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At least 793 records · Page 44

The role and future of space technology in disaster reduction

This paper describes the potential uses of satellite remote sensing in the mitigation of disasters and their effects by means of prevention, preparedness, and relief. A review is given of the capabilities of communications, geophysical, meteorological, and earth-resources satellites to point out potential applications in the three categories. A complete list of available spacecraft is presented in a table giving data on disaster-related applications. Key functions for disaster mitigation include their use as data resources and as experimental sources of information that can be of use in disaster prediction. Satellites with high temporal or spatial resolutions are useful for providing consistent prompt information required for disaster-management specialists. The use of SAR and TRMM scanning radar techniques to directly measure rainfall and other quantities of relevance to the prediction of disasters.

Walter, Louis S.↗

Polysulfide reduction and Li 2 S phase formation in the presence of lithium metal and solid electrolyte interphase layer

Lithium sulfur battery is an attractive next generation technology that can meet many demands of modern society. Unfortunately, the lithium sulfur battery faces unique issues related to the polysulfide shuttle effect, that is due to reduction products dissolving in the electrolyte and their subsequent reduction on the lithium metal electrode. This adds further problems to the already challenging needs of understanding and engineering a solid electrolyte interphase (SEI) layer with desired properties. One of the most important SEI properties is its passivation of lithium metal which is critically important to the overall battery performance. Passivation is difficult to measure experimentally without the influence of many factors. This study reports an investigation of the reduction of the intermediate Li 2 S 8 over lithium already passivated with Li 2 O, Li 2 CO 3 , LiOH, LiF and Li 2 S along with exploration of Li 2 S 8 reduction over pristine lithium nanoclusters using first principles computational models. Significant formation of Li 2 S phase nucleation is found to stabilize the reduction products of the Li 2 S 8 . Here, the formation of Li 2 S is explored in-depth with lithium nanocluster-based models determining a 2 V potential increase for the reduction of polysulfides due to the formation of Li 2 S. This investigation demonstrates passivation effects of important SEI components including Li 2 S.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Role of Bimetallic Interactions in the Enhancement of Catalytic CO 2 Reduction by a Macrocyclic Cobalt Catalyst

The use of two metal centers in a CO 2 reduction catalyst that work together synergistically, with similar or complementary functions, can potentially lead to a significant reduction in overpotential, enhance catalytic activity and/or selectivity, and/or enable access to cascade strategies where each metal center catalyzes a different step in the conversion of CO 2 to a fuel. Here, the bimetallic reactivity of two metal centers has been identified as the primary route for the reduction of CO 2 to CO promoted by the macrocycle, [Co(HMD)] 2+ (HMD = 5,7,7,12,14,14-hexamethyl-1,4,8,11-tetraazacyclotetradeca-4,11-diene), based on the experimental characterization of all major steps of the proposed catalytic cycle using pulse radiolysis time-resolved IR (PR-TRIR) spectroscopy, corroborated by density functional theory (DFT) calculations and IR spectroelectrochemistry (IR-SEC). A bimetallic intermediate is formed in situ from two singly reduced [Co(HMD)] + species bridged by a CO 2 molecule, and the presence of a coordinating species, e.g., formate anion, appears to assist in the formation of such an intermediate. In this work, it has been demonstrated that this reactivity enables access to elementary steps with lower energy requirements, resulting in overall catalysis being kinetically more facile compared to the mononuclear pathway. A two-step approach that combines chemical reduction followed by PR-TRIR has been successfully used for probing the structure and reactivity of reactive intermediates involved in the advanced stages of a catalytic cycle, which are rarely interrogated using experimental techniques.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Protein sequences and redox titrations indicate that the electron acceptors in reaction centers from heliobacteria are similar to Photosystem I

Photosynthetic reaction centers isolated from Heliobacillus mobilis exhibit a single major protein on SDS-PAGE of 47 000 Mr. Attempts to sequence the reaction center polypeptide indicated that the N-terminus is blocked. After enzymatic and chemical cleavage, four peptide fragments were sequenced from the Heliobacillus mobilis apoprotein. Only one of these sequences showed significant specific similarity to any of the protein and deduced protein sequences in the GenBank data base. This fragment is identical with 56% of the residues, including both cysteines, found in highly conserved region that is proposed to bind iron-sulfur center Fx in the Photosystem I reaction center peptide that is the psaB gene product. The similarity to the psaA gene product in this region is 48%. Redox titrations of laser-flash-induced photobleaching with millisecond decay kinetics on isolated reaction centers from Heliobacterium gestii indicate a midpoint potential of -414 mV with n = 2 titration behavior. In membranes, the behavior is intermediate between n = 1 and n = 2, and the apparent midpoint potential is -444 mV. This is compared to the behavior in Photosystem I, where the intermediate electron acceptor A1, thought to be a phylloquinone molecule, has been proposed to undergo a double reduction at low redox potentials in the presence of viologen redox mediators. These results strongly suggest that the acceptor side electron transfer system in reaction centers from heliobacteria is indeed analogous to that found in Photosystem I. The sequence similarities indicate that the divergence of the heliobacteria from the Photosystem I line occurred before the gene duplication and subsequent divergence that lead to the heterodimeric protein core of the Photosystem I reaction center.

NASA Discipline Number 52-30↗

Assessment of the Performance Potential of Advanced Subsonic Transport Concepts for NASA's Environmentally Responsible Aviation Project

NASA's Environmentally Responsible Aviation (ERA) project has matured technologies to enable simultaneous reductions in fuel burn, noise, and nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions for future subsonic commercial transport aircraft. The fuel burn reduction target was a 50% reduction in block fuel burn (relative to a 2005 best-in-class baseline aircraft), utilizing technologies with an estimated Technology Readiness Level (TRL) of 4-6 by 2020. Progress towards this fuel burn reduction target was measured through the conceptual design and analysis of advanced subsonic commercial transport concepts spanning vehicle size classes from regional jet (98 passengers) to very large twin aisle size (400 passengers). Both conventional tube-and-wing (T+W) concepts and unconventional (over-wing-nacelle (OWN), hybrid wing body (HWB), mid-fuselage nacelle (MFN)) concepts were developed. A set of propulsion and airframe technologies were defined and integrated onto these advanced concepts which were then sized to meet the baseline mission requirements. Block fuel burn performance was then estimated, resulting in reductions relative to the 2005 best-in-class baseline performance ranging from 39% to 49%. The advanced single-aisle and large twin aisle T+W concepts had reductions of 43% and 41%, respectively, relative to the 737-800 and 777-200LR aircraft. The single-aisle OWN concept and the large twin aisle class HWB concept had reductions of 45% and 47%, respectively. In addition to their estimated fuel burn reduction performance, these unconventional concepts have the potential to provide significant noise reductions due, in part, to engine shielding provided by the airframe. Finally, all of the advanced concepts also have the potential for significant NOx emissions reductions due to the use of advanced combustor technology. Noise and NOx emissions reduction estimates were also generated for these concepts as part of the ERA project.

Nickol, Craig L.↗

On the role of the radiation directivity in noise reduction for STOL aircraft.

The radiation characteristics of distributed randomly fluctuating acoustic sources when shielded by finite surfaces are discussed briefly. A number of model tests using loudspeakers as artificial noise sources with a given broadband power density spectrum are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of reducing the radiated noise intensity in certain directions due to shielding. In the lateral direction of the source array noise reductions of 12 dB are observed with relatively small shields. The same shields reduce the backward radiation by approximately 20 dB. With the results obtained in these acoustic model tests the potentials of jet noise reduction of jet flap propulsion systems applicable in future STOL aircraft are discussed. The jet flap configuration as a complex aerodynamic noise source is described briefly.

Gruschka, H. D.↗

Sustainable Biofuels for Low-Carbon Maritime Transportation

The marine shipping sector heavily depends on fossil fuels and is one of the largest petroleum fuel consumers [1,2]. The annual global marine fuel consumption was estimated to be around 400 million metric tons in 2019 (2.5 billion barrels). Moreover, ocean shipping is one of the most significant contributors to sulfur oxides, nitrogen oxides, and particulate matter emissions. Global shipping contributes 13% of human-caused sulfur emissions and 2.6% of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions. As a major source of pollutant emissions, the marine industry faces several challenges related to emission regulations. The International Maritime Organization (IMO) has established a framework for reducing the carbon intensity of shipping: 40% reduction relative to 2008 levels by 2030 and 70% reduction by 2050. As the aviation sector, the maritime shipping sector is difficult to decarbonize through electrification. Biofuels offer the best opportunities for decarbonizing marine shipping in the near and medium-term. Advanced biofuels such as pyrolysis bio-oil offer the low-cost potential for meeting carbon reduction goals. For instance, the pyrolysis bio-oil exhibited promising marginal CO2 abatement costs at less than $100/tonne CO2-equivalent at a heavy fuel oil price greater than $1.10/gal [1]. As a potential biofuel option for low-carbon maritime shipping, this presentation focuses on a comparative techno-economic analysis (TEA) of bio-oils produced via a fast pyrolysis-based conversion pathway. The pathway converts a 50/50 blend of forest residues and clean pine to bio-oil via three process options: fast pyrolysis without vapor upgrading, and fast pyrolysis with vapor phase upgrading over ZSM-5 zeolite catalyst and Pt/TiO2 catalyst. The process configuration and operation variation led to different capital and operating costs, as well as the resulting raw bio-oil’s yield and quality, e.g., the water content, total acid number, and carboxylic acid number. The study also determined the minimum upgrading of bio-oils required to enable blending with very low sulfur fuel oil (VLSFO), with the associated costs reflected in TEA. This study shows that bio-oil could be a cost-effective fuel option for decarbonizing maritime shipping. Further research is required with respect to biofuel blending properties, such as compatibility with existing fuel system infrastructure and suitable engine performance.

BIOMASS FUELS↗

Bipolar membrane polarization behavior with systematically varied interfacial areas in the junction region

The palette of applications for bipolar membranes (BPMs) has expanded recently beyond electrodialysis as they are now being considered for fuel cell and electrolysis applications. Their deployment in emerging electrochemical technologies arises from the need to have a membrane separator that provides disparate pH environments and to prevent species crossover. Most materials research for BPMs has focused on water dissociation catalysts and less emphasis has been given to the design of the polycation–polyanion interface for improving BPM performance. Here, soft lithography fabricated a series of micropatterned BPMs with precise control over the interfacial area in the bipolar junction. Polarization experiments showed that a 2.28× increase in interfacial area led to a 250 mV reduction in the onset potential. Additionally, the same increase in interfacial area yielded marginal improvements in current density due to the junction region being under kinetics-diffusion control. A simple physics model based on the electric field of the junction region rationalized the reduction in the overpotential for water dissociation as a function of interfacial area. Finally, the soft lithography approach was also conducive for fabricating BPMs with different chemistries ranging from perfluorinated polymer backbones to alkaline stable poly(arylene) hydrocarbon polymers. These polymer chemistries are better suited for fuel cell and electrolysis applications. The BPM featuring the alkaline stable poly(terphenyl) anion exchange membrane had an onset potential of 0.84 V, which was near the thermodynamic limit, and was about 150 mV lower than a commercially available variant.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Quantification of energy and cost reduction from decreasing dissolved oxygen levels in full‐scale water resource recovery facilities

Abstract Aeration systems often lack the efficiency to maintain a desired residual dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration in the tank in part because little consideration is given to the dynamic daily and seasonal loading conditions. Although advanced aeration controllers exist, the majority of plants have DO set points typically based on common practice and literature values rather than site‐specific conditions, which can result in DO set points higher than those necessary to meet treatment objectives. DO set point reduction strategies have primarily been proposed through either static or dynamic simulations. In this study, the substantial improvements associated with DO set point reduction are demonstrated at full scale. A yearlong characterization of full‐scale aeration dynamics captured the effect of diurnal and seasonal fluctuations on oxygen transfer and energy demand and so facilitated the estimation of the potential savings of DO reduction strategies. Full‐scale validation provided direct evidence of DO reduction strategies inducing an overall enhancement of oxygen transfer efficiency along the different bioreactors, while confirming that energy savings as high as 20% were feasible. This study quantifies the influence of oxygen transfer efficiency on operating choices and site‐specific conditions (control strategy, loading conditions, and influent flow variability). Practitioner points We quantified the energy reduction and cost savings associated with a DO reduction in an aeration tank. For each 0.2 mg/L of DO decreased, the average power demand reduction per unit water treated exceeded 17%. Field measurements of dynamic alpha values eliminate the uncertainty in estimating aeration energy and cost savings from DO variations.

Pasini, Federico↗

C-C Coupling Mechanism on Cu(100) A Molecular Dynamics Study at 298K

The electrochemical reduction of carbon dioxide (CO2) into valuable fuels such as C1 (syngas, methane) and C2 (ethylene, ethanol) products is a key strategy for achieving a carbon-neutral economy. Computational studies of C-C coupling, a critical step in CO2 reduction, are essential for designing more efficient catalysts. However, simulating these processes under realistic electrochemical conditions, including temperature and solvent effects, is computationally demanding. In this work, we develop a machine learning-based atomistic potential to study CO2 reduction on Cu(100) surfaces, accounting for temperature and explicit water solvent effects. We compute thermodynamic free energies of the possible C-C coupling pathways, CO*+CO*→OCCO*, CO*+CHO*→OCCHO*, CO*+COH*→OCCOH*, CHO*+COH*→OHCCOH*, COH*-COH*→HOCCOH*, and CHO*-CHO*→OHCCHO*. Our results quantify the thermodynamic tendencies of these reactions and reveal that, in addition to the well-established CO* + CO* → OCCO* pathway, CHO* is a critical intermediate in the formation of C2 products on Cu(100). Furthermore, we demonstrate that the machine learning approach offers a cost-efficient framework for studying CO2 reduction on diverse catalysts under realistic electrochemical conditions.

machine learning↗

Developing Scaling Relationships for Molecular Electrocatalysis through Studies of Fe-Porphyrin-Catalyzed O 2 Reduction

The oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) is a multiproton/multielectron transformation in which dioxygen (O 2 ) is reduced to water or hydrogen peroxide and serves as the cathode reaction in most fuel cells. The ORR (O 2 + 4e – + 4H + → 2H 2 O) involves up to nine substrates and thus requires navigating a complicated reaction landscape, typically with several high-energy intermediates. Many catalysts can perform this reaction, though few operate with fast rates and at low overpotentials (close to the thermodynamic potential). Attempts to optimize these parameters, both in homogeneous and heterogeneous electrocatalytic systems, have focused on modifying catalyst design and understanding kinetic/thermodynamic relationships between catalytic intermediates. One such method for analyzing and predicting catalyst reactivity and efficiency has been the development of “molecular scaling relationships”. In this work, we share our experience deriving and utilizing molecular scaling relationships for soluble, iron-porphyrin-catalyzed O 2 reduction in organic solvents. These relationships correlate turnover frequencies (TOF max ) and effective overpotentials (η eff ), properties uniquely defined for homogeneous catalysts. Following a general introduction of scaling relationships for both homogeneous and heterogeneous electrocatalysis, we describe the components of such scaling relationships: (i) the overall thermochemistry of the reaction and (ii) the rate and rate law of the catalyzed reaction. We then show how connecting these thermodynamic and kinetic parameters reveals multiple molecular scaling relationships for iron-porphyrin-catalyzed O 2 reduction. For example, the log(TOF max ) responds steeply to changes in ηeff that result from different catalyst reduction potentials (18.5 decades in TOF max /V in η eff ) but much less dramatically to changes in η eff that arise from varying the pKa of the acid buffer (5.1 decades in TOF max /V in η eff ). Thus, a single scaling relationship is not always sufficient for describing molecular electrocatalysis. This is particularly evident when the catalyst identity and reaction conditions are coupled. Using these multiple scaling relationships, we demonstrate that the metrics of turnover frequency and effective overpotential can be predictably tuned to achieve faster rates at lowered overpotentials. This Account uses a collection of related stories describing our research on soluble iron-porphyrin-catalyzed ORR to show how molecular scaling relationships can be derived and used for any electrocatalytic reaction. Such scaling relationships are powerful tools that connect the thermochemistry, mechanism, and rate law for a catalytic system. We hope that this collection shows the utility and simplicity of the molecular scaling approach for understanding catalysis, for enabling direct comparisons between catalyst systems, and for optimizing catalytic processes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A Dicationic fac -Re(bpy)(CO) 3 Cl for CO 2 Electroreduction at a Reduced Overpotential

Here, a dicationic Re bipyridine-type complex, fac-Re(6,6'-(2-((trimethylammonio)-methyl)phenyl)-2,2'-bipyridine)(CO) 3 Cl hexafluorophosphate (1 2+ ), has been synthesized and its electrochemical behavior under Ar and CO 2 has been investigated. The presence of pendent tetra-alkylammonium cations induces an anodic shift in the electrocatalytic potential for CO 2 reduction relative to structurally similar model complexes. The electrochemical mechanisms in anhydrous CH 3 CN and in the presence of weak acids (water or trifluoroethanol) have been analyzed using cyclic voltammetry assisted by infrared spectroelectrochemistry and theoretical calculations. The dication enables catalysis at a diminished potential through coulombic stabilization of the doubly reduced pentacoordinate species, its CO 2 adduct, the hydroxide anion, and the conjugate base formed during acid-assisted C-OH bond cleavage of the metallocarboxylic acid to the metallocarbonyl and H 2 O. The major reduction product is CO, but in the presence of trifluoroethanol, formate is also produced with 14% Faradaic efficiency.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Analysis of pressure test results of tube fittings for the potential application in cryo systems for helium leak rate reduction

Due to the nature of Helium, it is notoriously difficult to maintain a closed system without experiencing helium inventory loss through leakage in large tubing and piping runs. There are two standard fitting options readily available for piping and tubing assemblies, welded fittings or Swagelok ® . Welding is the best option for leak rate reduction, but more costly than Swagelok ® . A new style of fitting has come to the attention of BNL C-AD Cryo group, and a pressure test and leak rate analysis were performed to evaluate the viability of incorporating this new style fitting into current engineering design of warm helium tubing runs for the purpose of leak rate reduction.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Liquid Rocket Booster (LRB) for the Space Transportation System (STS) systems study. Volume 2: Addendum 1

The potential of a common Liquid Rocket Booster (LRB) design was evaluated for use with both the Space Transportation System (STS) and the Advanced Launch System (ALS). A goal is to have a common Liquid Oxygen/Liquid Hydrogen (LO2/LH2) engine developed for both the ALS booster and the core stage. The LO2/LH2 option for the STS was evaluated to identify potential LRB program cost reductions. The objective was to identify the structural impacts to the external tank (ET), and to determine if any significant ET re-development costs are required as a result of the larger LO2/LH2 LRB. The potential ET impacts evaluated are presented.

Source record↗

Electrolyte Engineering for Efficient Electrochemical Nitrate Reduction to Ammonia on a Titanium Electrode

Nitrates from agricultural runoff and industrial waste streams are a notorious waste product and hazardous pollutant. Traditional electrochemical water remediation approaches aim to solve this problem by converting nitrates to environmentally benign N 2 while minimizing the production of environmentally hazardous side products such as ammonia and nitrous oxide in a process known as “denitrification”. We modify this concept and outline an opportunity to optimize the conversion of nitrates into ammonia, which is also a key commodity product used as a fertilizer, potential fuel, and chemical precursor. The electrochemical conversion of nitrates to ammonia recycles the fixed nitrogen and offers an appealing and supplementary alternative to the energy- and resource-intensive Haber-Bosch process. In this study, we investigated the effect of varying electrochemical conditions (pH, nitrate concentration, and applied potential) on the selective reduction of nitrate to ammonia at a titanium cathode. We observed that high concentrations of both protons and nitrate ions are needed to achieve high selectivity, reaching a peak of 82% Faradaic efficiency to ammonia at an applied potential of -1 V versus RHE and a partial current density to NH 3 of -22 mA/cm 2 , using 0.4 M [NO 3 – ] at pH ~0.77. The Ti electrode, as a poor hydrogen evolution catalyst with notable corrosion resistance, provides a large window of operating conditions to achieve high selectivity in the reduction of nitrate anions. Stability of the system was evaluated, and we found a high Faradaic efficiency throughout the course of an 8 h experiment. After electrochemical testing, titanium hydride was observed at the cathode surface. We also show a preliminary technoeconomic study, indicating that it may be feasible to employ an electrochemical strategy for the production of ammonium nitrate.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Preliminary study of tug-glider freight systems utilizing a Boeing 747 as the tug

Performance of the tug-glider system was severely limited by ground run. In most cases studied, additional engines were necessary. Except at short ranges for which additional payload were carried in the tow plane, the productivity of the basic aircraft was degraded by a reduction in cruise speed necessitated by the glider drag. Excessive aspect ratios did not improve system performance because of the increase in glider wing weight. Powered gliders using a tow plane only for takeoff and climb had the potential for a major reduction in fuel consumption. Uncertainty of restrictive regulatory action and the apparently increased airborne investment per unit productivity are obstacles to commercial development.

Heyson, H. H.↗

Planetary Protection at Marshall Space Flight Center

Introduction: NASA Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) is historically known for its role in propulsion. While this is still the mainstay of MSFC’s expertise, many unique capabilities exist at MSFC which pertain to Planetary Protection (PP), including 1) identifying PP threats, and 2) developing novel methods to neutralize those threats. Furthermore, because these capabilities exist among diverse groups at MSFC, this work promotes collaboration both within and outside MSFC to expand and develop PP studies related to a full spectrum of NASA research, design, manufacture, and test interests. This abstract describes the PP research ongoing at MSFC and describes how it contributes to NASA’s overall PP objectives. Microbial Identification in Cleanrooms: One of the greatest threats to successful implementation of PP requirements is recontamination post bioburden reduction. One method to prevent recontamination is to keep the spacecraft in clean environments (i.e. cleanrooms) as much as possible during assembly and integration. However, cleanrooms are not without their own sources of contamination, which is why NASA is interested in monitoring the cleanliness of cleanrooms and characterizing the microbial species present. Such information allows a greater understanding of the resistance of these microbes to cleaning methods, as well as the risk of their contaminating the targeted planetary body of a given mission. MSFC has multiple cleanrooms of various ISO cleanliness levels onsite. We sampled the air and surfaces of three of these rooms, isolated microbes, and then sequenced the 16S rRNA gene or ITS region of the 18S rRNA gene for bacterial and fungal isolates, respectively. This has resulted in a microbial library which currently includes nearly 100 isolates. Microbial Enumeration of Spacecraft Materials: Currently, there are only a couple bioburden reduction methods approved by NASA, and often the harshness of these methods presents additional concerns or risks related to material properties. The goal of this research is to assess the microbial content of solid rocket motor (SRM) materials potentially used for lander missions. This work aims to more accurately define the risk of planetary contamination by providing empirical data associated with commonly used SRM raw materials. In this study, we pulverized nonmetallic SRM materials using a cryogenic grinder, then analyzed the resulting substrate for microbial colony forming units (CFU). We found that many SRM nonmetallic materials do not harbor detectable bioburden, though a range existed depending on the material. The results from this work provide quantitative data to potentially reduce concerns of contamination, while also providing a foundation for follow up studies into additional sterilization methods and molecular identification of contaminating microbes. Space Environmental Effects on Microbial Survival: One potential area of microbial reduction is the space environment. Understanding the survivability of hardy microbes in space-like conditions is a crucial first step in answering how space may reduce bioburden and if it can be relied upon for adherence to PP requirements. This work studied the effects of ultraviolet (UV) and ionizing radiation on survival of Bacillus atrophaeus spores. Microbes were dried on relevant polymeric materials then exposed to space environmental stressors. Coupons were submerged in water, diluted, and plated to determine survival compared with controls. We found that both UV and ionizing radiation were capable of reducing viability by nearly 99%, but there were still survivors, some with changed morphology indicating resistance mechanisms within certain cells. Manufacturing credit: Finally, given the above-mentioned limitations of the NASA-approved bioburden reduction methods, there is interest in understanding if manufacturing processes may provide enough bioburden reduction without additional PP-specific bakeouts. For instance, some material additives may be antimicrobial. Given this, we investigated the effects of several commonly used rubber additives on the growth of B. atrophaeus spores. We found that some of the materials inhibited growth of the spores, possibly supporting the use of these additives on missions with PP constraints. Future work into manufacturing credit for bioburden reduction includes inoculation of green insulation with B. atrophaeus spores, followed by a typical cure. Thermal profiles will be verified for appropriate temperature and durations to meet PP requirements, and cured samples will be analyzed using a cryogenic grinder to determine survivability of spores.

Chelsi D. Cassilly↗

Probabilistic Modeling of Climate Change Impacts on Renewable Energy and Storage Requirements for NM's Energy Transition Act (SAND Report)

This report provides a study of the potential impacts of climate change on intermittent renewable energy resources, battery storage, and resource adequacy in Public Service Company of New Mexico’s Integrated Resource Plan for 2020 – 2040. Climate change models and available data were first evaluated to determine uncertainty and potential changes in solar irradiance, temperature, and wind speed in NM in the coming decades. These changes were then implemented in solar and wind energy models to determine impacts on renewable energy resources in NM. Results for the extreme climate-change scenario show that the projected wind power may decrease by ~13% due to projected decreases in wind speed. Projected solar power may decrease by ~4% due to decreases in irradiance and increases in temperature in NM. Uncertainty in these climate-induced changes in wind and solar resources was accommodated in probabilistic models assuming uniform distributions in the annual reductions in solar and wind resources. Uncertainty in battery storage performance was also evaluated based on increased temperature, capacity fade, and degradation in round-trip efficiency. The hourly energy balance was determined throughout the year given uncertainties in the renewable energy resources and energy storage. The loss of load expectation (LOLE) was evaluated for the 2040 No New Combustion portfolio and found to increase from 0 days/year to a median value of ~2 days/year due to potential reductions in renewable energy resources and battery storage performance and capacity. A rank-regression analyses revealed that battery round-trip efficiency was the most significant parameter that impacted LOLE, followed by solar resource, wind resource, and battery fade. An increase in battery storage capacity to ~25,000 – 30,000 MWh from a baseline value of ~14,000 MWh was required to reduce the median value of LOLE to ~0.2 days/year with consideration of potential climate impacts and battery degradation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗