Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Distributed Estimation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 793 records · Page 44

Methodology for Irradiation Creep Testing of SiC / SiC Composite Cladding

Irradiation creep compliance is a critical parameter for evaluating the stress evolution of silicon carbide (SiC) components during operation in various reactor concepts. Recent instrumented irradiation creep testing of SiC, performed at low dose in the Halden reactor, showed a creep compliance that is orders of magnitude higher than previous un-instrumented bend relaxation experiments performed in the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR). This discrepancy illustrates the need for additional irradiation creep data for SiC. To this end, a novel irradiation capsule design has been developed to test miniature SiC tensile specimens under loading during irradiation in the HFIR. The experiment design uses the coolant pressure of the HFIR to compress a bellows, which applies the loading on the specimen. Preliminary thermal finite element models were developed to estimate the temperature distribution within the specimen and surrounding capsule components. Similar structural models were developed to evaluate the stress distribution within the specimen. The thermal analyses show that within the gauge section, the specimen temperatures remain within ~10°C of the nominal 300°C design temperature. Similarly, the structural analysis predicts axial stresses within ~10 MPa of the target stress of 100 MPa. These initial analyses show that irradiation creep testing of SiC in the HFIR is feasible and could provide a low-cost, high-throughput vehicle for gathering needed irradiation creep data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Water-Energy Considerations in California’s Agricultural Sector and Opportunities to Provide Flexibility to California’s Grid

Water and energy use on farms are deeply linked, and trends changing the way water is used on farms have implications for the electrical grid, and vice versa. In 2014, California’s agricultural sector accounted for approximately 80% of the state’s water consumption and 5% of its electricity use. The majority of the electricity was for surface conveyance and groundwater pumping. Diminishing surface water availability and increasing reliance on groundwater pumping are likely to increase future energy demand. These trends are coincident with farms embracing new precision irrigation technologies that increase water productivity and crop yield, but may have the potential of other collateral effects, such as increasing energy intensity of irrigation and total electricity use, and thus demand on the grid. The impacts of these technologies and their loads on the electrical grid have been explored only to a limited degree, and the potential grid benefits afforded by these technologies have been studied even less. For example, studies show that California’s increasing adoption of renewable electricity may result in excess generation during certain periods of the day, and that responsive load management (i.e. demand response) may be a cost-effective method to shift loads to utilize this excess generation. The degree to which farms in California do or can provide responsive loads has not been explored. In this paper, we explore whether farms that are adopting technologies and automation for irrigation management can provide co-benefits to the grower and the electrical grid. To do so, we define the characteristics of future grid needs specifically related to responsive load management, explore existing market mechanisms and policies for proving those resources, estimate the temporal distribution of energy use for irrigation in California, and develop scenarios of how irrigation loads might meet these needs. We conclude by exploring potential ancillary service benefits and associated revenues that California’s agricultural industry may provide. Ancillary services include using loads to dynamically adjust demand on the system to alleviate short-run ramps and disturbances at timescales ranging from seconds up to an hour. With higher penetrations of renewable resources, larger quantities of ancillary services will be necessary and may become more valuable to the grid than traditional demand response. Ancillary services from agricultural loads is a nascent topic, and no such analysis has been conducted to quantify its benefits to our knowledge.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Experimental Investigation of Forced Convection and Natural Circulation Cooling of a VHTR Core under Normal Operation and Accident Scenarios

This NEUP project #15-8205 entitled “Experimental Investigation of Forced Convection and Natural Circulation Cooling of a VHTR Core under Normal Operation and Accident Scenarios”, has investigated important phenomena in the safety of Very High Temperature Reactors (VHTRs) using the experimental facilities at City College of New York (CCNY) and Kansas State University (KSU), in collaboration with the Idaho State University (ISU) and Idaho National Laboratory (INL). The main objectives of this project were to investigate the forced convection and bypass flow phenomena, natural circulation flow and heat transfer, and graphite oxidation due to air ingress which could occur in a Very High Temperature Reactor (VHTR) with a prismatic core. High pressure/high temperature experiments have been conducted to obtain data that could be used for validation of VHTR design and safety analysis codes. The focus of these experiments was on the generation of benchmark data for design and off-design heat transfer for forced and natural circulation in a VHTR core. This work has built on the previous NEUP project #11-3218 which investigated forced convection and flow laminarization phenomena in a prismatic core of a VHTR and natural circulation of a pure gas under Pressurized Conduction Cooldown (PCC) and Depressurized Conduction Cooldown (DCC) conditions. Under each Task, extensive literature reviews on natural circulation, bypass flow, air ingress and graphite oxidation phenomena were conducted. In Task 1, scaling analyses were conducted by Idaho State University followed by design and construction of experimental facilities needed to conduct both bypass flow and natural circulation experiments at CCNY. Natural circulation experiments were conducted in Task 2 to investigate the air ingress phenomena, and bypass flow phenomena in Task 3, both at CCNY. In Task 4, radiation heat transfer and graphite oxidation tests were performed at Kansas State University. The experimental data were then analyzed to obtain quantitative results on natural circulation of pure gases and gas mixtures under DCC conditions, bypass flow rates, radiation heat transfer and graphite oxidation. In addition, CFD and Direct Numerical Simulations were conducted by INL and CCNY to investigate the flow laminarization phenomenon in strongly heated gas flows. The scaling analyses have shown that the key nondimensional numbers and parameters all have acceptable distortion levels principally because the CCNY facility’s test sections have representative cooling channel dimensions and are using either helium or a scalable gas such as nitrogen at representative state conditions. The natural circulation experiments involving helium and nitrogen gas mixtures at CCNY have elucidated the effect of nitrogen (simulating air) ingress into a lower plenum on the onset of natural circulation, mass flow rates and heat transfer coefficients under different power input levels in the riser section. Also, the transport of nitrogen from the lower plenum to upper plenum due to natural circulation was quantified for the first time. Nusselt number correlations for the heat transfer coefficient under natural circulation as a function of Reynolds and Prandtl numbers was also developed. The experiments at KSU revealed that prior to the onset of natural circulationin a VHTR core. This work has built on the previous NEUP project #11-3218 which investigated forced convection and flow laminarization phenomena in a prismatic core of a VHTR and natural circulation of a pure gas under Pressurized Conduction Cooldown (PCC) and Depressurized Conduction Cooldown (DCC) conditions. Under each Task, extensive literature reviews on natural circulation, bypass flow, air ingress and graphite oxidation phenomena were conducted. In Task 1, scaling analyses were conducted by Idaho State University followed by design and construction of experimental facilities needed to conduct both bypass flow and natural circulation experiments at CCNY. Natural circulation experiments were conducted in Task 2 to investigate the air ingress phenomena, and bypass flow phenomena in Task 3, both at CCNY. In Task 4, radiation heat transfer and graphite oxidation tests were performed at Kansas State University. The experimental data were then analyzed to obtain quantitative results on natural circulation of pure gases and gas mixtures under DCC conditions, bypass flow rates, radiation heat transfer and graphite oxidation. In addition, CFD and Direct Numerical Simulations were conducted by INL and CCNY to investigate the flow laminarization phenomenon in strongly heated gas flows. The scaling analyses have shown that the key nondimensional numbers and parameters all have acceptable distortion levels principally because the CCNY facility’s test sections have representative cooling channel dimensions and are using either helium or a scalable gas such as nitrogen at representative state conditions.The natural circulation experiments involving helium and nitrogen gas mixtures at CCNY have elucidated the effect of nitrogen (simulating air) ingress into a lower plenum on the onset of natural circulation, mass flow rates and heat transfer coefficients under different power input levels in the riser section. Also, the transport of nitrogen from the lower plenum to upper plenum due to natural circulation was quantified for the first time. Nusselt number correlations for the heat transfer coefficient under natural circulation as a function of Reynolds and Prandtl numbers was also developed. The experiments at KSU revealed that prior to the onset of natural circulation(ONC), molecular diffusion plays a significant role in air-ingress, however, at higher temperatures convection currents may be influencing air ingress and in-turn ONC times. Bypass flow experiments faced difficulties in the measurement of gas velocity in the main channel due to the failure of a high temperature Hot Wire Anemometer probe, so an energy balance method was instead employed to estimate the flow distribution between the main and bypass flow channels. In the graphite oxidation experiments conducted at KSU, oxidation was found to increase the thermal diffusivity of nuclear grade graphite. This change is believed to be driven by oxidation decreasing graphite sample density rather than raising the thermal conductivity. Oxidation was also shown to greatly alter graphite emissivity. If large amounts of impurities have built up within the graphite over time and have significantly increased its effective ash content, then air ingress is likely to severely inhibit the radiative heat transfer abilities of the graphite due to the formation of low emissivity, ash layers on its surface. However, if the purity of the graphite at the time of the air ingress is still close to that of its virgin specifications, the oxidation induced roughening of the graphite’s outer surface would have the effect of slightly raising its emissivity. The flow laminarization phenomenon was investigated by INL by examining the results of Direct Numerical Simulations of previous experiments, and by CCNY conducting its own DNS simulations using DOE’s Nek5000 code

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

GADRAS-DRF Version 18 User's Manual

The Gamma Detector Response and Analysis Software Detector Response Function (GADRAS-DRF) application computes the response of gamma-ray and neutron detectors to incoming radiation and provides analysis on measured spectra. This manual provides step-by-step procedures to acquaint new users with the use of the application. The capabilities include characterization of detector response parameters, plotting and viewing measured and computed spectra, analyzing spectra to identify isotopes, estimating source energy distributions from measured spectra, and creating inject data. GADRAS-DRF can compute and provide detector responses quickly and accurately, giving users the ability to obtain usable results in a timely manner (a matter of seconds or minutes).

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Physics from Cosmic Surveys (Final Report)

The main focus of the PI during this time was leading the effort to produce cosmological results on the data set from the first three years from the Dark Energy Survey (DES). The analysis combines weak gravitational lensing and maps of the galaxy distribution, supplemented by estimates of the redshifts of galaxies. This will ultimately lead to 33 papers, culminating in a single paper that brings all this together and provides a constraint on the clustering parameter σ 8 .This will be directly compared to the constraint obtained by high-redshift experiments, such as the Planck satellite, extrapolated forward assuming the CDM model. If the two values disagree, as they currently seem to at the 2-sigma level, this will be an indication that the model is incorrect or incomplete. These papers are expected to be submitted in January, 2021. Leading this effort, with help from many others, has been the primary research focus of the PI during this grant.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Representing Complex Systems as Graphs for Debugging and Predictive Maintenance-Preliminary Thoughts

Representing complex systems as graphs enables use of mathematical tools to identify faults or predict failures. Graph nodes correspond to individual modules or subsystems, and edges link coupled system parts. ‘Probes’ measure the node outputs, monitoring the system health for unexpected behavior. Assuming one cannot probe every point, within a system, the fault correlates to a region—not necessarily the specific location. Bayesian networks trained to understand fault patterns can accurately identify the source. The diagnostic tool described aides debugging by pinpointing system failure causes. For predictive maintenance, probe data develop probability distribution functions describing subsystem mean time to failure. Unit lifetime can be estimated through these probability distributions. Two approaches include using Bayesian classifiers to infer the system failure source and developing maintenance schedules by treating systems as collections of random variables. When failure behavior does not follow a closed form function, use of similarity models is proposed.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Quantum-Inspired Bayesian Sampling for Uncertainty Quantification and Machine Learning (Final Technical Report)

With increasing simulation and measurement data, machine learning and artificial intelligence have been widely used in computational decision-making of complex engineering systems. The resulting tools, such as uncertainty quantification solvers, reinforcement learning, and physics-informed machine learning, have achieved great success in critical DOE tasks such as material discovery and design, energy system modeling and control, and numerical weather and climate prediction. A core topic in scientific machine learning and artificial intelligence is Bayesian inference: given an observed data set, people want to estimate the posterior distribution of a (possibly large) number of hidden parameters. Due to the flexibility and weak assumptions, Bayesian sampling has been the mainstream Bayesian inference solvers despite the rapid progress of approximate Bayesian inference. Classical Bayesian sampling methods such as Markov-chain Monte Carlo suffer from a low-acceptance rate due to the random walk nature, therefore state-of-the-art techniques use Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and its variants to efficiently draw posterior samples in a high dimension. The key idea of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and its variants is to simulate the Hamiltonian dynamics of a classical particle with a fixed mass, and their performance significantly degrades when the posterior distribution is highly spiky or has multiple modes. Leveraging the idea of quantum physics, this project has investigated new theory, algorithms and applications of Bayesian inference (especially Bayesian sampling). The main results include: (1) novel quantum-inspired Bayesian sampling methods that can lead to better accuracy for challenging multi-modal or spiky distributions, (2) more scalable machine learning framework leveraging tensor-compressed Bayesian inference, and (3) Bayesian and sampling approaches for verifying the robustness of continuous and binary neural networks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

An Empirical Assessment of the MODIS Land Cover Dynamics and TIMESAT Land Surface Phenology Algorithms

Observations of vegetation phenology at regional-to-global scales provide important information regarding seasonal variation in the fluxes of energy, carbon, and water between the biosphere and the atmosphere. Numerous algorithms have been developed to estimate phenological transition dates using time series of remotely sensed spectral vegetation indices. A key challenge, however, is that different algorithms provide inconsistent results. This study provides a comprehensive comparison of start of season (SOS) and end of season (EOS) phenological transition dates estimated from 500 m MODIS data based on two widely used sources of such data: the TIMESAT program and the MODIS Global Land Cover Dynamics (MLCD) product. Specifically, we evaluate the impact of land cover class, criteria used to identify SOS and EOS, and fitting algorithm (local versus global) on the transition dates estimated from time series of MODIS enhanced vegetation index (EVI). Satellite-derived transition dates from each source are compared against each other and against SOS and EOS dates estimated from PhenoCams distributed across the Northeastern United States and Canada. Our results show that TIMESAT and MLCD SOS transition dates are generally highly correlated (r = 0.51-0.97), except in Central Canada where correlation coefficients are as low as 0.25. Relative to SOS, EOS comparison shows lower agreement and higher magnitude of deviations. SOS and EOS dates are impacted by noise arising from snow and cloud contamination, and there is low agreement among results from TIMESAT, the MLCD product, and PhenoCams in vegetation types with low seasonal EVI amplitude or with irregular EVI time series. In deciduous forests, SOS dates from the MLCD product and TIMESAT agree closely with SOS dates from PhenoCams, with correlations as high as 0.76. Overall, our results suggest that TIMESAT is well-suited for local-to-regional scale studies because of its ability to tune algorithm parameters, which makes it more flexible than the MLCD product. At large spatial scales, where local tuning is not feasible, the MLCD product provides a readily available data set based on a globally consistent approach that provides SOS and EOS dates that are comparable to results from TIMESAT.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Visual Orbits of Spectroscopic Binaries with the CHARA Array. I. HD 224355

We present the visual orbit of the double-lined spectroscopic binary HD 224355 from interferometric observations with the CHARA Array, as well as an updated spectroscopic analysis using echelle spectra from the Apache Point Observatory 3.5 m telescope. By combining the visual and spectroscopic orbital solutions, we find the binary components to have masses of M 1 = 1.626 ± 0.005M ⊙ and M 2 = 1.608 ± 0.005M ⊙ , and a distance of d = 63.98 ± 0.26 pc. Using the distance and the component angular diameters found by fitting spectrophotometry from the literature to spectral energy distribution models, we estimate the stellar radii to be R 1 = 2.65 ± 0.21R ⊙ and R 2 = 2.47 ± 0.23R ⊙ . We then compare these observed fundamental parameters to the predictions of stellar evolution models, finding that both components are evolved toward the end of the main sequence with an estimated age of 1.9 Gyr.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

RELICS: High-resolution Constraints on the Inner Mass Distribution of the z = 0.83 Merging Cluster RXJ0152.7-1357 from Strong Lensing

Strong gravitational lensing (SL) is a powerful means of mapping the distribution of dark matter. Here, we perform an SL analysis of the prominent X-ray cluster RXJ0152.7-1357 ( z = 0.83, also known as CL0152.7-1357) in Hubble Space Telescope images, taken in the framework of the Reionization Lensing Cluster Survey (RELICS). On top of a previously known z = 3.93 galaxy multiply imaged by RXJ0152.7-1357, for which we observe an additional multiple image, guided by a light-traces-mass approach, we identify seven new sets of multiply imaged background sources lensed by this cluster, spanning the redshift range [1.79–3.93]. A total of 25 multiple images are seen over a small area of ~0.4 arcmin 2 , enabling us to put relatively high-resolution constraints on the inner matter distribution. Although modestly massive, the high degree of substructure, together with its very elongated shape, makes RXJ0152.7-1357 a very efficient lens for its size. This cluster also comprises the third-largest sample of z ~ 6–7 candidates in the RELICS survey. Lastly, we present a comparison of our resulting mass distribution and magnification estimates with those from a Lenstool model. These models are made publicly available through the Mikulski Archive for Space Telescopes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Entanglement swapping systems toward a quantum internet

We demonstrate conditional entanglement swapping, i.e. teleportation of entanglement, between time-bin qubits at the telecommunication wavelength of 1536.4 nm with high fidelity of 87%. Our system is deployable, utilizing modular, off-the-shelf, fiber-coupled, and electrically controlled components such as electro-optic modulators. It leverages the precise timing resolution of superconducting nanowire detectors, which are controlled and read out via a custom developed graphical user interface. The swapping process is described, interpreted, and guided using characteristic function-based analytical modeling that accounts for realistic imperfections. Our system supports quantum networking protocols, including source-independent quantum key distribution, with an estimated secret key rate of approximately 0.5 bits per sifted bit.

Davis, Samantha I. [Caltech] (ORCID:00000001999481↗

Life Cycle Emissions Factors for Electricity Generation Technologies

This dataset consists of a table containing the distribution of literature estimates of greenhouse gas emissions for the following electricity generation and storage technologies: biopower, coal, concentrating solar power, geothermal, hydrogen storage, hydropower, lithium-ion battery storage, natural gas, nuclear, ocean, oil, photovoltaic, pumped-storage hydropower, and wind. Quartile estimates of life cycle emissions factors in units of grams of carbon dioxide equivalent per kilowatt hour of generation (g CO2e/kWh) are provided for the following life cycle stages: one-time upstream, ongoing combustion, ongoing non-combustion, one-time downstream, and total. Literature estimates were compiled by the LCA Harmonization study and subsequent updates, as detailed in the factsheet which accompanies this dataset, https://www.nlr.gov/docs/fy21osti/80580.pdf .

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

X-ray line emission from Sco X-1.

X ray line emission from Sco X-1 using Monte Carlo estimates of spectral distribution of scattered photons in terms of Fe line and cosmic abundance

Angel, J. R. P.↗

Intrepretation of surface features and surface processes on Mars

Eolian erosion and deposition on earth was studied in order to interpret the eolian land forms of Mars. Emphasis of the wind tunnel studies was on the flow field around models of eolian forms. Areas of the wind tunnel studies include: simulation of the atmospheric boundary layer; velocity profile measurements around different models in the desert boundary layer, and estimating shear stress distributions on the model surfaces; flow visualization techniques; streamline mapping using tuft photographs; and roughness contrasts.

Gad-El-hak, M.↗

Modal density function and number of propagating modes in ducts

The question of the number of propagating modes within a small range of mode cut off ratio was raised. The population density of modes were shown to be greatest near cut off and least for the well propagating modes. It was shown that modes of nearly the same cut off ratio behave nearly the same in a sound absorbing duct as well as in the way they propagate to the far. Handling all of the propagating modes individually, they can be grouped into several cut off ratio ranges. It is important to know the modal density function to estimate acoustic power distribution.

Rice, E. J.↗