Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “behavioral modeling”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 757 records · Page 42

Semantic Stealth: Crafting Covert Adversarial Patches for Sentiment Classifiers Using Large Language Models

Deep learning models have been shown to be vulnerable to adversarial attacks, in which perturbations to their inputs cause the model to produce incorrect predictions. As opposed to adversarial attacks in computer vision, where small changes introduced to pixel values can drastically alter a model's output while remaining imperceptible to humans, text-based attacks are difficult to conceal due to the discrete nature of tokens. Consequently, unconstrained gradient-based attacks often produce adversarial examples that lack semantic meaning, rendering them detectable through visual inspection or perplexity filters. In contrast to methods that rely on gradient-based optimization in the embedding space, we propose an approach that leverages a Large Language Model's ability to generate grammatically correct and semantically meaningful text to craft adversarial patches that seamlessly blend in with the original input text. These patches can be used to alter the behavior of a target model, such as a text classifier. Since our approach does not rely on gradient backpropagation, it only requires access to the target model's confidence scores, making it a grey-box attack. We demonstrate the feasibility of our approach using open-source LLMs, including Intel's Neural Chat, Llama2, and Mistral-Instruct, to generate adversarial patches capable of altering the predictions of a distilBERT model fine-tuned on the IMDB reviews dataset for sentiment classification.

Roa Carvajal, Maria↗

Experimental and Numerical Characterization of High Temperature Deformation Behavior of 347H Stainless Steel

This study investigates how temperature affects the plasticity and thermal creep behavior of 347H stainless steel under uniaxial tension. The research combined experimental testing with advanced computational modeling. Two types of experiments were conducted: uniaxial tensile tests at temperatures from 100°C to 750°C using strain rates of ~10⁻⁴ s⁻¹, and creep tests at temperatures between 600°C and 750°C under various stress levels. These experimental results were used to develop and validate a new integrated mechanistic model that can predict material behavior under any loading condition while accounting for both stress and temperature effects. The model was implemented using a polycrystalline microstructure simulation framework based on elasto-viscoplastic Fast Fourier Transform (EVPFFT). It incorporates three key deformation mechanisms: thermally activated dislocation glide, dislocation climb, and vacancy diffusional creep. The model accounts for internal stress distribution within single crystals and considers how precipitates and solute atoms (both interstitial and substitutional) affect dislocation movement. After validation against experimental data, the model was used to generate Ashby-Weertman deformation mechanism maps for 347H steel, providing new insights into how microstructure influences the activation of different creep mechanisms.

Joy, Jobin K.↗

Scientific Discovery with Physics-Informed System Identification (Abbreviated Report)

My fellowship research focused on making physics-based simulations faster and more useful through machine learning. Many problems in science and engineering are governed by partial differential equations, but high-fidelity simulations are often too expensive to run repeatedly. I worked on improving Latent Space Dynamics Identification (LaSDI), a reduced-order modeling framework that compresses large simulation data sets into a smaller representation and then learns how that representation evolves over time. The motivation was to develop reduced models that remain accurate for more challenging systems, especially when predictions must remain reliable over long time intervals or when the underlying dynamics are more complicated than standard methods can easily handle. I also contributed to related work on Quandary, a high-performance software effort for simulation and control of open quantum systems, before focusing primarily on Latent Space Dynamics Identification methods. The main outcomes of the fellowship were two new algorithms (both of which were published), Rollout-LaSDI and Higher-Order LaSDI, together with supporting work on multi-stage Latent Space Dynamics Identification. Rollout-LaSDI improved long-term prediction by training the model to stay accurate over extended time horizons, and Higher-Order LaSDI broadened the method so it could model systems with higher-order time dynamics. My contributions to multistage Latent Space Dynamics Identification also helped show that its later training stages could be simplified without losing effectiveness, and that this behavior held across different model architectures and training strategies. Taken together, these advances improved the accuracy, flexibility, and practical value of reduced-order modeling tools for computational science.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Validation of a Global Geospace Model With a Systems Science Approach Based on Canonical Correlation Analysis

A systems science approach based on canonical correlation analysis (CCA) is applied as a new, behavioral way to validate global geospace models. The biggest novelty of the technique is that it validates models at a system level, whereby a side‐by‐side comparison is performed of CCA applied to a 30‐day observational and the corresponding simulation data sets comprising quiet, moderate and active times. The simulation used the Multiscale Atmosphere‐Geospace Environment (MAGE) model. It is shown that (a) CCA must be combined with sensitivity analysis to be effective, (b) the MAGE model generally reproduces the observed behavior (more so for quieter time intervals), quantified by the intercorrelations between different variables and (c) the technique identifies the SuperMAG SML index as a quantity for which refinements of the model are needed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Dynamic Modeling of Latent Heat Thermal Battery

A dynamic thermodynamic model is constructed in Modelica for the thermal battery portion of a heat pipe integrated thermal battery and is demonstrated using a shakedown test. The model is also leveraged to inform aspects of an experiment configuration. The theory section discusses modeling assumptions of the thermal battery system, establishes how melting and fusing is calculated, and how internal convection is modeled within the thermal battery. The shakedown test uses three charge-standby-discharge-standby cycles in which the charging cycles are 10 hours in length and the discharge cycles are 8 hours. System behavior including heat loss, temperature distributions and divergences, and internal convection behavior are presented. The model is then leveraged to show how experiment design can be informed through testing the model for insulation thickness impact on heat loss, round trip efficiency calculation, and heat tracing control.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Modeling and Analysis of a Micro-reactor using the DireWolf Code Suite

Micro-reactors, specifically those cooled with heat pipes, are tightly coupled systems which require multi-physics tools to accurately model both steady-state and transient behavior. Idaho National Laboratory’s DireWolf code suite is tailor-built to model heat-pipe reactors. DireWolf’s ability to model the coupled steady-state behavior of a heat-pipe micro-reactor are demonstrated herein. The DireWolf modeling methodology is described, and a micro-reactor design is introduced. A full-core model is developed, and the steady-state coupled neutronics-thermal analysis is performed. Results of the analyses, including flux, power, and temperature distributions are presented and discussed. This is a Westinghouse Electric Company (WEC) led publication.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Sensitivity analysis for characterizing the impact of HNGD model on the prediction of hydrogen redistribution in Zircaloy cladding using BISON code

Hydrogen in zirconium cladding is able to precipitate into zirconium hydrides which impacts cladding integrity. The Hydride Nucleation-Growth-Dissolution (HNGD) model in the BISON code accounts for the precipitation and dissolution kinetics of hydride in Zircaloy material. This paper presents global sensitivity analyses of the HNGD model aiming to enhance our understanding of the hydride precipitation phenomena by quantifying the variance that key parameters have on the prediction of hydrogen behavior under various environmental conditions. Here, model predictions are compared to experimental data obtained under two different conditions: 1) with uniformly precharged specimens subjected to a linear thermal gradient, and 2) specimens precharged with a cathodically applied hydride rim at one end of the sample and subjected to an asymmetric thermal gradient. The Sobol sensitivity analysis identifies the key parameters in the HNGD model for both types of specimens. For linear temperature cases, the heat of transport dominates the accuracy of predictions when no precipitation occurs at the cold end, while Terminal Solid Solubility for Dissolution (TSSD) is the most important parameter when precipitation occurs. A large variation in the predicted hydrogen concentration profiles is found in the range of high TSSD due to the occurrence of precipitation. For asymmetric temperature cases, the solubility coefficient gives the largest impact on the predicted hydrogen distribution, as it determines the amount of solute hydrogen dissolved from the initially applied hydride rim. A large discrepancy in hydrogen distribution between simulations and experiments exists with the asymmetric specimens because BISON simulations fail to predict the precipitation of hydride at the cooler end. Comparative studies using former and updated models verifies the significant impact of the hydride growth mechanism on predicted hydrogen concentration profiles. In particular, when hydride initially exists, changes in TSSD generate a large variation in the predicted amount of precipitation by hydride growth, giving large uncertainty in predicting the hydrogen distribution over the sample length. The outputs characterize the significant impact of the hydride growth mechanism in the HNGD model on predicting hydrogen behavior, and improve the understanding of the precipitation of hydride in Zircaloy cladding within a range of expected environmental conditions. The analyses indicate work is still needed to improve the hydride solvus models in the BISON code to accurately predict experimentally observed hydride concentrations and distributions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Utilizing CellBox to Describe Varied Dynamical Systems

CellBox is a hybrid modeling framework that integrates machine-learning approaches with explicit mathematical modeling to determine the behavior of dynamical systems, intended for determining the complex interactions of molecule and phenotype within a cellular environment using perturbation/response-based data. The original work utilized analysis of a melanoma cell line, SK-Mel-133, which we sought to expand to and evaluate effectiveness in describing other nonlinear systems both within and outside of biology. We evaluated with two models. One model is based upon the free-fall of an object under a velocity-dependent drag force; this produced inherent perturbation/response data. The other model is based upon a form of mass-action molecular kinetics; for this, we ran the simulation to steady state in each species for each perturbation and select the steady state as input for CellBox. We determined that CellBox, outside of its original use case, can still strongly predict even non-biological dynamical systems in the small-perturbation regime, with r = 0.99977 to 0.85123, p < 0.05 for freefall. However, CellBox cannot accurately predict behavior within large-perturbation regimes, p >> 0.05 for freefall. In addition, we performed a naïve comparison of CellBox network structure to known network structure in the mass-action model to assess accuracy.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Simplified Numerical Approach to Characterize the Thermal Response of a Moving Bed Solar Reactor

Abstract Concentrated solar thermochemical storage in the form of a zero-emission fuel is a promising option to produce long-duration energy storage. Solar fuel is produced using a cavity reactor that captures concentrated solar radiation from a solar field of heliostats. In this paper, heat transfer model of a tubular plug-flow reactor designed and manufactured for a solar fuel production is presented. Experimental data collected from a fixed bed tubular reactor testing are used for model comparison. The system consists of an externally heated tube with counter-current flowing gas and moving solid particles as the heated media. The proposed model simulates the dynamic behavior of temperature profiles of the tube wall, gas, and particles under various gas flowrates and residence times. The heat transfer between gas–wall, solid particle–wall, and gas–solid particle is numerically studied. The model results are compared with the results of experiments done using a 4 kW furnace with a 150 mm heating zone surrounding a horizontal alumina tube (reactor) with 50.8 mm outer diameter and thickness of 3.175 mm. Solid fixed particles of magnesium manganese oxide (MgMn2O4) with the size of 1 mm are packed within the length of 250 mm at the center of the tube length. Simulation results are assessed with respect to fixed bed experimental data for four different gas flowrates, namely, 5, 10, 15, and 20 standard liters per minute of air, and furnace temperatures in the range of 200–1200 °C. The simulation results showed good agreement with maximum steady state error that is less than 6% of those obtained from the experiments for all runs. The proposed model can be implemented as a low-order physical model for the control of temperature inside plug-flow reactors for thermochemical energy storage applications.

Engineering↗

A Physically-Based Model for Thermo-Oxidative and Hydrolytic Aging of Elastomers

A computationally efficient model is proposed to capture the loss of mechanical performance due to chemical aging that are formed as the competition of chain scission and cross-link formation/dissolution, such as thermo-oxidative aging or hydrolytic aging. The model should be considered an extension of our recent models [1, 2, 3] which further simplifies the matrix behavior based on the assumption of independence of environmental and mechanical damage. The model uses this assumption to reduce the necessary material parameters needed to model constitutive and inelastic behavior of elastomers during aging. To this end, the model can provide accurate predictions of the material performance with the significantly fewer number of fitting parameters. The model is relevant for all decay mechanisms formed by the occurrence of two simultaneous micro-mechanisms; (i) formation/reduction of the cross-links, and (ii) chain scission, both of which are present in thermo-oxidation and hydrolytic aging. Assuming the alteration of the chain density along the aging trajectory is identical to the peroxide cross-link density for thermo-oxidation, and the change of the average molecular weight for hydrolysis, the strain energy of polymer matrix can be rewritten as a function of deformation, deformation history, storage time and aging temperature. Next, the modified network alteration model is formulated for implementation into Finite Element (FE) simulations. The model is built on the presumption of homogeneous and consistent oxygen/water absorption and thus is mainly relevant for relatively thin samples exposed to environmental loads for a long time. The proposed model includes only six physically inspired material parameters. Therefore, while it is computationally efficient, it shows good agreement with own experimental data, which performed on various range of accelerated aging temperatures and times. With respect to its computational efficiency, simplicity, accuracy, and interpret-ability, the model is the right choice for advanced implementations in FE programs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Modification of wind turbine wakes by large-scale, convective atmospheric boundary layer structures

In this study, we consider the impact of large-scale, convective structures in an unstable atmospheric boundary layer on wind turbine wakes. Simulation data from a high-fidelity large-eddy simulation (LES) of the AWAKEN wind farm site matching unstable atmospheric conditions were analyzed, and both turbine performance and wake behavior were affected based on their location relative to the convective structures. Turbines located in updraft regions of the flow experienced lower inflow velocity and generated less power, but their wakes were observed to recover faster and saw greater turbulent kinetic energy mixing higher in the boundary layer. The opposite effect was found for turbines in the downdraft regions of the convective structures. A simplified model of this wake behavior was also developed based on a two-dimensional k–ε Reynolds-Averaged Navier–Stokes formulation. This simplified model included the effects of vertical transport, but could be efficiently solved as a parabolic system, and was found to capture similar wake modifications observed in the high-fidelity LES computations.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Data‐Driven Safety Risk Prediction of Lithium‐Ion Battery

Abstract Inevitable safety issues have pushed battery engineers to become more conservative in battery system design; however, battery‐involved accidents still frequently are reported in headlines. Identifying, understanding, and predicting safety risks have become priorities to further accelerate technology and industry development. However, diverse loading scenarios, significantly varied stress‐induced short circuit mechanisms, and highly coupled mechanical–electrochemical safety behaviors have remained grand challenges. Herein, the safety risk is termed as the probability of the mechanical triggering of an internal short circuit, to reflect the safety related behaviors of lithium‐ion batteries. Based on a mechanical model and experimental results, a sufficient dataset is generated consisting of strain states and their corresponding safety risks, covering both cylindrical and pouch cells, various states of charges, and loading conditions. Machine‐learning tools combined with the established finite element mechanical model are applied to predict the safety risks of the cells. The results achieve a high level of accuracy on the test data (the relative error of the average short circuit prediction deviation is less than 6.2%.). This work underpins the safety risk concept and highlights the promise of physics combined with data‐driven modeling methodology to predict the safety behaviors of energy storage systems.

Jia, Yikai↗

Microcanonical Kinetics of Water-Mediated Proton Transfer in 4ABAH + ·(H 2 O) n = 4–6 Clusters (ABA = Aminobenzoic Acid): A Model System for Size-Dependent Relaxation to Ergodic Behavior

Here, we leverage the unique properties of the 4ABAH + · (H 2 O) n clusters (ABA = 4-aminobenzoic acid, n = 4−6) to quantitatively address how a finite, isolated system evolves into an ergodic condition starting from localized arrangements in configuration space. This system adopts two distinct structural isomers in which water molecules cluster around the cationic centers of its two protomers with widely separated positive charge centers. These isomers arise from excess proton attachment to either the acid (O) or amino (N) group on opposite sides of the benzene ring. Both forms are captured and kinetically trapped using cryogenic ion methods and then selectively vibrationally excited through their mutually exclusive IR bands involving NH and OH stretching fundamentals. Because the IR excitation lies below the water binding energy, the system can evolve to explore slow, rare events that lead to the interconversion between the two isomers. The rates of these intracluster reactions are determined by using a pump−probe scheme involving ∼5 ns IR pump and UV probe lasers. The rates occur on the microsecond time scale, leading to steady state populations of the isomers, thus revealing the cluster size-dependent fractionation between the two species at microcanonical equilibrium. The steady state distributions are correlated with the expected trend in the cluster size-dependent reaction energetics, which are in turn consistent with changes in the relative densities of states of the two species. These results thus provide an unusually clear example in which complex, protic-solvent-mediated chemical transformations are captured within a finite system at a precisely determined internal energy.

Rana, Abhijit [Yale Univ., New Haven, CT (United S↗

Linking the Dynamic Response of the Carbon Dioxide-Concentrating Mechanism to Carbon Assimilation Behavior in Fremyella diplosiphon

ABSTRACT Cyanobacteria use a carbon dioxide (CO 2 )-concentrating mechanism (CCM) that enhances their carbon fixation efficiency and is regulated by many environmental factors that impact photosynthesis, including carbon availability, light levels, and nutrient access. Efforts to connect the regulation of the CCM by these factors to functional effects on carbon assimilation rates have been complicated by the aqueous nature of cyanobacteria. Here, we describe the use of cyanobacteria in a semiwet state on glass fiber filtration discs—cyanobacterial discs—to establish dynamic carbon assimilation behavior using gas exchange analysis. In combination with quantitative PCR (qPCR) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) analyses, we linked the regulation of CCM components to corresponding carbon assimilation behavior in the freshwater, filamentous cyanobacterium Fremyella diplosiphon . Inorganic carbon (C i ) levels, light quantity, and light quality have all been shown to influence carbon assimilation behavior in F. diplosiphon . Our results suggest a biphasic model of cyanobacterial carbon fixation. While behavior at low levels of CO 2 is driven mainly by the C i uptake ability of the cyanobacterium, at higher CO 2 levels, carbon assimilation behavior is multifaceted and depends on C i availability, carboxysome morphology, linear electron flow, and cell shape. Carbon response curves (CRCs) generated via gas exchange analysis enable rapid examination of CO 2 assimilation behavior in cyanobacteria and can be used for cells grown under distinct conditions to provide insight into how CO 2 assimilation correlates with the regulation of critical cellular functions, such as the environmental control of the CCM and downstream photosynthetic capacity. IMPORTANCE Environmental regulation of photosynthesis in cyanobacteria enhances organismal fitness, light capture, and associated carbon fixation under dynamic conditions. Concentration of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) near the carbon-fixing enzyme RubisCO occurs via the CO 2 -concentrating mechanism (CCM). The CCM is also tuned in response to carbon availability, light quality or levels, or nutrient access—cues that also impact photosynthesis. We adapted dynamic gas exchange methods generally used with plants to investigate environmental regulation of the CCM and carbon fixation capacity using glass fiber-filtered cells of the cyanobacterium Fremyella diplosiphon . We describe a breakthrough in measuring real-time carbon uptake and associated assimilation capacity for cells grown in distinct conditions (i.e., light quality, light quantity, or carbon status). These measurements demonstrate that the CCM modulates carbon uptake and assimilation under low-C i conditions and that light-dependent regulation of pigmentation, cell shape, and downstream stages of carbon fixation are critical for tuning carbon uptake and assimilation.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Numerically Testing Conceptual Models of the Utah FORGE Reservoir Using July 2023 Circulation Test Data

Over the past several years, many new data sets have become available regarding the characterization of the Utah FORGE reservoir. These include, but are not limited to, the stimulation of Well 16A, the drilling and completion of Well 16B, and interwell circulation confirmatory testing. As part of the characterization efforts, conceptual models of the reservoir are re-examined as new data become available. As part of the planning for FORGE activities, numerical models are often used to predict the reservoir response to the planned testing. Stochastic methods are often employed to bound uncertainty and allow for evaluation of comprehensive ranges of key reservoir parameters. For the most recent interwell circulation confirmatory testing (July 2023), a priori numerical model predictions did bound the observed behavior (Xinj et al., 2023), but key deviations from expected behavior prompted the FORGE team to reevaluate our conceptual model of the reservoir. In early October 2023, key members of the development, testing, and monitoring teams met for 2 days to review newly collected data and discuss ‘interesting’ or ‘key’ observations. From these discussions, 15 Key Observations were documented, with several significant ones being that the discrete fracture network developed from the 16A stimulation data may not be appropriate and that the early time pressure data obtained during the summer 2023 reservoir testing were best described using radial solutions. In July 2023, two campaigns of interwell confirmatory testing were conducted, the first set of tests occurred on July 4-5 and the second set on July 18-19. The second set of circulation tests conducted at the Utah FORGE site between the injection well 16A(78)-32 and production well 16B(78)-32 on July 18 and 19, 2023 are used to calibrate material properties in a thermal-hydraulic-mechanical (THM) simulation of the discrete fracture network connecting the wells. The spatially and temporally varying reservoir properties are calibrated to match the time dependent pressure and production profiles from the circulation tests. In future work, this calibrated model will be coupled to the native state THM model of the FORGE reservoir to predict surface deformation and strains resulting from pumping schedules.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Numerically Testing Conceptual Models of the Utah FORGE Reservoir Using July 2024 Circulation Test Data

Over the past several years, many new data sets have become available regarding the characterization of the Utah FORGE reservoir. These include, but are not limited to, the stimulation of Well 16A, the drilling and completion of Well 16B, and interwell circulation confirmatory testing. As part of the characterization efforts, conceptual models of the reservoir are re-examined as new data become available. As part of the planning for FORGE activities, numerical models are often used to predict the reservoir response to the planned testing. Stochastic methods are often employed to bound uncertainty and allow for evaluation of comprehensive ranges of key reservoir parameters. For the most recent interwell circulation confirmatory testing (July 2023), a priori numerical model predictions did bound the observed behavior (Xinj et al., 2023), but key deviations from expected behavior prompted the FORGE team to reevaluate our conceptual model of the reservoir. In early October 2023, key members of the development, testing, and monitoring teams met for 2 days to review newly collected data and discuss ‘interesting’ or ‘key’ observations. From these discussions, 15 Key Observations were documented, with several significant ones being that the discrete fracture network developed from the 16A stimulation data may not be appropriate and that the early time pressure data obtained during the summer 2023 reservoir testing were best described using radial solutions. In July 2023, two campaigns of interwell confirmatory testing were conducted, the first set of tests occurred on July 4-5 and the second set on July 18-19. The second set of circulation tests conducted at the Utah FORGE site between the injection well 16A(78)-32 and production well 16B(78)-32 on July 18 and 19, 2023 are used to calibrate material properties in a thermal-hydraulic-mechanical (THM) simulation of the discrete fracture network connecting the wells. The spatially and temporally varying reservoir properties are calibrated to match the time dependent pressure and production profiles from the circulation tests. In future work, this calibrated model will be coupled to the native state THM model of the FORGE reservoir to predict surface deformation and strains resulting from pumping schedules.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗