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At least 775 records · Page 43

Monthly mean forecast experiments with the GISS model

The GISS general circulation model was used to compute global monthly mean forecasts for January 1973, 1974, and 1975 from initial conditions on the first day of each month and constant sea surface temperatures. Forecasts were evaluated in terms of global and hemispheric energetics, zonally averaged meridional and vertical profiles, forecast error statistics, and monthly mean synoptic fields. Although it generated a realistic mean meridional structure, the model did not adequately reproduce the observed interannual variations in the large scale monthly mean energetics and zonally averaged circulation. The monthly mean sea level pressure field was not predicted satisfactorily, but annual changes in the Icelandic low were simulated. The impact of temporal sea surface temperature variations on the forecasts was investigated by comparing two parallel forecasts for January 1974, one using climatological ocean temperatures and the other observed daily ocean temperatures. The use of daily updated sea surface temperatures produced no discernible beneficial effect.

Spar, J.↗

The effects of spherical geometry on baroclinic instability

A baroclinic stability analysis is performed for a simple family of zonal shear profiles over a sphere, using a two-layer, quasi-geostrophic model. The stability properties and the structure of the most unstable waves are qualitatively similar to those on a beta-plane. However, the spherical geometry plays a major role in locating some of the important features of the most unstable waves. In particular, the locations of the maximum wave amplitude, maximum eddy heat fluxes, and maximum convergence of the eddy angular momentum flux are all well correlated with the location of the maximum excess of the vertical shear over the minimum value necessary for local instability on a sphere. Consequently the eddy momentum flux tends to generate a mid-latitude jet even if there is no preexisting mid-latitude jet in the basic state zonal flow. These findings suggest some of the elements needed for parameterizing the meridional variations of baroclinic eddy fluxes accurately.

Moura, A. D.↗

Cloud patterns, waves and convection in the Venus atmosphere

Detailed descriptions and interpretations are provided for phenomena seen in the UV markings on Venus during the Mariner 10 encounter with that planet. The phenomena include the dark horizontal Y, circumequatorial belts, bowlike waves, the subsolar disturbance, midlatitude spiral streaks, the polar ring, and the polar region. Interpreting some of these phenomena in terms of physical processes that are familiar in earth's atmosphere, it is proposed that the large-scale brightness distribution can be most simply described in terms of a pattern with zonal wavenumber of unity which extends between about + and - 50 deg latitude and which progresses around the planet in about 4.2 days. The large-scale UV markings are interpreted as a wave phenomenon, and it is shown how the observed Y pattern could be produced by the superposition of a Rossby-Haurwitz wave dominant at middle latitudes and a Kelvin wave dominant near the equator. It is suggested that the bowlike waves may be true bow waves formed by the interaction of the rapid supercritical zonal flow with internal gravity waves of lower horizontal phase speeds generated by the subsolar disturbance.

Belton, M. J. S.↗

Expansion of the gravitational potential with computerized Poisson series

The paper describes a recursive formulation for the expansion of the gravitational potential valid for both the tesseral and zonal harmonics. The expansion is primarily in rectangular coordinates, but the classical orbit elements or equinoctial orbit elements can be easily substituted. The equations of motion for the zonal harmonics in both classical and equinoctial orbital elements are described in a form which will result in closed-form expressions for the first-order perturbations. In order to achieve this result, the true longitude or true anomaly have to be used as independent variables.

Broucke, R.↗

A preliminary investigation of downward coupling of the stratosphere and the troposphere

Potential relationships between anomalies in the stratosphere and later anomalies at the surface at the same station are identified. The anomaly of October precipitation at mid and high latitude stations appears related to the date the fall reversal of zonal wind occurs; and the magnitude of the anomaly of surface temperature five or six months following a key month appears related to the stratospheric zonal wind speed during the key month. Both relations are statistically significant at the five percent level, and require more detailed analysis for possible use in long range forecasting.

Nastrom, G. S.↗

Characteristics of the motions, turbulence intensity, diffusivity, flux of momentum and sensible heat in the upper atmosphere

Analyses of the meteorological rocket data obtained from an experiment conducted at 3-hour intervals at 8 western meridional rocket stations are presented. Large variations in the meridional wind contribute substantially to overall turbulence in the tropical stratosphere. The solar semidiurnal component of wind oscillations in the tropics was observed to be much higher than predicted by theory, often exceeding the magnitude of the diurnal amplitude throughout the stratosphere. The observed value of the solar diurnal amplitude in the stratosphere was in line with theoretical prediction. The solar terdiurnal amplitudes for temperature, meridional and zonal winds were non-negligible and must be considered in any harmonic analysis. Phase angle variation with height was rapid for all harmonics; however, there was general agreement between predicted and observed phase angles. Because of large changes in the mean winds in the mesosphere with season, harmonic determinations are difficult. There appear to be large zonal wind changes even within the same season as mentioned previously. Turbulence diffusivity in the upper stratosphere is greater near the equator than in the mid-latitudes.

Kao, S. K.↗

Simulation studies of wide and medium field of view earth radiation data analysis

A parameter estimation technique is presented to estimate the radiative flux distribution over the earth from radiometer measurements at satellite altitude. The technique analyzes measurements from a wide field of view (WFOV), horizon to horizon, nadir pointing sensor with a mathematical technique to derive the radiative flux estimates at the top of the atmosphere for resolution elements smaller than the sensor field of view. A computer simulation of the data analysis technique is presented for both earth-emitted and reflected radiation. Zonal resolutions are considered as well as the global integration of plane flux. An estimate of the equator-to-pole gradient is obtained from the zonal estimates. Sensitivity studies of the derived flux distribution to directional model errors are also presented. In addition to the WFOV results, medium field of view results are presented.

Green, R. N.↗

Sampling analysis for the Earth Radiation Budget Satellite System mission based on orbital coverage and cloud variability

The reported study represents an extension of an investigation by Harrison et al. (1976). Based on the results of sampling studies, two 98 deg inclined orbits coupled with a 56 deg inclination orbit appear to satisfy the science requirements on both regional and zonal scales. The NOAA sun-synchronous satellites in the TIROS-N series could adequately cover the high latitudes and a satellite having an inclination of 56 deg could provide sampling in the mid and low latitude areas where variations in radiation energetics are most dynamic. Attention is given to studies of time and space coverage, zonal evaluations, a regional analysis, and statistics describing the regional variations of cloud cover. A table is presented with data concerning the uncertainty of monthly mean reflected irradiance due to cloud variability for selected northern hemisphere regions.

Harrison, E. F.↗

Geographical variations of NO and O3 in the lower stratosphere

Nitric oxide and ozone concentrations in the lower stratosphere have been measured from a high-altitude research aircraft using in situ measuring techniques. Results of several geographical surveys are presented along with predictions of two two-dimensional stratospheric models. Meridional and zonal data were obtained in June 1974 and in June, July, and August 1975. At longitudes 122-158 deg W the meridional data taken between 5 and 80 deg N latitude show an increasing NO concentration with latitude, by a factor of 4 at 21-km altitude and a less marked increase at 18 km. The minimum NO concentration at 21 km is observed at 5 deg N latitude and is about 6 x 10 to the 8th power/cu cm. Zonal data at latitudes 22-38 deg N taken from 55 to 176 deg N longitude show little variation of the NO and O3 concentrations with longitude.

Loewenstein, M.↗

First comparison of simultaneous IRIS, BUV, and ground-based measurements of total ozone

In the present paper, the zonally-averaged global distribution of total ozone obtained simultaneously from different measurements are compared with respect to differences in the measured latitudinal and seasonal variations of total ozone. Emphasis is placed on systematic discrepancies that appear to be related to differences in the sensing methodologies or instruments. While the zonal averages of the IRIS and BUV satellite techniques agree quite well at low latitudes, the results are consistently higher for IRIS than for BUV above mid-latitudes in both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. The BUV and ground-based ultraviolet averages agree better with each other than with infrared IRIS measurements.

Prior, E. J.↗

Barotropic instability in the upper atmosphere of Venus

Using a barotropic model, the upper atmosphere of Venus is examined for stability to small perturbations of a mean zonal wind. Several assumed mean zonal wind profiles, compatible with Mariner 10 UV observations, are examined with the result that some are stable, while others are unstable. At least one of the unstable profiles exhibits a maximum in the growth rate for wavenumber 3, in agreement with some UV observations of the clouds of Venus. The barotropic model should be useful for performing instability analyses using Pioneer Venus data in 1979.

Elson, L. S.↗

Determination of eddy diffusivity in the stratosphere and mesosphere with the use of meteorological rocket data

Meteorological rocket soundings, launched between 1969-74 at six locations representative of low, middle, and high altitudes, are employed with the use of the statistical theory of diffusion, to determine the zonal and meridional component of eddy diffusivity between 30 and 55 km as a function of season, latitude, and altitude. A comparison is also made between annually-averaged eddy diffusivities above and below 30 km. It is shown that the zonal component of eddy diffusivity is approximately three to five times as large as the meridional component, in most cases. Highest eddy diffusivities found in the vicinity of the winter westerly jet are approximately one order of magnitude higher than those present during the summer. Tropical eddy diffusivities, however, remain relatively small throughout the year. Annually, a minimum is indicated near 25 km between maximums located at the stratopause and tropopause.

Kao, S. K.↗

Seasonal and interannual variations in total ozone revealed by the Nimbus-4 backscattered ultraviolet experiment

The first two years of Backscattered Ultraviolet (BUV) ozone data from the Nimbus-4 spacecraft were reprocessed. The seasonal variations of total ozone for the period April 1970 to April 1972 are described using daily zonal means to 10 deg latitude zones and a time-latitude cross section. In addition, the BUV data are compared with analyzed Dobson data and with IRIS data also obtained from the Nimbus-4 spacecraft. A harmonic analysis was performed on the daily zonal means. Amplitudes, days of peaks, and percentage of variance were computed for annual and semi-annual waves and for higher harmonics of an annual period for the two years. Asymmetries are found in the annual waves in the two hemispheres, with a subtle interannual difference which may be due to changes in the general circulation. A significant semi-annual component is detected in the tropics for the first year, which appears to result from influences of the annual waves in the two hemispheres.

Hilsenrath, E.↗

The effects of ground hydrology on climate sensitivity to solar constant variations

The effects of two different evaporation parameterizations on the climate sensitivity to solar constant variations are investigated by using a zonally averaged climate model. The model is based on a two-level quasi-geostrophic zonally averaged annual mean model. One of the evaporation parameterizations tested is a nonlinear formulation with the Bowen ratio determined by the predicted vertical temperature and humidity gradients near the earth's surface. The other is the linear formulation with the Bowen ratio essentially determined by the prescribed linear coefficient.

Chou, S. H.↗

Influence of systematic radiation differences on the dynamics of a model atmosphere

Numerical experiments were run on the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheric Sciences (GLAS) nine-level GCM using two different long-wave radiation routines - the Hogan routine and the Wu-Kaplan routine - to determine whether systematic radiation difference is important in the modeling of the general circulation of the atmosphere. The climatologies produced from GCM runs using the different radiation routines were compared for both winter and summer. Systematic differences were found in the mean zonal temperatures, in the location and shape of the zonal west wind maximum, in the strength of the Hadley and Ferrel cells, in the cloud and precipitation distributions, and in the mass distributions. On the basis of comparisons with observations, it was found that the Wu-Kaplan routine had a positive impact or at least made improvements in the right direction in most respects.

Wu, M.-L. C.↗

The effect of ground hydrology on climate sensitivity to solar constant variations

A zonally averaged climate model is used to investigate the effects of different evaporation parameterizations on climate sensitivity to solar constant variations. The model is based on the annual mean zonally averaged hemispheric climate model of Ohring and Adler (1978), with some modifications on the heating parameterizations. The dynamic model utilizes the two-level quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity equations. The heating processes are related to solar radiation, long-wave radiation, convection, evaporation, latent heat release, and ocean transport. Evaporation parameterization has been improved by using a nonlinear formulation in which the Bowen ratio is determined by the vertical gradients of water vapor and temperature near the earth's surface.

Chow, S.-H.↗

Horizontal eddy diffusivities in the Northern Hemispheric stratosphere and lower mesosphere

Meteorological rocket soundings, launched between 1969-74 at six locations representative of low, middle, and high altitudes, are employed with the use of the statistical theory of diffusion, to determine the zonal and meridional component of eddy diffusivity between 30 and 55 km as a function of season, latitude, and altitude. A comparison is also made between annually-averaged eddy diffusivities above and below 30 km. It is shown that the zonal component of eddy diffusivity is approximately three to five times as large as the meridional component, in most cases. Both components of eddy diffusivity vary greatly with season, latitude, and altitude. Highest eddy diffusivities, found in the vicinity of the winter westerly jet, are approximately one order of magnitude higher than those present during the summer. Tropical eddy diffusivities, however, remain relatively small throughout the year. Annually, a minimum is indicated near 25 km between maximums located at the stratopause and tropopause.

Kao, S. K.↗

A seasonal climate model for earth

A simple seasonal climate model for earth is developed on the basis of a few terms extracted from monthly and zonally averaged climatic data fields represented in latitude by Legendre polynomials and in time by Fourier series. This simple, physically motivated model accounts for the gross features of the present zonally averaged seasonal climate (root mean square error of two deg C). The sensitivities of the seasonal model and a corresponding mean annual model are approximately equal if ice and snow lines (for albedo purposes) are attached to certain mean-annual and instantaneous isotherms. More dynamics (in particular, cryospheric) are needed in the seasonal model to explain the relationship between glacial rhythms and changes in the earth's orbital elements.

North, G. R.↗