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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Building Datasets and Training Methods for ML Based Magnet Quench Detection

Detecting quenches in superconducting (SC) magnets during training is a challenging process that involves capturing physical events that occur at different frequencies and appear as various signal features. These events may be correlated across instrumentation type, thermal cycle, and ramp. These events together build a more complete picture of continuous processes occurring in the magnet, and may allow us to flag potential precursors for quench detection. We present our work on building an automatic machine learning (ML) based quench detection system. We build upon our existing work on unsupervised auto-encoders for acoustic sensors and quench antenna (QA) by first establishing a supervised ML training pipeline. We show the results of an event tagging, analysis, and simulation framework on our QA and acoustic data which are used concurrently to build a training dataset for a supervised implementation. We then show how this supervised training can be used as a prior in a semi-supervised framework and compare this to the unsupervised neural network auto-encoder performance.This allows us to have a more concrete understanding of the performance of our algorithms relative to physical events occurring in the magnet, and also provides a baseline software tool to generically evaluate our quench prediction autoencoders under completely unsupervised, supervised, and semi-supervised training conditions.

Khan, Maira [Fermilab]↗
NASA NTRS1990

Determination of lunar ilmentite abundances from remotely sensed data

The mapping of ilmenite on the surface of the moon is a necessary precursor to the investigation of prospective lunar base sites. Telescopic observations of the moon using a variety of narrow bandpass optical interference filters are being performed as a preliminary means of achieving this goal. Specifically, ratios of images obtained using filters centered at 0.40 and 0.56 microns provide quantitative estimates of TiO2 abundances. Analysis of preliminary distribution maps of TiO2 concentrations allows identification of specific high-Ti areas. Investigations of these areas using slit spectra in the range 0.03 to 0.85 microns are underway to search for discrete spectral signatures attributable to ilmenite.

Johnson, J. R.↗
NASA NTRS1996

Sulfur and Hydrogen Isotope Anomalies in Organic Compounds from the Murchison Meteorite

Isotopic measurements have been made on organic sulfur and phosphorus compounds recently discovered in the Murchison meteorite. Carbon, hydrogen and sulfur measurements were performed on individual members of the organic sulfur compounds, alkyl sulfonates; and carbon and hydrogen measurements were made on bulk alkyl phosphonates. Cooper and Chang reported the first carbon isotopic measurements of Murchison organic sulfonates, providing insight into the potential synthetic mechanisms of these and, possibly, other organic species. Hydrogen isotopic measurements of the sulforiates now reveal deuterium excesses ranging from +660 to +2730 %. The deuterium enrichments indicate formation of the hydrocarbon portion of these compounds in a low temperature astrophysical environment consistent with that of dense molecular clouds. Measurements of the sulfur isotopes provide further constraints on the origin and mechanism of formation of these organic molecules. Recently, there has been growing documentation of sulfur isotopic anomalies in meteoritic material. Thiemens and Jackson have shown that some bulk ureilites possess excess S-33 and Thiemens et al. have reported excess S-33 in an oldhamite separate from the Norton County meteorite. Rees and Thode reported a large S-33 excess in an Allende acid residue, however, attempts to verify this measurements have been unsuccessful, possibly due to the heterogeneous nature of the carrier phase. With the recognition that sulfur isotopes may reflect chemistry in the protosolar nebula or the precursor molecular cloud, identification of potential carriers is of considerable interest. In the present study, the stable isotopes of sulfur were measured in methane sulfonic acid extracted from the Murchison meteorite. The isotopic composition was found to be: (delta)S-33 = 2.48 %, (delta)S-34 = 2.49 % and (delta)S-36 = 6.76 %. Based upon analysis of more than 60 meteoritic and numerous terrestrial samples, the mass fractionation lines are defined by Delta-33 = (delta)S-33 -0.50(delta)S-34 and Delta-36 = (delta)s-36 - 1.97 (delta)S-34. From these relationships Delta-33 = 1.24 % and Delta-36 = 0.89 % are observed. These anomalies, particularly the Delta-33, lie well outside the range of analytical uncertainty. They are the largest observed in any meteoritic component and the first found in an organosulfur compound. As discussed by Thiemens and Jackson, due to it's position on the periodic chart, sulfur undergoes chemically induced mass independent isotopic fractionations as does oxygen. Experiments by Mauersberger et. al. show that in such processes, the magnitude of fractionation for the different isotopically substituted species varies with mass and angular momentum; thus, anomalies are expected for both S-33 and S-36, but not necessarily of the same magnitude. Laboratory experiments have also confirmed that chemically produced, mass independent fractionations are mediated by molecular symmetry factors. A chemical source of fractionation requires that the sulfur isotopic anomaly was established in the gas phase, probably in reactions involving symmetric CS2. The discovery of an anomalous sulfur isotopic composition in a specific molecule containing excess deuterium is an important advance in the understanding of the cosmochemistry of sulfur. This evidence suggests that methanesulfonic acid was synthesized by interstellar processes. Further measurements and details of possible synthesis and fractionation mechanisms will be presented.

Cooper, G. W.↗
NASA NTRS2005

Space Resource Utilization and Extending Human Presence Across the Solar System

The Presidents Vision for Exploration is not a single mission, but an open ended journey that seeks to answer "How can we live on other worlds?" Using space resources is the only known approach for affordable, sustained, flexible, and self sufficient, human occupation beyond Earth orbit. Earth is a large planet. A simple analysis using the rocket equation shows that if Earth were a bit larger, chemical propulsion as a mechanism to access space would become impractical. Thus, even with the most efficient chemical rocket launch capability, the cost of lifting massive payloads into space will remain very steep (currently about $l00k/lb to the Moon and greater than $500k/lb to Mars). Space resource utilization should begin with an aggressive broad based demonstration program as afforded by the precursor missions implementation of the President's Vision of Exploration. Ion engine upper stages, for example, were studied for over 30 years, but only implemented in design after the Deep Space 1 in space demonstration. These demonstrations should include: extraction of elements from lunar regolith, and Martian soil and atmosphere, demonstration of power break even and growth from lunar or Mars moons derived photovoltaics, oxygen extraction for life support and propellant, and metals and alloys for in space repair and the production of habits and radiation shielding. Space resource utilization yields operational dividends through the subsequent programs including: propellant from lunar oxygen which could cut transportation costs from Earth in half, mega watts per year of power grown from lunar photovoltaics at decreasing cost per kW, decreased cost for human Mars missions by a factor of 10 by using propellant derived from Mars atmosphere for return, and in space manufacturing and food production with space resources yielding safe sustained and eventually self sufficient human presence in space. After the demonstration and implementation, the space resource utilization investment enables commercial and private viability beyond Earth orbit. For example, analysis has shown the lunar oxygen production for propellant becomes commercially viable after the exploration program completes the R&D, and power from lunar derived photovoltaics could, according to past NASA sponsored studies, pay for themselves while supplying most of Earth's electrical energy after about 17 years. Besides the Moon and Mars the resources of the near Earth asteroids enable the building of large space structures and science payloads. Analysis has shown that one of the thousands of these objects (some as easily accessible in space as the Moon and Mars), 2 km dia, the size of a typical open pit mine, would cost the total global financial product of Earth for 30,000 years if we were to launch it from Earth. Beyond Mars, the belt asteroids have been calculated to contain enough materials for habitat and life to support 10 quadrillion people. Thus, the development and use of space resources enables the extension of human life through the solar system allowing humanity to move from a planetary to a solar system society.

Curreri, Peter A.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Structure-Based Analysis of Semisynthetic Anti-TB Rufomycin Analogues

This study employed structural information from cocrystals of rufomycin 4 (1a) and caseinolytic protein C1 (ClpC1)-NTD-wt to guide design and semisynthesis of rufomycin analogues, evaluate their antituberculosis (TB) biological profiles, and establish structure–activity relationships (SAR). Covering three regions of interest (ROIs, A–C) as modification sites, 14 of the 30 semisynthetic analogues (2–31) showed similar or improved MICs relative to the main natural precursors, rufomycins 4/6 (1a/b). Compounds 5 and 27 exhibited up to 10-fold enhanced potency against Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) in vitro, with MIC values of 1.9 and 1.4 nM, respectively. Evaluation of ClpC1-binding properties used existing ClpC1-NTD complexes with rufomycin 4 (PDB: 6cn8) and ecumicin (PDB: 6pbs) as references. The newly reported X-ray ClpC1-NTD cocrystal structure of 11 (syn. But4-Cl) revealed significant conformational effects involving the side chains of certain amino acids of the heptapeptide and confirmed the importance of ROIs A–C for medicinal chemistry efforts. Observed interactions of the N-terminal tail of ClpC1 with the rufomycin analogues vs ecumicin explains their different modes of inactivating the ClpC1/P1/P2 homeostatic machinery. Collectively, the observations inform further SAR optimization strategies for the rufomycin class of antibiotics and complement our understanding of their mode of action.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

LES and RANS Spray Combustion Analysis of OME 3-5 and n-Dodecane

Clean-burning oxygenated and synthetic fuels derived from renewable power, so-called e-fuels, are a promising pathway to decarbonize compression–ignition engines. Polyoxymethylene dimethyl ethers (PODEs or OMEs) are one candidate of such fuels with good prospects. Their lack of carbon-to-carbon bonds and high concentration of chemically bound oxygen effectively negate the emergence of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and even their precursors like acetylene (C 2 H 2 ), enabling soot-free combustion without the soot-NO x trade-off common for diesel engines. The differences in the spray combustion process for OMEs and diesel-like reference fuels like n-dodecane and their potential implications on engine applications include discrepancies in the observed ignition delay, the stabilized flame lift-off location, and significant deviations in high-temperature flame morphology. For CFD simulations, the accurate modeling and prediction of these differences between OMEs and n-dodecane proved challenging. This study investigates the spray combustion process of an OME 3 − 5 mixture and n-dodecane with advanced optical diagnostics, Reynolds-Averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS), and Large-Eddy Simulations (LESs) within a constant-volume vessel. Cool-flame and high-temperature combustion were measured simultaneously via high-speed (50 kHz) imaging with formaldehyde (CH 2 O) planar laser-induced fluorescence (PLIF) representing the former and line-of-sight OH* chemiluminescence the latter. Both RANS and LES simulations accurately describe the cool-flame development process with the formation of CH 2 O. However, CH 2 O consumption and the onset of high-temperature reactions, signaled by the rise of OH* levels, show significant deviations between RANS, LES, and experiments as well as between n-dodecane and OME. A focus is set on the quality of the simulated results compared to the experimentally observed spatial distribution of OH*, especially in OME fuel-rich regions. The influence of the turbulence modeling is investigated for the two distinct ambient temperatures of 900 K and 1200 K within the Engine Combustion Network Spray A setup. The capabilities and limitations of the RANS simulations are demonstrated with the initial cool-flame propagation and periodic oscillations of CH 2 O formation/consumption during the quasi-steady combustion period captured by the LES.

CFD↗
DOE OSTI2025

A systematic exploration of the hydrolysis products of the uranium trioxide polymorphs and their optical vibrational spectra

Study of the uranium trioxide (UO 3 )-water system is complex with inconclusive results and limited details in the literature. The UO 3 system is home to at least seven structural polymorphs and an amorphous phase. The proposed hydrolysis products of UO 3 are just as numerous, yet investigations of these alteration products are sporadic and generally antiquated, thus requiring systematic investigations. Recent developments in the understanding of UO 3 phase space, aided by improvements in analytical and computational techniques, necessitate more modern investigations into the uranyl hydroxide family and their naturally occurring mineral counterparts. We present findings from a systematic investigation of the products formed via hydrothermal reactions of common UO 3 polymorphs and discuss how the equatorial coordination of the uranyl/uranyl-like ions within the UO 3 precursors leads to differences in the optical vibrational spectra of the resulting hydrolysis products. The hypo-stochiometric nature of α-UO 2 (OH) 2 allows for the formation of multiple unique uranyl sites and a distortion of the unit cell to a lower symmetry. This study provides, for the first time, an analysis of β-UO 2 (OH) 2 using modern techniques and instrumentation (Raman/infrared spectroscopy and powder x-ray diffraction) and lays a foundation for future time-dependent investigations into the structural dependence of the hydrolysis kinetics of the UO 3 phases. In conclusion, given the prevalence of UO 3 at both ends of the nuclear fuel cycle, an understanding of its behavior with water has applications ranging from nuclear forensics to waste management and environmental transport.

Uranium trioxide↗
DOE OSTI2015

Study of phase transformation and microstructure of alcohol washed titania nanoparticles for thermal stability

Nanostructured titania have been successfully synthesized by hydrolysis of alkoxide at calcination temperatures 500 °C, 600 °C and 700 °C. As the calcination temperature increases, alcohol washed samples show lesser rutile content as compared to water washed samples. Morphology and Particle sizes was determined by field emission scanning electron microscopy (FESEM), while thermogravimetric-differential scanning calorimetry (TG-DSC) was used to determine thermal stability. Alcohol washed samples undergo 30% weight loss whereas 16% in water washed samples was observed. The mean particle sizes were found to be increase from 37 nm to 100.9 nm and 35.3 nm to 55.2 nm for water and alcohol washed samples respectively. Hydrolysis of alkoxide was shown to be an effective means to prepare thermally stable titania by using alcohol washed samples as a precursor.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Perspective on Solar-Driven Electrochemical Routes for Sustainable Methanol Production

The transition towards sustainable and renewable energy sources is imperative in mitigating the environmental impacts of escalating global energy consumption. Methanol, with its versatile applications and potential as a clean energy carrier, a precursor chemical, and a valuable commodity, emerges as a promising solution within the realm of renewable energy technologies. This work explores the integration of electrochemistry with solar power to drive efficient methanol production processes, focusing on electrochemical reduction (ECR) of CO 2 and methane oxidation reaction (MOR) as pathways for methanol synthesis. Through detailed analysis and calculations, we evaluate the thermodynamic limits and realistic solar-to-fuel (STF) efficiencies of ECR and MOR. Our investigation encompasses the characterization of multijunction light absorbers, determination of thermoneutral potentials, and assessment of STF efficiencies under varying conditions. We identify the challenges and opportunities inherent in both ECR and MOR pathways, shedding light on catalyst stability, reaction kinetics, and system optimization, thereby providing insights into the prospects and challenges of solar-driven methanol synthesis, offering a pathway towards a cleaner and more sustainable energy future.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗
NASA NTRS1981

V/STOL propulsion control technology

Results of a NASA sponsored study of V/STOL Propulsion Control Analysis are presented. The study involved propulsion control requirements, design concepts and procedures, and control designs for supersonic V/STOL. A variable cycle engine with a remote augmented lift system was used as a basis for establishing typical operating requirements and control concepts, and a nonlinear engine model was developed for control development as a precursor to a real-time simulation capability. A simplified aircraft model was also used to investigate transition requirements, and a long-range technology plan was developed to define subsequent program requirements for achieving a real-time piloted simulation capability.

Brown, H.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Raman structural studies of the nickel electrode

The objectives of this investigation have been to define the structures of charged active mass, discharged active mass, and related precursor materials (alpha-phases), with the purpose of better understanding the chemical and electrochemical reactions, including failure mechanisms and cobalt incorporation, so that the nickel electrode may be improved. Although our primary tool has been Raman spectroscopy, the structural conclusions drawn from the Raman data have been supported and augmented by three other analysis methods: infrared spectroscopy, powder X-ray Diffraction (XRD), and x-ray absorption spectroscopy (in particular EXAFS, Extended X-ray Absorption Fine Structure spectroscopy).

Cornilsen, Bahne C.↗
NASA NTRS1999

The Mars 2001 Athena Precursor Experiment (APEX)

The Athena Precursor Experiment (APEX) is a suite of scientific instruments for the Mars Surveyor Program 2001 (MSP'01) lander. The major elements of the APEX pay load are: (1) Pancam/Mini-TES, a combined stereo color imager and mid-infrared point spectrometer. (2) An Alpha-Proton-X-Ray Spectrometer (APXS) for in-situ elemental analysis. (3) A Mossbauer Spectrometer for in-situ determination of the mineralogy of Fe-bearing rocks and soils. (4) A Magnet Array that can separate magnetic soil particles from non-magnetic ones.

Squyres, S. W.↗
DOE OSTI2024

DFT Analysis of the Binding of Rare Earth Nitrates at Internal and External Surfaces of MCM-22

MCM-22-type zeolites constitute a well-characterized tunable class of aluminosilicates suitable for elucidating the fundamental aspects of the binding of rare earth elements (REEs) in layered materials. Starting from the pure silica version ITQ-1 with a unit cell of Si 72 O 144 , a model for periodic bulk crystalline MCM-22 with a finite Al concentration is provided by replacing a Si atom with an Al atom in the unit cell at suitable tetrahedral sites near an internal pore surface. Then, a H atom is added to an O atom bridging Si and Al atoms to create a Brønsted acid site (BAS). There are no internal silanol groups in this bulk model. To generate a model for an external surface, we adopt the fully hydroxylated surface structure of a layer within the ITQ-1 precursor with two silanols per lateral unit cell. A BAS on the external surface can be generated by replacing a near-surface Si atom with an Al atom and adding a H atom, as above. The strength of binding at a BAS of REE, X, taken to be present in the solution phase as nitrates, is determined from the energy change in the reaction X(NO 3 ) 3 + ≡Si–{OH}–Al≡ → ≡Si–{OX(NO 3 ) 2 }–Al≡+ HNO 3 . The strength of binding at the silanols is determined similarly. Binding energies are determined from two approaches. The first performs periodic plane-wave density functional theory (DFT) total energy analysis for an entire unit cell of MCM-22. The second utilizes cluster models capturing the local environment of REE binding sites and performs DFT analysis with localized basis sets. The two approaches yield consistent results for Nd, revealing similarly strong binding at either an external or internal BAS, but much weaker binding at a silanol site. This is consistent with the picture deduced from recent experiments. Here, we also comment on binding at Al-bridged siloxane sites, which have been suggested as alternative binding sites to BAS.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI1996

Nuclear Safety [Vol. 37, No. 1, January-March 1996]

Nuclear Safety is a journal that covers significant issues in the field of nuclear safety. Its primary scope is safety in the design, construction, operation, and decommissioning of nuclear power reactors worldwide and the research and analysis activities that promote this goal, but it also encompasses the safety aspects of the entire nuclear fuel cycle, including fuel fabrication, spent-fuel processing and handling, and nuclear waste disposal, the handling of fissionable materials and radioisotopes, and the environmental effects of all these activities. Table of Contents for this issue follows. GENERAL SAFETY CONSIDERATIONS: 1 A Decision Support System for Maintenance Management of a Boiling-Water Reactor Power Plant, J. H. Shen, A. Ray, and S. Levine; ACCIDENT ANALYSIS: 12 On Prediction of the Ignition Potential of Uranium Metal and Hydride, M. Epstein, W. Luangdilok, M. G. Plys, and H. K. Fauske; 26 An Overview of the Primary Parameters and Methods for Determining Condensation Heat Transfer to Containment Structures, J. Green and K. Almenas; DESIGN FEATURES: 49 Modem Tornado Design of Nuclear and Other Potentially Hazardous Facilities, J. D. Stevenson and Y. Zaho; U.S. NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION INFORMATION AND ANALYSES: 73 1994 Accident Sequence Precursor Program Results, R. J. Belles, J. W. Cletcher, D. A. Copinger, B. W. Dolan, J. W. Minarick, and P. D. O'Reilly; ANNOUNCEMENTS: 93 American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AlChE) Spring 1997 National Meeting; 94 European Safety and Reliability Association International Conference on Safety and Reliability ESREL ’97; 95 Criticality Safety Challenges in the Next Decade; 96 21st International Symposium on the Scientific Basis for Nuclear Waste Management; 84 The Authors; 88 Letter to the Editor; 90 Indexes to Nuclear Safety, Volume 36.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Acoustic phonon dispersion and diffuse scattering across the valence transition of ( P r 0.85 Y 0.15 ) 0.7 C a 0.3 Co O 3 - δ

A number of praseodymium-containing cobalt perovskites undergo temperature-dependent metal-insulator transitions that involve a transfer of electrons between cobalt and praseodymium cations. We have used high- resolution inelastic x-ray scattering to directly measure the changes in the acoustic phonon dispersion through this transition in one such single crystal, (Pr 0.85 Y 0.15 )(0.)7Ca 0.3 CoO 3-$\delta$ , in an effort to understand the role of the lattice in the transition. Transverse and acoustic modes were measured in the pseudocubic (200), (220), and (222) zones both above and below the transition temperature. The resultant dispersion curves reveal that the transition is associated with a significant hardening of the pseudocubic C 11 elastic constant, whereas C 12 and C 44 do not significantly change. Here, analysis of the temperature-dependent damping of the longitudinal acoustic mode in the (200) zone reveals a peak in the damping at temperatures just above the transition temperature. Significant elastic diffuse scattering is also observed above the transition temperature, likely resulting from clusters in which the electron transfer is beginning to occur as a precursor to the phase transition. The presence of these clusters likely limits the phonon lifetimes, thus leading to the observed damping.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2019

PGM-Free ORR Catalysts Designed by Templating PANI-Type Polymers Containing Functional Groups with High Affinity to Iron

In this work, a coordination-chemistry approach was used to increase the content of nitrogen-coordinated iron moieties (Fe-N x ) in platinum group metal-free (PGM-free) catalysts for oxygen reduction reaction (ORR). The catalysts were derived from a series of polyaniline (PANI)-type precursors with N-containing functional side chains having high affinity to iron. The PGM-free ORR catalysts synthesized using such polymeric templates were characterized by scanning electron microscopy, X-ray diffractometry, and tested in an electrochemical cell and H 2 -air fuel cell for ORR activity. X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) analysis showed that, in spite of similar nitrogen contents, catalysts obtained using PANI-type polymers containing side chains with high affinity to iron had higher Fe content than PANI-derived catalyst. These PGM-free catalysts showed improved ORR activity in an electrochemical cell and in H 2 -air fuel cell testing, compared to the PANI-derived catalyst. A correlation between the content of Fe-N x moieties and the fuel cell performance was observed in these PGM-free ORR catalysts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Improved Subseasonal Forecasting of Extreme Polar Vortices Using Machine Learning

Our research was focused on forecasting the position and shape of the winter stratospheric polar vortex at a subseasonal timescale of 15 days in advance. To achieve this, we employed both statistical and neural network machine learning techniques. The analysis was performed on 42 winter seasons of reanalysis data provided by NASA giving us a total of 6,342 days of data. The state of the polar vortex for determined by using geometric moments to calculate the centroid latitude and the aspect ratio of an ellipse fit onto the vortex. Timeseries for thirty additional precursors were calculated to help improve the predictive capabilities of the algorithm. Feature importance of these precursors was performed using random forest to measure the predictive importance and the ideal number of precursors. Then, using the precursors identified as important, various statistical methods were tested for predictive accuracy with random forest and nearest neighbor performing the best. An echo state network, a type of recurrent neural network that features sparsely connected hidden layer and a reduced number of trainable parameters that allows for rapid training and testing, was also implemented for the forecasting problem. Hyperparameter tuning was performed for each methods using a subset of the training data. The algorithms were trained and tuned on the first 41 years of data, then tested for accuracy on the final year. In general, the centroid latitude of the polar vortex proved easier to predict than the aspect ratio across all algorithms. Random forest outperformed other statistical forecasting algorithms overall but struggled to predict extreme values. Forecasting from echo state network suggested a strong predictive capability past 15 days, but further work is required to fully realize the potential of recurrent neural network approaches.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS2018

Breakthrough Propulsion Study: Assessing Interstellar Flight Challenges and Prospects

Progress toward developing an evaluation process for interstellar propulsion and power options is described. The goal is to contrast the challenges, mission choices, and emerging prospects for propulsion and power, to identify which prospects might be more advantageous and under what circumstances, and to identify which technology details might have greater impacts. Unlike prior studies, the infrastructure expenses and prospects for breakthrough advances are included. This first year's focus is on determining the key questions to enable the analysis. Accordingly, a work breakdown structure to organize the information and associated list of variables is offered. A flow diagram of the basic analysis is presented, as well as more detailed methods to convert the performance measures of disparate propulsion methods into common measures of energy, mass, time, and power. Other methods for equitable comparisons include evaluating the prospects under the same assumptions of payload, mission trajectory, and available energy. Missions are divided into three eras of readiness (precursors, era of infrastructure, and era of breakthroughs) as a first step before proceeding to include comparisons of technology advancement rates. Final evaluation "figures of merit" are offered. Preliminary lists of mission architectures and propulsion prospects are provided.

Marc G. Millis↗