Results for “variable density” — Page 42

DOE OSTI2025

Data-Driven Closures and Assimilation for Stiff Multiscale Random Dynamics

Here, we introduce a data-driven and physics-informed framework for propagating uncertainty in stiff, multiscale random ordinary differential equations (RODEs) driven by correlated (colored) noise. Unlike systems subjected to Gaussian white noise, a deterministic equation for the joint probability density function (PDF) of RODE state variables does not exist in closed form. Moreover, such an equation would require as many phase-space variables as there are states in the RODE system. To alleviate this curse of dimensionality, we instead derive exact, albeit unclosed, reduced-order PDF (RoPDF) equations for low-dimensional observables/quantities of interest. The unclosed terms take the form of state-dependent conditional expectations, which are directly estimated from data at sparse observation times. However, for systems exhibiting stiff, multiscale dynamics, data sparsity introduces regression discrepancies that compound during RoPDF evolution. This is overcome by introducing a kinetic-like defect term to the RoPDF equation, which is learned by assimilating in sparse, low-fidelity RoPDF estimates. Two assimilation methods are considered, namely nudging and deep neural networks, which are successfully tested against Monte Carlo simulations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Evaluation of WRF simulation of deep convection in the US Southern Great Plains

The Southern Great Plains (SGP) exhibits a relatively high frequency of periods with extremely high rainfall rates (RR) and hail. Here, seven months of 2017 are simulated using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model applied at convection permitting resolution with the Mibrandt-Yau microphysics scheme. Simulation fidelity is evaluated, particularly during intense convective events, using data from ASOS stations, dual-polarization RADAR, gridded data sets and observations at the DoE Atmospheric Radiation Measurement site. The spatial gradients and temporal variability of precipitation and the cumulative density functions for both RR and wind speeds exhibit fidelity. Odds ratios >1 indicate WRF is also skillful in simulating high composite reflectivity (cREF, used as a measure of widespread convection) and RR > 5 mmhr –1 over the domain. Detailed analyses of the ten days with highest spatial coverage of cREF >30 dBZ show spatially similar reflectivity fields and high RR in both RADAR data and WRF simulations. However, during periods of high reflectivity, WRF exhibits a positive bias in terms of very high RR (> 25 mmhr –1 ) and hail occurrence, and during the summer and transition months, maximum hail size is underestimated. For some renewable energy applications fidelity is required with respect to the joint probabilities of wind speed and RR and/or hail. While partial fidelity is achieved for the marginal probabilities, performance during events of critical importance to these energy applications is currently not sufficient. Further research into optimal WRF configurations in support of potential damage quantification for these applications is warranted.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

MEMS RF accelerators for nuclear energy and advanced manufacturing

Energetic ions are widely used to develop radiation hard structural materials and fuels for advanced nuclear energy. Ion beams are also used to generate neutrons for nuclear materials testing, as well as in a series of high impact, high value adding manufacturing processes (ranging from doping of semiconductors to hardening of materials against wear and to increase bio-compatibility of materials). But to date, high power beams of high energy ions are simply too expensive because they are delivered from large single beam accelerators. We have recently demonstrated that MEMS technology enables massively parallel, low cost batch fabrication of ion beams. We propose to scale intense ion accelerators based on MEMS (micro-electro mechanical systems) to high beam power (>10 kW). With our approach, hundreds to thousands of ion beamlets will be densely packed on silicon wafers. Ions are injected and accelerated across gaps formed in stacks of wafers, leading to uniquely high current densities for intense ion accelerators with variable kinetic energy (0.1 to 10 MeV) and variable ion species. Our team brings together experts in high power ion accelerators from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and leading experts in MEMS technology from Cornell University. We will deliver a disruptive technology of low cost, flexible and massively scalable ion accelerators that will enable the rapid development of radiation hard nuclear materials for advanced nuclear energy and enable new applications in manufacturing.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2019

On the role of climate modes in modulating the air–sea CO 2 fluxes in eastern boundary upwelling systems

Abstract. The air–sea CO 2 fluxes in eastern boundary upwelling systems (EBUSs) vary strongly in time and space, with some of the highest flux densities globally. The processes controlling this variability have not yet been investigated consistently across all four major EBUSs, i.e., the California (CalCS), Humboldt (HumCS), Canary (CanCS), and Benguela (BenCS) Current systems. In this study, we diagnose the climatic modes of the air–sea CO 2 flux variability in these regions between 1920 and 2015, using simulation results from the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble (CESM-LENS), a global coupled climate model ensemble that is forced by historical and RCP8.5 radiative forcing. Differences between simulations can be attributed entirely to internal (unforced) climate variability, whose contribution can be diagnosed by subtracting the ensemble mean from each simulation. We find that in the CalCS and CanCS, the resulting anomalous CO 2 fluxes are strongly affected by large-scale extratropical modes of variability, i.e., the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), respectively. The CalCS has anomalous uptake of CO 2 during the positive phase of the NPGO, while the CanCS has anomalous outgassing of CO 2 during the positive phase of the NAO. In contrast, the HumCS is mainly affected by El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), with anomalous uptake of CO 2 during an El Niño event. Variations in dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) and sea surface temperature (SST) are the major contributors to these anomalous CO 2 fluxes and are generally driven by changes to large-scale gyre circulation, upwelling, the mixed layer depth, and biological processes. A better understanding of the sensitivity of EBUS CO 2 fluxes to modes of climate variability is key in improving our ability to predict the future evolution of the atmospheric CO 2 source and sink characteristics of the four EBUSs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS1977

Ultrasonic evaluation of the strength of unidirectional graphite-polyimide composites

An acoustic-ultrasonic method is described that was successful in ranking unidirectional graphite-polyimide composite specimens according to variations in interlaminar shear strength. Using this method, a quantity termed the stress wave factor was determined. It was found that this factor increases directly with interlaminar shear strength. The key variables in this investigation were composite density, fiber weight fraction, and void content. The stress wave factor and other ultrasonic factors that were studied were found to provide a powerful means for nondestructive evaluation of mechanical strength properties.

Vary, A.↗

NASA NTRS1982

Algorithm for Unsteady Potential Flow About Airfoils

Implicit finite-difference scheme efficiently computes unsteady potential flow about airfoils. Formulation uses density and velocity potential as dependent variables. Conservation form is retained to assure that shock wave location and speed are computed correctly. Scheme fills need for method to calculate efficiently unsteady potential flow about airfoils and to predict flutter and other unsteady aeroelastic phenomena in transonic flow regimes.

Chipman, R.↗

NASA NTRS1980

An alternating-direction-implicit algorithm for the unsteady potential equation in conservation form

An implicit finite difference scheme for an efficient computation of unsteady potential flow about airfoils is presented. The formulation uses density and velocity potential as dependent variables, and is cast in conservation form to assure the theoretically correct determination of shockwave location and speed. To enable boundary conditions to be imposed directly on the airfoil surface, a time varying sheared rectilinear coordinate transformation is employed. Calculated time history solutions on a pulsating airfoil are compared with the results of another unsteady transonic code. It is concluded that the method has excellent numerical stability and gives accurate solutions with sharply resolved shocks.

Chipman, R. R.↗

NASA NTRS1982

A data based random number generator for a multivariate distribution (using stochastic interpolation)

Let X be a K-dimensional random variable serving as input for a system with output Y (not necessarily of dimension k). given X, an outcome Y or a distribution of outcomes G(Y/X) may be obtained either explicitly or implicity. The situation is considered in which there is a real world data set X sub j sub = 1 (n) and a means of simulating an outcome Y. A method for empirical random number generation based on the sample of observations of the random variable X without estimating the underlying density is discussed.

Thompson, J. R.↗

NASA NTRS1989

A simple algebraic grid adaptation scheme with applications to two- and three-dimensional flow problems

An algebraic adaptive grid scheme based on the concept of arc equidistribution is presented which provides high flowfield resolution when applied to two-dimensional and three-dimensional flow problems. The present scheme locally adjusts the grid density using gradients of selected flow variables from either finite difference or finite volume calculations, and it can specify user-prescribed grid stretching such that control of the grid spacing can be maintained in areas of known flowfield behavior. A robust and efficient grid smoothing technique has been incorporated into the adaptive grid routine.

Hsu, Andrew T.↗

NASA NTRS1989

Unsteady density-current equations for highly curved terrain

New nonlinear partial differential equations containing terrain curvature and its rate of change are derived that describe the flow of an atmospheric density current. Unlike the classical hydraulic-type equations for density currents, the new equations are valid for two-dimensional, gradually varied flow over highly curved terrain, hence suitable for computing unsteady (or steady) flows over arbitrary mountain/valley profiles. The model assumes the atmosphere above the density current exerts a known arbitrary variable pressure upon the unknown interface. Later this is specialized to the varying hydrostatic pressure of the atmosphere above. The new equations yield the variable velocity distribution, the interface position, and the pressure distribution that contains a centrifugal component, often significantly larger than its hydrostatic component. These partial differential equations are hyperbolic, and the characteristic equations and characteristic directions are derived. Using these to form a characteristic mesh, a hypothetical unsteady curved-flow problem is calculated, not based upon observed data, merely as an example to illustrate the simplicity of their application to unsteady flows over mountains.

Sivakumaran, N. S.↗

NASA NTRS1991

Styles of ejecta emplacement under atmospheric conditions

Laboratory experiments provide essential first-order constraints on processes affecting ballistic ejecta and styles of ejecta emplacement under different atmospheric environments at planetary scales. The NASA-Ames Vertical Gun allows impacting different fine-grained particulate targets under varying atmospheric pressure and density, thereby helping to isolate controlling variables. Further analysis now permits characterizing distinct modes of emplacement that reflect the degree of ejecta entrainment within a turbidity flow created by ejecta curtain movement through the atmosphere.

Schultz, P. H.↗

NASA NTRS2004

Specification of ISS Plasma Environment Variability

Quantifying spacecraft charging risks and associated hazards for the International Space Station (ISS) requires a plasma environment specification for the natural variability of ionospheric temperature (Te) and density (Ne). Empirical ionospheric specification and forecast models such as the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI) model typically only provide long term (seasonal) mean Te and Ne values for the low Earth orbit environment. This paper describes a statistical analysis of historical ionospheric low Earth orbit plasma measurements from the AE-C, AE-D, and DE-2 satellites used to derive a model of deviations of observed data values from IRI-2001 estimates of Ne, Te parameters for each data point to provide a statistical basis for modeling the deviations of the plasma environment from the IRI model output. Application of the deviation model with the IRI-2001 output yields a method for estimating extreme environments for the ISS spacecraft charging analysis.

Minow, Joseph I.↗

NASA NTRS2010

Improving the Representation of Snow Crystal Properties within a Single-Moment Microphysics Scheme

The assumptions of a single-moment microphysics scheme (NASA Goddard) were evaluated using a variety of surface, aircraft and radar data sets. Fixed distribution intercepts and snow bulk densities fail to represent the vertical variability and diversity of crystal populations for this event. Temperature-based equations have merit, but they can be adversely affected by complex temperature profiles that are inverted or isothermal. Column-based approaches can mitigate complex profiles of temperature but are restricted by the ability of the model to represent cloud depth. Spheres are insufficient for use in CloudSat reflectivity comparisons due to Mie resonance, but reasonable for Rayleigh scattering applications. Microphysics schemes will benefit from a greater range of snow crystal characteristics to accommodate naturally occurring diversity.

Molthan, Andrew L.↗

NASA NTRS2018

Representativeness of CO and O3 Along ATom Transects Derived from GEOS-5 and GMI-CTM Simulations

One major goal for the NASA Atmospheric Tomography Mission (ATom) is producing an observation-based chemical climatology to represent the atmospheric heterogeneity. In this study, we use CO and O3 observations and global atmospheric model simulations to examine the spatial representativeness of the ATom-1 and -2 transects within a 4D framework provided by the NASA GEOS-5 and GMI-CTM models. Based on the probability density functions, we find that the variability of CO and O3 along the flight tracks is well hindcast by the model when sampled per ATom flights. The CO variations along the ATom-transect are likely representative of the typical CO variations over the whole Pacific basin during both the ATom-1 and -2 periods, the northern Atlantic during the ATom-1 period, and the tropical Atlantic in the ATom-2 period. Over southern Atlantic, CO along the ATom-1 transects is likely less well mixed than that of the broader region, but is still representative of the median CO concentration. CO along the ATom-2 transect is likely higher than the median CO concentration over this region. For O3, the agreements between PDFs of O3 sampled along the ATom transects and over the broader regions are fair to good over all six regions (Scores > 0.65) with notable discrepancies over some regions. For example, in ATom-1 over the northern Pacific and Atlantic, the transect samples air masses with higher O3 levels. During ATom-2, the transect over-represents the occurrence of O3 plumes over tropical Pacific. Over the southern Pacific and Atlantic for both ATom-1 and -2, the transects have a less uniform distribution compared to the surrounding basins, but still represent the median O3 abundance. Overall, we conclude in most cases that ATom measurements represent the statistical variations of these two species over the ocean basins at the time of measurement. Higher-order statistics, including covariance of species, has not been tested in this study.

ozone↗

NASA NTRS2021

NICER Observations of the Black Hole Candidate MAXI J0637-430 during the 2019-2020 Outburst

We present detailed timing and spectral studies of the black hole candidate MAXI J0637–430 during its 2019–2020 outburst using observations with the Neutron Star Interior Composition Explorer (NICER)and the Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory. We find that the source evolves through the soft-intermediate, high-soft, hard-intermediate, and low-hard states during the outburst. No evidence of quasi-periodic oscillations is found in the power-density spectra of the source. Weak variability with fraction alarms amplitude<5 per cent is found in the softer spectral states. In the hard-intermediate and hard states, high variability with the fractional rms amplitude of>20 per cent is observed. The 0.7–10 keV spectra with NICER are studied with a combined disc-black-body and nth comp model along with the interstellar absorption. The temperature of the disc is estimated to be 0.6 keV in the rising phase and decreased slowly to 0.1 keV in the declining phase. The disc component was not detectable or absent during the low-hard state. From the state-transition luminosity and the inner edge of the accretion flow, we estimate the mass of the black hole to be in the range of 5–12 M, assuming the source distance of d<10 kpc.

Arghajit Jana↗

NASA NTRS2023

A Review of the Safety of Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitors for Long Duration Spaceflight

Introduction: As humankind ventures further into the depths of space, planning is already underway for long-duration exploration missions that will test the bounds of human performance. Deep space travel will include added risk related to stressors from the isolated, confined, and extreme (ICE) environment that lies outside the boundaries of low-earth orbit. Currently, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) are considered the gold standard treatment for many mental health diagnoses including anxiety and depression; however, SSRIs are also associated with several undesired side effects. The utility of non-pharmacologic therapies for the management of behavioral health conditions has not yet been fully explored. Methods: A comprehensive literature search was performed using PubMed and relevant articles pertaining to the psychological impacts of ICE environments, use of SSRIs in spaceflight, side effects associated with SSRIs, and non-pharmacologic treatments for anxiety and depression were reviewed. Over 100 studies were reviewed in total. Results: Reduced bone mineral density, impaired hemostatic function, significant individual variability resulting from gene polymorphisms, and drug-drug interactions are well described adverse effects of SSRIs that may complicate their operational use in the deep space environment. Many non-pharmacologic therapies have been utilized with success for the management of behavioral health conditions in the terrestrial environment that may show promise for long duration missions. Discussion: Although SSRIs have long been considered standard of care treatment for many behavioral health conditions, we cannot trivialize the risk that prolonged pharmacologic therapy may pose. The need to mitigate these risks by exploring alternative non-pharmacologic therapies has never been more relevant.

Charles H Dukes↗

DOE OSTI2020

Predicting Biological Cleanliness: An Empirical Bayes Approach for Spacecraft Bioburden Accounting

To comply with the international planetary protection policy set forth by the Committee on Space Research and NASA Agency level requirements, spacecraft destined to biologically sensitive planetary bodies have to minimize terrestrial biological contamination. Analysis, testing and inspection are the standard forward verification activities that are used to demonstrate compliance with the biological contamination requirements. For testing of spacecraft surface areas, a swab or wipe sample is collected from surfaces prior to last access and subsequently processed in the lab using NASA Approved Planetary Protection Methods for Culture Based Assays. Raw data resulting from this assay is then statistically treated employing a mathematical paradigm stemming from the 1970’s Viking Lander Project to generate the bioburden density and total microbial bioburden present. This standard approach arbitrarily accounts for error and provides an upper conservative bound as it reports the maximum number of spores estimated to be present on flight hardware surfaces. A bioburden density estimate factors in the following variables: the observed bioburden count, representative volume processed, sampling efficiencies. Notably, to account for error in the approach, a 0 observed count is arbitrarily changed to a count of 1 for each hardware grouping. The data generated by spacecraft bioburden verification campaigns in the past have resulted in <80% of wipes and <90% of swabs containing a bioburden count of 0. As such, having a robust and well documented statistical approach for dealing with the probability of low incident rates is necessary to be able to estimate spacecraft bioburden. Being able to statistically describe the bioburden distribution and associated confidence level is a gamechanger for the development of bioburden allocations during mission design and will allow for tighter management of risk throughout spacecraft build. Thus, Empirical Bayes statistical approach was evaluated to estimate the microbial bioburden on spacecraft to mitigate the aforementioned mathematical concerns and provide a probabilistic bioburden distribution of the flight hardware surface. For application of this approach to performing bioburden calculations, a range of non-informative prior assumptions on hardware surfaces are explored for Bayesian analyses while informative priors using posterior distributions from prior assays are utilized for Empirical Bayes analyses. Several non-informative priors are currently under investigation to assess fitness including use of these priors to serve as a foundation to build off of NASA specification values or a basis of risk to account for unknowns during the integration and testing process. Informative priors under consideration are generated using sampled bioburden values from hardware originating within like processing environments (e.g. vendor cleaning process or similar assembly process), temporal spacecraft status events as a prediction for hardware cleanliness of future samples, and heritage system bioburden actuals to predict allocation for subsequent missions. Informative priors and probabilistic bioburden distributions are then validated using data sets from the Mars Exploration Rover, Mars Science Laboratory, and InSight missions. Using Empirical Bayes approach to generate a probabilistic bioburden distribution as demonstrated through mission use cases provides a valid approach for use in the end-to-end requirements verification process.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Bayesian Framework for Bioburden Density Estimation in Planetary Protection

To comply with the international planetary protection policy set forth by the Committee on Space Research and NASA Agency level requirements, spacecraft destined to biologically sensitive planetary bodies have to minimize terrestrial biological contamination. Analysis, testing and inspection are the standard forward verification activities that are used to demonstrate compliance with the biological contamination requirements. For testing of spacecraft surface areas, a swab or wipe sample is collected from surfaces prior to last access and subsequently processed in the lab using NASA Approved Planetary Protection Methods for Culture Based Assays. Raw data resulting from this assay is then statistically treated employing a mathematical paradigm stemming from the 1970’s Viking Lander Project to generate the bioburden density and total microbial bioburden present. This standard approach arbitrarily accounts for error and provides an upper conservative bound as it reports the maximum number of spores estimated to be present on flight hardware surfaces. A bioburden density estimate factors in the following variables: the observed bioburden count, representative volume processed, sampling efficiencies. Notably, to account for error in the approach, a 0 observed count is arbitrarily changed to a count of 1 for each hardware grouping. The data generated by spacecraft bioburden verification campaigns in the past have resulted in <80% of wipes and <90% of swabs containing a bioburden count of 0. As such, having a robust and well documented statistical approach for dealing with the probability of low incident rates is necessary to be able to estimate spacecraft bioburden. Being able to statistically describe the bioburden distribution and associated confidence level is a gamechanger for the development of bioburden allocations during mission design and will allow for tighter management of risk throughout spacecraft build. Thus, Empirical Bayes statistical approach was evaluated to estimate the microbial bioburden on spacecraft to mitigate the aforementioned mathematical concerns and provide a probabilistic bioburden distribution of the flight hardware surface. For application of this approach to performing bioburden calculations, a range of non-informative prior assumptions on hardware surfaces are explored for Bayesian analyses while informative priors using posterior distributions from prior assays are utilized for Empirical Bayes analyses. Several non-informative priors are currently under investigation to assess fitness including use of these priors to serve as a foundation to build off of NASA specification values or a basis of risk to account for unknowns during the integration and testing process. Informative priors under consideration are generated using sampled bioburden values from hardware originating within like processing environments (e.g. vendor cleaning process or similar assembly process), temporal spacecraft status events as a prediction for hardware cleanliness of future samples, and heritage system bioburden actuals to predict allocation for subsequent missions. Informative priors and probabilistic bioburden distributions are then validated using data sets from the Mars Exploration Rover, Mars Science Laboratory, and InSight missions. Using Empirical Bayes approach to generate a probabilistic bioburden distribution as demonstrated through mission use cases provides a valid approach for use in the end-to-end requirements verification process.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗