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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 757 records · Page 42

Protorheology

We all instinctively poke, bounce, scoop, and observe materials to understand rheological properties quickly. Yet, these observations are rarely analyzed quantitatively. To address this, here we introduce the paradigm of protorheology: approximate quantitative inference from simple observations. Several case studies demonstrate how protorheology is an inclusive entry to rheology for a broad range of practitioners and strengthens the confidence and interpretation of accurate laboratory measurements. We survey a range of creative tests according to which rheological phenomenon is revealed. Some new working equations are derived, and all working equations are summarized for convenient reference and comparison across different methods. Finally, this establishes a framework to enable increased use of photos, videos, and quantitative inference and to support the increasing interest in digital image analysis, inverse methods, and high-throughput characterization being applied to rheological properties.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Learning an Eddy Viscosity Model Using Shrinkage and Bayesian Calibration: A Jet-in-Crossflow Case Study

In this paper, we demonstrate a statistical procedure for learning a high-order eddy viscosity model (EVM) from experimental data and using it to improve the predictive skill of a Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) simulator. The method is tested in a three-dimensional (3D), transonic jet-in-crossflow (JIC) configuration. The process starts with a cubic eddy viscosity model (CEVM) developed for incompressible flows. It is fitted to limited experimental JIC data using shrinkage regression. The shrinkage process removes all the terms from the model, except an intercept, a linear term, and a quadratic one involving the square of the vorticity. The shrunk eddy viscosity model is implemented in an RANS simulator and calibrated, using vorticity measurements, to infer three parameters. The calibration is Bayesian and is solved using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. A 3D probability density distribution for the inferred parameters is constructed, thus quantifying the uncertainty in the estimate. The phenomenal cost of using a 3D flow simulator inside an MCMC loop is mitigated by using surrogate models (“curve-fits”). A support vector machine classifier (SVMC) is used to impose our prior belief regarding parameter values, specifically to exclude nonphysical parameter combinations. The calibrated model is compared, in terms of its predictive skill, to simulations using uncalibrated linear and CEVMs. Finally, we find that the calibrated model, with one quadratic term, is more accurate than the uncalibrated simulator. The model is also checked at a flow condition at which the model was not calibrated.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Deep-learning-guided high-resolution subsurface reflectivity imaging with application to ground-penetrating radar data

Subsurface reflectivity imaging is one of the most important geophysical characterization methods for revealing subsurface structures. In many cases, accurate subsurface reflectivity imaging is challenging because of, for example, random or coherent noise in the data and sparse source-receiver observation geometry. Here, we develop a deep-learning-guided iterative imaging method to improve subsurface structure imaging. Specifically, we train a supervised neural network to infer a noise-free, high-resolution image from a noisy, low-resolution image and use this estimated image as guidance to regularize least-squares imaging. We develop a systematic method to generate high-quality synthetic training data (data-label pairs) to train the guidance neural network. The trained neural network can provide high-fidelity predictions even for field-data images that are not in the training data. We validate our new imaging method using one synthetic and two field ground-penetrating radar data examples, and find that our method can produce clean, high-resolution subsurface reflectivity images where existing single-pass and least-squares imaging methods fail due to noise and insufficient data coverage.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DiaMonD: An Integrated Multifaceted Approach to Mathematics at the Interfaces of Data, Models, and Decisions

The major goal of the project was to invent, analyze, implement, and apply new algorithms to speed up the computational simulation of complex systems in settings in which multiple simulations are needed. The main efforts we undertook are as follows: 1. Develop novel reduced order methods to reduce the costs of simulations, especially in settings (e.g., UQ, inference, optimization and control) for which numerous simulation are needed and also for nonlocal problems (e.g., fractional derivative, anomalous diffusion, nonlocal mechanics) for which lack of sparsity results in more expensive full-order simulation than encountered in partial differential equations settings; rigorous analyses as well as computational tests were carried out, 2. Develop multifidelity methods based on the usage of a variety of models having different fidelities and different costs to accelerate simulations again in settings where numerous simulations are needed or are especially expensive; rigorous analyses as well as computational tests were carried out, 3. Develop ensemble methods to reduced the costs of simulations again in settings where numerous simulations are needed or are especially expensive; rigorous analyses as well as computational tests were carried out, and 4. Analyze a model for Richardson pair dispersion in turbulent flows and develop discretization methods for the efficient and accurate approximations of the solution of the model; rigorous analyses as well as computational tests were carried out.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Microbial community structure at the U.S.-Joint Global Ocean Flux Study Station ALOHA: Inverse methods for estimating biochemical indicator ratios

Modeling biogeochemical fluxes in the marine plankton requires the application of factors for extrapolation of biomass indicators measured in the field (chlorophyll a, adenosine triphosphate, bacterial counts) to biomass carbon or nitrogen. These are often inferred from culture studies and are poorly constrained for natural populations. At least squares inverse method with a simple linear model constrains the values of several common indicator ratios, giving self-consistent solutions that provide useful information about the structure of the microbial community at our North Pacific Ocean study site (Station ALOHA (A Long-term Oligotrophic Habitat Assessment)). These results indicate that the fraction of the microbial biomass that is autotrophic (pigmented) is greater in the mixed layer than at the deep chlorophyll maximum layer and that heterotrophic bacteria are a significant but not necessarily predominant component of the microbial community in the euphotic zone.

Christian, James R.↗

Semantic Regression for Disentangling Beam Losses in the Fermilab Main Injector and Recycler

Fermilab’s Main Injector enclosure houses two accelerators: the Main Injector (MI) and the Recycler (RR). In periods of joint operation, when both machines contain high intensity beam, radiative beam losses from MI and RR overlap on the enclosure’s beam loss monitoring (BLM) system, making it difficult to attribute those losses to a single machine. Incorrect diagnoses result in unnecessary downtime that incurs both financial and experimental cost. In this work, we introduce a novel neural approach for automatically disentangling each machine’s contributions to those measured losses. Using a continuous adaptation of the popular UNet architecture in conjunction with a novel data augmentation scheme, our model accurately infers the machine of origin on a per-BLM basis in periods of joint and independent operation. Crucially, by extracting beam loss information at varying receptive fields, the method is capable of learning both local and global machine signatures and producing high quality inferences using only raw BLM loss measurements.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Physics-Based Machine Learning Methods for U-235 Forensics Signatures

Signatures of low-intensity U-235 sources have been recently studied by utilizing a variety of machine learning (ML) classifiers using features derived from gamma spectral measurements collectedunder structured campaigns. Several ML classifiers, such as ensemble of tress and classification trees, revealed misleadingly-optimistic training error due to over-fitting, and furthermore,their performance is not directly relatable to the physical properties due to their data-driven, opaque designs. We present a regression-based ML method that first estimates the inverse distanceto the source and then utilizes a threshold to infer its presence, by representing the background as a source located at an infinite distance. For the inverse distance estimation, we study the ensembleof trees and Gaussian process regression methods, and a hyper parameter auto-tuning and selection method that employs five regression estimators. These methods avoid the over-fittingobserved in several ML classifiers, while providing the classification error nearly comparable to them based on independent test data. Their error is directly related to estimates of the inversephysical distance to source, and the precision of error determines the seperability property that determines the false alarm and missed detection rates. The property of monotonic decrease of thesource strength with increasing detector distance combined with Poisson distribution of measurements is utilized to analytically validate these methods by deriving the generalization equations ofunderlying regression methods.

Rao, Nageswara↗

Learning and tuning fuzzy logic controllers through reinforcements

This paper presents a new method for learning and tuning a fuzzy logic controller based on reinforcements from a dynamic system. In particular, our generalized approximate reasoning-based intelligent control (GARIC) architecture (1) learns and tunes a fuzzy logic controller even when only weak reinforcement, such as a binary failure signal, is available; (2) introduces a new conjunction operator in computing the rule strengths of fuzzy control rules; (3) introduces a new localized mean of maximum (LMOM) method in combining the conclusions of several firing control rules; and (4) learns to produce real-valued control actions. Learning is achieved by integrating fuzzy inference into a feedforward neural network, which can then adaptively improve performance by using gradient descent methods. We extend the AHC algorithm of Barto et al. (1983) to include the prior control knowledge of human operators. The GARIC architecture is applied to a cart-pole balancing system and demonstrates significant improvements in terms of the speed of learning and robustness to changes in the dynamic system's parameters over previous schemes for cart-pole balancing.

Berenji, Hamid R.↗

Lens Modeling of STRIDES Strongly Lensed Quasars Using Neural Posterior Estimation

Strongly lensed quasars can be used to constrain cosmological parameters through time-delay cosmography. Models of the lens masses are a necessary component of this analysis. To enable time-delay cosmography from a sample of $\mathcal{O}(10^3)$ lenses, which will soon become available from surveys like the Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time and the Euclid Wide Survey, we require fast and standardizable modeling techniques. To address this need, we apply neural posterior estimation (NPE) for modeling galaxy-scale strongly lensed quasars from the Strong Lensing Insights into the Dark Energy Survey (STRIDES) sample. NPE brings two advantages: speed and the ability to implicitly marginalize over nuisance parameters. We extend this method by employing sequential NPE to increase precision of mass model posteriors. We then fold individual lens models into a hierarchical Bayesian inference to recover the population distribution of lens mass parameters, accounting for out-of-distribution shift. After verifying our method using simulated analogs of the STRIDES lens sample, we apply our method to 14 Hubble Space Telescope single-filter observations. We find the population mean of the power-law elliptical mass distribution slope, γ lens , to be $\mathcal{M}_γ$ lens = 2.13 ± 0.06. Our result represents the first population-level constraint for these systems. This population-level inference from fully automated modeling is an important stepping stone toward cosmological inference with large samples of strongly lensed quasars.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A Multipole Expansion Method for Analyzing Lightning Field Changes

Changes in the surface electric field are frequently used to infer the locations and magnitudes of lightning-caused changes in thundercloud charge distributions. The traditional procedure is to assume that the charges that are effectively deposited by the flash can be modeled either as a single point charge (the Q model) or a point dipole (the P model). The Q model has four unknown parameters and provides a good description of many cloud-to-ground (CG) flashes. The P model has six unknown parameters and describes many intracloud (IC) discharges. In this paper we introduce a new analysis method that assumes that the change in the cloud charge can be described by a truncated multipole expansion, i.e., there are both monopole and dipole terms in the unknown source distribution, and both terms are applied simultaneously. This method can be used to analyze CG flashes that are accompanied by large changes in the cloud dipole moment and complex IC discharges. If there is enough information content in the measurements, the model can also be generalized to include quadrupole and higher order terms. The parameters of the charge moments are determined using a dme-dimensional grid search in combination with a linear inversion, and because of this, local minima in the error function and the associated solution ambiguities are avoided. The multipole method has been tested on computer-simulated sources and on natural lightning at the NASA Kennedy Space Center and U.S. Air Force Eastern Range.

Koshak, William J.↗

Quantification of uncertainty in photon source spot size inference during laser-driven radiography experiments at TRIDENT

Images of the R2DTO resolution target were obtained during laser-driven-radiography experiments performed at the TRIDENT laser facility, and analysis of these images using the Bayesian Inference Engine (BIE) determines a most probable full-width half maximum (FWHM) spot size of 78 μm. However, significant uncertainty prevails due to variation in the measured detector blur. Propagating this uncertainty in detector blur through the forward model results in an interval of probabilistic ambiguity spanning approximately 35-195 μm when the laser energy impinges on a thick (1 mm) tantalum target. In other phases of the experiment, laser energy is deposited on a thin (~100 nm) aluminum target placed 250 μm ahead of the tantalum converter. When the energetic electron beam is generated in this manner, upstream from the bremsstrahlung converter, the inferred spot size shifts to a range of much larger values, approximately 270-600 μm FWHM. This report discusses methods applied to obtain these intervals as well as concepts necessary for interpreting the result within a context of probabilistic quantitative inference.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Kinetic modeling of microbial growth, enzyme activity, and gene deletions: An integrated model of β-glucosidase function in Cellvibrio japonicus

Understanding the complex growth and metabolic dynamics in microorganisms requires advanced kinetic models containing both metabolic reactions and enzymatic regulation to predict phenotypic behaviors under different conditions and perturbations. Most current kinetic models lack gene expression dynamics and are separately calibrated to distinct media, which consequently makes them unable to account for genetic perturbations or multiple substrates. This challenge limits our ability to gain a comprehensive understanding of microbial processes towards advanced metabolic optimizations that are desired for many biotechnology applications. Here, we present an integrated computational and experimental approach for the development and optimization of mechanistic kinetic models for microbial growth and metabolic and enzymatic dynamics. Our approach integrates growth dynamics, gene expression, protein secretion, and gene-deletion phenotypes. We applied this methodology to build a dynamic model of the growth kinetics in batch culture of the bacterium Cellvibrio japonicus grown using either cellobiose or glucose media. The model parameters were inferred from an experimental data set using an evolutionary computation method. The resulting model was able to explain the growth dynamics of C. japonicus using either cellobiose or glucose media and was also able to accurately predict the metabolite concentrations in the wild-type strain as well as in β-glucosidase gene deletion mutant strains. We validated the model by correctly predicting the non-diauxic growth and metabolite consumptions of the wild-type strain in a mixed medium containing both cellobiose and glucose, made further predictions of mutant strains growth phenotypes when using cellobiose and glucose media, and demonstrated the utility of the model for designing industrially-useful strains. Importantly, the model is able to explain the role of the different β-glucosidases and their behavior under genetic perturbations. Here, this integrated approach can be extended to other metabolic pathways to produce mechanistic models for the comprehensive understanding of enzymatic functions in multiple substrates.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Quantifying the role of land-atmosphere feedbacks in mediating near-surface temperature persistence

Weather persistence from month to month is an important source of predictability on the intraseasonal time-scale. Persistence in the lower troposphere is thought to be mainly due to dynamical feedbacks between the atmosphere and physical variables at or below the surface. Many recent improvements of dynamical seasonal forecasting models have been due to better initialisations and representations of the lower boundary. While many physical mechanisms that mediate persistence are well-understood, they have not previously been considered simultaneously in a causal framework. Here we use linear methods that are widely used in the field of causal inference in statistics to identify mediators between persistent near-surface temperature anomalies from one month to the next. The variables considered are soil temperature and soil moisture at four levels, and snow depth. In Northern Europe, the high persistence of temperature in summer is shown to be mediated mainly by soil temperature anomalies. The high persistence in winter is mediated by snow depth and soil moisture in addition to soil temperature. The annual cycles of persistence are also investigated for the mid- and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, confirming the important role of soil temperature in summer. Snow depth is an important mediator when, and where, its interannual variability is large: in winter at midlatitudes and in spring and autumn at high latitudes. The novel contribution of this study is the introduction of a linear causal methodology and a holistic approach that allows quantification and comparison of the different roles of soil variables and snow depth in mediating near-surface temperature persistence.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

The Interplay between Salt Association and the Dielectric Properties of Low Permittivity Electrolytes: The Case of LiPF 6 and LiAsF 6 in Dimethyl Carbonate

Here, we present evidence that the dielectric constant of an electrolyte solution can be effectively used to infer the association regime of the salt species from computational methods. As case studies, we consider the low dielectric constant solvent dimethyl carbonate with LiAsF 6 and LiPF 6 salts at low concentrations. Using both quantum “ab initio” methods as well classical molecular dynamics simulations, we elucidate the salt’s contribution to the dielectric constant as well as the dipolar relaxation times, which act as quantitative signatures. By comparing to previously published measurements, we provide strong evidence for the presence of contact-ion pairs at these low concentrations. Interestingly, these ion pairs increase the dielectric constant of the solution, allowing for significantly improved ionic conductivity as a function of salt concentrations. We also discuss the role of multimeric equilibrium species as contributors to the functional properties of designer electrolytes, such as dielectric properties of the solution and ionic conductivity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Remote Sensing Improves Multi‐Hazard Flooding and Extreme Heat Detection by Fivefold Over Current Estimates

The co‐occurrence of multiple hazards is of growing concern globally as the frequency and magnitude of extreme climate events increases. Despite studies examining the spatial distribution of such events, there has been little work in examining if all relevant life threatening and damaging hazards are captured in existing hazard databases and by common hazard metrics. For example, local/regional flash flooding events are seldom captured by optical satellite instruments and are subsequently excluded from global hazard databases. Similarly, the heat hazard definitions most frequently used in multi‐hazard studies inherently fail to capture events that are life‐threatening but climatologically within an expected range. Our goal is to determine the potential for increasing multi‐hazard event detection capabilities by inferring additional hazard footprints from widely accessible satellite data. We use daily precipitation and temperature satellite data to develop an open‐source framework that infers additional hazard footprints that are not included in traditional methods. With the state of Texas as our study area, we detected 2.5 times as many flood hazards, equivalent to $320 million in property and crop damages. Furthermore, our expanded heat hazard definition increases the impacted area by 56.6%, equivalent to 91.5 million km 2 over an 18 year period. Increasing hazard detection capabilities and expanding existing definitions of hazards using daily satellite data increases the temporal and spatial resolutions at which multi‐hazard events are detected. Having more complete data sets of all relevant hazard extents improves our ability to track global trends and more accurately determine the magnitude of hazard exposure inequities.

equity↗

DES Y1 Results: validating cosmological parameter estimation using simulated Dark Energy Surveys

We use mock galaxy survey simulations designed to resemble the Dark Energy Survey Year 1 (DES Y1) data to validate and inform cosmological parameter estimation. When similar analysis tools are applied to both simulations and real survey data, they provide powerful validation tests of the DES Y1 cosmological analyses presented in companion papers. We use two suites of galaxy simulations produced using different methods, which therefore provide independent tests of our cosmological parameter inference. The cosmological analysis we aim to validate is presented in DES Collaboration et al. (2017) and uses angular two-point correlation functions of galaxy number counts and weak lensing shear, as well as their cross-correlation, in multiple redshift bins. While our constraints depend on the specific set of simulated realisations available, for both suites of simulations we find that the input cosmology is consistent with the combined constraints from multiple simulated DES Y1 realizations in the $\Omega_m-\sigma_8$ plane. For one of the suites, we are able to show with high confidence that any biases in the inferred $S_8=\sigma_8(\Omega_m/0.3)^{0.5}$ and $\Omega_m$ are smaller than the DES Y1 $1-\sigma$ uncertainties. For the other suite, for which we have fewer realizations, we are unable to be this conclusive; we infer a roughly 70% probability that systematic biases in the recovered $\Omega_m$ and $S_8$ are sub-dominant to the DES Y1 uncertainty. Furthermore, as cosmological analyses of this kind become increasingly more precise, validation of parameter inference using survey simulations will be essential to demonstrate robustness.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗