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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2013

Effective detective quantum efficiency for two mammography systems: Measurement and comparison against established metrics

Purpose: The aim of this paper was to illustrate the value of the new metric effective detective quantum efficiency (eDQE) in relation to more established measures in the optimization process of two digital mammography systems. The following metrics were included for comparison against eDQE: detective quantum efficiency (DQE) of the detector, signal difference to noise ratio (SdNR), and detectability index (d′) calculated using a standard nonprewhitened observer with eye filter.Methods: The two systems investigated were the Siemens MAMMOMAT Inspiration and the Hologic Selenia Dimensions. The presampling modulation transfer function (MTF) required for the eDQE was measured using two geometries: a geometry containing scattered radiation and a low scatter geometry. The eDQE, SdNR, and d′ were measured for poly(methyl methacrylate) (PMMA) thicknesses of 20, 40, 60, and 70 mm, with and without the antiscatter grid and for a selection of clinically relevant target/filter (T/F) combinations. Figures of merit (FOMs) were then formed from SdNR and d′ using the mean glandular dose as the factor to express detriment. Detector DQE was measured at energies covering the range of typical clinically used spectra.Results: The MTF measured in the presence of scattered radiation showed a large drop at low spatial frequency compared to the low scatter method and led to a corresponding reduction in eDQE. The eDQE for the Siemens system at 1 mm{sup −1} ranged between 0.15 and 0.27, depending on T/F and grid setting. For the Hologic system, eDQE at 1 mm{sup −1} varied from 0.15 to 0.32, again depending on T/F and grid setting. The eDQE results for both systems showed that the grid increased the system efficiency for PMMA thicknesses of 40 mm and above but showed only small sensitivity to T/F setting. While results of the SdNR and d′ based FOMs confirmed the eDQE grid position results, they were also more specific in terms of T/F selection. For the Siemens system at 20 mm PMMA, the FOMs indicated Mo/Mo (grid out) as optimal while W/Rh (grid in) was the optimal configuration at 40, 60, and 70 mm PMMA. For the Hologic, the FOMs pointed to W/Rh (grid in) at 20 and 40 mm of PMMA while W/Ag (grid in) gave the highest FOM at 60 and 70 mm PMMA. Finally, DQE at 1 mm{sup −1} averaged for the four beam qualities studied was 0.44 ± 0.02 and 0.55 ± 0.03 for the Siemens and Hologic detectors, respectively, indicating only a small influence of energy on detector DQE.Conclusions: Both the DQE and eDQE data showed only a small sensitivity to T/F setting for these two systems. The eDQE showed clear preferences in terms of scatter reduction, being highest for the grid-in geometry for PMMA thicknesses of 40 mm and above. The SdNR and d′ based figures of merit, which contain additional weighting for contrast and dose, pointed to specific T/F settings for both systems.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
DOE OSTI2014

Data-Model Needs for Belowground Ecology. A Summary Report from the Terrestrial Ecosystem Science (TES) Mini-Workshop, May 8, 2014

Terrestrial life on Earth depends on belowground cycling and storage of a significant portion of the planet’s biologically-active carbon. The interplay among organic inputs by primary producers, soil organic matter stabilization, and assimilation and mineralization by soil organisms drives belowground ecology. Understanding belowground carbon dynamics, including the stability and vulnerability of soil organic carbon stocks, is necessary to project the responses and feedbacks of terrestrial ecosystems to a changing climate. Although conceptually understood, belowground hydrobiogeochemical systems are not well characterized with quantitative and mechanistic representations of critical functions. As a result, these systems are inadequately represented in modeling efforts, limiting our ability to understand and project terrestrial carbon source/sink relationships at various temporal and spatial scales. The belowground science community lacks robust databases and data libraries against which model sensitivities and performance can be tested and enhanced. Improved understanding of belowground ecosystems, including biotic and abiotic interactions, is needed to ensure that model structures include and provide adequate representations of critical belowground processes, functions, and dynamics. A one-day workshop brought together experimental and modeling representatives from the four Department of Energy (DOE) National Laboratories where the Office of Biological and Environmental Research (BER) Terrestrial Ecosystem Science (TES) program has investments in belowground ecology. The group focused on identifying and characterizing (1) critical experimental and observational datasets for testing and developing existing and future belowground-process models and land models; (2) the limitations and needs for modeling belowground processes within ecosystem models; and (3) key areas for leveraging current research activities across the National Laboratories and BER-funded projects. Discussion results are organized in this report as: (I) over-arching data requirements for advancing understanding of belowground ecosystems; (II) efforts that could rapidly improve understanding and model representations of belowground components of terrestrial ecosystems; and (III) longer-term research needs that would benefit from greater and more sustained support.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

PROJECTION EFFECTS IN CORONAL DIMMINGS AND ASSOCIATED EUV WAVE EVENT

We investigate the high-speed ( v > 1000 km s{sup −1}) extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) wave associated with an X1.2 flare and coronal mass ejection (CME) from NOAA active region 11283 on 2011 September 6 (SOL2011-09-06T22:12). This EUV wave features peculiar on-disk signatures; in particular, we observe an intermittent “disappearance” of the front for 120 s in Solar Dynamics Observatory ( SDO )/AIA 171, 193, 211 Å data, whereas the 335 Å filter, sensitive to hotter plasmas ( T ∼ 2.5 MK), shows a continuous evolution of the wave front. The eruption was also accompanied by localized coronal dimming regions. We exploit the multi-point quadrature position of SDO and STEREO-A , to make a thorough analysis of the EUV wave evolution, with respect to its kinematics and amplitude evolution and reconstruct the SDO line-of-sight (LOS) direction of the identified coronal dimming regions in STEREO-A . We show that the observed intensities of the dimming regions in SDO /AIA depend on the structures that are lying along their LOS and are the combination of their individual intensities, e.g., the expanding CME body, the enhanced EUV wave, and the CME front. In this context, we conclude that the intermittent disappearance of the EUV wave in the AIA 171, 193, and 211 Å filters, which are channels sensitive to plasma with temperatures below ∼2 MK is also caused by such LOS integration effects. These observations clearly demonstrate that single-view image data provide us with limited insight to correctly interpret coronal features.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Standardising the “Gregory method” for calculating equilibrium climate sensitivity

The equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) – the equilibrium global mean temperature response to a doubling of atmospheric CO 2 – is a high-profile metric for quantifying the Earth system's response to human-induced climate change. A widely applied approach to estimating the ECS is the “Gregory method” (Gregory et al., 2004), which uses an ordinary least squares (OLS) regression between the net radiative flux, N, and surface air temperature anomalies, ΔT, from a 150 year experiment in which atmospheric CO 2 concentrations are quadrupled. The ECS is determined by extrapolating the linear fit to N=0, i.e. the ΔT-intercept, indicating the point at which the system is back in equilibrium. This method has been used to compare ECS estimates across the CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensembles and will likely be a key diagnostic for CMIP7. Despite its widespread application, there is little consistency or transparency between studies in how the climate model data is processed prior to the regression, leading to potential discrepancies in ECS estimates. We identify 32 alternative data processing pathways, varying by differences in global mean weighting, net radiative flux variable, anomaly calculation method, and linear regression fit. Using 44 CMIP6 models, we systematically assess the impact of these choices on ECS estimates and calculate uncertainty ranges using two bootstrap approaches. While the inter-model ECS range is insensitive to the data processing pathway, individual outlier models exhibit notable differences. Approximating a model's native grid cell area (if irregular) with cosine of the latitude can decrease the ECS by 11 %, the choice of N-variable can change the ECS by 6 %, and some anomaly calculation methods can introduce spurious temporal correlations in the processed data. Beyond data processing choices, we also evaluate an alternative linear regression method – total least squares (TLS) – which has a more statistically robust basis than OLS. However, for consistency with previous literature, and given TLS may reduce the ECS compared to OLS (by up to 24 %), thereby making a known bias in the Gregory method worse, we do not feel there is sufficient clarity to recommend a transition to TLS in all cases. To improve reproducibility and comparability in future studies, we recommend a standardised Gregory method: weighting the global mean by cell area, using the top of the atmosphere (as opposed to the top of model) N-variable, and calculating anomalies by first applying a rolling average to the preindustrial control timeseries then subtracting from the raw CO 2 quadrupling experiment. This approach accounts for model drift while reducing noise in the data to best meet the pre-conditions of the linear regression. While CMIP6 results of the multi-model mean ECS appear insensitive to these processing choices, similar assumptions may not hold for CMIP7, underscoring the need for standardised data preparation in future climate sensitivity assessments.

Geosciences↗
DOE OSTI2018

SuperCDMS Background Models for Low-Mass Dark Matter Searches

An abundance of astrophysical and cosmological evidence indicates the existence of a non-luminous, non-baryonic form of matter, called dark matter, that is approximately a quarter of all energy in the universe. One promising candidate for dark matter is the Weakly Interacting Massive Particle (WIMP) which interacts with baryonic matter at most on the scale of the weak force. The Cryogenic Dark Matter Search (CDMS) experiment aims to detect the nuclear recoils induced by the elastic scattering of WIMPs off of germanium nuclei. This is a rare signal and difficult to detect, especially the low-energy recoils that are produced by low-mass dark matter. The CDMS project operated at the Soudan Underground Laboratory from 2003--2015, with an upgrade to the SuperCDMS experiment in 2012. The germanium detectors were operated at 50~mK and able to measure both the ionization and athermal phonons produced in a particle interaction. Measuring two signals enables discrimination between electron recoil and nuclear recoil events. An alternative operating mode for the detectors is called the CDMS low ionization threshold experiment (CDMSlite), where a higher bias was applied to the detectors and only the phonon signal analyzed. This method increased sensitivity to low-mass dark matter interactions, but sacrificed discrimination capability. The CDMSlite spectrum had a large contribution from electron recoil background events. From the information gained during the first two CDMSlite Runs, a background model was developed for the third and final CDMSlite Run. Analytical descriptions were identified for those backgrounds that were theoretically known, e.g. tritium $\beta$-spectrum, and Geant simulations were used to understand and predict the low-energy spectra from other sources, e.g. Compton scattering. Multiple new models were developed for detectors operated in CDMSlite at Soudan. These include the analytical formula for Compton scattering, and empirical models for surface backgrounds from $^{210}$Pb contamination of the germanium crystals and detector housing. In order to accurately describe the surface events, a new detector response function was developed that included information about the electric field and energy resolution of the detector. These models were essential to the implementation of a profile likelihood analysis of the CDMSlite Run 3 data, which improved on the sensitivity to dark matter over the Run 2 optimum interval analysis for WIMP masses above 2.5~GeV/$c^2$. This demonstrated a successful application of a likelihood analysis to the high-voltage operating mode, and the potential for these analyses in the future SuperCDMS SNOLAB experiment. For the SuperCDMS SNOLAB experiment, the change in background rates from radiogenic neutrons was considered as additional towers of detectors were added, and the feasibility of an active neutron veto as a potential upgrade for large payloads was studied. This veto could be constructed of plastic scintillator with layers of gadolinium resin, and would aid in reducing the nuclear recoil single scatter background that is indistinguishable from the WIMP signal.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2017

Compton scattering from He 4 at 61 MeV

The Compton scattering cross section from 4 He has been measured with high statistical accuracy over a scattering angle range of 40° - 159° using a quasimonoenergetic 61-MeV photon beam at the High Intensity Gamma-Ray Source. The data are interpreted using a phenomenological model sensitive to the dipole isoscalar electromagnetic polarizabilities (α s and β s ) of the nucleon. These data can be fit with the model using values of α s and β s that are consistent with the currently accepted values. Finally, these data will serve as benchmarks of future calculations from effective field theories and lattice quantum chromodynamics.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2015

Measurement of the inclusive 3-jet production differential cross section in proton–proton collisions at 7 TeV and determination of the strong coupling constant in the TeV range

This article presents a measurement of the inclusive 3-jet production differential cross section at a proton–proton centre-of-mass energy of 7 TeV using data corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 5fb –1 collected with the CMS detector. The analysis is based on the three jets with the highest transverse momenta. The cross section is measured as a function of the invariant mass of the three jets in a range of 445–3270 GeV and in two bins of the maximum rapidity of the jets up to a value of 2. A comparison between the measurement and the prediction from perturbative QCD at next-to-leading order is performed. Within uncertainties, data and theory are in agreement. The sensitivity of the observable to the strong coupling constant αS is studied. A fit to all data points with 3-jet masses larger than 664 GeV gives a value of the strong coupling constant of α S (M Z ) = 0.1171 ± 0.0013(exp) +0.0073 –0.0047 (theo).

3-jet mass↗
DOE OSTI2022

Modeling Dust Production, Growth, and Destruction in Reionization-era Galaxies with the CROC Simulations: Methods and Parameter Exploration

We introduce a model for the explicit evolution of interstellar dust in a cosmological galaxy formation simulation. We post-process a simulation from the Cosmic Reionization on Computers project, integrating an ordinary differential equation for the evolution of the dust-to-gas ratio along pathlines in the simulation sampled with a tracer particle technique. This model incorporates the effects of dust grain production in asymptotic giant branch star winds and supernovae, grain growth due to the accretion of heavy elements from the gas phase of the interstellar medium, and grain destruction due to thermal sputtering in the high-temperature gas of supernova remnants due to thermal sputtering. A main conclusion of our analysis is the importance of a carefully chosen dust destruction model, for which different reasonable parameterizations can predict very different values at the ∼100 pc resolution of the interstellar medium (ISM) in our simulations. We run this dust model on the single most massive galaxy in a 10 h$^{−1}$ comoving megaparsec box, which attains a stellar mass of ∼2 × 10$^{9}$ M $_{⊙}$ by z = 5. We find that the model is capable of reproducing dust masses and dust-sensitive observable quantities broadly consistent with existing data from high-redshift galaxies. The total dust mass in the simulated galaxy is somewhat sensitive to parameter choices for the dust model, especially the timescale for grain growth due to accretion in the ISM. Consequently, observable quantity observations that can constrain galaxy dust masses at these epochs are potentially useful for placing constraints on dust physics.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

A platform to measure isentropes from proton-heated warm dense matter on short pulse laser facilities

We describe the development of an experimental platform that measures the release isentrope of materials heated isochorically to temperatures of a few electron volts, using short-pulse laser-produced protons to heat the sample and long-pulse laser-produced x rays to perform streaked x-ray radiography. The density profiles derived from the radiography data are integrated to generate pressure–density isentropes, independent of prior knowledge of the equation of state of the sample material. In order to understand the sensitivities of isentrope extraction from radiography data, we analyze synthetic radiographs generated by a radiation hydrodynamics code. Noise reduction and high spatial resolution are critical for isentrope reconstruction, as demonstrated by the analysis of a proof-of-principle shot day on the OMEGA-EP facility. In conclusion, the data demonstrate the feasibility of the platform for characterizing isentropes, and we discuss the necessary improvements to enhance precision in differentiating between equation-of-state models.

Equations of state↗
DOE OSTI2026

Machine learning method for enforcing variable independence in background estimation with LHC data: ABCDisCoTEC

A novel solution is presented for the problem of estimating the backgrounds of a signal search using observed data while simultaneously maximizing the sensitivity of the search to the signal. The 'ABCD method' provides a reliable framework for background estimation by partitioning events into one signal-enhanced region (A) and three background-enhanced control regions (B, C, and D) via two smoothly varying, statistically independent variables. In practice, even slight correlations between the two variables can significantly undermine the method's performance. Thus, choosing appropriate variables by hand can present a formidable challenge, especially when background and signal differ only subtly. To address this issue, the ABCD with distance correlation (ABCDisCo) method was developed to construct two learned variables via a neural network trained to provide strong signal-background discrimination with small values of the distance correlation (DisCo) measure between the two learned variables. However, relying solely on minimizing the DisCo can result in learned variables that may not have distributions of background events that are smoothly varying and localized at extreme values, as necessary for the validity of the background estimation. The ABCDisCo training enhanced with closure (ABCDisCoTEC) method is introduced to solve this issue by directly minimizing the nonclosure, expressed as a dedicated differentiable loss term. This extended method is applied to a data set of proton-proton collisions at a center-of-mass energy of 13 TeV recorded by the CMS detector at the CERN Large Hadron Collider. Additionally, given the complexity of the minimization problem with constraints on multiple loss terms, the modified differential method of multipliers is applied and shown to greatly improve the stability and robustness of the ABCDisCoTEC method, compared to grid search hyperparameter optimization procedures.

Hayrapetyan, Aram [Yerevan Phys. Inst.]↗
DOE OSTI2024

Ducted Fuel Injection And Cooled Spray Technologies For Particulate Control In Heavy-duty Diesel Engines (Final Report)

Cooled Spray (CS) and Ducted Fuel Injection (DFI) are in-cylinder technologies for diesel engines that can reduce particulate matter and soot emissions and data has been published showing that these technologies can reduce soot emissions by 75-100% for some engines at some operating conditions. However, little is known about scaling the devices for engine size. Additionally, the performance of either technology over the engine duty cycle has not been explored. This project addresses both of these points through single-cylinder engine investigations. The objectives of this project are to provide details about dimensional scaling of these devices and to demonstrate 75% PM reduction over a range of operating conditions on a single-cylinder engine. Two engines were used for this project: a 125mm bore optically accessible engine at Sandia National Laboratories and a 168mm bore metal engine at Southwest Research Institute. The optical engine was used to study the performance of DFI and CS inserts for a large injector orifice diameter injector that is characteristic of a locomotive engine and to perform scaling studies for DFI. The metal engine was used to perform scaling and alignment studies for CS and to evaluate the technology for both EGR and non-EGR engines over the engine operating map. Modifications were required for both engines to accept the prototype inserts being tested. The optical engine required a new fuel injector, cylinder head and piston so that tests could be run at the pressures and engine speeds required. Additionally, a novel rotating stage was designed for the optical engine to simplify alignment of the modules. The metal engine required a modified cylinder head to accept CS inserts and a modified piston to provide additional space around the fuel injector for the CS inserts. Tests on the optical engine showed that DFI reduces PM emissions for both small injector orifices (0.170mm diameter) and large injector orifices (0.290mm). For high load testing, the DFI modules were not as effective as at low load testing, but it was acknowledged that minimal geometric optimization was performed and more improvements may be possible. Comparing DFI to CS and conventional diesel combustion (CDC), DFI performed better than CS or CDC. The CS geometries used in these studies may not be ideal for that engine and additional modifications likely would improve performance. Tests on the metal engine showed PM reductions as high has 80% at some operating conditions with duty-cycle PM reductions of ~50% for EGR and non-EGR configurations. The CS testing on the metal engine showed that chamfering of the fuel passage inlet either through hydro-erosion or mechanical grinding provided significant improvements in the PM reduction capabilities of the insert. Additionally, alignment sensitivities were explored and the data show that the tolerance to misalignment is approximately 0.05 to 0.1mm for the inserts that were studied here. Air-fuel ratio was shown to be important in the effectiveness of the CS inserts. In several tests, it was shown that the CS inserts are more effective at reducing the PM for high-AFR operating conditions compared to low AFR conditions. In summary, multiple designs were evaluated on both engines. It was found that for the conditions and configurations studied here, a fuel passage diameter of ~2.5mm performed best overall. Significant duty-cycle PM reductions are possible using these technologies and sensitivities to AFR, alignment fuel passage diameter and inlet fuel passage shaping were explored and are reported here. More PM reduction may be possible with improved geometric design and attention to alignment practices.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2025

Distribution Substation Planning Toolkit (dsp-toolkit) v1.0

The Distribution Substation Planning Toolkit (DSP Toolkit) is a software suite designed to streamline the planning and optimization of distribution substations. This toolkit offers a comprehensive set of tools and APIs for data curation, short-term electric load forecasting, and weather-sensitive load adjustment, making it an essential resource for utility companies, engineers, and researchers. Features • Data Preprocessing and Curation: Efficiently manage and preprocess large datasets to ensure high-quality input for analysis. • Short-Term Load Forecasting: Utilize data-driven models to predict short-term electric loads accurately. • Weather-Sensitive Modeling: Automatically adjust load forecasts based on weather data to predict future peak demands more precisely. Uses The DSP Toolkit is ideal for planning and optimizing distribution substations, providing a user-friendly interface and comprehensive documentation. It is suitable for both novice and experienced users, facilitating efficient and accurate planning processes. Advantages • Efficiency: Automates complex planning tasks, reducing manual effort and minimizing errors. • Scalability: Handles large datasets and complex models, making it suitable for large-scale projects. • Community and Support: Open-source with active community contributions, ensuring continuous improvement and support. • Extensibility: Easily extendable with custom modules and plugins, allowing users to tailor the toolkit to their specific needs. The DSP Toolkit stands out by offering a robust, flexible, and user-friendly solution for distribution substation planning. Public Abstract

Li, Han [Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LB↗
DOE OSTI2016

ON MORE SENSITIVE PERIODOGRAM STATISTICS

Period searches in event data have traditionally used the Rayleigh statistic, R {sup 2}. For X-ray pulsars, the standard has been the Z {sup 2} statistic, which sums over more than one harmonic. For γ-rays, the H-test, which optimizes the number of harmonics to sum, is often used. These periodograms all suffer from the same problem, namely artifacts caused by correlations in the Fourier components that arise from testing frequencies with a non-integer number of cycles. This article addresses this problem. The modified Rayleigh statistic is discussed, its generalization to any harmonic, R{sub k}{sup 2}, is formulated, and from the latter, the modified Z {sup 2} statistic, Z{sup 2}, is constructed. Versions of these statistics for binned data and point measurements are derived, and it is shown that the variance in the uncertainties can have an important influence on the periodogram. It is shown how to combine the information about the signal frequency from the different harmonics to estimate its value with maximum accuracy. The methods are applied to an XMM-Newton observation of the Crab pulsar for which a decomposition of the pulse profile is presented, and shows that most of the power is in the second, third, and fifth harmonics. Statistical detection power of the R{sub k}{sup 2} statistic is superior to the FFT and equivalent to the Lomb--Scargle (LS). Response to gaps in the data is assessed, and it is shown that the LS does not protect against the distortions they cause. The main conclusion of this work is that the classical R {sup 2} and Z {sup 2} should be replaced by R{sub k}{sup 2} and Z{sup 2} in all applications with event data, and the LS should be replaced by the R{sub k}{sup 2} when the uncertainty varies from one point measurement to another.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2015

UNAMBIGUOUS DETECTION OF REFLECTION IN MAGNETIC CATACLYSMIC VARIABLES: JOINT NuSTAR–XMM-NEWTON OBSERVATIONS OF THREE INTERMEDIATE POLARS

In magnetic cataclysmic variables (CVs), X-ray emission regions are located close to the white dwarf surface, which is expected to reflect a significant fraction of intrinsic X-rays above 10 keV, producing a Compton reflection hump. However, up to now, a secure detection of this effect in magnetic CVs has largely proved elusive because of the limited sensitivity of non-imaging X-ray detectors. Here we report our analysis of joint NuSTAR–XMM-Newton observations of three magnetic CVs, V709 Cas, NY Lup, and V1223 Sgr. The improved hard X-ray sensitivity of the imaging NuSTAR data has resulted in the first robust detection of Compton hump in all three objects, with amplitudes of ∼1 or greater in NY Lup, and likely <1.0 in the other two. We also confirm earlier reports of a strong spin modulation above 10 keV in V709 Cas, and we report the first detection of small spin amplitudes in the others. We interpret this as due to different height of the X-ray emitting region among these objects. A height of ∼0.2 white dwarf radii provides a plausible explanation for the low reflection amplitude of V709 Cas. Since emission regions above both poles are visible at certain spin phases, this can also explain the strong hard X-ray spin modulation. A shock height of ∼0.05 white dwarf radii can explain our results on V1223 Sgr, while the shock height in NY Lup appears negligible.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Theoretical analysis of the extraction of neutron skin thickness from coherent π 0 photoproduction off nuclei

Background: Coherent π⁢ 0 photoproduction on heavy nuclei has been suggested as a reliable tool to infer neutron skin thicknesses. To this aim, various experiments have been performed, especially on 208 Pb. Purpose: Here, we analyze the sensitivity of that reaction process to the nucleonic density, and especially to the neutron skin thickness, for 12 C, 40 Ca, and 208 Pb, for which reliable data exist, and on 116,124 Sn, for which measurements have been performed in Mainz. We study also the role played by the π 0 -nucleus final-state interaction. Methods: A model of the reaction is developed at the impulse approximation considering either plane waves or distorted waves to describe the π 0 -nucleus scattering in the outgoing channel. Results: Our calculations are in good agreement with existing data, especially for 208 Pb. The sensitivity of the theoretical cross sections to the choice of the nucleonic density is small and below the experimental resolution. Conclusions: Coherent π 0 photoproduction is mostly an isoscalar observable that bares no practical sensitivity to the neutron skin thickness. To infer that structure observable it should be coupled to other reaction measurements, such as electron scattering, or by comparing experiments performed on isotopes of the same chemical element.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2019

A Novel Statistical Method for Measuring the Temperature–Density Relation in the IGM Using the b – N Hi Distribution of Absorbers in the Ly α Forest

We propose a new method for determining the thermal state of the intergalactic medium based on Voigt profile decomposition of the Lyα forest. The distribution of Doppler parameter and column density (b–N H i distribution) is sensitive to the temperature–density relation T = T 0 (ρ/ρ 0 ) γ-1 , and previous work has inferred T 0 and γ by fitting its low-b cutoff. This approach discards the majority of available data and is susceptible to systematics related to cutoff determination. We introduce an approach that exploits all information encoded in the b – N H i distribution by modeling its entire shape. We apply kernel density estimation to discrete absorption lines to generate model probability density functions, and then we use principal component decomposition to create an emulator that can be evaluated anywhere in thermal parameter space. We introduce a Bayesian likelihood based on these models enabling parameter inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo. The method's robustness is tested by applying it to a large grid of thermal history simulations. By conducting 160 mock measurements, we establish that our approach delivers unbiased estimates and valid uncertainties for a 2D ( T 0 , γ) measurement. Furthermore, we conduct a pilot study applying this methodology to real observational data at z = 2. Using 200 absorbers, equivalent in path length to a single Lya forest spectrum, we measure $\mathrm{log}{T}_{0}={4.092}_{-0.055}^{+0.050}$ and $\gamma ={1.49}_{-0.074}^{+0.073}$ in excellent agreement with cutoff fitting determinations using the same data. Our method is far more sensitive than cutoff fitting, enabling measurements of log T 0 and γ with precision on $\mathrm{log}{T}_{0}$ (γ) nearly two (three) times higher for current data set sizes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2016

Sensitivity Projections for Dark Matter Searches with the Fermi Large Area Telescope

The nature of dark matter is a longstanding enigma of physics; it may consist of particles beyond the Standard Model that are still elusive to experiments. Among indirect search techniques, which look for stable products from the annihilation or decay of dark matter particles, or from axions coupling to high-energy photons, observations of the γ -ray sky have come to prominence over the last few years, because of the excellent sensitivity of the Large Area Telescope (LAT) on the Fermi Gamma-ray Space Telescope mission. The LAT energy range from 20 meV to above 300 GeV is particularly well suited for searching for products of the interactions of dark matter particles. In this report we describe methods used to search for evidence of dark matter with the LAT, and review the status of searches performed with up to six years of LAT data. We also discuss the factors that determine the sensitivities of these searches, including the magnitudes of the signals and the relevant backgrounds, considering both statistical and systematic uncertainties. We project the expected sensitivities of each search method for 10 and 15 years of LAT data taking. In particular, we find that the sensitivity of searches targeting dwarf galaxies, which provide the best limits currently, will improve faster than the square root of observing time. Current LAT limits for dwarf galaxies using six years of data reach the thermal relic level for masses up to 120 GeV for the bb̄ annihilation channel for reasonable dark matter density profiles. With projected discoveries of additional dwarfs, these limits could extend to about 250 GeV. With as much as 15 years of LAT data these searches would be sensitive to dark matter annihilations at the thermal relic cross section for masses to greater than 400 GeV (200 GeV) in the bb̄ (τ+τ−) annihilation channels.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2025

IM3 + EPRI Data Center Load Projections

This dataset contains scenarios of hourly total electricity demand with and without projected loads from data centers over the period 2022-2040. The root projections without data center demands are identical to those documented in Burleyson et al. 2024. In short, those projections encompass hourly electricity demands for 54 Balancing Authorities (BAs) in the United States across a range of eight of weather and socioeconomic scenarios. Refer to the root dataset and accompanying publication, Burleyson et al. 2025, for information about how those projections were generated. For this derivative dataset we used the base loads from the following scenarios: rcp45hotter_ssp3 rcp45hotter_ssp5 rcp85hotter_ssp3 rcp85hotter_ssp5 The root load projections did not reflect the drastic expansion of data centers that has occurred in the last several years to support artificial intelligence and cloud computing. To reflect growth in data center demand, a second set of load projections were created in which we layered in additional data center load projections based on the data center load growth scenarios described in a 2024 report by the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI): "Powering Intelligence: Analyzing Artificial Intelligence and Data Center Energy Consumption". The EPRI projections from the report are included in this dataset (EPRI_2024_Projections.xlsx). That report contained annual state-level data center load projections for four year-over-year growth rates for data center demands: Low (3.71% annual growth) Moderate (5% annual growth) High (10% annual growth) Higher (15% annual growth) To homogenize the load projections with and without data centers we had to get them to a common scale. The first step was to take the EPRI annual state-level data center energy consumption values and convert them to 8760-hr loads for each year. We did that by assuming a flat (e.g., not weather- or time-sensitive) load profile and distributing the data center loads in each state evenly across all hours in a year. From there the loads were downscaled from the state-level to the county-level using 2019 county-level populations as weights. Finally, the county-level hourly data center loads were summed to the BA-level using the county-to-BA mapping underpinning the root load projections. The net result is 16 (4 weather and socioeconomic scenarios crossed with 4 data center load growth scenarios) unique load projections for the period 2022-2040. The file format follows that of the root dataset with a single additional column "Scaled_TELL_BA_Load_with_DC_MWh" that contains the hourly loads with the added data center loads for a given BA-year-scenario combination. Please refer to the readme file in the root dataset for more information on the file format.

Burleyson, Casey [Pacific Northwest National Labor↗