Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Predictive science”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 883 records · Page 49
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2015

Odyssey Mars Orbiter - Thirteen Years of On-Orbit Navigation

The Odyssey spacecraft has been in Mars orbit since October 24, 2001 and has nearly completed 61,490 orbits. Navigation operational objectives include the following: Control the local mean solar time for science observations; for most of the mission, this varied from 3:45 pm to 5:20 pm. Currently, an orbit trim maneuver planned for November 10, 2015 will place Odyssey at 6:45 pm/6:45 am at equator crossings in order to observe early morning ground frost, fog and clouds. Initially, Odyssey was late by 42 minutes for an over-flight of the critical seven minutes of Phoenix's entry, descent and landing (EDL). Odyssey was successfully positioned for this over-flight using the Delta V from angular momentum desaturations (AMD). Similar results for the Mars Science Laboratory's EDL and Comet Siding Spring's minimum risk location will be presented. Odyssey has and continues to relay significant quantities of rover data. Navigation successfully models frequent AMD Delta Vs in order to generate accurate sixty-day trajectory predictions; a typical timing error is 25 seconds after 60 days. However, unexpected events, such as safe-mode entries with their larger and more frequent thrusting, severely impact that trajectory accuracy. Impacted trajectories can have timing errors ranging from a few minutes to ten-to-fifteen minutes after sixty-days. Other analyses (briefly stated) include: a) the offset of the orbital ground track pattern after an initial cycle of 30 days or 362 orbits and b) an operations environment of continuous thrusting if/when one of the three remaining reaction wheels fails.

trajectory accuracy↗
NASA NTRS2020

Toward More Realistic Simulation and Prediction of Dust Storms on Mars

Major (regional and global)dust storms dominate weather and climate variability on present-day Mars. Absorption and scattering of visible and IR radiation by dust strongly affect the thermal state of the thin Mars atmosphere, while dust provides condensation nuclei for water and CO2 cloud particles, which also affect radiative fluxes. Global dust storms (GDS) occur ~three times per Mars decade and to date have been observed in only northern fall and winter,when the global circulation is strongest. Tenfold increases in column dust opacity are typical during GDS, with intense vertical motions transporting dust to far higher altitudes than usual. The key processes and feedbacks that produce GDS remain poorly understood, hence current atmospheric models fail to self-consistently simulate observed dust storm activity. This means we have no predictive capability for when GDS may occur, either now or in Mars’s past. And crucially, due to the huge impact of GDS on the atmosphere and surface, our lack of ability to simulate realistic dust storms has major implications for Mars science and exploration: from understanding the present climate (§2.1),to modeling past climates and water cycles (§2.2), to exploring how wind, water, and dust cycles varied over time to interpret geology and assess potential habitability(§2.3), to quantifying and mitigating risks posed to Mars missions (§2.4)

Claire E Newman↗
NASA NTRS2013

Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) observer power system architecture

The Soil Moisture Active and Passive (SMAP) observer is scheduled for launch in 2014. The primary science objective of SMAP is the high-resolution mapping of earth’s soil moisture. These measurements will be used to enhance understanding of processes that link the water, energy and carbon cycles, and to extend the capabilities of weather and climate prediction models. The SMAP orbit, sun-synchronous with an altitude of 680 km, was chosen to optimize the sampling characteristics of the instruments while ensuring that the resolution requirements are met. The combined active radar and passive radiometer measurement approach takes advantage of the spatial resolutions of the radar (3 km x 1000 km) and the radiometer (39 km x 47 km).

Carr, Gregory↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

An Overview of Plume-Surface Interaction Testing and Research

NASA has studied rocket plume-surface interactions caused by spacecraft since the Apollo era to reduce risk to landing vehicles. The study of plume-surface interactions is a multi-discipline effort, spanning aerospace engineering to planetary science. Historical testing for Apollo and Viking produced methods, terms, and datasets that influence the field today. Research conducted over the past two decades has expanded our understanding of plume-surface interaction phenomena, but the problem remains resistant to a robust predictive capability. Contemporary experimental and modeling efforts to understand and retire strategic knowledge gaps will be discussed, with a focus on work conducted under NASA’s Plume-Surface Interaction Project and the upcoming Human Landing System Plume-Surface Interaction Risk Reduction Ground Test.

Wesley A Chambers↗
NASA NTRS2013

2011 Mars Science Laboratory Trajectory Reconstruction and Performance from Launch Through Landing

The Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) mission successfully launched on an Atlas V 541 Expendable Evolved Launch Vehicle (EELV) from the Eastern Test Range (ETR) at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS) in Florida at 15:02:00 UTC on November 26th, 2011. At 15:52:06 UTC, six minutes after the MSL spacecraft separated from the Centaur upper stage, the spacecraft transmitter was turned on and in less than 20 s spacecraft carrier lock was achieved at the Universal Space Network (USN) Dongara tracking station located in Western Australia. MSL, carrying the most sophisticated rover ever sent to Mars, entered the Martian atmosphere at 05:10:46 SpaceCraft Event Time (SCET) UTC, and landed inside Gale Crater at 05:17:57 SCET UTC on August 6th, 2012. Confirmation of nominal landing was received at the Deep Space Network (DSN) Canberra tracking station via the Mars Odyssey relay spacecraft at 05:31:45 Earth Received Time (ERT) UTC. This paper summarizes in detail the actual vs. predicted trajectory performance in terms of launch vehicle events, launch vehicle injection performance, actual DSN/USN spacecraft lockup, trajectory correction maneuver performance, Entry, Descent, and Landing events, and overall trajectory and geometry characteristics.

trajectory↗
NASA NTRS2018

A Multi-Satellite Assimilation and Modeling Platform to Construct a Global and Complete view of the Hydrologic Cycle

What captivates me about the research field of satellite remote sensing of the earth system science is the opportunity to help human beings by addressing challenging questions related to the current and future availability of natural resources for domestic, agricultural, and industrial needs. For example, a continuously varying climate poses a threat to the water resource, not only in developing countries, but also in economically well-developed regions, creating the urgent need to characterize and predict its spatial and temporal availability. Specifically, my curiosity is driven by the challenge of merging cutting-edge space technology and earth observations (i.e., remote sensing) with state-of-the-art models for the purpose of improving our scientific knowledge about the variability and the change of the hydrologic cycle.The only practical way to observe the land surface processes (e.g., hydrologic cycle) on continental to global scales is via satellite remote sensing. Though remote sensing can make spatially comprehensive measurements of various components of the land surface system, it cannot provide direct information on the entire system, and the measurements represent only a snapshot in time. Physical based models may be used to continuously predict the temporal and spatial earth processes, but these predictions are often poor, due to model initialization, parameter and meteorological forcing errors, and inadequate model physics and/or resolution. Thus, an attractive prospect is to combine the strengths of land surface models and observations (and minimize the weaknesses of both) to provide a superior land surface state estimate. This is the goal of land surface data assimilation. Data assimilation provides a better estimate of the environmental states than either models or observations could individually do. The broad concept of data assimilation can be applied to various disciplines such as hydrology, ecology, environmental hazards, agriculture and economy.My research is targeted to integrating multiple satellite information having multi-sensor and multi-resolution assimilation within today's state-of-the-art hydrologic models. Multi-sensor and multi-resolution assimilation techniques represent a necessary milestone in future earth science applications because they offer the capability of comprehensively integrating disparate types of earth observations via deep-learning techniques. A multi-satellite assimilation and modeling platform will ultimately provide a robust and complete dataset to more fully understand earth's dynamics. In fact, the multi-satellite assimilation platforms build a comprehensive description of the earth processes that is geared toward accurately representing the complexity of natural and anthropogenic interactions in land surface processes. Most importantly, these platforms are suitable as decision support tools for applications across different aspects of earth system science.My recent work has focused on recent multi-sensor data assimilation techniques targeted at improving snow, soil moisture, groundwater, and terrestrial water storage hydrological states.

Girotto, Manuela↗
NASA NTRS2009

The Applications of NASA Mission Technologies to the Greening of Human Impact

I will give an overview talk about flight software systems, robotics technologies and modeling for energy minimization as applied to vehicles and buildings infrastructures. A dominant issue in both design and operations of robotic spacecraft is the minimization of energy use. In the design and building of spacecraft increased power is acquired only at the cost of additional mass and volumes and ultimately cost. Consequently, interplanetary spacecrafts are designed to have the minimum essential power and those designs often incorporate careful timing of all power use. Operationally, the availability of power is the most influential constraint for the use of planetary surface robots, such as the Mars Exploration Rovers. The amount of driving done, the amount of science accomplished and indeed the survivability of the spacecraft itself is determined by the power available for use. For the Mars Exploration Rovers there are four tools which are used: (1) models of the rover and it s thermal and power use (2) predictive environmental models of power input and thermal environment (3) fine grained manipulation of power use (4) optimization modeling and planning tools. In this talk I will discuss possible applications of this methodology to minimizing power use on Earth, especially in buildings.

Sims, Michael H.↗
NASA NTRS2012

Assimilation of Smos Observations to Generate a Prototype SMAP Level 4 Surface and Root-Zone Soil Moisture Product

The Soil Moisture Active and Passive (SMAP; [1]) mission is being implemented by NASA for launch in October 2014. The primary science objectives of SMAP are to enhance understanding of land surface controls on the water, energy and carbon cycles, and to determine their linkages. Moreover, the high-resolution soil moisture mapping provided by SMAP has practical applications in weather and seasonal climate prediction, agriculture, human health, drought and flood decision support. The Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS; [2]) mission was launched by ESA in November 2009 and has since been observing L-band (1.4 GHz) upwelling passive microwaves. In this paper we describe our use of SMOS brightness temperature observations to generate a prototype of the planned SMAP Level 4 Surface and Root-zone Soil Moisture (L4_SM) product [5].

Reichle, Rolf H.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Dynamic Analyses of the Proposed Habitable Exoplanet Astrophysics Facility

The proposed Habitable Exoplanet (HabEx) astrophysics facility is one of four large such facilities being proposed to the 2020 decadal. It is a large telescope that is sensitive to ultraviolet, optical, and near-infrared photons. The proposed design’s overall length is on the order of 17.2 m and its maximum cross section is on the order of 5.25 X 5.25 m. The primary mirror is 4 m in diameter. A transient dynamic analysis was performed to estimate the order of magnitude of ring down time after moving the telescope and pointing at a new target for science planning purposes. Without uncertainty factors, results from a simple re-pointing maneuver indicate that primary to secondary mirror LOS errors are on the order of 10-4 pico-m after 5 minutes. Also, a frequency response analysis was performed to predict the impact of planned micro-thruster vibrations on required stability. Based on provided noise level associated with the micro-thrusters and loading assumptions and without uncertainty factors, the assessed vibrations do not impact predicted performance requirements.

Knight, J. Brent↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Novel Infrared-blocking Aerogel Scattering Filters and Their Applications in Astrophysical and Planetary Science Observations

Infrared-blocking scattering aerogel filters have a broad range of potential applications in astrophysics and planetary science observations in the far-infrared, sub-millimeter, and microwave regimes. Successful dielectric modeling of aerogel filters allowed the fabrication of samples to meet the mechanical and science instrument requirements for several experiments, including the Sub-millimeter Solar Observation Lunar Volatiles Experiment (SSOLVE), the Cosmology Large Angular Scale Surveyor (CLASS), and the Experiment for Cryogenic Large-Aperture Intensity Mapping (EXCLAIM). Thermal multi-physics simulations of the filters predict their performance when integrated into a cryogenic receiver. Prototype filters have survived cryogenic cycling to 4 K with no degradation in mechanical properties.

Kyle R Helson↗
NASA NTRS1997

Earth and Planetary Science Letters

Systematic measurements of the concentrations of cosmogen Ca-41 (half-life = 1.04 x 10(exp 5) yr) in the Apollo 15 long core 15001-15006 were performed by accelerator mass spectroscopy. Earlier measurements of cosmogenic Be-10, C-14, Al-26, Cl-36, and Mn-53 in the same core have provided confirmation and improvement of theoretical models for predicting production profiles of nuclides by cosmic ray induced spallation in the Moon and large meteorites. Unlike these nuclides, Ca-40 in the lunar surface is produced mainly by thermal neutron capture reactions on Ca-40. The maximum production of Ca-41, about 1 dpm/g Ca, was observed at a depth in the Moon of about 150 g/sq cm. For depths below about 300 g/sq cm, Ca-41 production falls off exponentially with an e-folding length of 175 g/sq cm. Neutron production in the Moon was modeled with the Los Alamos High Energy Transport Code System, and yields of nuclei produced by low-energy thermal and epithermal neutrons were calculated with the Monte Carlo N-Particle code. The new theoretical calculations using these codes are in good agreement with our measured Ca-41 concentrations as well as with Co-60 and direct neutron fluence measurements in the Moon.

K. Nishiizumi↗
NASA NTRS2002

Laboratory Evaluation and Application of Microwave Absorption Properties under Simulated Conditions for Planetary Atmospheres

Radio absorptivity data for planetary atmospheres obtained from spacecraft radio occultation experiments, entry probe radio signal absorption measurements, and earth-based or spacecraft-based radio astronomical (emission) observations can be used to infer abundances of microwave absorbing constituents in those atmospheres, as long as reliable information regarding the microwave absorbing properties of potential constituents is available. The use of theoretically-derived microwave absorption properties for such atmospheric constituents, or the use of laboratory measurements of such properties taken under environmental conditions that are significantly different than those of the planetary atmosphere being studied, often leads to significant misinterpretation of available opacity data. Laboratory measurements have shown that the centimeter-wavelength opacity from gaseous phosphine (PH3) under simulated conditions for the outer planets far exceeds that predicted from theory over a wide range of temperatures and pressures. This fundamentally changed the resulting interpretation of Voyager radio occultation data at Saturn and Neptune. It also directly impacts planning and scientific goals for study of Saturn's atmosphere with the Cassini Radio Science Experiment and the Rossini RADAR instrument. The recognition of the need to make such laboratory measurements of simulated planetary atmospheres over a range of temperatures and pressures which correspond to the altitudes probed by both radio occultation experiments and radio astronomical observations, and over a range of frequencies which correspond to those used in both spacecraft entry probe and orbiter (or flyby) radio occultation experiments and radio astronomical observations, has led to the development of a facility at Georgia Tech which is capable of making such measurements. It has been the goal of this investigation to conduct such measurements and to apply the results to a wide range of planetary observations, both spacecraft- and earth-based, in order to determine the identity and abundance profiles of constituents in those planetary atmospheres,

Steffes, Paul G.↗
NASA NTRS2004

Coupling the Community Atmospheric Model (CAM) with the Statistical Spectral Interpolation (SSI) System under ESMF

The first set of interoperability experiments illustrates the role ESMF can play in integrating the national Earth science resources. Using existing data assimilation technology from NCEP and the National Weather Service, the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) was able to ingest conventional and remotely sensed observations, a capability that could open the door to using CAM for weather as well as climate prediction. CAM, which includes land surface capabilities, was developed by NCAR, with key components from GSFC. In this talk we will describe the steps necessary for achieving the coupling of these two systems.

daSilva, Arlindo↗
NASA NTRS2005

A Testbed Demonstration of an Intelligent Archive in a Knowledge Building System

The last decade's influx of raw data and derived geophysical parameters from several Earth observing satellites to NASA data centers has created a data-rich environment for Earth science research and applications. While advances in hardware and information management have made it possible to archive petabytes of data and distribute terabytes of data daily to a broad community of users, further progress is necessary in the transformation of data into information, and information into knowledge that can be used in particular applications in order to realize the full potential of these valuable datasets. In examining what is needed to enable this progress in the data provider environment that exists today and is expected to evolve in the next several years, we arrived at the concept of an Intelligent Archive in context of a Knowledge Building System (IA/KBS). Our prior work and associated papers investigated usage scenarios, required capabilities, system architecture, data volume issues, and supporting technologies. We identified six key capabilities of an IA/KBS: Virtual Product Generation, Significant Event Detection, Automated Data Quality Assessment, Large-Scale Data Mining, Dynamic Feedback Loop, and Data Discovery and Efficient Requesting. Among these capabilities, large-scale data mining is perceived by many in the community to be an area of technical risk. One of the main reasons for this is that standard data mining research and algorithms operate on datasets that are several orders of magnitude smaller than the actual sizes of datasets maintained by realistic earth science data archives. Therefore, we defined a test-bed activity to implement a large-scale data mining algorithm in a pseudo-operational scale environment and to examine any issues involved. The application chosen for applying the data mining algorithm is wildfire prediction over the continental U.S. This paper reports a number of observations based on our experience with this test-bed. While proof-of-concept for data mining scalability and utility has been a major goal for the research reported here, it was not the only one. The other five capabilities of an WKBS named above have been considered as well, and an assessment of the implications of our experience for these other areas will also be presented. The lessons learned through the testbed effort and presented in this paper will benefit technologists, scientists, and system operators as they consider introducing IA/KBS capabilities into production systems.

Ramapriyan, Hampapuram↗
NASA NTRS2007

Jitter Test Program and On-Orbit Mitigation Strategies for Solar Dynamic Observatory

The Solar Dynamic Observatory (SDO) aims to study the Sun's influence on the Earth, the source, storage, and release of the solar energy, and the interior structure of the Sun. During science observations, the jitter stability at the instrument focal plane must be maintained to less than a fraction of an arcsecond for two of the SDO instruments. To meet these stringent requirements, a significant amount of analysis and test effort has been devoted to predicting the jitter induced from various disturbance sources. This paper presents an overview of the SDO jitter analysis approach and test effort performed to date. It emphasizes the disturbance modeling, verification, calibration, and validation of the high gain antenna stepping mechanism and the reaction wheels, which are the two largest jitter contributors. This paper also describes on-orbit mitigation strategies to protect the system from analysis model uncertainties. Lessons learned from the SDO jitter analyses and test programs are included in the paper to share the knowledge gained with the community.

Liu, Kuo-Chia↗
NASA NTRS2008

Reaction Wheel Disturbance Modeling, Jitter Analysis, and Validation Tests for Solar Dynamics Observatory

The Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) aims to study the Sun's influence on the Earth by understanding the source, storage, and release of the solar energy, and the interior structure of the Sun. During science observations, the jitter stability at the instrument focal plane must be maintained to less than a fraction of an arcsecond for two of the SDO instruments. To meet these stringent requirements, a significant amount of analysis and test effort has been devoted to predicting the jitter induced from various disturbance sources. One of the largest disturbance sources onboard is the reaction wheel. This paper presents the SDO approach on reaction wheel disturbance modeling and jitter analysis. It describes the verification and calibration of the disturbance model, and ground tests performed for validating the reaction wheel jitter analysis. To mitigate the reaction wheel disturbance effects, the wheels will be limited to operate at low wheel speeds based on the current analysis. An on-orbit jitter test algorithm is also presented in the paper which will identify the true wheel speed limits in order to ensure that the wheel jitter requirements are met.

Liu,Kuo-Chia↗
NASA NTRS2016

Applications of Earth Remote Sensing for Identifying Tornado and Severe Weather Damage

NASA SPoRT (Short-term Prediction Research and Transition Center) provided MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer) and ASTER (Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer) imagery to WFOs (Weather Forecast Offices) in Alabama to support April 27th, 2011 damage assessments across the state. SPoRT was awarded a NASA Applied Science: Disasters Feasibility award to investigate the applicability of including remote sensing imagery and derived products into the NOAA/NWS (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/National Weather System) Damage Assessment Toolkit (DAT). Proposal team was awarded the 3-year proposal to implement a web mapping service and associate data feeds from the USGS (U.S. Geological Survey) to provide satellite imagery and derived products directly to the NWS thru the DAT. In the United States, NOAA/NWS is charged with performing damage assessments when storm or tornado damage is suspected after a severe weather event. This has led to the development of the Damage Assessment Toolkit (DAT), an application for smartphones, tablets and web browsers that allows for the collection, geo-location, and aggregation of various damage indicators collected during storm surveys.

Satellite Remote Sensing↗
NASA NTRS2020

Using Climate Models to Learn: Investigating the Phenomenon of Increasing Surface Air Temperatures Using a Global Climate Modeling Approach

Since 1880, Earth’s average global temperature has increased by approximately 1.4 °F (0.8 °C). Approximately two-thirds of the warming has occurred since 1975 (Wuebbles, Easterling, Hayhoe, et al. 2017). Despite consensus about global climate change (GCC) within the scientific community, students struggle to comprehend - why temperatures are increasing globally - at what rate this change is occurring, and - how climate scientists predict Earth’s future climate. These challenges are due, in part, to the abstraction inherent to understanding GCC, a phenomenon that occurs over long periods of time (past and future), and over large regions (regional and global). With the adoption of the Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS Lead States 2013), GCC is emphasized at the secondary school level, with a focus on analyzing and understanding the evidence for GCC (HS-ESS3-1), climate modeling (HS-ESS2-6, HS-ESS3-5), and the impact of humans on the environment (HS-LS2-7, HS-ESS3-6).

climate models↗