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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 775 records · Page 43

Data-Driven Molecular Engineering of Solar-Powered Windows

Buildings are the centerpiece of modern living, with more than half of the world’s population now living in urban environments. This demographic evolution has led to building use be-coming the main drain of our energy resources. According to the US Energy Information Administration, in 2016, 40 percent of the total energy consumption in the United States came from building use. However, we could overcome this energy drain by embedding new environmental technologies into future cities to realize energy-sustainable buildings.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Data-driven design of metal–organic frameworks for wet flue gas CO 2 capture

Limiting the increase of CO 2 in the atmosphere is one of the largest challenges of our generation. Because carbon capture and storage is one of the few viable technologies that can mitigate current CO 2 emissions, much effort is focused on developing solid adsorbents that can efficiently capture CO 2 from flue gases emitted from anthropogenic sources. One class of materials that has attracted considerable interest in this context is metal-organic frameworks (MOFs), in which the careful combination of organic ligands with metal-ion nodes can, in principle, give rise to innumerable structurally and chemically distinct nanoporous MOFs. However, many MOFs that are optimized for the separation of CO 2 from nitrogen do not perform well when using realistic flue gas that contains water, because water competes with CO 2 for the same adsorption sites and thereby causes the materials to lose their selectivity. Although flue gases can be dried, this renders the capture process prohibitively expensive. Here we show that data mining of a computational screening library of over 300,000 MOFs can identify different classes of strong CO 2 -binding sites-which we term 'adsorbaphores'-that endow MOFs with CO 2 /N 2 selectivity that persists in wet flue gases. We subsequently synthesized two water-stable MOFs containing the most hydrophobic adsorbaphore, and found that their carbon-capture performance is not affected by water and outperforms that of some commercial materials. Testing the performance of these MOFs in an industrial setting and consideration of the full capture process-including the targeted CO 2 sink, such as geological storage or serving as a carbon source for the chemical industry-will be necessary to identify the optimal separation material.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Deconvolving distribution of relaxation times, resistances and inductance from electrochemical impedance spectroscopy via statistical model selection: Exploiting structural-sparsity regularization and data-driven parameter tuning

The distribution of relaxation times (DRT) has drawn increasing attention for interpreting electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS). Deconvolution of DRT from EIS is a challenging ill-posed problem that requires regularization methods. In this work, we formulate DRT reconstruction task as a statistical model selection problem with structural-sparsity penalties. We utilize the Elastic net regularization that simultaneously benefits from Ridge and Lasso regularizations with optimal tuning parameter automatically determined by the information criteria. We benchmark our approach on four synthetic experiments (a ZARC element, ZARC mixtures, a RC circuit and a Fractal element) and two real EIS datasets of a Lithium ion battery and an organic-inorganic halide class of perovskites in oxygen environment at different gas pressures. We demonstrate the superiority of proposed model selection procedure, that is capable of eliminating pseudo peaks and representing asymmetries in DRT as well as precisely estimating resistances. Here, we highlight our approach is robust to reducing and subsampling EIS frequency range, making it a promising tool for timing-resolved, localized and large scale EIS data analysis. For the Lithium ion battery data analysis, we extend the classical DRT model to incorporate the inductive effect and illustrate DRT as a guidance for equivalent circuit modeling to refine impedance reconstruction at low risks of overfitting. Furthermore, the structural-sparsity regularization could be extended for multidimensional and Bayesian EIS data analysis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

AGGREGATE: dAta-driven modelinG preservinG contRollable dEr for outaGe mAnagemenT and rEsiliency (Report for Task 10: Controllability and Observability Analysis (Deliverable D7))

It is common to have less than full observability for distribution systems, as the number of available measurements are not sufficient. Considering increasing penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs), it is imperative to understand and control distribution systems better. Developed for the transmission system, the original numerical observability analysis methods were based on the canonical DC Power Flow (DC-PF) model. However, the DC-PF model is ill-suited for the distribution system in which line resistance to reactance (R/X) ratios can be near unity. In this report, we apply the non-iterative Observability Test (OT) and Observable Island Identification Procedure (OIIP) in to the gain matrix from the distribution system state estimator. Because sensors are few in distribution systems, pseudo-measurements based on historical load profiles and zero-injection virtual measurements are often employed to ensure observability. However, both the observability and the accuracy of the state estimates are uncertain when historical data is limited/unavailable.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Process-Structure-Property Modeling for Severe Plastic Deformation Processes Using Orientation Imaging Microscopy and Data-Driven Techniques

Machining is a severe plastic deformation process, wherein the workpiece material is subjected to high deformation rates and temperatures. During metal machining, the dynamic recrystallization mechanism causes grain refinement into the sub-micron range. In this study, we investigate the microstructure evolution of oxygen-free high conductivity copper (OFHC Cu) subject to a machining process where the cutting speed and rake angle are controlled to manipulate the process strain, strain rate, and temperatures. Microstructures of the deformed chips are quantified using orientation imaging microscopy and novel statistical descriptors that capture the morphology and local lattice misorientations generated during the several mechanistic stages of the dynamic recrystallization process. Mechanical properties of the resulting chips are quantified using spherical nanoindentation protocols. A multiple output Gaussian process regression model is used to simultaneously model the structure-property evolution, which differs from more common approaches that establish such relationships sequentially. This modeling strategy is particularly attractive since it can flexibly provide both structure and property uncertainty estimates. In addition, the statistical modeling framework allows for the inclusion of multi-fidelity data. The statistical metrics utilized serve as efficient microstructure descriptors, which retain the physics of the observed structures without having to introduce ad hoc microstructure feature definitions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Data-driven optimized control of the COVID-19 epidemics

Optimizing the impact on the economy of control strategies aiming at containing the spread of COVID-19 is a critical challenge. We use daily new case counts of COVID-19 patients reported by local health administrations from different Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) within the US to parametrize a model that well describes the propagation of the disease in each area. We then introduce a time-varying control input that represents the level of social distancing imposed on the population of a given area and solve an optimal control problem with the goal of minimizing the impact of social distancing on the economy in the presence of relevant constraints, such as a desired level of suppression for the epidemics at a terminal time. We find that with the exception of the initial time and of the final time, the optimal control input is well approximated by a constant, specific to each area, which contrasts with the implemented system of reopening ‘in phases’. For all the areas considered, this optimal level corresponds to stricter social distancing than the level estimated from data. Proper selection of the time period for application of the control action optimally is important: depending on the particular MSA this period should be either short or long or intermediate. We also consider the case that the transmissibility increases in time (due e.g. to increasingly colder weather), for which we find that the optimal control solution yields progressively stricter measures of social distancing. We finally compute the optimal control solution for a model modified to incorporate the effects of vaccinations on the population and we see that depending on a number of factors, social distancing measures could be optimally reduced during the period over which vaccines are administered to the population.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Verification of Data-Driven Models of Physical Phenomena using Interpretable Approximation

Machine-learned models, specifically neural networks, are increasingly used as “closures” or “constitutive models” in engineering simulators to represent fine-scale physical phenomena that are too computationally expensive to resolve explicitly. However, these neural net models of unresolved physical phenomena tend to fail unpredictably and are therefore not used in mission-critical simulations. In this report, we describe new methods to authenticate them, i.e., to determine the (physical) information content of their training datasets, qualify the scenarios where they may be used and to verify that the neural net, as trained, adhere to physics theory. We demonstrate these methods with neural net closure of turbulent phenomena used in Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes equations. We show the types of turbulent physics extant in our training datasets, and, using a test flow of an impinging jet, identify the exact locations where the neural network would be extrapolating i.e., where it would be used outside the feature-space where it was trained. Using Generalized Linear Mixed Models, we also generate explanations of the neural net (à la Local Interpretable Model agnostic Explanations) at prototypes placed in the training data and compare them with approximate analytical models from turbulence theory. Finally, we verify our findings by reproducing them using two different methods.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Physics-coupled data-driven design of high-temperature alloys

We present a materials design loop, which streamlines physics-coupled machine learning (ML) surrogate models to discover new alloy chemistries with improved properties. The efficacy is demonstrated by discovering a high-temperature alumina-forming austenitic (AFA) stainless steel with enhanced creep, followed by experimental validation. The ML models have been trained using a well-curated, highly consistent experimental dataset augmented with synthetic microstructural features from a computational thermodynamic approach. We have populated a large number of hypothetical AFA alloys to explore the high-dimensional composition space and have predicted their creep properties by providing the same synthetic input features obtained from the trained ML models. Uncertainties from the ML training were taken as thresholds for truncating predicted results to identify alloys with improved or deteriorated creep. Individual elemental compositions have been determined via probability density distribution analysis from the group of alloys at the top and bottom of the predicted creep values for further virtual and experimental validations. In conclusion, we anticipate that this workflow can be applied to screen desired conditions, such as chemistry and processing parameters, in high-dimensional space through physics-guided data analytics.

Alloy design↗

Data-driven analysis of relight variability of jet fuels induced by turbulence

For safety purposes, reliable reignition of aircraft engines in the event of flame blow-out is a critical requirement. Typically, an external ignition source in the form of a spark is used to achieve a stable flame in the combustor. However, such forced turbulent ignition may not always successfully relight the combustor, mainly because the state of the combustor cannot be precisely determined. Uncertainty in the turbulent flow inside the combustor, inflow conditions, and spark discharge characteristics can lead to variability in sparking outcomes even for nominally identical operating conditions. Prior studies have shown that of all the uncertain parameters, turbulence is often dominant and can drastically alter ignition behavior. For instance, even when different fuels have similar ignition delay times, their ignition behavior in practical systems can be completely different. In practical operating conditions, it is challenging to understand why ignition fails and how much variation in outcomes can be expected. The focus of this work is to understand relight variability induced by turbulence for two different aircraft fuels, namely Jet-A and a variant named C1. A detailed, previously developed simulation approach is used to generate a large number of successful and failed ignition events. Using this data, the cause of misfire is evaluated based on a discriminant analysis that delineates the difference between turbulent initial conditions that lead to ignition or failure. From the discriminant analysis, a compressed sensing algorithm is then applied to help pinpoint the locations of relevant turbulent features. Findings from the discriminant analysis are confirmed with the time history of near kernel properties. Next, a clustering strategy is used to identify ignition and misfire modes. With this approach, it was determined that the cause of ignition failure is different for the two fuels. While it was found that Jet-A is influenced by fuel entrainment, C1 was found to be more sensitive to small scale turbulence features. Finally, a larger variability is found in the ignition modes of C1, which can be subject to extreme events induced by kernel breakdown.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Data-Driven Cyber-Attack Detection for PV Farms via Time-Frequency Domain Features

The internetworking of grid-connected power electronics converters (PECs) in photovoltaic (PV) farms has inevitably expanded the cyber-attack surfaces. Here this paper presents a comprehensive study on cyber-attack detection and diagnosis for PEC-enabled PV farms via single waveform sensor to distinguish between normal conditions, open-circuit faults, short-circuit faults, and cyber-attacks. To our knowledge, this has not been attempted before. Firstly, we propose frequency-domain magnitude-based residuals to identify short-circuit faults and a time-domain mean current vector-based feature to distinguish open-circuit faults from other threats. These features can fully reflect the specific physical characteristics of PV farms during threat duration. Secondly, unlike micro phasor measurement units (µPMU) and raw electric waveform-based methods, the proposed innovative features can address novel cyber-attacks that are excluded from the training process. Thirdly, an online hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) testbed using the OPAL-RT real-time digital simulator has verified the effectiveness. The monitoring system runs in real-time while using HIL as an operational solar farm and a National Instruments (NI) data acquisition card as the electric waveform sensor at the point of coupling.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Data-Driven Clustering and Classification of Outage Patterns with Insights into their Links to Extreme Events

At a global level extreme events have increased in both scale and impact. These events have the potential to affect the electrical grid infrastructure and cause a wide range of outages, which can lead to a disruption in daily patterns, cost millions of dollars and also the loss of life. Currently, to track these outage events there have been various approaches developed ranging from regional to national level quantifications for what defines an outage. However, this variation in methods can potentially lead to subjective decision-making and a lack of proper management in relation to the event. While previous work has made strides in determining spatio-temporal patterns, minimal attention has been given to the type and number of outages an area may be exposed to. The differences in incurred cost and the overall severity of an event between a transformer box malfunction and a hurricane are drastic, and by finding historical signals, we can allow for more efficient management, potentially saving lives and millions of dollars. Here, we leverage unsupervised machine learning techniques to delineate outage patterns among 22 counties within the United States and find that there are clear, segregated clusters (0.93 silhouette) of data which are related by event behavior and underlying cause. This finding will allow for energy stakeholders, policy makers, and researchers to gain a deeper understanding of the extent and severity of historic events and to better prepare for electrical grid infrastructure planning and management.

Koob, Benjamin [ORNL]↗

Experimental and data-driven characterization of window-induced air leakage in residential buildings

Windows contributes up to 40% of envelope heat losses and around 9% of total building energy consumption due to air leakage. In the U.S., 48 million homes still use single-pane windows. Although the U.S. has an estimated 1.4 billion windows in its building stock and about 24 million windows are installed annually, only around 29 million individual window replacements (∼2%) occur each year. To address this gap, this study generates empirical evidence by (1) evaluating the contribution of windows to whole-building air leakage in 20 residential buildings using blower door tests before and after window replacement and (2) assessing whether building and window characteristics influence the measured change. Most simulation studies assume that replacing windows not only lowers the U-factor but also reduces air leakage by 10–20%. However, this assumption lacks empirical validation, highlighting the need for experimental analysis of air leakage specifically associated with windows. Using blower door tests in accordance with ASTM E779–19, the results indicated an average reduction in air infiltration of 6.1% within the range of 0.5–19.30% across all buildings and no significant correlations were found between air leakage improvements and any building/window characteristics. This research aims to help homeowners, and energy modelers to provide empirical data on importance of upgrading to more energy-efficient windows, supporting energy-efficient building standards.

Air leakage↗

Data-driven high-fidelity 2D microstructure reconstruction via non-local patch-based image inpainting

Microstructure reconstruction problems are usually limited to the representation with finitely many number of phases, e.g. binary and ternary. However, images of microstructure obtained through experimental, for example, using microscope, are often represented as a RGB or grayscale image. Because the phase-based representation is discrete, more rigid, and provides less flexibility in modeling the microstructure, as compared to RGB or grayscale image, there is a loss of information in the conversion. In this paper, a microstructure reconstruction method, which produces images at the fidelity of experimental microscopy, i.e. RGB or grayscale image, is proposed without introducing any physics-based microstructure descriptor. Furthermore, the image texture is preserved and the microstructure image is represented with continuous variables (as in RGB or grayscale images), instead of binary or categorical variables, which results in a high-fidelity image of microstructure reconstruction. The advantage of the proposed method is its quality of reconstruction, which can be applied to any other binary or multiphase 2D microstructure. The proposed method can be thought of as a subsampling approach to expand the microstructure dataset, while preserving its image texture. Moreover, the size of the reconstructed image is more flexible, compared to other machine learning microstructure reconstruction method, where the size must be fixed beforehand. In addition, the proposed method is capable of joining the microstructure images taken at different locations to reconstruct a larger microstructure image. A significant advantage of the proposed method is to remedy the data scarcity problem in materials science, where experimental data is scare and hard to obtain. The proposed method can also be applied to generate statistically equivalent microstructures, which has a strong implication in microstructure-related uncertainty quantification applications. The proposed microstructure reconstruction method is demonstrated with the UltraHigh Carbon Steel micrograph DataBase (UHCSDB).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Enhancing SRF cavity stability and minimizing detuning with data-driven resonance control based on dynamic mode decomposition

Effective resonance control of superconducting radio frequency (SRF) cavities is critical for large machines like LCLS-II, as failure to achieve proper control can result in increased RF power consumption, higher cryogenic heat loads, and increased costs. To address this challenge, we have developed a machine learning (ML) model based on the dynamic mode decomposition method to represent the forced cavity dynamics. Using this model, we designed a model predictive controller (MPC) and demonstrated through simulation that the MPC can effectively stabilize the amplitude and phase of SRF cavities using only a frequency actuator, even in the presence of multiple mechanical modes. The lightweight and explicit ML model makes the controller suitable for direct implementation on field-programmable gate arrays, unlocking the full potential of SRF linacs like LCLS-II, enabling higher beam power and energy, and also serving as an advanced motion controller for various applications, such as photon beamlines and storage rings.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Exploring data-driven modeling of boundary layer transition

Prediction of laminar-turbulent transition in boundary layer flows is an important component of predicting the aerodynamic performance of a number of aerospace configurations. According to the CFD Vision 2030 [1], transition modeling represents acriticalarea in CFD simulation capability that will remain a pacing item for the foreseeable future. The fact thattransition can take placevia either one of a myriad possible paths adds to the challenges inreliable transition predictions, despite a limited knowledge of the relevant input parameters. In the low disturbance environments typical of flight applications, transition is often initiated by small amplitude disturbances in the form of linear instability waves of the laminar boundary layer. These disturbances amplify linearly at first and eventually undergo a sequence of nonlinear interactions that result in transition to turbulence. Because the nonlinear phase is rather rapid, the amplification of boundary layer instabilities is governed by the linearstability theory over a majority of the distance leading up to the onset of transition. Semi-empirical transition correlations based on the linear stability theory have been successful in explaining the observed trends in transition location within a broad class of flows. However, the application of stability theory is highly non-robust and often requires a significant domain expertise. Recent work at the NASA Langley Research Center has beenaimed at bridging the gap between physics based transition analyses such as those based on linear stability theory and practical applications that require transition prediction by users that may not be well versed in transition physics. The applications of deep learning have been at the center of these efforts. This presentation will focus on the progress achieved thus far, highlighting the applications of neural networks to selectedtransition scenarios across a range of Mach numbers and flow configuration, as well as the lessons learnedand remaining challengeswithrespect to the selection of training data and neural networks architectures, hyperparameter tuning, and the physical insights distilled from the otherwise black-box models.

M. R. Malik↗

Data Driven Temperature Control of Heat Exchangers

The following poster presents a couple of approaches for temperature control at heat exchanger’s exit. One of the approaches is based on using n-step ahead neural network while the other approach utilizes a combination of control + learning module for temperature control. Designing robust controllers for typical heat exchangers is very challenging primarily because of complexities associated with the synthesis of dynamics of industrial heat exchangers. Even if a dynamics model is synthesized, the accuracy of it would be called into question as there can be lot of unmodeled system dynamics and random noise in input parameters. In many situations, the degree of uncertainty in the model of system being controlled limits the utility of optimal control design. Controller can be manually tuned on the field but it is very difficult to determine manual adjustments that result in overall improvement. These practical challenges call for learning based approaches for temperature control that would result in optimal heat exchanger performance. We utilize the existing mathematical model for air-water system synthesized by Underwood and Crawford for testing our algorithms. Underwood and Crawford developed a model of heating coil by fitting a second-order non-linear equations to measurements of air and water temperature and flow rates obtained from the actual coil. The uncertainties in the model include air and water inlet temperatures and air-flow rate. These uncertainties are modeled as random variables that are sampled from a uniform distribution. The control variable is the water flow rate which is controlled for regulating the air-outlet temperature. Neural networks are frequently used in various literatures for learning time-series. We propose a modified version of neural networks known as n-step ahead neural network that take the state variables and output at time t as input to successfully predict output at time t+n. The variable n is a hyper-parameter which can be optimized based on performance constraints. The n-step ahead neural network was then trained on training data generated from experimental model to high training accuracies. This trained model performed appreciably in its objective to regulate outlet temperature of a heat exchanger. The second approach uses a combination of control and learning module for temperature regulation. The control module used is a proportional controller while the learning module used is steady state neural network. The steady state neural network is used to learn the controller output as a function of random variables and temperature set-point. The proportional controller is then used to compensate for transient behavior of linearized system around various operating points. The algorithm works effectively for temperature regulation as neural network captures the non-linear input-output behavior of closed loop system leaving proportional controller to compensate for steady state errors of a linearized plant. The proposed algorithm’s performances were evaluated against the performance of a PI controller. Further, the robustness of the algorithms were also studied in great detail under small perturbations around tuned parameters of the proposed algorithms.

Sundar, Sreenath↗

A Data-Driven Exploration of the Impact of Renewable Energy on Inter-Area Oscillations in the U.S. Eastern Interconnection

As increasing amounts of renewable energy (RE) resources are incorporated into the bulk-power grid, power system oscillations are expected to change. This work investigates how RE generation impacts the frequency and damping ratio (DR) of two dominant inter-area modes in the U.S. Eastern Interconnection (EI) using regularly updated estimates collected over a 12-month period. Quantile regression is used to derive the correlation between operating conditions and mode properties, and a bootstrap method is used to quantify the uncertainty associated with the correlation estimates. Results show that with an increase in system load, the frequency of a mode decreases and DR increases. Evidence that increasing RE generation results in an increase in frequency and decline in DR was found for one of the two modes studied. This work shows that increasing RE levels will impact the properties of inter-area oscillations in the EI, but it does not indicate the presence of immediate threats to grid stability. The outlined approach can be used to periodically assess changing mode properties as RE levels continue to grow and flag stability concerns before they become serious reliability threats.

Inter-area oscillation, mode meters, quantile regr↗