Expected numbers of maxima and minima of a stationary random process with non-Gaussian frequency distribution
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Diederich, Franklin W↗
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Analysis of dynamic system response to product random processes
The response of dynamic systems to the product of two independent Gaussian random processes is developed by use of the Fokker-Planck and associated moment equations. The development is applied to the amplitude modulated process which is used to model atmospheric turbulence in aeronautical applications. The exact solution for the system response is compared with the solution obtained by the quasi-steady approximation which omits the dynamic properties of the random amplitude modulation. The quasi-steady approximation is valid as a limiting case of the exact solution for the dynamic response of linear systems to amplitude modulated processes. In the nonlimiting case the quasi-steady approximation can be invalid for dynamic systems with low damping.
Sidwell, K.↗
Optical stationary control of a linear system with state-dependent noise
Optical stationary control of linear control system with state dependent Gaussian noise
STOCHASTIC PROCESS↗
Simulation of multicorrelated random processes using the FFT algorithm
A technique for the digital simulation of multicorrelated Gaussian random processes is described. This technique is based upon generating discrete frequency functions which correspond to the Fourier transform of the desired random processes, and then using the fast Fourier transform (FFT) algorithm to obtain the actual random processes. The main advantage of this method of simulation over other methods is computation time; it appears to be more than an order of magnitude faster than present methods of simulation. One of the main uses of multicorrelated simulated random processes is in solving nonlinear random vibration problems by numerical integration of the governing differential equations. The response of a nonlinear string to a distributed noise input is presented as an example.
Wittig, L. E.↗
Code for the manuscript titled "Blackout Diffusion: Generative Diffusion Models in Discrete-State Spaces"
We would like to disclose two scripts, written in Jupyter notebook, in which we implement the "Blackout Diffusion Process" described in the manuscript "Blackout Diffusion: Generative Diffusion Models in Discrete-State Spaces" (LA-UR-23-20509), to be submitted to the International Conference of Machine Learning (ICML). The abstract of the manuscript is append below. == Typical generative diffusion models rely on a Gaussian diffusion process for training the backward transformations, which can then be used generate samples from Gaussian noise. However, real world data often takes place in discrete-state spaces, which occur in many scientific applications. Here, we develop a theoretical formulation for arbitrary discrete-state Markov processes in the forward diffusion process. We relate the theory to the existing continuous-state Gaussian diffusion and identify the corresponding reverse-time stochastic process and score function in the continuous-time setting, and the reverse-time mapping in the discrete-time setting. As an example of this framework, we introduce "Blackout Diffusion", which learns to produce samples from an empty image instead of from noise. Numerical experiments on the CIFAR-10 dataset confirm the feasibility of generative diffusion modeling in a discrete space. Generalizing from specific (Gaussian) forward processes to a more general framework also sheds light on how to interpret generative diffusion models and their mathematical structure, which we comment on.
Lin, Yen Ting↗
Wildland fire mid-story: A generative modeling approach for representative fuels
Not Available
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Tailoring Molecular Space to Navigate Phase Complexity in Cs-Based Quasi-2D Perovskites via Gated-Gaussian-Driven High-Throughput Discovery
Cesium-based quasi-2D halide perovskites (HPs) offer promising functionalities and low-temperature manufacturability, suited to stable tandem photovoltaics. However, the chemical interplays between the molecular spacers and the inorganic building blocks during crystallization cause substantial phase complexities in the resulting matrices. To successfully optimize and implement the quasi-2D HP functionalities, a systematic understanding of spacer chemistry, along with the seamless navigation of the inherently discrete molecular space, is necessary. Herein, by utilizing high-throughput automated experimentation, the phase complexities in the molecular space of quasi-2D HPs are explored, thus identifying the chemical roles of the spacer cations on the synthesis and functionalities of the complex materials. Furthermore, a novel active machine learning algorithm leveraging a two-stage decision-making process, called gated Gaussian process Bayesian optimization is introduced, to navigate the discrete ternary chemical space defined with two distinctive spacer molecules. Through simultaneous optimization of photoluminescence intensity and stability that “tailors” the chemistry in the molecular space, a ternary-compositional quasi-2D HP film realizing excellent optoelectronic functionalities is demonstrated. Finally, this work not only provides a pathway for the rational and bespoke design of complex HP materials but also sets the stage for accelerated materials discovery in other multifunctional systems.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Performance of Residual Carrier Array Feed Combining in Correlated Noise
An array feed combining system for the recovery of SNR loss due to antenna reflector deformation has been implemented and is currently being evaluated on the Jet Propulsion Laboratory 34 meter DSS-13 antenna. In this system, the defocused signal field captured by a focal plane array feed is recovered using real-time signal processing and signal combining techniques. The current signal processing and signal combining algorithms are optimum under the assumption that the white Gaussian noise processes in the received signals from different array elements are mutually uncorrelated. Experimental data at DSS-13 indicate that these noise processes are indeed mutually correlated. The main result of this paper is an analytical derivation of the actual SNR performance of the current suboptimal signal combining algorithm in this correlated noises environment. The analysis here shows that the combined signal SNR can either be improved or degraded depending on the relation between the array signal and noise correlation coefficient phases. Further performance improvement will require the development of signal combining methods that take into account the correlated noises.
Residual↗
Performance of residual carrier array-feed combining in correlated noise
An array feed combining system for the recovery of signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) loss due to antenna reflector deformation has been implemented and is currently being evaluated on the Jet Propulsion Laboratory's 34-meter DSS-13 antenna. In this system, the defocused signal field captured by a focal plane array feed is recovered using real-time signal-processing and signal-combining techniques. The current signal-processing and signal-combining algorithms are optimum under the assumption that the white Gaussian noise processes in the received signals from different array elements are mutually uncorrelated. Experimental data at DSS 13 indicate that these noise processes are indeed mutually correlated. The main result of this article is an analytical derivation of the actual SNR performance of the current suboptimal signal-combining algorithm in this correlated-noise environment. The analysis here shows that the combined signal SNR can either be improved or degraded depending on the relation between the array signal and noise correlation coefficient phases. Further performance improvement will require the development of signal-combining methods that take into account the correlated noises.
Tan, H. H.↗
A mathematical examination of the press model for atmospheric turbulence
The random process used to model atmospheric turbulence in aircraft response problems is examined. The first, second, and higher order probability density and characteristic functions were developed. The concepts of the Press model lead to an approximate procedure for the analysis of the response of linear dynamic systems to a class of non-Gaussian random processes. The Press model accounts for both the Gaussian and non-Gaussian forms of measured turbulence data. The nonstationary aspects of measured data are explicitly described by the transition properties of the random process. The effects of the distribution of the intensity process upon calculated exceedances are examined. It is concluded that the press model with a Gaussian intensity distribution gives a conservative prediction of limit load values.
Sidwell, K.↗
Performance evaluation of cosmic ray muon trajectory estimation algorithms
Muons, being elementary particles with minimal interaction with nuclear materials and abundant at sea level, have sparked interest in utilizing them for imaging various applications, such as mining [Borselli et al., Sci. Rep. 12, 22329 (2022)], volcano imaging [Nagamine et al., Nucl. Instrum. Meth. A, 356, 585(1995)], and underground tunnel detection [Guardincerri et al., Pure Appl. Geophys. 174, 2133 (2017)]. Recently, their use in nuclear nonproliferation and safeguard verification has gained attention, particularly in cargo screening for nuclear waste smuggling [Baesso et al., J. Instrum. 9, C10041 (2014)], source localization [L. J. Schultz et al., Nucl. Instrum. Meth. A 519, 687 (2004)], and locating nuclear fuel debris in reactors [Borozdin et al., Phys. Rev. Let. 109, 152501 (2012)]. However, the resolution of muon image reconstruction techniques is limited due to multiple Coulomb scattering (MCS) within the target object. To achieve robust muon tomography, it is crucial to develop efficient and flexible physics-based algorithms that can model the MCS process accurately and estimate the most probable trajectory of muons as they pass through the target object. To address this limitation, in this study, a novel algorithmic approach utilizing the Bayesian probability theory and Gaussian approximation of MCS is chosen. Different energy levels, materials, and target sizes were considered in the evaluations. The results demonstrate that the Generalized Muon Trajectory Estimation (GMTE) algorithm offers significant improvements over currently used algorithms. Across all test scenarios, the GMTE algorithm demonstrated ~50% and 38% increase in precision compared to Straight Line Path (SLP) and Point of Closest Approach (PoCA) algorithms, respectively. Furthermore, it exhibited 10%–35% and 10%–15% increases in muon flux utilization for high and medium Z materials, respectively, compared to the PoCA algorithm. In conclusion, the extensive simulations confirm the enhanced performance and efficiency of the GMTE algorithm, offering improved resolution and reduced measurement time for cosmic ray muon imaging compared to the current SLP and PoCA algorithms.
79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
Equivalent linearization for fatigue life estimates of a nonlinear structure
An analysis is presented of the suitability of the method of equivalent linearization for estimating the fatigue life of a nonlinear structure. Comparisons are made of the fatigue life of a nonlinear plate as predicted using conventional equivalent linearization and three other more accurate methods. The excitation of the plate is assumed to be Gaussian white noise and the plate response is modeled using a single resonant mode. The methods used for comparison consist of numerical simulation, a probabalistic formulation, and a modification of equivalent linearization which avoids the usual assumption that the response process is Gaussian. Remarkably close agreement is obtained between all four methods, even for cases where the response is significantly linear.
Miles, R. N.↗
Equivalent linearization for fatigue life estimates of a nonlinear structure
An analysis is presented of the suitability of the method of equivalent linearization for estimating the fatigue life of a nonlinear structure. Comparisons are made of the fatigue life of a nonlinear plate as predicted using conventional equivalent linearization and three other more accurate methods. The excitation of the plate is assumed to be Gaussian white noise and the plate response is modeled using a single resonant mode. The methods used for comparison consist of numerical simulation, a probabilistic formulation, and a modification of equivalent linearization which avoids the usual assumption that the response process is Gaussian. Remarkably close agreement is obtained between all four methods, even for cases where the response is significantly linear.
Miles, R. N.↗
Process-Based Climate Model Development Harnessing Machine Learning: II. Model Calibration From Single Column to Global
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54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
A Self-learning Neural Network Approach for Radio Frequency Interference Detection and Removal in Radio Astronomy
In this work, we present a novel neural network (NN) method for the detection and removal of radio frequency interference (RFI) from the raw digitized signal in the signal processing chain of a typical radio astronomy experiment. The main advantage of our method is that it does not require a training set. Instead, our method relies on the fact that the true signal of interest coming from astronomical sources is thermal and therefore described as a Gaussian random process, which cannot be compressed. We employ a variational encoder/decoder network to find the compressible information in the data stream that can explain the most variance with the fewest degrees of freedom. We demonstrate it on a set of toy problems and stored ring buffers from the Baryon Mapping eXperiment prototype. We find that the RFI subtraction is effective at cleaning simulated time streams: While we find that the power spectra of the RFI-cleaned time streams output by the NN suffer from extra signal consistent with additive noise, we find that it is generally around percent level across the band and sub 10% in contaminated spectral channels even when RFI power is an order of magnitude larger than the signal. We discuss the advantages and limitations of this method and possible implementation in the front end of future radio experiments.
79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
Utilization of machine learning to accelerate colloidal synthesis and discovery
Machine learning techniques are seeing increased usage for predicting new materials with targeted properties. However, widespread adoption of these techniques is hindered by the relatively greater experimental efforts required to test the predictions. Furthermore, because failed synthesis pathways are rarely communicated, it is difficult to find prior datasets that are sufficient for modeling. This work presents a closed-loop machine learning-based strategy for colloidal synthesis of nanoparticles, assuming no prior knowledge of the synthetic process, in order to show that synthetic discovery can be accelerated despite limited data availability.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Dynamic Performance Enhancement for Nonlinear Stochastic Systems Using RBF Driven Nonlinear Compensation with Extended Kalman Filter
In this paper, a novel hybrid control method is proposed to enhance the control performance of the PI based control system for a class of nonlinear and non-Gaussian stochastic dynamic processes with unmeasurable states. Firstly, to enhance the tracking performance of the PI controller where the PI parameters are fixed in many actual control systems, the compensative signal is formed using the extended Kalman filter(EKF) based state estimator and driven by the radial basis function (RBF) neural network based compensator. In addition, the weights of RBF is trained to minimize the entropy criterion of tracking error as the process is subjected to non-Gaussian disturbances. Meanwhile, since the precise statistical property of noises is hard to obtain for many industrial processes, the kernel density estimation (KDE) technique is employed in this paper to estimate the entropy. The convergence of RBF network is discussed and the stability of the resulted closed-loop hybrid control system is analyzed in mean square sense. Finally, a numerical example and a practical system testing are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed control method.
stochastic systems, PI Controller, Entropy, Extend↗
Understanding Model Inadequacy in TRISO Nuclear Fuel Fission Products Release Models: Empirical and Mechanistic Approaches
The increasing use of tristructural isotropic (TRISO) particle fuel in both advanced and existing reactors necessitates a thorough evaluation of uncertainties and shortcomings in TRISO fission product release models. These inadequacies arise from the simplifications made in computational models compared to experimental data. Utilizing the BISON fuel performance code and experimental data from the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) program provides a unique chance to rigorously assess these inadequacies within a Bayesian uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework. This study contrasts the standard Bayesian framework with the Kennedy-O'Hagan (KOH) framework, which explicitly accounts for modeling inadequacies, in the context of UQ for TRISO silver release models. It examines both the traditional Arrhenius equation and a more advanced lower-length-scale (LLS)-informed model that incorporates microstructure information. The inverse UQ process applied to AGR-2 and AGR-3/4 datasets identified modeling inadequacy as the primary source of uncertainty, with experimental noise also being significant, while model parameter uncertainty was minimal. Both the Arrhenius and LLS-informed models showed similar levels of modeling inadequacy. For forward predictive UQ using the AGR-1 dataset, the KOH framework enhanced the accuracy and quality of quantified uncertainties by approximately 30% and 40%, respectively, compared to the standard Bayesian framework. This improvement was observed for both the Arrhenius and LLS-informed models. At the engineering scale, both models performed similarly, but the LLS-informed model outperformed the Arrhenius equation at the mesoscale. These findings underscore the importance of explicitly considering modeling inadequacy in the UQ process and highlight the need for ongoing refinement of physics-based models to address these shortcomings.
11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗