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At least 829 records · Page 46

Thermal Response of Thermoplastic Composite Tape During In-situ Consolidation Automated Fiber Placement Using a Laser Heat Source

Composite materials have tremendous potential in the design and manufacture of commercial aircraft due to their high strength-to-weight and stiffness-to-weight properties. However, the use of composite materials is currently limited by high cost and long manufacturing time. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) initiated the Hi-rate Composite Aircraft Manufacturing (HiCAM) project to investigate promising composite processing technologies with a goal of vastly improving composite commercial aircraft manufacturing rate (4-6x faster than current production rates). Laser assisted automated fiber placement (AFP) of thermoplastics is a key technology that could increase speed of composite manufacturing, but the technology has not been fully developed. In-situ consolidation AFP of thermoplastics (ICAT) could reduce time and cost even further by eliminating the time and equipment required for post-consolidation. In this work, the thermal response of laser heated ICAT was investigated using forward looking infrared (FLIR) and embedded thermocouples (TCs) to better understand fusion between layers (autohesion). Detailed explanation of the algorithm to combine FLIR and TC data will be presented. In addition, the effect of robot speed on time above melting temperature was quantified.

Laser Heating↗

Spatiotemporal Evolution of Marine Heatwaves Globally

The spatiotemporal evolution of marine heatwaves (MHWs) is explored using a tracking algorithm termed Ocetrac that provides objective characterization of MHW spatiotemporal evolution. Candidate MHW grid points are defined in detrended gridded sea temperature data using a seasonally varying temperature threshold. Identified MHW points are collected into spatially distinct objects using edge detection with weak sensitivity to edge detection and size threshold criteria. These MHW objects are followed in space and time while allowing objects to split and merge. Ocetrac is applied to monthly satellite sea surface temperature data from September 1981 through January 2021. The resulting MHWs are characterized by their intensity, duration, and total area covered. The global analysis shows that MHWs in the Gulf of Maine and Mediterranean Sea evolve within a relatively small region, while major MHWs in the Pacific and Indian Oceans are linked in space and time. The largest and most long lasting MHW using this method lasts for 60 months from November 2013 to October 2018, encompassing previously identified MHW events including those in the Northeast Pacific (2014-2015), the Tasman Sea (2015-2016, 2017-2018), and the Great Barrier Reef (2016).

spatiotemporal↗

Predicting Maximum Thermal Response in a Li-ion Cell as a Thermal Runaway Predictor for a UAV Fight

As the energy storage devices continue to "pack" more energy in a small space, any damage, battery component failure, manufacturing defect, or electrically abusing the battery can lead to catastrophic thermal runaway events. A catastrophic thermal event in a cell leads to high temperature, in some instances to spewing of battery materials due to gas development from side reactions initiated due to high internal temperatures. Moreover, a thermal runaway can propagate from a single "failed" cell to a whole battery pack, resulting in a more serious event. The commercial and automotive sectors need to mitigate thermal runaway events. An electric aircraft (or air taxi) has no alternative in the event of a failure, so preventing such events is paramount. Currently, battery prognostics algorithms only predict the state-of-charge (SOC) and end-of-life (EOL) of a Li-ion battery in a UAV (unmanned air vehicle), but do not predict the maximum temperature during a flight or the likelihood of thermal runaway. Our current work focuses on adding the thermal model (based on Birkl's OCV model, in Ref. [1]) to the existing hybrid electrochemical model (single-particle model with lumped parameters as in Ref. [2]) to determine end-of-discharge, end-of-life, and maximum temperature during discharge.

Thermal runaway↗

Use of Collocated KWAJEX Satellite, Aircraft, and Ground Measurements for Understanding Ambiguities in TRMM Radiometer Rain Profile Algorithm

Coordinated ground, aircraft, and satellite observations are analyzed from the 1999 TRMM Kwajalein Atoll field experiment (KWAJEX) to better understand the relationships between cloud microphysical processes and microwave radiation intensities in the context of physical evaluation of the Level 2 TRMM radiometer rain profile algorithm and uncertainties with its assumed microphysics-radiation relationships. This talk focuses on the results of a multi-dataset analysis based on measurements from KWAJEX surface, air, and satellite platforms to test the hypothesis that uncertainties in the passive microwave radiometer algorithm (TMI 2a12 in the nomenclature of TRMM) are systematically coupled and correlated with the magnitudes of deviation of the assumed 3-dimensional microphysical properties from observed microphysical properties. Re-stated, this study focuses on identifying the weaknesses in the operational TRMM 2a12 radiometer algorithm based on observed microphysics and radiation data in terms of over-simplifications used in its theoretical microphysical underpinnings. The analysis makes use of a common transform coordinate system derived from the measuring capabilities of the aircraft radiometer used to survey the experimental study area, i.e., the 4-channel AMPR radiometer flown on the NASA DC-8 aircraft. Normalized emission and scattering indices derived from radiometer brightness temperatures at the four measuring frequencies enable a 2-dimensional coordinate system that facilities compositing of Kwajalein S-band ground radar reflectivities, ARMAR Ku-band aircraft radar reflectivities, TMI spacecraft radiometer brightness temperatures, PR Ku-band spacecraft radar reflectivities, bulk microphysical parameters derived from the aircraft-mounted cloud microphysics laser probes (including liquid/ice water contents, effective liquid/ice hydrometeor radii, and effective liquid/ice hydrometeor variances), and rainrates derived from any of the individual ground, aircraft, or satellite algorithms applied to the radar or radiometer measurements, or their combination. The results support the study's underlying hypothesis, particularly in context of ice phase processes, in that the cloud regions where the 2a12 algorithm's microphysical database most misrepresents the microphysical conditions as determined by the laser probes, are where retrieved surface rainrates are most erroneous relative to other reference rainrates as determined by ground and aircraft radar. In reaching these conclusions, TMI and PR brightness temperatures and reflectivities have been synthesized from the aircraft AMPR and ARMAR measurements with the analysis conducted in a composite framework to eliminate measurement noise associated with the case study approach and single element volumes obfuscated by heterogeneous beam filling effects. In diagnosing the performance of the 2a12 algorithm, weaknesses have been found in the cloud-radiation database used to provide microphysical guidance to the algorithm for upper cloud ice microphysics. It is also necessary to adjust a fractional convective rainfall factor within the algorithm somewhat arbitrarily to achieve satisfactory algorithm accuracy.

Smith, Eric A.↗

Application of Quasi-Deep Convective Clouds Method for VIIRS and MODIS TEB Calibration Assessments

A technique that utilizes quasi-deep convective clouds (qDCC) for the calibration assessment of the thermal emissive bands (TEB) on remote sensing instruments has been proven viable. The Terra and Aqua MODIS and S-NPP and NOAA-20 VIIRS TEB calibration uses a nonlinear algorithm whose nonlinear coefficients rely on on-orbit blackbody (BB) warm-up and cooldown operations for updates. However, a limited BB temperature range affects the calibration’s accuracy particularly for cold scenes. The deep convective clouds (DCC) core, one of the coldest Earth scenes, is suitable for MODIS calibration assessments; more specifically, for the evaluation of the offset term’s effect in its TEB quadratic calibration function. Moreover, nighttime qDCC measurements provide with the advantage of removing solar reflectance effects during daytime, thus enhancing the assessment’s accuracy for the midwave infrared TEB. In this paper, this qDCC method is applied to the Terra MODIS and VIIRS TEB; and their stabilities are assessed using long-term qDCC trending measurements over the instruments’ missions. The measurements from bands with an 11-μm wavelength are used to identify the DCC pixels. The 11-μm bands, MODIS band 31 and VIIRS bands M15 and I5, are stable throughout the MODIS and VIIRS missions and have shown excellent calibration accuracy and noise performance. Hence, using these bands as references, a normalization method is employed to enhance the accuracy of the stability and consistency assessments. The S-NPP VIIRS TEB show stable trends over the instrument’s mission. The S-NPP-to-N20 VIIRS comparison shows their TEB measurements are consistent over qDCC. The Terra MODIS TEB also show stable performance – except for bands 27, 29, and 30. Terra MODIS band 30 shows a large downward trend throughout the mission, while bands 27 and 29 show slight, upward drifts. Lastly, a calibration correction using qDCC assessments is discussed and intended to be used in a future calibration algorithm collection.

MODIS↗

Application of Commercial Non-Dispersive Infrared Spectroscopy Sensors for Sub-Ambient Carbon Dioxide Detection

Monitoring carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration within a spacecraft or spacesuit is critically important to ensuring the safety of the crew. Carbon dioxide uniquely absorbs light at wavelengths of 3.95 micrometers and 4.26 micrometers. As a result, non-dispersive infrared (NDIR) spectroscopy can be employed as a reliable and inexpensive method for the quantification of CO2 within the atmosphere. A multitude of commercial-off-the-shelf (COTS) NDIR sensors exist for CO2 quantification. The COTS sensors provide reasonable accuracy so long as the measurements are attained under conditions close to the calibration conditions of the sensor (typically 21.1 C and 1 atm). However, as pressure deviates from atmospheric to the pressures associated with a spacecraft (8.0-10.2 PSIA) or spacesuit (4.1-8.0 PSIA), the error in the measurement grows increasingly large. In addition to pressure and temperature dependencies, the infrared transmissivity through a volume of gas also depends on the composition of the gas. As the composition is not known a priori, accurate sub-ambient detection must rely on iterative sensor compensation techniques. This manuscript describes the development of recursive compensation algorithms for sub-ambient detection of CO2 with COTS NDIR sensors. In addition, the basis of the exponential loss in accuracy is developed theoretically considering thermal, Doppler, and Lorentz broadening effects which arise as a result of the temperature, pressure, and composition of the gas mixture under analysis. As a result, this manuscript provides an approach to employing COTS sensors at sub-ambient conditions and may also lend insight into designing future NDIR sensors for aerospace application.

Swickrath, Michael J.↗

Development of a Numerical Model for High-Temperature Shape Memory Alloys

A thermomechanical hysteresis model for a high-temperature shape memory alloy (HTSMA) actuator material is presented. The model is capable of predicting strain output of a tensile-loaded HTSMA when excited by arbitrary temperature-stress inputs for the purpose of actuator and controls design. Common quasi-static generalized Preisach hysteresis models available in the literature require large sets of experimental data for model identification at a particular operating point, and substantially more data for multiple operating points. The novel algorithm introduced here proposes an alternate approach to Preisach methods that is better suited for research-stage alloys, such as recently-developed HTSMAs, for which a complete database is not yet available. A detailed description of the minor loop hysteresis model is presented in this paper, as well as a methodology for determination of model parameters. The model is then qualitatively evaluated with respect to well-established Preisach properties and against a set of low-temperature cycled loading data using a modified form of the one-dimensional Brinson constitutive equation. The computationally efficient algorithm demonstrates adherence to Preisach properties and excellent agreement to the validation data set.

DeCastro, Jonathan A.↗

On a satellite scatterometer as an anemometer

The Seasat-A satellite scatterometer (SASS) wind-algorithm was tested against surface wind fields. Three classes of surface wind fields were used; point measurements, an isotach field over an intensively measured triangle with 200 km sides, and synoptic scale winds determined from pressure and temperature fields and a planetary boundary layer model. These comparisons can verify optimal capabilities of SASS at accuracies of + or - 2 m/s and + or - 20 deg. SASS ability to locate fronts accurately is also established. Complications in nonsteady, highly variable fields indicate problems exist in unqualified application of the SASS algorithm to all conditions.

Brown, R. A.↗

Early Results from the MODIS Atmosphere Cloud Algorithms

The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) is one of five instruments aboard the Terra Earth Observing System platform launched in December 1999. With 36 spectral bands from the visible through the infrared, and spatial resolution from 250m to 1km, the instrument provides an unprecedented opportunity for global cloud studies. A comprehensive set of remote sensing algorithms for cloud masking and retrieval of cloud physical and optical properties have been developed by members of the MODIS atmosphere team. The archived products from these algorithms have applications in climate change studies, climate modeling, numerical weather prediction, as well as fundamental atmospheric research. In addition to an extensive cloud mask, products include cloud top physical parameters (temperature, pressure, emissivity), cloud phase, cloud optical parameters (optical depth, effective particle radius, water path), visible cirrus reflectance, a contrail flag, and other derived parameters. All products are archived into two categories: pixel-level retrievals at a 1 km or 5 km spatial resolution at nadir (referred to as Level-2 products) and 1 degree global gridded statistics (Level-3 products). An overview of the MODIS atmosphere algorithms and products, their status, validation activities, and early level-2 and -3 results will be presented.

Platnick, S.↗

High Lapse Rates in AIRS Retrieved Temperatures in Cold Air Outbreaks

The Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) experiment, on NASA's Aqua spacecraft, uses a combination of infrared and microwave observations to retrieve cloud and surface properties, plus temperature and water vapor profiles comparable to radiosondes throughout the troposphere, for cloud cover up to 70%. The high spectral resolution of AIRS provides sensitivity to important information about the near-surface atmosphere and underlying surface. A preliminary analysis of AIRS temperature retrievals taken during January 2003 reveals extensive areas of superadiabatic lapse rates in the lowest kilometer of the atmosphere. These areas are found predominantly east of North America over the Gulf Stream, and, off East Asia over the Kuroshio Current. Accompanying the high lapse rates are low air temperatures, large sea-air temperature differences, and low relative humidities. Imagery from a Visible / Near Infrared instrument on the AIRS experiment shows accompanying clouds. These lines of evidence all point to shallow convection in the bottom layer of a cold air mass overlying warm water, with overturning driven by heat flow from ocean to atmosphere. An examination of operational radiosondes at six coastal stations in Japan shows AIRS to be oversensitive to lower tropospheric lapse rates due to systematically warm near-surface air temperatures. The bias in near-surface air temperature is seen to be independent of sea surface temperature, however. AIRS is therefore sensitive to air-sea temperature difference, but with a warm atmospheric bias. A regression fit to radiosondes is used to correct AIRS near-surface retrieved temperatures, and thereby obtain an estimate of the true atmosphere-ocean thermal contrast in five subtropical regions across the north Pacific. Moving eastward, we show a systematic shift in this air-sea temperature differences toward more isothermal conditions. These results, while preliminary, have implications for our understanding of heat flow from ocean to atmosphere. We anticipate future improvements in the AIRS retrieval algorithm will lead to improved understanding of the exchange of sensible and latent heat from ocean to atmosphere, and more realistic near-surface lapse rates.

cold air outbreak↗

Comparing Cumulative Flight Thermal Fatigue to Ground Test Results for Memory Components on the Mars Curiosity Rover

This paper explores the methods used to examine Mars Curiosity Rover’s flight temperature data to the Package Qualification and Verification (PQV) accelerated thermal cycle life test data in response to flight anomalies. The redundant Rover Compute Element (RCE-A, B) has experienced an inability to mount the flash memory several times. The leading cause of these anomalies is likely the loss of electrical connectivity, which is theorized to be due to cracks on the memory component solder joints by thermal cycle fatigue. To investigate this theory, the number of thermal cycles accumulated in flight was compared to PQV accelerated thermal cycle life test data. The goal of this study was to inform mission operations of the risk associated with thermal cycling damage on the RCE. However, since the RCE-B does not have continuous temperature data from the Platinum Resistance Thermometer (PRT) closest to the flash memory, a model was made to correlate continuous data from two other nearby sensors on the RCE-B to the noncontiguous sensor. Using the Rainflow Counting Algorithm, the reconstituted data was converted into the number of equivalent thermal cycles. The Coffin-Manson Equation was used to compare flight thermal cycles to the PQV test. The accelerated life test showed cracking on the memory component solder joints after 500 cycles of 80°C temperature excursions. This study found that the RCE-A and RCE-B have undergone an equivalent of 144 and 430 cycles of 80°C temperature excursions during flight, respectively.

Berger, Lindsey N↗

Comparing Cumulative Flight Thermal Fatigue to Ground Test Results for Memory Components on the Mars Curiosity Rover

This paper explores the methods used to examine Mars Curiosity Rover’s flight temperature data in relation to the Package Qualification and Verification (PQV) accelerated thermal cycle life test data in response to flight anomalies. The redundant Rover Compute Element (RCE-A, B) has experienced an inability to mount the flash memory several times. The leading cause of these anomalies is likely the loss of electrical connectivity, which is theorized to be due to cracks on the memory component solder joints by thermal cycle fatigue. To investigate this theory, the number of thermal cycles accumulated in flight was compared to PQV accelerated thermal cycle life test data. The goal of this study was to inform mission operations of the risk associated with thermal cycling damage on the RCE. However, since the RCE-B does not have continuous temperature data from the Platinum Resistance Thermometer (PRT) closest to the flash memory, a model was made to correlate continuous data from two other nearby sensors on the RCE-B to the noncontiguous sensor. Using the Rainflow Counting Algorithm, the reconstituted data was converted into the number of equivalent thermal cycles. The Coffin-Manson Equation was used to compare flight thermal cycles to the PQV test. The accelerated life test showed cracking on the memory component solder joints after 500 cycles of 80°C temperature excursions. This study found that the RCE-A and RCE-B have undergone an equivalent of 144 and 430 cycles of 80°C temperature excursions during flight, respectively.

Bell, Charles↗

Analysis of the MODIS Above-Cloud Aerosol Retrieval Algorithm Using MCARS

The Multi-sensor Cloud and Aerosol Retrieval Simulator (MCARS) presently produces synthetic radiance data from Goddard Earth Observing System version 5 (GEOS-5) model output as if the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) was viewing a combination of atmospheric column inclusive of clouds, aerosols and a variety of gases and land/ocean surface at a specific location. In this paper we use MCARS to study the MODIS Above-Cloud AEROsol retrieval algorithm (MOD06ACAERO). MOD06ACAERO is presently a regional research algorithm able to retrieve aerosol optical thickness over clouds, in particular absorbing biomass burning aerosols overlying marine boundary layer clouds in the Southeastern Atlantic Ocean. The algorithm’s ability to provide aerosol information in cloudy conditions makes it a valuable source of information for modeling and climate studies n an area where current clear sky-only operational MODIS aerosol retrievals effectively have a data gap between the months of June and October. We use MCARS for a verification and closure study of the MOD06ACAERO algorithm. The purpose of this study is to develop a set of constraints a model developer might use during assimilation of MOD06ACAERO data. Our simulations indicate that the MOD06ACAERO algorithm performs well for marine boundary layer clouds in the SE Atlantic provided some specific screening rules are observed. For the present study, a combination of five simulated MODIS data granules was used for a dataset of 13.5 million samples with known input conditions. When pixel retrieval uncertainty was less than 30%, optical thickness of the underlying cloud layer was greater than 4 and scattering angle range within the cloud bow was excluded, MOD06ACAERO retrievals agreed with the underlying ground truth (GEOS-5 cloud and aerosol profiles used to generate the synthetic radiances) with a slope of 0.913, offset of 0.06, and RMSE=0.107. When only near-nadir pixels were considered (view zenith angle within +/-20 degrees) the agreement with source data further improved (0.977, 0.051 and 0.096 respectively). Algorithm closure was examined using a single case out of the five 38 used for verification. For closure, the MOD06ACAERO code was modified to use GEOS-5 temperature and moisture profiles as ancillary. Agreement of MOD06ACAERO retrievals with source data for the closure study had a slope of 0.996 with offset -0.007 and RMSE of 0.097 at pixel uncertainty level of less than 40%, illustrating the benefits of high-quality ancillary atmospheric data for such retrievals.

MODIS↗

Accuracy of Geophysical Parameters Derived from AIRS/AMSU as a Function of Fractional Cloud Cover

AIRS was launched on EOS Aqua on May 4,2002, together with AMSU A and HSB, to form a next generation polar orbiting infrared and microwave atmospheric sounding system. The primary products of AIRS/AMSU are twice daily global fields of atmospheric temperature-humidity profiles, ozone profiles, sea/land surface skin temperature, and cloud related parameters including OLR. The sounding goals of AIRS are to produce 1 km tropospheric layer mean temperatures with an rms error of lK, and layer precipitable water with an rms error of 20 percent, in cases with up to 80 percent effective cloud cover. The basic theory used to analyze Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder/Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit/Humidity Sounder Brazil (AIRS/AMSU/HSB) data in the presence of clouds, called the at-launch algorithm, was described previously. Pre-launch simulation studies using this algorithm indicated that these results should be achievable. Some modifications have been made to the at-launch retrieval algorithm as described in this paper. Sample fields of parameters retrieved from AIRS/AMSU/HSB data are presented and validated as a function of retrieved fractional cloud cover. As in simulation, the degradation of retrieval accuracy with increasing cloud cover is small and the RMS accuracy of lower tropospheric temperature retrieved with 80 percent cloud cover is about 0.5 K poorer than for clear cases. HSB failed in February 2003, and consequently HSB channel radiances are not used in the results shown in this paper. The AIRS/AMSU retrieval algorithm described in this paper, called Version 4, become operational at the Goddard DAAC (Distributed Active Archive Center) in April 2003 and is being used to analyze near-real time AIRS/AMSU data. Historical AIRS/AMSU data, going backwards from March 2005 through September 2002, is also being analyzed by the DAAC using the Version 4 algorithm.

Susskind, Joel↗

Subvisual-thin cirrus lidar dataset for satellite verification and climatological research

A polarization (0.694 microns wavelength) lidar dataset for subvisual and thin (bluish-colored) cirrus clouds is drawn from project FIRE (First ISCCP Regional Experiment) extended time observations. The clouds are characterized by their day-night visual appearance; base, top, and optical midcloud heights and temperatures; measured physical and estimated optical cloud thicknesses; integrated linear depolarization ratios; and derived k/2 eta ratios. A subset of the data supporting 30 NOAA polar-orbiting satellite overpasses is given in tabular form to provide investigators with the means to test cloud retrieval algorithms and establish the limits of cirrus detectability from satellite measurements under various conditions. Climatologically, subvisual-thin cirrus appear to be higher, colder, and more strongly depolarizing than previously reported multilatitude cirrus, although similar k/2 eta that decrease with height and temperature are found.

Sassen, Kenneth↗

Improved AIRS/AMSU Surface and Atmospheric Soundings Under Partial Cloud Cover Using an AIRS Only Cloud Clearing Approach

AIRS was launched on EOS Aqua on May 4,2002, together with AMSU-A and HSB, to form a next generation polar orbiting infrared and microwave atmospheric sounding system. This paper describes the latest scientific advances made in the AIRS Science Team Version 5.0 retrieval algorithm. Starting in early 2007, the Goddard DAAC will use this algorithm to analyze near real time AIRS/AMSU observations. These products are then made available to the scientific community for research purposes. The products include twice daily measurements of the Earth's three dimensional global temperature, water vapor, and ozone distribution as well as cloud cover. In addition, accurate twice daily measurements of the earth's land and ocean temperatures are derived and reported. Scientists use this important set of observations for two major uses. They provide important information for climate studies of global and regional variability and trends of different aspects of the earth's atmosphere. They also provide information for researchers to improve the skill of weather forecasting. A very important new product of the AIRS Version 5 algorithm is accurate case-by-case error estimates of the retrieved products. This heightens their utility for use in both weather and climate applications. These error estimates are also used directly for quality control of the retrieved products.

Susskind, Dr. Joel↗

Recent Theoretical Advances in Analysis of AIRS/AMSU Sounding Data

AIRS was launched on EOS Aqua on May 4,2002, together with AMSU-A and HSB, to form a next generation polar orbiting infrared and microwave atmospheric sounding system. This paper describes the AIRS Science Team Version 5.0 retrieval algorithm. Starting in early 2007, the Goddard DAAC will use this algorithm to analyze near real time AIRS/AMSU observations. These products are then made available to the scientific community for research purposes. The products include twice daily measurements of the Earth's three dimensional global temperature, water vapor, and ozone distribution as well as cloud cover. In addition, accurate twice daily measurements of the earth's land and ocean temperatures are derived and reported. Scientists use this important set of observations for two major applications. They provide important information for climate studies of global and regional variability and trends of different aspects of the earth's atmosphere. They also provide information for researchers to improve the skill of weather forecasting. A very important new product of the AIRS Version 5 algorithm is accurate case-by-case error estimates of the retrieved products. This heightens their utility for use in both weather and climate applications. These error estimates are also used directly for quality control of the retrieved products. Version 5 also allows for accurate quality controlled AIRS only retrievals, called "Version 5 AO retrievals" which can be used as a backup methodology if AMSU fails. Examples of the accuracy of error estimates and quality controlled retrieval products of the AIRS/AMSU Version 5 and Version 5 AO algorithms are given, and shown to be significantly better than the previously used Version 4 algorithm. Assimilation of Version 5 retrievals are also shown to significantly improve forecast skill, especially when the case-by-case error estimates are utilized in the data assimilation process.

Susskind, Joel↗

Virtual Sensors: Using Data Mining to Efficiently Estimate Spectra

Detecting clouds within a satellite image is essential for retrieving surface geophysical parameters, such as albedo and temperature, from optical and thermal imagery because the retrieval methods tend to be valid for clear skies only. Thus, routine satellite data processing requires reliable automated cloud detection algorithms that are applicable to many surface types. Unfortunately, cloud detection over snow and ice is difficult due to the lack of spectral contrast between clouds and snow. Snow and clouds are both highly reflective in the visible wavelen,ats and often show little contrast in the thermal Infrared. However, at 1.6 microns, the spectral signatures of snow and clouds differ enough to allow improved snow/ice/cloud discrimination. The recent Terra and Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectro-Radiometer (MODIS) sensors have a channel (channel 6) at 1.6 microns. Presently the most comprehensive, long-term information on surface albedo and temperature over snow- and ice-covered surfaces comes from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer ( AVHRR) sensor that has been providing imagery since July 1981. The earlier AVHRR sensors (e.g. AVHRR/2) did not however have a channel designed for discriminating clouds from snow, such as the 1.6 micron channel available on the more recent AVHRR/3 or the MODIS sensors. In the absence of the 1.6 micron channel, the AVHRR Polar Pathfinder (APP) product performs cloud detection using a combination of time-series analysis and multispectral threshold tests based on the satellite's measuring channels to produce a cloud mask. The method has been found to work reasonably well over sea ice, but not so well over the ice sheets. Thus, improving the cloud mask in the APP dataset would be extremely helpful toward increasing the accuracy of the albedo and temperature retrievals, as well as extending the time-series of albedo and temperature retrievals from the more recent sensors to the historical ones. In this work, we use data mining methods to construct a model of MODIS channel 6 as a function of other channels that are common to both MODIS and AVHRR. The idea is to use the model to generate the equivalent of MODIS channel 6 for AVHRR as a function of the AVHRR equivalents to MODIS channels. We call this a Virtual Sensor because it predicts unmeasured spectra. The goal is to use this virtual channel 6. to yield a cloud mask superior to what is currently used in APP . Our results show that several data mining methods such as multilayer perceptrons (MLPs), ensemble methods (e.g., bagging), and kernel methods (e.g., support vector machines) generate channel 6 for unseen MODIS images with high accuracy. Because the true channel 6 is not available for AVHRR images, we qualitatively assess the virtual channel 6 for several AVHRR images.

Srivastava, Ashok↗