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At least 811 records · Page 45

NSLS-II Storage Ring Injection Using a Nonlinear Injection Kicker

The NSLS-II has been operating successfully with top off injection since September 2015. Measurements of the stored beam show a transient of 200 μm in the long straight sections during top off injections. This transient is not desirable for some users, particularly those who specialized in imaging or are otherwise sensitive to beam motion. Users are provided with a signal with which they can gate their detectors, but it is desirable to reduce or eliminate this motion all together. Studies have been performed to reduce the transients, and it is clear that the power supplies require more tunability in the pulse shape in order to reduce the transient across the entire bunch train. Other light sources have explored the possibility of using pulsed quadrupoles and sextupoles as the injection magnet. The stored beam receives no kick as the on-axis fields in these magnets is zero, but the injected beam would see a kick as it is off-center. One drawback of the pulsed quadrupole is that the stored beam experiences a size oscillation. Another issue with a nonlinear kicker is the gradient seen by the injected beam. The transport line needs to be tuned for this gradient, and depending on the strength of the nonlinearity, this gradient may change greatly with injected beam position. Therefore, other facilities have explored other magnet configurations that are nonlinear but have a gradient with less positional dependence. The prospect of using a sextupole kicker was investigated during the design phase of the NSLS-II. It was decided that the idea would not be pursued for several reasons. In particular, the design that was studied the most in depth was not compatible with the standard four bump injection design and the tolerances required were deemed too tight at the time. Other ideas were discussed as well and ultimately none were accepted into the design. In this report we discuss the possibility of placing a nonlinear kicker in the first straight section after the injection straight instead of using the injection bumps. The design of the kicker is based on a design that has been used successfully at BESSY and MAX IV. Our conceptual kicker design is compatible with the existing ring optics and power supply requirements. We show that the transport line is capable of being matched to the required optics. The design does not have restrictive tolerances and is a viable option for a facility upgrade.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Magnetron R&Ds for High Efficiency CW RF Sources of Particle Accelerators

A proof of principle experiment carried out at JLab's magnetron R&D test stand has demonstrated a -25dB injection signal to phase lock a 2.45GHz 1.2kW CW magnetron within 2.1 Hz of root mean square deviation (RMSD) value with the optimization of magnetic field trimming of ±25% in order to overcome the frequency pushing of more than 4MHz in the RF power output range of 45-100%. In addition, a test stand for a newly built 1497 MHz, 13kW, CW magnetron prototype is ready for the high power injection test with outcome aimed for the CEBAF klystron replacement. Based on these R&D results, a 915MHz, 2?75kW CW commercial heating type magnetron system is being developed as high efficiency (>80%) RF source to drive an electron linac for industrial applications.

Wang, H.↗

Transport of intense ion beams and space charge compensation issues in low energy beam lines (invited)

Over the last few years, the interest of the international scientific community for high power accelerators in the megawatt range has been increasing. For such machines, the ion source has to deliver a beam intensity that ranges from several tens up to a hundred of mA. One of the major challenges is to extract and transport the beam while minimizing the emittance growth and optimizing its injection into the radio frequency quadrupole. Consequently, it is crucial to perform precise simulations and cautious design of the low energy beam transport (LEBT) line. In particular, the beam dynamics calculations have to take into account not only the space charge effects but also the space charge compensation of the beam induced by ionization of the residual gas. The physical phenomena occurring in a high intensity LEBT and their possible effects on the beam are presented, with a particular emphasis on space charge compensation. Then, beam transport issues in different kind of LEBTs are briefly reviewed. The SOLMAXP particle-in-cell code dedicated to the modeling of the transport of charge particles under a space charge compensation regime is described. Finally, beam dynamics simulations results obtained with SOLMAXP are presented in the case of international fusion materials irradiation facility injector.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Kelvin probe studies of cesium telluride photocathode for the AWA photoinjector

Cesium telluride is an important photocathode as an electron source for particle accelerators. It has a relatively high quantum efficiency (> 1%), is robust in a photoinjector, and long lifetime. This photocathode is fabricated in-house for a new Argonne Wakefield Accelerator (AWA) beamline to produce high charge per bunch ({approx}50 nC) in a long bunch train. We present some results from a study of the work function of cesium telluride photocathode using the Kelvin Probe technique. The study includes an investigation of the correlation between the quantum efficiency and the work function, the effect of photocathode aging, the effect of UV light exposure on the work function, and the evolution of the work function during and after photocathode rejuvenation via heating.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

X-RAY OBSERVATIONS OF THE YOUNG PULSAR J1357-6429 AND ITS PULSAR WIND NEBULA

We observed the young pulsar J1357-6429 with the Chandra and XMM-Newton observatories. The pulsar spectrum fits well a combination of an absorbed power-law model ({Gamma} = 1.7 {+-} 0.6) and a blackbody model (kT = 140{sup +60}{sub -40} eV, R {approx} 2 km at the distance of 2.5 kpc). Strong pulsations with pulsed fraction of 42% {+-} 5%, apparently associated with the thermal component, were detected in 0.3-1.1 keV. Surprisingly, the pulsed fraction at higher energies, 1.1-10 keV, appears to be smaller, 23% {+-} 4%. The small emitting area of the thermal component either corresponds to a hotter fraction of the neutron star surface or indicates inapplicability of the simplistic blackbody description. The X-ray images also reveal a pulsar wind nebula (PWN) with complex, asymmetric morphology comprised of a brighter, compact PWN surrounded by the fainter, much more extended PWN whose spectral slopes are {Gamma} = 1.3 {+-} 0.3 and {Gamma} = 1.7 {+-} 0.2, respectively. The extended PWN with the observed flux of {approx}7.5 Multiplication-Sign 10{sup -13} erg s{sup -1} cm{sup -2} is a factor of 10 more luminous then the compact PWN. The pulsar and its PWN are located close to the center of the extended TeV source HESS J1356-645, which strongly suggests that the very high energy emission is powered by electrons injected by the pulsar long ago. The X-ray to TeV flux ratio, {approx}0.1, is similar to those of other relic PWNe. We found no other viable candidates to power the TeV source. A region of diffuse radio emission, offset from the pulsar toward the center of the TeV source, could be synchrotron emission from the same relic PWN rather than from the supernova remnant.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Developing a roadmap for carbon capture, and storage in Oklahoma by assessing the viability of stacked storage

Abstract The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concludes that CO 2 capture and storage (CCS) is critical for climate‐stabilizing energy transitions. In CCS, captured CO 2 is sequestered in saline aquifers within sedimentary basins. The CO 2 storage capacity and the rate of injection are functions of the geology of the saline aquifer, which is uncertain. To minimize impacts of this uncertainty, CCS projects could include backup plans, such as co‐locating geologic CO 2 storage (GCS) sites with or near existing CO 2 ‐enhanced oil recovery (CO 2 ‐EOR) operations. These “stacked storage” projects could hedge against uncertainty in the saline formation performance because captured CO 2 could be injected into either location in the event of unexpected events (e.g., the injectivity decreases). Here, we investigate the possibility and ramifications of developing CCS networks in Oklahoma that are amendable to stacked storage. We find that stacked storage is possible in Oklahoma but the counties with the lowest‐cost saline storage resources do not have existing CO 2 ‐EOR operations. At the systems level, we find it is slightly more expensive (e.g., $1/tCO 2 to $5/tCO 2 ) to site GCS in counties with CO 2 ‐EOR projects. This increased expense is largely due to increased CO 2 transportation costs because hundreds of km of additional pipeline is required to capture CO 2 from the lowest‐cost sources. Overall, our results suggest that it is optimal to build more pipelines and avoid injecting CO 2 in some of the lowest‐cost saline storage resources, to enable capturing CO 2 from the least‐cost sources. © 2023 Society of Chemical Industry and John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Concepts for the magnetic design of the MITICA neutral beam test facility ion accelerator

The megavolt ITER injector concept advancement neutral injector test facility will be constituted by a RF-driven negative ion source and by an electrostatic Accelerator, designed to produce a negative Ion with a specific energy up to 1 MeV. The beam is then neutralized in order to obtain a focused 17 MW neutral beam. The magnetic configuration inside the accelerator is of crucial importance for the achievement of a good beam efficiency, with the early deflection of the co-extracted and stripped electrons, and also of the required beam optic quality, with the correction of undesired ion beamlet deflections. Several alternative magnetic design concepts have been considered, comparing in detail the magnetic and beam optics simulation results, evidencing the advantages and drawbacks of each solution both from the physics and engineering point of view.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

A 311-GHz Fundamental Oscillator Using InP HBT Technology

This oscillator uses a single-emitter 0.3- m InP heterojunction bipolar transistor (HBT) device with maximum frequency of oscillation (fmax) greater than 500 GHz. Due to high conductor and substrate losses at submillimeterwave frequencies, a primary challenge is to efficiently use the intrinsic device gain. This was done by using a suitable transmission-line media and circuit topology. The passive components of the oscillator are realized in a twometal process with benzocyclobutene (BCB) used as the primary transmission line dielectric. The circuit was designed using microstrip transmission lines. The oscillator is implemented in a common-base topology due to its inherent instability, and the design includes an on-chip resonator, outputmatching circuitry, and an injection-locking port, the port being used to demonstrate the injection-locking prin ciple. A free-running frequency of 311.6 GHz has been measured by down-converting the signal. Ad di tionally, injection locking has been successfully demonstrated with up to 17.8 dB of injection-locking gain. The injection-locking reference signal is generated using a 2 20 GHz frequency synthesizer, followed by a doubler, active tripler, a W-band amplifier, and then a passive tripler. Therefore, the source frequency is multiplied 18 times to obtain a signal above 300 GHz that can be used to injection lock the oscillator. Measurement shows that injection locking has improved the phase noise of the oscillator and can be also used for synchronizing a series of oscillators. A signal conductor is implemented near the BCP -InP interface and the topside of the BCB layer is fully metallized as a signal ground. Because the fields are primarily constrained in the lower permittivity BCB region, this type of transmission line is referred to as an inverted microstrip. In addition, both common-emitter and commonbase circuits were investigated to determine optimum topology for oscillator design. The common -base topology required smaller amount of feedback than the common-emitter design, therefore preserving device gain, and was chosen for the oscillator design. The submillimeter-wave region offers several advantages for sensors and communication systems, such as high resolution and all-weather imaging due to the short-wavelength, and improved communication speeds by access to greater frequency bandwidth. This oscillator circuit is a prototype of the first HBT oscillator operating above 300 GHz. Additional development is necessary to increase the output power of the circuit for radar and imaging applications.

Gaier, Todd↗

CONTROL OF NONLINEAR DYNAMICS BY ACTIVE AND PASSIVE METHODS FOR THE NSLS-II INSERTION DEVICES

Nonlinear effects from insertion devices are potentially a limiting factor for the electron beam quality of modern ring-based light sources, i.e., the on and off-dynamical aperture, leading to reduced injection efficiency and beam lifetime. These effects can be modelled by e.g. kick maps ({approx}1/{gamma}{sup 2}) and controlled by e.g. first-order thin or thick magnetic kicks introduced by 'magic fingers,' 'L-shims,' or 'current strips'. However, due to physical or technological constraints, these corrections are typically only partial. Therefore, a precise model is needed to correctly minimize the residual nonlinear effects for the entire system. We outline a systematic method for integrated design and rapid prototyping based on evaluation of the 3D magnetic field and control of the local trajectory with RADIA, and particle tracking with Tracy-3 for validation. The optimal geometry for the compensating magnetic fields is determined from the results of these simulations using a combination of linear algebra and genetic optimization.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

RF synchronized short pulse laser ion source

A laser ion source that produces shortly bunched ion beam is proposed. In this ion source, ions are extracted immediately after the generation of laser plasma by an ultra-short pulse laser before its diffusion. The ions can be injected into radio frequency (RF) accelerating bucket of a subsequent accelerator. As a proof-of-principle experiment of the ion source, a RF resonator is prepared and H{sub 2} gas was ionized by a short pulse laser in the RF electric field in the resonator. As a result, bunched ions with 1.2 mA peak current and 5 ns pulse length were observed at the exit of RF resonator by a probe.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

In Situ Laser Induced Florescence Measurements of Fuel Dilution from Low Load to Stochastic Pre Ignition Prone Conditions

This work employs a novel laser induced fluorescence (LIF) diagnostic to measure fuel dilution in a running single cylinder research engine operated at stochastic pre ignition (SPI) and non-SPI prone conditions. Measurements of LIF based fuel dilution are quantified over a range of engine loads and fuel injection timings for two fuels. The in situ LIF measurements of fuel/lubricant interactions illustrate regions of increased fuel dilution from fuel-wall interactions and is believed to be a fundamental underpinning to generating top ring zone liquid conditions conducive to SPI. Furthermore, a novel level of dye doped in the fuel, between 50 to 500 ppm was used as the fluorescence source, at engine operating speed of 2000r/min from 5 to 18 bar of IMEPg injection timings was swept for two fuels of varying volatility. The direct real time LIF measurements highlight that there are non-linear trends in fuel dilution beyond simple dependencies of fuel volatility, injection duration or injection timing, suggesting that further understanding of spray interaction with engine surfaces and the turbulent field are needed to quantify fuel dilution effects that are conducive to SPI. Moreover, results show the potential of this diagnostic technique as an additional tool for quantifying spray and fuel mixing in fundamental studies deployable across a variety of engine loads from law to full load.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Testing the DIII-D co/counter off-axis neutral beam injected power and ability to balance injected torque

DIII-D has undergone a major upgrade and successfully injected high power off-axis neutral beams (~4 MW) in both co-current and counter-current directions. This capability of high power co/counter steerable off-axis neutral beams on a major tokamak opens a unique parameter space of broad pressure and current profiles for high beta steady-state advanced tokamak (AT) scenarios, while retaining the ability to balance the injected torque for low rotation studies. This co/counter off-axis neutral beam capability is being used to validate physics-based energetic particle and thermal transport models for designing next-step facilities based on the steady-state AT approach. This paper reports on the critical evaluation of the transmitted power and energetic ion population produced by this heating and current drive system, which is assessed through visible imaging, neutron measurements and rotation profile measurements at balanced torque. Minimal losses of neutral beam power have been achieved by optimizing the strongly focused ion sources required to pass through the aperture. Tilting of the ion source has been guided by fast visible imaging and resulted in neutral beam injection along the design centerline with empirical characterization of each beam's divergence derived from the imaging data and used in the NUBEAM description of the beam injection. Through exclusive power injection of each neutral beam into MHD quiescent plasmas across a range of neutral beam voltage, perveance and plasma current we conclude that a modest reduction (~10%–15%) of transmitted power compared to on-axis, standard focus has been incurred. We report corrections that more accurately represent the injected power. Good ability to balance the neutral beam torque has been demonstrated by injecting the new off-axis counter injecting beam against the existing off-axis co-injected beam in 2.0 T, 1.0 MA, MHD quiescent L-mode plasmas. Furthermore, the torque balance studies verify the ability to operate with balanced injection, which is critical for achieving low torque and low rotation operation for physics studies and in ITER demonstration discharges.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Analysis of hydrogen fueling, recycling, and confinement at Wendelstein 7-X via a single-reservoir particle balance

Abstract A single-reservoir particle balance for the main plasma species hydrogen has been established for W7-X. This has enabled the quantitative characterization of the particle sources in the standard island divertor configuration for the first time. Findings from attached scenarios with two different island sizes with a boronized wall and turbo molecular pumping are presented. Fueling efficiencies, particle flows and source locations were measured and used to infer the total particle confinement time τ p . Perturbative gas injection experiments served to measure the effective particle confinement time τ p * . Combining both confinement times provides access to the global recycling coefficient R ¯ . Hydrogen particle inventories have been addressed and the knowledge of particle sources and sinks reveals the core fueling distribution and provides insight into the capability of the magnetic islands to control exhaust features. Measurements of hydrogen fueling efficiencies were sensitive to the precise fueling location and measured between 12% and 31% with the recycling fueling at the strike line modeled at only 6%, due to much higher densities. 15% of the total 5.2 × 10 22 a/s recycling flow ionizes far away from the recycling surfaces in the main chamber. It was shown that 60% of recycled particles ionize above the horizontal and 18% above the vertical divertor target, while the remainder of the recycling flow ionizes above the baffle (7%). Combining these source terms with their individual fueling efficiencies resolves the core fueling distribution. Due to the higher fueling efficiency in the main chamber, up to 51% of the total 5.1 × 10 21 s −1 core fueling particles are entering the confined plasma from the main chamber. τ p values in the range of 260 ms were extracted for these discharges. Together with τ p , the global recycling coefficient R ¯ was resolved for every τ p * measurement and a typical value close to unity was obtained. An increase of the island size, resulted in no change of τ p , but doubled τ p * , indicating the feasibility of the control coils as an actuator to control exhaust features without affecting core confinement properties.

recycling↗

NSLS-II Transport Line Progress

The National Synchrotron Light Source II (NSLS-II) is a state-of-the-art 3-GeV third generation light source currently under construction at Brookhaven National Laboratory. The NSLS-II injection system consists of a 200 MeV linac, a 3-GeV booster synchrotron and associated transfer lines. The first part of the Linac to Booster Transport (LBT) line has been installed for linac commissioning. This part includes all components necessary to commission the NSLS-II linac. The second part of this transport line is undergoing installation. Initial results of hardware commissioning will be discussed. The Booster to Storage Ring (BSR) transport line underwent a design review. The first part of the BSR transport line, consisting of all components necessary to commission the booster will be installed in 2012 for booster commissioning. We report on the final design of the BSR line along with the plan to commission the booster.

3-GeV↗

Propulsion Airframe Aeroacoustic Integration Effects for a Hybrid Wing Body Aircraft Configuration

An extensive experimental investigation was performed to study the propulsion airframe aeroacoustic effects of a high bypass ratio engine for a hybrid wing body aircraft configuration where the engine is installed above the wing. The objective was to provide an understanding of the jet noise shielding effectiveness as a function of engine gas condition and location as well as nozzle configuration. A 4.7% scale nozzle of a bypass ratio seven engine was run at characteristic cycle points under static and forward flight conditions. The effect of the pylon and its orientation on jet noise was also studied as a function of bypass ratio and cycle condition. The addition of a pylon yielded significant spectral changes lowering jet noise by up to 4dB at high polar angles and increasing it by 2 to 3dB at forward angles. In order to assess jet noise shielding, a planform representation of the airframe model, also at 4.7% scale was traversed relative to the jet nozzle from downstream to several diameters upstream of the wing trailing edge. Installations at two fan diameters upstream of the wing trailing edge provided only limited shielding in the forward arc at high frequencies for both the axisymmetric and a conventional round nozzle with pylon. This was consistent with phased array measurements suggesting that the high frequency sources are predominantly located near the nozzle exit and, consequently, are amenable to shielding. The mid to low frequencies sources were observed further downstream and shielding was insignificant. Chevrons were designed and used to impact the distribution of sources with the more aggressive design showing a significant upstream migration of the sources in the mid frequency range. Furthermore, the chevrons reduced the low frequency source levels and the typical high frequency increase due to the application of chevron nozzles was successfully shielded. The pylon was further modified with a technology that injects air through the shelf of the pylon which was effective in reducing low frequency noise and moving jet noise sources closer to the nozzle exit. In general, shielding effectiveness varied as a function of cycle condition with the cutback condition producing higher shielding compared to sideline power. The configuration with a more strongly immersed chevron and a pylon oriented opposite to the microphones produced the largest reduction in jet noise. In addition to the jet noise source, the shielding of a broadband point noise source was documented with up to 20 dB of noise reduction at directivity angles directly under the shielding surface.

Czech, Michael J.↗

Propulsion Airframe Aeroacoustic Integration Effects for a Hybrid Wing Body Aircraft Configuration

An extensive experimental investigation was performed to study the propulsion airframe aeroacoustic effects of a high bypass ratio engine for a hybrid wing body aircraft configuration where the engine is installed above the wing. The objective was to provide an understanding of the jet noise shielding effectiveness as a function of engine gas condition and location as well as nozzle configuration. A 4.7% scale nozzle of a bypass ratio seven engine was run at characteristic cycle points under static and forward flight conditions. The effect of the pylon and its orientation on jet noise was also studied as a function of bypass ratio and cycle condition. The addition of a pylon yielded significant spectral changes lowering jet noise by up to 4 dB at high polar angles and increasing it by 2 to 3 dB at forward angles. In order to assess jet noise shielding, a planform representation of the airframe model, also at 4.7% scale was traversed such that the jet nozzle was positioned from downstream of to several diameters upstream of the airframe model trailing edge. Installations at two fan diameters upstream of the wing trailing edge provided only limited shielding in the forward arc at high frequencies for both the axisymmetric and a conventional round nozzle with pylon. This was consistent with phased array measurements suggesting that the high frequency sources are predominantly located near the nozzle exit and, consequently, are amenable to shielding. The mid to low frequency sources were observed further downstream and shielding was insignificant. Chevrons were designed and used to impact the distribution of sources with the more aggressive design showing a significant upstream migration of the sources in the mid frequency range. Furthermore, the chevrons reduced the low frequency source levels and the typical high frequency increase due to the application of chevron nozzles was successfully shielded. The pylon was further modified with a technology that injects air through the shelf of the pylon which was effective in reducing low frequency noise and moving jet noise sources closer to the nozzle exit. In general, shielding effectiveness varied as a function of cycle condition with the cutback condition producing higher shielding compared to sideline power. The configuration with a more strongly immersed chevron and a pylon oriented opposite to the microphones produced the largest reduction in jet noise. In addition to the jet noise source, the shielding of a broadband point noise source was documented with up to 20 dB of noise reduction at directivity angles directly under the shielding surface.

Czech, Michael J.↗

Impulsive ion injections in the morning auroral region

Low altitude (less than 1000 km) measurements of ions precipitating into the morning auroral region are presented and analyzed. The ion fluxes exhibited time-energy signatures consistent with impulsive injection onto high-altitude field lines, followed by time-of-flight dispersion. The origin of these ions is investigated through the detailed examination of these signatures in conjunction with simultaneous measurements of precipitating electrons and a magnetic field model. A model is developed which indicates that the source for these particles was located in or near the magnetopause boundary layer, with the position deduced to be in the midlatitude flank region about 20-30 R(sub E) tailward of the Earth. The model explains the existence of multiple injections on a given field line as due to a quasi-periodic source, with the periodicity being about 100-200 s at the source. Several mechanisms are examined in an attempt to explain the injections, with a mechanism related to the propagation of waves on the surface of the boundary layer found to be the most plausible. The observations and results are compared to those of similar experiments and some unifying ideas are discussed.

Clemmons, J. H.↗

Impacts of Estimated Plume Rise on PM 2.5 Exceedance Prediction During Extreme Wildfire Events: A Comparison of Three Schemes (Briggs, Freitas, and Sofiev)

Plume height plays a vital role in wildfire smoke dispersion and the subsequent effects on air quality and human health. In this study, we assess the impact of different plume rise schemes on predicting the dispersion of wildfire air pollution and the exceedances of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) during the 2020 western United States wildfire season. Three widely used plume rise schemes (Briggs, 1969; Freitas et al., 2007; Sofiev et al., 2012) are compared within the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling framework. The plume heights simulated by these schemes are comparable to the aerosol height observed by the Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer (MISR) and Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO). The performance of the simulations with these schemes varies by fire case and weather conditions. On average, simulations with higher plume injection heights predict lower aerosol optical depth (AOD) and surface PM 2.5 concentrations near the source region but higher AOD and PM 2.5 in downwind regions due to the faster spread of the smoke plume once ejected. The 2-month mean AOD difference caused by different plume rise schemes is approximately 20 %–30 % near the source regions and 5 %–10 % in the downwind regions. Thick smoke blocks sunlight and suppresses photochemical reactions in areas with high AOD. The surface PM 2.5 difference reaches 70 % on the West Coast of the USA, and the difference is lower than 15 % in the downwind regions. Moreover, the plume injection height affects pollution exceedance (>35 µg m−3) predictions. Higher plume heights generally produce larger downwind PM 2.5 exceedance areas. The PM 2.5 exceedance areas predicted by the three schemes largely overlap, suggesting that all schemes perform similarly during large wildfire events when the predicted concentrations are well above the exceedance threshold. At the edges of the smoke plumes, however, there are noticeable differences in the PM 2.5 concentration and predicted PM 2.5 exceedance region. For the whole period of study, the difference in the total number of exceedance days could be as large as 20 d in northern California and 4 d in the downwind regions. This disagreement among the PM 2.5 exceedance forecasts may affect key decision-making regarding early warning of extreme air pollution episodes at local levels during large wildfire events.

Yunyao Li↗