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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Analysis and Compensation of Tx and Rx IQ Imbalances in Uplink IM-OFDMA Systems

Index modulation-based orthogonal division multiple access (IM-OFDMA) has recently been proposed as a potential technique for future wireless communication systems due to its superior spectral efficiency and error performance over conventional multiple access schemes. However, its performance is still under investigation by researchers in light of a variety of scenarios and assumptions. Following this direction, in this Article, the individual and joint effects of the transmitter (Tx) and receiver (Rx) in-phase and quadrature imbalances (IQI) on the bit-error-rate (BER) performance of the uplink IM-OFDMA scheme are investigated by considering whether each user's RF front-end is identical or not. Moreover, to reduce the detrimental effect of IQI, a preamble-based estimation and compensation method is proposed for IM-OFDMA. Closed-form expressions for the average BER of IM-OFDMA are obtained by considering the physical effect of the Tx and Rx IQI. Also, using Monte Carlo simulations, the derived expressions are verified under different system configurations. Furthermore, analytical and simulation results reveal that Tx and Rx IQI cause an error floor in the BER performance of IM-OFDMA schemes. However, the proposed estimation and compensation method not only reduces the impact of IQI but also leads to a better BER performance compared to the case of no IQI, which mainly refers to the frequency diversity caused by the IQI.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Observation of persistent species temperature separation in inertial confinement fusion mixtures

The injection and mixing of contaminant mass into the fuel in inertial confinement fusion (ICF) implosions is a primary factor preventing ignition. ICF experiments have recently achieved an alpha-heating regime, in which fusion self-heating is the dominant source of yield, by reducing the susceptibility of implosions to instabilities that inject this mass. We report the results of unique separated reactants implosion experiments studying pre-mixed contaminant as well as detailed high-resolution three-dimensional simulations that are in good agreement with experiments. At conditions relevant to mixing regions in high-yield implosions, we observe persistent chunks of contaminant that do not achieve thermal equilibrium with the fuel throughout the burn phase. The assumption of thermal equilibrium is made in nearly all computational ICF modeling and methods used to infer levels of contaminant from experiments. We estimate that these methods may underestimate the amount of contaminant by a factor of two or more.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2018

Nonlinear Decoupling Control with ANFIS-based Unmodeled Dynamics Compensation for A Class of Complex Industrial Processes

Complex industrial processes are multivariable and generally exhibit strong coupling among their control loops with heavy nonlinear nature that make it very difficult to obtain an accurate model. As a result, the conventional and data driven control methods are difficulty to apply. Using a twin-tank level control system as an example, a novel multivariable decupling control algorithm with adaptive neural fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) based unmodeled dynamics (UD) compensation is proposed in this paper for a class of complex industrial processes. At first, a nonlinear multivariable decupling controller with UD compensation is introduced. Different from the general method, the decomposition estimation algorithm by ANFIS is used to estimate the UD, and the desired estimating and decoupling control effects are achieved. Secondly, the proposed method does not require the complex switching mechanism which has been commonly used in the literature. This simplifies the obtained decoupling algorithm and its realization. Thirdly, based on some new lemmas and theorems, the conditions on the stability and convergence of the closed-loop system are analyzed to show the uniform boundedness of all the variables. Finally, experimental tests on a heavily coupled nonlinear twin-tank system are carried out to demonstrate the effectiveness and the practicability of the proposed method.

Complex industrial process, ANFIS, multivariable a↗
DOE OSTI2018

Network Scale Ubiquitous Volume Estimation Using Tree-Based Ensemble Learning Methods

Currently real-time, ubiquitous volume data for roadway networks remains the key missing dimension in traffic operations. Most volume data are average annual daily traffic (AADT) measures derived from the Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS). Although methods to factor the AADT to hourly averages for typical day of week exist, actual volume data is limited to a sparse collection of locations in which volumes are continuously recorded. This paper explores the use of state-of-art machine learning techniques to estimate accurate real-time volume measures that span the highway network providing ubiquitous coverage in space, and point-in-time measures for a specific date and time. Three tree-based ensemble learning models, random forest (RF), gradient boost machine (GBM), and extreme gradient boost (XGBoost), were tested for volume estimation by learning from combined dataset of commercial probe data provided by TomTom, the FHWA's Travel Monitoring Analysis System (TMAS) data, and other infrastructure attributes such as number of lanes, speed limit, and weather. The methods were tested on major corridors and freeways in the metropolitan area of Denver. All three machine learning methods were able to provide hourly volume estimates 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, and 365 days a year with around 18% mean absolute error to true volume and about 5% of error with respect to roadway capacity. The low error measures allow the potential application by transportation agencies.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Network-Scale Ubiquitous Volume Estimation Using Tree-Based Ensemble Learning Methods

Currently ubiquitous volume data for roadway networks remains the key missing dimension in traffic operations. Most volume data are average annual daily traffic (AADT) measures derived from the Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS). Although methods to factor the AADT to hourly averages for typical day of week exist, actual volume data is limited to a sparse collection of locations in which volumes are continuously recorded. This paper/poster explores the use of state-of-art machine learning techniques to estimate accurate volume measures that span the highway network providing ubiquitous coverage in space, and point-in-time measures for a specific date and time. Three tree-based ensemble learning models, random forest (RF), gradient boost machine (GBM), and extreme gradient boost (XGBoost), were tested for volume estimation by learning from combined dataset of commercial probe data provided by TomTom, the FHWA's Travel Monitoring Analysis System (TMAS) data, and other infrastructure attributes such as number of lanes, speed limit, and weather. The methods were tested on major corridors and freeways in the metropolitan area of Denver. All three machine learning methods were able to provide hourly volume estimates 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, and 365 days a year with around 18% mean absolute error to true volume and about 5% of error with respect to roadway capacity. The low error measures allow the potential application by transportation agencies.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2018

Sample size estimation for case‐crossover studies

Case‐crossover study designs are observational studies used to assess postmarket safety of medical products (eg, vaccines or drugs). As a case‐crossover study is self‐controlled, its advantages include better control for confounding because the design controls for any time‐invariant measured and unmeasured confounding and potentially greater feasibility as only data from those experiencing an event (or cases) are required. However, self‐matching also introduces correlation between case and control periods within a subject or matched unit. To estimate sample size in a case‐crossover study, investigators currently use Dupont's formula ( Biometrics 1988; 43 :1157‐1168), which was originally developed for a matched case‐control study. This formula is relevant as it takes into account correlation in exposure between controls and cases, which are expected to be high in self‐controlled studies. However, in our study, we show that Dupont's formula and other currently used methods to determine sample size for case‐crossover studies may be inadequate. Specifically, these formulas tend to underestimate the true required sample size, determined through simulations, for a range of values in the parameter space. We present mathematical derivations to explain where some currently used methods fail and propose two new sample size estimation methods that provide a more accurate estimate of the true required sample size.

Dharmarajan, Sai↗
DOE OSTI2019

Method for Measuring Dry Density of Compacted Bentonite Mixture Soil Using 3D Laser Scanner data - 19119

The bentonite mixture soil is planned to be used for the low-permeability layer of low-level radioactive waste (LLW) disposal facilities. The construction of the bentonite mixture soil is similar to that of normal soil construction, and the rolling pressure and/or vibration compaction are used. The quality control of construction is the same as normal soil work, and the construction management has to confirm that the compaction degree (that is ratio of the dry density to the modified proctor curve) is above specified value. As a method of measuring the dry density after construction, the conventional methods are the core cutter method and the sand replacement method. The measurement principle of these methods is simple and the reliability of the measurement value is high, but during measurements digging holes disturb the construction place, and the measurement duration is a disadvantage in these methods. Therefore, we developed a non-destructive method that can make measurements in a short time. The developed method uses the correlation between the density change and the layer thickness change before and after compaction, and estimates the density after compaction from the height change obtained from the survey results. However, since the material is compressed while the cross-sectional area spreads, this cross-sectional area change is also taken into consideration. By using the point cloud data of the 3D laser scanner surveying, it is possible to obtain almost continuous data in a short period of time. Corrected dry density values calculated by the above procedure ρ'{sub 3D} are generally consistent with dry density after compaction ρ{sub core} by the core cutter method. This method differs depending on the boundary conditions of the bottom and the side of the construction place. Then, the reliability of the method was evaluated by applying it to two boundary conditions and comparing it with the core cutter method. The proposed estimation method showed good agreement with the core cutter method. Therefore, it was confirmed that it is possible to estimate dry density with high reliability. Although this method needs to be used in set with core cutter method, the measurement frequency of the core cutter method can be reduced, and the measurement of a vast area can be done in a short time without disturbance. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2021

Real time evolution for ultracompact Hamiltonian eigenstates on quantum hardware

In this work we present a detailed analysis of variational quantum phase estimation (VQPE), a method based on real-time evolution for ground and excited state estimation on near-term hardware. We derive the theoretical ground on which the approach stands, and demonstrate that it provides one of the most compact variational expansions to date for solving strongly correlated Hamiltonians. At the center of VQPE lies a set of equations, with a simple geometrical interpretation, which provides conditions for the time evolution grid in order to decouple eigenstates out of the set of time evolved expansion states, and connects the method to the classical filter diagonalization algorithm. Further, we introduce what we call the unitary formulation of VQPE, in which the number of matrix elements that need to be measured scales linearly with the number of expansion states, and we provide an analysis of the effects of noise which substantially improves previous considerations. The unitary formulation allows for a direct comparison to iterative phase estimation. Our results mark VQPE as both a natural and highly efficient quantum algorithm for ground and excited state calculations of general many-body systems. We demonstrate a hardware implementation of VQPE for the transverse field Ising model. Further, we illustrate its power on a paradigmatic example of strong correlation (Cr2 in the SVP basis set), and show that it is possible to reach chemical accuracy with as few as ~50 timesteps.

Klymko, Katherine↗
DOE OSTI2019

Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification for Systems Biology Models

Mathematical models can provide quantitative insights into immunoreceptor signaling, and other biological processes, but require parameterization and uncertainty quantification before reliable predictions become possible. We review currently available methods and software tools to address these problems. We consider gradient-based and gradient-free methods for point estimation of parameter values, and methods of profile likelihood, bootstrapping, and Bayesian inference for uncertainty quantification. We consider recent and potential future applications of these methods to systems-level modeling of immune-related phenomena.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2018

Temporal variability largely explains top-down/bottom-up difference in methane emission estimates from a natural gas production region

Here, this study spatially and temporally aligns top-down and bottom-up methane emission estimates for a natural gas production basin, using multiscale emission measurements and detailed activity data reporting. We show that episodic venting from manual liquid unloadings, which occur at a small fraction of natural gas well pads, drives a factor-of-two temporal variation in the basin-scale emission rate of a US dry shale gas play. The midafternoon peak emission rate aligns with the sampling time of all regional aircraft emission studies, which target well-mixed boundary layer conditions present in the afternoon. A mechanistic understanding of emission estimates derived from various methods is critical for unbiased emission verification and effective greenhouse gas emission mitigation. Our results demonstrate that direct comparison of emission estimates from methods covering widely different timescales can be misleading.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2021

LAMOST Time-Domain survey: first results of four K2 plates

From Oct. 2019 to Apr. 2020, LAMOST performed a time-domain (TD) spectroscopic survey of four K2 plates with both low- and medium-resolution observations. The low-resolution spectroscopic survey acquired 282 exposures ( ≈ 46.6 h) over 25 nights, yielding a total of about 767 000 spectra, and the medium-resolution survey took 177 exposures ( ≈ 49.1 h) over 27 nights, collecting about 478 000 spectra. More than 70%/50% of low-resolution/medium-resolution spectra have signal-to-noise ratio higher than 10. We determine stellar parameters (e.g., T eff , log g, [Fe/H]) and radial velocity (RV) with different methods, including LASP, DD-Payne and SLAM. In general, these parameter estimations from different methods show good agreement, and the stellar parameter values are consistent with those of APOGEE. We use the Gaia DR2 RV values to calculate a median RV zero point (RVZP) for each spectrograph exposure by exposure, and the RVZP-corrected RVs agree well with the APOGEE data. The stellar evolutionary and spectroscopic masses are estimated based on the stellar parameters, multi-band magnitudes, distances and extinction values. Finally, we construct a binary catalog including about 2700 candidates by analyzing their light curves, fitting the RV data, calculating the binarity parameters from medium-resolution spectra and cross-matching the spatially resolved binary catalog from Gaia EDR3. In conclusion, the LAMOST TD survey is expected to represent a breakthrough in various scientific topics, such as binary systems, stellar activity, stellar pulsation, etc.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Assessing entropy for catalytic processes at complex reactive interfaces

When chemical reactions are accelerated by a catalyst, entropy differences between reactants and their transient intermediates can be the driving force behind the promotion or inhibition of desired and parasitic chemical pathways. Understanding and controlling catalytic processes therefore requires both a fundamental and practicable understanding of entropy in addition to enthalpy. In unstructured media such as the vapor phase equilibrated with sparsely covered surfaces, entropy can be adequately accounted for by well-established approaches based on translational, rotational, and harmonic vibrational partition functions. However, these approximations become inadequate in more complex condensed phase environments, e.g., solid liquid interfaces of confined reaction spaces. In this chapter, we provide an overview of the state-of-art in the computational quantification of entropy and its known ramifications on catalysis. The fundamental roles of thermodynamics and kinetics in catalysis are covered in enough detail to appreciate and contextualize the computational methods employed to compute chemically accurate estimates of entropy. These methods are discussed in appropriate detail and range from the ubiquitous harmonic oscillator approximation where entropy unrelated to high frequency oscillations is typically underestimated, to enhanced free energy sampling with molecular dynamics where the desired accuracy must be weighed against the associated computational cost of obtaining it. The rising importance of machine learning and artificial intelligence in accelerating methodological progress in this field is touched upon, as well. Finally, applications, successes, and pitfalls of using these methods are provided to showcase past and present accomplishments while clarifying where improvements in both understanding and methodology are still needed.

Kollias, Loukas↗
DOE OSTI2019

An a posteriori residual-based spatial discretization error estimator for S N neutron transport

The “residual source estimator”, an implicit residual-based spatial discretization error estimator for S N neutron transport methods, is introduced. The estimator uses an approximation of the residual as a fixed source for an analogous transport problem whose solution is the error estimate, using the same transport operator as the original numerical solution. The complete derivation of the residual source estimator, the approximation of the residual, and higher-order derivatives is included. The performance of the residual source estimator for 0-order DGFEM is tested against reference solutions. For problems with true solutions discontinuous in the first derivative across the singular characteristics, the residual source estimator is generally accurate, precise, and computationally affordable compared to similar estimators. It suffers in problems where solutions are discontinuous, particularly when the discontinuity inflicts significant inaccuracies on the discrete solution; however, compared to other estimators, which suffer similarly, it remains a competitive option.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Bias-hardened estimators of patchy screening profiles

Detecting anisotropic screening of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) holds the promise of revealing the distribution of gas in the Universe, characterizing the complex processes of galaxy formation and feedback, and studying the epoch of reionization. Estimators for inhomogeneous screening, including some recently proposed small-scale (stacked) estimators, are quadratic or higher order in the CMB temperature or polarization fields and are therefore subject to contamination from CMB lensing. We review the origin of this lensing bias and show that, when stacking on unWISE galaxies, the expected lensing bias dominates the signal if left unmitigated. Hardening techniques that null the lensing bias have been proposed for standard quadratic estimators, whereas only approximate methods have been proposed for stacked estimators. In conclusion, we review these techniques and apply the former to stacked estimators, presenting several strategies (including the optimal strategy) to null lensing contamination when stacking on any large-scale structure tracer.

Cosmic microwave background↗
DOE OSTI2024

A semi-supervised learning method to produce explainable radioisotope proportion estimates for NaI-based synthetic and measured gamma spectra

Quantifying the radioactive sources present in gamma spectra is an ever-present and growing national security mission and a time-consuming process for human analysts. While machine learning models exist that are trained to estimate radioisotope proportions in gamma spectra, few address the eventual need to provide explanatory outputs beyond the estimation task. In this work, we develop two machine learning models for a NaI detector measurements: one to perform the estimation task, and the other to characterize the first model’s ability to provide reasonable estimates. To ensure the first model exhibits a behavior that can be characterized by the second model, the first model is trained using a custom, semi-supervised loss function which constrains proportion estimates to be explainable in terms of a spectral reconstruction. The second auxiliary model is an out-of-distribution detection function (a type of meta-model) leveraging the proportion estimates of the first model to identify when a spectrum is sufficiently unique from the training domain and thus is out-of-scope for the model. In demonstrating the efficacy of this approach, we encourage the use of meta-models to better explain ML outputs used in radiation detection and increase trust.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2024

MSD CoP Webinar: AI and Extreme Events - Overcoming Data Challenges for Improved Characterization of Climate Extremes

Context: This webinar was hosted by the MultiSector Dynamics Community of Practice (MSD CoP; https://multisectordynamics.org). Abstract: Artificial Intelligence (AI) models require large volumes of data for training and testing. Data requirements present challenges for using AI to explore extreme events with limited observational data. This webinar will showcase two innovative methods developed by part of the European Climate Intelligence (CLINT) project to overcome data challenges and harness AI to improve our understanding of climate extremes. Dr. Ascenso will present his research on data augmentation methods to improve estimates of tropical cyclones using satellite data. His presentation will review established methods for data augmentation and explore opportunities and challenges for using generative AI to generate images of extreme, life-threatening tropical cyclones. Next, Dr. Plesiat will present his research on deep learning techniques to overcome limited observational data sets. His presentation will illustrate deep learning methods to develop AI reconstructions of four climate indices across Europe. Presenters : Dr. Guido Ascenso (post-doctoral researcher, Politecnico di Milano); Dr. Étienne Plésiat (German Climate Computing Centre - DKRZ) Moderator(s): Stefano Galelli (MSD CoP WG Co-Lead), David Gold (MSD CoP WG Co-Lead), Jillian Sturtevant (MSD CoP WG Communications Officer), Matteo Giuliani (Politecnico di Milano, MSD CoP WG Member, Moderator and Organizer) This webinar was held on: October 11, 2024 from 11AM - 1PM ET

AI↗
DOE OSTI2019

System and method for instantaneous power decomposition and estimation

A system disaggregates and estimates power consumption of electric loads powered by a single electrical outlet. The system includes a processor having a routine; a current sensor cooperating with the processor to measure samples for one line cycle of an aggregated current waveform for the electric loads powered by the single electrical outlet; and a voltage sensor cooperating with the processor to measure samples for the one line cycle of a voltage waveform for the electric loads powered by the single electrical outlet. The processor routine transfers the measured samples for the one line cycle of the aggregated current waveform and the voltage waveform into an aggregated voltage-current trajectory for the single electrical outlet, and provides an instantaneous decomposition of power consumption for a plurality of different categories of the electric loads from the aggregated voltage-current trajectory for the one line cycle.

Yang, Yi↗