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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 757 records · Page 42

A Parameterized Inversion Model for Soil Moisture and Biomass from Polarimetric Backscattering Coefficients

A semi-empirical algorithm for the retrieval of soil moisture, root mean square (RMS) height and biomass from polarimetric SAR data is explained and analyzed in this paper. The algorithm is a simplification of the distorted Born model. It takes into account the physical scattering phenomenon and has three major components: volume, double-bounce and surface. This simplified model uses the three backscattering coefficients ( sigma HH, sigma HV and sigma vv) at low-frequency (P-band). The inversion process uses the Levenberg-Marquardt non-linear least-squares method to estimate the structural parameters. The estimation process is entirely explained in this paper, from initialization of the unknowns to retrievals. A sensitivity analysis is also done where the initial values in the inversion process are varying randomly. The results show that the inversion process is not really sensitive to initial values and a major part of the retrievals has a root-mean-square error lower than 5% for soil moisture, 24 Mg/ha for biomass and 0.49 cm for roughness, considering a soil moisture of 40%, roughness equal to 3cm and biomass varying from 0 to 500 Mg/ha with a mean of 161 Mg/ha

soil moisture↗

Validation of Weather Forecasting Products

Meteorological modeling plays a pivotal role in operational safety and emergency response at the Savannah River Site (SRS). This study focuses on verifying the Regional Atmospheric Modelling System (RAMS) Version 4.3 through Mean Bias Error (MBE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) analyses of temperature, dew point, and wind speed over a decade. Using observed data from SRS, we assessed RAMS' accuracy, revealing seasonal biases and error trends. Results indicate RAMS' strengths in mild weather conditions but challenges during seasonal extremes and wind speed predictions due to measurement disparities. Future research aims to expand verification to other models and parameters, advocating for enhanced forecasting accuracy crucial for safeguarding personnel and community well-being.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Comparison of Passive Microwave Emission Models for Estimating Brightness Temperature at L- and P-band Under Bare and Vegetated Soil Conditions

P-band radiometry has been demonstrated to have a deeper sensing depth than at L-band, making the consideration of multi-layer microwave interactions necessary. Additionally, the scattering and phase interference effects are different at P-band, requiring a re-consideration of the need for coherent models. However, the impact remains to be clarified, and understanding the validity and limitations of these models at both L-band and P-band is crucial for their refinement and application. Therefore, two general categories of microwave emission models, including two stratified coherent models (Njoku and Wilhite) and four incoherent models (conventional tau-omega model and three multi-layer models being zero-order, first-order, and incoherent solution), were intercompared for the first time on the same dataset. This evaluation utilized observations of L-band and P-band radiometry under different land cover conditions from a tower-based experiment in Victoria, Australia. Model estimations of brightness temperature (TB) were consistent with measurements, with the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) at P-band V-polarization under corn (2 K) and the highest RMSE at L-band H-polarization under bare soil (13 K). Coherent models performed slightly better than incoherent models under bare soil (3 K less RMSE), while the opposite was true under vegetated soil conditions (1 K less RMSE). Coherent and incoherent models showed maximum differences (3 K at P-band, 2 K at L-band), correlating strongly with soil moisture variations at 0-10 cm. Findings suggest that coherent and incoherent models perform similarly; thus, incoherent models may be preferable for estimating TB at L- and P-band due to reduced computational complexity.

Soil moisture profile↗

Mechanistic modeling of copper corrosions in data center environments

Air-side economizers are increasingly used to take advantage of “free-cooling” in data centers with the intent of reducing the carbon footprint of buildings. However, they can introduce outdoor pollutants to indoor environment of data centers and cause corrosion damage to the information technology equipment. Here, to evaluate the reliability of information technology equipment under various thermal and air-pollution conditions, a mechanistic model based on multi-ion transport and chemical reactions was developed. The model was used to predict Cu corrosion caused by Cl2-containing pollutant mixtures. It also accounted for the effects of temperature (25 °C and 28 °C), relative humidity (50%, 75%, and 95%), and synergism. It also identified higher air temperature as a corrosion barrier and higher relative humidity as a corrosion accelerator, which agreed well with the experimental results. The average root mean square error of the prediction was 13.7 Å. The model can be used to evaluate the thermal guideline for data centers design and operation when Cl2 is present based on pre-established acceptable risk of corrosion in data centers’ environment.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Modeling radiative transfer in molecular clouds. 1: HCO(+) in the star-forming region W49A North

A new general multilevel, non-Local Thermodynamic Equilibrium (LTE) radiative transfer code, valid for any velocity field, is applied to HCO(+) observations of W49A North. Three classes of collapse models are considered: free-fall collapse (v proportional to 1/sq. root of r), rho proportional to r(exp -3/2) throughout the molecular cloud, successfully reproduces the features of the observations and gives the best fit to the J = 1-0 and J = 3-2 profiles both toward the prominent H II component G of W49A North and off the center. In addition to a slow radial fall-off of density, the theoretical modeling implies the following for the molecular cloud: the large line widths result from motions occurring within the inner 1 pc, and there are probably one or more fragments with peculiar velocities within this same region.

Dickel, Helene R.↗

Uncertainty Due to Unsteady Fluid/Structure Interaction for the Ares I Vehicle Traversing the Transonic Regime

Rapid reduced-order numerical models are being investigated as candidates to simulate the dynamics of a flexible launch vehicle during atmospheric ascent. There has also been the extension of these new approaches to include gust response. These methods are used to perform aeroelastic and gust response analyses at isolated Mach numbers. Such models require a method to time march through a succession of ascent Mach numbers. An approach is presented for interpolating reduced-order models of the unsteady aerodynamics at successive Mach numbers. The transonic Mach number range is considered here since launch vehicles can suffer the highest dynamic loads through this range. Realistic simulations of the flexible vehicle behavior as it traverses this Mach number range are presented. The response of the vehicle due to gusts is computed. Uncertainties in root mean square and maximum bending moment and crew module accelerations are presented due to assumed probability distributions in design parameters, ascent flight conditions, gusts. The primary focus is on the uncertainty introduced by modeling fidelity. It is found that an unsteady reduced order model produces larger excursions in the root mean square loading and accelerations than does a quasi-steady reduced order model.

Bartels, Robert E.↗

Preliminary evaluation of spectral, normal and meteorological crop stage estimation approaches

Several of the projects in the AgRISTARS program require crop phenology information, including classification, acreage and yield estimation, and detection of episodal events. This study evaluates several crop calendar estimation techniques for their potential use in the program. The techniques, although generic in approach, were developed and tested on spring wheat data collected in 1978. There are three basic approaches to crop stage estimation: historical averages for an area (normal crop calendars), agrometeorological modeling of known crop-weather relationships agrometeorological (agromet) crop calendars, and interpretation of spectral signatures (spectral crop calendars). In all, 10 combinations of planting and biostage estimation models were evaluated. Dates of stage occurrence are estimated with biases between -4 and +4 days while root mean square errors range from 10 to 15 days. Results are inconclusive as to the superiority of any of the models and further evaluation of the models with the 1979 data set is recommended.

Cate, R. B.↗

An Update on the Role of Systems Modeling in the Design and Verification of the James Webb Space Telescope

The James Web Space Telescope (JWST) is a large, infrared-optimized space telescope scheduled for launch in 2014. System-level verification of critical performance requirements will rely on integrated observatory models that predict the wavefront error accurately enough to verify that allocated top-level wavefront error of 150 nm root-mean-squared (rms) through to the wave-front sensor focal plane is met. The assembled models themselves are complex and require the insight of technical experts to assess their ability to meet their objectives. This paper describes the systems engineering and modeling approach used on the JWST through the detailed design phase.

Muheim, Danniella↗

A hydroponic method for plant growth in microgravity

A hydroponic apparatus under development for long-term microgravity plant growth is described. The capillary effect root environment system (CERES) is designed to keep separate the nutrient and air flows, although both must be simultaneously available to the roots. Water at a pressure slightly under air pressure is allowed to seep into a plastic depression covered by a plastic screen and a porous membrane. A root in the air on the membrane outer surface draws the moisture through it. The laboratory model has a wire-based 1.241 mm mesh polyethylene screen and a filter membrane with 0.45 micron pores, small enough to prohibit root hair penetration. The design eliminates the need to seal-off the plant environment. Problems still needing attention include scaling up of the CERES size, controlling biofouling of the membrane, and extending the applications to plants without fibrous root systems.

Wright, B. D.↗

Computer simulation of a pilot in V/STOL aircraft control loops

The objective was to develop a computerized adaptive pilot model for the computer model of the research aircraft, the Harrier II AV-8B V/STOL with special emphasis on propulsion control. In fact, two versions of the adaptive pilot are given. The first, simply called the Adaptive Control Model (ACM) of a pilot includes a parameter estimation algorithm for the parameters of the aircraft and an adaption scheme based on the root locus of the poles of the pilot controlled aircraft. The second, called the Optimal Control Model of the pilot (OCM), includes an adaption algorithm and an optimal control algorithm. These computer simulations were developed as a part of the ongoing research program in pilot model simulation supported by NASA Lewis from April 1, 1985 to August 30, 1986 under NASA Grant NAG 3-606 and from September 1, 1986 through November 30, 1988 under NASA Grant NAG 3-729. Once installed, these pilot models permitted the computer simulation of the pilot model to close all of the control loops normally closed by a pilot actually manipulating the control variables. The current version of this has permitted a baseline comparison of various qualitative and quantitative performance indices for propulsion control, the control loops and the work load on the pilot. Actual data for an aircraft flown by a human pilot furnished by NASA was compared to the outputs furnished by the computerized pilot and found to be favorable.

Vogt, William G.↗

Physics-informed State-space Neural Networks for transport phenomena

This work introduces Physics -informed State -space neural network Models (PSMs), a novel solution to achieving real-time optimization, flexibility, and fault tolerance in autonomous systems, particularly in transportdominated systems such as chemical, biomedical, and power plants. Traditional data -driven methods fall short due to a lack of physical constraints like mass conservation; PSMs address this issue by training deep neural networks with sensor data and physics -informing using components' Partial Differential Equations (PDEs), resulting in a physics -constrained, end -to -end differentiable forward dynamics model. Further, through two in silico experiments - a heated channel and a cooling system loop - we demonstrate that PSMs offer a more accurate approach than a purely data -driven model. In the former experiment, PSMs demonstrated significantly lower average root -mean -square errors across test datasets compared to a purely data -driven neural network, with reductions of 44 %, 48 %, and 94 % in predicting pressure, velocity, and temperature, respectively. Beyond accuracy, PSMs demonstrate a compelling multitask capability, making them highly versatile. In this work, we showcase two: supervisory control of a nonlinear system through a sequentially updated state -space representation and the proposal of a diagnostic algorithm using residuals from each of the PDEs. The former demonstrates PSMs' ability to handle constant and time -dependent constraints, while the latter illustrates their value in system diagnostics and fault detection.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Uncertainty Estimation for SMAP Level-1 Brightness Temperature Assimilation at Different Timescales

Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission brightness temperature (T(b) ) observations are assimilated into NASA’s Catchment Land Surface Model using an Ensemble Kalman filter to update simulations of surface and root-zone soil moisture. Different time series components of the T(b) observations are assimilated including anomalies, inter-annual variations, and high frequency variations. To optimize the weights that the data assimilation (DA) puts on the observations, the ratio between the uncertainties of modeled and observed T(b) is approximated using modeled and observed soil moisture uncertainties estimated using triple collocation analysis. In a benchmark experiment, T(b) observations are assimilated using a spatially constant 4 Kelvin (K) observation uncertainty, as in the operational SMAP Level-4 algorithm. All DA experiments exhibit notable skill improvements in most regions. Improvements are largest for the inter-annual variations in the simulations of both surface and root-zone soil moisture (mean improvements in terms of Pearson correlation (-) are 0.08 and 0.06, respectively). Anomaly simulations improve similarly (0.07), and improvements in the high-frequency variations are only observed for surface soil moisture simulations (0.06). No notable difference in skill - neither improvement nor deterioration - is observed between the experiments that use optimized observation uncertainty parameters and the 4 K benchmark experiment. This may be explained by the presence of large observation operator errors, which are analytically shown to have the potential to render post-update uncertainty insensitive to inaccuracies in estimates of the Kalman gain. These results have important implications for the design of soil moisture DA systems, in particular for parameterizing model and observation uncertainties.

Hydrology↗

Elastic functional principal component regression

We study regression using functional predictors in situations where these functions contains both phase and amplitude variability. In other words, the functions are misaligned due to errors in time measurements, and these errors can significantly degrade both model estimation and prediction performance. The current techniques either ignore the phase variability, or handle it via preprocessing, that is, use an off–the–shelf technique for functional alignment and phase removal. We develop a functional principal component regression model which has a comprehensive approach in handling phase and amplitude variability. The model utilizes a mathematical representation of the data known as the square–root slope function. These functions preserve the L 2 norm under warping and are ideally suited for simultaneous estimation of regression and warping parameters. Furthermore, using both simulated and real–world data sets, we demonstrate our approach and evaluate its prediction performance relative to current models. In addition, we propose an extension to functional logistic and multinomial logistic regression.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Water requirements of short rotation poplar coppice: Experimental and modelling analyses across Europe

Poplars are among the most widely used short rotation woody coppice (SRWC) species but due to their assumed high water use, concerns have been raised with respect to large-scale exploitation and potentially detrimental effects on water resources. Here we present a quantitative analysis of the water requirements of poplar SRWC using experimental data and a soil water balance modelling approach at three different sites across Europe. We used (i) eddy covariance (EC) measurements (2004–2006) at an irrigated SRWC grown on a previous rice paddy in northern Italy, (ii) Bowen ratio and energy balance (BREB) measurements (2008–2015) and EC (2011–2015) at a SRWC in rain-fed uplands in the Czech Republic, and (iii) EC measurements (2010–2013) at a SRWC on a previous agricultural land with a shallow water table in Belgium. Without any calibration against water balance component measurements, simulations by the newly developed soil water balance model R-4ET were compared with evapotranspiration (ET) measurements by EC and BREB with a resulting mean root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.75 mm day -1 . In general, there was better agreement between EC and the model (RMSE = 0.66 mm day -1 ) when EC data were adjusted for lack of energy balance closure. A comparison of the simulated and measured soil water content yielded a mean RMSE of 0.03 m 3 m -3 . The mean annual crop coefficient, i.e. the ratio between actual and reference ET, was 0.82 (ranging from 0.65 to 0.95) while the monthly maxima reached 1.16. These values indicated that ET of poplar SRWC was significantly lower than ET of a well-watered grass cover at the annual time scale, but exceeded ET of the reference cover at shorter time scales during the growing season. We show that the model R-4ET is a simple, yet reliable tool for the assessment of water requirements of existing or planned SRWC. For very simple assessments on an annual basis, using a crop coefficient of 0.86 (adjusted to a sub-humid climate), representing an average value across the three sites in years with no evident drought stress, is supported by this analysis.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Warming, permafrost thaw and increased nitrogen availability as drivers for plant composition and growth across the Tibetan Plateau

Permafrost-affected ecosystems are subject to warming and thawing, which can increase the availability of subsurface nitrogen (N) with consequences in otherwise N-limited tundra and alpine vegetation. Here, we quantify the extent of warming and permafrost thawing and the corresponding effects on nitrogen availability and plant growth based on a 20-year survey across 14 sites on the Tibetan Plateau. The survey showed that most sites have been subject to warming and thawing and that the upper permafrost zone across all sites was rich in inorganic N, mainly as ammonium. We further explore the efficiency of plants to utilize 15 N-labelled inorganic N over five years following 15 N addition at the permafrost table far below the main root zone. The 15 N experiment showed that deep-rooted plant species were able to utilize the labelled N. A SEM model suggests that changes in vegetation can be explained by both active layer warming and permafrost thawing and the associated changes in inorganic nitrogen availability. Our results highlight a feedback mechanism of climate warming, in which released plant-available N may favour deep-rooted plants. This can explain important changes in plant composition and growth across the sites on the Tibetan Plateau.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Investigation of Abnormal Level Control Oscillations in a BWR Feedwater System

In the long-term operation of nuclear power plants, the aging of systems, structures, and components can lead to maintenance issues that must be dealt with to maintain cost-effective plant operations. One common issue affecting the currently operated boiling water reactors is the onset of unexpected level oscillations in feedwater heaters. This phenomenon can cause excessive cycling of drain valves and lead to premature failures. In this work, we develop a dynamic model of a set of feedwater heaters to determine the root cause of oscillations observed in an operating plant. Simulation results of various transient scenarios were used to investigate the effects of the controller parameters, boundary conditions, and possible valve and instrument issues. The analysis led to the conclusion that the most likely causes of the observed self-sustained oscillations in the system are the nonlinear behaviors of the drain valve and the level transmitter induced by degraded equipment condition. In conclusion, a partial plug of the pressure line used for level sensing in the system can account for a significant deadtime in the level transmitter, a nonlinear effect shown to induce self-sustained oscillatory behaviors.

Boiling water reactors↗

Updated Economic Model for Estimation of GDP Losses in the MACCS Offsite Consequence Analysis Code RDEIM Model Report for MACCS v4.2

This report updates the Regional Disruption Economic Impact Model (RDEIM) GDP-based model described in Bixler et al. (2020) used in the MACCS accident consequence analysis code. MACCS is the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) used to perform probabilistic health and economic consequence assessments for atmospheric releases of radionuclides. It is also used by international organizations, both reactor owners and regulators. It is intended and most commonly used for hypothetical accidents that could potentially occur in the future rather than to evaluate past accidents or to provide emergency response during an ongoing accident. It is designed to support probabilistic risk and consequence analyses and is used by the NRC, U.S. nuclear licensees, the Department of Energy, and international vendors, licensees, and regulators. The update of the RDEIM model in version 4.2 expresses the national recovery calculation explicitly, rather than implicitly as in the previous version. The calculation of the total national GDP losses remains unchanged. However, anticipated gains from recovery are now allocated across all the GDP loss types – direct, indirect, and induced – whereas in version 4.1, all recovery gains were accounted for in the indirect loss type. To achieve this, we’ve introduced new methodology to streamline and simplify the calculation of all types of losses and recovery. In addition, RDEIM includes other kinds of losses, including tangible wealth. This includes loss of tangible assets (e.g., depreciation) and accident expenditures (e.g., decontamination). This document describes the updated RDEIM economic model and provides examples of loss and recovery calculation, results analysis, and presentation. Changes to the tangible cost calculation and accident expenditures are described in section 2.2. The updates to the RDEIM input-output (I-O) model are not expected to affect the final benchmark results Bixler et al. (2020), as the RDEIM calculation for the total national GDP losses remains unchanged. The reader is referred to the MACCS revision history for other cost modelling changes since version 4.0 that may affect the benchmark. RDEIM has its roots in a code developed by Sandia National Laboratories for the Department of Homeland Security to estimate short-term losses from natural and manmade accidents, called the Regional Economic Accounting analysis tool (REAcct). This model was adapted and modified for MACCS. It is based on I-O theory, which is widely used in economic modeling. It accounts for direct losses to a disrupted region affected by an accident, indirect losses to the national economy due to disruption of the supply chain, and induced losses from reduced spending by displaced workers. RDEIM differs from REAcct in in its treatment and estimation of indirect loss multipliers, elimination of double-counting associated with inter-industry trade in the affected area, and that it is intended to be used for extended periods that can occur from a major nuclear reactor accident, such as the one that occurred at the Fukushima Daiichi site in Japan. Most input-output models do not account for economic adaptation and recovery, and in this regard RDEIM differs from its parent, REAcct, because it allows for a user-definable national recovery period. Implementation of a recovery period was one of several recommendations made by an independent peer review panel to ensure that RDEIM is state-of-practice. For this and several other reasons, RDEIM differs from REAcct.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗