheric composition measurements, including non-CO<:sub>2 GHGs for use as climate change indicators in support of the US National Climate Assessment. GHG abundances and their changes over time can provide valuable information on the success of climate mitigation policies, as well as insights into possible carbon-climate feedback processes that may ultimately affect the success of those policies. To ensure that reliable information for assessing GHG emission changes can be provided on policy-relevant scales, expanded observational efforts are needed. Furthermore, the ability to detect trends resulting from changing emissions requires a commitment to supporting long-term observations. Long-term measurements of greenhouse gases, aerosols, and clouds and related climate indicators used with a dimming/brightening index could provide a foundation for quantifying forcing and its attribution and reducing error in existing indicators that do not account for complicated cloud processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Synthetic microbial communities: Bridging research and application in second-generation bioenergy feedstock microbiomes

The sustainable production of purpose-grown bioenergy feedstocks is essential in transitioning away from fossil fuels. Synthetic communities (SynComs) are consortia of microorganisms that can be used as biological interventions to support objectives like plant growth and stress tolerance. This review examines the state of knowledge regarding microbiomes and SynComs of second-generation bioenergy feedstocks, focusing on the rhizosphere. We first provide an overview of second-generation feedstocks, including switchgrass (Panicum virgatum), miscanthus (Miscanthus × giganteus), sorghum (Sorghum spp.), sugarcane (Saccharum spp.), and poplar (Populus spp.), and summarize our current understanding of their plant-soil-microbiome ecology. We next discuss considerations in the objectives, design, and evaluation of SynComs to enhance feedstock production, and then critically review the literature around their use. Our literature analysis revealed that SynCom performance varied substantially between controlled pilot experiments and field trials, possibly due to system complexity that could not be fully considered in their design and pilot evaluation. We identified a gap in the use of SynComs to support the unique sustainability objectives of biofuel feedstock agriculture, presenting an opportunity to leverage these additional microbial traits in SynCom designs. Finally, we emphasize the importance of targeted research to identify the ecological principles that govern the assembly, activation, and persistence of microbes in the feedstock rhizosphere, thereby enhancing our capacity to manage microbiomes under diverse environmental conditions and ensure their functionality. Beyond biofuels, SynComs are a promising microbiome management strategy for crop production; however, an ecologically informed design and evaluation of SynComs are advised.

SynCom↗

Miscanthus × giganteus Responses to Nitrogen Fertilization and Harvest Timing in Illinois, USA

Renewable energy continues to be of interest in the USA due to concerns about the long-termed availability and the environmental impact of fossil fuels. Miscanthus × giganteus is a warm-season perennial bioenergy feedstock grass that has a long growing season, is high yielding, requires limited inputs, and will likely become an important renewable energy crop in the USA. This research studied the effects of N application rates and harvest timings on yields and biomass quality of a 4-year-old stand of M. × giganteus in Urbana, IL, USA. Plots received 0, 56, 112, 156, or 224 kg N ha –1 , and harvests were conducted at five dates between August and March in the 2009, 2010, and 2011 growing seasons. Miscanthus × giganteus production increased with N applications up to 112 kg ha –1 . Harvesting biomass before senescence, August through November, produced significantly more biomass compared to harvesting biomass after senescence. However, early harvest reduced biomass yields in the following years. Here, nitrogen fertilization compensated for the yield losses, but the yield gap between early and late harvest continually increased. Harvesting M. × giganteus after senescence optimized long-term productivity, reduced the need for N fertilization, and increased carbon and ash content in the harvested biomass, while harvesting before senescence not only removes N from the plant but also reduces remobilization of other nutrients and carbohydrates in autumn.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Finding Promising Candidates for Wet Growing Conditions: The Effect of Two Row Spacings on Biomass Production of Four Bioenergy Prairie Cordgrass Populations in a Wet Marginal Land

Demand for energy and the environmental consequences associated with fossil fuel emissions has created a need for alternative energy sources. To avoid conflict over the conversion of existing agricultural land from food production to fuel production, bioenergy crops could instead be cultivated on marginal land. Here, this study compared the performances, biomass yield, tiller density, and lignocellulosic bioenergy feedstock composition of four prairie cordgrass populations with two-row spacings cultivated on a waterlog-prone marginal land, as well as three other bioenergy candidate crops used as controls: big bluestem, M. × giganteus , and switchgrass. Across all populations and spacings, annual biomass yield of prairie cordgrass was 13 Mg ha −1 . Row spacing had significant impacts on prairie cordgrass productivity, with higher biomass yields observed in the 45 cm spacing than in the 90 cm spacing. Feedstock composition (cellulose, hemicellulose, ADL, and ash concentration) was not influenced by row spacing and did not deviate from expected values for growth on agricultural lands. However, biomass yields of the control species M . × giganteus and switchgrass planted in 45 cm spacing were higher than the prairie cordgrass. Our results provide evidence that prairie cordgrass could be a good energy crop with comparable biomass yield production to the energy crops M . × giganteus and switchgrass on waterlogged marginal land.

Bioenergy crops↗

3D printing of metal-based materials for renewable energy applications

Large-scale renewable energy must overcome conversion and storage challenges before it can replace fossil fuels due to its intermittent nature. However, current sustainable energy devices still suffer from high cost, low efficiency, and poor service life problems. Recently, porous metal-based materials have been widely used as desirable cross-functional platforms for electrochemical and photochemical energy systems for their unique electrical conductivity, catalytic activity, and chemical stability. To tailor the porosity length scale, ordering, and compositions, 3D printing has been applied as a disruptive manufacturing revolution to create complex architected components by directly joining sequential layers into designed structures. In conclusion, this article intends to summarize cutting-edge advances of metal-based materials for renewable energy devices (e.g., fuel cells, solar cells, supercapacitors, and batteries) over the past decade.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗