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At least 775 records · Page 43

Solid-State Photochemistry as a Formation Mechanism for Titan's Stratospheric C4N2 Ice Clouds

We propose that C4N2 ice clouds observed in Titan's springtime polar stratosphere arise due to solid-state photochemistry occurring within extant ice cloud particles of HCN-HC3N mixtures. This formation process resembles the halogen-induced ice particle surface chemistry that leads to condensed nitric acid trihydrate (NAT) particles and ozone depletion in Earth's polar stratosphere. As our analysis of the Cassini Composite Infrared Spectrometer 478 per centimeter ice emission feature demonstrates, this solid-state photochemistry mechanism eliminates the need for the relatively high C4N2 saturation vapor pressures required (even though they are not observed) when the ice is produced through the usual procedure of direct condensation from the vapor.

Titan's stratosphere↗

Impact-Facilitated Hydrothermal Alteration in the Rim of Endeavour Crater, Mars

Endeavour crater, a Noachian-aged, 22 km diameter impact structure on Meridiani Planum, Mars, has been investigated by the Mars Exploration Rover Opportunuity for over 2000 sols (Mars days). The rocks of the western rim region (oldest to youngest) are: (i) the pre-impact Matijevic fm.; (ii) rim-forming Shoemaker fm. polymict impact breccias; (iii) Grasberg fm., fine-grained sediments draping the lower slopes; and (iv) Burns fm., sulfate-rich sandstones that onlap the Grasberg fm. The rim is segmented and transected by radial fracture zones. Evidence for fluid-mediated alteration includes m-scale detections of phyllosilicates from orbit, and cm-scale variations in rock/soil composition/mineralogy documented by the Opportunity instrument suite. The m-scale phyllosilicate detections include Fe(3+)-Mg and aluminous smectites that occur in patches in the Matijevic and Shoemaker fms. Rock compositions do not reveal substantial differences for smectite-bearing compared to smectite-free rocks. Interpretation: large-scale hydrothermal alteration powered by impact-deposited heat acting on limited water supplies engendered mineralogic transfomations under low water/rock, near-isochemical conditions. The cm-scale alterations, localized in fracture zones, occurred at higher water/rock as evidenced by enhanced Si and Al contents through leaching of more soluble elements, and deposition of Mg, Ni and Mn sulphates and halogen salts in soils. Visible/near infrared reflectance of narrow curvilinear red zones indicate higher nanophase ferric oxide contents and possibly hydration compared to surrounding outcrops. Broad fracture zones on the rim have reflectance features consistent with development of ferric oxide minerals. Interpretation: water fluxing through the fractures in a hydrothermal system resulting from the impact engendered alteration and leaching under high water/rock conditions. Late, localized alteration is documented by Ca-sulfate-rich veins that are not confined to fracture zones; some cross-cut the Grasberg fm. Interpretation: late fluid mobilization of soluble elements, likely in a later alteration event.

Mittlefehldt, D. W.↗

Multi-Decadal Records of Stratospheric Composition and Their Relationship to Stratospheric Circulation Change

Constituent evolution for 1990-2015 simulated using the Global Modeling Initiative chemistry and transport model driven by meteorological fields from the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications version 2 (MERRA-2) is compared with three sources of observations: ground-based column measurements of HNO3 and HCl from two stations in the Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change (NDACC, 1990- ongoing), profiles of CH4 from the Halogen Occultation Experiment (HALOE) on the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS, 1992-2005), and profiles of N2O from the Microwave Limb Sounder on the Earth Observing System satellite Aura (2005- ongoing). The differences between observed and simulated values are shown to be time dependent, with better agreement after 2000 compared with the prior decade. Furthermore, the differences between observed and simulated HNO3 and HCl columns are shown to be correlated with each other, suggesting that issues with the simulated transport and mixing cause the differences during the 1990s and that these issues are less important during the later years. Because the simulated fields are related to mean age in the lower stratosphere, we use these comparisons to evaluate the time dependence of mean age. The ongoing NDACC column observations provide critical information necessary to substantiate trends in mean age obtained using fields from MERRA-2 or any other reanalysis products.

Profiles of N2O from the Microwave Limb Sounde↗

Total Ozone Trends from 1979 to 2016 Derived from Five Merged Observational Datasets - The Emergence into Ozone Recovery

We report on updated trends using different merged datasets from satellite and ground-based observations for the period from 1979 to 2016. Trends were determined by applying a multiple linear regression (MLR) to annual mean zonal mean data. Merged datasets used here include NASA MOD v8.6 and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) merge v8.6, both based on data from the series of Solar Backscatter UltraViolet (SBUV) and SBUV-2 satellite instruments (1978–present) as well as the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment (GOME)-type Total Ozone (GTO) and GOME-SCIAMACHY-GOME-2 (GSG) merged datasets (1995-present), mainly comprising satellite data from GOME, the Scanning Imaging Absorption Spectrometer for Atmospheric Chartography (SCIAMACHY), and GOME-2A. The fifth dataset consists of the monthly mean zonal mean data from ground-based measurements collected at World Ozone and UV Data Center (WOUDC). The addition of four more years of data since the last World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ozone assessment (2013-2016) shows that for most datasets and regions the trends since the stratospheric halogen reached its maximum (approximately 1996 globally and approximately 2000 in polar regions) are mostly not significantly different from zero. However, for some latitudes, in particular the Southern Hemisphere extratropics and Northern Hemisphere subtropics, several datasets show small positive trends of slightly below +1 percent decade(exp. -1) that are barely statistically significant at the 2 Sigma uncertainty level. In the tropics, only two datasets show significant trends of +0.5 to +0.8 percent(exp.-1), while the others show near-zero trends. Positive trends since 2000 have been observed over Antarctica in September, but near-zero trends are found in October as well as in March over the Arctic. Uncertainties due to possible drifts between the datasets, from the merging procedure used to combine satellite datasets and related to the low sampling of ground-based data, are not accounted for in the trend analysis. Consequently, the retrieved trends can be only considered to be at the brink of becoming significant, but there are indications that we are about to emerge into the expected recovery phase. However, the recent trends are still considerably masked by the observed large year-to-year dynamical variability in total ozone.

column ozone trends↗

Tandem LA-ICP-MS & LIBS; A New Micro-Analytical Technique for the Measurement of Every Element in the Periodic Table

Laser Ablation ICP-MS (LA-ICP-MS) has been widely accepted as a microanalytical technique for in-situ trace (ppb) elemental analysis on the micron scale in a variety of geologic materials. LA-ICP-MS (single or multi-collector) provides both elemental and isotopic measurements critical for a wide range of geological research by generating a fine grained aerosol (nm scale) during the laser ablation event and delivering that aerosol to the ICP ion source of the mass spectrometer via an inert carrier gas. LA-ICP-MS, however, suffers from limitations in analyzing high ionization potential elements as well as elements subject to atmospheric and argon based interferences. LA-ICP-MS also has limitations in analyzing major elements due to detector saturation. An alternative laser ablation technique, Laser Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy (LIBS), employs an optical spectrometer integrated into the laser ablation system that analyzes the laser induced plasma at the sample surface across the entire optical spectrum for emission lines of every element in the periodic table. Elements that are difficult or impossible to measure with LA-ICP-MS are now possible to analyze with LIBS down to low ppm levels with CCD and/or ICCD detection. We introduce a new laser based technique, “Tandem LA-LIBS”, that combines LA for ICP-MS and LIBS into one integrated laser ablation system. This system has the effect of expanding the elemental coverage and the dynamic range of the laser ablation experiment as measurements from ppb to % level matrix elements can now be analyzed in a single ablation experiment. We present both femtosecond and nanosecond Tandem LA-LIBS quantitative and qualitative data on wide range of geological materials for those elements that are difficult or impossible by traditional LA-ICP-MS techniques such as F, H, O, N, C, S, halogens, etc. We also demonstrate that the simultaneous measurement of trace, minor and major elements are now possible in a single laser ablation experiment with Tandem LA-LIBS technology.

LA-ICP-MS↗

Observation and Attribution of Temperature Trends near the Stratopause from HALOE

This study considers time series of temperature versus pressure, T(p), from the Halogen Occultation Experiment (HALOE) across the stratopause region, where the effects of radiative forcings from the greenhouse gases (CO2 and H2O) and from ozone are most pronounced. Trend analyses are from 1993-2005 for HALOE T(p) values at seven levels from 3.0 to 0.3 hPa with a vertical resolution of about 4 km and for eight latitude zones from 65°S to 65°N. The HALOE trends at 2.0 hPa are of the order of -1.0 K/decade across the tropics and subtropics, but then become smaller (-0.5 K/decade) at the middle latitudes. The near-global HALOE trend profile has a minimum cooling rate of -0.2 K/decade at 1.0 hPa, although it is more negative in the southern hemisphere and slightly positive in the northern hemisphere. The combined radiative forcings from CO2, H2O, and ozone are from -0.4 to -0.6 K/decade for 1993-2005 and are hemispherically symmetric. HALOE temperature trend and total radiative cooling profiles differ from those reported from observations and calculations for 1980-2000, mainly because the ozone trends changed from clearly negative in the 1980s through mid-1990s to slightly positive during the time of HALOE. Trends for the tracer, HALOE methane (CH4), increase from 2 to 4 %/decade from 50 hPa to 10 hPa, indicating an acceleration of the Brewer/Dobson circulation. Analyses of time series of CH4 across the stratopause reveal more variability in the northern hemisphere, where wave dissipation likely contributes to the heating.

Remsberg, Ellis↗

Twenty Years of Terra MODIS Spatial Performance Using the Spectro-Radiometric Calibration Assembly

The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instrument on-board the NASA’s Earth Observing System Terra satellite has continued successful Earth-sensing operations for over 20 years. To aid in its mission in providing calibrated science data to the worldwide user community, the MODIS instrument is equipped with several on-board calibrators designed to measure changes in the instrument response over time. One such calibrator is the Spectro-Radiometric Calibration Assembly (SRCA), which can provide a source signal for radiometric, spectral, or spatial characterization. When commanded into its spatial calibration mode, the SRCA is able to produce light across the MODIS band spectral range (0.412μm to 14.2μm) at a variety of signal levels thanks to several internal halogen lamps, an IR glow bar, and a neutral density filter. This signal, used in combination with commanded sub-sample measurements of the MODIS detectors, provides a basis for determining changes in the spatial performance of the MODIS spectral bands. This work summarizes the spatial calibration process using the SRCA and presents 20 years of Terra MODIS spatial performance characterized through co-registration between MODIS bands, detectors, and focal plane assemblies. Results from pre-launch testing using the Integration and Alignment Collimator and the SRCA are incorporated in the history of the Terra MODIS mission-long spatial performance. We also note modifications to the spatial characterization methodology brought on by changes to the SRCA’s operational configuration and changes to the MODIS spectral band performance, particularly after the recovery from the safe-mode event in February 2016. Results are compared against the MODIS design specifications.

MODIS↗

Comparison of satellite ozone observations in coincident air masses in early November 1994

Ozone observed by seven satellite instruments, the Atmospheric Trace Molecule Spectroscopy instrument (ATMOS), Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) II, Polar Ozone and Aerosol Measurement (POAM) II instrument, Halogen Occultation Experiment (HALOE), Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS), Cryogenic Infrared Spectrometers and Telescopes for the Atmosphere (CRISTA), and Millimeter-wave Atmospheric Sounder (MAS), during early November 1994 is mapped in equivalent latitude/potential temperature (EqL/ theta )space to facilitate nearly global comparisons of measurements taken in similar air masses.

atmospheric↗

Airborne Visible/Infrared Imaging Spectrometer (AVIRIS) Onboard Calibration System

The AVIRIS instrument uses an onboard calibration system to provide auxiliary calibration data. The system consists of tungsten halogen cycle lamp imaged onto a fiber bundle through an eight position filter wheel. The fiber bundle illuminates the back side of the foreoptics shutter during a pre-run and post-run calibration sequence. The filter wheel contains 2 neutral density filters, 5 spectral filters and blocked position.

spectrometer↗

Adrianite, Ca12(Al4Mg3Si7)O32Cl6, a New Cl-rich Silicate Mineral From the Allende Meteorite: An Alteration Phase in a Ca-Al-rich Inclusion

Adrianite (IMA 2014-028), Ca12(Al4Mg3Si7)O32Cl6, is a new Cl-rich silicate mineral and the Si,Mg analog of wadalite. It occurs with monticellite, grossular, wadalite, and hutcheonite in altered areas along some veins between primary melilite, spinel, and Ti,Al-diopside in a Type B1 FUN (Fractionation and Unidentified Nuclear effects) Ca-Al-rich inclusion (CAI), Egg-3, from the Allende CV3 carbona-ceous chondrite. The mean chemical composition of type adrianite by electron probe microanalysis is (wt%) CaO 41.5, SiO2 27.5, Al2O3 12.4, MgO 7.3, Na2O 0.41, Cl 13.0, O=Cl –2.94, total 99.2, giving rise to an empirical formula of (Ca11.69Na0.21)(Al3.85Mg2.88Si7.23)O32Cl5.80. The end-member formula is Ca12(Mg5Si9)O32Cl6. Adrianite has the I43d wadalite structure with a = 11.981 Å, V = 1719.8 Å3, and Z = 2, as revealed by electron backscatter diffraction. The calculated density using the measured composition is 3.03 g/cm3. Adrianite is a new secondary mineral in Allende, apparently formed by alkali-halogen metasomatic alteration of primary CAI minerals such as melilite, anorthite, perovskite, and Ti,Al-diopside on the CV chondrite parent asteroid. Formation of secondary Cl-rich minerals sodalite, adrianite, and wadalite during metasomatic alteration of the Allende CAIs suggests that the metasomatic fluids had Cl-rich compositions. The mineral name is in honor of Adrian J. Brearley, mineralogist at the University of New Mexico, U.S.A., in recognition of his many contributions to the understanding of secondary mineralization in chondritic meteorites.

Chi Ma↗

Adrianite, Ca12(Al4Mg3Si7)O32Cl6, a New Cl-rich Silicate Mineral from the Allende Meteorite: An Alteration Phase in a Ca-Al-rich Inclusion

Adrianite (IMA 2014-028), Ca12 (Al4Mg3Si7)O32Cl6, is a new Cl-rich silicate mineral and the Si, Mg analog of wadalite. It occurs with monticellite, grossular, wadalite, and hutcheonite in altered areas along some veins between primary melilite, spinel, and Ti, Al-diopside in a Type B1 FUN (Fractionation and Unidentified Nuclear effects) Ca-Al-rich inclusion (CAI), Egg-3, from the Allende CV3 carbonaceous chondrite. The mean chemical composition of type adrianite by electron probe microanalysis is (wt%) CaO 41.5, SiO2 27.5, Al2O3 12.4, MgO 7.3, Na2O 0.41, Cl 13.0, O=Cl –2.94, total 99.2, giving rise to an empirical formula of (Ca11.69Na0.21) (Al3.85Mg2.88Si7.23) O32Cl5.80. The end-member formula is Ca12 (Mg5Si9) O32Cl6. Adrianite has the I43d wadalite structure with a = 11.981 Å, V = 1719.8 Å3, and Z = 2, as revealed by electron backscatter diffraction. The calculated density using the measured composition is 3.03 g/cm3. Adrianite is a new secondary mineral in Allende, apparently formed by alkali-halogen metasomatic alteration of primary CAI minerals such as melilite, anorthite, perovskite, and Ti,Al-diopside on the CV chondrite parent asteroid. Formation of secondary Cl-rich minerals sodalite, adrianite, and wadalite during metasomatic alteration of the Allende CAIs suggests that the metasomatic fluids had Cl-rich compositions. The mineral name is in honor of Adrian J. Brearley, mineralogist at the University of New Mexico, U.S.A., in recognition of his many contributions to the understanding of secondary mineralization in chondritic meteorites.

Adrianite↗

Global Total Ozone Recovery Trends Attributed to Ozone-Depleting Substance (ODS) Changes Derived From Five Merged Ozone Datasets

We report on updated trends using different merged zonal mean total ozone datasets from satellite and ground-based observations for the period from 1979 to 2020. This work is an update of the trends reported in Weber et al. (2018) using the same datasets up to 2016. Merged datasets used in this study include NASA MOD v8.7 and NOAA Cohesive Data (COH) v8.6, both based on data from the series of Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet (SBUV), SBUV-2, and Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite (OMPS) satellite instruments (1978–present), as well as the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment (GOME)-type Total Ozone – Essential Climate Variable (GTO-ECV) and GOME-SCIAMACHY-GOME-2 (GSG) merged datasets (both 1995–present), mainly comprising satellite data from GOME, SCIAMACHY, OMI, GOME-2A, GOME-2B, and TROPOMI. The fifth dataset consists of the annual mean zonal mean data from ground-based measurements collected at the World Ozone and Ultraviolet Radiation Data Centre (WOUDC). Trends were determined by applying a multiple linear regression (MLR) to annual mean zonal mean data. The addition of 4 more years consolidated the fact that total ozone is indeed slowly recovering in both hemispheres as a result of phasing out ozone-depleting substances (ODSs) as mandated by the Montreal Protocol. The near-global (60° S–60° N) ODS-related ozone trend of the median of all datasets after 1995 was 0.4 ± 0.2 (2σ) %/decade, which is roughly a third of the decreasing rate of 1.5 ± 0.6 %/decade from 1978 until 1995. The ratio of decline and increase is nearly identical to that of the EESC (equivalent effective stratospheric chlorine or stratospheric halogen) change rates before and after 1995, confirming the success of the Montreal Protocol. The observed total ozone time series are also in very good agreement with the median of 17 chemistry climate models from CCMI-1 (Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative Phase 1) with current ODS and GHG (greenhouse gas) scenarios (REF-C2 scenario). The positive ODS-related trends in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) after 1995 are only obtained with a sufficient number of terms in the MLR accounting properly for dynamical ozone changes (Brewer–Dobson circulation, Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Antarctic Oscillation (AAO)). A standard MLR (limited to solar, Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO), volcanic, and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO)) leads to zero trends, showing that the small positive ODS-related trends have been balanced by negative trend contributions from atmospheric dynamics, resulting in nearly constant total ozone levels since 2000.

Total Column Ozone Trends↗

Accelerating TEMPO Air Quality Science Through STAQS

Soon after the launch of Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution (TEMPO) mission, NASA is supporting the Synergistic TEMPO Air Quality Science field study (STAQS) in summer 2023. This study’s main objective is to accelerate science with geostationary air quality observations from TEMPO to better understand its use in air pollution research and applications. Science objectives include, but are not limited to, TEMPO L2 product evaluation, the interpretation of the spatiotemporal evolution of TEMPO data during air quality events, assessment of anthropogenic emissions, contributions to chemical transport modeling, and environmental justice applications. These objectives can be accomplished through the integration of satellite data with systematically repeated high-resolution aircraft- and ground-based measurements in multiple urban environments. The primary urban cities considered include Los Angeles, New York City, and Chicago in June-August 2023. Measurements consist of airborne remote sensing observations of air quality constituents of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), formaldehyde (HCHO), ozone, and aerosols using the GeoCape Airborne Simulator and High-Spectral Resolution Lidar 2/Differential Absorption Lidar (HSRL2/DIAL) on the NASA JSC G-V aircraft, greenhouse gas observations from Airborne Visible InfraRed Imaging Spectrometer - Next Generation (AVIRIS-NG) and High Altitude Lidar Observatory (HALO) on the NASA LaRC G-III aircraft, and ground-based remote sensing and in situ observations of ozone, NO2, and HCHO from the Tropospheric Ozone Lidar Network (TOLNet), Pandora spectrometers, and ground-based monitoring networks. Key partnership studies providing in situ airborne observations include the NOAA Atmospheric Emissions and Reactions Observed from Megacities to Marine Areas (AEROMMA) field study on the NASA DC-8 in the same primary target areas as STAQS and Greater New York Oxidant, Tropospheric Halogens, and Aerosol Measurements and Modeling (GOTHAMM) field study on the NSF C-130 near New York City. This presentation will include a current status update of the STAQS mission and an overview of its measurement strategies and science objectives with the goal of promoting continued discussions for building and strengthening collaborations prior to the mission.

Laura Judd↗

Cropland and Land-Clearing Emission Factors From Firex-AQ

The Fire Influence on Regional to Global Environments and Air Quality (FIREX-AQ) campaign is a NOAA/NASA interagency intensive study of North American fires that took place from July to September 2019. Agricultural fires were sampled on 7 flights from August 21st to September 3rd, 2019. We present emission factors for gas-phase and aerosol-phase species for the different fuel types identified during the campaign. We discuss the dependence of these emission factors on both fuel type and burning characteristics such as modified combustion efficiency (MCE). We analyze 73 fires encompassing four different agricultural fuels (corn, rice, soybean, wheat) and four different types of land-clearing fuels (grass, slash, pile, shrub). Approximately half of all sampled fires were burning corn agricultural residue. We report emission factors for 118 VOCs, where two thirds of emissions are made up of species with lifetimes against oxidation by OH of less than 12 hours (near-field impacts) and the remainder have longer-lifetimes (far-field impacts). We also include an additional 9 aerosol species, 12 halogenated species, 5 sulfur-containing species, and 22 nitrogen-containing species, including NH3 and NOx. There is a statistically significant difference in MCE between agricultural and land-clearing fires that accounts for some of the differences in emission factors across these fuels. VOCs generally have a strong negative correlation with MCE but with different slopes across fuel types. There is a significant positive relationship between MCE and three gas-phase (NO, NO2, SO2) and two aerosol-phase (pCl, pNH4) species. Many emission factors show additional dependence factors beyond MCE that could be related to fuel composition, fire temperature, soil moisture, or other possible differences in burning conditions. Therefore, important differences in emission factors may result when averaging together different types of agricultural and land-clearing fuels in compilations for use in modeling efforts.

biomass burning↗

Arctic Tropospheric Ozone: Assessment of Current Knowledge and Model Performance

As the third most important greenhouse gas (GHG) after carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4), tropospheric ozone (O3) is also an air pollutant causing damage to human health and ecosystems. This study brings together recent research on observations and modeling of tropospheric O3 in the Arctic, a rapidly warming and sensitive environment. At different locations in the Arctic, the observed surface O3 seasonal cycles are quite different. Coastal Arctic locations, for example, have a minimum in the springtime due to O3 depletion events resulting from surface bromine chemistry. In contrast, other Arctic locations have a maximum in the spring. The 12 state-of-the-art models used in this study lack the surface halogen chemistry needed to simulate coastal Arctic surface O3 depletion in the springtime; however, the multi-model median (MMM) has accurate seasonal cycles at non-coastal Arctic locations. There is a large amount of variability among models, which has been previously reported, and we show that there continues to be no convergence among models or improved accuracy in simulating tropospheric O3 and its precursor species. The MMM underestimates Arctic surface O3 by 5 % to 15 % depending on the location. The vertical distribution of tropospheric O3 is studied from recent ozonesonde measurements and the models. The models are highly variable, simulating free-tropospheric O3 within a range of ±50 % depending on the model and the altitude. The MMM performs best, within ±8 % for most locations and seasons. However, nearly all models overestimate O3 near the tropopause (∼300 hPa or ∼8 km), likely due to ongoing issues with underestimating the altitude of the tropopause and excessive downward transport of stratospheric O3 at high latitudes. For example, the MMM is biased high by about 20 % at Eureka. Observed and simulated O3 precursors (CO, NOx, and reservoir PAN) are evaluated throughout the troposphere. Models underestimate wintertime CO everywhere, likely due to a combination of underestimating CO emissions and possibly overestimating OH. Throughout the vertical profile (compared to aircraft measurements), the MMM underestimates both CO and NOx but overestimates PAN. Perhaps as a result of competing deficiencies, the MMM O3 matches the observed O3 reasonably well. Our findings suggest that despite model updates over the last decade, model results are as highly variable as ever and have not increased in accuracy for representing Arctic tropospheric O3.

Arctic↗

The Impact of Atmospheric Dynamics and Anthropogenic Very Short-Lived Chlorine Species on the Recovery of Extra-Polar Ozone

The successful implementation of the Montreal Protocol has led to a decrease in the atmospheric abundance of ozone-depleting substances and a slowing in the destruction of the ozone layer. Previous studies have suggested that atmospheric dynamics, or a rise in compounds not regulated by the Montreal Protocol, such as very short-lived chlorine species (VSL Cl), may lead to a slower than expected recovery of the ozone layer. In this presentation, we examine the expected recovery of total column ozone (TCO) and stratospheric column ozone (SCO) to values observed in 1980 using a novel multiple linear regression (MLR) model that involves a month-by-month regression. The MLR model is trained to TCO anomalies from six data records (SBUV v8.7 MOD, SBUV v8.6 COH, WOUDC, GSG, GTO-ECV, MSR-2) over 1979 to 2021 for the Northern Hemisphere (35N – 60N), the Southern Hemisphere (60S – 35S) and the Tropics (20S – 20N), and SCO anomalies from ML-TOMCAT for these same zonal bands. The MLR includes the effect of halogens (equivalent effective stratospheric chlorine (EESC)), total solar irradiance, stratospheric aerosol optical depth, quasi-biennial oscillation, and the El Niño Southern Oscillation as regressors. We also include the effect of atmospheric dynamics such as the Brewer-Dobson Circulation, Arctic Oscillation, and the Antarctic Oscillation, and VSL Cl species in the formulation of EESC. We use a novel approach to the MLR framework, by separating the observed and regressor time series into the respective months (separating all of the Januarys, Februarys, etc.). Then we conduct a regression for each month from 1979 to 2021 for the three zonal bands denoted above. The model results for each month are combined together to achieve a full monthly time series from 1979 to 2021. We use this novel approach to ascertain the effect of atmospheric dynamics on TCO and SCO, since the dynamical proxies affect ozone in a distinctly different manner for various months. In this presentation, we will quantify the role of both the inclusion of VSL Cl species in the formulation of EESC as well as atmospheric dynamics in explaining the slower than expected recovery of extra-polar TCO and SCO over the past decade.

Laura A. McBride↗

Tropospheric Ozone in the NASA GEOS Model: Effects of Satellite NO2 Data Assimilation and Improvements in Background NOx Chemistry

Tropospheric ozone is a major atmospheric oxidant, the primary source of the hydroxyl radical, and a greenhouse gas. In the troposphere, it is produced from the oxidation of carbon monoxide and volatile organic compounds in the presence of nitrogen oxides (NOx=NO+NO2) or has its origins in the stratosphere. The tropospheric ozone burdens in global atmospheric chemistry models disagree by a factor of 1.5, indicating an incomplete understanding of ozone sources and sinks. Here we examine the tropospheric ozone simulation in NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office’s (GMAO’s) GEOS model with the GEOS-Chem chemistry mechanism (version 14.2), using observations from satellites, aircraft, ozonesondes, and surface sites. This modeling framework is used to produce GMAO’s GEOS Composition Forecasts (GEOS-CF), and it has been updated extensively with new emission inventories, improved model physics, satellite data assimilation capability, and an up-to-date chemical mechanism that includes tropospheric halogen chemistry and NOx recycling from particulate nitrate. Earlier versions of the model using GEOS-Chem version 12.0 showed an underestimate in tropospheric ozone in the northern hemisphere. We evaluate the ozone simulation in the updated model, focusing on the effects of assimilating satellite NO2 data from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI), constraining stratospheric ozone to satellite data, and updates to the NOx chemistry. We will examine changes in the vertical profiles of tropospheric ozone over the US in support of the Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution (TEMPO), and discuss implications for the tropospheric ozone budget.

V. Shah↗

Tropospheric Ozone in the NASA GEOS Model: Effects of Satellite Data Assimilation and Improvements in Background NO x Chemistry

Tropospheric ozone is a major atmospheric oxidant, the primary source of the hydroxyl radical, and a greenhouse gas. In the troposphere, it is produced from the oxidation of carbon monoxide and volatile organic compounds in the presence of nitrogen oxides (NO x =NO+NO 2 ) or has its origins in the stratosphere. The tropospheric ozone burdens in global atmospheric chemistry models disagree by a factor of 1.5, indicating an incomplete understanding of ozone sources and sinks. Here we examine the tropospheric ozone simulation in NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office’s (GMAO’s) GEOS model with the GEOS-Chem chemistry mechanism (version 14.2), using observations from satellites, aircraft, ozonesondes, and surface sites. This modeling framework is used to produce GMAO’s GEOS Composition Forecasts (GEOS-CF), and it has been updated extensively with new emission inventories, improved model physics, satellite data assimilation capability, and an up-to-date chemical mechanism that includes tropospheric halogen chemistry and NOx recycling from particulate nitrate. Earlier versions of the model using GEOS-Chem version 12.0 showed an underestimate in tropospheric ozone in the northern hemisphere. We evaluate the ozone simulation in the updated model, focusing on the effects of assimilating satellite NO 2 data from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI), constraining stratospheric ozone to satellite data, and updates to the NOx chemistry. We will examine changes in the vertical profiles of tropospheric ozone over the US in support of the Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution (TEMPO), and discuss implications for the tropospheric ozone budget.

Viral Shah↗