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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

The effect of jet–ejecta interaction on the viewing angle dependence of kilonova light curves

ABSTRACT The merger of two neutron stars produces an outflow of radioactive heavy nuclei. Within a second of merger, the central remnant is expected to also launch a relativistic jet, which shock-heats and disrupts a portion of the radioactive ejecta. Within a few hours, emission from the radioactive material gives rise to an ultraviolet, optical, and infrared transient (a kilonova). We use the endstates of a suite of 2D relativistic hydrodynamic simulations of jet–ejecta interaction as initial conditions for multidimensional Monte Carlo radiation transport simulations of the resulting viewing angle-dependent light curves and spectra starting at $1.5\, \mathrm{h}$ after merger. We find that on this time-scale, jet shock heating does not affect the kilonova emission for the jet parameters we survey. However, the jet disruption to the density structure of the ejecta does change the light curves. The jet carves a channel into the otherwise spheroidal ejecta, revealing the hot, inner regions. As seen from near (≲30°) the jet axis, the kilonova is brighter by a factor of a few and bluer. The strength of this effect depends on the jet parameters, since the light curves of more heavily disrupted ejecta are more strongly affected. The light curves and spectra are also more heavily modified in the ultraviolet than in the optical.

Klion, Hannah↗
DOE OSTI2024

Electron microscopy evidence of gadolinium toxicity being mediated through cytoplasmic membrane dysregulation

Past functional toxicogenomic studies have indicated that genes relevant to membrane lipid synthesis are important for tolerance to the lanthanides. Moreover, previously reported imaging of patient's brains following administration of gadolinium-based contrast agents shows gadolinium lining the vessels of the brain. Taken together, these findings suggest the disruption of cytoplasmic membrane integrity as a mechanism by which lanthanides induce cytotoxicity. In the presented work we used scanning transmission electron microscopy and spatially resolved elemental spectroscopy to image the morphology and composition of gadolinium, europium, and samarium precipitates that formed on the outside of yeast cell membranes. In no sample did we find that the lanthanide contaminant had crossed the cell membrane, even in experiments using yeast mutants with disrupted genes for sphingolipid synthesis—the primary lipids found in yeast cytoplasmic membranes. Rather, we have evidence that lanthanides are co-located with phosphorus outside the yeast cells. Finally, these results lead us to hypothesize that the lanthanides scavenge or otherwise form complexes with phosphorus from the sphingophospholipid head groups in the cellular membrane, thereby compromising the structure or function of the membrane, and gaining the ability to disrupt membrane function without entering the cell.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Impact of Resonant Magnetic Perturbations on the Toroidal Location of the Runaway Electron Final Loss Strike Point

It is demonstrated that the peak toroidal impact phase of the post-disruption runaway electrons (REs) can be varied shot-to-shot by means of applied static non-axisymmetric (3D) magnetic fields, or resonant magnetic perturbations (RMPs). In the experiments, high-current (500 kA), purged RE plateaus (i.e. low impurity post-disruption plasmas with current carried completely by REs) were terminated on the DIII-D tokamak center post (CP). The global toroidal impact peak of the REs appears to be dominantly set by the toroidal phase of a wall-locked tearing mode, typically (m/n) = (2/1), but sometimes (m/n) = (3/2). In the absence of external RMP, the locked mode reliably locks close to a preferred toroidal phase Φ ≃ 75◦ probably set by intrinsic error fields. With applied RMP, the locked mode and RE impact phase is pushed to a new location. When the tearing mode is (m/n) = (2/1), the phase is well controlled and tracks the applied RMP phase, but in the case of an (m/n) = (3/2) tearing mode, the new phase location is not well controlled. These results could have application in ITER and other fusion power plant (FPP) - sized tokamaks as a method for spreading disruption first wall damage from REs

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Evaluating Methods for Measuring Grid Frequency in Low-Inertia Power Systems: Preprint

Accurate measurement of grid frequency is a critical component of reliable grid control. Traditionally, methods such as phase locked loops (PLLs) and discrete Fourier transforms (DFTs) have been used in inverters and phasor measurement units (PMUs) to measure frequency. However, as the percentage of inverter-based resources (IBRs) such as solar and wind has increased, these conventional frequency measurement methods are proving unable to guarantee reliable control in some cases. One challenge is measuring frequency during transient events, where there is a disruption in the steady state sinusoidal voltage. During these events, the underlying frequency of the grid may barely change, but measurement methods report a large spike in frequency due to the disrupted waveform. New methods must balance between suppressing spikes in frequency during faults, and providing fast, accurate, measurements in all other grid operation conditions, especially during events with high rate-of-change-of frequency (ROCOF), which are more prevalent in high-IBR power systems. This paper first surveys frequency measurement methods that have been proposed to reduce measurement errors during transient events. Then, both conventional and more novel frequency measurement methods are tested against an IEEE standard and industry recommendations, and their performance is evaluated for events simulated in PSCAD. Results quantify the trade-offs in performance during different grid conditions and lead to suggestions for the most appropriate frequency and ROCOF measurement methods for low inertia grids.

frequency↗
DOE OSTI2017

Quantitative Assessment of Transportation Network Vulnerability with Dynamic Traffic Simulation Methods

Transportation networks are critical to the social and economic function of nations. Given the continuing increase in the populations of cities throughout the world, the criticality of transportation infrastructure is expected to increase. Thus, it is ever more important to mitigate congestion as well as to assess the impact disruptions would have on individuals who depend on transportation for their work and livelihood. Moreover, several government organizations are responsible for ensuring transportation networks are available despite the constant threat of natural disasters and terrorist activities. Most of the previous transportation network vulnerability research has been performed in the context of static traffic models, many of which are formulated as traditional optimization problems. However, transportation networks are dynamic because their usage varies over time. Thus, more appropriate methods to characterize the vulnerability of transportation networks should consider their dynamic properties. This paper presents a quantitative approach to assess the vulnerability of a transportation network to disruptions with methods from traffic simulation. Our approach can prioritize the critical links over time and is generalizable to the case where both link and node disruptions are of concern. We illustrate the approach through a series of examples. Our results demonstrate that the approach provides quantitative insight into the time varying criticality of links. Such an approach could be used as the objective function of less traditional optimization methods that use simulation and other techniques to evaluate the relative utility of a particular network defense to reduce vulnerability and increase resilience.

Shekar, Venkateswaran↗
DOE OSTI2025

Analyzing Infrastructure Interdependencies Using Network-Of-Networks Modeling

Infrastructure networks play a crucial role in our day-to-day lives, and modeling these infrastructure networks can help decisionmakers prepare for and respond to disruptions such as natural disasters or cyberattacks. Because these infrastructure networks depend on each other, it is not sufficient to model a single network in isolation. We build on previous single-network-modeling techniques to develop a methodology for modeling infrastructure interdependencies as a Network-of-Networks. Using distributionlevel data from a real U.S. city on the power grid, road geometry, and hospital locations, we show how to apply this methodology to modeling three of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security's Critical Infrastructure Sectors: Healthcare, Transportation, and Energy. We also analyze three primary metrics before and after a simulated disaster: 1) impact on hospital access; 2) road network impact with the change in betweenness centrality; 3) electric customer outage. We simulate three different disruptions: 1) road flooding from nearby rivers; 2) a malicious actor targeting the road networks; 3) a malicious actor targeting the electric grid. Finally, we discuss how our methodology can be applied to additional infrastructure networks and types of disruption, and how Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques may be incorporated into this methodology for further research.

Scherrer, Evan [Drake University, Iowa]↗
DOE OSTI2022

The influence of intake flow and coolant temperature on gasoline spray morphology during early-injection DISI engine operation

Multi-hole gasoline injectors operating at conditions spanning throttled early-intake stroke operation produce spray plumes that either remained separated or merge and collapse due to flash boiling. Flash boiling occurs due to the sudden expansion of gas bubbles in the liquid fuel at high fuel temperature and low ambient pressure. This study records high-speed images of spray-morphology changes due to in-cylinder flow, thereby revealing operating conditions that do and do not affect the self-induced morphology observed in quiescent vessels. Specifically, in a central-injection, four-valve, high-tumble engine, where the thermodynamic state and in-cylinder cross flow are dynamic. Motivated by cold start and hot restart operation, the fuel pressure, coolant temperature, in-cylinder air pressure, and engine rpm were systematically varied over relevant operating conditions, which bracketed the range from non- to flash-boiling sprays. The results reveal the operating conditions at which the in-cylinder cross flow disrupts the spray morphology as well as the extent of the disruption. At 650 rpm, the spray morphology was similar to that observed in quiescent vessels at nominally equivalent fuel temperature and in-cylinder pressure, indicating that the spray’s self-induced entrainment flow dominated the in-cylinder flow. However, for fuel temperature and ambient pressure near the transition between non- and flash-boiling, the intake cross flow at higher engine speed (1950 rpm) significantly disrupted the spray morphology. The high cross-flow velocity appears to induce plume merging and collapse, whereas none was evident at low rpm (650 rpm). This study led to the postulate that the spray merging and collapse are governed by the rate of atomization near the nozzle exit, presumed to be controlled by either or both aerodynamic atomization and flash-boiling intensity. It would then follow that spray modeling in CFD requires atomization models that blend the effects of both physical processes.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2017

Stability and Control of Burning Tokamak Plasmas with Resistive Walls: Final Technical Report

This project is focused on theoretical and computational development for quantitative prediction of the stability and control of the equilibrium state evolution in toroidal burning plasmas, including its interaction with the surrounding resistive wall. The stability of long pulse burning plasmas is highly sensitive to the physics of resonant layers in the plasma, sources of momentum and flow, kinetic effects of energetic particles, and boundary conditions at the wall, including feedback control and error fields. In ITER in particular, the low toroidal flow equilibrium state, sustained primarily by energetic alpha particles from fusion reactions, will require the consideration of all of these key elements to predict quantitatively the stability and evolution. The principal investigators on this project have performed theoretical and computational analyses, guided by analytic modeling, to address this physics in realistic configurations. The overall goal has been to understand the key physics mechanisms that describe stable toroidal burning plasmas under active feedback control. Several relevant achievements have occurred during this project, leading to publications and invited conference presentations. In theoretical efforts, with the physics of the resonant layers, resistive wall, and toroidal momentum transport included, this study has extended from cylindrical resistive plasma - resistive wall models with feedback control to toroidal geometry with strong shaping to study mode coupling effects on the stability. These results have given insight into combined tearing and resistive wall mode behavior in simulations and experiment, while enabling a rapid exploration of plasma parameter space, to identify possible domains of interest for large plasma codes to investigate in more detail. Resonant field amplification and quasilinear torques in the presence of error fields and velocity shear have also been investigated. Here it was found, surprisingly, that the Maxwell torque on resonant layers in the plasma which exhibit finite real frequencies ωr in their response is significantly different from the conventional results based on tearing layers with pure real growth (or damping) rates. This observation suggests the possibility that the torque on the tearing layers can lock the plasma rotation to this finite phase velocity, which may lead to locking in which velocity shear is maintained. More broadly, the sources of all torques driving flows in magnetic confinement experiments is not fully understood, and this theoretical work may shed light on puzzling experimental results. It was also found that real frequencies occur over a wide range of plasma response regimes, and are indeed the norm and not the exception, often leading to profound effects on the locking torque. Also, the influence of trapped energetic ions orbiting over the resistive plasma mode structure, a critical effect in burning plasmas, was investigated through analytic modeling and analysis of simulations and experiment. This effort has shown that energetic ions can drive the development of disruptive instabilities, but also damp and stabilize the instabilities, depending on the details of the shear in the equilibrium magnetic field. This finding could be critical to maintaining stable operations in burning plasmas. In the most recent work, a series of simulations have been conducted to study the effect of differential flow and energetic ion effects on entry to the onset of a disruptive instability in the most realistic conditions possible, with preexisting nonlinearly saturated benign instabilities. Throughout this work, the linear and quasilinear theory of resonant layers with differential flow between them, their interaction with resistive wall and error fields, and energetic ions effects, have been used to understand realistic simulations of mode onset and the experimental discharges they represent. These studies will continue to answer remaining questions about the relation between theoretical results obtained in this project and observations of the onset and evolution of disruptive instabilities in experiment.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2018

Nonlinear Modeling of Macroscopic Plasma Dynamics Final Scientific Report May 1, 2006 – April 30, 2018

The project entitled, "Nonlinear Modeling of Macroscopic Plasma Dynamics," applied numerical computation to solve mathematical models of plasma behavior in laboratory systems. Plasma is the state of matter with sufficiently large internal energy density such that electrons dissociate from atoms to form gas of electrically charged particles. It occurs naturally in stars, planetary magnetospheres, and interstellar and intergalactic media. It is also used for industrial purposes and in lighting. Fusion energy science seeks to create and sustain plasma conditions where atomic nuclei fuse to create energy that can be captured for power production. Many laboratory experiments for this effort use magnetic field to contain plasma and to thermally insulate it from its surroundings. Possible plasma dynamics in magnetized systems include collective behavior over spatial scales that are comparable to the configuration size, and these dynamics often include evolution of the magnetic field that is used for confinement. Solving the mathematical models that describe these dynamics in specific experiments often requires computer simulations, as done in this project. This project analyzed plasma magnetic relaxation dynamics in the laboratory configurations known as the reversed-field pinch (RFP), the spheromak, and the spherical torus (ST). It also developed capabilities for modeling disruptive plasma dynamics in the tokamak, which has achieved the highest performance for magnetized plasma and is the design of the large international ITER experiment (https://www.iter.org) that is under construction and is expected to be the first to achieve self-heating conditions. Dynamic evolution to states of low energy, the aforementioned magnetic relaxation, is known to be important for generating the RFP and spheromak configurations. Nonlinear computational modeling with the Non-Ideal Magnetohydrodynamics with Rotation, Open Discussion code (NIMROD, https://nimrodteam.org) was applied to understand specific aspects of magnetic relaxation in RFPs, spheromaks, and STs. The RFP study considered how the nonlinear transfer of power among different fluctuation harmonics is altered due to the application of pulses of electric field, as done experimentally in the Madison Symmetric Torus RFP device at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. It also investigated the separation of electron and ion dynamics, known as two-fluid effects, including effects on the evolution of the plasma flow profile. The spheromak study considered the influence of these two-fluid effects in conditions relevant to the Sustained Spheromak Experiment (SSPX), formerly at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. Our study found that two-fluid effects enhance stability with respect to interchange in SSPX-relevant conditions, but having a complete model with two-fluid effects in separate electron and ion temperature equations is important. The study for STs focused on plasma startup in the Pegasus Toroidal Experiment at UW-Madison, which uses DC voltage applied through a small plasma gun. The simulations show how the resulting helical current stream relaxes through repetitive merging, forming current rings that accumulate into a tokamak-like configuration. Analytical theory was also developed to help explain behavior that was observed in the RFP and spheromak computations. Although the tokamak configuration has outperformed other magnetic confinement configurations, it has a tendency to undergo discharge-terminating dynamics that release energy onto plasma-facing surfaces and exert electromechanical forces on magnetic coils and structures. Our efforts have improved NIMROD's capabilities to model tokamak disruption by incorporating a resistive wall model that can be applied to axisymmetric, as well as asymmetric, distortions of the magnetic field configuration. Computations addressed whether mathematical conditions applied to plasma flow at the wall influence disruptive dynamics.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2019

Leveraging Connections 2018 Progress Report

This 2018 progress report contains a list of Los Alamos National Laboratory's top innovations of the time, including: Inventing - Los Alamos National Laboratory has been inventing for the past 75 years to accomplish the difficult, the unexpected and at times, what seems impossible. The Feynman Center is rethinking roadmaps for patent and software strategies to enable Los Alamos to achieve greater impact of its innovations; Innovating - The US technology advantage in national security is dependent on continual innovation. Los Alamos’ immense contributions in leading edge science and technology research and development are directed into solving complex and forthcoming national security challenges. Check out the Technology Snapshot platform at https://techsnapshot.lanl.gov to explore Los Alamos’s technologies ready to be developed into disruptive applications; Disrupting - Known well for developing the first nuclear weapon, big and small science at Los Alamos is behind many other disruptive innovations. This year we are highlighting Los Alamos’s leadership in small modular nuclear reactor design and development, work on international nuclear safeguards electronics instrumentation, and first demonstrated deployment of non-destructive testing to measure corrosion in nuclear material storage containers; Partnering - Los Alamos science has assisted partners big and small with their toughest challenges, this year Los Alamos scientists assisted two New Mexico farm owners—Tim Seaman with Manzanar Los Silvestres apple orchard in Abiquiu and Christopher Bassett of Freshies of New Mexico in El Guique — protect their crops from frost.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Collaborative Research: The Evolution of Magnetic Skeletons During 3D Reconnection. Final report

We investigated how the plasmoid instability affects the evolution of topological features of a magnetic field and the process of magnetic reconnection with three sub-projects. (i) We extensively studied the criterion for plasmoid-mediated current sheet disruption and the onset of fast reconnection. Scaling relations with respect to plasma parameters have been established, using both direct numerical simulations and analytic theories, for the disruption time, the current sheet width, the instability linear growth rate, and the dominant mode wavenumber. (ii) We applied the theories of plasmoid-mediated current sheet disruption to magnetohydrodynamic turbulence and predicted a steepening of the turbulence energy spectrum. This steepening has been confirmed by direct numerical simulations. (iii) We performed numerical simulations of ultraviolet burst events in the solar atmosphere with a spine-dome magnetic topology. The plasmoid instability leads to unsteady reconnection, which is consistent with solar observations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Evaluating Energy Efficiency Opportunities from Connected and Automated Vehicle Deployments Coupled with Shared Mobility in California

Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) can be considered to be a disruptive transportation technology, with the potential to significantly improve overall transportation system efficiency; however, CAVs may increase induce vehicle miles traveled (VMT) and bring on greater energy consumption. Further, shared mobility is another disruptive transportation event that is reshaping our travel patterns. The primary goal of this project was to extensively collect data from vehicles and associated infrastructure equipped with CAV technologies from both real-world experiments and simulation studies mainly deployed in California, and develop a comprehensive framework for evaluating energy efficiency opportunities from large-scale (e.g., statewide) introduction of CAVs and a wide deployment of shared mobility systems in a variety of scenarios. To quantify the combined impact of CAV and shared mobility on travel behavior, traffic performance, and energy efficiency, a unique mesoscopic simulation-based model was developed for mobility and energy efficiency evaluation considering these disruptive transportation technologies. As a complement to existing studies on nationwide evaluation of CAVs’ energy impacts, this project was focused on data collection efforts and CAV applications under congested traffic environments that are frequently experienced on a massive scale across the major metropolitan areas in California. Extensive real-world data collection supplemented with simulation studies were conducted to cover a variety of CAV and shared mobility scenarios, particularly on scenarios less-explored in the existing research. Another key component of this project was to consider the interaction between different CAV technologies and shared mobility models, and the compound effect on energy efficiency. A comprehensive modeling suite was developed to quantify the impact of new mobility technologies on travel behavior and traffic performance. The developed modeling framework includes an energy intensity module, mode choice module and activity generation module that are integrated into an agent-based BEAM simulation platform to perform impact analysis based on a variety of scenarios. In addition, the RouteE model has been upgraded to incorporate the impact of CAVs on traffic flow, VMT and energy intensity, using micro-simulation data collected from both freeways and urban arterials. A novel fundamental influencing factor (FIF) mode choice model was developed to link CAV and shared mobility components with travel behaviors, and adapted into the BEAM-centered model framework. A statewide energy inventory was constructed under various CAV technology deployment scenarios by incorporating datasets and models for predicting vehicle market share and vehicle usage, which are tightly associated with the penetration of shared mobility systems. Based applying this modeling suite to a calibrated network in Riverside California, it was found that cooperative automated driving in general will improve mobility, but automated vehicles, even when deployed in a shared autonomous fleet, will likely bring an increase of VMT (up to 36%) due to mode shifts and deadheading. Ride-hailing vehicles typically have better energy efficiency and a higher share of electric vehicles, which helps offset the negative impact from VMT increases when estimating the system-level energy consumption. In general, simulation results show a 6% increase in energy consumption for the scenarios with an increasing shift to ride-hailing modes. The statewide analysis based on the National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) sample data is consistent with the findings from the Riverside network and validate the developed clustering-prediction modeling methodology. The outcomes from this project will help close the knowledge gap on recognizing the potential performance and energy impacts of a broad deployment of CAV and shared mobility technologies across a wide range of roadway infrastructure with varying levels of congestion. Results from this project: 1) will support policymakers in steering CAV development and deployment towards an energy favorable direction; 2) reduce uncertainties in estimating energy saving opportunities from new mobility technologies and services; 3) increase the confidence of CAV technology investors both on the infrastructure side (i.e., transportation agencies) and on the vehicle side (i.e., OEMs); and 4) expedite the deployment of energy-efficient CAV and shared mobility applications.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Economic Model for Estimation of GDP Losses in the MACCS Offsite Consequence Analysis Code

The MACCS (MELCOR Accident Consequence Code System) code is the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) tool used to perform probabilistic health and economic consequence assessments for atmospheric releases of radionuclides. It is also used by international organizations, both reactor owners and regulators. It is intended and most commonly used for hypothetical accidents that could potentially occur in the future rather than to evaluate past accidents or to provide emergency response during an ongoing accident. It is designed to support probabilistic risk and consequence analyses and is used by the NRC, U.S. nuclear licensees, the Department of Energy, and international vendors, licensees, and regulators. This report describes the modeling framework, implementation, verification, and benchmarking of a GDP-based model for economic losses that has recently been developed as an alternative to the original cost-based economic loss model in MACCS. The GDP-based model has its roots in a code developed by Sandia National Laboratories for the Department of Homeland Security to estimate short-term losses from natural and manmade accidents, called the Regional Economic Accounting analysis tool (REAcct). This model was adapted and modified for MACCS and is now called the Regional Disruption Economic Impact Model (RDEIM). It is based on input-output theory, which is widely used in economic modeling. It accounts for direct losses to a disrupted region affected by an accident, indirect losses to the national economy due to disruption of the supply chain, and induced losses from reduced spending by displaced workers. RDEIM differs from REAcct in its treatment and estimation of indirect loss multipliers, elimination of double counting associated with inter-industry trade in the affected area, and that it is designed to be used to estimate impacts for extended periods that can occur from a major nuclear reactor accident, such as the one that occurred at the Fukushima Daiichi site in Japan. Most input-output models do not account for economic adaptation and recovery, and in this regard RDEIM differs from its parent, REAcct, because it allows for a user-definable national recovery period. Implementation of a recovery period was one of several recommendations made by an independent peer review panel to ensure that RDEIM is state-of-practice. For this and several other reasons, RDEIM differs from REAcct. Both the original and the RDEIM economic loss models account for costs from evacuation and relocation, decontamination, depreciation, and condemnation. Where the original model accounts for an expected rate of return, based on the value of property, that is lost during interdiction, the RDEIM model instead accounts for losses of GDP based on the industrial sectors located within a county. The original model includes costs for disposal of crops and milk that the RDEIM model currently does not, but these costs tend to contribute insignificantly to the overall losses. This document discusses three verification exercises to demonstrate that the RDEIM model is implemented correctly in MACCS. It also describes a benchmark study at five nuclear power plants chosen to represent the spectrum of U.S. commercial sites. The benchmarks provide perspective on the expected differences between the RDEIM and the original cost-based economic loss models. The RDEIM model is shown to consistently predict larger losses than the original model, probably in part because it accounts for national losses by including indirect and induced losses; whereas, the original model only accounts for regional losses. Nonetheless, the RDEIM model predicts losses that are remarkably consistent with the original cost-based model, differing by 16% at most for the five sites combined with three source terms considered in this benchmark.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Evaluate the System-Level Impact of Connected and Automated Vehicles Coupled with Shared Mobility: An Agent-based Simulation Approach

With the rapid growth of information and communication technologies, Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) are deemed to be disruptive with the potential to significantly improve overall transportation system efficiency, however, may bring Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) increase or other issues. Further, shared mobility systems are another disruptive force that is reshaping our travel patterns. To quantify the combined impact of CAV and shared mobility on travel behavior, traffic performance and energy efficiency, we develop a mesoscopic simulation-based framework for mobility and energy efficiency evaluation considering the disruptive transportation technologies. Under this framework, we develop novel models for energy intensity and modal activity, and evaluated a variety of energy scenarios for different combinations of CAV applications, various levels of automation, roadway characteristics, and traffic conditions, while also varying different vehicle types and fuel/powertrain technologies. Based applying this modeling suite to a calibrated BEAM simulation network in Riverside California, it was found that cooperative automated driving in general will improve mobility, but automated vehicles, even when deployed in a shared autonomous fleet, will likely bring an increase of VMT (up to 36%) due to mode shifts and deadheading. Ride-hailing vehicles typically have better energy efficiency and a higher share of electric vehicles, which helps offset the negative impact from VMT increases when estimating the system-level energy consumption. In general, simulation results show a 6% increase in energy consumption for the scenarios with an increasing shift to ride-hailing modes.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Updated Economic Model for Estimation of GDP Losses in the MACCS Offsite Consequence Analysis Code RDEIM Model Report for MACCS v4.2

This report updates the Regional Disruption Economic Impact Model (RDEIM) GDP-based model described in Bixler et al. (2020) used in the MACCS accident consequence analysis code. MACCS is the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) used to perform probabilistic health and economic consequence assessments for atmospheric releases of radionuclides. It is also used by international organizations, both reactor owners and regulators. It is intended and most commonly used for hypothetical accidents that could potentially occur in the future rather than to evaluate past accidents or to provide emergency response during an ongoing accident. It is designed to support probabilistic risk and consequence analyses and is used by the NRC, U.S. nuclear licensees, the Department of Energy, and international vendors, licensees, and regulators. The update of the RDEIM model in version 4.2 expresses the national recovery calculation explicitly, rather than implicitly as in the previous version. The calculation of the total national GDP losses remains unchanged. However, anticipated gains from recovery are now allocated across all the GDP loss types – direct, indirect, and induced – whereas in version 4.1, all recovery gains were accounted for in the indirect loss type. To achieve this, we’ve introduced new methodology to streamline and simplify the calculation of all types of losses and recovery. In addition, RDEIM includes other kinds of losses, including tangible wealth. This includes loss of tangible assets (e.g., depreciation) and accident expenditures (e.g., decontamination). This document describes the updated RDEIM economic model and provides examples of loss and recovery calculation, results analysis, and presentation. Changes to the tangible cost calculation and accident expenditures are described in section 2.2. The updates to the RDEIM input-output (I-O) model are not expected to affect the final benchmark results Bixler et al. (2020), as the RDEIM calculation for the total national GDP losses remains unchanged. The reader is referred to the MACCS revision history for other cost modelling changes since version 4.0 that may affect the benchmark. RDEIM has its roots in a code developed by Sandia National Laboratories for the Department of Homeland Security to estimate short-term losses from natural and manmade accidents, called the Regional Economic Accounting analysis tool (REAcct). This model was adapted and modified for MACCS. It is based on I-O theory, which is widely used in economic modeling. It accounts for direct losses to a disrupted region affected by an accident, indirect losses to the national economy due to disruption of the supply chain, and induced losses from reduced spending by displaced workers. RDEIM differs from REAcct in in its treatment and estimation of indirect loss multipliers, elimination of double-counting associated with inter-industry trade in the affected area, and that it is intended to be used for extended periods that can occur from a major nuclear reactor accident, such as the one that occurred at the Fukushima Daiichi site in Japan. Most input-output models do not account for economic adaptation and recovery, and in this regard RDEIM differs from its parent, REAcct, because it allows for a user-definable national recovery period. Implementation of a recovery period was one of several recommendations made by an independent peer review panel to ensure that RDEIM is state-of-practice. For this and several other reasons, RDEIM differs from REAcct.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Feedback on the Electric Emergency Incident and Disturbance Report, OE-417

The US Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Electricity (OE) mandates requirements for reporting electric emergencies and disruptions in the United States. Specific electric power industry organizations (such as balancing authorities, reliability coordinators, some generating entities, and electric utilities) report this information through the OE-417 Electric Emergency Incident and Disturbance Report via Form OE-417. Entities are required to submit Form OE-417 when at least one of the qualifying 26 criteria is met pursuant to Section 13(b) of the Federal Energy Administration Act of 1974 (Public Law 93-275). Entities are required to report, within 6 hours of the incident, loss of electric service to 50,000 customers or more for 1 hour or longer. The deadline for submitting Form OE-417 depends on the nature of the incident. An updated Form OE-417 Schedule 1 and all of Schedule 2 are both due within 72 hours of the incident to provide complete disruption information. Additionally, a Final Report must be filed within 72 hours of the incident, unless an interim update has been provided. If the incident meets specific criteria, the form must be filed within one hour, six hours, or by the later of 24 hours after the recognition of the incident or by the end of the next business day.1 The ability of DOE to respond quickly to energy emergencies that could affect the nation’s infrastructure and help alleviate or prevent further disruptions depends on the industry’s prompt and complete submission of information. This report summarizes current issues with Form OE-417 and the reporting process and presents recommendations for improvements.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Flexible Stellarator Physics Facility

We propose to build a Flexible Stellarator Physics Facility to explore promising regions of the vast parameter space of disruption-free stellarator solutions for Fusion Pilot Plants (FPPs). The FESAC Long Range Plan recognized the quasi-symmetric stellarator as “the leading US approach to developing disruption-free, low-recirculating-power fusion configurations”. To deliver the ambitious Decadal Vision for Commercial Fusion Energy, we must establish a persuasive stellarator program in parallel to the tokamak one: the stellarator will prove to be a better path to a reactor if theoretical predictions are confirmed and novel optimization techniques and strategies work as desired. Since the release of the Long Range Plan in 2020, stellarators have arguably made the most significant advances of all fusion concepts. Groundbreaking results from W7-X demonstrated low neoclassical transport and the successful operation of the island divertor. Advances in theory and modeling now allow us to minimize turbulent transport, to achieve equilibria with precise quasisymmetry, to reduce neoclassical transport and fast ion loss to levels far below what has been previously achieved, and to minimize the effect of coil manufacturing errors. If realized, these advances will lead to cost-effective stellarator designs with confinement comparable to tokamaks but without the fundamental challenges of disruptions and current drive.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

National Security Programs - Cyber: MMAREJBLIGE – Modular Multi Agent Grid Emulation for Joined Breakdowns in Linked Generative Emulations - 23-0644

Modular Multi Agent Grid Emulations for Joined Breakdowns in Linked Generative Emulations (MMAREJBLIGE) introduces an agent-based modeling framework into real-time cyber-physical emulation to achieve a context-aware environment that introduces operator/attacker/external-condition variability to improve emulation fidelity and testing rigor. We detail our agent framework design, internal communication via message passing, and time synchronization, as well as the individual components of the system. We include a brief analysis of several scenarios run on a real-time, hardware-in-the-loop, Industrial Control Systems (ICS) test-bed which include normal operation, physical disruption, disruption with mitigation, and disruption with mitigation during a cyber denial-of-service (DOS) attack.

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