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At least 775 records · Page 43

Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6

Abstract. Human land use activities have resulted in large changes to the biogeochemical and biophysical properties of the Earth's surface, with consequences for climate and other ecosystem services. In the future, land use activities are likely to expand and/or intensify further to meet growing demands for food, fiber, and energy. As part of the World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), the international community has developed the next generation of advanced Earth system models (ESMs) to estimate the combined effects of human activities (e.g., land use and fossil fuel emissions) on the carbon–climate system. A new set of historical data based on the History of the Global Environment database (HYDE), and multiple alternative scenarios of the future (2015–2100) from Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) teams, is required as input for these models. With most ESM simulations for CMIP6 now completed, it is important to document the land use patterns used by those simulations. Here we present results from the Land-Use Harmonization 2 (LUH2) project, which smoothly connects updated historical reconstructions of land use with eight new future projections in the format required for ESMs. The harmonization strategy estimates the fractional land use patterns, underlying land use transitions, key agricultural management information, and resulting secondary lands annually, while minimizing the differences between the end of the historical reconstruction and IAM initial conditions and preserving changes depicted by the IAMs in the future. The new approach builds on a similar effort from CMIP5 and is now provided at higher resolution (0.25∘×0.25∘) over a longer time domain (850–2100, with extensions to 2300) with more detail (including multiple crop and pasture types and associated management practices) using more input datasets (including Landsat remote sensing data) and updated algorithms (wood harvest and shifting cultivation); it is assessed via a new diagnostic package. The new LUH2 products contain > 50 times the information content of the datasets used in CMIP5 and are designed to enable new and improved estimates of the combined effects of land use on the global carbon–climate system.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Prospective Design Method for Nuclear Power: The Evaluation, Requirements, and Goals Outline for Nuclear (ERGON) Method

Human factors researchers at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) have worked on projects spanning control room modernization, operator support systems, visualization design, and novel system creation. These projects demonstrated the need for an explicit design method for nuclear power. Human factors teams found a high standard in the Human Factors Engineering Program Review Model (NUREG-0711) and needed a design methodology which could be successful in gaining approval. Previous work has been synthesized as the Evaluation, Requirements, and Goals Outline for Nuclear (ERGON) method here. Design tasks are broken into four phases: Context and Orientation, Human Factors Review, Prototyping and Evaluation, Iteration and Improvement. ERGON is intended as a flexible and direct design method for many applications in nuclear power. ERGON has been vetted through collaborative research and development with nuclear utilities and as such, the ERGON method can assist utilities to achieve approval from a NUREG-0711 summative evaluation for HSI implementations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A SUMMARY COMPARISON OF DESIGN EVALUATION TECHNIQUES

The United States’ fleet of Nuclear Reactors is considering modernizing their control rooms and instrumentation as an effort to avoid component obsolescence, keep up with competing industries, and cater to a new work force among others. Multiple technologies have potential to improve the control room. In attempts to evaluate the available options researchers employ a variety of measures to ensure the best candidate is used in a modernizing effort. The NRC is in charge of ensuring any new design has been thoroughly vetted before approving a license. Laid out in NUREG-0711 “Human Factors Engineering Program Review Model” is the review criteria for design validation. As there are a variety of measures currently used to evaluate candidate technologies, this paper seeks to identify weaknesses in the common measures used to design and validate technology in control room modernization efforts. Identifying where measurements are not meeting the criteria will help the control room modernization research platform identify where measurement development needs to occur. This will help ensure that current performance measurements are producing as reliable results as possible to select the right technology to integrate into nuclear operating control rooms.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Coordinated Optimization and Control of Residential Solid State Power Substations in Electrical Distribution Network

This paper proposes a computationally efficient mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model for the coordinated optimization of solid-state power substations (SSPSs) in a feeder considering the full unbalanced three-phase structure of the distribution grid and its characteristics. The proposed model determines the optimal real and reactive power of each SSPS at the point of common coupling (PCC) that minimizes the operating cost and maximizes the system performance, e.g., voltage regulation and phase balancing. To improve the computational efficiency, an inscribed octagon is introduced to approximate the quadratic capacity constraints of components. Numerical simulation results show the effectiveness of the proposed model and significant improvements in voltage profiles and power imbalance between phases.

Liu, Guodong↗

The D and D of Nuclear Facilities: a Systemic Approach for Project Organization and Monitoring - 18099

The Decontamination and Decommissioning (D and D) of Licensed Nuclear facilities takes place under circumstances which make it a very complex field. On the one hand, more and more facilities of widely varying types are concerned, and many D and D projects are currently running or planned. A nuclear facility's life cycle is often very long and the building may be modified or impacted by incidents during its operation. These changes need to be known and taken into account for the D and D plans, in order to ensure safety at all times. In addition, the numerous stakeholders involved in a project express needs which impose many requirements. These encompass various points of view, and data from different detail levels must be managed to satisfactorily meet them. On the other hand, legacy data (including records, plans etc.) is a recurring issue for D and D projects. The quality and availability of relevant data regarding the different phases of the nuclear facility lifetime may be insufficient, for instance due to the lack of traceability practices in the past. The uncertainty level is not always specified and explained, old documents can be damaged and are not necessarily digitized, etc. It is therefore particularly important to define the relevant type of raw data to be collected and traced for D and D projects as early as possible. In this context, CEA (Commissariat a l'energie Atomique et aux energies Alternatives) has been analyzing past D and D projects for many years. The goal is to facilitate reproducibility by generalizing best practices and promoting efficient organizational rules and technical solutions. A method is currently being studied to help project managers to prepare specifications for future D and D operations and improve both the efficiency and the relevance of the decommissioning strategy throughout each project, depending on the expected quality of its end-state. This method first consists in formalizing and specifying the entire set of requirements to be taken into consideration, e.g. technical, operational, logistical, regulatory, financial, organizational, safety and security, human, ethical, or, naturally, environmental aspects. Second, based on these requirements, it will enable the project team to structure, check, and then to demonstrate the coherence and feasibility of the project from both the technological and organizational points of view. Lastly, the method will enable the evaluation of the various possible solutions for the management of dismantling products, for instance, regarding the waste outlets: direct disposal or interim storage. To conclude, the method should permit a constant re-evaluation of the D and D strategy depending on the possible evolution of the stakeholders' requirements, and thus it should optimize the monitoring of D and D projects. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

The human factors verification at plant startup for the AP1000 Plant - 173

The Human Factors (HF) verification at plant startup is the final HF assessment for the AP1000{sup R} HF program and is performed using the as-built plant design. This HF verification has been implemented for the China AP1000 Standard Plant. The scope and objectives of the HF verification at plant startup met the requirements for Verification and Validation (V and V) as described in NUREG-0711, 'Human Factors Engineering Program Review Model'. The majority of the verifications have been completed. Overall, the results confirmed the adequacy of the China AP1000 Standard Plant operating procedures and operator training. A number of design issues were identified and were categorized as safety issues, operability and maintainability issues or minor issues. These issues are being addressed and tracked as site test deficiencies. Based on the current results, it can be concluded that the China AP1000 Standard Plant is safe, operable and maintainable, pending completion of the outstanding verifications and resolution of the identified issues. This paper will describe the overall strategy and discuss the lessons learned in respect to providing HF support to the startup activities for the AP1000 plant. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Development of NUREG-0700, rev 3 - 229

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) evaluates the human factors engineering (HFE) of nuclear power plant design and operations to protect public health and safety. The HFE safety reviews encompass both the design process and its products. Detailed guidance for these reviews is provided in two key documents: the HFE Program Review Model (NUREG-0711) and the Human-System Interface Design Review Guidelines (NUREG-0700). The NRC is committed to the periodic update and improvement of the guidance to ensure that they remain state-of-the-art design evaluation tools. In this paper, we will describe the updates made to NUREG-0700 that resulted in Revision 3 of the guidance. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Privacy-Protected Simultaneous Provision of Energy and Primary Frequency Control Reserve

This paper investigates a Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model for simultaneous scheduling of energy and primary frequency control reserve. Given the model’s unique structure and growing concerns about privacy, we adopt Dantzig-Wolfe Decomposition (DWD) algorithm to solve the problem in a decentralized fashion while obfuscating the privacy of the energy and reserve resources. Additionally, we present a novel criterion for checking the model’s feasibility. Finally, simulation results are given and discussed.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Improving Mathematical Exposition of an Industrial-Scale Linear Program

Industrial-scale models require considerable setup time; hence, once built, they are used in myriad ways to consider closely related cases. In practice, the code for these models frequently evolves without appropriate notational choices, largely as a result of the lengthy development time of, and the number of individuals contributing to, their formulation. This leads to inefficiencies and obfuscates model structures that might be leveraged to expedite solutions. In this paper, we advocate for an emerging literature on model formulation “best practices” and present the reformulation of a widely used industrial-scale linear program. The efficient mathematical expression of this linear program, used to plan capacity expansion in the energy sector, allows for greater transparency of model structures and enhanced ability to identify computational performance improvements, as well as a lucid interpretation of its solutions. This type of formulation is employed in several mathematical programming courses at our university as an example of the advantages of best practices; the model more broadly is used widely to inform policy in the U.S. energy sector.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Analytical Modeling of Cache Behavior for Affine Programs

Modern optimizing compiler design integrates program transformation strategies aimed at reducing data movement to/from main memory by exploiting the data cache hierarchy. But in reality, the effect of these transformations on the actual cache miss count is ignored in compilers due to the lack of precise compile-time models of misses for hierarchical caches. The current state of practice for cache miss analysis is based on accurate simulation. However, simulation requires time proportional to the dataset/problem size as well as the number of distinct cache configurations of interest to be evaluated. This paper takes a fundamentally different approach, made possible by focusing on polyhedral programs with static control flow: instead of relying on costly simulation, this paper develops the first closed-form solution for exact modeling of misses in a set-associative cache hierarchy. It enabling simulation-less selection of program transformations at compile-time to optimize cache misses. A push-button tool implementing the approach is developed and used for extensive validation of the complete framework.

affine programs, cache modeling, set associativity↗

IBR-2M Reactor Modeling with MCNP, SERPENT, CUBIT, and GIMP Computer Programs

IBR-2M is a fast research reactor located in Dubna (Russia), which operates in supercritical condition for ~800 μs every 200 ms. Two reflector parts are rotating in opposite directions generating 1.8 GWth peak power when the two parts align with the fuel zone. The reactor core uses plutonium fuel and sodium coolant. The control rods are located in stationary reflector zones. This report describes the computational modeling of the IBR-2M reactor. Two independent computational models were generated using MCNP and SERPENT computer programs. The MCNP model uses combinatorial geometry based on macro bodies, e.g. boxes, cylinders, hexagons, spheres, cones, etc., and surfaces. The SERPENT model is based on the STereo Lithographic (STL) geometry representation that is used by 3D printers. The STL geometry was constructed using the CUBIT computer program. The water cooling system of the stationary and the rotating reflectors has a very complicated geometry, involving serpentines and irregular surfaces profiles. The materials in these areas have been homogenized using the GIMP image editor according to the material distributions obtained from the colors of the design drawings. The MCNP and the SERPENT inputs consist of ~1500 and ~1750 lines, respectively. The calculated effective multiplication factors from these two Monte Carlo computer programs with different models agree within 50 pcm.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Autoignition of CRC diesel surrogates at low temperature combustion conditions: Rapid compression machine experiments and modeling

As federal programs require increasingly stringent engine emissions and fuel economy standards, these ambitions can only be met if next-generation combustion technology is developed focusing on high-efficiency and low-emissions engines. Recent research has indicated the need to operate engines at higher compression ratios and with low temperature combustion (LTC) to achieve the needed gains in engine efficiency and reductions in emissions. Because there is a lack of understanding of the chemistry of diesel fuel components and their mixtures at these LTC conditions, this limits the ability to develop predictive chemical kinetic models that can be used to optimize engine combustion. The current study aims to fill in gaps in fundamental combustion data on surrogate fuel mixtures relevant to diesel fuels. Specifically, four multicomponent diesel surrogates formulated by the Coordinating Research Council (CRC) to emulate an ultra-low-sulfur research-grade #2 certification diesel fuel (CFA), namely V0a (4 components), V0b (5 components), V1 (8 components), and V2 (9 components), have been investigated in a rapid compression machine (RCM) through determination of total and first-stage ignition delay times. Autoignition characteristics of lean to rich fuel/O 2 /N 2 mixtures, for the four CRC surrogates and CFA, have been measured using an RCM at LTC relevant pressures and temperatures, in the ranges of 10–20 bar and 650–1000 K, respectively. The equivalence ratios have been varied by independently changing the oxygen mole fraction and the fuel mole fraction in the test mixtures, thereby illustrating the individual effects of oxygen concentration and fuel loading on diesel autoignition. Autoignition results of these four CRC surrogates are compared among them and with those of CFA. Some degree of agreement in autoignition response between each CRC surrogate and CFA is observed, while discrepancies are also identified and discussed. In addition, a detailed chemical kinetic model for diesel surrogates has been developed and validated against these newly-acquired RCM data. We find that this model shows reasonable agreement with the overall ignition delay time results of the current RCM experiments. Chemical kinetic analyses of the developed model were further conducted to help identify the reactions controlling the autoignition processes and the consumption of fuel components in CRC surrogates.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Multiscale Modeling of Accident Tolerant Fuels under the NEAMS ATF Program

The U.S. Department of Energy's Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program has been developing computational analysis tools for nuclear fuel simulation. These codes include BISON and Marmot for investigation of fuel behavior at the continuum and microstructural scales, respectively. In 2014, NEAMS introduced what it calls High Impact Problems (HIPs) into its development plan. These HIPs are intended to make significant advancements in a particular area of nuclear power research in a short period of time (3 years or less). NEAMS has chosen an accident tolerant fuel (ATF) project, which emphasizes utilizing BISON and Marmot to model proposed materials, as its first HIP. Since the events that occurred at the Fukushima-Daiichi nuclear power plant in 2011, the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Nuclear Energy accelerated research in nuclear fuel concepts with enhanced accident tolerance as part of its Fuel Cycle Research and Development (FCRD) Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC). Accident tolerant fuels are expected to perform at least as well as conventional fuel during normal conditions and provide significantly increased response time in the event of an accident. Given the many unknowns associated with proposed ATF concepts, the research and development being undertaken by AFC in this area is a challenge, particularly considering the desire to have a lead test rod or assembly in a commercial plant by 2022. With the AFC as its primary stakeholder, the NEAMS ATF HIP is developing material models (using a multi-scale approach) for multiple candidate materials. Through a variety of analyses employing these models, the ATF HIP is providing insight and support to the AFC as it strives to understand these materials and prioritize further development. Use of computational tools such as BISON and Marmot are a vital component of the AFC's strategy since experimental data will not be available broadly and quickly enough to understand the proposed materials fully by the time the AFC must make further development decisions. This summary reviews the overall approach of the NEAMS ATF HIP. First, we give an overview of the current materials chosen for investigation. We also review the overall multi-scale approach to model development. We briefly review the work underway at multiple national laboratories to develop mechanistic engineering scale models based on lower length scale insight. Note that coordinated work is also underway at multiple universities, but those efforts are not detailed here. The NEAMS ATF HIP is assisting the AFC in assessing two accident tolerant materials, uranium silicide fuel and FeCrAl cladding. A multi-scale material model development approach is being undertaken to formulate the models necessary to investigate the materials over a range of normal and off-normal scenarios. This approach includes molecular dynamics, density functional theory, mesoscale modeling, and engineering scale modeling. Sensitivity studies are underway to understand the most critical scenarios and material model input parameters. The information generated is being given to the AFC for their use in selecting promising ATF concepts. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Assessing Inverter-Based Resources Modeling Gaps in Commonly Used Short-Circuit Programs

Future bulk power systems are expected to operate with a high penetration of inverter-based resources (IBR). This is anticipated to fundamentally change the system’s short-circuit behaviors and demand a change in existing transmission line protection settings or schemes. Phasor-domain short circuit programs (e.g., ASPEN, CAPE, and CYME) remain the mainstream tools for developing protection settings. However, the system protection community has shared concerns about the accuracy of IBR models in short-circuit programs. This report compares the performance of existing generic IBR models in short-circuit programs with detailed electro-magnetic transient (EMT) models provided by several different IBR manufacturers in PSCAD, to quantify the short-circuit program’s IBR model accuracy, assess their ability to replicate individual IBR controls such as negative sequence current injections, and identify specific gaps in the existing generic phasor-domain IBR models that are currently available.

42 ENGINEERING↗