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At least 775 records · Page 43

Deriving Severe Hail Likelihood from Satellite Observations and Model Reanalysis Parameters using a Deep Neural Network

Geostationary satellite imagers, such as those of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) series, have been observing severe convection at 15–60-minute intervals for over 40 years. When properly assessed, such a data record can be valuable in efforts of estimating severe storm risk throughout the diurnal cycle based on automated detection of patterns consistently found atop severe storms. Furthermore, environmental conditions favorable for severe weather are well-known and are thought to be represented well by modern reanalysis products. Promoting resilience against such hazards on local and global scales is a chief goal the NASA Disasters program, which seeks to encourage use of satellite observations to mitigate risk. For instance, hail is the costliest severe weather hazard across the globe in terms of insured loss, but reporting inconsistencies for hail events globally make it difficult to develop models that can quantify the risk. Satellite observation and model reanalysis taken together have the potential to, with reasonable skill and specificity, characterize environmental conditions that are favorable for hazardous weather, and thereby enable creation of hazard climatologie. Such climatologies are particularly useful over regions without extensive radar networks or storm reporting. By mapping the multivariate combination of observed cloud features and reanalysis environmental parameters/indices to United States Next Generation Weather Radar (NEXRAD) radar-estimated Maximum Expected Size of Hail (MESH) by way of a deep neural network (DNN), estimates of likelihood for potentially severe hail can be produced. Such estimates are of greater complexity and efficiency than could be performed with previous multivariate or logistic regression analyses for observed points within convective systems. Statistical distributions of convective parameters from satellite and reanalysis are shown to highlight non-severe/severe class separation for well-known hailstorm predictors, e.g., overshooting cloud top characteristics, deep-layer wind shear, mid-level stability, helicity, and convective inhibition. These complex, multivariate predictor relationships are exploited within a DNN, which can efficiently produce a quantitative hail risk metric with better than 70% detection rate and under 30% false alarms. These hail classifications can then be aggregated across the satellite record to yield a hazard climatology for hail frequency and severity – knowledge of which is of particular interest to those who manage risk (e.g., insurers) and are seeking opportunities to identify hail-prone regions, particularly in developing nations. This NASA study uses satellite observations and model parameters in a DNN to perform climatological hailstorm analysis in support of catastrophe model development, with the hope of promoting risk resilience particularly in regions without adequate weather radar coverage.

Passive Remote Sensing↗

Changes in Lightning Flash Size and Energy during the Intensification of Hurricanes Florence (2018) and Laura (2020)

Lightning is a useful tool in forecasting and understanding the behavior of tropical cyclones (TCs). The Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) aboard the GOES-16 geostationary satellite measures a multitude of lightning parameters, such as flash extent density (FED), average flash area (AFA) and optical energy for most of North America, South America, and the Pacific Ocean. GLM has brought about an era of spaceborne measurements to track storms many miles off the coasts and has allowed for the study of lightning throughout a TCs entire lifespan. FED has been found to be indicative of strength and intensification in TCs, but optical energy is a relatively new parameter that has not been studied intensively. This presentation analyzes the relationship between rapid intensification (RI) and GLM optical energy, AFA, and FED in Hurricanes Florence (2018) and Laura (2020). Using a 24-hour time interval in which each storm underwent RI, optical energy was analyzed from the innermost 100 kilometers of the eye and then was averaged for each minute to determine if there was a relationship between optical energy, AFA, FED, and intensification. Optical energy, FED, and AFA spiked just before RI began and then fell as the storms intensified more rapidly. These parameters increased again as intensification slowed slightly, while the optical energy peaks much lower in Hurricane Laura and much higher in Hurricane Florence. While these results show a pattern in lightning in these two TCs, further investigation of parameters like updraft strength and charge separation from microwave imagery during these secondary peaks in which optical energy behaves differently than the first peak may provide further insight as to the behavior of these TCs during RI.

Kiahna Mollette↗

The Impact of Drifting Orbits on the Monthly Regional TOA Flux Assuming Constant Meteorology

The NASA Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) gridded Single Scanner Footprint (SSF1deg) product provides TOA SW and LW monthly 1° regional all-sky fluxes, which are used to monitor the Earth’s energy balance. The CERES long-term climate data record relies on Terra and Aqua satellite sun-synchronous orbits that are maintained at 10:30 and 1:30 local equator crossing times (LECT), respectively. The Terra and Aqua satellites are expected to drift outside of their respective LECT during mid 2022. Both Terra and Aqua will drift over several years towards sunrise and sunset, respectively, and eventually will be deorbited. The CERES SSF1deg product monthly regional fluxes are based on the well calibrated and stable CERES observed fluxes and are temporally interpolated assuming constant meteorology between measurements to resolve the regional diurnal flux cycle to obtain a daily averaged flux. The drifting orbits may impact the monthly regional TOA flux over regions with systematic diurnal cycles, because the observations will shift in local time. The CERES project would like to determine the maximum Terra and Aqua LECT time shift before the monthly regional fluxes are diurnally impacted and become unreliable for long-term climate monitoring. To determine the impact of the drifting orbits on the SSF1deg monthly regional fluxes,15-minute Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget (GERB) broadband observed fluxes over the Meteosat geostationary satellite domain (±60° in longitude and latitude) are used as proxy CERES observations. The drifting orbit sampling pattern is achieved by simply incrementing the observation time by steps of 15 minutes from the CERES footprint time. For each 15-minute time interval, the CERES observed fluxes are replaced by the GERB observed fluxes. The-15 minute incremented monthly regional fluxes based on constant meteorology are compared to the reference 10:30 and 1:30 LECT fluxes. Regions with systematic diurnal cycles, include morning maritime stratus, where the clouds dissipate during the morning, and land afternoon convection, where clouds increase in the afternoon will impact the regional flux differences. Based on January and July 2010 GERB data, even a 15-minute LECT change caused regional monthly flux differences that would impact long term regional trend analysis. Results will be shown at the conference.

David Doelling↗

Additional characterization of Libya-4 in support of post-launch vicarious calibration of satellite imagers

Libya-4 (28.55° N and 23.39° E) is one of the most characterized and utilized Pseudo Invariant Calibration Site (PICS) for post-launch radiometer drift monitoring and sensor pair radiometric scaling. Libya-4 is one of the driest and most reflective PICS located in an extensive sand dune region void of any vegetation with an elevation of 118 m. It is positioned near the northeast border with Egypt. With minimal cloud cover and the monthly mean precipitation of ~ 1mm, Libya-4 is one of the temporally, spectrally, and spatially stable CEOS recommended PICS and Cosnefroy et al. 1996 identified sites. The Libya-4 PICS has been extensively used for post-launch radiometric calibration and validation of high-, medium, and low-resolution satellite imagers, including Landsat, MODIS, VIIRS, and Meteosats. The CERES Imager and Geostationary Calibration Group (IGCG) at NASA LaRC utilizes Libya-4 to perform an independent assessment of the radiometric stability of the MODIS and VIIRS L1B products. The site is also used for absolute radiometric scaling between MODIS, VIIRS, and geostationary imagers to ensure consistent cloud and radiative flux retrievals. Multi-year Terra-MODIS, Aqua-MODIS , NPP-VIIRS and Metoesat-7 observations over Libya-4 show very similar TOA reflectance temporal variability. Although, the surface reflectance and atmospheric column varies seasonally, the inter-annual variability of the seasonal cycle should be small. Especially during 2013, the Libya-4 TOA reflectance was found to be greater than usual in all 4 satellite records. Preliminary comparisons with mean wind speed and aerosol optical depth (AOD) indicate that the year 2013 is marked by elevated levels of both conditions. The goal of this study is to tie the Libya-4 visible reflectance inter-annual variability with corresponding meteorological measurements to further improve the characterization of the site.

David R. Doelling↗

Development of a Consistent Cross-Platform GEO-Satellite Cloud Mask to Support CERES

Geostationary satellites provide continuous cloud and meteorological observations over a fixed portion of the Earth’s surface, allowing them to monitor the movement of storm systems and their diurnal variation. For climate studies, geostationary observations provide valuable insight of cloud formation and evolution and how they influence the Earth’s radiation budget. The Geo-Satellite Edition 4 cloud mask (GEO Ed4) is used operationally in NASA’s Cloud and Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) project to help account for diurnal variations in cloudiness on Earth’s radiation budget. The Ed4 cloud mask was applied to imager data on MSG (MeteoSat Second Generation), Himawari, GOES-West, and GOES-East satellites using as much spectral information as possible. That approach led to some discontinuities when a more modern satellite replaced an older satellite with less spectral information. A different strategy is being investigated for the CERES GEO Ed5 cloud mask that only uses spectral channels common on every satellite. Thus, a 3-channel (0.6, 3.9, 11 µm) algorithm for daytime cloud detection, and a 2-channels (3.9 and 11 µm) algorithm for nighttime cloud detection have been implemented and tested for Ed5. The goal of Ed5 cloud mask is to achieve global cloud amount consistency across five geo-satellites, and a smooth transition from an old satellite to a new satellite over each geo-location. This paper compares cloud mask results between Ed4 and a preliminary Ed5 version over the GOES-East region, using GOES-8, GOES-13, and GOES-16 satellites, each with a different spectral channel complement. Instantaneous and monthly regional mean inter-comparisons are performed and evaluated with CALIPSO cloud products to assess the accuracy and consistency of the Ed5 approach relative to that taken in Ed4. Results will be presented and discussed at the conference.

clouds↗

Assessment of Geo-Kompsat-2A Atmospheric Motion Vector Data and Its Assimilation Impact in the GEOS Atmospheric Data Assimilation System

Korea’s second geostationary meteorological satellite, Geo-Kompsat-2A (Geostationary-Korean Multi-Purpose Satellite-2A, GK2A), was successfully launched on 4 December 2018. GK2Agenerates Atmospheric Motion Vectors (AMVs) every 10 min in the full disk area. This data hasbeen disseminated via Global Telecommunication System (GTS) since 25 October 2019. This articleevaluates the quality of GK2A AMVs in the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) atmosphericdata assimilation system (ADAS). The data show slow wind speed biases at 200–300 hPa and 600–800hPa in the northern and southern hemispheres. These biases are caused by observation heightassignment errors near jet streams. The Equivalent Blackbody Temperature (EBBT) method of GK2Atends to assign clouds at higher altitude, which mainly causes slow wind speed biases, especially inthe lower atmosphere. The IR/WV intercept method of GK2A assigns clouds slightly lower in theatmospheric layers below the altitude of 400 hPa, which causes positive biases. Quality control (QC)criteria to select the most suitable GK2A AMV data for assimilation are presented based on thesequality assessments. A new QC criterion utilizing height errors within the GEOS ADAS is introducedto exclude data with slow wind speed biases and large errors. GEOS forecast accuracy is slightlyimproved after assimilating GK2A AMVs along with other conventional, radiance, and satellitewinds which include AMVs made by the Himawari-8 satellite in nearly the same observational areaof GK2A. Additionally, the present work shows that GEOS forecasts can be significantly improved,especially in the tropics and southern hemisphere after assimilating GK2A data in the absence ofHimawari-8 AMVs. This study demonstrates that GK2A AMV data is a valuable data source toenhance the robustness of GEOS ADAS.

Atmospheric Motion Vectors↗

A Modeling and Simulation Study for the GeoXO Atmospheric Composition Instrument (ACX): System Level SO2 and O3 Retrieval Performance as a Function of SNR

NOAA’s Geostationary Extended Observations (GeoXO) program is planning to include a hyperspectral UV/visible atmospheric composition instrument in geostationary orbit slated for operations by the early 2030s. Trace gas retrievals provide critical information about our Earth’s system as it relates to both natural and anthropogenic activity. This work focused on the impacts of the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) on the retrieval uncertainty of SO2 and O3. An end-to-end physics-based imaging system and scene modeling and simulation framework was developed to assess instrument performance considerations in support of the planned GeoXO atmospheric composition instrument (ACX). The framework is composed of three primary components: 1) simulated at-sensor radiance via radiative transfer models of a known atmospheric composition, 2) a noise model driven by previous and planned sensor specifications, and 3) a physical retrieval algorithm. In this analysis, the tropospheric concentrations of SO2 and O3 in the atmospheric column were varied in the boundary layer (0-3 km) and at an elevation of 5 km with a thickness of 1-2 km; the uncertainty in retrieval was studied for various SNR levels for multiple viewing geometries and solar zenith angles. This effort supports the development of the GeoXO ACX instrument by providing a simulated ACX performance assessment of the system-level retrieval performance as a function of SNR, particularly with respect to the wavelength range of interest (approximately 305 – 340 nm) for SO2 and O3 trace gas retrievals.

Monica Cook↗

GeoXO Ocean Color Instrument (OCX) Spatial and Temporal Coverage Assessment

NOAA’s next generation Geostationary Extended Observations (GeoXO) satellite system will advance Earth observations from geostationary orbit. GeoXO will supply vital information supporting the U.S. weather, ocean, and climate operations. The recommended three-satellite constellation includes spacecrafts at the current GOES-East and GOES-West positions that will carry an imager, lightning mapper, and an ocean color (OCX) instrument. In this poster we describe an assessment of U.S. Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) availability for OCX observations, based on EEZ view geometry, solar angle range over the year, sun glint, as well as cloud climatology. The availability for observations for each EEZ region is estimated per day of the year, as function of atmospheric mass factor (AMF) and sun glint. In addition, cloud climatology – based on statistics derived from three years of GOES-16 ABI cloud mask – is considered to determine the fraction of cloud-free OCX observations for each region as function of time of day and season. The results of such assessments can be used to optimize OCX collections and potentially explore regions outside the EEZ.

Boryana Efremova↗

Multispectral Imagery Research and Applications

The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center developed techniques to improve the quality and interpretation of multispectral imagery derived from NASA/NOAA geostationary satellites using statistical and machine learning approaches. A physically-based machine learning approach, DustTracker-AI, was developed to overcome the problem of night-time dust detection and to augment dust analysis with satellite products such as the Dust RGB. Additionally, an updated limb-correction and intercalibration methodology for short-wave, near-infrared, thermal infrared, and water vapor bands was developed for the purpose of developing a suite of high-quality RGB imagery that can be used at high viewing angles and across the constellation of geostationary sensors. This presentation will briefly highlight the techniques developed to detect dust in difficult night-time scenes and improve the quality and interpretation of multispectral imagery.

Emily Berndt↗

Compact Coronagraph (CCOR) Accommodation on GOES-U

The CCOR-1 will monitor our Sun’s Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs). It will reside on the Sun-Pointing Platform (SPP) of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) -U in a geostationary orbit. As a member of the GOES-R Series of satellites, GOES-U will pro-vide advanced imagery and atmospheric measurements of Earth’s weather, oceans and envi-ronment, real-time mapping of total lightning activity, and as well as monitoring of solar ac-tivity and space weather. GOES-U is the final satellite in the GOES-R Series, with an expected launch date in April of 2024. The Compact Coronagraph (CCOR) instrument was designed, built, and tested by the Unit-ed States Naval Research Laboratory. CCOR-1, the first in a series of coronagraphs, is funded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), is managed by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), and will ultimately be operated by NOAA. Us-ing a series of images of the Sun’s coronal white-light, scientists at NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) can de-termine the size, velocity, and density of these CMEs. This information can then be used to assess and prepare for potential impacts of these solar storms on infrastructure here on Earth, as well as assets in space. CCOR-1 has completed instrument-level Integration and Testing (I&T), delivered to the GOES-U satellite vendor and is now mechanically integrated with the spacecraft. The GOES-U satellite has completed spacecraft-level integration and test activities. This poster presents the details on the CCOR-1 instrument, its integration onto the GOES-U satellite bus, ground system, and operations, as well as the expected performance.

White Light Coronagraph↗

Open Source Application of Fusing Aerosol Products from GEO and LEO Satellites

Retrieving aerosol optical depths (AODs) from sun-synchronous polar orbiting (aka low earth orbit, LEO) satellites, such as MODISs, and VIIRSs, OMI, TROPOMI, etc, has become well-established as a tool for extracting information on particulate matter (PM) and related processes in the atmosphere. However, with recently launched geostationary satellites (GEO), such as GOES-16/17/18, and Himawari-8/9, and Meteosat Third Generation (MTG) they provide a much higher temporal resolution (order of 10 minutes), typically an image once or more per hour during daylight compared to LEO once per day. By combining these observations, we may be able to characterize the diurnal cycle of global AOD at the local, regional and global scale. While the science community is still exploring the new data from GEO observations, we have been thinking about how to properly combine/merge/fuse those data considering differences in their spatial and temporal resolutions. However, this poses a “Big Data” challenge. The big data challenge is not just about data storage, but also about data discoverability, and accessibility, and even more, about data migration/mirroring in the cloud-computing environment. This paper is merely showing some of the efforts and approaches we have attempted in fusing six satellites’ Level 2 aerosol data (three are from GEO (GOES-16/17 and Himawari-8), and the other three are from LEO (TERRA/MODIS, AQUA/MODIS, SNPP-VIIRS) from Dark Target (DT) aerosol retrieval algorithm. Having the on-demand capability of fusing remote sensing products onto the desired temporal and spatial domain enables researchers and application practitioners to better manipulate and work with satellite and sensor data. It is our hopeWe hope that by making such an open-source package, and the accompanying functionality, the scientific community will be granted easier access to aerosol data processing resources. The MEaSUREs Program (Making Earth System Data Records for Use in Research Environments) expands our understanding of the Earth's current system through atmospheric and surface measurements. In an effort to aid the scientific research component and improve open source methods, this project developed Python code for fusing six satellite Level 2 aerosol data (three are from geostationary satellites (GEO), and the other three are from low earth orbital satellites (LEO)) from Dark Target Aerosol Retrieval Algorithm.

Jennifer Wei↗

Toward The Development of Hailstorm Climatologies Derived From Reanalyses and Infared/Passive Microwave Satellite Imagers

Geostationary satellite imagers, such as those of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) and Meteosat series, provide both historical and near-real-time observations of cloud top patterns that are commonly associated with severe convection. Environmental conditions favorable for severe weather are thought to be represented well by reanalyses. Predicting exactly where convection and costly storm hazards like hail will occur using models or satellite imagery alone, however, is extremely challenging. The multivariate combination of satellite-observed cloud patterns with reanalysis environmental parameters, linked to United States Next Generation Weather Radar- (NEXRAD-) estimated Maximum Expected Size of Hail (MESH) using a deep neural network (DNN), enables estimation of potentially severe hail likelihood for any observed storm cell. These estimates are specifically designed to make hail likelihood distinctions based on satellite-indicated points of deep convection within environments favorable for storm development. We seek an approach that can be used to estimate climatological hailstorm frequency and risk throughout the historical satellite data record. This presentation demonstrates that statistical distributions of convective parameters from satellite and reanalysis show separation between non-severe/severe hailstorm classes for predictors including overshooting cloud top temperature and area characteristics, convective available potential energy, vertical wind shear, 500 hPa temperature, mid-level lapse rate, precipitable water, and convective inhibition. These complex, multivariate predictor relationships are exploited within a DNN to produce a hail likelihood metric with a critical success index of 0.504 and Heidke skill score of 0.403, which is exceptional among recent analogous hail studies. Furthermore, applications of the DNN to select case studies demonstrate good qualitative agreement between hail likelihood and MESH. These hail classifications are aggregated across an 11-year GOES-12/13 image database to derive a hail frequency and severity climatology, which denotes the Central Plains, the Midwest, and northwestern Mexico as being the most hail-prone regions within the domain studied. Opportunities for training and applying DNN-based hailstorm predictions to recently developed GOES-8/10/12/13/16 and Meteosat Second Generation convective storm detection and characterization climatologies over South America and South Africa, respectively, will also be presented.

Kristopher Bedka↗

GOES-R GN&C Capabilities Used to Support Instrument Anomaly Investigations

The Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-R program (GOES-R) has launched three of the latest generation geostationary weather satellites, of which all three are now fully operational. In this paper we discuss how the robust capabilities inherent in the design have been used to address off-nominal instrument performance observed in flight, and to subsequently provide acceptable data return from two of the instruments exhibiting off-nominal performance. The primary science instrument, the Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI), performed well on GOES-16, but on GOES-17 ABI exhibited anomalous IR-channel imaging early in the mission. Unfortunately, lower than expected thermal control capability did not cool the IR detectors to the expected temperatures. This paper presents spacecraft operations undertaken to calibrate the off-nominal performance of the instrument thermal control, and to develop spacecraft operational mitigation steps to recover near-nominal instrument performance. On GOES-16, the magnetometer (MAG) instrument experienced performance that was less than expected. As part of the MAG performance investigation, an improved calibration procedure was developed that required use of the entire GOES-R performance envelope. This paper presents an overview of the performance issues and provides details on the specific accommodations implemented to help maximize science return.

Jim Chapel↗

Earth Radiation Budget Climate Record Composed of Multiple Satellite Observations

Effects of cloud diurnal cycle on top-of-atmosphere (TOA) and surface regional monthly mean irradiances, climatological mean, and anomalies are analyzed using CERES derived TOA irradiances and surface irradiances computed with MODIS derived cloud properties. Cloud properties derived from Terra and Aqua MODIS are sufficient to capture cloud diurnal cycle to compute regional monthly mean surface irradiances. While missing cloud diurnal cycle leads to a biased TOA and surface regional irradiances for regions with a strong cloud diurnal cycle, monthly regional TOA and surface anomalies derived from one sun-synchronous orbit agrees well with those derived from two sun-synchronous orbits. Based on these results, the algorithm to produce Edition 4.2 CERES EBAF product is developed. Regional TOA and surface climatological means derived from one sun-synchronous orbit are adjusted to match corresponding climatological means derived from Terra+Aqua observations. This climatological adjustment approach is used to merge the Terra only period to the Terra+Aqua period and to extend the Terra and Aqua record by merging NOAA20 observations. Two additional differences of Edition 4.2 EBAF algorithm to compute surface irradiances compared to the earlier version are: 1) no geostationary satellite derived cloud properties are used and 2) temperature and humidity from MERRA-2 instead of GEOIS-5.4.1 are used. Once surface monthly regional mean irradiances are compared with surface observations, the agreement is equivalent to the agreement with the earlier version. However, because surface irradiances are not affected by geostationary satellite artifacts, regional surface irradiance anomaly time series is significantly improved, especially for longwave irradiances.

Seiji Kato↗

The Orbital Drift Impact on the Monthly Regional TOA Flux Assuming Constant Meteorology

The NASA Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) gridded Single Scanner Footprint (SSF1deg) product provides TOA SW and LW monthly 1° regional all-sky fluxes, which are used to monitor the Earth’s energy balance. The CERES long-term climate data record relies on Terra and Aqua satellite sun-synchronous orbits that are maintained at 10:30 and 1:30 local equator crossing times (LECT), respectively. The Terra and Aqua satellites are expected to drift outside of their respective LECT during mid 2022. Both Terra and Aqua will drift over several years towards sunrise and sunset, respectively, and eventually will be deorbited. The CERES SSF1deg product monthly regional fluxes are based on the well calibrated and stable CERES observed fluxes and are temporally interpolated assuming constant meteorology between measurements to resolve the regional diurnal flux cycle to obtain a daily averaged flux. The drifting orbits may impact the monthly regional TOA flux over regions with systematic diurnal cycles, because the observations will shift in local time. The CERES project would like to determine the maximum Terra and Aqua LECT time shift before the monthly regional fluxes are diurnally impacted and become unreliable for long-term climate monitoring. To determine the impact of the drifting orbits on the SSF1deg monthly regional fluxes,15-minute Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget (GERB) broadband observed fluxes over the Meteosat geostationary satellite domain (±60° in longitude and latitude) are used as proxy CERES observations. The drifting orbit sampling pattern is achieved by simply incrementing the observation time by steps of 15 minutes from the CERES footprint time. For each 15-minute time interval, the CERES observed fluxes are replaced by the GERB observed fluxes. The-15 minute incremented monthly regional fluxes based on constant meteorology are compared to the reference 10:30 and 1:30 LECT fluxes. Regions with systematic diurnal cycles, include morning maritime stratus, where the clouds dissipate during the morning, and land afternoon convection, where clouds increase in the afternoon will impact the regional flux differences. Based on January and July 2010 GERB data, even a 15-minute LECT change caused regional monthly flux differences that would impact long term regional trend analysis. Results will be shown at the conference.

D R Doelling↗

Evaluating GXS Impact in the Context of International Coordination

The proposed NOAA/NASA Geostationary eXtended Observations (GeoXO) program plans to include a hyperspectral infrared (IR) sounder on its central satellite. Expected to launch in the mid-2030s, the GeoXO Sounder (GXS) will join international counterparts in a geostationary orbit. Ahead of launch, the NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) assessed the potential effectiveness of GXS both as a single GEO IR sounder and as part of a global ring of such instruments, including those already being built by international agencies. Using an observing system simulation experiment (OSSE) framework, GXS was assessed from a global numerical weather prediction (NWP) perspective. The ability of GXS, both alone and as part of a global ring of GEO sounders, to improve weather prediction of thermodynamic variables was evaluated globally and regionally. Compared to a control, GXS dominated regional analysis and forecast improvements, and contributed significantly to global increases in forecast skill. However, more sustained global improvements on the order of 4 days rely on international partnerships. Using the FSOI metric over CONUS, the GXS observations provide the strongest radiance impact on the moist energy error norm reduction. Additionally, GXS shows the capability to improve hurricane forecast track errors, resulting in improved forecast warnings. Overall, the persistent atmospheric profile information from GXS over much of the western hemisphere provide an opportunity to improve the representation of weather systems and their forecasts.

Erica McGrath-Spangler↗

The Impact of Pixel Size on the Characterization of Deep Convective Clouds for Calibration

The NASA CERES project provides the scientific community the observed TOA SW and LW fluxes for climate monitoring and climate model validation. CERES utilizes hourly geostationary imager derived broadband fluxes, which rely on the channel radiances and associated cloud retrievals, to estimate the broadband fluxes between CERES observations. This requires stable imager visible channel calibration, which the CERES project verifies by utilizing deep convective clouds (DCC) as an invariant Earth target. GSICS, which is an international collaboration, is also evaluating the DCC invariant target calibration methodology to provide consistent calibration coefficients across geostationary imagers anchored to the Aqua-MODIS calibration reference. Tropical DCC are the brightest, coldest, most Lambertian, top of the atmosphere Earth targets. The DCC invariant target calibration methodology relies on a large ensemble of tropical DCC-identified pixel-level reflectances, which are histogrammed to find the mode reflectance of the probability density function (PDF). The imager stability is monitored by tracking the monthly DCC PDF mode reflectance over time. Radiometric scaling is accomplished by ratioing the GEO and VIIRS DCC mode reflectance values. The PDF shape and mode dependency on sensor pixel resolution, which varies among sensors, is unknown. This study will characterize the impact of pixel resolution on the DCC PDFs by aggregating Landsat 30-m pixel reflectances into various coarser pixel resolutions ranging from 100-m to 4-km, and comparing the corresponding PDF statistics. This analysis will assist in improving the uncertainty in a DCC-based intercalibration between instruments with different pixel resolutions.

Conor Haney↗

The Impact of Pixel Size on the Characterization of Deep Convective Clouds for Calibration

The NASA CERES project provides the scientific community the observed TOA SW and LW fluxes for climate monitoring and climate model validation. CERES utilizes hourly geostationary imager derived broadband fluxes, which rely on the channel radiances and associated cloud retrievals, are used to estimate the broadband fluxes between CERES observations. This requires stable and consistent cross-platform imager visible channel calibration. The CERES project utilizes deep convective clouds (DCC) as an invariant Earth target to both monitor the stability of sensors and for radiometric scaling. GSICS, an international collaboration, is also evaluating and implementing the DCC invariant target calibration methodology to provide consistent calibration coefficients across geostationary imagers anchored to the AquaMODIS or the NOAA-20 VIIRS calibration reference. Tropical DCC are the brightest, coldest, most Lambertian, top of the atmosphere Earth targets. The DCC invariant target calibration methodology relies on a large ensemble of tropical D CC-identified pixel-level reflectances, which are aggregated as probability density functions (PDF). By assuming the monthly PDF shape is otherwise consistent in time excepting shifts in reflectance caused by changes in the sensor calibration, the imager stability is monitored. Radiometric scaling is accomplished by ratioing the sensor pair DCC PDF reflectance values. The success of the DCC methodology relies on consistent PDF distributions. The goal of this study is to determine the impact of pixel resolution on the DCC reflectance distribution. Single SNPP-VIIRS 750-m and Landsat 8 OLI 30-m granules are aggregated to degrade the pixel resolution from the native level. The DCC pixels are identified using a BT threshold. Most of the brightest DCC pixels are also the coldest, although there are exceptions. It was found that increasing the BT threshold exponentially increased the number of darker pixels. The pixel resolution did not seem to impact the DCC reflectance PDF distribution for pixel resolutions less than 3 km, which suggests that imagers of varying pixel resolutions may be radiometrically scaled to each other using DCC targets.

DCC↗