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At least 775 records · Page 43

Spatial variability in Arctic–boreal fire regimes influenced by environmental and human factors

Abstract Wildfire activity in Arctic and boreal regions is rapidly increasing, with severe consequences for climate and human health. Regional long-term variations in fire frequency and intensity characterize fire regimes. The spatial variability in Arctic–boreal fire regimes and their environmental and anthropogenic drivers, however, remain poorly understood. Here we present a fire tracking system to map the sub-daily evolution of all circumpolar Arctic–boreal fires between 2012 and 2023 using 375 m Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite active fire detections and the resulting dataset of the ignition time, location, size, duration, spread and intensity of individual fires. We use this dataset to classify the Arctic–boreal biomes into seven distinct ‘pyroregions’ with unique climatic and geographic environments. We find that these pyroregions exhibit varying responses to environmental drivers, with boreal North America, eastern Siberia and northern tundra regions showing the highest sensitivity to climate and lightning density. In addition, anthropogenic factors play an important role in influencing fire number and size, interacting with other factors. Understanding the spatial variability of fire regimes and its interconnected drivers in the Arctic–boreal domain is important for improving future predictions of fire activity and identifying areas at risk for extreme events.

Geology↗

Accuracy Guarantees and Quantum Advantage in Analog Open Quantum Simulation with and without Noise

Many-body open quantum systems, described by Lindbladian master equations, are a rich class of physical models that display complex equilibrium and out-of-equilibrium phenomena which remain to be understood. In this paper, we theoretically analyze noisy analog quantum simulation of geometrically local open quantum systems and provide evidence that this problem both is hard to simulate on classical computers and could be approximately solved on near-term quantum devices. First, given a noiseless quantum simulator, we show that the dynamics of local observables and the fixed-point expectation values of rapidly mixing local observables in geometrically local Lindbladians can be obtained to a precision of ϵ in time that is poly ( ϵ − 1 ) and uniform in system size. Furthermore, we establish that the quantum simulator would provide a superpolynomial advantage, in run-time scaling with respect to the target precision and either the evolution time (when simulating dynamics) or the Lindbladian’s decay rate (when simulating fixed points), over any classical algorithm for these problems, assuming BQP ≠ BPP . We then consider the presence of noise in the quantum simulator in the form of additional geometrically local Lindbladian terms. We show that the simulation tasks considered in this paper are stable to errors; i.e., they can be solved to a noise-limited, but system-size independent, precision. Finally, we establish that, assuming BQP ≠ BPP , there are stable geometrically local Lindbladian simulation problems such that, as the noise rate on the simulator is reduced, classical algorithms must take time superpolynomially longer in the inverse noise rate to attain the same precision as the analog quantum simulator. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

Kashyap, Vikram (ORCID:0000000208195207)↗

RV Tauri stars as post-asymptotic giant branch objects

RV Tau stars are rare, luminous pulsators of spectral types F, G, and K. Analysis of the IRAS data shows that the mass-loss rates from RV Tau stars have apparently significantly decreased during the past 500 yr. It seems likely that these stars have just evolved from the phase of rapid mass loss, characteristic of the last stages of the asymptotic giant branch (AGB). The birthrate of RV Tau stars in the solar neighborhood is about a tenth of the birthrate of all planetary nebulae, and this is consistent with the view that we are witnessing the subset of stars undergoing post-AGB evolution that are low mass and at least in some cases of low metallicity.

Jura, M.↗

An experimental study of natural and forced modes in an axisymmetric jet

The experiment consisted of two parts. The first part was an effort to study naturally occurring instability modes in the axisymmetric shear layer of a high Reynolds number turbulent jet. Untripped (transitional) and tripped (turbulent) nozzle exit conditions, both with 0.1 percent core turbulence, were studied. For the turbulent nozzle exit boundary layer case, the core turbulence, was varied systematically from 0.1 to 5 percent of the jet exit velocity. The region up to the end of the potential core was dominated by the axisymmetric mode. The azimuthal modes grew rapidly but dominated only downstream of the potential core region. For the jet excited by natural disturbances, the energy content of the higher order modes (m is less than 1) was significantly lower than that of the axisymmetric and m = +/-1 modes. The initial boundary layer had a profound effect on the natural jet evolution and its excitability. The shorter potential core allowed the jet in the transitional case to support helical disturbances closer the nozzle exit than the turbulent case. The natural jet evolution was found to remain unaffected for varying initial core turbulence over the range of 0.15 to 5 percent of the jet velocity. Target modes for efficient excitation of the jet were determined from the results of the naturally occurring jet instability mode experiments. The second part of this work describes an effort to control the axisymmetric shear layer by artificially exciting target modes. Under optimum conditions, two-frequency excitation is indeed more effective than single frequency plane wave excitation as far as jet mixing is concerned. At high amplitudes of fundamental and subharmonic forcing, the subharmonic augmentation and the axial location of the peak were independent of the initial phase difference. Two-frequency excitation also has its limitations, since axisymmetric waves are damped beyond the potential core. Higher spreading rates are obtained when multi-modal forcing is applied.

Raman, Ganesh↗

How long did it take for life to begin and evolve to cyanobacteria?

There is convincing paleontological evidence showing that stromatolite-building phototactic prokaryotes were already in existence 3.5 x 10(9) years ago. Late accretion impacts may have killed off life on our planet as late as 3.8 x 10(9) years ago. This leaves only 300 million years to go from the prebiotic soup to the RNA world and to cyanobacteria. However, 300 million years should be more than sufficient time. All known prebiotic reactions take place in geologically rapid time scales, and very slow prebiotic reactions are not feasible because the intermediate compounds would have been destroyed due to the passage of the entire ocean through deep-sea vents every 10(7) years or in even less time. Therefore, it is likely that self-replicating systems capable of undergoing Darwinian evolution emerged in a period shorter than the destruction rates of its components (<5 million years). The time for evolution from the first DNA/protein organisms to cyanobacteria is usually thought to be very long. However, the similarities of many enzymatic reactions, together with the analysis of the available sequence data, suggest that a significant number of the components involved in basic biological processes are the result of ancient gene duplication events. Assuming that the rate of gene duplication of ancient prokaryotes was comparable to today's present values, the development of a filamentous cyanobacterial-like genome would require approximately 7 x 10(6) years--or perhaps much less. Thus, in spite of the many uncertainties involved in the estimates of time for life to arise and evolve to cyanobacteria, we see no compelling reason to assume that this process, from the beginning of the primitive soup to cyanobacteria, took more than 10 million years.

Non-NASA Center↗

Dynamics of precatalyst conversion and iron incorporation in nickel-based alkaline oxygen evolution reaction catalysts

The efficiency of alkaline water electrolyzers is limited by the oxygen evolution reaction (OER). The design of improved OER catalysts requires understanding of material changes induced by the electrolyte under oxidizing potentials. We compare four Ni-based thin-film precatalysts—Ni, NiO, Ni(OH) 2 , and NiS x —in 0.1 M KOH with and without Fe impurities. Precatalyst conversion to the active oxyhydroxide catalysts and their OER performance are induced and followed using cyclic voltammetry. Without Fe electrolyte impurities, the precatalysts convert at different rates to a similar, modestly active NiOOH catalyst. Added Fe impurities are incorporated concurrently with the oxyhydroxide formation leading to active Ni 1-x Fe x OOH catalysts. The NiS x and Ni(OH) 2 precatalysts rapidly convert to oxyhydroxides both with and without Fe, while conversion of Ni and especially NiO is slowed down by Fe impurities. Choice of the precatalyst and presence of Fe impurities are key factors in designing active Ni 1-x Fe x OOH OER catalysts for electrolyzers.

alkaline electrolysis↗

Climatic controls on erosional efficiency vary with lithology across the Himalaya

Although climate can strongly influence erosional efficiency (i.e., erosion rate for a given topography), demonstrating its impact in tectonically active areas has been challenging due to other confounding controlling factors, such as lithology. Here, we show that 10 Be-derived erosion rates and efficiencies in the Himalayan orogen exhibit distinct relationships with climatic factors depending on lithology. We compile 173 10 Be-derived, basin-averaged erosion rates across the orogen, including 12 newly measured rates from the Dibang and Lohit valleys in the easternmost Himalaya, regions characterized by high precipitation magnitudes and variability. We group basins based on lithologies separated by orogen-scale thrust faults and quantify erosional efficiency coefficients based on the relationships between erosion rates and topographic metrics. Our results show that erosion rates and erosional efficiency from sedimentary and metasedimentary rocks along the Himalayan range front display a positive, nonlinear correlation with climatic factors, such as the number of extreme rainfall events and mean annual precipitation rates. In contrast, erosion rates from crystalline lithologies in the hanging wall of the Main Central thrust show a strong correlation with fluvial topography, whereas erosional efficiency shows no statistically significant correlation with climatic factors. Rapid erosion rates and high erosional efficiencies in the eastern Himalayan range front are likely driven by extreme precipitation on tectonically active, steep slopes composed of mechanically weak metasedimentary rocks. Our findings highlight the importance of the interplay between controlling factors, which include tectonics, lithology, and climate, that drive surface erosion and influence the topographic evolution of orogenic systems.

Channel steepness↗

The influence of strong hydromagnetic turbulence on newborn cometary ions

By means of a test particle model, the time evolution of the velocity distribution function of newborn cometary ions in the presence of strong hydromagnetic turbulence is studied. The test particle model employs a realistic spectrum of hydromagnetic turbulence corresponding to the observations of the International Cometary Explorer spacecraft at Comet Giacobini-Zinner. It is found that pitch-angle scattering processes can rapidly result in the formation of the shell distribution which has been observed near Comets Giacobini-Zinner and Halley. The model also indicates that radial diffusion in velocity space develops on a much longer time scale.

Price, C. P.↗

Mars atmospheric D/H - Consistent with polar volatile theory?

Current theories on the Martian water history are discussed on the basis of data for the D/H ratio in the Martian atmosphere (which was found to be enhanced by a factor of 6 + or - relative to the value on earth). In particular, the calculations of Yung et al. (1988), on the basis of their photochemical model, are found to be inconsistent with current theories for the evolution of the polar deposits on Mars. While the photochemical model predicts that about 95 percent of the Martian water has escaped over geologic time and the nonatmospheric reservoir is now only 02 m thick, the polar volatile theory suggest that polar deposits contain the equivalent of tens of meters of water, requiring a more rapid escape of H and D to space than predicted by the photochemical model to match the observed D/H ratio. The paper examines the behavior of the polar caps and the atmospheric water vapor over geologic time and the loss of H and D to space. It is concluded that, at present, it is premature to accept a specific history for water on Mars.

Jakosky, Bruce M.↗

Nonlinear Landau damping and Alfven wave dissipation

Nonlinear Landau damping has been often suggested to be the cause of the dissipation of Alfven waves in the solar wind as well as the mechanism for ion heating and selective preacceleration in solar flares. We discuss the viability of these processes in light of our theoretical and numerical results. We present one-dimensional hybrid plasma simulations of the nonlinear Landau damping of parallel Alfven waves. In this scenario, two Alfven waves nonresonantly combine to create second-order magnetic field pressure gradients, which then drive density fluctuations, which in turn drive a second-order longitudinal electric field. Under certain conditions, this electric field strongly interacts with the ambient ions via the Landau resonance which leads to a rapid dissipation of the Alfven wave energy. While there is a net flux of energy from the waves to the ions, one of the Alfven waves will grow if both have the same polarization. We compare damping and growth rates from plasma simulations with those predicted by Lee and Volk (1973), and also discuss the evolution of the ambient ion distribution. We then consider this nonlinear interaction in the presence of a spectrum of Alfven waves, and discuss the spectrum's influence on the growth or damping of a single wave. We also discuss the implications for wave dissipation and ion heating in the solar wind.

Vinas, Adolfo F.↗

How Massive Single Stars End Their Life

How massive stars die-what sort of explosion and remnant each produces-depends chiefly on the masses of their helium cores and hydrogen envelopes at death. For single stars, stellar winds are the only means of mass loss, and these are a function of the metallicity of the star. We discuss how metallicity, and a simplified prescription for its effect on mass loss, affects the evolution and final fate of massive stars. We map, as a function of mass and metallicity, where black holes and neutron stars are likely to form and where different types of supernovae are produced. Integrating over an initial mass function, we derive the relative populations as a function of metallicity. Provided that single stars rotate rapidly enough at death, we speculate on stellar populations that might produce gamma-ray bursts and jet-driven supernovae.

Heger, A.↗

R5-S2 and R5-S4 Preliminary On-Orbit Performance

The Realizing Rapid, Reduced-cost high-Risk Research (R5) project is a series of CubeSats that are intended to rapidly and affordably enable technology demonstrations in Low Earth Orbit (LEO). By accelerating the on orbit demonstration of technologies, it’s hoped that NASA programs and others will be able to infuse them more quickly and affordably. R5 is using an incremental development philosophy, where each spacecraft will feature improved performance over the previous. Each evolution of the spacecraft bus will be suitable for a variety of payloads. While each spacecraft will be built around a primary payload and mission, the intent is to then add on as many secondary payloads and objectives as possible.

Sam Pedrotty↗

Impact of Spaceflight on Earth’s Atmosphere: Climate, Ozone, and the Upper Atmosphere

In order to eliminate potential risk from the lack of scientific understanding and resolve the current inability to assess how a rapidly growing space industry will affect Earth’s atmosphere, a well-defined research effort is recommended. As demonstrated in the white paper “Impacts of Spaceflight on the Global Atmosphere: Current Understanding, Knowledge Gaps, NASA’s Role, and Roadmap", we must improve our ability to model and observe rocket engine combustion, far field rocket plume evolution, impacts on the upper atmosphere, global launch impacts, reentry gas and aerosol production, far field reentry plume evolution, and global reentry impacts. The highly successful Atmospheric Chemistry of Combustion Emissions Near the Tropopause (ACCENT) program serves as a model for the proposed effort. ACCENT was a multiagency research program that included observation and modeling of rocket plumes and played a critical role to remove the threat of regulatory action against the Space Shuttle’s solid rocket motors. A similar effort today would be a combination of remote, in situ, and laboratory measurements that feed into model development and assessment of future launch and reentry emissions.

Ozone Layer↗

The overall structure and evolution of active regions

The evolutionary characteristics and structure of the magnetic fields and atmospheric phenomena associated with the development of a solar magnetic region are discussed. Bipolar magnetic regions are introduced as the source of all solar magnetic fields, formed as bundles of magnetic flux rise to and break through the solar surface and spread throughout the photosphere, chromosphere and corona. The photospheric magnetic region is shown to be characterized by bipolar flux regions of various sizes emerging rapidly for a few days, then expanding and decreasing in flux for several months and fragmenting. Sunspots and faculae are considered as tracers of the magnetic regions in the upper photosphere or lower chromosphere, while chromospheric tracers include arch filaments, field transition arches, long chromospheric threads, disk filaments and dark fibrils in chromospheric lines. The transition region and lower corona exhibit a multithermal plasma distribution, with low-temperature plasmas confined to the footprints and legs of magnetic field lines and high-temperature plasmas originating in loops or systems of unresolved loops. The bipolar magnetic region is also shown to interact with its surroundings to produce an interconnected field line pattern.

Sheeley, N. R., Jr.↗

Deciphering electrocatalysts with multimodal operando approaches

Here, the electrocatalytic processes of a copper catalyst during nitrate electroreduction are unveiled by correlated operando microscopy and spectroscopy. Catalysts are vital to the modern chemical industry, yet their development has largely relied on trial-and-error approaches. Optimizing catalysts requires a fundamental understanding of their structure–chemical property behaviour under operational conditions. However, operando characterization remains challenging, especially for reactions occurring in the complex and dynamic liquid environments of electrochemical systems. Over the past decade, the rapid development of in situ and operando environmental transmission electron microscopy (ETEM) and microelectromechanical system (MEMS)-based closed-cell holders, enabling environmental studies within the vacuum environment of transmission electron microscopy (TEM), has substantively advanced understanding of heterogeneous catalysis, notably for gas-phase reactions. In situ ETEM enables the direct observation of the catalyst evolution in terms of structure, morphology and chemical state at the nano-to-atomic scale, providing insights into their correlation with catalytic performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Pathways of evolution for man and machine

A simplified model of the future is introduced in order to examine the relations between man, machine, and extraterrestrial intelligence. The observed lack of extraterrestrials on earth is used as a boundary condition for the model. Two exobiological conclusions are obtained: (1) advanced extraterrestrials exist but are difficult to observe or to distinguish from natural phenomena, (2) lower level, man-like extraterrestrials, which are potentially observable, are rare in the Universe because they are rapidly replaced in the evolutinary sequence by the intelligent machines which they create. The decline of man is inferred and may take place as soon as 100 years from now or as long as 100,000 years from the present time. Thus, we are a short-lived species, having a life expectancy of only a million years. A note is appended on the rationale and methods of the search for extraterrestrial intelligence in light of the above calculations. The Tau Ceti and Epsilon Eridani systems present favourable opportunities for a radio-search experiment in 1987 and 1988, respectively.

Mclaughlin, W. I.↗

A turbulent boundary layer at low Reynolds number with adverse pressure gradient

The evolution of a low Re(theta) turbulent boundary layer in an adverse pressure gradient (APG) is studied for comparison with CFD simulations by Spalart (1988). A short region of favorable pressure gradient is applied first to establish a self-preserving layer which is a suitable initial condition for the simulations. The APG is then applied rapidly such that Beta(x) of about 2 for Re(theta) of about 1500.

Watmuff, J. H.↗

Automated Tracking of Shallow Maritime Clouds on Geostationary Imagery to Extract Lifecycle Characteristics

Shallow moist convection is ubiquitous throughout the tropics and represents a key player in boundary layer processes. Satellites have provided many statistics on shallow clouds, such as size, structure, and geographical coverage, from static views of recurring cloud fields. But determining why certain cloud features appear and persist for different periods requires a time-evolving view of their behaviors. Geostationary satellites provide a unique opportunity to follow the time evolution of individual convective features, given their enhanced spatial and temporal sampling. A cloud-tracking tool was developed to identify properties of cloud lifecycle from the NASA Cloud, Aerosol, and Monsoon Processes Philippines Experiment (CAMP2EX) field campaign of 2019. The mission conducted intensive sampling of shallow cumulus in the West Pacific Ocean, in tandem with Rapid Scan imagery from the Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI) on the Japan Meteorological Agency’s (JMA) Himawari-8 satellite. Shallow cumulus was segmented according to thresholds in 0.5-km visible reflectance and with blurring techniques. Despite being limited to daytime hours, the segmentations yielded the best resolution possible for capturing cloud initiation and decay. The tracking procedure is based on a computer vision package that includes Kalman filters for motion prediction, object overlap search, and the Hungarian (or Kuhn-Munkres) matching algorithm for track designation. AHI radiances available within the tracked cloud boundaries are assembled to form individual spectral histories. The resulting catalog provides thousands of cloud histories for domains measuring only a few degrees in latitude and longitude. We present an overview of the cloud-tracking tool, strategies to identify development stages from cloud tracks, and preliminary results that document cumulus lifecycle properties from satellite. The application of AHI 0.5-km reflectance has both strengths and limitations when attempting to track lifecycles of the smallest resolvable clouds. We show that by aggregating cloud tracks from a few case studies of CAMP2EX, we can discern differences in cloud lifetime and development according to ensembles selected from areas of interest. The results demonstrate an ability to quantify lifetimes and assess rates of change in cloud characteristics that are likely controlled by the surrounding environment and meteorology.

Cloud Tracking↗