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At least 847 records · Page 47

Implications of Lag-Luminosity Relationship for Unified GRB Paradigms

Spectral lags (tau(sub lag)) are deduced for 1437 long (T(sub 90) greater than 2 s) BATSE gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) with peak flux F(sub p) greater than 0.25 photons cm(sup -2)/s, near to the BATSE trigger threshold. The lags are modeled to approximate the observed distribution in the F(sub p)-T(sub lag) plane, realizing a noise-free representation. Assuming a two-branch lag-luminosity relationship, the lags are self-consistently corrected for cosmological effects to yield distributions in luminosity, distance, and redshift. The results have several consequences for GRB populations and for unified gamma-ray/afterglow scenarios which would account for afterglow break times and gamma-ray spectral evolution in terms of jet opening angle, viewing angle, or a profiled jet with variable Lorentz factor: A component of the burst sample is identified - those with few, wide pulses, lags of a few tenths to several seconds, and soft spectra - whose Log[N]-Log[F(sub p)] distribution approximates a -3/2 power-law, suggesting homogeneity and thus relatively nearby sources. The proportion of these long-lag bursts increases from negligible among bright BATSE bursts to approx. 50% at trigger threshold. Bursts with very long lags, approx. 1-2 less than tau(sub lag) (S) less than 10, show a tendency to concentrate near the Supergalactic Plane with a quadrupole moment of approx. -0.10 +/- 0.04. GRB 980425 (SN 1998bw) is a member of this subsample of approx. 90 bursts with estimated distances less than 100 Mpc. The frequency of the observed ultra-low luminosity bursts is approx. 1/4 that of SNe Ib/c within the same volume. If truly nearby, the core-collapse events associated with these GRBs might produce gravitational radiation detectable by LIGO-II. Such nearby bursts might also help explain flattening of the cosmic ray spectrum at ultra-high energies, as observed by AGASA.

Norris, J. P.↗

A Search for Short Timescale Microvariability in Active Galactic Nuclei in the Ultraviolet

We observed four AGNs (the type-1 Seyfert systems 3C249.1, NGC 6814 and Mrk 205, and the BL Lac object 3C371) using the High Speed Photometer on the Hubble Space Telescope to search for short timescale microvariability in the W. Continuous observations of 3 0 0 0 s duration were obtained for each system on several consecutive HST orbits using a 1 s sample time in a 1400 - 3000 2 bandpass. variability > 0.3 % (0 . 003 mag) was detected in any AGN on timescales shorter than 1500 s. The distribution of photon arrival times observed from each source was consistent with Poisson statistics. Because of HST optical problems, the limit on photometric variability at longer timescales is less precise. These results restrict models of supermassive black holes as the central engine of an AGN and the diskoseismology oscillations of any accretion disk around such a black hole.

Dolan, Joseph F.↗

Short-term space flight on nitrogenous compounds, lipoproteins, and serum proteins

Biochemical variables in blood were measured in venous blood samples from 38 to 72 Space Shuttle astronauts before and immediately after flights of 2 to 11 days. Mean pre- and postflight values were compared using the paired t-test or the Wilcoxon signed-rank test. The largest change in serum enzymes was a 21% increase (P = .0014) in gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase, which may have been related to stress. The median value of apolipoprotein (apo) A-I decreased from 152 to 127 mg/dL (P < .0001), but the change in apo B (77 to 73 mg/dL) was not statistically significant, and the mean apo A-I/apo B ratio remained well above 1.5. A decrease in dietary fat and cholesterol intake during shuttle missions may have been a cause of the change in apo A-I. Twelve of the 16 nonenzyme serum proteins measured were significantly elevated (P < .05), possibly because of hemoconcentration and increased protein catabolism. The 56% increase in haptoglobin may be related to release of suppressed erythropoiesis at landing.

Blood Proteins/analysis/metabolism↗

Performance of the IRI-2007 Model for Equatorial Topside Ion Density in the African Sector for Low and Extremely Low Solar Activity

The recent availability of new data sets during the recent extreme solar minimum provides an opportunity for testing the performance of the International Reference Ionosphere in historically under-sampled regions. This study will present averages and variability of topside ionospheric densities over Africa as a function of season, local time, altitude, and magnetic dip latitude as measured by the Coupled Ion-Neutral Dynamics Investigation (CINDI) Mission of Opportunity on the C/NOFS satellite. The results will be compared to the three topside model options available in IRI-2007. Overall, the NeQuick model is found to have the best performance, though during the deepest part of the solar minimum all three options significantly overestimate density.

Klenzing, J.↗

Combined Uncertainty and A-Posteriori Error Bound Estimates for General CFD Calculations: Theory and Software Implementation

This workshop presentation discusses the design and implementation of numerical methods for the quantification of statistical uncertainty, including a-posteriori error bounds, for output quantities computed using CFD methods. Hydrodynamic realizations often contain numerical error arising from finite-dimensional approximation (e.g. numerical methods using grids, basis functions, particles) and statistical uncertainty arising from incomplete information and/or statistical characterization of model parameters and random fields. The first task at hand is to derive formal error bounds for statistics given realizations containing finite-dimensional numerical error [1]. The error in computed output statistics contains contributions from both realization error and the error resulting from the calculation of statistics integrals using a numerical method. A second task is to devise computable a-posteriori error bounds by numerically approximating all terms arising in the error bound estimates. For the same reason that CFD calculations including error bounds but omitting uncertainty modeling are only of limited value, CFD calculations including uncertainty modeling but omitting error bounds are only of limited value. To gain maximum value from CFD calculations, a general software package for uncertainty quantification with quantified error bounds has been developed at NASA. The package provides implementations for a suite of numerical methods used in uncertainty quantification: Dense tensorization basis methods [3] and a subscale recovery variant [1] for non-smooth data, Sparse tensorization methods[2] utilizing node-nested hierarchies, Sampling methods[4] for high-dimensional random variable spaces.

CFD↗

Recent Radiation Test Results for Trench Power MOSFETs

Single-event effect (SEE) radiation test results are presented for various trench-gate power MOSFETs. The heavy-ion response of the first (and only) radiation-hardened trench-gate power MOSFET is evaluated: the manufacturer SEE response curve is verified and importantly, no localized dosing effects are measured, distinguishing it from other, non-hardened trench-gate power MOSFETs. Evaluations are made of n-type commercial and both n- and p-type automotive grade trench-gate device using ions comparable to of those on the low linear energy transfer (LET) side of the iron knee of the galactic cosmic ray spectrum, to explore suitability of these parts for missions with higher risk tolerance and shorter duration, such as CubeSats. Part-to-part variability of SEE threshold suggests testing with larger sample sizes and applying more aggressive derating to avoid on-orbit failures. The n-type devices yielded expected localized dosing effects including when irradiated in an unbiased (0-V) configuration, adding to the challenge of inserting these parts into space flight missions.

Schottky Diodes↗

Robust Path-following Controller for Multirotor Vehicles in Uncertain Wind Conditions

This paper presents simulations of L1 adaptive controller on a multirotor vehicle for compensation of convective winds. There are increasing efforts to utilize unmanned vehicles for fighting wildfires, but such vehicles need to be able to compensate for convective updrafts and other uncertainties (e.g., wind shear and turbulence) caused by the wildfire. Other application domains, such as urban air mobility, also must account for convective or uncertain winds present in urban microclimates. Geometric controllers have great tracking performance properties in environments without uncertainties, but the tracking performance degrades when wind disturbances and external loads are present in the environment. Introducing L1 adaptive control into the controller architecture compensates for these wind disturbances and reduces the tracking error caused by such disturbances. The controller architecture is implemented on a small quadrotor. The simulations demonstrate the advantages of the L1 adaptive augmentation for a sample figure-eight trajectory while encountering unknown variable wind conditions with an external load.

John L Bullock↗

Robust Path-following Controller for Multirotor Vehicles in Uncertain Wind Conditions

This paper presents simulations of L1 adaptive controller on a multirotor vehicle for compensation of convective winds. There are increasing efforts to utilize unmanned vehicles for fighting wildfires, but such vehicles need to be able to compensate for convective updrafts and other uncertainties (e.g., wind shear and turbulence) caused by the wildfire. Other application domains, such as urban air mobility, also must account for convective or uncertain winds present in urban microclimates. Geometric controllers have great tracking performance properties in environments without uncertainties, but the tracking performance degrades when wind disturbances and external loads are present in the environment. Introducing L1 adaptive control into the controller architecture compensates for these wind disturbances and reduces the tracking error caused by such disturbances. The controller architecture is implemented on a small quadrotor. The simulations demonstrate the advantages of the L1 adaptive augmentation for a sample figure-eight trajectory while encountering unknown variable wind conditions with an external load.

John Bullock↗

High-Resolution Characterization of Comingled Contaminants in the Deep Vadose Zone, Hanford Site, Washington - 17387

The contaminated deep vadose zone in the Central Plateau of the Hanford Site in Washington state presents a unique challenge to remediation. The Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act, commonly known as the CERCLA project responsible for addressing these deep contaminants is designated as the 200-Deep Vadose Zone Operable Unit (DV-1 project). The vadose zone is 55-82 meters (180-270 feet) thick and is contaminated with both radiological and chemical contaminants from multiple historical waste streams. The mobile contaminants from this waste are still present in the deep vadose zone and pose a potential threat to the groundwater. Characterizing the nature and extent of the comingled mobile contaminants is an important step before assessing possible remedial alternatives. One factor controlling the migration and distribution of subsurface contaminants is the lithologic heterogeneity of the vadose zone sediments. A sampling plan for the DV-1 project includes continuous sediment core collection and analysis to identify key lithologic factors (i.e., small-scale bedding and structural features) that act as barriers, preferential pathways or conduits for mobile contaminants migrating through the vadose zone. Over six hundred meters (2,000 feet) of intact sediment core from 26 boreholes were collected in 1.5 meters (5 feet) long, 10 centimeter (4-inch) diameter segments. These intact sediment samples provide significant improvement in the level of detail and understanding of mechanisms and features controlling contaminant distribution that is not possible with traditional homogenized drill cuttings or conventional split-spoon samples. Detailed geological descriptions and photographs of the intact core are correlated to high-resolution geophysical logs which aid in the development of a comprehensive contaminant distribution profile of the borehole. These lithologic interpretations are used to define specific depth intervals for sampling based on changes in moisture, lithology, and elevated gamma radiation. The selected samples are analyzed for contaminants of concern, geochemical parameters, and hydraulic properties. Significant lithologic features observed in the intact cores include sharp contact boundaries to graded bedding, iron-oxide and carbonate cementation, silty laminations, clastic dike intrusions, and soft sediment deformation. Preliminary geologic logs integrated with the sample analysis indicate features that correlate to the variable distribution of contaminants both laterally and vertically. Integration of measured hydraulic parameters to lithologic units in individual borehole profiles provide key inputs for more precise geo-framework and vadose zone flux models supporting the DV-1 project. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Rapid X-ray variability in the Seyfert galaxy NGC 6814

In contrast with the Tennant et al (1981) sample of over 30 active galactic nuclei, HEAO 1 A-2 high time resolution X-ray observations of the X-ray emitting Seyfert 1 galaxy NGC 6814 show strong X-ray variability on time scales of less than 3 hr. On a time scale of 90 min, the mean flux varied by a factor of about 2.5, and a characteristic time for variability of 100 + 60 or - 25 sec is obtained by autocorrelation analysis. There is no indication of spectral variability with an upper limit on a change in the power law spectral index of less than about 0.37, for a factor 2 change in intensity. The constraints of such rapid variability on a range of X-ray source mechanisms is discussed.

Tennant, A. F.↗

The Acquisition, Containment, and Curation of Mars Samples on Earth

The Astromaterials Acquisition and Curation Office at NASA Johnson Space Center (henceforth AACO) is responsible for receiving and curating all of NASA’s extraterrestrial samples, current and future (as per NASA Policy Directive (NPD) 7100.10E “Curation of Extraterrestrial Materials”). As such, the AACO coordinates sample capture, containment, and transportation to the curation facility as well as documents, preserves, prepares, and distributes all of the samples within NASA’s astromaterial collections for research, education, and public outreach. Since the lunar rock and soil samples returned during the Apollo Program, NASA’s first Class V Restricted Earth Return Missions, the AACO curates six other astromaterials collections. Lessons learned from each collection and respective missions (e.g. Apollo, Genesis, Stardust) as well as advancements in science and technology have informed the AACO’s plan for acquiring and curating Martian samples. Given the nature of the collection, a mobile and modular facility is recommended. The two broad requirements a Mars sample facility must maintain are: 1) the ability to contain the samples to protect the public from exposure of an “unknown unknown” biological agent and 2) ensure the scientific integrity of the samples are maintained (while maximizing scientific outcome). Although Apollo samples were eventually deemed safe and released to the scientific community for evaluation, there is no guarantee that this will be the case for Martian samples. Therefore, the facility in which the samples will be contained and investigated must be modular and able to accommodate an array of instrumentation that could be highly variable depending on the initial scientific outcomes. Furthermore, in order to facilitate proper sample capture and containment upon landing as well as sample distribution to other laboratories with proper containment, a mobile facility is a valuable investment.

Harrington, Andrea D.↗

Extending ROSAT Light Curves of Ecliptic Pole AGN Formation and Galaxy Evolution

In collaboration with UCLA graduate student Fred Baganoff, Professor Malkan has obtained the longest continuous light curves ever available for a large sample (# = 60) of active galactic nuclei. This was accomplished by using the ROSATAII-Sky Survey, which covered the ecliptic pole regions once every 9O-minute orbit. Using this Astrophysics Data Processing grant from NASA, we extended these light curves by combining the RASS data with pointed observations over the next several years of operation of the ROSAT PSPC. This lengthens the baselines of about half of the light curves from a few months up to a few years. The proportion of AGN showing variability increases substantially with this improvement. In fact most AGN in this representative sample are now shown to be significantly variable in the X-rays. We are also able to say something about the amplitudes of variability on timescales from days to years, with more detail than previously has been possible. We have also identified some dependence of the X-ray variability properties on a) the luminosity of the AGN; and b) The presence of a "Blazar" nucleus. By extending the ROSAT light curves, we are also able to learn more about the correlation of X-ray and optical emission on longer time-scales. It appears to be very weak, at best.

Malkan, Matthew A.↗

Tribological Behavior of Electrochemically Etched AISI 316 Stainless Steel with a Textured Surface

In this work, AISI 316 stainless steel (316 SS) was electrochemically etched in four NaCl solutions (10, 15, 20, and 25 wt.%) to form textured surfaces. Surface morphologies, three-dimensional surface topographies, and surface profiles of the textured 316 SS samples were obtained by scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and laser scanning confocal microscope (LSCM). Sliding friction tests of the textured 316 SS samples were conducted in air and under grease lubrication. The results suggested that the variable degrees of microtextured surfaces after electrochemical etching in 10, 15, and 20 wt.% NaCl solutions. The 316 SS samples etched in 15 and 20 wt.% NaCl solutions showed more promising tribological performance than other samples, as reflected by their friction coefficients, mass loss per unit distance traveled (mg/m), and wear morphologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Extreme Variability Quasars from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey and the Dark Energy Survey

Here, we perform a systematic search for long-term extreme variability quasars (EVQs) in the overlapping Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) and 3-Year Dark Energy Survey (DES) imaging, which provide light curves spanning more than 15 years. We also identified 1000 EVQs with a maximum g band magnitude change of more than 1 mag over this period, about 10% of all quasars searched. The EVQs have L bol 10 45 - 10 47 erg s -1 and L=L Edd 0:01-1. Accounting for selection effects, we estimate an intrinsic EVQ fraction of 30-50% among all g.22 quasars over a baseline of 15 years. These EVQs are good candidates for so-called “changing-look quasars”, where a spectral transition between the two types of quasars (broad-line and narrow-line) is observed between the dim and bright states. We performed detailed multi-wavelength, spectral and variability analyses for the EVQs and compared to their parent quasar sample. We found that EVQs are distinct from a control sample of quasars matched in redshift and optical luminosity: (1) their UV broad emission lines have larger equivalent widths; (2) their Eddington ratios are systematically lower; and (3) they are more variable on all timescales. The intrinsic difference in quasar properties for EVQs suggest that internal processes associated with accretion are the main driver for the observed extreme long-term variability. In spit of their different properties, EVQs seem to be in the tail of a continuous distribution of quasar properties, rather than standing out as a distinct population. We speculate that EVQs are normal quasars accreting at relatively low accretion rates, where the accretion flow is more likely to experience instabilities that drive the factor of few changes in flux on multi-year timescales.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Approaches of comparison for clear-sky radiative fluxes from general circulation models with Earth Radiation Budget Experiment data

In order to compare the clear-sky greenhouse effect and cloud-radiative forcing from general circulation models with Earth Radiation Budget Experiments (ERBE) data, it is necessary to calculate the general circulation model (GCM) clear-sky radiative fluxes in a way consistent with ERBE. This study discusses problems associated with the available methods for clear-sky radiative flux computations in GCMs and proposes a new approach, which uses a statistical relationship between the grid cloud cover and the availability of ERBE clear-sky measurement, established from ERBE pixel data, to sample the model radiative fluxes. Calculations with version 2 of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Climate Model using observed sea surface temperature (SST) show good agreement of clear-sky sampling from the proposed method with ERBE sampling. It is also shown that large improvements are achieved in the spatial variability of the model clear-sky radiative fluxes over ocean, with reference to ERBE, by using the new clear-sky sampling method.

Zhang, M. H.↗

CondiDiag1.0: a flexible online diagnostic tool for conditional sampling and budget analysis in the E3SM atmosphere model (EAM)

Abstract. Numerical models used in weather and climate prediction take into account a comprehensive set of atmospheric processes (i.e., phenomena) such as the resolved and unresolved fluid dynamics, radiative transfer, cloud and aerosol life cycles, and mass or energy exchanges with the Earth's surface. In order to identify model deficiencies and improve predictive skills, it is important to obtain process-level understanding of the interactions between different processes. Conditional sampling and budget analysis are powerful tools for process-oriented model evaluation, but they often require tedious ad hoc coding and large amounts of instantaneous model output, resulting in inefficient use of human and computing resources. This paper presents an online diagnostic tool that addresses this challenge by monitoring model variables in a generic manner as they evolve within the time integration cycle. The tool is convenient to use. It allows users to select sampling conditions and specify monitored variables at run time. Both the evolving values of the model variables and their increments caused by different atmospheric processes can be monitored and archived. Online calculation of vertical integrals is also supported. Multiple sampling conditions can be monitored in a single simulation in combination with unconditional sampling. The paper explains in detail the design and implementation of the tool in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) version 1. The usage is demonstrated through three examples: a global budget analysis of dust aerosol mass concentration, a composite analysis of sea salt emission and its dependency on surface wind speed, and a conditionally sampled relative humidity budget. The tool is expected to be easily portable to closely related atmospheric models that use the same or similar data structures and time integration methods.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Risk Ratio and Risk Difference Estimation in Case-cohort Studies

Background: In case-cohort studies with binary outcomes, ordinary logistic regression analyses have been widely used because of their computational simplicity. However, the resultant odds ratio estimates cannot be interpreted as relative risk measures unless the event rate is low. The risk ratio and risk difference are more favorable outcome measures that are directly interpreted as effect measures without the rare disease assumption. Methods: We provide pseudo-Poisson and pseudo-normal linear regression methods for estimating risk ratios and risk differences in analyses of case-cohort studies. These multivariate regression models are fitted by weighting the inverses of sampling probabilities. Also, the precisions of the risk ratio and risk difference estimators can be improved using auxiliary variable information, specifically by adapting the calibrated or estimated weights, which are readily measured on all samples from the whole cohort. Finally, we provide computational code in R (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria) that can easily perform these methods. Results: Through numerical analyses of artificially simulated data and the National Wilms Tumor Study data, accurate risk ratio and risk difference estimates were obtained using the pseudo-Poisson and pseudo-normal linear regression methods. Also, using the auxiliary variable information from the whole cohort, precisions of these estimators were markedly improved. Conclusion: The ordinary logistic regression analyses may provide uninterpretable effect measure estimates, and the risk ratio and risk difference estimation methods are effective alternative approaches for case-cohort studies. These methods are especially recommended under situations in which the event rate is not low.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

A novel approach for characterizing the variability in mass–dimension relationships: results from MC3E

Abstract. Mass–dimension (m–D) relationships determining bulkmicrophysical properties such as total water content (TWC) and radarreflectivity factor (Z) from particle size distributions are used in bothnumerical models and remote sensing retrievals. The a and b coefficientsrepresenting m=aD b relationships, however, can vary significantlydepending on meteorological conditions, particle habits, the definition ofparticle maximum dimension, the probes used to obtain the data, techniquesused to process the cloud probe data, and other unknown reasons. Thus,considering a range of a,b coefficients may be more applicable for use innumerical models and remote sensing retrievals. Microphysical data collectedby two-dimensional optical array probes (OAPs) installed on the University ofNorth Dakota (UND) Citation aircraft during the Mid-latitude Continental ConvectiveClouds Experiment (MC3E) were used in conjunction with TWC data from aNevzorov probe and ground-based S-band radar data to determine a and busing a technique that minimizes the chi-square difference between the TWC andZ derived from the OAPs and those directly measured by a TWC probe andradar. All a and b values within a specified tolerance were regarded as equallyplausible solutions. Of the 16 near-constant-temperature flight legs analyzedduring the 25 April, 20 May, and 23 May 2011 events, the derived surfaces ofsolutions on the first 2 days where the aircraft-sampled stratiform cloudhad a larger range in a and b for lower temperature environments thatcorrespond to less variability in N(D), TWC, and Z for a flight leg.Because different regions of the storm were sampled on 23 May, differences inthe variability in N(D), TWC, and Z influenced the distribution ofchi-square values in the (a,b) phase space and the specified tolerance in away that yielded 2.8 times fewer plausible solutions compared to the flightlegs on the other dates. These findings show the importance of representingthe variability in a,b coefficients for numerical modeling and remotesensing studies, rather than assuming fixed values, as well as the need tofurther explore how these surfaces depend on environmental conditions inclouds containing ice hydrometeors.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗