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At least 883 records · Page 49

Designing Graceful Degradation into Complex Systems: Identification of Causes of Degradation, Interactions, and Mitigation of Degradation in Air Traffic Control

System resilience is critical to safety in air traffic control. An important element of maintaining resilience is the ability of systems to degrade gracefully. Of the available graceful degradation research, a majority of studies have focused primarily on technological causes of degradation only, limiting an ecologically valid understanding of the causes of degradation in air traffic control, and the preventative and mitigative strategies that enable graceful degradation. The current study aimed to address this research gap by investigating causes of degradation in air traffic control across the broad categories of technology, the environment, and the human operator, and the potential interactions between these causes. 12 retired controllers participated in semi-structured interviews focused on previous experience of causes of degradation and mitigation strategies. Findings provide an understanding of causation of degradation in air traffic control, and the prevention and mitigation strategies that moderate the relationship between cause and system effect. Findings confirmed that causes appear to interact to create compound, multiple effects on overall system performance. Findings also revealed prevention and mitigation strategies utilized to moderate the effect of the cause on the system. In order to gain an ecologically valid understanding of the causes of degradation, and effective prevention or mitigation strategies, causes from multiple categories, and the interactions between them, must be identified. Findings have implications for designers of future air traffic control systems to ensure the ability of the system to gracefully degrade, as well as risk assessment and system validation processes.

human performance↗

Three Stage Cool Flame Droplet Burning Behavior of n-Alkane Droplets at Elevated Pressure Conditions: Hot, Warm and Cool Flame

Transient, isolated n-alkane droplet combustion is simulated at elevated pressure for helium-diluent substituted-air mixtures. We report the presence of unique quasi-steady, three-stage burning behavior of large sphero-symmetric n-alkane droplets at these elevated pressures and helium substituted ambient fractions. Upon initiation of reaction, hot-flame diffusive burning of large droplets is initiated that radiatively extinguishes to establish cool flame burning conditions in nitrogen/oxygen “air” at atmospheric and elevated pressures. However, at elevated pressure and moderate helium substitution for nitrogen ( X He > 20%), the initiated cool flame burning proceeds through two distinct, quasi-steady-state, cool flame burning conditions. The classical “Hot flame ” ( ∼1500 K) radiatively extinguishes into a “Warm flame ” burning mode at a moderate maximum reaction zone temperature ( ∼ 970 K), followed by a transition to a lower temperature ( ∼765 K), quasi-steady “Cool flame ” burning condition. The reaction zone (“flame”) temperatures are associated with distinctly different yields in intermediate reaction products within the reaction zones and surrounding near-field, and the flame-standoff ratios characterizing each burning mode progressively decrease. The presence of all three stages first appears with helium substitution near 20%, and the duration of each stage is observed to be strongly dependent on helium substitutions level between 20–60%. For helium substitution greater than 60%, the hot flame extinction is followed by only the lower temperature cool flame burning mode. In addition to the strong coupling between the diffusive loss of both energy and species and the slowly evolving degenerate branching in the low and negative temperature coefficient (NTC) kinetic regimes, the competition between the low-temperature chain branching and intermediate-temperature chain termination reactions control the “Warm” and “Cool ” flame quasi-steady conditions and transitioning dynamics.

Droplet Combustion↗

Designing Graceful Degradation into Complex Systems: The Interaction Between Causes of Degradation and the Association with Degradation Prevention and Recovery

System resilience is critical to safety in air traffic control. An important element of maintaining resilience is the ability of systems to degrade gracefully. Of the available graceful degradation research, a majority of studies have focused primarily on technological causes of degradation only, limiting an ecologically valid understanding of the causes of degradation in air traffic control, and the preventative and mitigative strategies that enable graceful degradation. The current study aimed to address this research gap by investigating causes of degradation in air traffic control (ATC) across the broad categories of technology, the environment, and the human operator, and the potential interactions between these causes. 12 retired controllers (ATCOs - Air Traffic Control Officers) participated in semi-structured interviews focused on previous experience of causes of degradation and mitigation strategies. Findings provide an understanding of causation of degradation in air traffic control, and the prevention and mitigation strategies that moderate the relationship between cause and system effect. Findings confirmed that causes appear to interact to create compound, multiple effects on overall system performance. Findings also revealed prevention and mitigation strategies utilized to moderate the effect of the cause on the system. In order to gain an ecologically valid understanding of the causes of degradation, and effective prevention or mitigation strategies, causes from multiple categories, and the interactions between them, must be identified. Findings have implications for designers of future air traffic control systems to ensure the ability of the system to gracefully degrade, as well as risk assessment and system validation processes.

Graceful Degradation↗

Was the Sun a Slow Rotator? Sodium and Potassium Constraints from the Lunar Regolith

While the Earth and Moon are generally similar in composition, a notable difference between the two is the apparent depletion in moderately volatile elements in lunar samples. This is often attributed to the formation process of the Moon, and it demonstrates the importance of these elements as evolutionary tracers. Here we show that paleo space weather may have driven the loss of a significant portion of moderate volatiles, such as sodium and potassium, from the surface of the Moon. The remaining sodium and potassium in the regolith is dependent on the primordial rotation state of the Sun. Notably, given the joint constraints shown in the observed degree of depletion of sodium and potassium in lunar samples and the evolution of activity of solar analogs over time, the Sun is highly likely to have been a slow rotator. Because the young Sun's activity was important in affecting the evolution of planetary surfaces, atmospheres, and habitability in the early Solar System, this is an important constraint on the solar activity environment at that time. Finally, as solar activity was strongest in the first billion years of the Solar System, when the Moon was most heavily bombarded by impactors, evolution of the Sun's activity may also be recorded in lunar crust and would be an important well-preserved and relatively accessible record of past Solar System processes.

Saxena, Prabal↗

Multi-Sensor Integration of Vegetation Index Products for Long-Term Monitoring of Vegetation Dynamics: A Case Study from MODIS to VIIRS

Spectral vegetation index (VI) time series data from moderate resolution sensors, such as Earth Observing System (EOS) Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), have widely been used to identify "hot spot" areas of vegetation changes and to characterize long-term trends of vegetation changes. The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) sensor series of the Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) program is slated to continue the highly calibrated data stream initiated with MODIS. The first VIIRS sensor has operationally been acquiring Earth-reflected radiation since March 2012. The second VIIRS sensor (NOAA-20) was launched in November 2017, which is to continue the measurements made by the first VIIRS sensor. In this study, we examined an integrated use of MODIS and VIIRS VI time series data on capturing vegetation dynamics in the Asia-Pacific region using their overlapped period of observations (2013-2017). Three VIs, the "top-of-canopy (TOC)" normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), TOC enhanced vegetation index (EVI), and TOC two-band enhanced vegetation index (EVI2), were investigated. For all the three VIs, VIIRS VIs were systematically higher than the MODIS counterparts due mainly to their spectral bandpass differences. However, both VIIRS and MODIS VIs showed the comparable spatial patterns in their temporal variations. Empirical spectral corrections allowed to merge the two data streams, which slightly improved the temporal resolution of the VI temporal profiles. These results suggest the suitability of VIIRS data to extend and merge into the MODIS VI record for long-term vegetation dynamics studies.

MODIS↗

Increasing Impacts of Extreme Droughts on Vegetation Productivity Under Climate Change

Terrestrial gross primary production (GPP) is the basis of vegetation growth and food production globally and plays a critical role in regulating atmospheric CO2 through its impact on ecosystem carbon balance. Even though higher CO2 concentrations in future decades can increase GPP, low soil water availability, heat stress and disturbances associated with droughts could reduce the benefits of such CO2 fertilization. Here we analysed outputs of 13 Earth system models to show an increasingly stronger impact on GPP by extreme droughts than by mild and moderate droughts over the twenty-first century. Due to a dramatic increase in the frequency of extreme droughts, the magnitude of globally averaged reductions in GPP associated with extreme droughts was projected to be nearly tripled by the last quarter of this century (2075-2099) relative to that of the historical period (1850-1999) under both high and intermediate GHG emission scenarios. By contrast, the magnitude of GPP reductions associated with mild and moderate droughts was not projected to increase substantially. Our analysis indicates a high risk of extreme droughts to the global carbon cycle with atmospheric warming; however, this risk can be potentially mitigated by positive anomalies of GPP associated with favourable environmental conditions.

Xu, Chonggang↗

Evaluation of MODIS and VIIRS Cloud-Gap-Filled Snow-Cover Products for Production of an Earth Science Data Record

MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) cryosphere products have been available since 2000 – following the 1999 launch of the Terra MODIS and the 2002 launch of the Aqua MODIS – and include global snow-cover extent (SCE) (swath, daily, and 8 d composites) at 500 m and ∼5 km spatial resolutions. These products are used extensively in hydrological modeling and climate studies. Reprocessing of the complete snow-cover data record, from Collection 5 (C5) to Collection 6 (C6) and Collection 6.1 (C6.1), has provided improvements in the MODIS product suite. Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (S-NPP) Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) Collection 1 (C1) snow-cover products at a 375 m spatial resolution have been available since 2011 and are currently being reprocessed for Collection 2 (C2). Both the MODIS C6.1 and the VIIRS C2 products will be available for download from the National Snow and Ice Data Center beginning in early 2020 with the complete time series available in 2020. To address the need for a cloud-reduced or cloud-free daily SCE product for both MODIS and VIIRS, a daily cloud-gap-filled (CGF) snow-cover algorithm was developed for MODIS C6.1 and VIIRS C2 processing. MOD10A1F (Terra) and MYD10A1F (Aqua) are daily, 500 m resolution CGF SCE map products from MODIS. VNP10A1F is the daily, 375 m resolution CGF SCE map product from VIIRS. These CGF products include quality-assurance data such as cloud-persistence statistics showing the age of the observation in each pixel. The objective of this paper is to introduce the new MODIS and VIIRS standard CGF daily SCE products and to provide a preliminary evaluation of uncertainties in the gap-filling methodology so that the products can be used as the basis for a moderate-resolution Earth science data record (ESDR) of SCE. Time series of the MODIS and VIIRS CGF products have been developed and evaluated at selected study sites in the US and southern Canada. Observed differences, although small, are largely attributed to cloud masking and differences in the time of day of image acquisition. A nearly 3-month time-series comparison of Terra MODIS and S-NPP VIIRS CGF snow-cover maps for a large study area covering all or parts of 11 states in the western US and part of southwestern Canada reveals excellent correspondence between the Terra MODIS and S-NPP VIIRS products, with a mean difference of 11 070 sqkm, which is ∼0.45 % of the study area. According to our preliminary validation of the Terra and Aqua MODIS CGF SCE products in the western US study area, we found higher accuracy of the Terra product compared with the Aqua product. The MODIS CGF SCE data record beginning in 2000 has been extended into the VIIRS era, which should last at least through the early 2030s.

Hall, Dorothy K.↗

High-Resolution Mid-Infrared Molecular Line Survey of the Orion Hot Core

The basic building blocks of life are synthesized in space as part of the natural stellar evolutionary cycle, whereby elements ejected into the interstellar medium by dying stars are incorporated back into the dense clouds, which form the next generation of stars and planets. The formation of stars and planets are fundamental to the evolution of matter in the Universe as complex molecules are created and destroyed during this step. Understanding these processes will allow us to answer “What is the relation between the molecules we see in the ISM and the molecular inventory of Earth and the terrestrial planets in the Solar System?” Measuring and cataloging the inventory of organic molecules and understanding their evolution requires observations over a broad wavelength range (IR, MIR, FIR, (sub)mm, and radio) to cover all stages of this evolutionary cycle needed to link interstellar material to that delivered to planets. High-resolution molecular line surveys provide chemical inventories for star forming regions and are essential for studying their chemistry, kinematics and physical conditions. Previous high spectral resolution surveys have been limited to radio, sub-mm and FIR wavelengths; however, Mid-infrared observations are the only way to study symmetric molecules that have no dipole moment and thus cannot be detected in the (sub)mm line surveys from ALMA. Past midinfrared missions such as ISO and Spitzer had low to moderate resolving power that were only able to link broad features with particular molecular bands and could not resolve the individual rovibrational transitions. JWST will provide exceptional sensitivity in the MIR, but will also not have sufficient spectral resolution, which can lead to confusion in identifying the contribution from strong to moderate strength molecular species. We present new results from an on-going high resolution (R ~ 60,000) line survey of the Orion hot core between 12.5 - 28.3 μm and 7 - 8 μm, using the EXES instrument on the SOFIA airborne observatory. SOFIA's higher-resolution and smaller beam compared to ISO allows us to spatially and spectrally isolate the emission towards the hot core. This survey will provide the best infrared measurements (to date) of molecular column densities and physical conditions, providing strong constraints on the current chemical network models for star forming regions. This survey will greatly enhance the inventory of resolved line features in the MIR, making it an invaluable reference to be used by the JWST and ALMA scientific communities.

Rangwala, Naseem↗

Durability of YSZ Coated Ti2AlC in 1300 °C Mach 0.3 Burner Rig Tests

A thermal barrier coating system survived burner rig testing at 1300 °C for 500 h. A 160 µm thick yttria stabilized zirconia (YSZ) coating was applied to a Ti2AlC MAX phase bar sample by plasma spray physical vapor deposition (PS-PVD) and tested face-on in an atmospheric Mach 0.3 jet fuel burner, using 5-h thermal cycles. No thermal barrier coating (TBC) spallation or recession was observed, only a 2.4 mg/cm2 mass gain. The modest weight gain precluded severe volatility losses under high velocity burner conditions. The coating surface exhibited colonies of (111)flourite fiber-textured columns separated by craze patterns, with no visible moisture attack. The metastable tetragonal t' YSZ phase was obtained initially, transitioning to equilibrium teq and cubic YSZ, but with little detrimental monoclinic. The thickness of the alumina TGO was ~21 to 23 μm under the heated YSZ face and ~13 to 15 μm on the uncoated, cooler backside. The backside exhibited removal of initial transient TiO2 nodules and partial etching of the underlying Al2O3 scale by volatile hydroxides formed in high temperature, high velocity water vapor. Aerodynamic forces produced some bending of the cantilevered sample via creep. The test indicated exceptional stability of YSZ coatings on Ti2AlC under turbine conditions, with thermal expansion matching playing a key role. The purpose of this study was to demonstrate long term durability of YSZ/MAX phase system in aggressive high temperature burner rig testing. MAX phases have been keenly studied because of their unique crystal structure and intriguing properties (Refs. 1 and 2). Having Mn+1(Al,Si)(C,N)n general composition, they are defined as ceramics, but possess unusual desirable attributes such as high conductivity, thermal shock resistance, easy machinability, and deformation tolerance. The mechanical properties derive from weak M-(Al,Si) bonding in the basal plane that leads to sliding and kinking in preference to catastrophic crack growth. Like most ceramics they are phase stable at high temperatures, generally up to 1500 °C. High temperature oxidation resistance is excellent for alumina-forming Ti3AlC2, Ti2AlC, and Cr2AlC, as reviewed by Tallman, et al. (Ref. 3). Compatibility with α-Al2O3 scales is further enhanced in cyclic exposures by a close matching of thermal expansion coefficients, (Ref. 4) i.e., (~9.3, 10.2, 11.3×10–6/K for Al2O3, Ti2AlC, and YSZ, to be discussed). Turbine environments generally contain 10 percent water vapor in the combustion gases, therefore moisture effects can be a concern for some materials (Ref. 5). Furnace tests of MAX phases in high temperature steam generally showed little effect on Al2O3 scale growth (Ref. 6). However, high velocity and high pressure gas can influence scale losses by the formation of volatile reaction products, such as TiO(OH)2 and Al(OH)3 (Refs. 7 to 10). This phenomenon had been discussed for 1100 to 1300 °C high pressure burner rig tests of Ti2AlC (Ref. 11). A single cubic growth rate parameter kcubic was measurably lower than comparable furnace TGA data, but it could be matched reasonably well if corrected for a slight volatility term. In general, a two-parameter cubic-linear growth-volatility law was believed to apply. Corresponding scale volatility loss rates, directly measured at 1300 °C on a pre-oxidized sample, were moderate (0.012 mg/cm2/h) and largely attributed to removal of the initial TiO2 transient scale. A related CH4 burner study of high purity Cr2AlC MAX phase demonstrated 1200 °C durability after 500 rapid (5 min. heat and 2 min. cool) thermal shock cycling (29 h hot time) (Ref. 12). Heating and cooling rates were ~1000 and 500 °C per minute, with a gas velocity of 5 m/s, producing a 75 °C/mm gradient. A 7 μm Al2O3 surface scale and a 13 μm Cr7C3 depletion zone formed with no signs of failure. No evidence of scale volatility was evident, although weight change was not provided, the velocity was moderate, and the total hot time was not extensive. The same high gradient BRT was used to produce 1400 °C surface temperatures for a YSZ/Cr2AlC/IN738 system in the first study of MAX phases used as bond coats for thermal barrier coatings (TBC) (Ref. 25). Here TBC failure was reported after 745 cycles, with only a 1.5 μm Al2O3 scale entrained within a porous, Cr7C3 bondcoat depletion phase. YSZ thermal barrier coatings have been considered to be a compatible complement to Al-MAX phases because of thermal expansion matching and extremely low volatility in water vapor. Initial studies showed superior oxidative stability up to 1300 °C, for long times (at least 500 h) for Ti2AlC substrates and less (268 h) for Cr2AlC, while withstanding large alumina TGO scale thickness (~35 to 40 μm) (Refs. 13 and 14). By comparison, typical superalloy systems can only survive 1150 °C maximum interface temperatures for extended periods, with a maximum sustained TGO below 10 μm (Ref. 15). High temperature SiC based systems are known to form slow-growing SiO2 scales. But these are subject to rate enhancement and volatile Si(OH)4 products in the presence of water vapor, as described comprehensively by Opila, et al. (Refs. 5, 16 to 19). Net weight losses are generally observed in high velocity, high pressure burner rig studies (e.g., 0.084 mg/cm2/h at 1300 °C) (Ref. 20). Furthermore, the loss rates have been shown from chemical physics to scale with v1/2 and pH2O 2 (Ref. 16). Low activity, moisture-resistant environmental barrier coatings (EBC), such as rare earth silicates, are needed to prevent substrate recession under turbine conditions (Refs. 21 to 23).

Smialek, James L.↗

Nonmodal Growth of TravelingWaves on Blunt Cones at Hypersonic Speeds

The existing database of transition measurements in hypersonic ground facilities has established that, as the nosetip bluntness is increased, the onset of boundary layer transition over a circular cone at zero angle of attack shifts downstream. However, this trend is reversed at sufficiently large values of the nose Reynolds number, so that the transition onset location eventually moves upstream with a further increase in nose-tip bluntness. Because modal amplification is too weak to initiate transition at moderate-to-large bluntness values, nonmodal growth has been investigated as the potential basis for a physics-based model for the frustum transition. The present analysis investigates the nonmodal growth of traveling disturbances initiated within the nose-tip vicinity that peak within the entropy layer. Results show that, with increasing nose bluntness, both planar and oblique traveling disturbances experience appreciable energy amplification up to successively higher frequencies. For moderately blunt cones, the initial nonmmodal growth is followed by a partial decay that is more than overcome by an eventual, modal growth as Mack-mode waves. For larger bluntness values, the Mack-mode waves are not amplified anywhere upstream of the experimentally measured transition location, but the traveling modes still undergo a significant amount of nonmodal growth. This finding does not provide a definitive link between optimal growth and the onset of transition, but it is qualitatively consistent with the experimental observations that frustum transition in the absence of sufficient Mack-mode amplification implies a double peak in disturbance amplification and the appearance of transitional events above the boundary-layer edge.

Hypersonic speed↗

Was the Sun a Slow Rotator? Sodium and Potassium Constraints from the Lunar Regolith

While the Earth and Moon are generally similar in composition, a notable difference between the two is the apparent depletion in moderately volatile elements in lunar samples. This is often attributed to the formation process of the Moon and demonstrates the importance of these elements as evolutionary tracers. Here we show that paleo space weather may have driven the loss of a significant portion of moderate volatiles, such as sodium and potassium from the surface of the Moon. The remaining sodium and potassium in the regolith is dependent on the primordial rotation state of the Sun. Notably, given the joint constraints shown in the observed degree of depletion of sodium and potassium in lunar samples and the evolution of activity of solar analogues over time, the Sun is highly likely to have been a slow rotator. Since the young Sun’s activity was important in affecting the evolution of planetary surfaces, atmospheres, and habitability in the early Solar System, this is an important constraint on the solar activity environment at that time. Finally, since solar activity was strongest in the first billion years of the Solar System, when the Moon was most heavily bombarded by impactors, evolution of the Sun’s activity may also be recorded in lunar crust and would be an important well-preserved and relatively accessible record of past Solar System processes

Solar Physics↗

Do Close-in Giant Planets Orbiting Evolved Stars Prefer Eccentric Orbits?

The NASA Kepler and K2 Missions have recently revealed a population of transiting giant planets orbiting moderately evolved, low-luminosity red giant branch stars. Here, we present radial velocity (RV) measurements of three of these systems, revealing significantly non-zero orbital eccentricities in each case. Comparing these systems with the known planet population suggests that close-in giant planets around evolved stars tend to have more eccentric orbits than those around main sequence stars. We interpret this as tentative evidence that the orbits of these planets pass through a transient, moderately eccentric phase where they shrink faster than they circularize due to tides raised on evolved host stars. Additional RV measurements of currently known systems, along with new systems discovered by the recently launched NASA Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) mission, may constrain the timescale and mass dependence of this process.

Thomas Barclay↗

Leveraging Google Earth Engine User Interface for Semiautomated Wetland Classification in the Great Lakes Basin at 10 m With Optical and Radar Geospatial Datasets

As one of the world’s largest freshwater ecosystems,the Great Lakes Basin houses hundreds of thousands of acres of wetlands that support a variety of crucial ecological and environmental functions at the local, regional, and global levels.Monitoring these wetlands is critical to conservation and restoration efforts, however current methods that rely on field monitoring are labor-intensive, costly, and often outdated. In this study, we present a graphical user interface constructed in Google Earth Engine called the Wetland Extent Tool (WET),which allows semi-automatic wetland classification according to a user-input area of interest and date range. WET composites datasets and conducts multi source, moderate resolution processing utilizing Landsat 8 OLI, Sentinel-2 MSI, Sentinel-1 C-SAR, and Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) datasets to classify wetlands in the entire Great Lakes Basin. We evaluated classification results of wetlands, uplands, and open water from May-September 2019, and tested whether SRTM elevation, slope,or the Dynamic Surface Water Extent produced the most accurate results in each Great Lake Basin in conjunction with optical indices and radar composites. We found that elevation produced the most accurate classification in Lake Erie, Michigan,and Ontario, while slope performed best in Lake Huron and Superior. Lake Erie, Michigan, Ontario, and Huron achieved high overall accuracy and identification of wetlands. WET leverages cloud-computing for multi source processing of moderate resolution remote sensing data, and employs a user interface in Google Earth Engine that wetland managers and conservationists can use to monitor wetland extent in the Great Lakes Basin in near real-time.

Vanessa L Valenti↗

Reflectance spectra measurement plan of captured samples from Ryugu: current status

Hayabusa2 spacecraft is equipped with Optical Navigation Camera (ONC) andNear-infrared Spectrometer (NIRS3), and has obtained reflectance spectra of the C-type near-Earth asteroid Ryugu over a wavelength range of 0.40–0.95 μm and 1.8–3.2 μm, respectively. It was revealed that Ryugu exhibits globally very low albedo (less than 0.02 at 0.55 and 2.0 μm), a slightly positive spectral slope, and an ubiquitous weak but sharp OH absorption band centered at 2.72 μm,showing a little regional heterogeneities. Thus, the surface material of Ryugu can be estimated as relatively similar to moderately heated carbonaceous chondrites, e.g., moderately dehydrated CI and CM, and enriched in carbon (Kitazato et al., 2019; Sugita et al., 2019; Tatsumi et al., 2020).Hayabusa2 successfully has performed twice touch down operations, and the captured sample will be brought back to the Earth in late 2020 (Morota et al., 2020; Tachibana et al., in preparation). To clarify Ryugu’s mineralogical and physicochemical properties and their varieties, effective for spectral characteristics obtained by ONC and NIRS3, several grains are planned to be distributed to several primary analysis groups. In this study, we report the current status of our spectral analysis plan in Hayabusa2 MINeralogy and PETrology of coarse grains (MIN-PET CG) team led by T. Nakamura, and the latest rehearsal analysis result using carbonaceous chondrite samples. MIN-PET CG rehearsal measurements have been performed to obtain detailed spectral properties of Ryugu grains with diverse spatial resolutions ranging from μm to mm scale or larger; using a few mm size polished CM sample with several microscopic imaging spectrometers covering various spatial range; with 200 μmor finer spatial resolution at Institut d’Astrophysique Spatiale, ~50 and 150 μm spatial resolution invisible and IR ranges at Brown University, and with 40 μm or larger spatial resolution at Tohoku University, and using mm-size CM and CI grains with a diffuse reflectance spectrometer with a few mm resolution at Tohoku University. Diffuse reflectance spectroscopy measurements undergo to use several mm-size CM or CI chondrite grains with Bruker VERTEX 70v, which covers ~0.38–15 μm in wavelength. To keep returned samples out of atmosphere avoiding any terrestrial contamination, wehave prepared an air shutoff cell to put samples and standard materials together kept in a N2 purged condition (Amano et al., 2020). Samples are Murchison CM chondrite showing typically ~5%reflectance with a strong OH absorption band at ~2.8 μm, and laboratory heated CI chondrite showing~3% reflectance, and a weak OH absorption band at ~2.7 μm. We will perform (1) fixed angle condition as laboratory standard setting at incident, emission, and phase angles of 30°, 0°, 30°, or 0°,30°, 30°, and (2) various angle conditions for photometric corrections. Future lab analyses of samples returned from Ryugu will provide direct and detailed information on the mineralogical and physicochemical properties of Ryugu, and relationship of spectral characteristics obtained by remote sensing and laboratory instruments.

M. Matsuoka↗

Vegetation Monitoring Optimization with Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and Evapotranspiration Using Remote Sensing Measurements and Land Surface Models Over East Africa

The majority of people in East Africa rely on the agro-pastoral system for their livelihood, which is highly vulnerable to droughts and flooding. Agro-pastoral droughts are endemic to the region and are considered the main natural hazard that contributes to food insecurity. Drought begins with rainfall deficit, gradually leading to soil moisture deficit, higher land surface temperature, and finally impacts to vegetation growth. Therefore, monitoring vegetation conditions is essential in understanding the progression of drought, potential effects on food security, and providing early warning information needed for drought mitigation decisions. Because vegetation processes couple the land and atmosphere, monitoring of vegetation conditions requires consideration of both water provision and demand. While there is consensus in using either the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) or evapotranspiration(ET) for vegetation monitoring, a comprehensive assessment optimizing the use of both has not yet been done. Moreover, the evaluation methods for understanding the relationships between NDVI and ET for vegetation monitoring are also limited. Taking these gaps into account we have developed a framework to optimize vegetation monitoring using both NDVI and ET by identifying where they perform the best by using triple collocation and cross-correlation methods. We estimated the random error structure in Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) NDVI; ET from the Operational Simplified Surface Energy Balance (SSEBop) model; and ET from land surface models (LSMs). LSM ET and SSEBop ET have been found to be better indicators for vegetation monitoring during extreme drought events, while NDVI could provide better information on vegetation condition during wetter than normal conditions. The random error structures of these variables suggest that LSM ET is most likely to provide important information for vegetation monitoring over low and high ends of the vegetation fraction areas. Over moderate vegetative areas, any of these variables could provide important vegetation information for drought characterization and food security assessments. While this study provides a framework for optimizing vegetation monitoring for drought and food security assessments over East Africa, the framework can be adopted to optimize vegetation monitoring over any other drought and food insecure region of the world.

triple collocation↗

Was the Sun a Slow Rotator? Sodium and Potassium Constraints from the Lunar Regolith

While the Earth and Moon are generally similar in composition, a notable difference between the two is the apparent depletion in moderately volatile elements in lunar samples. This is often attributed to the formation process of the Moon, and it demonstrates the importance of these elements as evolutionary tracers. Here we show that paleo space weather may have driven the loss of a significant portion of moderate volatiles, such as sodium and potassium, from the surface of the Moon. The remaining sodium and potassium in the regolith is dependent on the primordial rotation state of the Sun. Notably, given the joint constraints shown in the observed degree of depletion of sodium and potassium in lunar samples and the evolution of activity of solar analogs over time, the Sun is highly likely to have been a slow rotator. Because the young Sun's activity was important in affecting the evolution of planetary surfaces, atmospheres, and habitability in the early Solar System, this is an important constraint on the solar activity environment at that time. Finally, as solar activity was strongest in the first billion years of the Solar System, when the Moon was most heavily bombarded by impactors, evolution of the Sun's activity may also be recorded in lunar crust and would be an important well-preserved and relatively accessible record of past Solar System processes.

Prabal Saxena↗

Electromagnetic Emission from a Binary Black Hole Merger Remnant in Plasma: Field Alignment and Plasma Temperature

Comparable-mass black-hole mergers generically result in moderate to highly spinning holes, whose spacetime curvature will significantly affect nearby matter in observable ways. We investigate how the moderate spin of a postmerger Kerr black hole immersed in a plasma with initially uniform density and uniform magnetic field affects potentially observable accretion rates and energy fluxes. Varying the initial specific internal energy of the plasma over two decades, we find very little change in steady-state mass accretion rate or Poynting luminosity, except at the lowest internal energies, where fluxes do not exhibit steady-state behavior during the simulation timescale. Fixing the internal energy and varying the initial fixed magnetic-field amplitude and orientation, we find that the steady-state Poynting luminosity depends strongly on the initial field angle with respect to the black hole spin axis, while the matter accretion rate is more stable until the field angle exceeds ∼45°. The protojet formed along the black hole spin axis conforms to a thin, elongated cylinder near the hole, while aligning with the asymptotic magnetic field at large distances.

Bernard J Kelly↗

Impact of Surface Albedo Assimilation on Snow Estimation

Surface albedo has a significant impact in determining the amount of available net radiation at the surface and the evolution of surface water and energy budget components. The snow accumulation and timing of melt, in particular, are directly impacted by the changes in land surface albedo. This study presents an evaluation of the impact of assimilating Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)-based surface albedo estimates in the Noah multi-parameterization (Noah-MP) land surface model, over the continental US during the time period from 2000 to 2017. The evaluation of simulated snow depth and snow cover fields show that significant improvements from data assimilation (DA) are obtained over the High Plains and parts of the Rocky Mountains. Earlier snowmelt and reduced agreements with reference snow depth measurements, primarily over the Northeast US, are also observed due to albedo DA. Most improvements from assimilation are observed over locations with moderate vegetation and lower elevation. The aggregate impact on evapotranspiration and runoff from assimilation is found to be marginal. This study also evaluates the relative and joint utility of assimilating fractional snow cover and surface albedo measurements. Relative to surface albedo assimilation, fractional snow cover assimilation is found to provide smaller improvements in the simulated snow depth fields. The configuration that jointly assimilates surface albedo and fractional snow cover measurements is found to provide the most beneficial improvements compared to the univariate DA configurations for surface albedo or fractional snow cover. Overall, the study also points to the need for improving the albedo formulations in land surface models and the incorporation of observational uncertainties within albedo DA configurations.

surface albedo↗