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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 757 records · Page 42
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Photometric redshift estimation of galaxies in the DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys

ABSTRACT The accurate estimation of photometric redshifts plays a crucial role in accomplishing science objectives of the large survey projects. Template-fitting and machine learning are the two main types of methods applied currently. Based on the training set obtained by cross-correlating the DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys DR9 galaxy catalogue and the SDSS DR16 galaxy catalogue, the two kinds of methods are used and optimized, such as eazy for template-fitting approach and catboost for machine learning. Then, the created models are tested by the cross-matched samples of the DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys DR9 galaxy catalogue with LAMOST DR7, GAMA DR3, and WiggleZ galaxy catalogues. Moreover, three machine learning methods (catboost, Multi-Layer Perceptron, and Random Forest) are compared; catboost shows its superiority for our case. By feature selection and optimization of model parameters, catboost can obtain higher accuracy with optical and infrared photometric information, the best performance ($\rm MSE=0.0032$, σNMAD = 0.0156, and $O=0.88{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$) with g ≤ 24.0, r ≤ 23.4, and z ≤ 22.5 is achieved. But eazy can provide more accurate photometric redshift estimation for high redshift galaxies, especially beyond the redshift range of training sample. Finally, we finish the redshift estimation of all DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys DR9 galaxies with catboost and eazy, which will contribute to the further study of galaxies and their properties.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
DOE OSTI2020

High-Resolution Comonomer Sequencing of Blocky Brominated Syndiotactic Polystyrene Copolymers Using 13C NMR Spectroscopy and Computer Simulations

This work demonstrates the first high-resolution comonomer sequencing of Blocky brominated syndiotactic polystyrene (sPS-co-sPS-Br) copolymers based on pentad assign- ments of the quaternary carbon region of the nuclear magnetic resonance spectrum. Copolymers containing p-bromostyrene (Br-Sty) units were prepared in matched sets using postpolymerization bromination methods carried out in the heterogeneous gel state (Blocky) and homogeneous solution state (Random). Quantitative information from the quaternary carbon spectra, heteronuclear multiple bond correlation spectroscopy, electronic structure calculations, and simulated statistically random copolymers was correlated to confirm the carbon resonance assignments for all 20 possible pentad comonomer sequences. Using the experimental pentad sequence prevalences, a computer code was developed to simulate chains with microstructures typical of each sample as a means to visually represent the copolymer blockiness with quantitative precision. Based on the microstructure and distribution of run lengths in these chains, the simulations revealed that the Blocky copolymers contain a high degree of blockiness. By comparing the run lengths in the simulated chains to the average number of styrene units in a crystalline segment of sPS (found by small-angle X-ray scattering), copolymer crystallizability was predicted. For the simulated Blocky B-21% (21 mol % Br-Sty) chain, the probability of randomly selecting a styrene unit in a crystallizable block was 25.8%, while that in the simulated Random R-18% was zero, in excellent agreement with the experimental crystallization behavior measured by differential scanning calorimetry. Additionally, these predictions confirmed that the simulated chains accurately represent the ensemble of chains in their respective copolymer samples. Furthermore, each simulated Blocky chain contained one or more long sPS blocks that paralleled the measured 38-40 styrene units spanning a crystalline segment within the sPS/CCl4 gel. This finding affirmed that the long sPS segments originated from the precise lamellar structure within the heterogeneous gel morphology (i.e., block length is correlated with lamellar thickness). Overall, the ability to tailor the copolymer microstructure through control of the semicrystalline gel morphology opens the door to synthesizing ordered copolymers by postpolymerization functionalization processes with unprecedented levels of compositional control.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

TNet: A Model-Constrained Tikhonov Network Approach for Inverse Problems

Deep learning (DL), in particular deep neural networks, by default is purely data-driven and in general does not require physics. This is the strength of DL but also one of its key limitations when applied to science and engineering problems in which underlying physical properties—such as stability, conservation, and positivity—and accuracy are required. DL methods in their original forms are often not capable of respecting the underlying mathematical models or achieving desired accuracy even in big-data regimes. On the other hand, many data-driven science and engineering problems, such as inverse problems, typically have limited experimental or observational data, and DL would overfit the data in this case. Leveraging information encoded in the underlying mathematical models, we argue, not only compensates for missing information in low data regimes but also provides opportunities to equip DL methods with the underlying physics, hence promoting better generalization. This paper develops a model-constrained DL approach and its variant TNet—a Tikhonov neural network—which are capable of learning not only information hidden in the training data but also in the underlying mathematical models to solve inverse problems governed by partial differential equations in low data regimes. We provide the constructions and some theoretical results for the proposed approaches for both linear and nonlinear inverse problems. Since TNet is designed to learn inverse solutions with Tikhonov regularization, it is interpretable: in fact it recovers Tikhonov solutions for linear cases while potentially approximating Tikhonov solutions for nonlinear inverse problems. We also prove that data randomization can enhance not only the smoothness of the networks but also their generalizations. Comprehensive numerical results confirm the theoretical findings and show that with even as little as 1 training data sample for one-dimensional (1D) deconvolution, 5 for an inverse 2D heat conductivity problem, 100 for inverse initial conditions for a time-dependent 2D Burgers’s equation, and 50 for inverse initial conditions for 2D Navier–Stokes equations, TNet solutions can be as accurate as Tikhonov solutions while being several orders of magnitude faster. Furthermore, this is possible owing to the model-constrained term, replications, and randomization.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Interconnected Nanoporous Polysulfone by the Self-Assembly of Randomly Linked Copolymer Networks and Linear Multiblocks

Porous materials have attracted considerable attention due to their versatile applications, especially in water purification. Interconnected nanoporous structures are distinguished by their high degree of porosity and resistance to clogging, as well as their insensitivity to nanostructural orientation. Previous works on randomly linked copolymer systems have shown that they can effectively produce disordered cocontinuous nanostructures, which upon removal of one component yield interconnected nanoporous materials. However, the cocontinuous nanomaterials previously developed using polystyrene (PS) and poly(d,l-lactic acid) (PLA) strands, and the resulting interconnected nanoporous PS monoliths, were far too brittle to enable practical use as membranes. Here, we study the self-assembly of randomly linked copolymer networks prepared using blocks of the engineering polymer polysulfone (PSU). A wide cocontinuous regime (spanning 40 wt %) was found for randomly end-linked copolymer networks (RECNs) constructed from PSU and PLA strands, via a combination of mechanical testing, gravimetry, small-angle X-ray scattering, and scanning electron microscopy. The PSU/PLA cocontinuous nanomaterial with symmetric composition showed 2.4 times higher Young’s modulus and ~100 times greater toughness than the corresponding PS/PLA sample. The interconnected nanoporous PSU fabricated after etching of PLA even exhibited 1.6 times greater toughness than PS/PLA prior to PLA removal. To facilitate the production of thin films of cocontinuous nanomaterials, we applied solution-processable randomly linked linear PSU/PLA multiblock polymers onto ultrafiltration membranes. Here, the interconnected nanoporous PSU thin film generated by etching PLA was found to effectively reject 50 nm diameter particles without significantly compromising permeability. This discovery presents a valuable addition to the existing techniques used to fabricate PSU membranes. In contrast to traditional methods, which are sensitive to processing conditions, produce a wide range of pore sizes, and offer limited adjustability of pore size, the current technique is anticipated to enable interconnected PSU membranes with more uniform and tailorable porosity.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Absence of Barren Plateaus and Scaling of Gradients in the Energy Optimization of Isometric Tensor Network States

Abstract Vanishing gradients can pose substantial obstacles for high-dimensional optimization problems. Here we consider energy minimization problems for quantum many-body systems with extensive Hamiltonians and finite-range interactions, which can be studied on classical computers or in the form of variational quantum eigensolvers on quantum computers. Barren plateaus correspond to scenarios where the average amplitude of the energy gradient decreases exponentially with increasing system size. This occurs, for example, for quantum neural networks and for brickwall quantum circuits when the depth increases polynomially in the system size. Here we prove that the variational optimization problems for matrix product states, tree tensor networks, and the multiscale entanglement renormalization ansatz are free of barren plateaus. The derived scaling properties for the gradient variance provide an analytical guarantee for the trainability of randomly initialized tensor network states (TNS) and motivate certain initialization schemes. In a suitable representation, unitary tensors that parametrize the TNS are sampled according to the uniform Haar measure. We employ a Riemannian formulation of the gradient based optimizations which simplifies the analytical evaluation.

Barthel, Thomas↗
DOE OSTI2020

Creation of discrete active site domains via mesoporous silica poly(styrene) composite materials for incompatible acid–base cascade reactions

This work highlights the design and synthesis of bifunctional mesoporous silicate – polymer composite dual acid–base supported cascade catalysts. Compartmentalization of the two incompatible active sites is sought by segregating acid sites on the silica surface, and base sites within polymer chains and/or polymer domains. The ability to isolate and segregate active sites via control of the mesoporous silica pore size and polymer molecular weight is probed with silica samples functionalized by a grafting-to process. Supplemental activator and reducing agent (SARA) atom transfer radical polymerization is used to synthesize random copolymers containing protected primary amines. Thiol–ene ‘click’ chemistry facilitates silica functionalization via a convergent approach, with the ene-functionalized polymer end group and silica-grafted thiols forming SBA/MCM-SH-poly(styrene-co-2-(4-vinylbenzyl)isoindoline-1,3-dione). Polymer deprotection and thiol oxidation produces primary amine/sulfonic acid containing composite catalysts. With the polymer supported Lewis base and silica grafted Brønsted acid, the two-step deacetalization – Knoevenagel condensation cascade is explored to assess the ability of these polymer/silica hybrids to segregate active sites, allowing both acid and base site accessibility. Six composite catalysts are synthesized and tested in individual and cascade reactions with kinetic results demonstrating that lower molecular weight SBA-15-P1 and MCM-41-P1 catalysts outperform (higher turnover frequencies and initial rates) their higher molecular weight analogues, as well as a polymer-free system containing molecular active sites dispersed on the silica surface. Higher molecular weight composite catalysts perform more poorly due to limited chain solubility, mass transfer limitations, and poor catalyst accessibility. In many cases, the polymer chains effectively thread into the mesopores, with higher molecular weight polymers leading to pore blockage and inhibited mass transfer.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Statistical and Neural Network for Real Sensor-Data-Driven Anomaly Detection in Nuclear Applications

Anomaly detection (AD) in sensor data is critical to ensure uninterrupted functionality of nuclear power plants (NPPs). Consequently, AD model validation through real-world sensor data is important for applications in nuclear facilities. In this paper, we propose an Autoencoder (AE)—a multi-layered neural network, for AD in sensor data from an operational NPP testbed. Since the dataset lacks labels for irregularities, we introduce random noise and label them to effectively train our model. The proposed AE model assigns a higher reconstruction error to the abnormal samples that deviate from those encountered during the training phase and uses the reconstruction loss to detect anomalies in a representative imbalanced dataset. We also introduce an analytical solution—seasonal trend decomposition (STD)—as another AD scheme for identifying irregularities withinthe same time-series dataset. In contrast to the AE model which relies on reconstruction loss, the STD scheme decomposes the entire dataset into its trend, seasonality, and residual components to pinpoint irregularities. Our findings indicate that the proposed AE and STD models individually achieve recall scores of 97% and 92%, respectively. We validate the performance of the two models on both balanced and imbalanced data. We further solidify the results by picking the combined selected anomalies of the two solutions with an "AND" operator for more reliable predictions.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2024

Statistical and Neural Network for Real Sensor-Data-Driven Anomaly Detection in Nuclear Applications

Anomaly detection (AD) in sensor data is critical to ensure uninterrupted functionality of nuclear power plants (NPPs). Consequently, validation of AD models through real-world sensor data is important for their application in nuclear facilities. In this paper, we propose an Autoencoder (AE)— a multi-layered neural network, for AD in sensor data from an operational NPP testbed. Since the dataset lacks labels for irregularities, we introduce random noise and label them to effectively train our model. The proposed AE model assigns a higher reconstruction error to the abnormal samples that deviate from those encountered during the training phase and uses the reconstruction loss to detect anomalies in a representative imbalanced dataset. We also introduce an analytical solution—seasonal trend decomposition (STD) — as another AD scheme for identifying irregularities within the same time-series dataset. In contrast to the AE model which relies on reconstruction loss, the STD scheme decomposes the entire dataset into its trend, seasonality, and residual components to pinpoint irregularities. Our findings indicate that the proposed AE and STD models individually achieve recall scores of 97% and 92%, respectively. We also validate the performance of the two models on both balanced and imbalanced data. We further solidify the results by picking the combined selected anomalies of the two solutions with an "AND" operator for more reliable predictions.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2020

Evidence of Skewness and Sub-Gaussian Character in Temperature-Dependent Distributions of One Million Electronic Excitation Energies in PbS Quantum Dots

Obtaining statistical distributions by sampling a large number of conformations is vital for an accurate description of temperature-dependent properties of chemical systems. However, constructing distributions with 105??106 samples is computationally challenging because of the prohibitively high computational cost of performing rst-principles quantum-mechanical calculations. In this work, we present a new technique called the Eective Stochastic Potential Conguration Interaction Singles (ESP-CIS) method to obtain excitation energies. The ESP-CIS method uses random matrix theory for the construction of an eective stochastic representation of the Fock operator and combines it with linear-response theory. Here, we perform excitation calculations on PbS quantum dots (0.75-1.75 nm) at temperatures of 200-400 K. Results from a total of 15 million excitation energy calculations (1 million samples for each of the three dots at ve dierent temperatures) revealed the distributions to be sub-Gaussian in nature with negative skewness. The distributions progressively became red-shifted with increasing temperature. The study shows that random distortions in structure from the minimum-energy geometry of these quantum dots are more likely to lower the excitation energies.

Scher, Jeremy A.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Analysis of an optical imaging system prototype for autonomously monitoring zooplankton in an aquaculture facility

Traditional approaches to biomonitoring in aquatic systems, such as sample collection, sorting, and identification, require significant time and effort, thereby limiting the spatiotemporal resolution of sample collection. Additionally, collection and preservation of samples for subsequent taxonomic identification and enumeration leads to mortality of organisms. Recent advances in technologies that utilize optical imaging and machine learning have provided new opportunities to expedite biomonitoring and lead to significant cost savings. These technologies can be advantageous to scientists or managers that conduct routine biomonitoring to inform operations, as in the case of aquaculture facilities. The Small Aquatic Organism optical imaging system (SAO) is a high-throughput optical imaging and classification prototype system that relies on computer vision and machine learning (Support Vector Machines, or SVMs) to autonomously identify and enumerate aquatic organisms. The SAO provides a more sustainable method of collecting large volumes of data and has the benefit of being used in situ. In this study, we tested the performance of the SAO in providing comparable results to manual zooplankton community monitoring in ten ponds at an aquaculture facility. We performed a side-by-side study comparing the sampling methods of plankton tow nets, where major zooplankton taxonomic classes were manually identified and enumerated, to sampling with the SAO. Vouchered samples were used to develop a training library for the SAO, where classes consisted of water boatman and zooplankton groups: cladocerans, copepod adults, copepod nauplii, and rotifers. SAO imagery was manually classified and compared with predicted results for validation. Accuracy for the SVM classifier of the SAO was 37.4 %. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Random Forest classifiers were also applied to SAO imagery and image features for comparison. The best CNN model and our Random Forest model had accuracies of 80.4 % and 46.6 % respectively. Challenges faced included the small size of copepod nauplii and rotifers and the limited resolution of the imaging camera, although there are tradeoffs between imaging resolution and the sample processing rate. Furthermore, our comparison shows that advancement in both optical imaging and ML are needed in order for the SAO prototype to yield comparable results to manual community monitoring in an aquaculture facility.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Landsat 8 monitoring of multi-depth suspended sediment concentrations in Lake Erie’s Maumee River using machine learning

Satellite remote sensing has been widely used to map suspended sediment concentration (SSC) in waterbodies. However, due to the complexity of sediment-water interactions, it has been difficult to derive linear and non-linear regression equations to reliably predict SSC, especially when trying to estimate depth of integrated sediment. Herein, this study uses Landsat 8 OLI (Operational Land Imager) sensor to map SSC within the Maumee River in Ohio, USA, at multiple depth intervals (15, 61, 91, and 182 cm). Simple linear least squares regression (LLSR), and three common machine learning models: random forest (RF), support vector regression (SVR), and model averaged neural network (MANN) were used to estimate SSC at the depth intervals. All machine learning models significantly outperformed LLSR while RF performed the best. In both RF and MANN, R2 (coefficient of determination) increases with depth with a maximum R2 of 0.89 and 0.83, respectively, at a depth of 0–182 cm. The results show that machine learning models can implement nonlinear relationships that produce better predictions than traditional linear regression methods in estimating depth integrated SSC, especially when samples are limited.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2022

Data-driven Minimum Entropy Control for Stochastic Nonlinear Systems using the Cumulant-Generating Function

Here, we present a novel minimum entropy control algorithm for a class of stochastic nonlinear systems subjected to non-Gaussian noises. The entropy control can be considered as an optimization problem for the system randomness attenuation, but the mean value has to be considered separately. To overcome this disadvantage, a new representation of the system stochastic properties was given using the cumulant-generating function based on the moment-generating function, in which the mean value and the entropy was reflected by the shape of the cumulant-generating function. Based on the samples of the system output and control input, a time-variant linear model was identified, and the minimum entropy optimization was transformed to system stabilization. Then, an optimal control strategy was developed to achieve the randomness attenuation, and the boundedness of the controlled system output was analyzed. The effectiveness of the presented control algorithm was demonstrated by a numerical example. In this paper, a data-driven minimum entropy design is presented without pre-knowledge of the system model; entropy optimization is achieved by the system stabilization approach in which the stochastic distribution control and minimum entropy are unified using the same identified structure; and a potential framework is obtained since all the existing system stabilization methods can be adopted to achieve the minimum entropy objective.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Hierarchical reconstruction of 3D well-connected porous media from 2D exemplars using statistics-informed neural network

The relationships between porous microstructures and transport properties are of fundamental importance in various scientific and engineering applications. Due to the intricacy, stochasticity and heterogeneity of porous media, reliable characterization and modeling of transport properties often require a complete dataset of internal microstructure samples. However, it is often an unbearable cost to acquire sufficient 3D digital microstructures by purely using microscopic imaging systems. Herein this paper presents a machine learning-based technique to hierarchically reconstruct 3D well-connected porous microstructures from one isotropic or several anisotropic low-cost 2D exemplar(s). To compactly characterize the large-scale microstructural features, a Gaussian image pyramid is built for each 2D exemplar. Local morphology patterns are collected from the Gaussian image pyramids, and then they serve as the training data to embed the 2D morphological statistics into feed-forward neural networks at multiple length levels. By using a specially-developed morphology integration scheme, the 3D morphological statistics at different levels can be inferred from the statistics-informed neural networks. Gibbs sampling is adopted to hierarchically reconstruct 3D microstructures by using multi-level 3D morphological statistics, where the large-scale, regional and local morphological patterns are statistically generated and successively added to the same 3D random field. The proposed method is tested on a series of porous media with distinct morphologies, and the statistical equivalence between the reconstructed and the real microstructures is systematically evaluated by comparing morphological descriptors and transport properties. The results demonstrate that the proposed 2D-to-3D microstructure reconstruction method is a universal and efficient approach to generating morphologically and physically realistic samples of porous media.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Machine learning-based inversion for acoustic impedance with large synthetic training data: Workflow and data characterization

Where wells are sparse or training data are difficult to label with high-quality wireline-derived impedance logs, machine learning (ML)-based inversion of acoustic impedance typically depends on small training data sets, leading to biased prediction. We have advanced a novel workflow that applies large synthetic seismic training data to reduce facies-related bias. Using a geologically realistic model as the truth model, we randomly select sparse seed wells to perform sequential Gaussian simulation (SGS) for impedance models of the same geometry and simulate facies variability. We implement random forest regression on 30 features extracted from the synthetic volume. We observe that more seed wells tend to reduce facies-induced bias by sampling more types of facies, resulting in a better prediction. We then focus on the responses of SGS models to facies changes, the number of seed wells necessary for a useful synthetic model, and how much a synthetic model can help ML-based inversion. Here, we observe that the SGS synthetic training model outperforms well-direct training in general. For modeled clastic shore-zone systems in Miocene Gulf of Mexico, two or more seed wells are necessary for a significant reduction of root-mean-square error and outliners, and improvement of facies imaging. In a field-data test, we apply a similar workflow to quantitatively predict acoustic impedance, which is then converted to a sand-volume map at a high-frequency sequence (10–100 m), revealing detailed facies and sandstone patterns. Such results are valuable in many geologic and engineering applications, such as hydrocarbon and CO 2 reservoir prospecting, reserve estimation, simulation, etc.

3D seismic↗
DOE OSTI2016

Determinants of serum cadmium levels in a Northern Italy community: A cross-sectional study

Introduction: Cadmium (Cd) is a heavy metal and a serious environmental hazard to humans. Some uncertainties still exist about major sources of Cd exposure in non-occupationally exposed subjects in addition to cigarette smoking, such as diet and outdoor air pollution. We sought to determine the influence of these sources on a biomarker of exposure, serum Cd concentration. Methods: We recruited 51 randomly selected residents from an Italian urban community, from whom we obtained detailed information about dietary habits and smoking habits, and a blood sample for serum Cd determination. We also assessed outdoor air Cd exposure, by modeling outdoor air levels of particulate matter ≤10 µm (PM{sub 10}) from motorized traffic at geocoded subjects’ residence. Results: In crude analysis, regression beta coefficients for dietary Cd, smoking and PM10 on serum Cd levels were 0.03 (95% CI -0.83 to 0.88), 6.96 (95% CI -0.02 to 13.95) and 0.62 (95% CI -0.19 to 1.43), respectively. In the adjusted analysis, regression beta coefficients were -0.34 (95% CI -1-40 to 0.71), 5.81 (95% CI -1.43 to 13.04) and 0.47 (95% CI -0.35 to 1.29), respectively. Conclusion: Cigarette smoking was the most important factor influencing serum Cd in our non-occupationally exposed population, as expected, while dietary Cd was not associated with this biomarker. Outdoor air pollution, as assessed through exposure to particulate matter generated by motorized traffic, was an additional source of Cd exposure. - Highlights: • Smoking markedly increases serum Cd levels in non-occupationally exposed individuals. • Overall dietary Cd intake shows little association with serum Cd levels. • Air pollution from motorized traffic increases serum Cd levels.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Investigation of defect formation at the early stage of PVT-grown 4H-SiC crystals

Here, several 4° off-axis 4H-SiC wafers with several hundred microns of initial-stage growth by PVT method are investigated by Synchrotron Monochromatic Beam X-ray Topography (SMBXT). Defect behavior across the seed/newly grown layer interface are demonstrated. Comparison of early stage grown layers to seed sample indicates generation of threading edge dislocation (TED) and threading screw dislocation (TSD)/ threading mixed dislocation (TMD) pairs at the interface while most basal plane dislocations (BPDs) are deflected into TEDs. The (0001) facet of the crystal is already formed at early stage growth at the edge of the wafer and high nitrogen incorporation in facet leads to conditions favorable for nucleation and glide of Shockley/double Shockley faults with layers of 3C-SiC deposited on facet acting as nuclei. Unique-shaped dislocations are observed at early stage growth, which are caused by deflection of TSDs/TMDs and TEDs by macrosteps near the periphery of the sample and the subsequent glide of the a components. The effect of the quality of the seed surface before growth is manifested as randomly oriented arrays of pairs of TEDs and TSDs/TMDs on the as grown surface resulting from residual surface damage from scratches.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Multisource Data Fusion Outage Location in Distribution Systems via Probabilistic Graphical Models

Efficient outage location is critical to enhancing the resilience of power distribution systems. However, accurate outage location requires combining massive evidence received from diverse data sources, including smart meter (SM) last gasp signals, customer trouble calls, social media messages, weather data, vegetation information, and physical parameters of the network. This is a computationally complex task due to the high dimensionality of data in distribution grids. In this paper, we propose a multi-source data fusion approach to locate outage events in partially observable distribution systems using Bayesian networks (BNs). A novel aspect of the proposed approach is that it takes multi-source evidence and the complex structure of distribution systems into account using a probabilistic graphical method. Our method can radically reduce the computational complexity of outage location inference in high-dimensional spaces. The graphical structure of the proposed BN is established based on the network’s topology and the causal relationship between random variables, such as the states of branches/customers and evidence. Utilizing this graphical model, accurate outage locations are obtained by leveraging a Gibbs sampling (GS) method, to infer the probabilities of de-energization for all branches. Compared with commonly-used exact inference methods that have exponential complexity in the size of the BN, GS quantifies the target conditional probability distributions in a timely manner. As a result, a case study of several real-world distribution systems is presented to validate the proposed method.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗