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At least 829 records · Page 46

Convergence and Efficiency of Adaptive Importance Sampling Techniques with Partial Biasing

We propose a new Monte Carlo method to efficiently sample a multimodal distribution (known up to a normalization constant). We consider a generalization of the discrete-time Self Healing Umbrella Sampling method, which can also be seen as a generalization of well-tempered metadynamics. The dynamics is based on an adaptive importance technique. The importance function relies on the weights (namely the relative probabilities) of disjoint sets which form a partition of the space. These weights are unknown but are learnt on the fly yielding an adaptive algorithm. In the context of computational statistical physics, the logarithm of these weights is, up to an additive constant, the free-energy, and the discrete valued function defining the partition is called the collective variable. The algorithm falls into the general class of Wang–Landau type methods, and is a generalization of the original Self Healing Umbrella Sampling method in two ways: (i) the updating strategy leads to a larger penalization strength of already visited sets in order to escape more quickly from metastable states, and (ii) the target distribution is biased using only a fraction of the free-energy, in order to increase the effective sample size and reduce the variance of importance sampling estimators. We prove the convergence of the algorithm and analyze numerically its efficiency on a toy example.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Simultaneous isotopic analysis of fission product Sr, Mo, and Ru in spent nuclear fuel particles by resonance ionization mass spectrometry

Abstract Fission product Sr, Mo, and Ru isotopes in six 10-μm particles of spent fuel from a pressurized water reactor were analyzed by resonance ionization mass spectrometry (RIMS) and evaluated for utility in nuclear material characterization. Previous measurements on these same samples showed widely varying U, Pu, and Am isotopic compositions owing to the samples’ differing irradiation environments within the reactor. This is also seen in Mo and Ru isotopes, which have the added complication of exsolution from the UO 2 fuel matrix. This variability is a hindrance to interpreting data from a collection of particles with incomplete provenance since it is not always possible to assign particles to the same batch of fuel based on isotopic analyses alone. In contrast, the measured 90 Sr/ 88 Sr ratios were indistinguishable across all samples. Strontium isotopic analysis can therefore be used to connect samples with otherwise disparate isotopic compositions, allowing them to be grouped appropriately for interpretation. Strontium isotopic analysis also provides a robust chronometer for determining the time since fuel irradiation. Because of the very high sensitivity of RIMS, only a small fraction of material in each of the 10 μm samples was consumed, leaving the vast majority still available for other analyses.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Wildfire Mapping in Interior Alaska Using Deep Neural Networks on Imbalanced Datasets

Wildfires are the dominant disturbance impacting many regions in Alaska and is expected to intensify due to climate change. Accurate tracking and quantification of wildfires are important for climate modeling and ecological studies in this region. Remote sensing platforms (e.g., MODIS, Landsat) are an important tool for mapping wildfires in Alaska at varying spatial and temporal scales. Deep neural networks (DNN) have shown superior performance in many classification problems such as high-dimensional remote sensing data. Detection of wildfires is an imbalanced classification problem where one class contains a much smaller or larger sample size and DNNs performance can decline. We take a known weight-selection strategy during DNN training and apply them to MODIS variables (e.g., NDVI, surface reflectance) for a binary classification (i.e., wildfire or no-wildfire) across Alaska during the 2004 wildfire year, which is one of the largest on record. The method splits the input training data into sets, one for training the DNN to update weights and the other that splits into a validation set that is equally balanced between the wildfire and no-wildfire class. The performance is monitored on the validation set to select the weights based on the best validation-loss score. This approach was applied to two sampled datasets, such as where the no-wildfire class can significantly outweigh the wildfire class. The normal DNN training strategy was unable to map wildfires for the highly imbalanced dataset, however, the weight-selection strategy was able to map wildfires very accurately (0.96 recall score for 78,702 wildfire pixels (500×500 m)).

Langford, Zach↗

Soil nitrogen mineralization rates, nutrient stocks, stable isotopes, and water volumetric measurements across terrestrial-aquatic interfaces from three wetlands at the Tanglewood Biological Station, Alabama

This dataset supports a broader study investigating wetland hydrologic and biogeochemical responses to inundation events. Soil samples were collected across four sampling events along terrestrial-aquatic gradients at three wetland sites located within the Tanglewood Biological Station in Alabama from April 2024 to June 2025. The contents in this data package include soil in-situ nitrogen mineralization rates (measurements of net nitrification, net ammonification, and net mineralization), nutrient stocks (total carbon, total nitrogen, and organic matter), stable isotopes (carbon and nitrogen), and water volumetric measurements (water-filled pore space). Water level data related to each wetland location can be found at https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/view/doi:10.15485/2530253 (Kirker et al., 2024), related water geochemistry data can be found at https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/datasets/doi:10.15485/3001967 (Forbes et al., 2025), and related surface water sediment chemistry data can be found at https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/datasets/doi:10.15485/3377325 (Molina Serpas et al., 2026). In addition to this readme, this data package also includes a file-level metadata (FLMD) file that describes each file and a data dictionary (DD) that describes all column/row headers and variable definitions. This dataset is comprised of (1) file-level metadata; (2) data dictionary; (3) field metadata and international generic sample numbers (IGSNs); (4) readme; (5) the field protocol; and (6) a subfolder with sample data. The sample data subfolder contains (1) net nitrification rate, (2) net ammonification rate, (3) areal net mineralization rate, (4) percent organic matter, (5) water-filled pore space, (6) total carbon content, (7) total nitrogen content, (8) stable carbon isotope (delta carbon-13), and (9) stable nitrogen isotope (delta nitrogen-15), and (10) methods codes. All files are .csv or .pdf.

13-C↗

Temporal Variability in Reservoir Surface Area Is an Important Source of Uncertainty in GHG Emission Estimates

Ebullitive methane (CH 4 ) emissions in lentic ecosystems tend to concentrate at river-lake interfaces and within shallow littoral zones. However, inconsistent definitions of the littoral zone and static representations of the lake or reservoir surface area contribute to major uncertainties in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions estimates, particularly in reservoirs with large water-level fluctuations. This study examines temporal variation in littoral and total surface areas of US reservoirs and demonstrates how different methods and data sources lead to discrepencies in reservoir GHG emissions at large scales and over time. We also explore variability in remotely sensed water occurrence according to maximum surface area, reservoir purposes, and hydrologic regions. Notably, the largest relative variability in surface area is exhibited by small reservoirs with a maximum surface area <1 km 2 and non-hydroelectric reservoirs. Additionally, we use a case study of measured CH 4 emissions from the southeastern United States (Douglas Reservoir) to illustrate the effects of varying surface area on reservoir-wide GHG estimates. Upscaled CH 4 emissions in Douglas Reservoir differed by nearly two-fold depending on the source of total surface area data and whether estimates accounted for seasonal fluctuations in surface area. During seasonal drawdown in Douglas Reservoir, relative littoral area varies non-linearly; periods of lower pool elevation (and thus larger relative littoral area) likely contribute disproportionately high CH 4 emission rates compared to the commonly sampled summer season when water levels are at full-pool elevation. Improved GHG monitoring and upscaling techniques require accounting for temporal variability in reservoir surface extent and littoral area.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Report on Status of Shipment of High Fluence Austenitic Steel Samples for Characterization and Stress Corrosion Crack Testing

The goal of the Mechanisms of Irradiation Assisted Stress Corrosion Cracking (IASCC) task in the LWRS Program is to conduct experimental research into understanding how multiple variables influence the crack initiation and crack growth in materials subjected to stress under corrosive conditions. This includes understanding the influences of alloy composition, radiation condition, water chemistry and metallurgical starting condition (i.e., previous cold work or heat treatments and the resulting microstructure) has on the behavior of materials. Testing involves crack initiation and growth testing on irradiated specimens of single-variable alloys in simulated Light Water Reactor (LWR) environments, tensile testing, hardness testing, microstructural and microchemical analysis, and detailed efforts to characterize localized deformation. Combined, these single-variable experiments will provide mechanistic understanding that can be used to identify key operational variables to mitigate or control IASCC, optimize inspection and maintenance schedules to the most susceptible materials/locations, and, in the long-term, design IASCC-resistant materials. In support of this research, efforts are currently underway to arrange shipment of “free” high fluence austenitic alloys available through Électricité de France (EDF) for post irradiation testing at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and IASCC testing at the University of Michigan. These high fluence materials range in damage values from 45 to 125 displacements per atom (dpa). The samples identified for transport to the United States, which include nine, no-cost, 304, 308 and 316 tensile bars, were relocated from the Research Institute of Atomic Reactors (RIAR) in Dimitrovgrad, Ulyanovsk Oblast, Russia, and received at the Halden Reactor in Halden, Norway, on August 23, 2016. ORNL has been notified that a significant amount of work is required to prepare the samples for further shipment to Oak Ridge, Tennessee. The preliminary work for sample shipment between Halden and Oak Ridge includes fabrication of an inner cask sample container, decontamination and preparation of a Type A container, preparation of new activity calculations, all necessary paperwork, and handling. ORNL will continue to work to track progress of sample preparation and shipment status, and to work toward an agreement that covers material shipping costs between the Halden Reactor and the Oak Ridge National Laboratory.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Characterization of the VVV Survey RR Lyrae Population across the Southern Galactic Plane

Deep near-IR images from the VISTA Variables in the Vía Láctea (VVV) Survey were used to search for RR Lyrae stars in the Southern Galactic plane. A sizable sample of 404 RR Lyrae of type ab stars was identified across a thin slice of the fourth Galactic quadrant (295° < ℓ < 350°, −2.°24 < b < −1.°05). The sample’s distance distribution exhibits a maximum density that occurs at the bulge tangent point, which implies that this primarily Oosterhoff type I population of RRab stars does not trace the bar delineated by their red clump counterparts. The bulge RR Lyrae population does not extend beyond ℓ ∼ 340°, and the sample’s spatial distribution presents evidence of density enhancements and substructure that warrants further investigation. Indeed, the sample may be employed to evaluate Galactic evolution models, and is particularly lucrative since half of the discovered RR Lyrae are within reach of Gaia astrometric observations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Selection of Spectral Variables and Improvement of the Accuracy of Calibration of Temperature by Projection onto Latent Structures Using the Fluorescence Spectra of Yb{sup 3+}:CaF{sub 2}

The efficiency of interval methods for selecting variables and the divisive method of interval optimization by a genetic algorithm is considered with the purpose to increase the accuracy of temperature calibration by projection onto latent structures. The fluorescence spectra of Yb{sup 3+}:CaF{sub 2} recorded in the 880–1120 nm band with a resolution of approximately 0.2 nm in the temperature range from 66 to 150°C in 2°C increments are used as an example. The best result for the root-mean-square error of temperature prediction in the test sample (0.45°C) was obtained by interval projection onto latent structures by a combination of moving windows. The use of methods for selecting spectral variables improved more than two times the accuracy of temperature calibration.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Analysis of Lung Tumor Motion in a Large Sample: Patterns and Factors Influencing Precise Delineation of Internal Target Volume

Purpose/Objective: To evaluate lung tumor motion during respiration and to describe factors affecting the range and variability of motion in patients treated with stereotactic ablative radiation therapy. Methods and Materials: Log file analysis from online respiratory tumor tracking was performed in 145 patients. Geometric tumor location in the lungs, tumor volume and origin (primary or metastatic), sex, and tumor motion amplitudes in the superior-inferior (SI), latero-lateral (LL), and anterior-posterior (AP) directions were recorded. Tumor motion variability during treatment was described using intrafraction/interfraction amplitude variability and tumor motion baseline changes. Tumor movement dependent on the tumor volume, position and origin, and sex were evaluated using statistical regression and correlation analysis. Results: After analysis of >500 hours of data, the highest rates of motion amplitudes, intrafraction/interfraction variation, and tumor baseline changes were in the SI direction (6.0 ± 2.2 mm, 2.2 ± 1.8 mm, 1.1 ± 0.9 mm, and −0.1 ± 2.6 mm). The mean motion amplitudes in the lower/upper geometric halves of the lungs were significantly different (P<.001). Motion amplitudes >15 mm were observed only in the lower geometric quarter of the lungs. Higher tumor motion amplitudes generated higher intrafraction variations (R=.86, P<.001). Interfraction variations and baseline changes >3 mm indicated tumors contacting mediastinal structures or parietal pleura. On univariate analysis, neither sex nor tumor origin (primary vs metastatic) was an independent predictive factor of different movement patterns. Metastatic lesions in women, but not men, showed significantly higher mean amplitudes (P=.03) and variability (primary, 2.7 mm; metastatic, 4.9 mm; P=.002) than primary tumors. Conclusion: Online tracking showed significant irregularities in lung tumor movement during respiration. Motion amplitude was significantly lower in upper lobe tumors; higher interfraction amplitude variability indicated tumors in contact with mediastinal structures, although adhesion to parietal pleura did not necessarily reduce tumor motion amplitudes. The most variable lung tumors were metastatic lesions in women.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Global sensitivity analysis in stochastic simulators of uncertain reaction networks

Stochastic models of chemical systems are often subjected to uncertainties in kinetic parameters in addition to the inherent random nature of their dynamics. Uncertainty quantification in such systems is generally achieved by means of sensitivity analyses in which one characterizes the variability with the uncertain kinetic parameters of the first statistical moments of model predictions. In this work, we propose an original global sensitivity analysis method where the parametric and inherent variability sources are both treated through Sobol’s decomposition of the variance into contributions from arbitrary subset of uncertain parameters and stochastic reaction channels. The conceptual development only assumes that the inherent and parametric sources are independent, and considers the Poisson processes in the random-time-change representation of the state dynamics as the fundamental objects governing the inherent stochasticity. Here, a sampling algorithm is proposed to perform the global sensitivity analysis, and to estimate the partial variances and sensitivity indices characterizing the importance of the various sources of variability and their interactions. The birth-death and Schlögl models are used to illustrate both the implementation of the algorithm and the richness of the proposed analysis method. The output of the proposed sensitivity analysis is also contrasted with a local derivative-based sensitivity analysis method classically used for this type of systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

American Gut: an Open Platform for Citizen Science Microbiome Research

Although much work has linked the human microbiome to specific phenotypes and lifestyle variables, data from different projects have been challenging to integrate and the extent of microbial and molecular diversity in human stool remains unknown. Using standardized protocols from the Earth Microbiome Project and sample contributions from over 10,000 citizen-scientists, together with an open research network, we compare human microbiome specimens primarily from the United States, United Kingdom, and Australia to one another and to environmental samples. Our results show an unexpected range of beta-diversity in human stool microbiomes compared to environmental samples; demonstrate the utility of procedures for removing the effects of overgrowth during room-temperature shipping for revealing phenotype correlations; uncover new molecules and kinds of molecular communities in the human stool metabolome; and examine emergent associations among the microbiome, metabolome, and the diversity of plants that are consumed (rather than relying on reductive categorical variables such as veganism, which have little or no explanatory power). We also demonstrate the utility of the living data resource and cross-cohort comparison to confirm existing associations between the microbiome and psychiatric illness and to reveal the extent of microbiome change within one individual during surgery, providing a paradigm for open microbiome research and education. We show that a citizen science, self-selected cohort shipping samples through the mail at room temperature recaptures many known microbiome results from clinically collected cohorts and reveals new ones. Of particular interest is integrating n = 1 study data with the population data, showing that the extent of microbiome change after events such as surgery can exceed differences between distinct environmental biomes, and the effect of diverse plants in the diet, which we confirm with untargeted metabolomics on hundreds of samples.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Global Sensitivity of Simulated Water Balance Indicators Under Future Climate Change in the Colorado Basin

The Colorado River basin is a fundamentally important river for society, ecology and energy in the United States. Streamflow estimates are often provided using modeling tools which rely on uncertain parameters; sensitivity analysis can help determine which parameters impact model results. Despite the fact that simulated flows respond to changing climate and vegetation in the basin, parameter sensitivity of the simulations under climate change has rarely been considered. In this study, we conduct a global sensitivity analysis to relate changes in runoff, evapotranspiration, snow water equivalent and soil moisture to model parameters in the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrologic model. Here, we combine global sensitivity analysis with a space-filling Latin Hypercube sampling of the model parameter space and statistical emulation of the VIC model to examine sensitivities to uncertainties in 46 model parameters following a variance-based approach.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Mercury concentrations in Pacific lamprey ( Entosphenus tridentatus ) and sediments in the Columbia River basin: Mercury in Columbia River Pacific lamprey

We investigated mercury accumulation in Pacific lamprey and sediments in the Columbia River basin. Mercury concentrations in larval lamprey differed significantly among sample locations (P < 0.001) and were correlated with concentrations in sediments (r 2 = 0.83), whereas adult concentrations were highly variable (range 0.1–9.5 µg/g) and unrelated to holding time after collection. The results suggest that Pacific lamprey in the Columbia River basin may be exposed to mercury levels that have adverse ecological effects.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Diel variation in CO 2 flux is substantial in many lakes

Lakes play a significant role in the global carbon cycle, acting as sources and sinks of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ). In situ measurements of CO 2 flux (FCO 2 ) from lakes have generally been collected during daylight, despite indications of significant diel variability. This introduces bias when scaling up to whole-lake annual aquatic carbon budgets. We conducted an international sampling program to ascertain the extent of diel variation in FCO 2 across lakes. We sampled 21 lakes over 41 campaigns and measured FCO 2 at 4-h intervals over a full diel cycle. Rates of FCO 2 ranged from −3.16 to 4.39 mmol m −2 h −1 . Integrated over a day, FCO 2 ranged from −381.68 to 878.49 mg C m −2 d −1 (mean = 76.54) across campaigns. We identified three characteristic diel patterns in FCO 2 related to trophic status and show that for half of the campaigns, daily flux estimates were biased by > 50% if based on a single (daytime) measurement.

de Eyto, Elvira [Marine Institute, Mayo (Ireland)]↗

Structural, magnetic and electronic properties of Ti-doped BaFeO 3-δ exhibiting colossal dielectric permittivity

We report a systematical investigation of the structural, magnetic, electronic, and dielectric properties of BaFe 1-x Ti x O 3-δ (x = 0.05, 0.10, 0.15 and 0.20) samples synthesized via the solid-state reaction method. Rietveld refinement using a combination of room-temperature X-ray (XRD) and neutron powder diffraction (NPD) data confirms single phases with a 6H-type structure for all the samples. X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) study reveals a coexistence of Fe 3+ and Fe 4+ , whose ratio remains almost unchanged with increasing Ti concentration. Magnetization measurements reveal a low-temperature inhomogeneous magnetic state with coexisting ferromagnetic (FM), AFM clusters and a paramagnetic phase. Moreover, magnetization of x = 0.10 shows a pinched hysteresis loop behavior, suggesting the coexistence of hard and soft FM phases in samples with high Ti concentrations. Low-temperature NPD measurements also confirm the absence of any long-range magnetic order in the samples. A colossal dielectric permittivity and two relaxation processes are observed for most of the studied samples. There is a change in electric conduction mechanism from the small polaron hopping to the Mott's variable-range hopping with increasing Ti concentration.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Relationship between ductility and the porosity of additively manufactured AlSi10Mg

Additive manufacturing via selective laser melting can result in variable levels of internal porosity both between build plates and within components from the same build. In this work, sample porosity levels were compared to tensile properties for 176 samples spanning eight different build plates. Sample porosity was measured both by Archimedes density, which provided an estimation of overall porosity, and by observation of voids in the fracture surface, which provided an estimation of the porosity at the failure plane. The porosity observed at the fracture surface consistently demonstrated higher porosity than that suggested by Archimedes density. The porosity values obtained from both methods were compared against the mechanical results. Sample porosity appears to have some correlation to the ultimate tensile strength, yield strength, and modulus, but the strongest relationship is observed between porosity and ductility. Three different models were used to relate the fracture surface porosity to the ductility. The first method was a simple linear regression analysis, while the other two models have been used to relate porosity to ductility in cast alloys. It is shown that all three models fit the data well over the observed porosity ranges, suggesting that the models taken from casting theory can extend to additively manufactured metals. Finally, it is proposed that the non-destructive Archimedes method could be used to estimate an approximate sample ductility through the use of correlations realized here. Such a relationship could prove useful for design and for a deeper understanding of the impact of pores on tensile behavior.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Comparing deuterium excess to large-scale precipitation recycling models in the tropics

Precipitation recycling is essential to sustaining regional ecosystems and water supplies, and it is impacted by land development and climate change. This is especially true in the tropics, where dense vegetation greatly influences recycling. Unfortunately, large-scale models of recycling often exhibit high uncertainty, complicating efforts to estimate recycling. Here, we examine how deuterium excess (d-excess), a stable-isotope quantity sensitive to recycling effects, acts as an observational proxy for recycling. While past studies have connected variability in d-excess to precipitation origins at local or regional scales, our study leverages >3000 precipitation isotope samples to quantitatively compare d-excess against three contemporary recycling models across the global tropics. Using rank-correlation, we find statistically significant agreement ( $\bar \tau = 0.52$ τ ¯ = 0.52 to $0.70$ 0.70 ) between tropical d-excess and recycling that is strongly mediated by seasonal precipitation, vegetation density, and scale mismatch. Our results detail the complex relationship between d-excess and precipitation recycling, suggesting avenues for further investigation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Ultracool dwarfs candidates based on 6 yr of the Dark Energy Survey data

ABSTRACT We present a sample of 19 583 ultracool dwarf candidates brighter than z ≤23 selected from the Dark Energy Survey DR2 coadd data matched to VHS DR6, VIKING DR5, and AllWISE covering ∼ 480 deg2. The ultracool candidates were first pre-selected based on their (i–z), (z–Y), and (Y–J) colours. They were further classified using a method that compares their optical, near-infrared, and mid-infrared colours against templates of M, L, and T dwarfs. 14 099 objects are presented as new L and T candidates and the remaining objects are from the literature, including 5342 candidates from our previous work. Using this new and deeper sample of ultracool dwarf candidates we also present: 20 new candidate members to nearby young moving groups and associations, variable candidate sources and four new wide binary systems composed of two ultracool dwarfs. Finally, we also show the spectra of 12 new ultracool dwarfs discovered by our group and presented here for the first time. These spectroscopically confirmed objects are a sanity check of our selection of ultracool dwarfs and photometric classification method.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗