Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Intact”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 847 records · Page 47

Microbial drivers of global change at the aggregate scale: linking genomic function to carbon metabolism and warming

Understanding and accurately predicting the microbial cycling of carbon in soil environments has been challenged by our ability to associate microbial community dynamics into ecosystem-scale biogeochemical models. Soil fractionation techniques provide an opportunity to examine intact microbial communities in a context that is relevant to both microbial community metabolism and ecosystem processes. We developed approaches that targeted metabolically active microorganisms and functions that drive carbon cycling in soils from bioenergy cropping systems. We used metatranscriptomics, genome sequencing, cell sorting, and cell isolation methods to access the key organisms involved in soil carbon cycling (e.g. cellulose decomposition) in soil aggregate fractions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

U.S. Efforts in Support of Examinations at Fukushima Daiichi: 2019 Evaluations

Much is still not known about the end-state of core materials in each unit that was operating on March 11, 2011 at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station (Daiichi). Information obtained from Daiichi is required to inform Decontamination and Decommissioning (D&D) activities, improving the ability of the Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated (TEPCO Holdings) to characterize potential hazards and to ensure the safety of workers involved with cleanup activities. This document, which has been updated to include Fiscal Year 2019 (FY2019) information, summarizes results from a U.S. effort to review Daiichi information and extract insights to enhance the safety of existing and future nuclear power plant designs. This U.S. effort, which was initiated in 2014 by the Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy (DOE-NE), is completed by a group of experts in reactor safety and plant operations that identify examination needs and evaluate recent Daiichi examination data to address these needs. Each year, annual reports are issued that document significant safety insights being obtained in areas of special emphasis. For FY2019, the areas emphasized by the expert panel include component performance, radionuclide surveys and sampling, debris end-state location, combustible gas effects, and plant operations and maintenance. In addition to reducing uncertainties related to severe accident modeling progression, these insights have and continue to be used to update guidance for severe accident prevention, mitigation, and emergency planning. Reduced uncertainties in modeling the events at Daiichi improve the realism of reactor safety evaluations that inform future D&D activities. In addition, the process established by this U.S. effort provides an example that Japan may wish to implement in future international efforts to support D&D. As emphasized in this FY2019 report, important insights are being gained from examinations of the affected units at Daiichi. Although many results from prior years have been moved to appendices, key areas of interest are highlighted in the main document. For example, larger intact components and fuel containing materials observed on the floor of the primary containment and retained on ex-vessel structures continue to be emphasized because of insights that may be gained with respect to vessel failure and ex-vessel interactions with structures and concrete. In addition, the main report presents insights gained by focused evaluations of plant data because of potential use of systems and components during severe accident conditions and alternate perspectives regarding accident progression that may be inferred from such data. The report also illustrates how systems analysis codes can be applied to reduce uncertainties about the progression of events at Daiichi and how practical insights obtained from Daiichi can be used to enhance radiation safety for the existing fleet. Recent and planned updates to systems analysis codes are also discussed. As in prior years, this report contains an appendix with a list of examination needs that was updated after U.S. experts reviewed recently obtained information from Daiichi. Additional details for higher priority, near-term, examination activities are also provided. This report also includes an appendix with a description of a website that was developed to assist U.S. experts by providing information in an archived retrievable location.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Helium pressure increase inside GPHS clads: implications for formation of distended clads

Distension of GPHS clads has generally been attributed to gas buildup inside the clad. The bulging vent frit cover can be caused only by gas pressure, since the vent cover is isolated from the fuel by the vent frit. Gas generation is the only change expected as the oxide fuel ages. However, several data suggest that gas pressure is not the origin of the distension of the clad body. Gas pressure sufficient to distend the iridium body of the clad would be on the order of 1500 psi. This high pressure is very unlikely to be reached inside a GPHS clad, because the vent frit cover weld cannot sustain high pressures. Every distended clad that has been examined has an open vent frit, suggesting that the vent frit cover eventually opens on all distended GPHS clads. No gas pressure has been observed in any distended clad. In addition, the vent frit cover is sufficiently thin, about 2 grains thick, that diffusion of helium through the intact cover is possible and almost certainly occurs. Conversely, no clad has ever been definitively observed to distend after venting. Removal of the vent cover allows free escape of any radiolytically generated helium. However, there is little data on the behavior of vented GPHS. The vent cover is seldom removed at LANL, and vent covers are not removed on clads that will be stored. The vent covers are known to have been removed from the four clads residing in a module which was stored for 8 years. Expansion of the fuel is more likely to provide sufficient force on the iridium clad to distort the iridium metal. Radiographs indicate that the fuel inside a distended GPHS clad is also distended, filling all or most of the interior volume of the GPHS. No radiograph shows the fuel expanded and in contact with the weld shield and the distorted side of the GPHS clad without distension. However, radiography is infrequently done on stored clads unless they exhibit distension, so the dimensions of fuel in normal clads are not generally known.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

A Simple Hydride Model for Cerium Ejecta Particles

Cerium ejecta particles form after a shock wave impacts a cerium plate with a known roughness or prescribed surface perturbation. When these particles are ejected into hydrogen or deuterium gas the material reacts exothermically and raises the temperature of the particle relative to the gas. A simple model is developed, assuming that the particle remains intact and spherical, to capture the heat and mass transfer that occurs during this process. Model performance is evaluated by comparing with cerium ejecta experiments where the particles are ejected into deuterium gas at initial pressures of 4 and 8 atm. Overall, the model is able to capture the approximately 400 K increase in particle temperature above the surrounding gas temperature.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Shear Behavior of Bedded Salt Interfaces under Direct Shear Loading

Bedded salt contains interfaces between the host salt and other in situ materials such as clay seams, or different impurities such as anhydrite or polyhalite in contact with the salt. These inhomogeneities are thought to have first-order effects on the closure of nearby drifts and potential roof collapses. Despite their importance, characterizations of the peak shear strength and residual shear strength of interfaces in salt are extremely rare in the published literature. This paper presents results from laboratory experiments designed to measure the mechanical behavior of a bedding interface or clay seam as it is sheared. The series of laboratory direct shear tests reported in this paper were performed on several samples of materials from the Permian Basin in New Mexico. These tests were conducted at numerous normal and shear loads up to the expected in situ pre-mining stress conditions. Tests were performed on samples with a halite/clay contact, a halite/anhydrite contact, a halite/polyhalite contact, and on plain salt samples without an interface for comparison. Intact shear strength values were determined for all of the test samples along with residual values for the majority of the tests. The results indicated only a minor variation in shear strength, at a given normal stress, across all samples. This result was surprising because sliding along clay seams is regularly observed in the underground, suggesting the clay seam interfaces should be weaker than plain salt. Post-test inspections of these samples noted that salt crystals were intrinsic to the structure of the seam, which probably increased the shear strength as compared to a typical clay seam.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A Limited-In-Scope Comparison of Subsidence Scenarios For 3D Vadose Zone PORFLOW Trench Models

This technical memorandum summarizes the results from two separate sequences of 3D PORFLOW vadose zone flow and contaminant transport models that were used to test the impact of different spatial distributions of subsidence boundary conditions. More specifically, the two simulation setups used a general conceptual model for an engineered trench (ET): one with a subsided region specified in the center of the trench and one with a subsided region located at the end of the trench. Both subsided regions had the same geometric specifications (e.g., length, width, orientation), but used water infiltration rate boundary conditions that appropriately accounted for surface runoff and lateral drainage from the adjacent upslope intact regions of the final closure cap. Because of the substantially higher water infiltration rate associated with the subsided region at the end of the trench, this geometry produced higher absolute peak fluxes to the water table for all six radionuclides that were simulated. However, the slower release rate of the centrally located subsided hole geometry produced a higher flux to the water table in the time period subsequent to the absolute peak. A third model was implemented as a control, where the water infiltration rate that corresponds to the centrally located subsided region was applied at the end of the trench to highlight the purely geometric effects. The results show that a higher water infiltration rate produces a sharper peak, while a lower infiltration rate leads to a broader peak. A centrally located hole impacts more of the waste zone, producing a higher peak when an equal infiltration rate is applied. These generalized qualitative differences, and their impacts on the overall modeling workflow (i.e., from vadose zone models to limits and dose calculations), should receive appropriate consideration during the development of conceptual models.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Tank 22 Settled Sludge Core Sample Characterization and Testing

The Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) was requested by Savannah River Remediation (SRR) Engineering (SRR-E) to provide sample characterization and analyses of Tank 22 settled sludge core sample and the supernatant liquids (supernate) in support of Tank 22 re-baseline data, inhalation dose potential/hydrogen generation and suspension/removal of settled sludge from the bottom of Tank 22. The approximately 9.5 inches of intact Tank 22 core sample from SRR-E, after extrusion in the SRNL Shielded Cells, showed three visually different stratification layers or regions of solids in the extruded core material. Part of the initial physical characterization of these three segments of the Tank 22 core sample included density, weight percent total solids, particle size distribution, X-ray diffractions and scanning electron microscope of each segment material. Given the dissimilarity of the three Tank 22 segment materials after the physical characterization results and the fact that there was no clear line of demarcation to indicate where each segment began and ended across the entire length of the core sample, SRNL in conjunction with the SRR-E customer decided to blend all three segments of the material to form a composite Tank 22 core sample for further analysis and characterization without taking into consideration the proportional weight or mass contribution of each segment. This compositing approach assumes that the errors introduced in any characterization of the Tank 22 core sample will be comparable to the errors when the three segments are separated and combined proportionally by weight to form the composite Tank 22 sample. This compositing approach maximized the quantity of composited Tank 22 material needed for radionuclide and other physical characterizations.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Will Solar Panels Help When the Power Goes Out? Planning for PV Resilience

PV systems, like all energy systems, must chart a difficult course in order to improve resilience. They need to simultaneously withstand extreme conditions that cause grid power disruptions, be configured in a way that allows electricity to be delivered to meet the PV user's needs, and overcome disruptions arising from solar resource intermittency. Certain considerations reveal themselves as key to a PV system's resilience benefits. Choice of hardware is critical, as is site selection for the PV array. Voluminous evidence in a hurricane context demonstrates that durable hardware, properly maintained and sited, leads to PV systems surviving extreme weather with their functionality intact. Structurally weak or poorly maintained PV equipment, on the other hand, has demonstrated failures during extreme weather events. PV system stakeholders should ensure that best practices are followed for hardware procurement and siting. It is also important to understand that PV systems are not one-size-fits-all. While incorporating islanding capabilities and energy storage into the system's electrical topology will typically enhance resilience, the user's needs will determine the optimally resilient conformation of any given system. These factors - appropriate hardware, siting, maintenance, and system design - are the primary drivers of PV resilience. PV systems possess high potential for resilient energy generation due to their distributed, abundant, and free fuel supply, but the technology itself does not inherently lead to resilient outcomes. Realizing PV's potential for resilience requires consideration of these determinative factors.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Integrated friction reduction technology to improve fuel economy without sacrificing durability

This project aims to develop fuel economy technologies to minimize parasitic losses within vehicle engines and drivetrains by improving fuel economy at least 2% for 2014 legacy vehicles and 2018 vehicles without adverse impacts on engine durability. The tools used are advanced low viscosity lubricants and surface material technologies, including surface textures, and coatings. Working with industrial partners, an experimental fuel efficient low viscosity lubricant was developed, verified by ASTM fuel economy engine test for 2014 vehicle population. An ultralow viscosity lubricant was also developed for 2018 engines, demonstrated by engine chassis dynamometer tests. Surface texturing of engine components was also conducted, and in engine testing, confirmed the textured engine developed more torque and power while the textures largely stayed intact after the test.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Sensitivity Analysis of Salt Storage Cavern Mechanical Integrity Test Parameters

This report examines the sensitivity of salt cavern Mechanical Integrity Tests (MIT) to uncertainties in key test parameters. MIT's are used by cavern operators to detect and quantify leak rates in access wells in underground salt storage caverns and involve a suite of measured and assumed parameters that have a direct impact on the sensitivity of the testing to detect actual leaks from the cavern storage system. Determining the sensitivity of the testing to these different parameters provides a basis for understanding the results from, and informing the design criteria for, this type of testing. Without fully understanding the sensitivity of the test to the testing parameters, it is possible that the test results may not accurately reflect the integrity of the cavern system; an actual leak may be missed, or an intact system may be interpreted as leaking. This report reviews the main parameters included in MITs and examines how selected changes in their values can impact test results. The deviations used in the sensitivity analyses were designed to be within the ranges believed to be similar to those which may be encountered during testing. The results show that small, plausible fluctuations in some of the parameters measured values can have a significant impact on the testing results. Of the parameters studied here, the sensitivity analyses showed the order of importance to be (from highest to lowest): nitrogen-oil interface depth measurement, well bore temperature, well head pressure, and finally the internal geometry of the testing interval.

42 ENGINEERING↗

U.S. Department of Energy Free-Air CO 2 Enrichment Experiments: FACE Results, Lessons, and Legacy

In the 1970s, growing concern about potential long-range consequences of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions from the combustion of fossil fuels prompted the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) to begin developing a CO 2 research program. The goal was to obtain the scientific information needed to reduce uncertainty and develop a knowledgebase for decision-making. At its start in 1980, this program had three components: the global carbon cycle, climate effects, and vegetation effects. The vegetation effects component recognized that increased atmospheric CO 2 could be a potential benefit to vegetation and crops because CO 2 is an essential resource for plant growth. In addition to increasing crop yield, program developers and researchers recognized that this fertilizer effect could also result in greater storage of fossil fuel CO 2 by forests. Initial experiments were small in scale and scope and focused on the photosynthesis, physiology, and water use of crop plants, but the focus shifted toward responses of plants in natural systems, as needed for connections to the global carbon cycle. Program research investigated CO 2 interactions with other environmental variables, emphasizing field research whenever possible and recognizing that exposure to elevated CO 2 concentrations under realistic field conditions should lead to better predictions of plant response. Whole-ecosystem field experiments were instituted in low-stature ecosystems, but experiments to address forest responses necessarily relied on tree seedlings or saplings in open-top chambers (OTCs) and not within intact forest ecosystems. The need for larger-scale, longer-duration experiments in each of the world’s six major biomes (tundra, boreal forest, temperate forest, tropical forest, grassland, and desert) became clear, and for these experiments, free-air CO 2 exposure facilities were necessary. This report summarizes the objectives and main results of DOE-sponsored experiments employing such facilities, along with the outcomes from research on ecosystem responses using field chambers (see Fig. ES.1, p. x). Additionally, this report highlights the many successes of DOE CO 2 enrichment studies and considers the lessons learned that can be used to guide future initiatives.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A simple hydride model for cerium ejecta particles

Cerium ejecta particles form after a shock wave impacts a cerium plate with a known roughness or prescribed surface perturbation. When these particles are ejected into hydrogen or deuterium gas the material reacts exothermically and raises the temperature of the particle relative to the gas. A simple model is developed, assuming that the particle remains intact and spherical, to capture the heat and mass transfer that occurs during this process. Model performance is evaluated by comparing with cerium ejecta experiments where the particles are ejected into deuterium gas at initial pressures of 4 and 8 atm. Overall, the model is able to capture the approximately 400 K increase in particle temperature above the surrounding gas temperature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Near-Field Imaging of Shallow Chemical Explosions in Granite Using Change Detection Methods with Surface and Borehole Seismic Data

Explosions detonated in geologic media damage it in various ways via processes that include vaporization, fracturing, crushing of interstitial pores, etc. Seismic waves interact with the altered media in ways that could be important to the discrimination, characterization, and location of the explosions. As part of the Source Physics Experiment, we acquired multiple pre- and post-explosion near-field seismic datasets and analyzed changes to seismic P-wave velocity. Our results indicate that the first explosion detonated in an intact media can cause fracturing and, consequently, a decrease in P-wave velocity. After the first explosion, subsequent detonations in the pre-damaged media have limited discernible effects. We hypothesize this is due to the stress-relief provided by a now pre-existing network of fractures into which gasses produced by the explosion migrate. We also see an overall increase in velocity of the damaged region over time, either due to a slow healing process or closing of the fractures by subsequent explosions.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

First Measurement of Differential Charged Current Quasielastic–like $\nu_\mu$ -Argon Scattering Cross Sections with the MicroBooNE Detector

Current and future generation neutrino oscillation experiments aim towards a high-precision mea- surement of the oscillation parameters and that requires an unprecedented understanding of neutrino-nucleus scattering. Charged-current quasi-elastic (CCQE) scattering is the process in which the neutrino produces a charged lepton and removes a single intact nucleon from the nu- cleus without producing any additional particles. For existing and forthcoming accelerator–based neutrino experiments, CCQE interactions are either the dominant process or part of the signal.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Development of Direct Injection/Ionization Mass Spectrometry Methods for Whole Molecule Characterization

The objective of this work is to adapt ambient ionization mass spectrometry (AMS) techniques for the rapid analysis of intact uranium complexes, stable strontium, cerium, and explosive compounds. The methods used were “soft ionization” techniques, which facilitate the detection of whole molecule complexes. The soft ionization mass spectrometry (MS) techniques that were investigated include paper spray ionization (PSI), matrix-assisted ionization (MAI), electrospray ionization (ESI) and direct analysis in real time (DART). For the first time, PSI-MS methods were successfully developed for whole molecule uranium-containing analytes (uranyl acetate, uranyl nitrate, and uranyl-tributylphosphate complexes). This was also the first demonstration of uranium complex detection and characterization and one of the few examples of inorganic analysis using MAI techniques. Proof of concept experiments also putatively identified matrix-derived ions and ion complexes that have not previously been described in the literature. Additionally, PSI-MS on cotton swipe samples doped with a multi-element standard containing μg levels of U, Bi, Pb, Cd, Fe, and Zn were directly analyzed without purification, representing a major improvement over existing methods. Both PSI and MAI methods demonstrated limits of detection (LODs) in the 10 - 100’s ng for various uranyl species within a range of 10’s ppm - 100’s ppb, dependent on analytical method and analyte species. AMS methods were also developed for other inorganics, including Ce and Sr, and organic explosive residues to address specific challenges in environmental monitoring and forensics. Further refinement and qualification of the AMS techniques developed within this effort would lead to significant cost reduction and timeliness by facilitating the triage and queueing of samples for subsequent more sensitive and time-consuming analyses.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Microwave Cast Material Examination

Microwave-cast material dating from the latest prototype development period and subsequent TRL 7 advancement testing was sent to LANL for additional characterization. The initial characterization described here is considered a supplement to and verification of that performed by Y-12 during the Technology Readiness Assessment process. The carbon chemistry results from Y-12 and LANL regarding early prototype microwave cast test object (CTO) and cylinder castings match within expectations. Only one fully intact as-cast CTO was available for examination in which carbon chemistry does not appear to vary spatially, at least at relatively low carbon levels (hypoeutectic). The large as-cast grain size leads to relatively poor grain size statistics and similar difficulties were encountered during the TRA. Small, isolated gas pores were observed in four of the five metallographic samples in prototype CTO casting PT-01. Finally, the next phase of characterization work, which focuses on corrosion behavior, has started and is described briefly.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Radial Deconsolidation and Leach-Burn-Leach of AGR-3/4 Compact 1-4 and 10-4

The Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) Fuel Development and Qualification Program third and fourth irradiation experiments (AGR-3/4), originally planned as separate tests, were combined in one test train for irradiation in the Advanced Test Reactor at Idaho National Laboratory (INL). The irradiation test began on December 14, 2011 and ended on April 12, 2014 (Collin 2016). The originally planned AGR-3 and AGR-4 irradiation experiments were both focused on obtaining data on fission product transport to support the improvement of modeling. The AGR-3 experimental plan was focused on gaseous and metallic fission product release from the kernels and diffusion in the coatings during irradiation and postirradiation safety testing. The AGR-4 experimental plan was focused on diffusivities and sorptivities in the compact matrix and reactor graphite (Petti et al. 2005). These two goals were combined in the AGR-3/4 irradiation, which consisted of twelve independently monitored capsules that each contained four AGR-3/4 compacts in a single stack surrounded by an inner ring of matrix or graphite and an outer ring of graphite. There were two capsule types: a standard capsule and a “fuel body”, in which the outer graphite ring included a floor and cap that fully enclosed the fuel (Stempien et al. 2018a). The fuel body design supported post-irradiation safety testing of the intact fuel and ring assembly to provide data on fission product transport and release from matrix and graphite at accident temperatures (Demkowicz 2017).

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

A trait-based framework for linking microbial communities with carbon transformations under precipitation change

Droughts are common throughout the world. As the climate changes, droughts may become more frequent and intense. Still, scientists are uncertain about how drought will affect the natural world, particularly the bacteria, fungi, and other microbes that live in soils. These tiny life forms are crucial because they control the Earth’s flows of carbon and essential nutrients. Researchers at the University of California, Irvine, and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory teamed up to study how the microbiome, or collection of bacteria and fungi in the soil, deals with drought. Since 2007, the researchers have used shelters with retractable roofs to prevent nearly half of normal rainfall from reaching grass and shrub ecosystems, and their soil microbiomes, in Southern California. The study team discovered that microbes have some clever tricks up their sleeve for surviving drought. When growing on dead grass as a food source, microbes ramp up production of specialized chemicals called osmolytes that keep their cells from drying out. But microbes growing on dead shrubs face another problem. Unlike grass, shrub leaves are a lousy food source. To digest and consume shrub leaves, microbes have to exude more enzymes, which act like biochemical chef knives that chop complex leaf molecules into bite-sized pieces. Carbon is the coin of the microbial realm, earned via enzyme action or slurping up dead plant juices. Microbes growing under normal conditions on tasty dead grass have it easy: they can spend most of their carbon currency on growth. With drought, life gets harder as microbes need to pay up for osmolytes and ramp down their growth. It gets worse with shrub leaves because microbes have to multi-task among growth, enzyme secretion, and osmolyte production. When drought hits, microbes on shrub leaves forgo the osmolytes, probably because losing the carbon revenue from enzyme investment would be a deal-breaker for survival. The next question tackled by the researchers asked how the genes controlling microbial lifestyles sort out across the tree of life. Most microbiologists thought these lifestyles would correspond to rather large branches on the tree. But the study team found that in fact, very closely related microbes differ in important and interesting ways. For example, bacteria that have nearly identical housekeeping genes respond distinctively to warming, rainfall, and plant chemistry. As a result, soil microbiomes are much richer in diversity than originally thought. And studying microbial diversity in much greater detail could open up many more possibilities for how microbial life deals with changing environmental conditions. Trying to understand microbial life without the fine details of genetic diversity is like trying to stream Netflix on a dial-up connection. By looking across the landscape, the researchers revealed that microbial diversity is absolutely critical for maintaining the planet’s flows of carbon and nutrients. The study team designed a new technology—microbial cages—for transplanting intact microbiomes. With the cages, the researchers could move microbiomes to novel environments and compare their ability to cycle carbon and nutrients. In some cases, performance tailed off when microbiomes found themselves in a new environment, but in other cases, performance rivaled or even exceeded that of the resident microbiome. And even the low performers eventually caught up to the native microbiomes if given sufficient time. These findings mean that microbiomes—at least in Southern California—may be resilient to climate shifts due to a high diversity of microbial lifestyles. Coping with heat and drought may literally be in their DNA. The last piece of the research puzzle, and a “Holy Grail” for microbial ecologists, is to forecast the behavior of diverse microbiomes. To meet this challenge, the study team developed new theory and computer models. For the first time, these models account for hundreds of different microbes and how their intricate lifestyles cope with drought. The models are starting to connect the tiniest microbes with the global cycles that sustain Earth’s farms, fields, and forests. With that connection, it will be easier for society to plan for a world with more droughts and other climate disruptions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗