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Each quarter, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) conducts the Quarterly Solar Industry Update, a presentation of technical trends within the solar industry, to the Department of Energy's Solar Energy Technology Office's staff. Each presentation focuses on global and U.S. supply and demand, module and system price, investment trends and business models, and updates on U.S. government programs supporting the solar industry.
Each quarter, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) conducts the Quarterly Solar Industry Update, a presentation of technical trends within the solar industry Each presentation focuses on global and U.S. supply and demand, module and system price, investment trends and business models, and updates on U.S. government programs supporting the solar industry.
The evolution of the design and reliability of solar modules was described. Design requirements involved 14 different considerations, including residential building and material electrical codes, wind-loading, hail impact, operating temperature levels, module flammability, and interfaces for both the array structure and the operation of the system. Reliability research involved in diverse investigations including glass-fracture strength, soiling levels, electrochemical corrosion, and bypass-diode qualification tests. Based on these internationally recognized studies, performance assessments, and failure analyses, the Flat-plate Solar Array Project in its 11-year duration served to nuture the development of 45 different solar module designs from 15 PV manufacturers.
Abstract not provided.
Each quarter, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) conducts the Quarterly Solar Industry Update, a presentation of technical trends within the solar industry, to the solar office staff. Each presentation focuses on global and U.S. supply and demand, module and system price, investment trends and business models, and updates on U.S. government programs supporting the solar industry.
Solar photovoltaics (PV) are the fastest growing renewable energy technologies for clean, cheap, and sustainable electricity generation. To prepare for rapid scale-up, the PV industry needs to project material requirements to build out all aspects of the supply chain appropriately and plan to handle large volumes of module waste. Impacts of deploying different material circularity strategies to reduce waste and conserve primary resources need to be quantified to inform sustainable material management. Here, we introduce the photovoltaic dynamic material flow analysis (PV DMFA) model based on PV electricity generation. The model quantifies material flows and stocks in the cradle-to-cradle life cycles of utility-scale c-Si PV systems in the United States through 2100. We present case studies for solar flat glass and aluminum frame materials under various scenarios to project the impacts of PV performance, reliability, and processing parameters, material circularity strategies, and module design shifts. In the absence of circularity measures, ~100 million MT of flat glass and ~12 million MT of aluminum would be needed for PV installations by 2100 to meet projected growth in domestic utility PV demand to nearly 1000 TWh in 2100. With optimistic but feasible improvements in efficiency, reliability, and circularity, material intensity and waste could be reduced by nearly 50%. Efficient module collection, minimally intrusive recycling, and careful scrap handling and cleaning could improve material circularity in the PV value chain. This model serves as a sustainability data support tool that may aid in the circular economy transition for PV systems.
Should you repower or extend the life of your PV system? Are high-efficiency modules, durable modules, or recyclable modules the best option for your site and goals? Evaluating the trade-offs in design and lifecycle strategies can be complex. The PV in Circular Economy (PV ICE) tool is an open-source model designed to help developers, modelers, and decision-makers assess material flows, energy return on investment (EROI), and financial viability of PV systems. Now integrated with the System Advisor Model (SAM), PV ICE enables site-specific comparisons of lifecycle strategies - such as repowering benefits, module selection for reliability and recyclability, among others. This interactive tutorial will provide hands-on experience with PV ICE using Google Collab, exploring scenario-based analyses on these topics.
The properties of the multilayer PV backsheets, including their interfaces, during weathering are not well-known. In this study, a commercial PPE (polyethylene terephthalate (PET)/PET/ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA)) backsheet films was selected as a model system for a depth profiling study of chemical and mechanical properties of a backsheet film during UV exposure. Cryo-microtomy was used to obtain cross-sectional PPE samples. The NIST SPHERE (Simulated Photodegradation via High Energy Radiant Exposure) was used for the accelerated laboratory exposure of the materials with UV at 85 degrees C and two relative humidities (RH) of 5 % (dry) and 60 % (wet). Chemical and mechanical depth profiling of the aged and unaged samples was conducted by Raman microscopic mapping, nanoindentation and atomic force microscopy in quantitative nanomechanical mapping mode. The results indicated that non-uniform degradation took place across the thickness of the PPE backsheet with severe chemical and mechanical degradation observed on the outer pigmented PET layer, two adhesive layers, and the pigmented-EVA layer. The regions with the increase in the modulus detected by nanoindetation were consistent with those showing clear chemical degradation in Raman and Attenuated Total Reflection Fourier Transform Infrared Spectroscopy (ATR-FTIR). This depth profiling study brings new understanding to the mechanisms of failures observed in the backsheets during weathering.
Despite remarkable efficiency improvements at the cell and module level, thin-film CdTe PV suffers from a significant voltage deficit compared with the ideal. The proposed solution is to build cells with fully depleted absorbers and with energy barriers front and back to direct electrons and holes in appropriate directions. Combined with minimal interfacial recombination, this approach, which is similar to the successful silicon HIT cells, circumvents the need for higher lifetimes and carrier concentration to achieve higher voltage, Colorado State is particularly well-positioned to the address the depleted absorbed architecture. It has robust single-vacuum closed-spaced-sublimation deposition chamber, currently being enhanced with new sources for CdTe alloys and grading. It has made reasonable-efficiency cells with absorbers as thin as 0.3 um, it has demonstrated electron reflection at the rear of the absorber with a continuous CdMgTe layer, it has replaced CdS with MgZnO, which has several advantages including tunable band offsets, and it has achieved 16.8% efficiency. It also has a mature suite of measurement equipment for cell evaluation and the experience to effectively analyze its results for refinement in cell fabrication. Several healthy collaborations will continue within the CdTe community.
Shade obstructions can significantly impact the performance of photovoltaic (PV) systems. Although there are many models for partially shaded PV arrays, there is a lack of information available regarding their accuracy and uncertainty when compared with actual field performance. This work assesses the recorded performance of 46 residential PV systems, equipped with either string-level or module-level inverters, under a variety of shading conditions. We compare their energy production data to annual PV performance predictions, with a focus on the practical models developed here for National Renewable Energy Laboratory's system advisor model software. This includes assessment of shade extent on each PV system by using traditional onsite surveys and newer 3D obstruction modelling. The electrical impact of shade is modelled by either a nonlinear performance model or assumption of linear impact with shade extent, depending on the inverter type. When applied to the fleet of residential PV systems, performance is predicted with median annual bias errors of 2.5% or less, for systems with up to 20% estimated shading loss. The partial shade models are not found to add appreciable uncertainty to annual predictions of energy production for this fleet of systems but do introduce a monthly root-mean-square error of approximately 4%-9% due to seasonal effects. Here the use of a detailed 3D model results in similar or improved accuracy over site survey methods, indicating that, with proper description of shade obstructions, modelling of partially shaded PV arrays can be done completely remotely, potentially saving time and cost.
This workshop walked through a description and demonstration of solar modeling data and tools available from the US National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). The topics included: The National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) - updates and ways to access this sub-hourly gridded resource data; PVWatts - recent updates to include the NSRDB - opening up much of North and South America for analysis; System Advisor Model (SAM) - SAM is now open source, includes PV + batteries, bifacial panels, and much more; REOpt Lite - an online tool for quick PV and battery sizing for commercial buildings; PV Component LCOE Calculator - Allows for module costing based on components; A detailed demonstration of the SAM model for modeling a PV system with a battery and some of the questions that can be answered.
This project provided funding to NREL/Tandem PV by EERE-SETO and has the goal of improving perovskite module stability by at least a factor of 2 without sacrificing initial efficiency. This will be demonstrated using 3"x3" minimodules and will be tested according to the Innovation and Entrepreneurship Center (IEC) standards and demonstrated using outdoor testing. A CRADA was established between NREL and Tandem PV to address the goals for the funded effort.
Photovoltaic (PV) cables facilitate the distribution of electricity collected from modules to the energy grid. Durable cabling enables continuous operation of PV installations, whereas cables with a lifetime less than the modules must be replaced - reducing electricity generation and adding to the operating expense. This study primarily focusses on the aging of the key cable types using the combined-accelerated stress testing (C-AST) protocol. Representative cables for utility, building, and control/auxiliary applications were examined. Cable jacket materials examined include: polyolefin, polyethylene, polyamide, poly(vinyl chloride), chlorinated polyethylene, thermoplastic elastomer, and ethylene propylene diene monomer rubber. Specimen characterizations applied include: optical microscopy, mechanical profilometry, instrumented indentation, scanning electron microscopy (SEM), energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDS), Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), thermogravimetric analysis (TGA), and differential scanning calorimetry (DSC). A variety of performance and durability characteristics were observed, depending on the base material, polymer formulation, and jacket color. The results from C-AST are analyzed and discussed relative to a recent industry survey on electronic balance of system components in addition to a recent study where similar cables were aged using steady state ultraviolet weathering (International Electrotechnical Commission Technical Specification 62788-7-2). Recommendations are made for the screening, industry qualification, and service life prediction of PV cable jackets.
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The core objectives of the Plug & Play PV Systems Project were to develop a PV system that can be installed on a residential rooftop for less than $1.50/W in 2020, and in less than 10 hours (from point of purchase to commissioning). The Fraunhofer CSE team’s approach to this challenge involved a holistic approach to system design – hardware and software – that make Plug & Play PV systems: • Quick, easy, and safe to install • Easy to demonstrate as code compliant • Permitted, inspected, and interconnected via an electronic process Throughout the three years of work during this Department of Energy SunShot funded project, the team engaged in a substantive way with inspectional services departments and utilities, manufacturers, installers, and distributors. We received iterative feedback on the system design and on ideas for how such systems can be commercialized. This ultimately led us to conceiving of Plug & Play PV Systems as a framework, with a variety of components compatible with the Plug & Play PV approach, including string or microinverters, conventional modules or emerging lightweight modules. The framework enables a broad group of manufacturers to participate in taking Plug & Play PV Systems to market, and increases the market size for such systems. Key aspects of the development effort centered on the system hardware and associated engineering work, the development of a Plug & Play PV Server to enable the electronic permitting, inspection and interconnection process, understanding the details of code compliance and, on occasion, supporting applications for modifications to the code to allow lightweight modules, for example. We have published a number of papers on our testing and assessment of novel technologies (e.g., adhered lightweight modules) and on the electronic architecture.
Photons with energies below the photovoltaic (PV) absorber band gap do not generate current and adversely impact performance when absorbed in other solar cell components to produce heat. Here we incorporate infrared (IR) optical response in simulations for understanding thermal losses. Spectroscopic ellipsometry is used to measure Al-Si interface optical properties in Si PV. Reflectance of an Si module has been analyzed to account for encapsulant and Al-Si interface contributions. IR extended quantum efficiency simulations calculate efficiency gains / losses arising from variations in current generated and total reflectance as functions of transparent front contact material in thin film CdTe PV.
Several studies have found indications that PV degradation may increase in hotter climates. We show in this paper that degradation does correlate to higher module temperatures, but that these temperatures are significantly affected by the module mounting and. The mechanisms of degradation vary with module technology and quality. Using data from different HIT module installations we were able to extract an activation energy that is consistent with hydrogen passivation layer degradation. In addition, we show that low degradation in hot climates can be achieved for Al-BSF technology if properly installed to reduce heat transfer in order to thermally decouple the modules from the roof. We also found that monofacial and bifacial PERC module degradation is in line with historical degradation rates of Al-BSF.