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Health and air pollutant emission impacts of net zero CO2 by 2050 scenarios from the energy modeling forum 37 study

Carbon dioxide and non-greenhouse gas air pollutants are emitted from many of the same sources. Decarbonization actions thus typically yield air pollutant emission reductions, resulting in significant air quality benefits. Although several studies have highlighted this connection, including in the context of net zero carbon emission targets, substantial uncertainty remains regarding how alternative technological pathways to this goal will affect the spatial distribution and magnitude of air pollutants. Comprehensive multi-model and multi-scenario analyzes are needed to explore the relative impacts of alternative pathways. Here, our study begins to address this gap by leveraging the results from the recent Energy Modeling Forum 37 inter-model comparison exercise on U.S. decarbonization pathways. Comparing the results of the six teams who submitted air pollutant emissions suggests that strategies that target net zero U.S. carbon emissions would yield significant reductions in many air pollutants, and that this finding is generally robust across pathways. However, some energy sources, such as biomass and fossil fuels with carbon capture, will emit air pollutants and can potentially influence the magnitude, spatial distribution, and even sign of localized air pollutant emission changes. In the second part of this analysis, a simplified air quality and health impacts screening model is used to evaluate the air quality impacts in 2035 of sectoral emission changes from the three models that provided sectoral detail. Relative to a reference scenario, a net zero pathway is estimated to reduce fine particulate matter concentrations across the contiguous U.S., with health benefits from reduced mortality ranging from $\$$65 billion to $\$$250 billion in 2035 alone (2023$\$$s). These benefits would be expected to grow over time as the net zero trajectory becomes more stringent. Both the magnitude of potential benefits and the substantial variation of the projections across models underscore the need for an EMF-like inter-model comparison exercise focused on air quality.

Air pollutants↗

Impact of DMP-30 catalyst concentration on the degradation and kinetics of bisphenol A epoxy thermosets cured with linear amine hardener

Epoxy thermosets are a crucial component in carbon-fiber composites, serving as the organic binding matrix. Catalysts are commonly used in prepolymer formulations to accelerate curing of the thermosets. However, the impact of catalysts on the thermal stability, degradation pathways, and kinetics of the final thermoset is poorly understood. Here, in this work, Product-Specific Kinetics (PSK) analysis was utilized with isoconversional kinetics to provide a first look into the degradation kinetics of major pyrolysis pathways in bisphenol A (BPA) epoxy resins and determine the impact of altering catalysis concentrations on these kinetic pathways. Results revealed new insights into previously identified degradation pathways, provided evidence of multiple degradation pathways for some products, and showed that use of excess catalyst results in polymer network alterations and reduced thermal stability of the thermosets.

Bisphenol A↗

Opportunity Assessment for Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production from Woody Biomass via Ex Situ Catalytic Fast Pyrolysis and Refinery Hydroprocessing

Biofuels have become a promising solution to reduce emissions in hard-to-electrify transportation sectors, such as aviation. However, several biofuel conversion pathways will likely be needed to scale sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production to meet lower carbon intensity goals when biomass feedstock availability constraints are considered. This study evaluates the future potential of the catalytic fast pyrolysis (CFP) pathway to contribute to U.S. SAF production goals as outlined in the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) SAF Grand Challenge, understanding that the CFP pathway is still under development toward maturity and scaleup. National forestland resource data from the DOE’s 2023 Billion Ton Study are integrated with recent experimental results demonstrating end-to-end woody biomass conversion to SAF via CFP and hydroprocessing in a novel bioeconomy optimization framework. U.S. refinery hydroprocessing capacity is also considered with repurposing and coprocessing strategies. Results indicate that the CFP process can contribute up to 4.6 billion gallons of SAF annually by 2040, meeting 13% of the 2050 SAF Grand Challenge target while reducing the carbon intensity (CI) of the U.S. jet fuel pool by 16%. The study further explores optimal processing strategies, suggesting that colocating CFP operations with existing petroleum refineries and repurposing some U.S. hydrocracking capacity may offer significant cost advantages and enhance the commercial viability of the CFP pathway. These results underscore the CFP pathway’s potential to support the global aviation industry’s lower carbon intensity objectives while producing other renewable fuels and products.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Degrees of Rate Control in Interconnected Reaction Networks

Overall reactions in interconnected networks exhibit net, forward, and reverse rates that are governed by both constitutive elementary steps in the pathway of interest and branching elementary steps that lead to alternative products. Accordingly, steps in branching pathways exhibit negative net, forward, and reverse degrees of rate control, as they reduce reaction flux to the desired product. We here contextualize the forward and reverse degrees of rate control in terms of kinetic resistances (inverse of rates) and leverage the additive nature of kinetic resistance to decouple kinetic driving forces contributed by constitutive elementary steps and branching points (nodal species) in interconnected networks. Regardless of the network connectivity, forward and reverse degrees of rate control are shown to converge at equilibrium. Away from equilibrium, we identify two critical features of interconnected networks: stoichiometric regularity─condition where all stoichiometric numbers are unity─and pathway symmetry around nodal species─condition where branching pathways share the same rate constants, stoichiometry, and species concentrations/activities─that result in (i) equal forward, reverse, and consequently net degrees of rate control and (ii) forward and reverse degrees of rate control that exhibit constant offsets, respectively, across all extents of reaction. Furthermore, our discourse further provides a mathematical description for the influence of stoichiometric irregularity and pathway asymmetry on forward and reverse degrees of rate control. Altogether, the presented work details the effects of network (inter)connectivity and stoichiometry on reaction kinetics and, in doing so, establishes general protocols for capturing these effects as additive terms in the formulation of forward and reverse degrees of rate control.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

Cell-Free-Based Thermophilic Biocatalyst for the Synthesis of Amino Acids from One-Carbon Feedstocks

Bioproduction from one-carbon compounds, such as formate, is an attractive prospect due to reduced energy requirements and the possibility for using CO 2 as a sustainable feedstock. Formate-fixing pathways engineered using Escherichia coli lysate-based cell-free expression (CFE) biocatalysts have the potential to route 100% of feedstock carbon toward chemical synthesis but are undermined by siphoning of in-pathway metabolites and cofactors by the CFE background metabolism. To address this limitation, we engineer a CFE-based thermophilic multienzyme biocatalyst for the synthesis of serine and glycine from formate, bicarbonate, and ammonia. After expression of the thermophilic formate-to-serine pathway in a one-pot reaction, the mesophilic E. coli CFE background machinery is removed by simple heat denaturation, eliminating the siphoning of cofactors, inpathway metabolites, and products. After bioprocess optimization, including pathway gene expression duration and chemical synthesis temperature, we achieve near stoichiometric conversion of formate and bicarbonate to serine and glycine, reaching 97% of stoichiometric yield. The use of a moderately thermophilic biocatalyst allowed chemical synthesis to take place at mesophilic temperatures, enabling the balance of optimal enzyme activity with minimal metabolite/cofactor thermal degradation. In a fed-batch experiment, the biocatalyst shows sustained chemical synthesis rates for 8 h, paving the way toward a continuous bioprocess. Finally, a sensitivity analysis of cofactor usage revealed that the most expensive cofactors, THF and NADPH, can be reduced by 5-fold without significantly lowering product yields. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first instance of expressing a thermophilic pathway in an E. coli lysate-based CFE system to generate a thermophilic biocatalyst for use at mesophilic temperatures. The CFEbased thermophilic formate-to-serine biocatalyst triples the combined serine and glycine yield previously obtained by a CFE-based mesophilic formate-to-serine biocatalyst (30%), and quadruple the yield obtained by a purified enzyme system (22%). Ultimately, this work opens the door to using E. coli lysate-based CFE for thermophilic biocatalyst generation to achieve high chemical synthesis yields.

bacteria↗

From Nonclassical to Classical: Crystallization Seeds Reshape Nucleation Mechanisms

Crystalline seeds are widely employed in crystallization to accelerate nucleation and control product polymorphs; yet, their impact on nucleation mechanisms remains poorly understood. While homogeneous nucleation of crystals from solution often proceeds through nonclassical pathways involving amorphous intermediates, it is unclear how seeds that promote heterogeneous nucleation reshape these mechanisms and govern polymorph selection. Here, in this study, we provide the first direct evidence that crystalline seeds can bypass the need for amorphous intermediates as nucleation sites, converting nonclassical nucleation mechanisms into classical, monomer-by-monomer crystallization pathways. Using molecular dynamics simulations of zeolite synthesis, we uncover a complex reaction network of competing nucleation processes mediated by intermediate interfacial polymorphs. The interplay between thermodynamic stability and kinetic favorability of these interfacial polymorphs dictates nucleation outcomes, creating a dynamic balance between the interfacial polymorph stability and crystallization rates. Furthermore, we show that the synthesis environment-whether monomers or aggregates serve as reactants-profoundly impacts these pathways. At moderate supersaturation, seeds eliminate amorphous intermediates and promote classical nucleation, whereas high supersaturation or aggregate-based reactants favor nonclassical pathways, even in the presence of seeds. These findings establish a general framework for understanding how seeds govern crystallization mechanisms, with broad implications for controlling nucleation kinetics, polymorph selection, and material properties. While focused on zeolites, this work reveals insights that may be applicable to biominerals, pharmaceuticals, functional materials, and catalysts, providing a basis for engineering crystallization pathways in diverse applications.

Chu-Jon, Carlos [Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT↗

Rubisco activity and activation state dictate photorespiratory plasticity in Betula papyrifera acclimated to future climate conditions

Plant metabolism faces a challenge of investing enough enzymatic capacity to a pathway without overinvestment. As it takes energy and resources to build, operate, and maintain enzymes, there are benefits and drawbacks to accurately matching capacity to the pathway influx. The relationship between functional capacity and physiological load could be explained through symmorphosis, which would quantitatively match enzymatic capacity to pathway influx. Alternatively, plants could maintain excess enzymatic capacity to manage unpredictable pathway influx. In this study, we use photorespiration as a case study to investigate these two hypotheses in Betula papyrifera. This involves altering photorespiratory influx by manipulating the growth environment, via changes in CO 2 concentration and temperature, to determine how photorespiratory capacity acclimates to environmental treatments. Surprisingly, the results from these measurements indicate that there is no plasticity in photorespiratory capacity in B. papyrifera, and that a fixed capacity is maintained under each growth condition. The fixed capacity is likely due to the existence of reserve capacity in the pathway that manages unpredictable photorespiratory influx in dynamic environments. Additionally, we found that B. papyrifera had a constant net carbon assimilation under each growth condition due to an adjustment of functional rubisco activity driven by changes in activation state. These results provide insight into the acclimation ability and limitations of B. papyrifera to future climate scenarios currently predicted in the next century.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Glyceraldehyde-3-phosphate dehydrogenase homologs as bifunctional gatekeepers of metabolic segregation in Pseudomonas putida

Metabolically versatile Pseudomonas species can assimilate various glycolytic and gluconeogenic substrates. Simultaneous assimilation is known to segregate carbons from each substrate type into different metabolic pathways. However, the mechanisms of this metabolic segregation remain unresolved. Here, we investigate Pseudomonas putida KT2440 during processing of the sugar glucose through glycolysis versus the phenolic acid ferulate through gluconeogenesis. Metabolome profiling reveals up to twofold less tricarboxylic acid cycle metabolites but up to 10-fold higher metabolites of upper glycolysis, pentose-phosphate, and Entner–Doudoroff pathways in glucose-grown cells compared to ferulate-grown cells. After 13C-substrate switching, kinetic isotopic profiling captures rapid assimilation of new substrate carbons into initial catabolic pathways, but incorporation into downstream pathways is absent or incomplete. Proteomics identifies a 22-fold higher abundance of one homolog of glyceraldehyde-3-phosphate dehydrogenase (GAPDH, GapA) in cells fed on glucose relative to ferulate, while abundance of another homolog (GapB) remains unchanged. Growth phenotypes and quantitative metabolomics for single and double knockout mutants of these GAPDH homologs indicate only GapA involvement in glycolytic flux, which can be compensated by the Entner–Doudoroff pathway, and distinct preference of GapB with minimal role of GapA for gluconeogenic flux. Accordingly, growth of triple knockout mutant with deletion of gapA, gapB, and edd is possible only when glycolytic and gluconeogenic substrates are provided together to meet metabolic demands in a segregated fashion, but metabolic tradeoffs lead to slow growth. A mathematical, experimentally constrained, model of the GAPDH node shows that tuning of GapA and GapB concentrations enables transition between flux regimes for nutritional adaptability.

Zhou, Nanqing [Northwestern University, Evanston]↗

Biosensors for the detection of chorismate and cis,cis -muconic acid in Corynebacterium glutamicum

Abstract Corynebacterium glutamicum ATCC 13032 is a promising microbial chassis for industrial production of valuable compounds, including aromatic amino acids derived from the shikimate pathway. In this work, we developed two whole-cell, transcription factor based fluorescent biosensors to track cis,cis-muconic acid (ccMA) and chorismate in C. glutamicum. Chorismate is a key intermediate in the shikimate pathway from which value-added chemicals can be produced, and a shunt from the shikimate pathway can divert carbon to ccMA, a high value chemical. We transferred a ccMA-inducible transcription factor, CatM, from Acinetobacter baylyi ADP1 into C. glutamicum and screened a promoter library to isolate variants with high sensitivity and dynamic range to ccMA by providing benzoate, which is converted to ccMA intracellularly. The biosensor also detected exogenously supplied ccMA, suggesting the presence of a putative ccMA transporter in C. glutamicum, though the external ccMA concentration threshold to elicit a response was 100-fold higher than the concentration of benzoate required to do so through intracellular ccMA production. We then developed a chorismate biosensor, in which a chorismate inducible promoter regulated by natively expressed QsuR was optimized to exhibit a dose-dependent response to exogenously supplemented quinate (a chorismate precursor). A chorismate–pyruvate lyase encoding gene, ubiC, was introduced into C. glutamicum to lower the intracellular chorismate pool, which resulted in loss of dose dependence to quinate. Further, a knockout strain that blocked the conversion of quinate to chorismate also resulted in absence of dose dependence to quinate, validating that the chorismate biosensor is specific to intracellular chorismate pool. The ccMA and chorismate biosensors were dually inserted into C. glutamicum to simultaneously detect intracellularly produced chorismate and ccMA. Biosensors, such as those developed in this study, can be applied in C. glutamicum for multiplex sensing to expedite pathway design and optimization through metabolic engineering in this promising chassis organism. One-Sentence Summary High-throughput screening of promoter libraries in Corynebacterium glutamicum to establish transcription factor based biosensors for key metabolic intermediates in shikimate and β-ketoadipate pathways.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Overexpression of RuBisCO form I and II genes in Rhodopseudomonas palustris TIE-1 augments polyhydroxyalkanoate production heterotrophically and autotrophically

ABSTRACT With the rising demand for sustainable renewable resources, microorganisms capable of producing bioproducts such as bioplastics are attractive. While many bioproduction systems are well-studied in model organisms, investigating non-model organisms is essential to expand the field and utilize metabolically versatile strains. This investigation centers on Rhodopseudomonas palustris TIE-1, a purple non-sulfur bacterium capable of producing bioplastics. To increase bioplastic production, genes encoding the putative regulatory protein PhaR and the depolymerase PhaZ of the polyhydroxyalkanoate (PHA) biosynthesis pathway were deleted. Genes associated with pathways that might compete with PHA production, specifically those linked to glycogen production and nitrogen fixation, were deleted. Additionally, RuBisCO form I and II genes were integrated into TIE-1’s genome by a phage integration system, developed in this study. Our results show that deletion of phaR increases PHA production when TIE-1 is grown photoheterotrophically with butyrate and ammonium chloride (NH 4 Cl). Mutants unable to produce glycogen or fix nitrogen show increased PHA production under photoautotrophic growth with hydrogen and NH 4 Cl. The most significant increase in PHA production was observed when RuBisCO form I and form I & II genes were overexpressed, five times under photoheterotrophy with butyrate, two times with hydrogen and NH 4 Cl, and two times under photoelectrotrophic growth with N 2 . In summary, inserting copies of RuBisCO genes into the TIE-1 genome is a more effective strategy than deleting competing pathways to increase PHA production in TIE-1. The successful use of the phage integration system opens numerous opportunities for synthetic biology in TIE-1. IMPORTANCE Our planet has been burdened by pollution resulting from the extensive use of petroleum-derived plastics for the last few decades. Since the discovery of biodegradable plastic alternatives, concerted efforts have been made to enhance their bioproduction. The versatile microorganism Rhodopseudomonas palustris TIE-1 (TIE-1) stands out as a promising candidate for bioplastic synthesis, owing to its ability to use multiple electron sources, fix the greenhouse gas CO 2 , and use light as an energy source. Two categories of strains were meticulously designed from the TIE-1 wild-type to augment the production of polyhydroxyalkanoate (PHA), one such bioplastic produced. The first group includes mutants carrying a deletion of the phaR or phaZ genes in the PHA pathway, and those lacking potential competitive carbon and energy sinks to the PHA pathway (namely, glycogen biosynthesis and nitrogen fixation). The second group comprises TIE-1 strains that overexpress RuBisCO form I or form I & II genes inserted via a phage integration system. By studying numerous metabolic mutants and overexpression strains, we conclude that genetic modifications in the environmental microbe TIE-1 can improve PHA production. When combined with other approaches (such as reactor design, use of microbial consortia, and different feedstocks), genetic and metabolic manipulations of purple nonsulfur bacteria like TIE-1 are essential for replacing petroleum-derived plastics with biodegradable plastics like PHA.

Ranaivoarisoa, Tahina Onina↗

Modification and analysis of context-specific genome-scale metabolic models: methane-utilizing microbial chassis as a case study

ABSTRACT Context-specific genome-scale model (CS-GSM) reconstruction is becoming an efficient strategy for integrating and cross-comparing experimental multi-scale data to explore the relationship between cellular genotypes, facilitating fundamental or applied research discoveries. However, the application of CS modeling for non-conventional microbes is still challenging. Here, we present a graphical user interface that integrates COBRApy, EscherPy, and RIPTiDe, Python-based tools within the BioUML platform, and streamlines the reconstruction and interrogation of the CS genome-scale metabolic frameworks via Jupyter Notebook. The approach was tested using -omics data collected for Methylotuvimicrobium alcaliphilum 20Z R , a prominent microbial chassis for methane capturing and valorization. We optimized the previously reconstructed whole genome-scale metabolic network by adjusting the flux distribution using gene expression data. The outputs of the automatically reconstructed CS metabolic network were comparable to manually optimized i IA409 models for Ca-growth conditions. However, the CS model questions the reversibility of the phosphoketolase pathway and suggests higher flux via primary oxidation pathways. The model also highlighted unresolved carbon partitioning between assimilatory and catabolic pathways at the formaldehyde-formate node. Only a very few genes and only one enzyme with a predicted function in C1 metabolism, a homolog of the formaldehyde oxidation enzyme ( fae1-2 ), showed a significant change in expression in La-growth conditions. The CS-GSM predictions agreed with the experimental measurements under the assumption that the Fae1-2 is a part of the tetrahydrofolate-linked pathway. The cellular roles of the tungsten (W)-dependent formate dehydrogenase ( fdhAB ) and fae homologs ( fae1-2 and fae3 ) were investigated via mutagenesis. The phenotype of the f dhAB mutant followed the model prediction. Furthermore, a more significant reduction of the biomass yield was observed during growth in La-supplemented media, confirming a higher flux through formate. M. alcaliphilum 20Z R mutants lacking fae1-2 did not display any significant defects in methane or methanol-dependent growth. However, contrary to fae1, the fae1-2 homolog failed to restore the formaldehyde-activating enzyme function in complementation tests. Overall, the presented data suggest that the developed computational workflow supports the reconstruction and validation of CS-GSM networks of non-model microbes. IMPORTANCE The interrogation of various types of data is a routine strategy to explore the relationship between genotype and phenotype. An efficient approach for integrating and cross-comparing experimental multi-scale data in the context of whole-genome-based metabolic network reconstruction becomes a powerful tool that facilitates fundamental and applied research discoveries. The present study describes the reconstruction of a context-specific (CS) model for the methane-utilizing bacterium, Methylotuvimicrobium alcaliphilum 20Z R . M. alcaliphilum 20Z R is becoming an attractive microbial platform for the production of biofuels, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, and bio-sorbents for capturing atmospheric methane. We demonstrate that this pipeline can help reconstruct metabolic models that are similar to manually curated networks. Furthermore, the model is able to highlight previously overlooked pathways, thus advancing fundamental knowledge of non-model microbial systems or promoting their development toward biotechnological or environmental implementations.

Kulyashov, M. A.↗

Mechanistic Tuning of Chemical Transformations for Coupling the Geo-mimicry of Acid Gas Storage with Design Strategies to Produce Clean Energy Carriers in Multi-Phase Reaction Environments (MATTER) (Final Report)

The need to diversify approaches to produce essential energy carriers such as H 2 motivate advances in thermodynamically downhill geo-inspired pathways. Currently, more than 80% of hydrogen is produced via steam methane reforming (SMR) followed by water gas shift reaction (WGSR) pathway with the co-production of CO 2 . As an alternative to introducing CO 2 separation strategies downstream such as the use of membranes, solvents, or sorbents, geo-inspired carbon mineralization is harnessed as an alternative crystallization pathway. The thermodynamically downhill carbon mineralization pathways are hypothesized to accelerate H2 conversion while separating CO 2 . The work conducted through this project discusses the mechanisms associated with coupling the water gas shift reaction (WGSR) with carbon mineralization. In addition to harnessing Ca- and Mg-bearing oxides or hydroxides that are known to be reactive for CO 2 capture, the use of earth abundant silicate minerals such as Ca- and Mg-bearing silicates, is also investigated. Key outcomes include approaches to architect Mg-silicate with well-controlled pore size distributions, probing the enhancement in H 2 yield with inherent CO 2 suppression using Ca- and Mg-bearing oxides, hydroxides, and silicates, elucidating the changes in silicate chemistry during carbon mineralization, and exploring direct integration of carbon mineralization with WGSR and the development of separate low temperature pathway for reactive CO 2 capture and mineralization are developed.

08 HYDROGEN↗

TRAILS Output Files

Overview This data repository contains ZIP files that store compressed versions of the output of running the WaterPaths utility planning and management tool in the DU Re-Evaluation mode (to download the tool, please see this GitHub repository). The tool was used to simulate the six-utility North Carolina Research Triangle problem. Details on the contents of each ZIP file can be seen below. Data details Temporal range: Weekly data for 2,344 weeks from 2015 to 2060 (45 years). Spatial range: Six water utilities in the North Carolina Research Triangle region (0: Chapel Hil/OWASA, 1: Durham, 2: Cary, 3: Raleigh, 4: Pittsboro, and 5: Chatham) File types: CSV and OUT Different solutions available The solution numbers correspond to the different pathway strategies (henceforth referred to as "solutions") discussed in paper's main and supporting text (abstract and link to the paper here). They are as follows: Sol92: The Durham-focused pathway strategy Sol132: The Raleigh-focused pathway strategy Sol140: The regionally-robust pathway strategy Objectives files These files can be accessed by unzipping solXX_objectives_pathways.zip that contains 1,000 Objectives_RDMXX_solsXX_to_XX.csv files. Each CSV file will consist of a row representing all the objective values for that specific solution, while every six columns represents the reliability, restriction frequency, infrastructure net present value ($ mil), peak financial cost, worst-case cost, and unit cost ($ per MG; in that order) for each of the six utilities. There will be 1,000 such files, denoting the performance of the six utilities across the 1,000 deeply uncertain states of the world (DU SOWs). Pathway files These files can be accessed by unzipping solXX_objectives_pathways.zip that contains 1,000 Pathways_sXX_RDMXX.out file. Each OUT corresponds to the set of infrastructure being triggered in a specific DU SOW, and each file will have the name file will consist of four tab-delimited columns that are described as follows: Realization: The realization in which an infrastructure options being triggered utility: The utility currently triggering infrastructure week: The week in which a specific infrastructure option is being triggered infra.: The infrastructure option being triggered If the OUT file contains only the header line, no infrastructure was triggered for that specific DU SOW. Policies files These files can be obtained by unzipping Policies.zip. Each of the 1,000 CSV files within the unzipped folder will contain weekly water use restriction policies for all 1,000 hydroclimatic realizations within a specific DU SOW. The column structure is as follows: 0rest_m: restriction multiplier for utility 0 (values between 0 and 1) 1rest_m: restriction multiplier for utility 1 (values between 0 and 1) 2rest_m: restriction multiplier for utility 2 (values between 0 and 1) 3rest_m: restriction multiplier for utility 3 (values between 0 and 1) 4rest_m: restriction multiplier for utility 4 (values between 0 and 1) 5rest_m: restriction multiplier for utility 5 (values between 0 and 1) 0transf: transfer volume for utility 0 (in MGD) 1transf: transfer volume for utility 1 (in MGD) 2transf: transfer volume for utility 2 (in MGD) 3transf: transfer volume for utility 3 (in MGD) 4transf: transfer volume for utility 4 (in MGD) 5transf: transfer volume for utility 5 (in MGD) Water Sources files These files can be obtained by unzipping WaterSources_subset.zip. Each of the 100 CSV files within the unzipped folder will contain weekly state variables at each water source for all 1,000 hydroclimatic realizations within a specific DU SOW. The column structure is as follows: Xvolume: available water volume from source X (in MGD) Xs_area: surface area of source X (in ACF) Xdemand: demand drawn from a water source from source X (in MGD) Xup_spill: upstream spillage from source X (in MGD) Xww_inflow: wastewater inflow from source X (in MGD) Xcatch_inflow: upstream catchment inflow to source X (in MGD) Xevap: evaporation multiplier for source X (values between 0 and 1) Xds_spill: downstream spillage from source X (in MGD) X_Y_alloc_cap: the allocated capacity from source X to utility Y (values between 0 and 1) X_Y_alloc_dem: the allocated demand from source X to utility Y (values between 0 and 1) Xtrmt_alloc_Y: the allocated treatment capacity from source X to utility Y (values between 0 and 1) Utilities files These files can be obtained by unzipping Utilities_subset.zip. Each of the 100 CSV files within the unzipped folder will contain weekly state variables at each utility for all 1,000 hydroclimatic realizations within a specific DU SOW. The column structure is as follows: Xst_vol: total available storage volume of utility X (in MG) Xcapacity: total storage capacity of utility X (in MG) Xnet_inf: : net inflow for all storage infrastructure for utility X (in MGD) Xst_rof: short term ROF for utility X (values between 0 and 1) Xst_stor_rof: short-term storage ROF for utility X (values between 0 and 1) Xst_trmt_rof: short-term treatment ROF for utility X (values between 0 and 1) Xlt_rof: long-term ROF for utility X (values between 0 and 1) Xlt_stor_rof: long-term storage ROF for utility X (values between 0 and 1) Xlt_trmt_rof: long-term treatment ROF for utility X (values between 0 and 1) Xrest_demand: restricted demand for utility X (in MGD) Xunrest_demand: unrestricted demand for utility X (in MGD) Xunfulf_demand: unfulfilled demand for utility X (in MGD) Xwastewater: wastewater return for utility X (in MGD) Xtreat_capacity: total treatment capacity for utility X (in MG) Xcont_fund: reserve (contingency) fund balance for utility X Xins_pout: insurance payout for utility X (% annual volumetric revenue) Xins_price: insurance price for utility X (% annual volumetric revenue) Xinfra_npv: infrastructure net present value for utility ($mil) Xst_vol: total available storage volume of utility X (in MG) Xdebt_serv: debt service for utility X (usually once per year if the infrastructure is triggered; % annual volumetric revenue) Xstor_vol: total stored volume (in MGD) Xobs_ann_dem: observed annual demand for utility X (in MGD) Xproj_dem: projected annual demand for utility X (in MGD) Xpv_debt_serv: present value of debt service payments for utility X (% annual volumetric revenue) Xgross_rev: gross revenue for utility X ($mil) Acknowledgment IM3 is a multi-institutional effort led by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and supported by the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Science as part of research in MultiSector Dynamics, Earth and Environmental Systems Modeling Program.

Artificial Intelligence↗

IM3 Data Center Driven Grid Stress Dataset for the U.S. Western Interconnection

This dataset provides projected grid stress and reliability results (including all model inputs and outputs from an open-source grid operations modeling framework - GO), for the Integrated Multisector, Multiscale Modeling (IM3) project, under varying levels of data center demand growth between 2025 and 2035 in the U.S. Western Interconnection. The scenarios and sensitivity experiments are combinations of different data center demand growth rates and energy, weather, population and economic pathways. Data center demand growth projections were sourced from the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). The data center demand growth projection names are: Low (3.71% annual data center demand growth) Moderate (5% annual data center demand growth) High (10% annual data center demand growth) Higher (15% annual data center demand growth) Energy, weather, population and economic pathways are informed by two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP3 and SSP5) and two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) following the hotter general circulation model (GCM) forcing group from a set of perturbed thermodynamics simulations. The resulting pathway names are: rcp45hotter_ssp3 rcp45hotter_ssp5 rcp85hotter_ssp3 rcp85hotter_ssp5 The main scenarios and sensitivity experiments are detailed below. Reference scenario: The projected grid stress and reliability results for the U.S. Western Interconnection from a previous study. This scenario does not consider data center demand growth explicitly. Data center scenario: Building on the reference scenario, this scenario considers various data center growth rates and how they impact the U.S. Western Interconnection. Data center loads are modeled as flat 8760-hr profiles. This scenario does not consider new generation and transmission capacities specifically designed to meet the new data center demands. The related folder is named "flat". Delayed generator retirements sensitivity experiment: Building on the data center scenario, this experiment explores the impact of different levels of natural gas and nuclear generator retirement delays. The resulting scenario names are: (1) postponing 100% nuclear retirements; (2) postponing 100% nuclear and 25% natural gas retirements; (3) postponing only 50% natural gas retirements; (4) postponing 100% nuclear and 50% natural gas retirements; (5) postponing 100% nuclear and 75% natural gas retirements; and (6) postponing 100% nuclear and 100% natural gas retirements. The related folder names are: no_gen_retire_0_gas, no_gen_retire_25_gas, no_gen_retire_50_gas, no_gen_retire_50_gas_only, no_gen_retire_75_gas, and no_gen_retire_100_gas. Demand response through curtailment sensitivity experiment: Building on the data center scenario, this experiment explores the impact of different participation and compensation levels of data center demand response. The resulting scenario names are: (1) 5% demand available for curtailment with 750 $/MWh compensation; (2) 5% demand available for curtailment with 500 $/MWh compensation; (3) 5% demand available for curtailment with 250 $/MWh compensation; (4) 15% demand available for curtailment with 750 $/MWh compensation; (5) 15% demand available for curtailment with 500 $/MWh compensation; and (6) 15% demand available for curtailment with 250 $/MWh compensation. The related folder names are: dr_cost_250_drup_0_drdown_5, dr_cost_250_drup_0_drdown_15, dr_cost_500_drup_0_drdown_5, dr_cost_500_drup_0_drdown_15, dr_cost_750_drup_0_drdown_5, and dr_cost_750_drup_0_drdown_15. Combination of delayed generator retirements and demand response through curtailment sensitivity experiment: The impact of combining postponing 100% nuclear and 25% natural gas retirements with 5% demand available for curtailment with 750 $/MWh compensation is simulated. The related folder is named "dr_cost_750_drup_0_drdown_5_nuc_100_gas_25". Please refer to the README file for a detailed description of the dataset including individual files and references.

Artificial Intelligence↗

Pharmacological Inhibitors of the Proteosome in Atrophying Muscles

It is now clear that the marked loss of muscle mass that occurs with disuse, denervation or in many systemic diseases (cancer cachexia, sepsis, acidosis, various endocrine disorders) is due primarily to accelerated degradation of muscle proteins, especially myofibrillar components. Recent work primarily in Dr. Goldberg's laboratory had suggested that in these diverse conditions, the enhancement of muscle proteolysis results mainly from activation of the Ub-proteasome degradative pathway. In various experimental models of atrophy, rat muscles show a common series of changes indicative of activation of this pathway, including increases in MRNA for Ub and proteasome subunits, content of ubiquitinated proteins, and sensitivity to inhibitors of the proteasome. In order to understand the muscle atrophy seen in weightlessness, Dr. Goldberg's laboratory is collaborating with Dr. Baldwin in studies to define the changes in these parameters upon hind-limb suspension. Related experiments will explore the effects on this degradative system of exercise regimens and also of glucocorticoids, which are known to rise in space personnel and to promote muscle, especially in inactive muscles. The main goals will be: (A) to define the enzymatic changes leading to enhanced activity of the Ub-proteasome pathway in inactive muscles upon hind-limb suspension, and the effects on this system of exposure to glucocorticoids or exercise; and (B) to learn whether inhibitors of the Ub-proteasome pathway may be useful in retarding the excessive proteolysis in atrophying muscles. Using muscle extracts, Dr. Goldberg's group hopes to define the rate-limiting, enzymatic changes that lead to the accelerated Ub-conjugation and protein degradation. They have recently developed cell-free preparations from atrophying rat muscles, in which Ub-conjugation to muscle proteins is increased above control levels. Because these new preparations seem to reproduce the changes occurring in vivo, they will analyze in depth extracts from normal and atrophying muscles to compare the activities of the Ub-activating enzyme (El), the various LTh-carrier proteins (E2s), and Ub-protein ligases (E3s). Recent studies of other types of muscle wasting -suggest a very important role in muscle proteolysis of certain ubiquitination enzymes, E214k and E3-alpha(i.e. components of the "N-end pathway"). Future studies will focus in understanding their role and test whether they are in fact critical for muscle atrophy in vivo. Since weightlessness leads to a specific loss of contractile proteins and to a switching of myosin isotypes, Dr. Goldberg's group will attempt to identify the ubiquitination enzymes specifically involved in myosin degradation both in normal muscle and after hind-limb suspension.

Goldberg, Alfred↗

Molecular Signaling in Muscle Plasticity

Extended spaceflight under microgravity conditions leads to significant atrophy of weight-bearing muscles. Atrophy and hypertrophy are the extreme outcomes of the high degree of plasticity exhibited by skeletal muscle. Stimuli which control muscle plasticity include neuronal, hormonal, nutritional, and mechanical inputs. The mechanical stimulus for muscle is directly related to the work or exercise against a load performed. Little or no work is performed by weight-bearing muscles under microgravity conditions. A major hypothesis is that focal adhesion kinase (FAK) which is associated with integrin at the adherens junctions and costa meres of all skeletal muscles is an integral part of the major mechanism for molecular signaling upon mechanical stimulation in all muscle fibers. Additionally, we propose that myotonic protein kinase (DMPK) and dystrophin (DYSTR) also participate in distinct mechanically stimulated molecular signaling pathways that are most critical in type I and type II muscle fibers, respectively. To test these hypotheses, we will use the paradigms of hindlimb unloading and overloading in mice as models for microgravity conditions and a potential exercise countermeasure, respectively, in mice. We expect that FAK loss-of-function will impair hypertrophy and enhance atrophy in all skeletal muscle fibers whereas DYSTR and DMPK loss-of-function will have similar but more selective effects on Type IT and Type I fibers, respectively. Gene expression will be monitored by muscle-specific creatine kinase M promoter-reporter construct activity and specific MRNA and protein accumulation in the soleus (type I primarily) and plantaris (type 11 primarily) muscles. With these paradigms and assays, the following Specific Project Aims will be tested in genetically altered mice: 1) identify the roles of DYSTR and its pathway; 2) evaluate the roles of the DMPK and its pathway; 3) characterize the roles of FAK and its pathway and 4) genetically analyze the mechanisms and interactions between the FAK, DYSTR, and DMPK-associated pathways in single and specific combinations of mutants. The identification of potential signaling mechanisms may permit future development of pharmacological countermeasures for amelioration and prevention of the microgravity-induced atrophy in extended spaceflight, and the analysis of both overloading and unloading paradigms may provide further support for development of exercise-based countermeasures. Understanding the basic mechanisms of molecular signaling in muscle plasticity may aid our understanding and treatment of skeletal muscle atrophy not only in spaceflight but in similar problems of the aging population, in prolonged bed rest, and in cachexia associated with chronic disease.

Epstein, Henry F.↗

Theoretical Studies of the HO/HO2 Catalytic Cycle for Ozone Destruction

Recently it has been determined that the HO/HO2 catalytic cycle accounts for nearly one-half of the total ozone depletion in the lower stratosphere. The catalytic cycle is: (1) HO + O3 yields HO2 + O2; (2) HO2 + O3 yields HO + O2 + O2. The net reaction is 2O3 yields 3O2. The rate limiting step in this process is the reaction of HO2 with ozone. There is a problem extending the experimental measurement of the rate of this reaction over the range 233-400 K down to stratospheric temperatures of 210-220 K. Therefore we have undertaken a project to determine the temperature dependence of the rate constant for this reaction in the low temperature region. The first step in this project, which is described in this poster, is the determination of the relevant potential energy surfaces. The calculations use CASSCF/derivative methods to define the pathways followed by CASSCF/ACPF to determine the energetics. The HO + O3 reaction is found to proceed through an HO4 complex, which is unstable with respect to HO2 + O2. The HO2 +O3 reaction is more complex. One pathway, which has been characterized, is the formation of an HO5 complex which decomposes to HO3 + O2 and subsequently to HO + O2 + O2. Another pathway, which is believed to also play a role, is hydrogen abstraction to give O2 + HO3 and subsequent decomposition of HO3 to HO + O2. Isotopic labeling experiments indicate that the later pathway is dominant. However, so far attempts to locate the saddle point for this pathway have not been successful. We have also characterized the potential energy surfaces for a number of species involved in these reactions, including HO3 and triplet O4. The triplet O4 species is probably involved in the reaction of vibrationally excited O2 with ground state O2 leading to O3 + O. The latter reaction is believed to be important as an additional source of stratospheric ozone.

Walch, Stephen P.↗

Influence of Unweighting on Insulin Signal Transduction in Muscle

Unweighting of the juvenile soleus muscle is characterized by an increased binding capacity for insulin relative to muscle mass due to sparing of the receptors during atrophy. Although carbohydrate metabolism and protein degradation in the unweighted muscle develop increased sensitivity to insulin in vivo, protein synthesis in vivo and system A amino acid transport in vitro do not appear to develop such an enhanced response. The long-term goal is to identify the precise nature of this apparent resistance in the insulin signal transduction pathway and to consider how reduced weight-bearing may elicit this effect, by evaluating specific components of the insulin signalling pathway. Because the insulin-signalling pathway has components in common with the signal transduction pathway for insulin-like growth factor (IGF-1) and potentially other growth factors, the study could have important implications in the role of weight-bearing function on muscle growth and development. Since the insulin signalling pathway diverges following activation of insulin receptor tyrosine kinase, the immediate specific aims will be to study the receptor tyrosine kinase (IRTK) and those branches, which lead to phosphorylation of insulin receptor substrate-1 (IRS-1) and of Shc protein. To achieve these broader objectives, we will test in situ, by intramuscular injection, the responses of glucose transport, system A amino acid transport and protein synthesis to insulin analogues for which the receptor has either a weaker or much stronger binding affinity compared to insulin. Studies will include: (1) estimation of the ED(sub 50) for each analogue for these three processes; (2) the effect of duration (one to four days) of unweighting on the response of each process to all analogues tested; (3) the effect of unweighting and the analogues on IRTK activity; and (4) the comparative effects of unweighting and analogue binding on the tyrosine phosphorylation of IRTK, IRS-1, and Shc protein.

Tischler, Marc E.↗