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At least 757 records · Page 42

Evaluation of NASA's end-to-end data systems using DSDS+

The Data Systems Dynamic Simulator (DSDS+) is a software tool being developed by the authors to evaluate candidate architectures for NASA's end-to-end data systems. Via modeling and simulation, we are able to quickly predict the performance characteristics of each architecture, to evaluate 'what-if' scenarios, and to perform sensitivity analyses. As such, we are using modeling and simulation to help NASA select the optimal system configuration, and to quantify the performance characteristics of this system prior to its delivery. This paper is divided into the following six sections: (1) The role of modeling and simulation in the systems engineering process. In this section, we briefly describe the different types of results obtained by modeling each phase of the systems engineering life cycle, from concept definition through operations and maintenance; (2) Recent applications of DSDS+. In this section, we describe ongoing applications of DSDS+ in support of the Earth Observing System (EOS), and we present some of the simulation results generated of candidate system designs. So far, we have modeled individual EOS subsystems (e.g. the Solid State Recorders used onboard the spacecraft), and we have also developed an integrated model of the EOS end-to-end data processing and data communications systems (from the payloads onboard to the principle investigator facilities on the ground); (3) Overview of DSDS+. In this section we define what a discrete-event model is, and how it works. The discussion is presented relative to the DSDS+ simulation tool that we have developed, including it's run-time optimization algorithms that enables DSDS+ to execute substantially faster than comparable discrete-event simulation tools; (4) Summary. In this section, we summarize our findings and 'lessons learned' during the development and application of DSDS+ to model NASA's data systems; (5) Further Information; and (6) Acknowledgements.

Rouff, Christopher↗

Exploring Ridesharing in Passenger Urban Air Mobility: A Comparative Analysis

There is growing interest in urban air mobility (UAM) as an alternative for passenger and cargo transport around metropolitan areas in a multimodal transportation system that leverages small, electric aircraft. Ridesharing has been proposed as a means of making UAM passenger trips more affordable and environmentally friendly. We present a UAM ridesharing model integrated into an existing computational framework for analyzing daily work commute trips within a metropolitan area. We leverage this model to estimate the potential demand for ridesharing-enabled UAM trips within six metropolitan areas across the United States: Chicago, IL; Cleveland, OH; Dallas, TX; Denver, CO; New York City, NY; and Orlando, FL. We compare results for each metropolitan area with and without ridesharing. Results indicate that ridesharing enables at least an order of magnitude more UAM-preferring passengers than without ridesharing, though specifics vary across metropolitan areas and network sizes. Enabling ridesharing in UAM also considerably lowers the mean and mode value of time for passengers that select the UAM mode, indicating that ridesharing can help make UAM more economically accessible to a larger set of the population. An important caveat is that the UAM ridesharing model does not account for operational constraints, such as aerodrome capacity and aircraft availability, and relies on a perfect knowledge of passenger movements and mode preferences. This leads to high UAM ridesharing volumes that are unlikely to reflect real-world UAM operations and thus serves as an upper bound estimate.

advanced air mobility↗

Exploring Ridesharing in Passenger Urban Air Mobility: A Comparative Analysis

There is growing interest in urban air mobility (UAM) as an alternative for passenger and cargo transport around metropolitan areas in a multimodal transportation system that leverages small, electric aircraft. Ridesharing has been proposed as a means of making UAM passenger trips more affordable and environmentally friendly. We present a UAM ridesharing model integrated into an existing computational framework for analyzing daily work commute trips within a metropolitan area. We leverage this model to estimate the potential demand for ridesharing-enabled UAM trips within six metropolitan areas across the United States: Chicago, IL; Cleveland, OH; Dallas, TX; Denver, CO; New York City, NY; and Orlando, FL. We compare results for each metropolitan area with and without ridesharing. Results indicate that ridesharing enables at least an order of magnitude more UAM-preferring passengers than without ridesharing, though specifics vary across metropolitan areas and network sizes. Enabling ridesharing in UAM also considerably lowers the mean and mode value of time for passengers that select the UAM mode, indicating that ridesharing can help make UAM more economically accessible to a larger set of the population. An important caveat is that the UAM ridesharing model does not account for operational constraints, such as aerodrome capacity and aircraft availability, and relies on a perfect knowledge of passenger movements and mode preferences. This leads to high UAM ridesharing volumes that are unlikely to reflect real-world UAM operations and thus serves as an upper bound estimate.

advanced air mobility↗

A mesoscale crystal plasticity model to predict room-temperature deformation and martensitic transformation of high-strength Quenching and Partitioning (Q&P) Steels and validation with synchrotron X-ray diffraction

Renowned for the superior mechanical properties and adeptness at cold-forming, Quenching and Partitioning (QP) steels have gained prominence as a promising candidate material in fabricating safety-critical components in various industries. The pertinent research on QP steels focus on the martensitic transformation of the Retained Austenite (RA) phase during cold-forming, a crucial mechanism that substantially influences the overall strength and ductility of QP steels. The austenite stability and transformation rate heavily rely on the local strain path and the initial microstructure, which is challenging for analytical prediction. In this paper, a mesoscale model is developed to capture the deformation and transformation kinetics of QP steels inside the microstructure. The model integrates the detailed explicit microstructure, acquired from characterization experiments, into a high-resolution finite element (FE) mesh. It distinctly model the deformation and interaction between the various phases and the effect on the transformation of RA. The model is validated with high energy X-ray diffraction (HEXRD) data, and shows excellent capability in predicting the asymmetric stress-strain behavior under uniaxial tension and compression, as well as the martensitic transformation rate. The model is used to investigate the strain and load partitioning effect of surrounding matrix to the transformation of RA, offering insights into the complex behavior of QP980 and facilitates further material development.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Numerical optimization of gasdynamic lasers

A sophisticated numerical optimization procedure has been coupled to a detailed theoretical model of the carbon dioxide gasdynamic laser (GDL) for the purpose of systematically evaluating the performance of these systems. The integrated model was used to predict the performance of a wide variety of combustion-driven gasdynamic lasers and was then used to maximize the theoretical available specific energy of these lasers. Up to six design variables and three nonlinear constraints were used in these optimizations, although the method is not limited to this number. Results are presented to show the performance of typical lasers before and after optimization. Improvements approaching a factor of two in the available specific energy are found, suggesting that numerical optimization techniques are valuable in improving the design of gasdynamic lasers.

Saunders, R. C., III↗

Comparative solar EUV flux for the San Marco ASSI

The Airglow and Solar Spectrometer Instrument (ASSI) on the San Marco D/L satellite has measured solar extreme ultraviolet irradiances. The data are currently being released for analysis. As a preliminary step in evaluating this important dataset, modeled solar irradiances from 4 to 105 nm are presented for comparison to the San Marco data. The comparable flux for March-December 1988 is obtained from a revised and extended empirical solar EUV model derived from OSO 1, OSO 3, OSO 4, OSO 6, AEROS A, and AE-E satellite and six rocket flight datasets. Solar rotational features are prominent on several occasions in the model time series. A useful example is the modeled integrated flux between 30-31 nm which includes the Si XI (30.3-nm) and He II (30.4-nm) irradiance. The modeled flux in this 1-nm range shows both an absolute 22 percent increase from beginning to end of mission and a solar rotational variability with a typical peak-to-valley ratio of 14 percent.

Tobiska, W. K.↗

GMS-based"Future Time" Rainfall Data Assimilation for Mesoscale Weather Prediction over Korean Peninsula and Future Prospects with GPM Satellite Measurements

This study examines the use of satellite-derived nowcasted (short-term forecasted) rainfall over 3-hour time periods to gain an equivalent time increment in initializing a nonhydrostatic mesoscale model used for predicting convective rainfall events over the Korean peninsula. Infrared (IR) window measurements from the Japanese Geostationary Meteorological Satellite (GMS) are used to specify latent heating for a spinup period of the model - but in future time -- thus initializing in advance of actual time in the framework of a prediction scenario. The main scientific objective of the study is to investigate the strengths and weaknesses of this approach insofar as data assimilation, in which the nowcasted assimilation data are derived independently of the prognostic model itself. Although there have been various recent improvements in formulating the dynamics, thermodynamics, and microphysics of mesoscale models, as well as computer advances which allow the use of high resolution cloud-resolving grids and explicit latent heating over regional domains, spinup remains at the forefront of unresolved mesoscale modeling problems. In general, non-realistic spinup limits the skill in predicting the spatial-temporal distribution of convection and precipitation, primarily in the early hours of a. forecast, stemming from standard prognostic variables not representing the initial diabatic heating field produced by the ambient convection and cloud fields. The long-term goal of this research is to improve short-range (12-hour) quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF) over the Korean peninsula through the use of innovative data assimilation methods based on geosynchronous satellite measurements. As a step in th~s direction, a non-standard data assimilation experiment in conjunction with GMS-retrieved nowcasted rainfall information introduced to the mesoscale model is conducted. The 3-hourly precipitation forecast information is assimilated through nudging the associated diabatic heating during the early stages of a forecast period. This procedure is expected to enhance details in the moisture field during model integration, and thus improve spinup performance, assuming the errors in the future time latent heating data ate less than intrinsic model background errors.

Smith, Eric A.↗

MULTIPHYSICS-MODELING OF FIRE-INDUCED URANIUM AEROSOL FORMATION – A-POSTERIORI BENCHMARKING OF EXPERIMENTS

The formulation and solution of a model that properly described the temperature profiles of uranium in fire conditions was prepared, verified and validated, to support a-posteriori benchmarking of historical experiments. Data from the multi-physics model combined with data regression from the experiments provides a useful tool for exploring sources of potential bias in historical experiments. The approaches used are augmented by visual observations and photographic evidence allowing for correlations between various phenomena, independent of whether or not that specific phenomena are part of the validated model. In this manner, the validated model is a tool for a-posteriori benchmarking, and not a model designed to replicate the experimental output exactly for any specific experiment. For experiments like the Clark (2015) experiments, this integrated model (including chemistry) demonstrated that the largest bias was associated in the metallurgy of the coupons. The model developed does serve as a basis for defending which of the historical alloys tested are the most appropriate for any other alloy being considered (e.g., one that has not yet been tested). The model identifies key reactions that impact uranium chemistry and can significantly bias experimental results. Through use of the model and energy balances, data from historical experiments by Elder and Tinkle (1980) were regressed and benchmarked. This study identifies that all uranium alloys are not equal and that there are distinct differences between the dominant alloys representing distinct metallurgical phases.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Superdiffusive transport of energy in one-dimensional metals

Metals in one spatial dimension are described at the lowest energy scales by the Luttinger liquid theory. It is well understood that this free theory, and even interacting integrable models, can support ballistic transport of conserved quantities including energy. In contrast, realistic one-dimensional metals, even without disorder, contain integrability-breaking interactions that are expected to lead to thermalization and conventional diffusive linear response. We argue that the expansion of energy when such a nonintegrable Luttinger liquid is locally heated above its ground state shows superdiffusive behavior (i.e., spreading of energy that is intermediate between diffusion and ballistic propagation), by combining an analytical anomalous diffusion model with numerical matrix-product–state calculations on a specific perturbed spinless fermion chain. Different metals will have different scaling exponents and shapes in their energy spreading, but the superdiffusive behavior is stable and should be visible in time-resolved experiments.

Bulchandani, Vir B.↗

Modeling beta-adrenergic control of cardiac myocyte contractility in silico

The beta-adrenergic signaling pathway regulates cardiac myocyte contractility through a combination of feedforward and feedback mechanisms. We used systems analysis to investigate how the components and topology of this signaling network permit neurohormonal control of excitation-contraction coupling in the rat ventricular myocyte. A kinetic model integrating beta-adrenergic signaling with excitation-contraction coupling was formulated, and each subsystem was validated with independent biochemical and physiological measurements. Model analysis was used to investigate quantitatively the effects of specific molecular perturbations. 3-Fold overexpression of adenylyl cyclase in the model allowed an 85% higher rate of cyclic AMP synthesis than an equivalent overexpression of beta 1-adrenergic receptor, and manipulating the affinity of Gs alpha for adenylyl cyclase was a more potent regulator of cyclic AMP production. The model predicted that less than 40% of adenylyl cyclase molecules may be stimulated under maximal receptor activation, and an experimental protocol is suggested for validating this prediction. The model also predicted that the endogenous heat-stable protein kinase inhibitor may enhance basal cyclic AMP buffering by 68% and increasing the apparent Hill coefficient of protein kinase A activation from 1.0 to 2.0. Finally, phosphorylation of the L-type calcium channel and phospholamban were found sufficient to predict the dominant changes in myocyte contractility, including a 2.6x increase in systolic calcium (inotropy) and a 28% decrease in calcium half-relaxation time (lusitropy). By performing systems analysis, the consequences of molecular perturbations in the beta-adrenergic signaling network may be understood within the context of integrative cellular physiology.

Non-NASA Center↗

District-Scale Analysis of Electricity Load and Strategies to Improve Energy Reliability Using Prototype District Models

Projected increases in electricity demand in the U.S. highlight the urgent need for effective load management to ensure grid reliability. As the building sector accounts for approximately 75% of electricity usage, enhancing energy efficiency and flexibility in this sector is crucial. Adopting district-level approaches offers significant advantages over traditional individual building analyses by enabling shared infrastructure and economies of scale. To navigate the data and computational challenges associated with modeling energy at the district level, prototype district models have been proposed as holistic, system-level solutions that capture complex interactions within typical configurations. This study presents these models as a reference tool for analyzing district-scale energy systems across various climate zones in the U.S. Developed with input from stakeholders, these models integrate varied building characteristics, inter-building connections, and energy system interactions. A case study utilizing the Urban Edge prototype district model, implemented on the URBANopt™ platform, evaluates multiple demand scenarios and the impact of distributed energy resources such as fuel-fired backup generators, photovoltaic systems, and batteries. Findings suggest that while new electric systems can significantly reduce annual energy use, they may also elevate peak electricity loads, with a notable 43% increase in heating-dominant climate zone 5B. The optimal backup power solutions vary based on location, influenced by factors such as utility rates and incentives. For example, PV and batteries perform well in high-cost regions like New York City, while diesel backup generators are more suitable for backup needs in climate zone 3A, such as Atlanta. Thus, this research highlights the importance of prototype district models for future district-scale energy planning.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Optimal Client Sampling in Federated Learning with Client-level Heterogeneous Differential Privacy

Federated Learning with client-level differential privacy (DP) provides a promising framework for collaboratively training models while rigorously protecting clients’ privacy. However, classic approaches like DP-FedAvg struggle when clients have heterogeneous privacy requirements, as they must uniformly enforce the strictest privacy level across all clients, leading to excessive DP noise and significant degradation in model utility. Existing methods to improve the model utility in such heterogeneous privacy settings often assume a trusted server and are largely heuristic, resulting in suboptimal performance and lacking strong theoretical foundations. Here, in this work, we address these challenges under a practical attack model where both clients and the server are honest-but-curious. We propose GDPFed, which partitions clients into groups based on their privacy budgets and achieves client-level DP within each group to reduce the privacy budget waste and hence improve the model utility. Based on the privacy and convergence analysis of GDPFed, we find that the magnitude of DP noise depends on both model dimensionality and the per-group client sampling ratios. To further improve the performance of GDPFed, we introduce GDPFed+, which integrates model sparsification to eliminate unnecessary noise and optimizes per-group client sampling ratios to minimize convergence error. Extensive empirical evaluations on multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of GDPFed+, showing substantial performance gains compared with state-of-the-art methods.

Xu, Jiahao [Univ. of Nevada, Reno, NV (United Stat↗

Long Duration Exposure Facility (LDEF) contamination modeling

The Integrated Spacecraft Environments Model (ISEM) was used to model the LDEF induced neutral molecular environment at several different times and altitudes during the mission. The purpose of this effort was to provide the community with an estimate of the neutral molecular environment to assist in phenomenology studies.

Gordon, Tim↗

Uncertainty analysis for techno-economic and life-cycle assessment of wet waste hydrothermal liquefaction with centralized upgrading to produce fuel blendstocks

Wet waste hydrothermal liquefaction is a promising technology for producing transportation fuels with much lower greenhouse gases emissions than petroleum-based fuels. However, its techno-economic and life cycle assessment are primarily based on laboratory scale testing data, subject to considerable uncertainties, and even bias, due to knowledge gaps. Here, a preliminary uncertainty analysis of key economic measures was conducted based on the 2019 state-of-technology model for biocrude production. Building on the preliminary analysis, this work presents a comprehensive uncertainty analysis in both economic and environmental measures of the entire supply chain of wet waste hydrothermal liquefaction to fuel blendstocks including biocrude upgrading based on the 2021 state-of-technology model. The analysis includes the most recent developments in hydrothermal liquefaction and biocrude upgrading technologies and Monte Carlo simulation based on an integrated model system including an improved reactor yield model, reduced-order process model, discounted cash flow economic model and simplified life-cycle assessment model. The estimated biocrude yield ranges from 42.2% to 52.4% with a median of 47.3%. The estimated fuel yield ranges from 34.7% to 42.7% with a median of 38.7%. The estimated minimum fuel selling price ranges from $\$ $2.28/gge to $\$ $3.45/gge with a median of $\$ $2.80/gge. Relative to petroleum-derived diesel, the estimated reduction in supply chain greenhouse gas emissions ranges from 73.4% to 81.8% with a median of 77.7%. Compared to the 2019 state-of-technology analysis, a significant improvement in biocrude selectivity and economic measures and reduction in uncertainties were achieved due to the incorporation of additional continuous experimental data sets, technology development and de-risking, and improvement in model accuracy.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Deep learning-assisted modeling for χ (2) nonlinear optics

Modeling second-order (χ(2)) nonlinear optical processes remains computationally expensive due to the need to resolve fast field oscillations and simulate wave propagation using methods such as the split-step Fourier method (SSFM). This can become a bottleneck in real-time applications, such as high-repetition-rate laser systems requiring rapid feedback and control. We present a long short-term memory-based surrogate model trained on SSFM simulations generated from a start-to-end model of the photocathode drive laser at SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory’s Linac Coherent Light Source II. The model achieves over 250× speedup while maintaining high fidelity, enabling future real-time optimization and laying the foundation for data-integrated modeling frameworks and digital twins of laser systems.

Accelerator Physics (physics.acc-ph)↗

Lagrangian photochemical modeling studies of the 1987 Antarctic spring vortex. I - Comparison with AAOE observations

Results from the Lagrangian photochemical model integrated along computed air parcel trajectories intersected by the ER-2 aircraft are presented and compared with AAOE observations. According to the model, the BrO observations made from the ER-2 within the dehydrated denitrified region are consistent with there being approximately 5 parts per trillion by volume of BrO(y) at 428 K in spring. Within the high ClO region, ozone destruction rates are expected to exceed 2 percent/d with approximately 80 percent due to the ClO dimer mechanism.

Jones, R. L.↗

Application of the Tool for Turbine Engine Closed-Loop Transient Analysis (TTECTrA) for Dynamic Systems Analysis

The aircraft engine design process seeks to achieve the best overall system-level performance, weight, and cost for a given engine design. This is achieved by a complex process known as systems analysis, where steady-state simulations are used to identify trade-offs that should be balanced to optimize the system. The steady-state simulations and data on which systems analysis relies may not adequately capture the true performance trade-offs that exist during transient operation. Dynamic Systems Analysis provides the capability for assessing these trade-offs at an earlier stage of the engine design process. The concept of dynamic systems analysis and the type of information available from this analysis are presented in this paper. To provide this capability, the Tool for Turbine Engine Closed-loop Transient Analysis (TTECTrA) was developed. This tool aids a user in the design of a power management controller to regulate thrust, and a transient limiter to protect the engine model from surge at a single flight condition (defined by an altitude and Mach number). Results from simulation of the closed-loop system may be used to estimate the dynamic performance of the model. This enables evaluation of the trade-off between performance and operability, or safety, in the engine, which could not be done with steady-state data alone. A design study is presented to compare the dynamic performance of two different engine models integrated with the TTECTrA software.

systems analysis↗

Numerical simulation of polar lows and comma clouds using simple dry models

Linear and nonlinear numerical channel models are used to simulate polar low/comma cloud evolution. The basic state of the model is idealized and can be specified analytically. It has strong horizontal as well as vertical wind shear and implicitly includes the effect of sensible heat fluxes from the lower boundary. This is done by having a layer of reduced stability present in the lower troposphere. The results of the linear model study are presented and used to provide input for the nonlinear model integration. It is shown that, given sufficient horizontal resolution, many features of polar low/comma clouds can be simulated by the nonlinear primitive equations model and the idealized basic state, in particular a rapidly growing disturbance with a wavelength on the order of 1000 km.

Mudrick, Stephen E.↗