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At least 757 records · Page 42

Study of MHD Stability, Active Mode Control, and Disruption Avoidance in NSTX-U

Learning how to achieve sustained operation at high plasma pressure is an important goal of the National Spherical Torus Upgrade (NSTX-U) program and is critically important to any future fusion power plant. This research addresses high priority stability and control issues outlined by the NSTX-U Program. Reduced models of the stabilization physics learned continue to be created and tested against actual plasma operation in NSTX, NSTX-U, and other tokamak devices. This research is forming physics-based models for disruption forecasting that aims to unify results across different fusion machines for more confident extrapolation of the techniques studied to future devices including ITER. The Disruption Event Characterization and Forecasting (DECAF) code was expanded to analyze data from the TCV tokamak, including real-time MHD analysis signals. The presence of a mode and likelihood of its m/n numbers can be tracked, as well as the mode frequency, although a limitation at low frequency does not yet allow tracking modes to the locking point in TCV. Initial analyses of NSTX-U operation were conducted using the DECAF code. The timing of sawtooth oscillations was investigated taking advantage of the more extensive L-mode operation of the device in its first run campaign. An initial investigation of thermal collapses in NSTX-U was also conducted with specific comparison to the Greenwald density limit. A local island power balance model to explain the density limit in tokamaks has been tested with NSTX data and is being evaluated as a potential disruption forecaster in the DECAF code, presently showing similarities to the global Greenwald density evolution and limit. A module was written for the DECAF code that generalizes magnetic spectrogram analysis of MHD modes. This new portable code, written in Python, discriminates the toroidal mode number of instabilities and can track each mode as a DECAF event, monitoring the evolution of the mode through bifurcation and locking points. This is a critical new capability to allow disruption event characterization for general tokamak databases.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Reflected solar radiance seen by satellite

We derive the integral expression for the reflected solar flux F (W/m 2 ) seen by a sensor deployed on a satellite circling the earth at elevation h t . The sensor’s responsivity is that of a Si photodiode, (0.3, 1.1) µm. We first ignore atmospheric absorption, but account for light emanating from all angles, zenith up to parallel to earth surface. The expression, which holds for all “Solar–Earth–Sensor” (elevation) angles φ e , corrects a long-used equation in the USNDS program, that models “background irradiance,” Ramsey [3], Eq.(2.2). Flux striking the sensor is proportional to the sea-level solar radiance I 0 and the average earth albedo A. Results are displayed for h t = 2.02 · 10 4 km. The integral varies with angle φ e , i.e., F = F(φ e ). When sensor and sun are aligned with earth center, F = F(0) = 0.620 I 0 AR 2 , where R = r e /(r e + h t ) and r e is the average earth radius. For the specified h t , |φ e | < 180 - θ 0 deg, where θ 0 = 13.90. For larger angles, F = 0 since the sensor cannot see any part of earth illuminated by the sun. The flux F(φ e ) decays as ϵ 3.5 when φ e = 180-θ 0 - ϵ and ϵ→ 0, i.e., as the sensor enters darkness. Our ϵ 3.5 result differs from Ramsey’s [3], Eq.(2.2), which has ϵ 4.3 . We conclude Eq.(2.2) is incorrect for two reasons: the erroneous decay and, more importantly, that it vanishes only at φ e = 180. Our result, Eq.(14), presents a simple approximation to F(φ e ), accurate to better than 0.5%. The approximation blends Ramsey’s expression for small φ e with an ϵ 3.5 decay for large angles. Assuming a solar radiance I 0 = 1120, W/m 2 Wikipedia [7], and albedo A = 0.3, NASA, yields F(0) = 3.8 W/m 2 , which is 80% less than the leading term in Ramsey [3], Eq.(2.2). If atmospheric absorption is not ignored our integrand is modified by the factor exp(-τ N atm ), where τ is the atmosphere’s optical depth and N atm accounts for slant path absorption. The result is spectrally dependent. Absorption significantly decreases the flux as φ e → 180 - θ 0 .

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

An Integrated Energy Systems Prototype Human-System Interface for a Steam Extraction Loop System to Support Joint Electricity-Hydrogen Flexible Operations

Due to increasing economic competition from renewables and combined-cycle natural gas plants, nuclear power plants are looking toward flexible operations to enhance their cost competitiveness. The Integrated Energy Systems project under the Light Water Reactor Sustainability program of the U.S. Department of Energy focuses on joint electricity-hydrogen flexible operations. Joint electricity-hydrogen flexible operations entail the nuclear power plant diverting thermal energy via main steam to a hydrogen production plant located nearby. The steam serves to enhance the efficiency of the hydrogen production. Furthermore, high temperature electrolysis requires a large amount of electricity, which the plant can also provide. The plant provides steam and electricity to the hydrogen plant throughout the day, but during peak demand hours the nuclear power plant returns to solely providing electricity to meet the high demand. Through this flexible concept of operations, the plant can optimize the thermal energy it produces without having to maneuver the power of the plant. This report documents the human factors process to design and develop a prototype human-system interface for the steam extraction loop that serves as the conduit between the nuclear power plant and the adjacent hydrogen plant. The design process followed the human factors guidelines set by NUREG-0711, Human Factors Engineering Program Review Model (O’Hara, Higgins, & Fleger, 2012), and expanded upon by the Guideline for Operational Nuclear Usability and Knowledge Elicitation (GONUKE; Boring, Ulrich, Joe, & Lew, 2015; Boring, Lew, & Ulrich, 2016). The design process entailed operator interviews to determine the concept of operations for the steam extraction loop, a review and adaptation of digital interface design concepts developed by the team in prior projects, an iterative design process, and reviews conducted by both operators and human factors experts. Several versions of the prototype human-system interface were developed. Operators were interviewed to determine what design features they found useful and would like to see in the interface. The design underwent a review by human factors experts against NUREG-0700, Human Interface Design Review Guidelines (U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, 2019), to ensure compliance with the latest human factors standards for digital interfaces in nuclear applications. The design was then prototyped as a functional windows-based application integrated with the Generic Pressurized Water Reactor simulator modified to include the steam extraction loop. The simulation is supported by the Human Systems Simulation Laboratory at Idaho National Laboratory, which supports operator-in-the-loop testing. This is an ongoing project and the next phase of the project entails performing an operator-in-the-loop usability study to evaluate the interface and examine the proposed concept of operations to extraction steam from the nuclear power plant for delivery to the coupled hydrogen production plant.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

PCMDI - An Earth System Model Evaluation Project Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Annual Report

This annual report describes the activities of PCMDI – An Earth System Model Evaluation Project for the period November 1, 2019 – June 30, 2020. PCMDI is a project at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory that is funded by the Climate and Environmental Sciences Division (CESD) of the Department of Energy. PCMDI is funded by two efforts within CESD: The Regional and Global Model Analysis program area (Dr. Renu Joseph, program manager) and the Atmospheric Systems Research program (Dr. Shaima Nasiri and Jeffrey Stehr, program managers). As instructed by Drs. Joseph, Nasiri, and Stehr, we provide an annual report addressing sections 4 (Progress and Plans) and 5 (Staffing and Budget Summary) of the SFA Program Management and Performance Reporting Criteria.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integrated Modeling and Simulation Capability For Full Scale Multi-Physics Simulation and Visualization of Microreactor Concept

Microreactors are small mobile transportable nuclear reactors with thermal power less than 20 MWt that are designed to meet the needs of remote areas, military installations, emergency operations, and disaster relief zones. These reactor are concepts that are intended to be factory-manufacturable, easily transportable, and will allow for semi- or full-autonomous operation. To assist with development of microreactors, modeling and experimentation need to be performed with verification and validation to gain confidence in the models and tools. The objective of this study is apply advanced modeling and simulation capabilities being developed by the DOE Office of Nuclear Energy Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program to perform integrated modeling and simulation capability for multiphysics simulation of the microreactor concepts. This activity will provide an opportunity to exercise the codes to provide both gain experience and to provide feedback to the developers.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Human-System Interface Design Review Guidelines

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) staff reviews the human factors engineering (HFE) aspects of nuclear power plants in accordance with the Standard Review Plan (NUREG-0800, Standard Review Plan for the Review of Safety Analysis Reports for Nuclear Power Plants: LWR Edition). The Human Factors Engineering Program Review Model (NUREG-0711, Revision 3, issued November 2012) contains detailed design review procedures. As part of the review process, the interfaces between plant personnel and the plant's systems and components are evaluated for conformance with HFE guidelines. This document, Human-System Interface Design Review Guidelines (NUREG-0700, Revision 3), provides the guidelines necessary to perform this evaluation. The review guidelines address the physical and functional characteristics of human-system interfaces (HSIs). Because these guidelines only address the HFE aspects of design and not other related considerations, such as instrumentation and control and structural design, they are referred to as HFE guidelines. In addition to the review of actual HSIs, the NRC staff can use the NUREG-0700 guidelines to evaluate a design-specific HFE guidelines document or style guide. The HFE guidelines are organized into four basic parts, which are divided into sections. Part I contains guidelines for the basic HSI elements: information displays, user-interface interaction and management, and analog displays and controls. These elements are used as building blocks to develop HSI systems to serve specific functions. Part II contains the guidelines for reviewing the following HSI systems: alarm system, safety parameter display system, group-view display system, soft control system, computer-based procedure system, automation system, and communication system. Part III provides guidelines for the review of workstations and workplaces. Part IV provides guidelines for the review of HSI support (i.e., maintainability of digital systems and degraded HSI and instrumentation and control conditions).

42 ENGINEERING↗

M4SF-20LL010301042: Updated Thermodynamic Database for Use in Generic Disposal System Assessment

This progress report (Level 4 Milestone Number M4SF-20LL010301042) summarizes research conducted at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) within the Argillite Activity Number SF-20LL010301041. LLNL is leading efforts in the development of thermodynamic databases in support of the Spent Fuel and Waste Science Technology (SFWST) program. Thermodynamic models provide the basis for understanding the stability of solid phases and speciation of aqueous species and modeling the evolution of repository conditions. The LLNL effort is being performed in coordination with other US database development efforts. The effort includes a review of available thermochemical databases and a path forward for database integration. International coordination with the NEA-TDB is supported through crystalline international work package.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Dakota-NAERM Integration

This report presents the results of a collaborative effort under the Verification, Validation, and Uncertainty Quantification (VVUQ) thrust area of the North American Energy Resilience Model (NAERM) program. The goal of the effort described in this report was to integrate the Dakota software with the NAERM software framework to demonstrate sensitivity analysis of a co-simulation for NAERM.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Black-Box Neural System Identification and Differentiable Programming to Improve Earth System Model Predictions February

Focal Area(s): Focal Area 2: AI for predictive modeling, including AI-derived model components, and AI-enabled applications including parameter optimization, data assimilation, and uncertainty quantification. Focal Area 1: AI-assisted data assimilation using numerical Earth system models. Science Challenge: Earth system models have structural biases that lead to uncertain predictions, and their complexity and expense makes it difficult constraining the models with data or improved physical understanding.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis of Generator Failures under Extreme Temperature Scenarios in Power Systems

This report summarizes work done under the Verification, Validation, and Uncertainty Quantification (VVUQ) thrust area of the North American Energy Resilience Model (NAERM) Program. The specific task of interest described in this report is focused on sensitivity analysis of scenarios involving failures of both wind turbines and thermal generators under extreme cold-weather temperature conditions as would be observed in a Polar Vortex event.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

SUPCRTNE Thermodynamic Database Engine

This progress report (Level 4 Milestone Number M4SF-21LL010301052) summarizes research conducted at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) within the Argillite Activity Number SF-21LL01030105. LLNL is leading efforts in the development of thermodynamic databases in support of the Spent Fuel and Waste Science Technology (SFWST) program. Thermodynamic models provide the basis for understanding the stability of solid phases and speciation of aqueous species and modeling the evolution of repository conditions. The LLNL effort is being performed in coordination with other US database development efforts. The effort includes a review of available thermochemical databases and a path forward for database integration. International coordination with the NEA-TDB is supported through crystalline international work package.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning Technology in Power System Applications

The primary purpose of this report is to provide an overview of the advancement in artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) technologies and their applications in power systems. It offers a foundation for understanding the transformative role of AI/ML in power systems and aims to stimulate further research and development in this area. This report begins with a historical perspective of AI/ML technologies, then explores their advancement to today’s prominence. The document highlights key contributors to the success of AI/ML technologies, including increased computational power, greater data availability, innovative algorithms, and advanced tools. It further introduces various AI/ML techniques, including supervised, unsupervised and reinforcement learning, graph neural networks, and generative AI. It also emphasizes the critical importance of ensuring the safety, security, and trustworthiness of these AI/ML techniques within this sector. The report reviews the recent representative advancements in various power system applications enhanced by AI/ML techniques, underscoring key developments and their transformative impact as evidenced by numerous studies. It also explores both the opportunities and challenges associated with the application of AI/ML technologies to improve power system applications. While the report extensively covers AI/ML applications in power systems, focusing primarily on the technical and operational aspects, it may not thoroughly explore the sociopolitical, economic, and broader regulatory implications of AI/ML integration in power systems. AI/ML techniques hold significant potential for enhancing power system applications; however, they are not omnipotent. It is crucial to acknowledge their limitations and understand that they may not be able to address all challenges in the power system domain. Various factors must be considered that influence the implementation, adoption, and effectiveness of AI/ML solutions, including but not limited to safety, security, transparency, and trustworthiness. Additionally, the incorporation of advanced human–machine interfaces is essential, as it enables humans to validate the effectiveness of AI/ML solutions while remaining actively engaged, fostering trust in AI/ML deployment. Finally, the report summarizes AI/ML research activities supported by the Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Electricity (OE) through the Advanced Grid Modeling (AGM) program. The work aligns with the interests and mission of DOE-OE AGM, with the report serving as a resource for identifying existing progress and for pinpointing future applications within AI/ML that need further exploration and support.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Deployment of BISON models of fuel restructuring at high burnup and related fission gas behavior in UO 2

This milestone report details the advancements made in fiscal year 2024 under the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program to improve the modeling of fission gas behavior in high burnup UO 2 nuclear fuel in the BISON fuel performance code. As nuclear fuel is pushed to higher burnups, significant microstructural changes occur within the fuel, including the formation of a high burnup structure (HBS) on the pellet rim and a dark zone deeper within the pellet. These regions, characterized by subgrain formation and increased pore densities, have critical implications for fission gas behavior and release, which are not well understood. The modeling capabilities in BISON did not adequately predict these phenomena, leading to an underestimation of fuel restructuring and - potentially - of fission gas release. To address these gaps, this milestone focused on three key objectives: (1) reviewing and assessing Sifgrs's capabilities for low burnup fuel, on which high burnup capabilities rely, (2) validating and expanding HBS fission gas modeling capabilities, including investigating mechanisms for fission gas release from HBS, and (3) expanding Sifgrs to enable modeling of dark zone formation and its effects on fission gas behavior. These objectives were achieved and are described herein. The achievements of this NEAMS milestone are significant for the industry's goal of burnup extension. The improved predictive modeling capabilities for both low- and high-burnup conditions enhance our understanding of fuel performance under both normal operations and transient scenarios. Although goals were reached, future work is necessary to validate these models against experimental data and quantify their accuracy in different conditions. In parallel, mechanistic modeling efforts should continue to extend and refine these capabilities to increase accuracy while reducing reliance on empirical models. This will ensure robust performance across a broader range of conditions.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Community Microgrid Scheduling Considering Network Operational Constraints and Building Thermal Dynamics

Here, this paper proposes a Mixed Integer Conic Programming (MICP) model for community microgrids considering the network operational constraints and building thermal dynamics. The proposed optimization model optimizes not only the operating cost, including fuel cost, purchasing cost, battery degradation cost, voluntary load shedding cost and the cost associated with customer discomfort due to room temperature deviation from the set point, but also several performance indices, including voltage deviation, network power loss and power factor at the Point of Common Coupling (PCC). In particular, the detailed thermal dynamic model of buildings is integrated into the distribution optimal power flow (D-OPF) model for the optimal operation of community microgrids. The heating, ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems can be scheduled intelligently to reduce the electricity cost while maintaining the indoor temperature in the comfort range set by customers. Numerical simulation results show the effectiveness of the proposed model and significant saving in electricity cost could be achieved with network operational constraints satisfied.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Real Time Predictive and Adaptive Hybrid Powertrain Control Development via Neuroevolution

The real-time application of powertrain-based predictive energy management (PrEM) brings the prospect of additional energy savings for hybrid powertrains. Torque split optimal control methodologies have been a focus in the automotive industry and academia for many years. Their real-time application in modern vehicles is, however, still lagging behind. While conventional exact and non-exact optimal control techniques such as Dynamic Programming and Model Predictive Control have been demonstrated, they suffer from the curse of dimensionality and quickly display limitations with high system complexity and highly stochastic environment operation. This paper demonstrates that Neuroevolution associated drive cycle classification algorithms can infer optimal control strategies for any system complexity and environment, hence streamlining and speeding up the control development process. Neuroevolution also circumvents the integration of low fidelity online plant models, further avoiding prohibitive embedded computing requirements and fidelity loss. This brings the prospect of optimal control to complex multi-physics system applications. The methodology presented here covers the development of the drive cycles used to train and validate the neurocontrollers and classifiers, as well as the application of the Neuroevolution process.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

The long-term centimeter variability of active galactic nuclei: a new relation between variability timescale and accretion rate

We study the long-term (≈30 years) radio variability of 43 radio-bright active galactic nuclei (AGNs) by exploiting the database of the University of Michigan Radio Astronomy Observatory monitoring program. We model the periodograms (temporal power spectra) of the observed light curves as simple power-law noise (red noise, spectral power P(f)∝f{sup −β}) using Monte Carlo simulations, taking into account windowing effects (red-noise leak, aliasing). The power spectra of 39 (out of 43) sources are in good agreement with the models, yielding a range in power spectral index (β) from ≈1 to ≈3. We fit a Gaussian function to each flare in a given light curve to obtain the flare duration. We discover a correlation between β and the median duration of the flares. We use the derivative of a light curve to obtain a characteristic variability timescale, which does not depend on the assumed functional form of the flares, incomplete fitting, and so on. We find that, once the effects of relativistic Doppler boosting are corrected for, the variability timescales of our sources are proportional to the accretion rate to the power of 0.25 ± 0.03 over five orders of magnitude in accretion rate, regardless of source type. We further find that modeling the periodograms of four of our sources requires the assumption of broken power-law spectra. From simulating light curves as superpositions of exponential flares, we conclude that strong overlap of flares leads to featureless simple power-law periodograms of AGNs at radio wavelengths in most cases.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A Bright Short Period M-M Eclipsing Binary from the KELT Survey: Magnetic Activity and the Mass–Radius Relationship for M Dwarfs

We report the discovery of KELT J041621-620046, a moderately bright (J ∼ 10.2) M-dwarf eclipsing binary system at a distance of 39 ± 3 pc. KELT J041621-620046 was first identified as an eclipsing binary using observations from the Kilodegree Extremely Little Telescope (KELT) survey. The system has a short orbital period of ∼1.11 days and consists of components with M{sub 1}=0.447{sub +0.052}{sup −0.047} M{sub ⊙} and M{sub 2}=0.399{sub +0.046}{sup −0.042} M{sub ⊙} in nearly circular orbits. The radii of the two stars are R{sub 1}=0.540{sub +0.034}{sup −0.032} R{sub ⊙} and R{sub 2}=0.453±0.017 R{sub ⊙}. Full system and orbital properties were determined (to ∼10% error) by conducting an EBOP (Eclipsing Binary Orbit Program) global modeling of the high precision photometric and spectroscopic observations obtained by the KELT Follow-up Network. Each star is larger by 17%–28% and cooler by 4%–10% than predicted by standard (non-magnetic) stellar models. Strong Hα emission indicates chromospheric activity in both stars. The observed radii and temperature discrepancies for both components are more consistent with those predicted by empirical relations that account for convective suppression due to magnetic activity.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗