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At least 865 records · Page 48

The role of extraterrestrial phenomena in extinction

In the several years since the Alvarez report of anomalously high iridium concentrations at the Cretaceous-Tertiary boundary, evidence for the involvement of meteorite impacts in biological extinction has increased dramatically. Much more research will be needed, however, before meteorite impact is established as a general causal factor in extinction. Of ever greater long-term interest is the possibility that other extraterrestrial forces have had important influences on the evolution of life. To recognize the effects of such forces, it will be necessary to coordinate the research of astronomy and paleontology so that testable predictions can be formulated. It is possible that known, systematic changes in the Solar System or Galaxy have had effects on global biology and that these effects have been preserved in the paleontological record.

Non-NASA Center↗

The cryptoendolithic microbial environment in the Ross Desert of Antarctica: mathematical models of the thermal regime

Microbial activity in the Antarctic cryptoendolithic habitat is regulated primarily by temperature. Previous field studies have provided some information on the thermal regime in this habitat, but this type of information is limited by the remoteness of the site and the harsh climatic conditions. Therefore, a mathematical model of the endolithic thermal regime was constructed to augment the field data. This model enabled the parameters affecting the horizontal and altitudinal distribution of the community to be examined. The model predicts that colonization should be possible on surfaces with zenith angle less than 15 degrees. At greater zenith angles, colonization should be restricted to surfaces with azimuth angles less than 135 degrees or greater than 225 degrees. The upper elevational limit of the community should be less than 2,500 m. The thermal regime probably does not influence the zonation of the community within a rock.

Non-NASA Center↗

A kill curve for Phanerozoic marine species

A kill curve for Phanerozoic species is developed from an analysis of the stratigraphic ranges of 17,621 genera, as compiled by Sepkoski. The kill curve shows that a typical species' risk of extinction varies greatly, with most time intervals being characterized by very low risk. The mean extinction rate of 0.25/m.y. is thus a mixture of long periods of negligible extinction and occasional pulses of much higher rate. Because the kill curve is merely a description of the fossil record, it does not speak directly to the causes of extinction. The kill curve may be useful, however, to li inverted question markmit choices of extinction mechanisms.

NASA Discipline Number 52-40↗

Modelling the Phanerozoic carbon cycle and climate: constraints from the 87Sr/86Sr isotopic ratio of seawater

A numerical model describing the coupled evolution of the biogeochemical cycles of carbon, sulfur, calcium, magnesium, phosphorus, and strontium has been developed to describe the long-term changes of atmospheric carbon dioxide and climate during the Phanerozoic. The emphasis is on the effects of coupling the cycles of carbon and strontium. Various interpretations of the observed Phanerozoic history of the seawater 87Sr/86Sr ratio are investigated with the model. More specifically, the abilities of continental weathering, volcanism, and surface lithology in generating that signal are tested and compared. It is suggested that the observed fluctuations are mostly due to a changing weatherability over time. It is shown that such a conclusion is very important for the modelling of the carbon cycle. Indeed, it implies that the conventional belief that the evolution of atmospheric carbon dioxide and climate on a long time scale is governed by the balance between the volcanic input of CO2 and the rate of silicate weathering is not true. Rather carbon exchanges between the mantle and the exogenic system are likely to have played a key role too. Further, the increase of the global weathering rates with increasing surface temperature and/or atmospheric CO2 pressure usually postulated in long-term carbon cycle and climate modelling is also inconsistent with the new model. Other factors appear to have modulated the weatherability of the continents through time, such as mountain building and the existence of glaciers and ice sheets. Based on these observations, a history of atmospheric carbon dioxide and climate during Phanerozoic time, consistent with the strontium isotopic data, is reconstructed with the model and is shown to be compatible with paleoclimatic indicators, such as the timing of glaciation and the estimates of Cretaceous paleotemperatures.

NASA Discipline Number 52-30↗

Large-body impact and extinction in the Phanerozoic

The kill curve for Phanerozoic marine species is used to investigate large-body impact as a cause of species extinction. Current estimates of Phanerozoic impact rates are combined with the kill curve to produce an impact-kill curve, which predicts extinction levels from crater diameter, on the working assumption that impacts are responsible for all "pulsed" extinctions. By definition, pulsed extinction includes the approximately 60% of Phanerozoic extinctions that occurred in short-lived events having extinction rates greater than 5%. The resulting impact-kill curve is credible, thus justifying more thorough testing of the impact-extinction hypothesis. Such testing is possible but requires an exhaustive analysis of radiometric dating of Phanerozoic impact events.

Non-NASA Center↗

Applications and Results of MODIS Lunar Observations

Both Terra and Aqua MODIS have been making periodic lunar observations since their launch in December 1999 and May 2002, respectively. The primary objective of the MODIS lunar observations is to monitor on-orbit response changes for the reflective solar bands (RSB) and to track long-term radiometric calibration stability. The Moon is an extremely stable surface reflectance reference and, together with the lunar radiometric model developed recently by the US Geological Survey (USGS), the applications of lunar observations for Earth remote sensing missions have been greatly enhanced and expanded. In particular, calibration inter-comparisons among sensors on different platforms and operated in different time frames have been enabled in the VIS/NIR/SWIR spectral regions. In this paper, we discuss various applications of MODIS lunar observations, such as monitoring the RSB radiometric stability and calibration consistency between the two sensors, evaluating the calibration differences among detectors within the same spectral band, and tracking the on-orbit changes of band-to-band registration (BBR). Other applications designed for the thermal emissive bands (TEB) and special sensor characterization purposes are also illustrated. Results from multi-year Terra and Aqua MODIS lunar observations demonstrate clearly that the two sensors have been calibrated consistently to within 1% for most RSB compared to the 2% radiometric calibration requirement. In addition the spatial characterization results derived from lunar observations are in good agreement with those derived from the instrument's on-board calibrator. The applications and results of MODIS lunar observations presented in this paper provide useful references for other sensors that also make use of lunar surface observations.

Xiong, X.↗

Combining Multi-Faceted Laboratory Studies of 74001-2 and Regional Remote Sensing to Address How Pyroclastic Eruptions Record and Affect the Lunar Volatile Budget

Basaltic magmatism is an efficient process for bringing volatiles from a planetary interior to its surface, with the possibility of generation of a transient lunar atmosphere as abundant volcanic materials de-gassed. However, pyroclastic deposits are locations where trapped gases may be studied [e.g., 2,3]. Volatile-rich pyroclastic deposits occur over a wide surface area of the Moon, indicating that the transport of volatiles and associated pyroclastic materials from the Moon’s mantle to the surface was a wide-spread phenomenon. Numerous studies analyzing remotely sensed data and using empirical modeling have demonstrated that various stages of pyroclastic eruptions significantly influence gas release patterns, morphology, and mineralogy of the deposit. Many observations based on mare basalts and pyroclastic deposits have identified potential histories of gas release [e.g., 2-10] and their influence on volatiles and their stable isotopes [e.g., 11-13]. The best representation of these pyroclastic deposits in the sample collection is core sample 74001-74002 that was collected during the Apollo 17 mission to the Taurus-Littrow Valley (TLV). The double drive tube penetrated a part of a regional-scale pyroclastic deposit and sampled approximately 68.1 cm of that deposit in the TLV. Remnants of this and other pyroclastic depos-its are represented throughout and beyond the TLV [e.g., 14-16]. The stratigraphy of this core has been investigated and defined by numerous studies. The CASA Moon SSERVI research team is conducting a multi-faceted analytical study of this deposit. Data generated from revisiting the stratigraphy of 74001-74002 will be used to place stable isotopes (H, B, Cl, S, Zn, Cu, Rb, Ga, Pb), Ar-Ar and U-Pb chronology, geochemistry, nanometer-scale observations of mineral surfaces, orbital observations, and experiments and modeling within a stratigraphic, eruptive, and geologic context. It is important to place these data into such a context. For example, recent S isotope measurements reported by Dottin et al. show differences within this core that may be related to either changes in source or eruptive process over the course of the eruption (vs. multiple eruptions). A fuller understanding of the stratigraphy is fundamental to resolving this interpretation. This comprehensive approach can only be achieved within the context of a program such as SSERVI. In addition, imaging produced in this project will be incorporated into a citizen scientist program to further identify many of the textural features of this double drive tube.

SSERVI↗

Investigation and Analysis of Dolomite Dissolution in Variable Strength Systems Relevant to the WIPP

The Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) was opened in 1999 as a solution to the long-term disposal of the nation's nuclear defense-generated transuranic (TRU) waste. The salt beds were recommended as the ideal location because they are free from flowing fresh water, easily mined, impermeable, and geologically stable. However, for performance assessment modeling, release scenarios must be considered. The most likely release scenario was determined to be human intrusion leading to direct and/or long-term brine release (US DOE 1995, US DOE 1996, Perkins et al., 1999). The focus of this research is the Rustler formation because it is located above the WIPP and is the most transmissive layer (Perkins et al., 1999). Objective: To determine the effect of chelating ligands ( e.g. EDTA) on dissolution of dolomite in high ionic strength systems. Do brines impact dolomite dissolution and how is it affected by EDTA binding with cations? By varying the ionic strengths, different brine conditions can be simulated similar to those in and around the Culebra member and evaluate trends of dissolved Ca and Mg in the aqueous phase from the quantified data. Conclusions: <2% of dolomite dissolved over one week at pH 8.5. Greater dissolution occurred at higher ionic strength and in the presence of NaCl with approximately 0.4 vs. 0.9% of Mg removed from dolomite in 0.1 and 1.0 M Na. Further, 0.3 vs. 0.9% of Mg was removed from dolomite in 1.0 M IS CaCl{sub 2} versus NaCl. EDTA increased dissolution of dolomite at low ionic strength due to its strong complexation affinity for Ca/Mg with slightly greater removal of Ca than Mg. Significant differences were not observed at high ionic strength due to the presence of large concentrations of competing cations (Na, Ca, Mg). Slightly higher concentrations of Ca were removed from dolomite than Mg after one week, suggesting either incongruent dissolution or release through ion exchange of Ca from trace mineral impurities. Further, when EDTA was present, it may have increased Ca removal due to its greater complexation for Ca than Mg. Environmental Implications: High ionic strength brines and low ionic strength solutions with organic ligands increase dissolution of dolomite. Due to the long half-lives of radionuclides in the TRU waste, it may be important to consider the long term impact of dolomite dissolution for potential release scenarios.

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Geocellular model of St. Peter Sandstone for University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign DDU Feasibility Study

The geocellular model of the St. Peter Sandstone was constructed for the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign DDU feasibility study. Starting with the initial area of review (18.0 km by 18.1 km [11.2 miles by 11.3 miles]) the boundaries of the model were trimmed down to 9.7 km by 9.7 km (6 miles by 6 miles) to ensure that the model enclosed a large enough volume so that the cones of depression of both the production and injection wells would not interact with each other, while at the same time minimizing the number of cells to model to reduce computational time. The grid-cell size was set to 61.0 m by 61.0 m (200 feet by 200 feet) for 160 nodes in the X and Y directions. The top surface of the St. Peter Sandstone was provided by geologists working on the project, and the average thickness of the formation was taken from the geologic prospectus they provided. An average thickness of 68.6 m (225 feet) was used for the St. Peter Sandstone, resulting in 45 layers for the model. Petrophysical data was taken from available rotary sidewall core data (Morrow et al., 2017). As geothermal properties (thermal conductivity, specific heat capacity) are closely related to mineralogy, specifically the percentage of quartz, available mineralogical data was assembled and used with published data of geothermal values to determine these properties (Waples and Waples, 2004; Robertson, 1988). The St. Peter Sandstone was divided into facies according to similar geothermal and petrophysical properties, and distributed according to available geophysical log data and prevailing interpretations of the depositional/diagenetic history (Will et al. 2014). Petrophysical and geothermal properties were distributed through geostatistical means according to the associated distributions for each lithofacies. The formation temperature was calculated, based on data from continuous temperature geophysical log from a deep well drilled into the Precambrian basement at the nearby Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP) where CO2 is currently being sequestered (Schlumberger, 2012). Salinity values used in the model were taken from regional studies of brine chemistry in the St. Peter Sandstone, including for the IBDP (e.g., Panno et al. 2018). After being reviewed by the project's geologists, the model was then passed onto the geological engineers to begin simulations of the geothermal reservoir and wellbores.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Best Practices for Modeling and Simulation of CO 2 Storage

The purpose of this best practices manual (BPM) is to describe lessons learned and best practices for modeling and simulation of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) geologic storage (herein “storage”) projects. Information presented here is derived from laboratory and field storage project activities conducted by the Plains CO 2 Reduction (PCOR) Partnership. Modeling and simulation collectively comprise one of four technical elements of the adaptive management approach (AMA) formalized by the PCOR Partnership for storage project development. The other technical elements are site characterization; risk assessment; and monitoring, verification, and accounting (MVA) of injected CO 2 .

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluating Probability of Containment Effectiveness at a GCS Sites using integrated assessment modeling approach with Bayesian decision Networks

Improved scientific and engineering understanding of the behavior of geologic CO2 storage together with established regulatory framework and incentive structures raise the prospects for accelerated, large-scale deployment of this greenhouse gas emissions reduction approach. Incentive structures call for the establishment of appropriate verification and accounting approaches to support claims of the integrity of a geologic storage complex and to justify taking credit for long-term storage. In this study, we present a framework for assessing the probability of containment effectiveness over the lifetime of a geologic carbon storage site (e.g., after 70 years of injection and post-injection site performance) using forward stochastic model realizations based on site characterization data and using a monitoring-informed Bayesian network based on hypothetical detectability from surface seismic surveys over the site injection and post-injection phases. The National Risk Assessment Partnership’s open-source Integrated Assessment Model (NRAP-Open-IAM) was utilized to develop an ensemble of 10,000 a priori stochastic forecasts of CO2 containment. Those simulations were used to train the Bayesian network model to estimate the prior probabilities of the CO2 leakage mass into overlying, monitorable aquifers considering the uncertainties in the reservoir properties, permeability of potentially leaky wells and the overlying aquifers. The conditional probabilities in the Bayesian network were either learned from the NRAP-Open-IAM simulations or derived from the predefined detection thresholds for the monitoring method. Observations obtained from monitoring, over time during the site operation phases were then used to generate updated posterior probabilities of containment (and any loss from containment) in the Bayesian network by propagating the prior probabilities through the conditional probabilities. We demonstrate how to construct and use the Bayesian network for verifying the long-term storage complex effectiveness informed by monitoring based on the NRAP-Open-IAM simulations previously developed for the FutureGen 2.0 site. This approach may have relevance for stake holders to demonstrate secure geologic storage, provide a defensible, probabilistic approach to claim credit for geologic storage, and to estimate the likelihood that any fraction of the claimed credit may need to be refunded to the creditor based on available monitoring information.

Bayesian network, Risk assessment, Monitoring, car↗

A multiscale multi-permeability poroplasticity model linked by recursive homogenizations and deep learning

Many geological materials, such as shale, mudstone, carbonate rock, limestone and rock salt are multi-porosity porous media in which pores of different scales may co-exist in the host matrix. When fractures propagate in these multi-porosity materials, these pores may enlarge and coalesce and therefore change the magnitude and the principal directions of the effective permeability tensors. The pore-fluid inside the cracks and the pores of host matrix may interact and exchange fluid mass, but the difference in hydraulic properties of these pores often means that a single homogenized effective permeability tensor field is insufficient to characterize the evolving hydraulic properties of these materials at smaller time scale. Furthermore, the complexity of the hydro-mechanical coupling process and the induced mechanical and hydraulic anisotropy originated from the micro-fracture and plasticity at grain scale also makes it difficult to propose, implement and validate separated macroscopic constitutive laws for numerical simulations. Here this article presents a hybrid data-driven method designed to capture the multiscale hydro-mechanical coupling effect of porous media with pores of various different sizes. At each scale, data-driven models generated from supervised machine learning are hybridized with classical constitutive laws in a directed graph that represents the numerical models. By using sub-scale simulations to generate database to train material models, an offline homogenization procedure is used to replace the up-scaling procedure to generate cohesive laws for localized physical discontinuities at both grain and specimen scales. Through a proper homogenization procedure that preserves spatial length scales, the proposed method enables field-scale simulations to gather insights from meso-scale and grain-scale micro-structural attributes. This method is proven to be much more computationally efficient than the classical DEM–FEM or FEM2 approach while at the same time more robust and flexible than the classical surrogate modeling approach. Due to the usage of bridging-scale technique, the proposed model may provide multiple opportunities to incorporate different types of simulations and experimental data across different length scales for machine learning. Numerical issues will also be discussed.

42 ENGINEERING↗

The geology of Europa

The map units and lineations of Europa are detailed, and the geologic processes, and history, and thick and thin ice models of the satellite are discussed. It is concluded that Europa lacks evidence of a horizontally stratified crust; the geology appears characterized by disruption of the crust and intrusions into an icy shell. The surface consists of plains and mottled terrain, the former being older. Numerous straight and curved lineations, streaks, stripes, and bands cross EuropA's surface on a global and surface scale. Most lineations appear related to fractures in the crust. Five fresh craters in the 10 to 30 km diameter range are visible. The dark spots, stripes, and bands that appear to have replaced sections of the crust suggest that material was transported to the surface from the subjacent silicate lithosphere. The apparent low density of craters superposed on Europa's surface suggests that the surface is about 100 million years old.

Lucchitta, B. K.↗

Impact of GRM: New evidence from the Soviet Union

Gravity information released by the Soviet Union allows the quantitative assessment of how the geopotential research mission (GRM) mission might effect the ability to use global gravity data for continental tectonic interpretation. The information is of an isostatic response spectra for eight individual tectonic units in the USSR. The regions examined include the Caroathians, Caucasus, Urals, Pamirs, Tien-Shan, Altal, Chersky Ridge, and East Siberian Platform. The 1 deg x 1 deg gravity data are used to calculate the admittances are used in two different sorts of tectonic studies of mountain belts in the USSR: (1) interpretation of isostatic responses in terms of plate models of compensation for mountainous terrain. Using geologic information concerning time of the orogeny, lithospheric plates involved, and polarity of subduction in collision zones, they convert the best-fitting flexural rigidity to an elastic plate thickness for the lithospheric plate inferred to underlie the mountains; the isostatic admittance functions is an attempt to directly model gravity and topography data for a few select regions in the Soviet Union. By knowing the value of the expected correlation between topography and gravity from the admittances, the Artemjev's map in mountainous areas can be calibrated, and the maps are converted back to Bouguer gravity. This procedure is applied to the Caucasus and southern Urals.

Mcnutt, M.↗

Optimal carbon storage reservoir management through deep reinforcement learning

Model-based optimization plays a central role in energy system design and management. The complexity and high-dimensionality of many process-level models, especially those used for geosystem energy exploration and utilization, often lead to formidable computational costs when the dimension of decision space is also large. This work adopts elements of recently advanced deep learning techniques to solve a sequential decision-making problem in applied geosystem management. Specifically, a deep reinforcement learning framework was formed for optimal multiperiod planning, in which a deep Q-learning network (DQN) agent was trained to maximize rewards by learning from high-dimensional inputs and from exploitation of its past experiences. To expedite computation, deep multitask learning was used to approximate high-dimensional, multistate transition functions. Both DQN and deep multitask learning are pattern based. As a demonstration, the framework was applied to optimal carbon sequestration reservoir planning using two different types of management strategies: monitoring only and brine extraction. Both strategies are designed to mitigate potential risks due to pressure buildup. Results show that the DQN agent can identify the optimal policies to maximize the reward for given risk and cost constraints. Finally, experiments also show that knowledge the agent gained from interacting with one environment is largely preserved when deploying the same agent in other similar environments.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Modeling of Radiolytic Production of Oxidants Relevant to Corrosion of a Used Fuel Container in Deep Geologic Repository Environments - 17641

The Canadian used nuclear fuel disposal concept involves a deep geological repository using a multi-barrier system. A key barrier is the used fuel container (UFC). It consists of an inner vessel of carbon steel, which provides the structural strength to withstand repository loads, and an outer coating of copper acting as an external corrosion barrier. Relative to other design concepts, coated containers have thinner walls that provide less shielding for γ-radiation, raising the possibility of radiolysis-induced corrosion on the exterior of the container. Also, any trapped aerated water inside the container or in the bentonite clay may condense on the container surface, be exposed to γ-radiation and influence the container corrosion. Understanding the effect of radiation on container corrosion is one key factor to consider in the assessment of the integrity and longevity of the UFC. Humid air radiolysis produces HNO{sub 3} as the dominant oxidizing species. A conservative hemispherical water droplet model was developed to predict the accumulation of HNO{sub 3} and its impact on corrosion. Radiolysis of groundwater in the presence of Cl{sup -} mainly produces H{sub 2}O{sub 2} and HOCl. The concentration of these species is <10 mM and their sum remains almost constant. Radiation exposure tests showed radiation-induced corrosion on carbon steel and Cu. A systematic study of the Cu corrosion and the corrosion rate as a function of [H{sub 2}O{sub 2}], [HOCl], pH and γ-radiation is on-going. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗